Predictive factors for the mortality of acute pancreatitis on admission

Early Hypophosphatemia as a Prognostic Marker in Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a complex disease representing a significant portion of gastrointestinal-related hospitalizations in the U.S. Understanding risk factors of AP might provide attractive therapeutic targets. We evaluated hypophosphatemia a prognostic marker in AP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of electronic health records of patients with AP from 01/ 01/2012-12/31/2021 at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center with serum phosphate measured within 48 hours of admission. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to evaluate associations with ICU admission and AP severity. Multivariable log-linear modeling was employed to examine associations with length of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

Of 1526 patients admitted for AP, 33% (499) had a serum phosphate level measured within 48 hours. Patients with hypophosphatemia were more likely to have ICU admission (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 4.57; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.75-7.62; P < 0.001), have a longer hospital stay (log-LOS = 0.34; SE; 0.09; 95% CI: 0.17-0.52; P < 0.001), and have moderate or severe AP (AOR = 1.80; 95% CI: 1.16-2.80; P < 0.001) compared with those without hypophosphatemia.

CONCLUSION

Serum phosphate is infrequently measured in patients with AP and shows promise as an early prognostic marker for outcomes of AP.

Incidence of Pancreatic Injury and Pancreatitis in Patients Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors

INTRODUCTION

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are being increasingly used to treat advanced malignancies. ICI-induced pancreatic injury (ICI-PI), which is an immune-related adverse event that may be a risk factor of ICI-associated pancreatitis, is not well documented in the literature.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who received ICIs for advanced malignancies from August 2015 through October 2022 were analyzed for the incidence of ICI-PI based on the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events and ICI-associated pancreatitis. The imaging, clinical, and pathological findings of ICI-associated pancreatitis were also assessed.

RESULTS

This study enrolled 843 patients. In multivariable analyses, dual or simultaneous immunotherapy and ≥10 cycles of ICI administration were significant predictive factors for all grades of pancreatic injury, including grade ≥3. Notably, patients who received simultaneous immunotherapy exhibited a higher incidence of grade ≥3 pancreatic injuries compared with those receiving asynchronous immunotherapy in univariable analysis ( P = 0.032). One-fifth of the patients (16/70) with grade ≥3 pancreatic injuries had imaging evidence of pancreatitis similar to mild acute pancreatitis. ICI-associated pancreatitis was observed in 5.7% (48/843) of patients, including 1.8% (15/843) with moderate-to-severe pancreatitis (grade ≥2). Symptomatic cases (0.36%, 3/843) were treated with steroids with favorable outcomes. Immunohistochemistry for CD4 and CD8 revealed greater infiltration of CD8 + than CD4 + lymphocytes.

DISCUSSION

Simultaneous immunotherapy and dual immunotherapy are risk factors of ICI-PI. Although most patients diagnosed with ICI-PI and ICI-associated pancreatitis were asymptomatic and had a low mortality likelihood, long-term outcomes, including endocrine and exocrine function, should be carefully monitored.

Hospital mortality rate and predictors in acute pancreatitis in Poland: A single-center experience

BACKGROUND

Despite advances in medicine, acute pancreatitis remains a disorder that is associated with a high mortality rate. The objective of this study was to analyze in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

A prospective analysis of patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis in a single surgical center was performed. Etiological factors, concomitant diseases, age, and intensive care unit treatment status were assessed to determine their impact on the cause and time of patient death. In addition, conventional laboratory tests performed in the emergency ward were evaluated for their potential as predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

The study included 476 (n) patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis in a single surgical center. The presentations included mild disease in 261 (54.8%) patients, moderate disease in 132 (27.7%) patients, and severe disease in 83 (17.5%) patients. The overall mortality rate was 7.14% (n = 34), including 41% in the severe disease group. The mean and median hospitalization times for these patients were 13.9 and 7 days, respectively. Respiratory failure is the main cause of patient death.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute pancreatitis remains one of the most common gastroenterological diseases that may lead to death. Acute pancreatitis-related respiratory failure is the most common cause of death among patients with alcohol etiology of the disease. Moreover, the mortality rate was higher among older patients. Therefore, actions should be taken to discover prognostic factors of the severe form and initiate appropriate treatment.

A Rapid Prognostic Score Based on Bedside Arterial Blood Gas Analysis (ABG) Established for Predicting 60-Day Adverse Outcomes in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis in the Emergency Department

Objective

To establish a rapid and concise prognosis scoring system for pancreatitis in the emergency department based on bedside arterial blood gas analysis (ABG).

Methods

A single-center, retrospective cohort study was used to establish the new scoring system, and a validation group was used to verify it. The primary endpoint was 60-day death, and secondary endpoints were 28-day death, admission to the intensive care unit (AICU), requirement for mechanical ventilation (MV) and persistent organ failure (POF). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was drawn to validate the predictive value of the new scoring system. The performance of the new scoring system was compared with that of conventional predictive scoring.

Results

443 patients were in the derivation group and 217 patients in the validation group, of which 27 and 25 died during follow-up. A total of 443 patients in the derivation group, 27 of whom died during the follow-up period. Multivariate regression analysis showed that mental status, hematocrit (HCT), base excess (BE) and Serum ionic calcium (Ca²⁺) were independent risk factors for 60-day mortality of pancreatitis, and they were used to create a new scoring system (MHBC). In the derivation and validation, the ability of MHBC (AUC= 0.922, 0.773, respectively) to predict 60-day mortality from pancreatitis was no less than that of APACHE II (AUC= 0.838, 0.748, respectively) and BISAP (AUC= 0.791, 0.750, respectively), while, MHBC is more quickly and concisely than APACHE II and BISAP. Compared with MHBC less than or equal to 2, when MHBC is greater than 2, the 28-day mortality, 60-day mortality and the incidence of AICU, MV and POF increased significantly (P <0.001).

Conclusion

The MHBC can quickly and concisely evaluate the 60-day mortality, 28-day mortality, and the incidence of AICU, MV and POF of patients with acute pancreatitis in the emergency department.

Stenting of the pancreatic duct in the early phase of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study

Background

The effectiveness of pancreatic duct (PD) stenting in the early stages of acute pancreatitis (AP) remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of PD stenting in the early stages of AP.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study. The clinical data of 131 patients with AP from 2018 to 2019 were analysed and divided into two groups: the study group (n = 46, PD stenting) and the control group (n = 85, standard treatment).

Results

There was a statistically significant reduction in pain relief, oral refeeding, hospitalization, and intensive care unit (ICU) stay in the study group compared with that of the control group (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences in the incidence of complications between the two groups. Further multivariate analysis of risk factors for new-onset organ failure showed that the control group (odds ratio [OR] (95% confidence interval [CI]): 6.533 (1.104–70.181)) and a higher level of haematocrit (HCT) at admission (HCT > 46.1%, OR (95%CI): 8.728 (1.264–116.767)) were independent risk factors.

Conclusions

In the early phase of AP, PD stenting has the potential to reduce pain relief time, oral refeeding time, ICU stay time, and overall hospital stay time. This finding highlights a new route for the treatment of AP.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02494-5.

Trans-gastric and trans-abdominal percutaneous drainage of acute peripancreatic fluid infected collections: A retrospective analysis

Background

Acute pancreatitis is one of the most common gastrointestinal diseases. Approximately 20% of the patients develop peripancreatic collections. Step-up management it's now the best approach with less rate of morbidity and mortality compared with open or minimally invasive surgery. Percutaneous management could reach a success rate between 50 and 76%. Our study shows the outcomes of trans-gastric versus transabdominal percutaneous drainage in cases of acute peripancreatic fluid infected collections in the absence of interventionist endoscopy.

Methods

A retrospective review of a prospectively collected database was conducted. All the patients older than 18 years old that underwent percutaneous drainage between January 2010–December 2021 were included. Analysis and description of outcomes such as mortality, complications, and avoidance of surgical procedures was performed.

Results

18 patients underwent percutaneous drainage. 66.67% of patients were male. Mean age was 52.55 ± 22.06 years. Mean weight was 74.43 ± 15.25 kg. Mean size of peripancreatic collections 118.4 ± 49.12 mm. Wall-off necrosis was present in 33.33%. Trans-gastric approach was performed in 50% of the cases, the rest was trans-abdominal. No mortality was evidenced after 30 days of follow up. After trans-gastric percutaneous drainage, all patients avoided surgical open or laparoscopic procedure.

Conclusion

Standardized step-up approach shows increased rates of success in percutaneous drainage of peripancreatic collections. Our case series shows a high rate of success in terms of avoidance any surgical procedure with no mortality after trans-abdominal and trans-gastric percutaneous drainage. Nevertheless, further prospective studies with higher sample size are needed.

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Trans-gastric and trans-abdominal percutaneous drainage of peripancreatic infected collections are safe and feasible procedures.

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In cases of no access to interventional endoscopy, percutaneous drainage remains to be a safe procedure.

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Multidisciplinary approach leads to good outcomes with less rate of morbidity and mortality.

Aberrant blood cell division cycle 42 expression and its correlation with disease severity, inflammation and mortality risk in patients with acute pancreatitis

Cell division cycle 42 (CDC42) can inhibit inflammation by regulating the activity of macrophage and T cells, which contributes to the pathophysiology of acute pancreatitis (AP). Therefore, CDC42 may have application as a potential biomarker for AP. The present study aimed to explore this possibility. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were collected from 149 patients with AP and 50 healthy controls (HCs). Subsequently, CDC42 expression in the PBMCs was measured using RT-qPCR; C-reactive protein (CRP), TNF-α and IL-6 in the serum of patients with AP were measured using ELISA. Meanwhile, Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis test, and Spearman's rank correlation test were performed on the data. The CDC42 expression levels were lower in patients with AP compared with those in HCs (P<0.001). CDC42 expression was declined in patients with moderate-severe AP (MSAP) vs. patients with mild AP (MAP) (P=0.029), and in patients with severe AP (SAP) vs. patients with MAP (P=0.004). CDC42 expression correlated negatively with the Ranson's score (P<0.001), APACEH II score (P=0.011) and SOFA score (P<0.001) in patients with AP. CDC42 expression also correlated negatively with CRP (P<0.001) and TNF-α (P=0.004) levels but not with IL-6 levels (P=0.177). Furthermore, CDC42 expression was lower in deceased patients with AP vs. AP survivors (P<0.001) and in deceased patients with SAP vs. SAP survivors (P=0.026). CDC42 had good potential in predicting mortality from AP, with AUC of 0.829 and a 95% CI of 0.731-0.927, and it also had certain potential in predicting mortality from SAP and MSAP, with AUC (95% CI) of 0.794 (0.616-0.973) and 0.757 (0.558-0.956), respectively. In conclusion, data from the present study suggest that lower CDC42 expression levels correlate with higher disease susceptibility, disease severity, inflammation, and mortality risk in patients with AP.

Clinical and simple laboratory data associated with fatal outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis

Aims. The aim of the study was to evaluate the association of mortality in acute pancreatitis with clinical and simple laboratory data received on the day of admission. Patients and methods. In our retrospective study, the clinical and laboratory parameters of 99 patients with moderate and severe acute pancreatitis were analyzed. All patients were divided into two groups: deceased and survivors. Results. We did not find a significant difference in age and gender distribution between the comparison groups. However, a significant predominance of alcoholic etiology of acute pancreatitis, early hospitalization (up to 6 hours from the onset of the disease) of patients, and the number of necrotizing infected type in the deceased group were found. Concomitant pathology did not significantly differ in comparison groups. In patients from the deceased group, the total number of all complications was significantly higher than in the group of survivors-21 (100%) and 42 (53.8%) (p = 0.0001), respecting. Among the laboratory parameters determined on the day of admission, in the deceased group, there was a significant increase in stabs to 19.8 ± 9.8 and ESR, AST to 225.3 ± 47.5 U/L, urea to 11.2 ± 7.7 mmol/L, and creatinine to 173.6 ± 26.1 mmol/L. Conclusion. The alcoholic genesis of acute pancreatitis, necrotizing infected type of inflammation of the pancreas, presence of late complications, and comorbidities were significantly higher in the deceased group. The levels of stabs, ESR, AST, urea, and creatinine determined on the admission significantly dominated in the deceased group, which requires further study for the prediction of mortality of acute pancreatitis.

C-REACTIVE PROTEIN AS A MARKER OF CLINICAL AND LABORATORY REMISSION IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE NECROTIZING PANCREATITIS

OBJECTIVE

The aim: To estimate the role of C-reactive protein levels as a marker of clinical and laboratory remission in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Materials and methods: A single-center retrospective non-randomized study of 68 patients (37 (54%) men, 31 (46%) women) was carried out in the period from September 2019 to October 2020. The patients were divided into two groups: group 1 included 9 (13.2%) patients rehospitalized within a month of observation after being discharged from hospital with improvement, group 2 consisted of 59 (86.8%) patients not readmitted within the observation period. A standard package of Microsoft Excel, program MedStat v.5.2, W-test Wilcoxon and the Fisher transform was used to record, calculate and compare data.

RESULTS

Results: Patients in groups 1 and 2 did not statistically differ in age (p = 0.727), gender (p = 0.202), body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.447), length of hospital stay (p = 0.913), volume of pancreatic lesion according to СTSI (p = 0.313) and severity of disease (p = 0.205). Incidence of pancreatic necrosis infection was 88.8% (p = 0.007) in group 1 versus 35.6% in group 2. In the group of rehospitalized patients, the level of C-reactive protein upon discharge was significantly higher (Me ± m 80.8± 9.734 (66) -88), CI 95%) compared with the patients from the group without readmission (Me ± m 21.36± 2.285 (16.1-31.1) CI 95%) p <0.001. As the "critical" CRP level for group 1, indicating readmission for infectious complications of AP, was chosen the value of the left limit of 95% CI (confidence interval), which made up ≥64.5 mg / ml.

CONCLUSION

Conclusions: According to the results of our study, the risk of readmission in patients with CRP level ≥64.5 mg / L prior to being discharged exceeded 41 times the risk of readmission in those with lower CRP values (RR 41.5 ± 1.008 (95% CI 5.75-299, p = 0.04)). For each patient with CRP levels ≥64.5 mg / L, the risk of readmission within the first month after being discharged was 71% (95% CI 40.7-88.6, p = 0.03).

Predictors of prolonged hospitalization in patients with mild and moderate pancreatitis presenting to the emergency department

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute pancreatitis often present to the emergency department (ED) and usually require hospital admission. The aim of this study was to determine predictors of prolonged hospital stays in patients with mild forms of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted in patients diagnosed in the ED with mild and moderate acute pancreatitis according to the revised Atlanta classification. Patients with available data between 2007 and 2017 were included and were divided based on their admission duration. Eight days or more was considered a long hospitalization. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to determine the independent predictors of prolonged hospital stays.

RESULTS

Of the 485 evaluated patients, 335 were included in the analysis. Baseline characteristics, determined by vital signs and laboratory parameters, were similar between the short and long hospitalization groups. However, the long hospitalization group received more intravenous crystalloid in the ED, and this group used more diuretics and more angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and angiotensin-receptor blocker (ACEI/ARB) drugs than the other group. Diuretic use was present in 8 patients (4.8%) in the short hospital length of stay group and in 26 patients (15.3%) in the long hospital length of stay group. Age, gender, ACEI/ARB use, diuretic use, total amount of intravenous crystalloid administered in the ED, aPTT, BUN, creatinine, and presence of biliary pathology were included in the multivariate analysis. Regarding the final analysis, diuretic use was an independent predictor of prolonged hospitalization (odds ratio 2.89, 95% confidence interval 1.05-8.00, p = 0.041).

CONCLUSION

Diuretic use is an independent predictor of long hospitalization in patients with mild and moderate pancreatitis. Drugs affecting total volume balance may prolong hospital stays in these patients.

Impact of physiologically shaped pancreatic stent for chronic pancreatitis

Endoscopic pancreatic stenting is used to prevent main pancreatic duct obstruction and relieve painful symptoms of chronic pancreatitis. However, the stent typically needs to be exchanged and the rate of adverse events is high. Few studies have evaluated the effect of stent shape on those outcomes. We evaluated the adverse events, stent patency, and total medical cost within 90 days of patients who received an 8.5 French (Fr) physiologically shaped pancreatic stent by comparing these features with those associated with a conventional straight-type stent for ≥ 90 days. The total stent-related adverse event rate was significantly lower for the physiologically shaped pancreatic stent (physiologically shaped, 6.7% [2/30]; straight-type, 50.6% [44/87]; P < 0.001). Stent occlusion was significantly less frequent (P < 0.001) and the total medical costs were significantly lower (P = 0.002) for the physiologically shaped stent. The stent-related adverse event rate was significantly higher for the 10 Fr straight type stent than for the 8.5 Fr physiologically shaped stent (10 Fr, straight-type vs. 8.5 Fr, physiologically shaped: 36.1% [13/36] vs. 6.7% [2/30]; P = 0.007). In conclusion, a physiologically shaped pancreatic stent was superior to a straight-type stent in terms of the patency rate and medical costs.

Early Changes in Blood Urea Nitrogen (BUN) Can Predict Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis: Comparative Study between BISAP Score, APACHE-II, and Other Laboratory Markers-A Prospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Changes in BUN have been proposed as a risk factor for complications in acute pancreatitis (AP). Our study aimed to compare changes in BUN versus the Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II score (APACHE-II), as well as other laboratory tests such as haematocrit and its variations over 24 h and C-reactive protein, in order to determine the most accurate test for predicting mortality and severity outcomes in AP.

METHODS

Clinical data of 410 AP patients, prospectively enrolled for study at our institution, were analyzed. We define AP according to Atlanta classification (AC) 2012. The laboratory test's predictive accuracy was measured using area-under-the-curve receiver-operating characteristics (AUC) analysis and sensitivity and specificity tests.

RESULTS

Rise in BUN was the only score related to mortality on the multivariate analysis (p=0.000, OR: 12.7; CI 95%: 4.2-16.6). On the comparative analysis of AUC, the rise in BUN was an accurate test in predicting mortality (AUC: 0.842) and persisting multiorgan failure (AUC: 0.828), similar to the BISAP score (AUC: 0.836 and 0.850) and APACHE-II (AUC: 0.756 and 0.741). The BISAP score outperformed both APACHE-II and rise in BUN at 24 hours in predicting severe AP (AUC: 0.873 vs. 0.761 and 0.756, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Rise in BUN at 24 hours is a quick and reliable test in predicting mortality and persisting multiorgan failure in AP patients.

The Relationship Between Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratios With Hospital Stays and Mortality in the Emergency Department

Background Most acute pancreatitis scoring is made in the first 48-72 hours or later. Like many inflammatory processes, Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) can be useful in showing the severity and extent of inflammation in acute pancreatitis. Our study aimed to evaluate whether these rates affect mortality according to the NLR and PLR values ​​of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis by examining the blood samples taken within the first hour after admission to the emergency department rates are useful in predicting the length of stay. Methods In our retrospective study, 557 patients applied to our clinic for 4.5 years, whose amylase and lipase values ​​were higher than two times the cut-off value in blood tests and whose CT imaging was compatible with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. Results The median length of hospitalization of the patients was 4.0 (3.0-6.0) days. Gallstones were detected in 320 (57.5%) patients. Mortality of less than a year was observed in 45 (8.1%) of the study population. Eighteen of the patients (3.2%) showed the need for follow-up in the intensive care unit. A statistically significant relationship was found between mortality and variables hematocrit (HCT), red cell distribution width (RDW),c-reactive protein CRP), glucose, urea, potassium, albumin, PLR, and NLR (p <0.05). A statistically significant correlation was observed between RDW, NLR, glucose, and CRP levels in the two groups divided according to the median value of 4 days we found on hospitalization (p <0.05). According to the graphics and test results obtained by ROC analysis, the mortality status can be predicted at a statistically significant level with PLR and NLR diagnostic tests (p <0.05). Conclusion High levels of NLR, PLR, RDW, glucose, CRP, urea, potassium, low albumin and hematocrit values ​​at the first admission in the Emergency Service seem to be associated with increased 1-year mortality in acute pancreatitis.

Severe acute pancreatitis: capillary permeability model linking systemic inflammation to multiorgan failure

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) includes persistent systemic inflammation (SIRS) and multiorgan failure (MOF). The mechanism of transition from SIRS to MOF is unclear. We developed a fluid compartment model and used clinical data to test predictions. The model includes vascular, interstitial and "third-space" compartments with variable permeability of plasma proteins at the capillaries. Consented patients from University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Presbyterian Hospital were studied. Preadmission and daily hematocrit (HCT), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatine (Cr), albumin (Alb), and total protein (TP) were collected, and nonalbumin plasma protein (NAPP = TP minus the Alb) was calculated. Subjects served as their own controls for trajectory analysis. Of 57 SAP subjects, 18 developed MOF (5 died), and 39 were non-MOF (0 died). Compared with preadmission levels, admission HCT increased in MOF +5.00 [25%-75% interquartile range, IQR] versus non-MOF -0.10 [-1.55, 1.40] (P < 0.002) with HCT > +3 distinguishing MOF from non-MOF (odds ratio 17.7, P = 0.014). Preadmission Alb fell faster in MOF than non-MOF (P < 0.01). By day 2, TP and NAPP dropped in MOF but not non-MOF (P < 0.001). BUN and Cr levels increased in MOF (P = 0.001), but BUN-to-Cr ratios remained constant. Pancreatic necrosis was more common in MOF (56%) than non-MOF (23%). Changing capillary permeability to allow loss of NAPP in this model predicts loss of plasma oncotic pressure and reduced vascular volume, hypotension with prerenal azotemia and acute kidney dysfunction, pancreas necrosis, and pulmonary edema from capillary leak in the lung with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Sequential biomarker analysis in humans with or without MOF is consistent with this model. This study is registered on https://clinicaltrials.gov at NCT03075605.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Acute pancreatitis is a sudden inflammatory response to pancreatic injury that may spread to systemic inflammation, multiorgan failure, and death in some patients. With the use of the predictions of a new mechanistic model, we compared patients with severe acute pancreatitis with or without multiorgan failure. All biomarkers of capillary leak and clinical features of multiorgan failure were accurately predicted. This provides a new paradigm for understanding and developing new treatments for patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

Assessment of the course of acute pancreatitis in the light of aetiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The main causes of acute pancreatitis (AP) are biliary disease, alcohol consumption, hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the effects of these aetiological factors on the severity and outcome of AP. Pubmed and Embase were searched between 01/01/2012 and 31/05/2020. Included articles involved adult alcoholic, biliary, HTG- or post-ERCP AP (PAP) patients. Primary outcome was severity, secondary outcomes were organ failures, intensive care unit admission, recurrence rate, pancreatic necrosis, mortality, length of hospital stay, pseudocyst, fluid collection and systematic inflammatory response syndrome. Data were analysed from 127 eligible studies. The risk for non-mild (moderately severe and severe) condition was the highest in HTG-induced AP (HTG-AP) followed by alcoholic AP (AAP), biliary AP (BAP) and PAP. Recurrence rate was significantly lower among BAP vs. HTG-AP or AAP patients (OR = 2.69 and 2.98, 95% CI 1.55–4.65 and 2.22–4.01, respectively). Mortality rate was significantly greater in HTG-AP vs. AAP or BAP (OR = 1.72 and 1.50, 95% CI 1.04–2.84 and 0.96–2.35, respectively), pancreatic necrosis occurred more frequently in AAP than BAP patients (OR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.08–2.30). Overall, there is a potential association between aetiology and the development and course of AP. HTG-AP is associated with the highest number of complications. Furthermore, AAP is likely to be more severe than BAP or PAP. Greater emphasis should be placed on determining aetiology on admission.