Capacity of non-invasive hepatic fibrosis algorithms to replace transient elastography to exclude cirrhosis in people with hepatitis C virus infection: A multi-centre observational study

Test characteristics for combining non-invasive liver fibrosis staging modalities in individuals with Hepatitis C virus

Non-invasive methods have largely replaced biopsy to identify advanced fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV). Guidelines vary regarding testing strategy to balance accuracy, costs and loss to follow-up. Although individual test characteristics are well-described, data comparing the accuracy of using two tests together are limited. We calculated combined test characteristics to determine the utility of combined strategies. This study synthesizes empirical data from fibrosis staging trials and the literature to estimate test characteristics for Fibrosis-4 (FIB4), APRI or a commercial serum panel (FibroSure®), followed by transient elastography (TE) or FibroSure®. We simulated two testing strategies: (1) second test only for those with intermediate first test results (staged approach), and (2) second test for all. We summarized empiric data with multinomial distributions and used this to estimate test characteristics of each strategy on a simulated population of 10,000 individuals with 4.2% cirrhosis prevalence. Negative predictive value (NPV) for cirrhosis from a single test ranged from 98.2% (95% CB 97.6-98.8%) for FIB-4 to 99.4% (95% CB 99.0-99.8%) for TE. Using a staged approach with TE second, sensitivity for cirrhosis rose to 93.3-96.9%, NPV to 99.7-99.8%, while PPV dropped to <32%. Using TE as a second test for all minimally changed estimated test characteristics compared with the staged approach. Combining two non-invasive fibrosis tests barely improves NPV and decreases or does not change PPV compared with a single test, challenging the utility of serial testing modalities. These calculated combined test characteristics can inform best methods to identify advanced fibrosis in various populations.

Natural polysaccharides as potential anti-fibrotic agents: A review of their progress

Fibrosis, as a common disease which could be found in nearly all organs, is normally initiated by organic injury and eventually ended in cellular dysfunction and organ failure. Currently, effective and safe therapeutic strategies targeting fibrogenesis still in highly demand. Natural polysaccharides derived from natural resources possess promising anti-fibrosis potential, with no deleterious side effects. Based on the etiology and pathogenesis of fibrosis, this review summarizes the intervention effects and mechanisms of natural polysaccharides in the prevention and treatment of fibrosis. Natural polysaccharides are able to regulate each phase of the fibrogenic response, including primary injury to organs, activation of effector cells, the elaboration of extracellular matrix (ECM) and dynamic deposition. In addition, polysaccharides significantly reduce fibrosis levels in multiple organs including heart, lung, liver and kidney. The investigation of the pathogenesis of fibrosis indicates that mechanisms including the inhibition of TGF-β/Smad, NF-κB, HMGB1/TLR4, cAMP/PKA signaling pathways, MMPs/TIMPs system as well as microRNAs are promising therapeutic targets. Natural polysaccharides can target these mediators or pathways to alleviate fibrosis. The information reviewed here offer new insights into the understanding the protective role of natural polysaccharides against fibrosis, help design further experimental studies related to polysaccharides and fibrotic responses, and shed light on a potential treatment for fibrosis.

Development and multicenter validation of FIB-6: A novel, machine learning, simple bedside score to rule out liver cirrhosis and compensated advanced chronic liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tests (NITs), such as Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), developed using classical statistical methods, are increasingly used for determining liver fibrosis stages and recommended in treatment guidelines replacing the liver biopsy. Application of conventional cutoffs of FIB-4 and APRI resulted in high rates of misclassification of fibrosis stages.

AIM

There is an unmet need for more accurate NITs that can overcome the limitations of FIB-4 and APRI.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Machine learning with the random forest algorithm was used to develop a non-invasive index using retrospective data of 7238 patients with biopsy-proven chronic hepatitis C from two centers in Egypt; derivation dataset (n = 1821) and validation set in the second center (n = 5417). Receiver operator curve analysis was used to define cutoffs for different stages of fibrosis. Performance of the new score was externally validated in cohorts from two other sites in Egypt (n = 560) and seven different countries (n = 1317). Fibrosis stages were determined using the METAVIR score. Results were also compared with three established tools (FIB-4, APRI, and the aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio [AAR]).

RESULTS

Age in addition to readily available laboratory parameters such as aspartate, and alanine aminotransferases, alkaline phosphatase, albumin (g/dl), and platelet count (/cm³ ) correlated with the biopsy-derived stage of liver fibrosis in the derivation cohort and were used to construct the model for predicting the fibrosis stage by applying the random forest algorithm, resulting in an FIB-6 index, which can be calculated easily at http://fib6.elriah.info. Application of the cutoff values derived from the derivation group on the validation groups yielded very good performance in ruling out cirrhosis (negative predictive value [NPV] = 97.7%), compensated advance liver disease (NPV = 90.2%), and significant fibrosis (NPV = 65.7%). In the external validation groups from different countries, FIB-6 demonstrated higher sensitivity and NPV than FIB-4, APRI, and AAR.

CONCLUSION

FIB-6 score is a non-invasive, simple, and accurate test for ruling out liver cirrhosis and compensated advance liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C and performs better than APRI, FIB-4, and AAR.

Performance of simple serum-based tests to exclude cirrhosis prior to hepatitis C treatment in non-hospital settings in Australia

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines suggest using transient elastography (TE) or aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) score <1 to exclude cirrhosis prior to commencing treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV). Recently, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) <0.93 has been shown to have a high negative predictive value (NPV) for the presence of cirrhosis.

AIMS

To assess FIB-4 and APRI in a cohort of HCV patients and to validate FIB-4 <0.93 in populations of HCV-infected individuals with differing cirrhosis prevalence, including secondary care, primary care and prisons.

METHODS

From our treatment database, we identified patients with complete data (n = 793). We calculated FIB-4 and APRI and correlated this with the presence of cirrhosis, determined by TE. We analysed the performance of FIB-4 and APRI using area under the receiver operating curve analysis. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, NPV and number of patients misclassified using published cut-offs in populations with varying cirrhosis prevalence.

RESULTS

FIB-4 was superior to APRI for the diagnosis of cirrhosis (area under the receiver operating curve 0.868 vs 0.802). In secondary care (cirrhosis prevalence 32%), APRI <1 had a NPV of 80% and misclassified 14% of patients. FIB-4 <0.93 had a NPV of 97% and misclassified 1%. In primary care and prison (cirrhosis prevalence 13% and 8%), the NPV for APRI <1 was 93% and 96%, respectively, but 5% of patients with cirrhosis were misclassified. FIB-4 <0.93 had excellent NPV in both primary care (97%) and prisoners (100%).

CONCLUSIONS

FIB-4 <0.93 is highly efficient at ruling out cirrhosis in HCV patients and allows TE to be appropriately avoided, thereby streamlining treatment algorithms.

Telemedicine efficiently improves access to hepatitis C management to achieve HCV elimination in the penitentiary setting

INTRODUCTION

Linkage to care for hepatitis C includes a new tool: teleconsultation. Micro-elimination in prison is a recommendation and is feasible. An economic evaluation of telemedicine for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment in prisons has not yet been performed. This study aimed to provide a cost-minimization analysis comparing two strategies of HCV treatment in a prison: telemedicine clinical practice (TCP) and the usual clinical practice (UCP).

METHODS

An observational cost-minimization study was carried out on a cohort of inmates who received anti-HCV treatment in El Dueso prison (May 2016-November 2017). A decision tree was constructed, incorporating different clinical profiles according to the severity of the disease, the results of diagnostic tests, and treatment outcomes as well as the costs of each profile. Satisfaction with telemedicine was evaluated through an 11-question questionnaire with a 5-point Likert scale.

RESULTS

Seventy-five inmates were treated and underwent TCP with a follow-up of one year. The average cost per patient with the TCP strategy was €1,172 (€1,151 direct costs). Had UCP been carried out, the cost would have been €1,687 (€1,630 direct). Telemedicine consultation practice produced savings of €516 (30.6%) per patient, with total savings of €38,677. The transfer costs from prison to hospital represented the most important saving item, accounting for 99.3% of the TCP-related savings. The questionnaire revealed high levels of satisfaction with TCP, with a median score of 5 in each question. Sustained virological response rates were 94.7% after the first treatment and 100% after retreatment of the four relapses.

CONCLUSION

Telemedicine consultation practice is a more efficient strategy than UCP, mainly due to the reduction of transfer costs while preserving effectiveness and user satisfaction.

Factors influencing hepatitis C cure in the era of direct-acting antivirals

Direct-acting antiviral agents are highly potent drugs with a strong genetic barrier. Consequently, the factors influencing hepatitis C cure have been reduced and have progressively lost importance. Host factors, such as the presence of cirrhosis, race, and treatment adherence, influence sustained viral response. Adherence, together with treatment errors and drug interactions, are also important, especially in older patients. Viral factors, such as viral load, genotype, and the presence of baseline resistances affect the response rate but their influence can be minimised by using pan-genotypic regimens. Treatment simplification and the high efficacy of new antiviral treatments will allow treatment universalisation and will hopefully enable elimination of the infection in the next few decades. Supplement information: This article is part of a supplement entitled "The value of simplicity in hepatitis C treatment", which is sponsored by Gilead. © 2019 Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.

Risk of liver fibrosis progression in patients with suboptimal diagnosis of hepatitis C virus infection

OBJECTIVE

Many hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients have a suboptimal diagnosis. Particularly, the characteristics and risk of fibrosis progression of HCV antibody-positive patients without RNA testing are unknown.

METHODS

Patients with a positive HCV antibody performed during 2005-2007 were classified based on RNA request and result until January 2017. Fibrosis was estimated with serologic scores.

RESULTS

Of the 38 246 HCV tests performed, 791 (2.01%) patients tested positive. At the end of the follow-up (median 128.6 months, range 109.8-145.9), 49.43% (n = 391) of the subjects did not have RNA testing, 13.02% (n = 103) had undetectable RNA, and 37.55% (n = 297) had detectable RNA. After excluding patients without data for AST to platelet ratio index calculation (n = 334), patients without RNA testing (n = 122) compared with RNA undetectable (n = 92) were more frequently men (68.9 versus 46.7%), alcohol (52.6 versus 38.2%) and drug (53.0 versus 39.1%) users, lacking social support (50.4 versus 29.3%), and showed higher basal fibrosis. Patients without RNA testing had a significantly higher increase in the percentage of patients with ≥F2 (P = 0.035) and cirrhosis (P = 0.022). The relative risk for ≥F2 and cirrhosis in patients without RNA testing was 3.03 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.54-5.98] and 4.31 (95% CI: 1.42-13.10), respectively. Non-RNA request was an independent predictor factor for progression to cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

In our cohort, patients with positive HCV antibody without RNA testing were more likely to be people at risk of social exclusion with an increased risk of fibrosis progression, because non-RNA request was a predictor for cirrhosis. Therefore, we urge support measures and strategies to link to care these difficult-to-treat populations.

We know DAAs work, so now what? Simplifying models of care to enhance the hepatitis C cascade

Globally, some 71 million people are chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Marginalized populations, particularly people who inject drugs (PWID), have low testing, linkage to care and treatment rates for HCV. Several models of care (MoCs) and service delivery interventions have the potential to improve outcomes across the HCV cascade of care, but much of the relevant research was carried out when interferon-based treatment was the standard of care. Often it was not practical to scale-up these earlier models and interventions because the clinical care needs of patients taking interferon-based regimens imposed too much of a financial and human resource burden on health systems. Despite the adoption of highly effective, all-oral direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies in recent years, approaches to HCV testing and treatment have evolved slowly and often remain rooted in earlier paradigms. The effectiveness of DAAs allows for simpler approaches and has encouraged countries where the drugs are widely available to set their sights on the ambitious World Health Organization (WHO) HCV elimination targets. Since a large proportion of chronically HCV-infected people are not currently accessing treatment, there is an urgent need to identify and implement existing simplified MoCs that speak to specific populations' needs. This article aims to: (i) review the evidence on MoCs for HCV; and (ii) distil the findings into recommendations for how stakeholders can simplify the path taken by chronically HCV-infected individuals from testing to cure and subsequent care and monitoring.

Quantification of Hemodynamic Changes in Chronic Liver Disease: Correlation of Perfusion-CT Data with Histopathologic Staging of Fibrosis

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To noninvasively estimate the severity of liver fibrosis using perfusion-CT (PCT)-based quantification of dual liver blood supply prior to liver transplantation or liver resections and to correlate results with histological grading of fibrosis stages and AST-platelet ratio index.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional review board approved this retrospective study. We analysed 41 consecutive patients (19 classified as Child-Pugh A, 17 as Child-Pugh B, and 5 as Child-Pugh C; MELD score ranged from 7 to 28) who underwent PCT prior to liver transplantation/liver resections between 2013 and 2016. The examination protocol included a scan time of 40 s, 80 kV, 100/120 mAs. Arterial liver perfusion, portal-venous perfusion and hepatic perfusion index (HPI) were registered in liver parenchyma by three readers. Fibrosis was histological graded according to Ishak scoring system as liver fibrosis (F3, n = 10), incomplete liver cirrhosis (F5, n = 5), and complete liver cirrhosis (F6, n = 26).

RESULTS

Portal-venous perfusion was significantly higher in liver fibrosis (F3 69.5±23.7 ml/100 ml/min) compared to incomplete liver cirrhosis (F5, 52.9±25.7 ml/100 ml/min) and complete liver cirrhosis (F6, 46.4±24.8 ml/100 ml/min (range 6.3-112.0 ml/100 ml/min; F = 15, p < 0.0001). HPI showed the same group differences (F = 20, p < 0.0001; HPI F3: 19.1±10.7%, HPI F5: 38.5±24.3%, HPI F6: 43.4±25.8%). Group comparisons were not significant for arterial liver perfusion (F = 3, p = 0.15). PCT parameters as well as histological fibrosis grading did neither correlate with laboratory findings including AST-platelet ratio index and MELD-Score, nor with Child-Pugh-Score.

CONCLUSION

Quantitative data from perfusion-CT can be used to differentiate between liver fibrosis (F3) and liver cirrhosis (F5/F6).

Facilitating treatment of HCV in primary care in regional Australia: closing the access gap

BACKGROUND

Australia has unrestricted access to direct-acting antivirals (DAA) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment. In order to increase access to treatment, primary care providers are able to prescribe DAA after fibrosis assessment and specialist consultation. Transient elastography (TE) is recommended prior to commencement of HCV treatment; however, TE is rarely available outside secondary care centres in Australia and therefore a requirement for TE could represent a barrier to access to HCV treatment in primary care.

OBJECTIVES

In order to bridge this access gap, we developed a community-based TE service across the Sunshine Coast and Wide Bay areas of Queensland.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of a prospectively recorded HCV treatment database.

INTERVENTIONS

A nurse-led service equipped with two mobile Fibroscan units assesses patients in eight locations across regional Queensland. Patients are referred into the service via primary care and undergo nurse-led TE at a location convenient to the patient. Patients are discussed at a weekly multidisciplinary team meeting and a treatment recommendation made to the referring GP. Treatment is initiated and monitored in primary care. Patients with cirrhosis are offered follow-up in secondary care.

RESULTS

327 patients have undergone assessment and commenced treatment in primary care. Median age 48 years (IQR 38-56), 66% male. 57% genotype 1, 40% genotype 3; 82% treatment naïve; 10% had cirrhosis (liver stiffness >12.5 kPa). The majority were treated with sofosbuvir-based regimens. 26% treated with 8-week regimens. All patients had treatment prescribed and monitored in primary care. Telephone follow-up to confirm sustained virological response (SVR) was performed by clinic nurses. 147 patients remain on treatment. 180 patients have completed treatment. SVR data were not available for 19 patients (lost to follow-up). Intention-to-treat SVR rate was 85.5%. In patients with complete data SVR rate was 95.6%.

CONCLUSION

Community-based TE assessment facilitates access to HCV treatment in primary care with excellent SVR rates.

Evaluation of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 scores for hepatic fibrosis assessment compared with transient elastography in chronic hepatitis C patients

Background and Aim

Fibrotic stage (FS) assessment is essential in chronic hepatitis C treatment cascade. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using transient elastography (TE) is reliable and correlated with liver biopsy. However, TE may not be widely available. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performances of aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis 4 (FIB‐4) scores compared with TE.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter, cross‐sectional study, including all chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) monoinfection patients with successful and reliable LSM, at 10 centers in Thailand from 2012 to 2017. Characteristics and laboratory data within 3 months of TE were retrospectively reviewed. Using TE as a reference standard, the diagnostic performances of APRI and FIB‐4 were evaluated. TE cut‐off levels of 7.1 and 12.5 kPa represented significant fibrosis (SF) and cirrhosis, respectively.

Results

The distribution of FS by TE in 2000 eligible patients was as follows: no SF 28.3%, SF 31.4%, and cirrhosis 40.3%. APRI ≥ 1 provided 70.1% sensitivity and 80.6% specificity, with an area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.834 for cirrhosis. The specificity increased to 96.3% when using a cut‐off level of APRI ≥ 2. FIB‐4 ≥ 1.45 provided a sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC of 52.4%, 91.0%, and 0.829 for cirrhosis, respectively. For SF, APRI performed better than FIB‐4, with an AUROC of 0.84 versus 0.80 (P < 0.001). APRI score < 0.5 and FIB‐4 score > 1.45 yielded sensitivities of 82.3% and 74.4% and specificities of 65.4% and 69.8%, respectively.

Conclusions

APRI and FIB‐4 scores had good diagnostic performances for FS assessment compared with TE, especially for cirrhosis. APRI may be used as the noninvasive assessment in resource‐limited settings for HCV patients’ management.

Significant Increase in Risk of Fibrosis or Cirrhosis at Time of HCV Diagnosis for Hispanics With Diabetes and Obesity Compared With Other Ethnic Groups

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Advanced liver disease, which includes fibrosis and cirrhosis, has been reported to be more prevalent in Hispanics patients at the time of diagnosis of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection than non-Hispanic black or non-Hispanic white patients. We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to determine whether metabolic risk factors contribute to this disparity.

METHODS

We collected data from persons with 748 HCV infection (22% Hispanic, 53% non-Hispanic black, and 26% non-Hispanic white; 23% with advanced liver disease), born from 1945 through 1965, diagnosed at 6 health care systems in Texas. Advanced liver disease was defined as a FIB-4 index score above 3.25. We examined the association between advanced liver disease and race or ethnicity, metabolic risk (based on diabetes mellitus and body mass index [BMI]) and heavy alcohol use in propensity score-matched analyses.

RESULTS

In propensity-score matched models, among those who were obese (BMI ≥30) with a diagnosis of diabetes, the adjusted odds ratio of advanced liver disease for Hispanics vs non-Hispanic black was 7.89 (95% CI, 3.66-17.01) and adjusted odds ratio = 12.49 (95% CI, 3.24-48.18) for Hispanic vs non-Hispanic white patients (both P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

HCV-infected Hispanics with obesity and diabetes have a far higher risk for advanced liver disease than other racial or ethnic groups. These findings highlight the need for HCV treatment and management of probable concurrent fatty liver disease. Even after we accounted for metabolic risk factors, Hispanics were still at higher risk for advanced liver disease, indicating the potential involvement of other factors such as genetic variants.

Ultrasonic assessment of liver stiffness and carotid artery elasticity in patients with chronic viral hepatitis

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the relationship between liver stiffness and carotid artery elasticity in patients with chronic viral hepatitis. We used an acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) technique to measure stiffness, and a radio frequency (RF) vascular quantitative ultrasound technique to measure changes in common carotid artery elasticity and vascular function.

METHODS

Two-hundred seventeen patients with chronic viral hepatitis caused by either hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) were enrolled. We divided the patients into two groups, one comprising 147 patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) (98 men and 49 women, average age 46.5 ± 12.2 years) and another comprising 70 patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) (47 men and 23 women, average age 47.6 ± 12.1 years). Additionally, 64 healthy age- and sex-matched participants (43 men and 21 women, average age 47.8 ± 5.1 years) were selected as the control group. The ARFI technique was used to measure liver stiffness and the RF ultrasound technique was used to measure carotid artery elasticity parameters including intima-media thickness (IMT), pulse wave velocity (PWV), arterial wall dilation coefficient (DC), compliance coefficient (CC), sclerosis indices α and β, and augmentation index (Aix). Clinical indicators, liver stiffness, and carotid artery elasticity parameters were observed and compared between the different age groups to investigate the correlation between carotid artery elasticity parameters and liver stiffness.

RESULTS

The ARFI values for the CHB and CHC groups were significantly higher than those for the control group (1.84 ± 0.52 vs. 1.04 ± 0.11 m/s; 1.86 ± 0.37 vs. 1.04 ± 0.11 m/s, respectively; P < 0.001). When compared to the control group, both CHB and CHC groups showed an IMT of the same order, but had significantly higher elasticity parameters, such as α and β, as well as lower DC and CC values (P < 0.001). The PWV of the CHC group was significantly higher than that of the control group (7.98 ± 1.42 vs. 6.09 ± 0.90 m/s, P < 0.001). In the CHB group, all parameters including ARFI, IMT, PWV, DC, CC, α and β, were significantly different between the two age groups (P < 0.05). Within the CHC group, all parameters including IMT, PWV, DC, α and β, were significantly different between the two age groups (P < 0.05), except for ARFI, wherein the difference was not statistically significant. The correlation analysis and stepwise multiple linear regression analysis indicated that for patients with CHB, age was an independent predictor of common carotid artery IMT (R² = 0.468, F = 54.635, and P < 0.001). For patients with CHC, age and blood sugar were independent predictors of common carotid artery IMT (R² = 0.465, F = 29.118, and P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Although based on ARFI and RF ultrasound, the carotid artery IMT in patients with CHB and CHC was not significantly higher than that in the control group, their functional elasticity parameters had already changed. This finding serves as a useful reference for the clinical diagnosis of vascular diseases in patients with viral hepatitis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials: ChiCTR1800015859 25/04/2018.