Readmission and death following hospitalization among people with HIV in South Africa

The fall-And rise-In hospital-based care for people with HIV in South Africa: 2004-2017

ART scale-up has reduced HIV mortality in South Africa. However, less is known about trends in hospital-based HIV care, which is costly and may indicate HIV-related morbidity. We assessed trends in hospital-based HIV care using the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) National HIV Cohort. Our study included all adults ≥18 years receiving care in South Africa's public sector HIV program from 2004 to 2017 with at least one CD4 count/viral load test in the NHLS database. We compared trends in the number of patients presenting for and receiving HIV care by facility type: hospitals vs. primary care clinics. We then assessed trends and predictors of incident hospitalization, defined as 2 or more hospital-based lab tests taken within 7 days. Finally, we assessed whether trends in incident hospitalizations could be explained by changes in patient demographics, CD4 counts, or facility type at presentation. Data were analyzed on 9,624,951 patients. The percentage of patients presenting and receiving HIV care at hospitals (vs. clinics) declined over time, from approximately 60% in 2004 to 15% in 2017. Risk of hospitalization declined for patients entering care between 2004-2012 and modestly increased for patients entering care after 2012. The risk of hospitalization declined the most in age groups most affected by HIV. Over time, patients presented with higher CD4 counts and were more likely to present at clinics, and these changes explained almost half the decline in hospitalizations. The percentage of HIV care provided in hospitals declined as patients presented in better health and as treatment was increasingly managed at clinics. However, there may still be opportunities to reduce incident hospitalizations in people with HIV.

'Not taking medications and taking medication, it was the same thing:' perspectives of antiretroviral therapy among people hospitalised with advanced HIV disease

BACKGROUND

Despite HIV's evolution to a chronic disease, the burden of advanced HIV disease (AHD, defined as a CD4 count of < 200 cells/uL or WHO clinical Stage 3 or 4 disease), remains high among People Living with HIV (PLHIV) who have previously been prescribed antiretroviral therapy (ART). As little is known about the experiences of patients hospitalised with AHD, this study sought to discern social forces driving hospitalisation with AHD. Understanding such forces could inform strategies to reduce HIV-related morbidity and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a qualitative study with patients hospitalised with AHD who had a history of poor adherence. Semi-structured interviews were conducted between October 1 and November 30, 2023. The Patient Health Engagement and socio-ecological theoretical models were used to guide a thematic analysis of interview transcripts.

RESULTS

Twenty individuals participated in the research. Most reported repeated periods of disengagement with HIV services. The major themes identified as driving disengagement included: 1) feeling physically well; 2) life circumstances and relationships; and 3) health system factors, such as clinic staff attitudes and a perceived lack of flexible care. Re-engagement with care was often driven by new physical symptoms but was mediated through life circumstances/relationships and aspects of the health care system.

CONCLUSIONS

Current practices fail to address the challenges to lifelong engagement in HIV care. A bold strategy for holistic care which involves people living with advanced HIV as active members of the health care team (i.e. 'PLHIV as Partners'), could contribute to ensuring health care services are compatible with their lives, reducing periods of disengagement from care.

Reducing HIV-Associated Post-Hospital Mortality Through Home-Based Care in South Africa: A Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Twenty-three percent of people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV, PWH) die within 6 months of hospital discharge. We tested the hypothesis whether a series of structured home visits could reduce mortality.

METHODS

We designed a disease neutral home visit package with up to 6 home visits starting 1-week post-hospitalization and every 2 weeks thereafter. The home visit team used a structured assessment algorithm to evaluate and triage social and medical needs of the participant and provide nutritional support. We compared all-cause mortality 6 months following discharge for the intervention compared to usual care in a pilot randomized trial conducted in South Africa. To inform potential scale-up we also included and separately analyzed a group of people without HIV (PWOH).

RESULTS

We enrolled 125 people with HIV and randomized them 1:1 to the home visit intervention or usual care. Fourteen were late exclusions because of death prior to discharge or delayed discharge leaving 111 for analysis. The median age was 39 years, 31% were men; and 70% had advanced HIV disease. At 6 months among PWH 4 (7.3%) in the home visit arm and 10 (17.9%) in the usual care arm (P = .09) had died. Among the 70 PWOH enrolled overall 6-month mortality was 10.1%. Of those in the home visit arm, 91% received at least one home visit.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated feasibility of delivering post-hospital home visits and demonstrated preliminary efficacy among PWH with a substantial, but not statistically significant, effect size (59% reduction in mortality). Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) related challenges resulted in under-enrollment.

Outcomes of people living with HIV after hospital discharge: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The identification and appropriate management of people with advanced HIV disease is a key component in the HIV response. People with HIV who are hospitalised are at a higher risk of death, a risk that might persist after discharge. The aims of this study were to estimate the frequency of negative post-discharge outcomes, and to determine risk factors for such outcomes in people with HIV.

Methods

Using a broad search strategy combining terms for hospital discharge and HIV infection, we searched MEDLINE via PubMed and Embase from Jan 1, 2003 to Nov 30, 2021 to identify studies reporting outcomes among people with HIV following discharge from hospital. We estimated pooled proportions of readmissions and deaths after hospital discharge using random-effects models. We also did subgroup analyses by setting, region, duration of follow-up, and advanced HIV status at admission, and sensitivity analyses to assess heterogeneity.

Findings

We obtained data from 29 cohorts, which reported outcomes of people living with HIV after hospital discharge in 92 781 patients. The pooled proportion of patients readmitted to hospital after discharge was 18·8% (95% CI 15·3–22·3) and 14·1% (10·8–17·3) died post-discharge. In sensitivity analyses, no differences were identified in the proportion of patients who were readmitted or died when comparing studies published before 2016 with those published after 2016. Post-discharge mortality was higher in studies from Africa (23·1% [16·5–29·7]) compared with the USA (7·5% [4·4–10·6]). For studies that reported both post-discharge mortality and readmission, the pooled proportion of patients who had this composite adverse outcome was 31·7% (23·9–39·5). Heterogeneity was moderate, and largely explained by patient status and linkage to care. Reported risk factors for readmission included low CD4 cell count at admission, longer length of stay, discharge against medical advice, and not linking to care following discharge; inpatient treatment with antiretroviral therapy (ART) during hospitalisation was protective of post-discharge mortality.

Interpretation

More than a quarter of patients with HIV had an adverse outcome after hospital discharge with no evidence of improvement in the past 15 years. This systematic review highlights the importance of ensuring post-discharge referral and appropriate management, including ART, to reduce mortality and readmission to hospital among this group of high-risk patients.

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Translations

For the French and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Decrease in Incidence Rate of Hospitalizations Due to AIDS-Defining Conditions but Not to Non-AIDS Conditions in PLWHIV on cART in 2008-2018 in Italy

BACKGROUND

We aimed to describe the change in the incidence and causes of hospitalization between 2008 and 2018 among persons living with HIV (PLWHIV) who started antiretroviral therapy (ART) from 2008 onwards in Italy.

METHODS

We included participants in the ICONA (Italian Cohort Naïve Antiretrovirals) cohort who started ART in 2008. All the hospitalizations occurring during the first 30 days from the start of ART were excluded. Hospitalizations were classified as due to: AIDS-defining conditions (ADC), non-ADC infections and non-infections/non-ADC (i.e., cardiovascular, pulmonary, renal-genitourinary, cancers, gastrointestinal-liver, psychiatric and other diseases). Comparisons of rates across time were assessed using Poisson regression. The Poisson multivariable model evaluated risk factors for hospitalizations, including both demographic and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

A total of 9524 PLWHIV were included; 6.8% were drug users, 48.9% men-who-have sex with men (MSM), 39.6% heterosexual contacts; 80.8% were males, 42.3% smokers, 16.6% coinfected with HCV and 6.8% with HBV (HBsAg-positive). During 36,157 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), there were 1058 hospitalizations in 747 (7.8%) persons; they had HIV-RNA >50 copies mL in 34.9% and CD4 < 200/mmc in 27%. Causes of hospitalization were 23% ADC, 22% non-ADC infections, 55% non-infections/non-ADC (11% cancers; 9% gastrointestinal-liver; 6% cardiovascular; 5% renal-genitourinary; 5% psychiatric; 4% pulmonary; 15% other). Over the study period, the incidence rate (IR) decreased significantly (from 5.8 per 100 PYFU in 2008-2011 to 2.21 per 100 PYFU in 2016-2018). Age > 50 years, intravenous drug use (IDU), family history of cardiovascular disease, HIV-RNA > 50, CD4 < 200, were associated with a higher hospitalization risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In our population of PLWHIV, the rate of hospitalization decreased over time.

Health system determinants of tuberculosis mortality in South Africa: a causal loop model

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health concern in South Africa and TB-related mortality remains unacceptably high. Numerous clinical studies have examined the direct causes of TB-related mortality, but its wider, systemic drivers are less well understood. Applying systems thinking, we aimed to identify factors underlying TB mortality in South Africa and describe their relationships. At a meeting organised by the ‘Optimising TB Treatment Outcomes’ task team of the National TB Think Tank, we drew on the wide expertise of attendees to identify factors underlying TB mortality in South Africa. We generated a causal loop diagram to illustrate how these factors relate to each other.

Results

Meeting attendees identified nine key variables: three ‘drivers’ (adequacy & availability of tools, implementation of guidelines, and the burden of bureaucracy); three ‘links’ (integration of health services, integration of data systems, and utilisation of prevention strategies); and three ‘outcomes’ (accessibility of services, patient empowerment, and socio-economic status). Through the development and refinement of the causal loop diagram, additional explanatory and linking variables were added and three important reinforcing loops identified. Loop 1, ‘Leadership and management for outcomes’ illustrated that poor leadership led to increased bureaucracy and reduced the accessibility of TB services, which increased TB-related mortality and reinforced poor leadership through patient empowerment. Loop 2, ‘Prevention and structural determinants’ describes the complex reinforcing loop between socio-economic status, patient empowerment, the poor uptake of TB and HIV prevention strategies and increasing TB mortality. Loop 3, ‘System capacity’ describes how fragmented leadership and limited resources compromise the workforce and the performance and accessibility of TB services, and how this negatively affects the demand for higher levels of stewardship.

Conclusions

Strengthening leadership, reducing bureaucracy, improving integration across all levels of the system, increasing health care worker support, and using windows of opportunity to target points of leverage within the South African health system are needed to both strengthen the system and reduce TB mortality. Further refinement of this model may allow for the identification of additional areas of intervention.

Disease-dependent variations in the timing and causes of readmissions in Germany: A claims data analysis for six different conditions

BACKGROUND

Hospital readmissions place a major burden on patients and health care systems worldwide, but little is known about patterns and timing of readmissions in Germany.

METHODS

We used German health insurance claims (AOK, 2011-2016) of patients ≥ 65 years hospitalized for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack, or atrial fibrillation (S/AF), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), type 2 diabetes mellitus, or osteoporosis to identify hospital readmissions within 30 or 90 days. Readmissions were classified into all-cause, specific, and non-specific and their characteristics were analyzed.

RESULTS

Within 30 and 90 days, about 14-22% and 27-41% index admissions were readmitted for any reason, respectively. HF and S/AF contributed most index cases, and HF and COPD accounted for most all-cause readmissions. Distributions and ratios of specific to non-specific readmissions were disease-specific with highest specific readmissions rates among COPD and AMI.

CONCLUSION

German claims are well-suited to investigate readmission causes if longer periods than 30 days are evaluated. Conditions closely related with the primary disease are the most frequent readmission causes, but multiple comorbidities among readmitted cases suggest that a multidisciplinary care approach should be implemented vigorously addressing comorbidities already during the index hospitalization.

Emerging priorities for HIV service delivery

Nathan Ford and co-authors discuss global priorities in the provision of HIV prevention and treatment services.