Mortality and the Risk Factors in Elderly Female Patients With Femoral Neck and Trochanteric Fractures

Development and validation of risk prediction nomograms for acute respiratory failure in elderly patients with hip fracture

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures in the elderly often lead to acute respiratory failure, but there is currently no tool to assess the prognosis of such patients. This study aims to develop a risk prediction model for respiratory failure in these patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database, incorporating data from 3,266 patients with hip fractures aged over 55 years from 2008 to 2019. Data included demographic information, laboratory indicators, comorbidities, and treatment methods. Patients were divided into a training group (70%) and a validation group (30%). Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was applied to select prognostic predictors, and a visualized nomogram model was constructed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model performance and clinical applicability were assessed. Statistical analyses were done using R4.2.2, with P < 0.05 deemed significant.

RESULTS

Seven key factors, including age, height, albumin, chloride, pneumonia, acute kidney injury (AKI), and heparin use, were associated with respiratory failure risk. The model demonstrated good performance with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.77 and 0.73 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curve showed good agreement, and decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated the model's clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

This risk prediction model can effectively predict respiratory failure in hip fracture patients, assisting clinicians in identifying high-risk individuals and providing evidence-based references for treatment strategies.

Increasing Quality and Frequency of Goals-of-Care Documentation in the Highest-Risk Surgical Candidates: One-Year Results of the Surgical Pause Program

Patient values may be obscured when decisions are made under the circumstances of constrained time and limited counseling. The objective of this study was to determine if a multidisciplinary review aimed at ensuring goal-concordant treatment and perioperative risk assessment in high-risk orthopaedic trauma patients would increase the quality and frequency of goals-of-care documentation without increasing the rate of adverse events.

Methods

We prospectively analyzed a longitudinal cohort of adult patients treated for traumatic orthopaedic injuries that were neither life- nor limb-threatening between January 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021. A rapid multidisciplinary review termed a "surgical pause" (SP) was available to those who were ≥80 years old, were nonambulatory or had minimal ambulation at baseline, and/or resided in a skilled nursing facility, as well as upon clinician request. Metrics analyzed include the proportion and quality of goals-of-care documentation, rate of return to the hospital, complications, length of stay, and mortality. Statistical analysis utilized the Kruskal-Wallis rank and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests for continuous variables and the likelihood-ratio chi-square test for categorical variables.

Results

A total of 133 patients were either eligible for the SP or referred by a clinician. Compared with SP-eligible patients who did not undergo an SP, patients who underwent an SP more frequently had goals-of-care notes identified (92.4% versus 75.0%, p = 0.014) and recorded in the appropriate location (71.2% versus 27.5%, p < 0.001), and the notes were more often of high quality (77.3% versus 45.0%, p < 0.001). Mortality rates were nominally higher among SP patients, but these differences were not significant (10.6% versus 5.0%, 5.1% versus 0.0%, and 14.3% versus 7.9% for in-hospital, 30-day, and 90-day mortality, respectively; p > 0.08 for all).

Conclusions

The pilot program indicated that an SP is a feasible and effective means of increasing the quality and frequency of goals-of-care documentation in high-risk operative candidates whose traumatic orthopaedic injuries are neither life- nor limb-threatening. This multidisciplinary program aims for goal-concordant treatment plans that minimize modifiable perioperative risks.

Level of Evidence

Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Pre-operative Factors Predicting Mortality in Six Months and Functional Recovery in Elderly Patients with Hip Fractures

Introduction

This study aimed to determine on-admission and perioperative factors predicting six-month mortality and functional recovery in Vietnamese patients with hip fracture.

Materials and methods

Between April 2020 and July 2021, 118 patients participated in this prospective study. Patients' data were collected from medical records. Harris hip score (HHS) was used to evaluate the functional recovery six months after fractures. The obtained data were analysed using a univariate and multivariate model.

Results

The mean age of the participants was 79.5±9.4 years and 68.6% of the patients were female. The six-month mortality rate was 5.9% and independently associated with age (odds ratio (OR): 3.512, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.538 - 8.019; P<0.001, patients aged >80 years vs those aged ≤80 years) and hypoproteinemia (OR: 2.859, 95% CI: 1.001 - 8.166, P=0.049). Among 111 survivors there were 66 (59.5%) of patients with a good functional recovery. Patients aged >80 years had a higher risk of poor functional outcome (OR: 3.167, 95% CI: 1.386 - 7.235, P: 0.006) compared to those aged ≤ 80 years. No significant correlations between other clinical (gender, body mass index, comorbidities, type of fractures or surgery, time until surgery) or laboratory parameters (anaemia, hyperglycemia, marked elevation of C reactive protein level, electrolyte abnormalities, elevated urea) and mortality or functional outcome were found.

Conclusion

Advanced age is the most important factor affecting both mortality and functional outcome while hypoproteinemia is associated with a higher risk of mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures.

Comparison of Prognostic Value of 10 Biochemical Indices at Admission for Prediction Postoperative Myocardial Injury and Hospital Mortality in Patients with Osteoporotic Hip Fracture

Aim: To evaluate the prognostic impact at admission of 10 biochemical indices for prediction postoperative myocardial injury (PMI) and/or hospital death in hip fracture (HF) patients. Methods: In 1273 consecutive patients with HF (mean age 82.9 ± 8.7 years, 73.5% women), clinical and laboratory parameters were collected prospectively, and outcomes were recorded. Multiple logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic analyses (the area under the curve, AUC) were preformed, the number needed to predict (NNP) outcome was calculated. Results: Age ≥ 80 years and IHD were the most prominent clinical factors associated with both PMI (with cardiac troponin I rise) and in-hospital death. PMI occurred in 555 (43.6%) patients and contributed to 80.3% (49/61) of all deaths (mortality rate 8.8% vs. 1.9% in non-PMI patients). The most accurate biochemical predictive markers were parathyroid hormone > 6.8 pmol/L, urea > 7.5 mmol/L, 25(OH)vitamin D < 25 nmol/L, albumin < 33 g/L, and ratios gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) to alanine aminotransferase > 2.5, urea/albumin ≥ 2.0 and GGT/albumin ≥ 7.0; the AUC for developing PMI ranged between 0.782 and 0.742 (NNP: 1.84−2.13), the AUC for fatal outcome ranged from 0.803 to 0.722, (NNP: 3.77−9.52). Conclusions: In HF patients, easily accessible biochemical indices at admission substantially improve prediction of hospital outcomes, especially in the aged >80 years with IHD.

Analysis of the risk factors of mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture using a combined database of medical and long-term care insurance claims data

BACKGROUND

The present study evaluated the risk of mortality in elderly hip fracture, focusing on comorbidities and nursing care levels.

METHODS

The present study was an observational cohort study that used a combined database of medical and long-term care insurance (LTCI) claims data from one prefecture in Japan between 2011 and 2016. In total, 6125 patients aged 65 years and older were selected from acute care hospitals with a diagnosis of "hip fracture" between March 2011 and March 2012. The impact of long-term care insurance claim evaluation levels and comorbidities at recruitment time was investigated using this dataset. These patients were followed up monthly until March 2016. Based on this person-month dataset, survival analysis was performed with death as the endpoint. Cases in which receipt data were missing during the middle of the observation period and cases in which the patient survived at the end of the observation period were censored.

RESULTS

The number of deaths during the observation period was 635 (10.4%). The impact of comorbidities and nursing care level on mortality were both significant as follows: high nursing care level before the fracture (hazard ratio: 1.09, P < 0.001), comorbidities of malignant diseases (HR: 1.45, P < 0.001), heart disease (hazard ratio: 1.20, P = 0.037), pneumonia (hazard ratio: 1.27, P < 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (hazard ratio: 1.28, P = 0.026), renal failure (hazard ratio: 1.44, P < 0.001), and dementia (hazard ratio: 1.27, P = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

The results of this study showed that a high level of nursing care and presence of comorbidities such as malignant diseases, heart diseases, pneumonia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal failure, and dementia increased mortality in elderly patients with hip fracture. Furthermore, this study showed the usefulness of a combined database of medical and LTCI claims data for clinical and health service-related research in the field of orthopedics.

Association of Vitamin D Deficiency with Low Serum Albumin in Taiwanese Older Adults with Hip Fracture: A Prospective Cross-Sectional Study

The world's population is aging, and the prevalence of hip fracture is rising. Vitamin D deficiency is a risk factor for hip fracture and predicts functional recovery and survival following hip fracture surgery. This cross-sectional study identified the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in Taiwanese older patients with hip fracture and potential risk factors for vitamin D deficiency. Data from older adults with hip fracture admitted to a single medical center in Taipei, Taiwan were prospectively collected. The preoperative serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration and comprehensive clinical history of each patient were examined. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to compare the clinical characteristics of deficient, insufficient, and sufficient 25(OH)D concentration groups. The cohort comprised 310 older adults with hip fracture. The mean age was 80±10 y. The deficient, insufficient, and sufficient groups comprised 180, 84, and 46 patients (58.1%, 27.1%, and 14.8%), respectively. Univariate analysis revealed significant intergroup differences in serum albumin level and body fat percentage and marginally significant differences in serum albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, body mass index, and comorbidities of affective or psychotic disorders. In the multinomial logistic regression model, albumin level was the only factor significantly correlated with higher 25(OH)D concentrations in the sufficient and insufficient groups compared with the deficient group. No variable, including preinjury functional status, was significantly correlated with vitamin D deficiency except malnutrition. Our findings may aid the establishment of a robust screening and treatment program for vitamin D deficiency.

Mortality profile after 2 years of hip fractures in elderly patients treated with early surgery

BACKGROUND

In geriatric age group, hip fractures tend to become a major public health hazard. Due to this high occurrence, there is a need to develop standardized, effective, and multidisciplinary management for treatment. These elderly patients have excessive mortality that can extend ahead of the time of recovery. Early surgery after hip fractures has lead to a notable reduction in mortality rates. Still, it is considerably high as compared to other fractures.

METHODS

266 patients of >65 years who were operated within 72 h hours in a tertiary level health care centre for hip fractures were included. They were evaluated with X-rays and grade of Singh's index was noted. Mortality rates and the factors associated with it such as age, sex, co morbidities (using Charlson's co morbidity Index/CCI) were evaluated after 2 year follow up.

RESULTS

The overall 2-year mortality reported in our study population was 11.2%. It was broadly lower as compared to most of the other studies. It was 6.3% in females as compared to 18.1% in males. While it was reported to be only 6% in 65-74 years of age, it was 25% in patients who were 85 years and above. 76.6% of the patients had Singh's index of ≤ grade 3 showing osteoporosis. The patients with Low Charlson's score showed only 4.2% mortality while those with high Charlson's score showed 25.5% mortality.

CONCLUSION

It was concluded that Mortality among elderly patients after early surgery after osteoporotic hip fractures is quite significant. The factors for improvement in long term survival post-hip fracture may include changing treatment patterns, increasing life expectancy and early surgery. Increase in age, female sex, and high CCI Scores were major risk factors of mortality after hip fractures in a 2-year follow-up period.

Benefit of lag screw placement by a single- or two-screw nailing system in elderly patients with AO/OTA 31-A2 trochanteric fractures

OBJECTIVE

To retrospectively analyze the clinical outcomes of two intramedullary fixation devices, the INTERTAN nail and Gamma3 nail, for treatment of AO/OTA 31-A2 trochanteric fractures in elderly patients.

METHODS

In total, 165 elderly patients underwent treatment for AO/OTA 31-A2 trochanteric fractures in our hospital from June 2017 to June 2018 (INTERTAN group, n = 79; Gamma3 group, n = 86). All patients underwent radiological and clinical investigations and were followed up for an average of 12 months. Age, sex, fracture type, surgical time, intraoperative blood loss, fracture healing time, and complications were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The surgical time was significantly shorter and the intraoperative blood loss volume was significantly lower in the Gamma3 than INTERTAN group (58.2 ± 2.5 vs. 81.7 ± 14.2 minutes and 170 ± 29 vs. 220 ± 16 mL, respectively). However, there were no significant differences in the reduction quality, hospital stay, fracture healing time, Harris hip score, postoperative complications, or 1-year postoperative mortality.

CONCLUSION

Both INTERTAN and Gamma3 nails may be effective for surgical treatment of AO/OTA 31-A2 trochanteric fractures in elderly patients. However, the Gamma3 nail was superior to the INTERTAN nail in terms of surgical time and intraoperative blood loss.