Role of international normalized ratio in nonpulmonary sepsis screening: An observational study

Predicting septic shock in obstructive pyelonephritis associated with ureteral stones: A retrospective study

To identify the best combination of potential predictors of septic shock in patients with obstructive acute pyelonephritis associated with ureteral stones (OAPN-US) according to Sepsis-3 criteria. Patients who underwent percutaneous nephrostomy (PCN) with OAPN-US were retrospectively evaluated. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) was applied to patients with and without septic shock to identify factors associated with the prediction of progression to septic shock. We compared combinations of the selected features based on area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) to determine which combination was most effective. This study included 81 patients who were treated with PCN due to OAPN-US. A comparison was made between 37 patients with septic shock (SS) and 44 patients without septic shock (NSS). SS group had a higher age, poorer Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, and significantly higher levels of positivity in urine cultures and blood cultures. There were also differences in laboratory tests between the 2 groups. Procalcitonin (PCT), international normalized ratio (INR), and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) were selected based on RFE. We compared the predictive power for SS when each marker was used alone, when 2 markers were combined, and when all 3 markers were combined. Among these combinations, using all 3 variables together yielded the highest AUROC of 0.942. Of the 3 variables, PCT had the highest Gini importance score, indicating that it was the most influential factor. Clinical characteristics were different between the SS and the NSS groups. In patients with OAPN-US, the combination of PCT, ALC, and INR was an excellent predictor of septic shock.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Sepsis-Induced Coagulopathy in Septic Patients: Mixed Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

 Sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) is a common cause of poor prognosis in critically ill patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). However, currently there are no tools specifically designed for predicting the occurrence of SIC in septic patients earlier. This study aimed to develop a predictive nomogram incorporating clinical markers and scoring systems to individually predict the probability of SIC in septic patients.

METHODS

 Patients consecutively recruited in the stage between January 2022 and April 2023 constituted the development cohort for retrospective analysis to internally test the nomogram, and patients in the stage between May 2023 to November 2023 constituted the validation cohort for prospective analysis to externally validate the nomogram. Univariate logistic regression analysis of the development cohort was performed firstly, and then multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed using backward stepwise method to determine the best-fitting model and obtain the nomogram from it. The nomogram was validated in an independent external validation cohort, involving discrimination and calibration. A decision curve analysis was also performed to evaluate the net benefit of the insertion decision with this nomogram.

RESULTS

 A total of 548 and 245 patients, 55.1 and 49.4% with SIC occurrence, were included in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Predictors contained in the prediction nomogram included shock, platelets, and international normalized ratio (INR). Patients with shock (odds ratio [OR]: 4.499; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.730-7.414; p < 0.001), higher INR (OR: 349.384; 95% CI: 62.337-1958.221; p < 0.001), and lower platelet (OR: 0.985; 95% CI: 0.982-0.988; p < 0.001) had higher probabilities of SIC. The development model showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.879 (95% CI: 0.850-0.908) and good calibration. Application of the nomogram in the validation cohort also gave good discrimination with an AUROC of 0.872 (95% CI: 0.826-0.917) and good calibration. The decision curve analysis of the nomogram provided better net benefit than the alternate options (intervention or no intervention).

CONCLUSION

 By incorporating shock, platelets, and INR in the model, this useful nomogram could be accessibly utilized to predict SIC occurrence in septic patients. However, external validation is still required for further generalizability improvement of this nomogram.

Elevated International Normalized Ratio and Mortality in Hospitalized Patients Treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are associated with a prolongation of the prothrombin time and an increased international normalized ratio (INR). The clinical significance of these changes is unclear. This study aimed to examine the association between an elevated INR on admission and in-hospital death and long-term survival in patients treated with DOACs.

METHODS

Data were retrospectively retrieved from records of hospitalized patients at the Sheba Medical Center between November 2008 and July 2023. Patients were selected based on DOAC treatment, coagulation profile, and INR test done within 48 hours of hospitalization. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality and mortality in the year following hospitalization.

RESULTS

The study included 11,399 hospitalized patients treated with DOACs. Patients with elevated INR had a 180% higher risk of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio 2.80; 95% confidence interval, 2.30-3.39) and a 57% increased risk of death during the following year (adjusted hazard ratio 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.44-1.71). Similar results were observed in subgroup analyses for each DOAC.

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated INR on admission is associated with a higher risk for in-hospital death and increased risk for mortality during the first year following hospitalization in hospitalized patients treated with DOACs. This highlights that elevated INR levels in patients on DOACs should not be dismissed as laboratory variations due to DOAC treatment, as they may serve as a prognostic marker.

The prothrombin time/international normalized ratio predicts prognosis in cardiogenic shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the prognostic impact of the prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (PT/INR) in patients with cardiogenic shock.

BACKGROUND

Despite ongoing improvements regarding the treatment of cardiogenic shock patients, intensive care unit (ICU)-related mortality in cardiogenic shock patients remains unacceptably high. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of the PT/INR during the course of cardiogenic shock treatment is available.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with cardiogenic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included at one institution. Laboratory values were collected from the day of disease onset (day 1) and days 2, 3, 4 and 8. The prognostic impact of the PT/INR was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality, as well as the prognostic role of PT/INR changes during course of ICU hospitalization. Statistical analyses included univariable t -test, Spearman's correlation, Kaplan-Meier analyses, C-Statistics and Cox proportional regression analyses.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-four cardiogenic shock patients were included with a rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days of 52%. The median PT/INR on day 1 was 1.17. The PT/INR on day 1 was able to discriminate 30-day all-cause mortality in cardiogenic shock patients [area under the curve 0.618; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.544-0.692; P  = 0.002). Patients with PT/INR > 1.17 were associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality [62% vs. 44%; hazard ratio (HR) = 1.692; 95% CI, 1.174-2.438; P  = 0.005], which was still evident after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.551; 95% CI, 1.043-2.305; P  = 0.030). Furthermore, especially patients with an increment of the PT/INR by ≥10% from day 1 to day 2 were associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (64% vs. 42%; log-rank P  = 0.014; HR = 1.833; 95% CI, 1.106-3.038; P  = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Baseline PT/INR and an increase of the PT/INR during the course of ICU treatment were associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in cardiogenic shock patients.

Sepsis-related coagulopathy treatment based on the disseminated intravascular coagulation diagnostic criteria: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective multicenter observational study

BACKGROUND

The development of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) in patients with sepsis has been repeatedly confirmed as a factor associated with poor prognosis. Anticoagulant therapy has been expected to improve sepsis patient outcomes, whereas no randomized controlled trials have demonstrated the survival benefit of anticoagulant therapies in non-specific overall sepsis. Patient selection based on the component of "high disease severity" in addition to "sepsis with DIC" has recently proved important in identifying appropriate targets for anticoagulant therapy. The aims of this study were to characterize "severe" sepsis DIC patients and to identify the patient population benefiting from anticoagulant therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective sub-analysis of a prospective multicenter study included 1,178 adult patients with severe sepsis from 59 intensive care units in Japan from January 2016 to March 2017. We examined the association of patient outcomes, including organ dysfunction and in-hospital mortality, with the DIC score and prothrombin time-international normalized ratio (PT-INR), one of the components of the DIC score, using multivariable regression models including the cross-product term between these indicators. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis with non-linear restricted cubic spline including a three-way interaction term (anticoagulant therapy × the DIC score × PT-INR) was also performed. Anticoagulant therapy was defined as the administration of antithrombin, recombinant human thrombomodulin, or their combination.

RESULTS

In total, we analyzed 1013 patients. The regression model showed that organ dysfunction and in-hospital mortality deteriorated with higher PT-INR values in the range of < 1.5 and that this trend was more pronounced with higher DIC scores. Three-way interaction analysis demonstrated that anticoagulant therapy was associated with better survival outcome in patients with a high DIC score and high PT-INR. Furthermore, we identified a DIC score ≥ 5 and PT-INR ≥ 1.5 as the clinical threshold for identification of optimal targets for anticoagulant therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined use of the DIC score and PT-INR helps in selecting the optimal patient population for anticoagulant therapy in sepsis-induced DIC. The results obtained from this study will provide valuable information regarding the study design of randomized controlled trials examining the effects of anticoagulant therapy for sepsis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN-CTR, UMIN000019742. Registered on November 16, 2015.

Diseño y validación de una herramienta para la predicción de desenlaces adversos en pacientes con obstrucción intestinal por bridas: La escala HALVIC

Introducción. La obstrucción intestinal por bridas representa una causa común de consulta a los servicios de urgencias, pero hay poca claridad sobre qué pacientes tienen mayor riesgo de desarrollar complicaciones. El objetivo de este estudio fue diseñar y validar una escala de predicción de riesgo de desenlaces adversos en pacientes con obstrucción intestinal por bridas. Métodos. Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo realizado a partir de la base de datos MIMIC-IV. Se incluyeron pacientes adultos admitidos al servicio de urgencias entre 2008 y 2019, con diagnóstico de obstrucción intestinal por bridas. El desenlace principal fue el compuesto de resección intestinal, ingreso a unidad de cuidados intensivos y mortalidad por cualquier causa. Se diseñó una escala de predicción de riesgo asignando un puntaje a cada variable. Resultados. Se incluyeron 513 pacientes, 63,7 % hombres. El desenlace compuesto se presentó en el 25,7 % de los casos. La edad, historia de insuficiencia cardiaca y enfermedad arterial periférica, nivel de hemoglobina, recuento de leucocitos e INR constituyeron el mejor modelo de predicción de estos desenlaces (AUC 0,75). A partir de este modelo, se creó la escala simplificada HALVIC, clasificando el riesgo del desenlace compuesto en bajo (0-2 puntos), medio (3-4 puntos) y alto (5-7 puntos). Conclusión. La escala HALVIC es una herramienta de predicción simple y fácilmente aplicable. Puede identificar de manera precisa los pacientes con obstrucción intestinal por bridas con alto riesgo de complicaciones, permitiendo el ajuste individualizado de las estrategias de manejo para mejorar los desenlaces.

A Predictive Model for 30-Day Mortality of Fungemia in ICUs

Background

Few predictive models have been established to predict the risk of 30-day mortality from fungemia. This study aims to create a nomogram to predict the 30-day mortality of fungemia in ICUs.

Methods

Data of ICU patients with fungemia from both the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database and the Grade-III Class-A hospital in China were collected. The data extracted from the MIMIC-III database functioned as the training dataset, which was used to construct a predictive model for 30-day mortality risk in ICU patients with fungemia; the data from the hospital functioned as the validation dataset, which was used to validate the model. A predictive model for 30-day mortality risk in ICU patients with fungemia was then built based on R software. Such indicators as C-index and calibration curve were utilized to evaluate the prediction ability of the model. Data of ICU patients with fungemia from the hospital were used as a validation dataset to validate the model.

Results

Predictive models were constructed by age, international normalized ratio (INR), renal failure, liver disease, respiratory rate (RR), glucocorticoid therapy, antifungal therapy, and platelets. The C-index value of the models was 0.838 (95% CI: 0.79096-0.88504). Attested by external validation results, the model has satisfactory predictive ability.

Conclusion

The 30-day mortality risk predictive model for ICU patients with fungemia constructed in this study has good predictive ability and may hopefully provide a 30-day mortality risk screening tool for ICU patients with fungemia.

Thromboelastography Parameters in Urosepsis: A Retrospective Study

Thromboelastography (TEG) is usually used to monitor coagulation disorder clinically. It is unclear whether TEG has association with urosepsis and sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of TEG parameters in urosepsis. 90 patients who were admitted to the Emergency Ward and Emergency Intensive Care Unit (EICU) of Ren Ji Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine due to urinary infection from February 2014 to February 2022 were retrospectively studied. Urosepsis patients and non-sepsis patients were separately investigated according to the final discharge diagnosis and Sepsis 3.0. At the same time, patients with urosepsis were further divided into groups of SIC and non-SIC based on the definition of SIC. The data of clinical features, laboratory biomarkers, and TEG parameters were collected and analyzed. There were significant differences in white blood cell count, C-reactive protein (CRP), platelet count, procalcitonin (PCT), fibrinogen (FIB), international normalized ratio (INR), prothrombin time (PT), D-dimer, and incidence of urinary tract obstruction between the urosepsis group and non-sepsis group (P < 0.05). In the comparison with non-sepsis group, K value was significantly lower (P = 0.006), while α-angle (P = 0.003) and clot index (CI) (P = 0.048) were significantly higher in urosepsis group. The area under the K value curve excluding urosepsis was 0.667. The areas under CI and α-angle curves for diagnosing urosepsis were 0.682 and 0.621, respectively. The patients in SIC group had significantly higher K value, lower α-angle, and maximum amplitude (MA) than those in non-SIC group (P < 0.05). Coagulopathy is prone to occur in patients with urosepsis. TEG is helpful for assessment of hypercoagulable state in urosepsis and prediction of hypocoagulability in SIC patients implying the dynamic process of DIC.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Significance of the Prothrombin Time/International Normalized Ratio in Sepsis and Septic Shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic significance of the prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (PT/INR) in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

BACKGROUND

Sepsis may be complicated by disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). While the status of coagulopathy of septic patients is represented within the sepsis-3 definition by assessing the platelet count, less data regarding the prognostic impact of the PT/INR in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock is available.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (ie, day 0), as well as on day 1, 2, 4, 6 and 9 thereafter. Firstly, the diagnostic value of the PT/INR in comparison to the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis without shock. Secondly, the prognostic value of the PT/INR for 30-day all-cause mortality was tested. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional regression analyses.

RESULTS

338 patients were included (56% sepsis without shock, 44% septic shock). The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 52%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.682 (p= .001) on day 0, the PT/INR revealed moderate discrimination of septic shock and sepsis without shock. Furthermore, PT/ INR was able to discriminate non-survivors and survivors at 30 days (AUC = 0.612; p = .001). Patients with a PT/INR >1.5 had higher rates of 30-day all-cause mortality than patients with lower values (mortality rate 73% vs 48%; log rank p = .001; HR = 2.129; 95% CI 1.494-3.033; p = .001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.793; 95% CI 1.343-2.392; p = .001). Increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was observed irrespective of concomitant thrombocytopenia.

CONCLUSION

The PT/INR revealed moderate diagnostic accuracy for septic shock but was associated with reliable prognostic accuracy with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock.