National impact of universal childhood immunization with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on outpatient medical care visits in the United States

Outpatient Visits and Antibiotic Use Due to Higher-Valency Pneumococcal Vaccine Serotypes

BACKGROUND

In 2022-2023, 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15/PCV20) were recommended for infants. We aimed to estimate the incidence of outpatient visits and antibiotic prescriptions in US children (≤17 years) from 2016-2019 for acute otitis media, pneumonia, and sinusitis associated with PCV15- and PCV20-additional (non-PCV13) serotypes to quantify PCV15/20 potential impacts.

METHODS

We estimated the incidence of PCV15/20-additional serotype-attributable visits and antibiotic prescriptions as the product of all-cause incidence rates, derived from national health care surveys and MarketScan databases, and PCV15/20-additional serotype-attributable fractions. We estimated serotype-specific attributable fractions using modified vaccine-probe approaches incorporating incidence changes post-PCV13 and ratios of PCV13 versus PCV15/20 serotype frequencies, estimated through meta-analyses.

RESULTS

Per 1000 children annually, PCV15-additional serotypes accounted for an estimated 2.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.8-3.9) visits and 2.4 (95% CI, 1.6-3.4) antibiotic prescriptions. PCV20-additional serotypes resulted in 15.0 (95% CI, 11.2-20.4) visits and 13.2 (95% CI, 9.9-18.0) antibiotic prescriptions annually per 1000 children. PCV15/20-additional serotypes account for 0.4% (95% CI, 0.2%-0.6%) and 2.1% (95% CI, 1.5%-3.0%) of pediatric outpatient antibiotic use.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with PCV15-additional serotypes, PCV20-additional serotypes account for > 5 times the burden of visits and antibiotic prescriptions. Higher-valency PCVs, especially PCV20, may contribute to preventing pediatric pneumococcal respiratory infections and antibiotic use.

Pediatric outpatient visits and antibiotic use attributable to higher valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes

Importance

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a known etiology of acute respiratory infections (ARIs), which account for large proportions of outpatient visits and antibiotic use in children. In 2023, 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) were recommended for routine use in infants. However, the burden of outpatient healthcare utilization among U.S. children attributable to the additional, non-PCV13 serotypes in PCV15/20 is unknown.

Objective

To estimate the incidence of outpatient visits and antibiotic prescriptions in U.S. children for acute otitis media, pneumonia, and sinusitis associated with PCV15- and PCV20-additional serotypes (non-PCV13 serotypes) to quantify potential impacts of PCV15/20 on outpatient visits and antibiotic prescriptions for these conditions.

Design

Multi-component study including descriptive analyses of cross-sectional and cohort data on outpatient visits and antibiotic prescriptions from 2016-2019 and meta-analyses of pneumococcal serotype distribution in non-invasive respiratory infections.

Setting

Outpatient visits and antibiotic prescriptions among U.S. children.

Participants

Pediatric visits and antibiotic prescriptions among children captured in the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS), the National Hospital Ambulatory Medicare Care Survey (NHAMCS), and Merative MarketScan, collectively representing healthcare delivery across all outpatient settings. Incidence denominators estimated using census (NAMCS/NHAMCS) and enrollment (MarketScan) data.

Main outcomes and measures

Pediatric outpatient visit and antibiotic prescription incidence for acute otitis media, pneumonia, and sinusitis associated with PCV15/20-additional serotypes.

Results

We estimated that per 1000 children annually, PCV15-additional serotypes accounted for 2.7 (95% confidence interval 1.8-3.9) visits and 2.4 (1.6-3.4) antibiotic prescriptions. PCV20-additional serotypes resulted in 15.0 (11.2-20.4) visits and 13.2 (9.9-18.0) antibiotic prescriptions annually per 1,000 children. Projected to national counts, PCV15/20-additional serotypes account for 173,000 (118,000-252,000) and 968,000 (722,000-1,318,000) antibiotic prescriptions among U.S. children each year, translating to 0.4% (0.2-0.6%) and 2.1% (1.5-3.0%) of all outpatient antibiotic use among children.

Conclusions and relevance

PCV15/20-additional serotypes account for a large burden of pediatric outpatient healthcare utilization. Compared with PCV15-additional serotypes, PCV20-additional serotypes account for >5 times the burden of visits and antibiotic prescriptions. These higher-valency PCVs, especially PCV20, may contribute to preventing ARIs and antibiotic use in children.

Pneumonia hospitalization after introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Japan: Descriptive study using a nationwide claims database

BACKGROUND

The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was introduced to children in Japan in February 2010 for PCV7 and February 2013 for PCV13. This study aimed to investigate the changes in child pneumonia hospitalization in Japan, before and after the introduction of PCV.

METHODS

We utilized the JMDC Claims Database, an insurance claims database in Japan, with a cumulative population of approximately 10.6 million as of 2022. We extracted data of approximately 3.16 million children below 15 years of age from January 2006 to December 2019, and evaluated the number of pneumonia hospitalizations per 1,000 persons per year. The primary analysis was a comparison of three categories according to PCVs: before PCV7, before PCV13, and after PCV13 (2006-2009, 2010-2012, and 2013-2019). The secondary analysis was an interrupted time series (ITS) analysis, assessing the slope change in pneumonia hospitalizations per month, with PCV introduction as an intervening factor.

RESULTS

The cases of pneumonia hospitalizations during the study period was 19,920 (0.6 %); 25 % of these were 0-1 years, 48 % were 2-4 years, 18 % were 5-9 years, and 9 % were 10-14 years. Pneumonia hospitalizations per 1000 population was 6.10 before PCV7 and 4.03 after PCV13, representing a 34 % decrease (p < 0.001). The reduction by age group was -30.1 % in 0-1 years, -20.3 % in 2-4 years, -41.7 % in 5-9 years, and -52.9 % in 10-14 years, significant reduction in all groups. ITS analysis showed a further reduction of -0.17 % per month after the introduction of PCV13 than that before PCV7 (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

Our study estimated 4-6 pneumonia hospitalizations per 1000 pediatric population in Japan, with a 34 % decrease after the introduction of PCV. This study examined the nationwide effectiveness of PCV, further studies are needed in all age groups.

Incidence of non-invasive all-cause pneumonia in children in the United States before and after the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a retrospective claims database analysis

BACKGROUND

Pneumonia is the most serious form of acute respiratory infection and Streptococcus pneumoniae is a leading cause of pediatric bacterial pneumonia. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines were introduced in the United States (US) in 2000 (7-valent [PCV7]) and 2010 (13-valent [PCV13]). This study estimated annual incidence rates (IRs) of all-cause pneumonia (ACP) among US children aged < 18 years before and after the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13.

METHODS

ACP episodes were identified in the IBM MarketScan Commercial and Medicaid Databases using diagnosis codes. Annual IRs were calculated overall and by inpatient and outpatient settings as the number of episodes per 100,000 person-years (PY) for all children aged < 18 years and by age group (< 2, 2-4, and 5-17 years). National estimates of annual pneumonia IRs were extrapolated using Census Bureau data. Interrupted time series (ITS) analyses were used to assess immediate and gradual changes in monthly pneumonia IRs, adjusting for seasonality.

RESULTS

In the commercially-insured population, ACP IRs declined between the pre-PCV7 period (1998-1999) and late PCV13 period (2014-2018) from 5,322 to 3,471 episodes per 100,000 PY for children aged < 2 years, from 4,012 to 3,794 episodes per 100,000 PY in children aged 2-4 years but increased slightly from 1,383 to 1,475 episodes per 100,000 PY in children aged 5-17 years. The ITS analyses indicated significant decreases in monthly ACP IRs in the early PCV7 period (2001-2005) among younger children and in the early PCV13 period (2011-2013) among all children. Increases were observed in the late PCV7 period (2006-2009) among all age groups, but were only significant among older children. IRs of inpatient ACP decreased across all age groups, but outpatient pneumonia IRs remained stable during the study timeframe, even increasing slightly in children aged 5-17 years. More prominent declines were observed for Medicaid-insured children across all age groups; however, Medicaid IRs were higher than IRs of commercially-insured children during the entire study timeframe.

CONCLUSIONS

ACP disease burden remains high in US children of all ages despite overall reductions in incidence rates during 1998-2018 following the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13.

Strengths and weaknesses of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

Multivalent vaccines addressing an increasing number of Streptococcus pneumoniae types (7-, 10-, 13-, 15-, 20-valent) have been licensed over the last 22 years. The use of polysaccharide-protein conjugate vaccines has been pivotal in reducing the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease despite the emergence of non-vaccine serotypes. Notwithstanding its undoubtable success, some weaknesses have called for continuous improvement of pneumococcal vaccination. For instance, despite their inclusion in pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, there are challenges associated with some serotypes. In particular, Streptococcus pneumoniae type 3 remains a major cause of invasive pneumococcal disease in several countries.Here a deep revision of the strengths and weaknesses of the licensed pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and other vaccine candidates currently in clinical development is reported.

Acute otitis media pneumococcal disease burden and nasopharyngeal colonization in children due to serotypes included and not included in current and new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

INTRODUCTION

Despite the introduction of effective pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV), Streptococcus pneumoniae remains a major cause of acute otitis media (AOM) worldwide. New, higher valency vaccines that offer broader serotype coverage have been recently developed and others are in development. However, given the capsular serotypes expressed by pneumococci causing AOM, it is unclear to what extent differing or higher valency PCVs will provide additional protection.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a systematic literature search of the MEDLINE database to identify articles published from January 2016 to September 2021 in 4 low and middle income and 10 high-income countries. We searched PubMed with terms: (Streptococcus pneumoniae) OR pneumococcal AND serotype AND (conjugate vaccine). We evaluated serotype distribution and the actual or projected coverage of pneumococcal serotypes by PCV10 (GlaxoSmithKline), PCV13 (Pfizer), PCV10SII (Serum Institute of India) PCV15 (Merck) and PCV20 (Pfizer).

EXPERT OPINION

Our review highlights the important epidemiological differences in serotype distribution and coverage by existing and higher valency vaccines to protect against AOM in children. These data provide support for further evaluation of serotype-independent vaccines for optimal control of pneumococcal AOM disease worldwide.

Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Vaccines on Otitis Media in Children: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine the effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccines on otitis media (OM) and acute otitis media (AOM) in children.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search in databases PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, Lilacs, and Web of Science. We included observational studies that evaluated any pneumococcal vaccine - including 7, 10, and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7, PCV10, and PCV13) and 23-valent polysaccharide vaccines (PPSV23) as the intervention, in children aged less than five years.

RESULTS

Out of the 2112 screened studies, 48 observational studies complied with the eligibility criteria and therefore were included in this review. Of the included studies, 30 (63%) were before-after, eleven (23%) cohort, six (13%) time series, and one (2%) case-control study designs. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) in preventing OM or AOM varied by vaccine type. In children under 24 months VE ranged from 8% and 42.7% (PCV7), 5.6% to 84% (PCV10) and 2.2% to 68% (PCV13). In children aged less than 60 months, VE ranged between 13.2% and 39% for PCV7, 11% to 39% for PCV10 (only children under 48 months), and 39% to 41% (PCV13).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results demonstrate significant effect of pneumococcal vaccination in decreasing OM or AOM in children under five years old in several countries supporting the public health value of introducing PCVs in national immunization programs.

Improving Pneumococcal Vaccination Rates in High-risk Children in Specialty Clinics

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pediatric patients with immunocompromising or certain chronic medical conditions have an increased risk of acquiring invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is recommended for patients ≥2 years at high risk for IPDs. The aim of this project was to improve PPSV23 vaccination rates for children at high risk for IPD who were seen in 3 specialty clinics from ∼20% to 50% over a 12-month period.

METHODS

The project team included quality improvement champions from the divisions of rheumatology, infectious diseases, and pulmonology in addition to leaders from our population health management subsidiary. Several initiatives were implemented, starting with review of patient inclusion criteria per the vaccination recommendations, that led to the design and deployment of an automated weekly previsit planning report. Additionally, we implemented a process to stock pneumococcal vaccines and shared best practices among the divisions. We monitored improvement through times series and run charts of PPSV23 vaccination rates.

RESULTS

The initial PPSV23 vaccination rate for applicable high-risk patients was ∼20%. There was an increase in vaccination rate to ∼60%. All 3 divisions showed improvements in their individual PPSV23 vaccination rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Using quality improvement methodology, we increased PPSV23 vaccination rates in 3 pediatric specialty clinics, and this improvement was sustained. We will continue to identify best practices and actively recruit additional divisions because we have the opportunity to reach >9000 high-risk patients.

Incidence of acute otitis media in children in the United States before and after the introduction of 7- and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines during 1998–2018

Background

Acute otitis media (AOM) is a leading cause of office visits and antibiotic prescriptions in children. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines were introduced in the USA in 2000 (7-valent, PCV7) and 2010 (13-valent, PCV13). Expanded valency PCVs are currently under development. To describe the impact of PCVs and quantify the residual burden of AOM, this study estimated annual incidence rates (IRs) of AOM and AOM-related complications and surgical procedures in children < 18 years in the USA before and after the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13.

Methods

AOM episodes were identified in the IBM MarketScan® Commercial and Medicaid databases using diagnosis codes (ICD-9-CM: 382.x; ICD-10-CM: H66.xx and H67.xx). Annual IRs were calculated as the number of episodes per 1000 person-years (PYs) for all children < 18 years and by age group (< 2, 2–4, and 5–17 years). National estimates of annual AOM IRs were extrapolated using Census Bureau data. Interrupted time series analyses were used to assess immediate and gradual changes in monthly AOM IRs, controlling for seasonality.

Results

In the commercially insured population, AOM IRs declined between the pre-PCV7 period (1998–1999) and the late PCV13 period (2014–2018) from 1170.1 to 768.8 episodes per 1000 PY for children < 2 years, from 547.4 to 410.3 episodes per 1000 PY in children 2–4 years, and from 115.6 to 91.8 episodes per 1000 PY in children 5–17 years. The interrupted time series analyses indicated significant immediate or gradual decreases in the early PCV7 period (2001–2005), and gradual increases in the late PCV7 period (2006–2009) in children < 2 years; however, crude IRs trended downward in all time periods. In older children, IRs decreased in the early PCV7 and early PCV13 period (2011–2013), but gradually increased in the late PCV7 period. IRs of AOM-related surgical procedures decreased, and IRs of AOM-related complications increased during the study timeframe.

Conclusions

AOM disease burden remains high in children of all ages despite overall reductions in AOM IRs during 1998–2018 following the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13. The impact of investigational PCVs on the disease burden of AOM will likely depend on AOM etiology and circulating pneumococcal serotypes.

Prevalence and causes of paediatric hearing loss in a rural province of Zimbabwe: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Hearing loss (HL) in childhood is a significant disability with severe consequences for educational, cognitive, and social-emotional success. Nevertheless, prevalence estimates for HL in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are based on scarce data. Therefore, we aimed to estimate the prevalence of HL in a sample of primary school children from a rural province of Zimbabwe.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was performed on primary school children aged 4-13 years from a rural Zimbabwean province. In the quietest room available, participants underwent audiometry, video otoscopy, and tympanometry. Hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average > 25 dB. Risk factors of hearing loss were evaluated via a questionnaire. Furthermore, to enable comparison with similar studies, HL prevalence was calculated according to two other commonly used definitions.

RESULTS

A total of 451 pupils were included, of which 10.6% (95% CI 7.8-13.5) met the study criteria for HL. Conductive HL (95.1%) was nineteen times more prevalent than sensorineural HL (4.9%). Otitis media was the underlying cause in 40% of all cases of HL. The prevalence of clinically significant HL varied depending on the definition applied, i.e., 0.4% (95% CI -0.2-1.0) in the worst World Health Organisation category as opposed to 4.2% (95% CI 2.4-4.1) in the worst American Speech-Hearing Association category.

CONCLUSIONS

Hearing loss was common in this sample of primary school children from a rural province in Zimbabwe.

The Impact of the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine on Otitis Media-Related Antibiotic Use Among Young Children in Tennessee, USA

Otitis media (OM) is a leading cause of pediatric antibiotic use. Introduction of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) led to reductions in OM among US children, though its impact on OM-related antibiotic use remains unclear. Among 499 683 Tennessee children <2 years of age, the OM-related antibiotic fill rate was stable after PCV13 introduction.

Impact of 7-valent versus 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on primary care consultations across various age groups in the Netherlands, 5 years after the switch: A time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

In 2011, 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) replaced PCV7 in The Netherlands. We aimed to assess the impact of this switch on non-invasive pneumococcal disease in primary care across various age-groups, including pneumonia-bronchitis, otitis media (OM) and sinusitis with and without considering pre-PCV10 secular trends.

METHODS

Electronic records of 397,441 individuals included in a regional primary care database from July 2006 to June 2016 were extracted (2,408,762 person-years). We fitted interrupted time-series on annual incidence rates (IR) of primary care diagnosed pneumonia-bronchitis, OM and sinusitis episodes per age-group. We performed these two types of analyses, comparing; 1) the post-PCV10 observed versus expected trend if PCV10 had not been implemented and pre-PCV10 secular trends had continued 2), the pre- versus post-PCV10 observed, model fitted trend. The latter assumes no secular trend. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using both methods.

RESULTS

We found significant reductions following PCV10 introduction with both analysis methods for pneumonia-bronchitis in the pediatric and adult age-groups, for sinusitis in the age-group 20-50 years and for OM, the effect across various age-groups are uncertain given contradictory results. For other outcomes and age-groups, the effect estimates were not consistent across the two-method used and heavily depended on the strength of the underlying trend. No consistent effects were observed in the elderly population, considering the two methods used.

CONCLUSION

Our study supports some direct and indirect-effect of PCV10 introduction on non-IPD, mainly on pneumonia-bronchitis, but estimates heavily depend on the method of analysis used. Estimates from the two different approaches may differ substantially if underlying trends are strong.

Comparing Watchful Waiting Approach vs. Antibiotic Therapy in Children with Nonsevere Acute Otitis Media: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Objective

To compare both approaches for the treatment of nonsevere acute otitis media (AOM) in Iran.

Methods

This randomized clinical trial was performed at a pediatric infectious diseases clinic in Buali tertiary hospital in Sari, north of Iran, from 2016 to 2018. All participants in this study were previously healthy children with AOM diagnosis, who were 6 months to 6 years old. The patients were randomly assigned into two groups: the intervention (80 mg/kg/day amoxicillin for 7-10 days) and the control group (watchful waiting approach). AOM recovery and adverse drug reactions were evaluated after 72 hours, and the patients were followed for the frequency of AOM and middle ear effusion 1 and 3 months' postintervention.

Results

A total of 396 children have participated in this study. AOM recovery was significantly different in the two groups (73% vs. 44% in the intervention and control groups, respectively). Recurrence of AOM and middle ear effusion (MEE) persistence, one month following the intervention, have not shown any significant differences between the two groups. However, the AOM recurrence between 1 and 3 months was more frequent in the control group. The frequency of diarrhea was also higher in the intervention group compared to the control but no significant difference was found between the two groups regarding vomiting and skin rash.

Conclusion

The faster recovery from AOM is achieved when an antibiotic treatment regimen is applied, although the risk of potential side effects should be considered.

Impact of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on acute otitis media and acute sinusitis epidemiology in British Columbia, Canada

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have characterized the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) programme's beneficial effects on acute otitis media (AOM) and acute sinusitis (AS) rates in children; however, few studies have examined the impact on adults.

OBJECTIVES

This retrospective cohort study evaluates the overall effect of the PCV13 immunization programme on the incidence of AOM and AS at the population level.

METHODS

Health administrative databases were linked to assess outpatient visits, hospitalizations and antibiotic utilization from 2000 to 2018. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to evaluate the impact of the PCV13 vaccine programme (2011-18) compared with the pre-PCV13 era (2000-10), overall and by age.

RESULTS

From 2000 to 2018, the incidence of AOM decreased by 50% (62 to 31 per 1000 population) while sinusitis decreased by 18% (33 to 27 per 1000 population). In the PCV13 era, the incidence of AOM declined [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 0.70; 95% CI: 0.70-0.70], in parallel with decreased incidence of antibiotic utilization (IRR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.64-0.65). A reduction was also observed in the incidence of AS during the PCV13 era compared with the pre-PCV13 era (IRR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.88-0.88), mainly driven by declines among those younger than 65 years of age. In contrast, an increase in AS incidence was noted in individuals aged ≥65 years (IRR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.03). A decrease in antibiotic prescription rates for sinusitis was observed for those under 65 years of age.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCV13 immunization programme is associated with a reduction in the incidence of AOM and AS. Moreover, the associated use of antibiotics for these diagnoses has comparably decreased across paediatric, as well as adult populations.

Analysis of Pneumonia Occurrence in Relation to Climate Change in Tanga, Tanzania

In 2018, 70% of global fatalities due to pneumonia occurred in about fifteen countries, with Tanzania being among the top eight countries contributing to these deaths. Environmental and individual factors contributing to these deaths may be multifaceted, but they have not yet been explored in Tanzania. Therefore, in this study, we explore the association between climate change and the occurrence of pneumonia in the Tanga Region, Tanzania. A time series study design was employed using meteorological and health data of the Tanga Region collected from January 2016 to December 2018 from the Tanzania Meteorological Authority and Health Management Information System, respectively. The generalized negative binomial regression technique was used to explore the associations between climate indicators (i.e., precipitation, humidity, and temperature) and the occurrence of pneumonia. There were trend differences in climate indicators and the occurrence of pneumonia between the Tanga and Handeni districts. We found a positive association between humidity and increased rates of non-severe pneumonia (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01–1.02; p ≤ 0.05) and severe pneumonia (IRR = 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01–1.03; p ≤ 0.05). There was also a significant association between cold temperatures and the rate of severe pneumonia in Tanga (IRR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.11–1.33; p ≤ 0.001). Other factors that were associated with pneumonia included age and district of residence. We found a positive relationship between humidity, temperature, and incidence of pneumonia in the Tanga Region. Policies focusing on prevention and control, as well as promotion strategies relating to climate change-related health effects should be developed and implemented.

The impact and cost-effectiveness of introducing the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine into the paediatric immunisation programme in Iceland-A population-based time series analysis

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a cause of infections that range in severity from acute otitis media (AOM) to pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). The 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV10) was introduced into the Icelandic paediatric immunisation programme in 2011. The aim was to estimate the population impact and cost-effectiveness of PHiD-CV10 introduction.

METHODS

Data on primary care visits from 2005-2015 and hospitalisations from 2005-2017 were obtained from population-based registries. A Bayesian time series analysis with synthetic controls was employed to estimate the number of cases of AOM, pneumonia and IPD that would have occurred between 2013-2017, had PHiD-CV10 not been introduced. Prevented cases were calculated by subtracting the observed number of cases from this estimate. The cost of the programme was calculated accounting for cost-savings due to prevented cases.

RESULTS

The introduction of PHiD-CV10 prevented 13,767 (95% credible interval [CI] 2,511-29,410) visits for AOM from 2013-2015, and prevented 1,814 (95%CI -523-4,512) hospitalisations for pneumonia and 53 (95%CI -17-177) admissions for IPD from 2013-2017. Visits for AOM decreased both among young children and among children 4-19 years of age, with rate ratios between 0.72-0.89. Decreases were observed in both pneumonia hospitalisations (rate ratios between 0.67-0.92) and IPD (rate ratios between 0.27-0.94). The total cost of implementing PHiD-CV10 in Iceland was -7,463,176 United States Dollars (USD) (95%CI -16,159,551-582,135) with 2.1 USD (95%CI 0.2-4.7) saved for every 1 USD spent.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of PHiD-CV10 was associated with large decreases in visits and hospitalisations for infections commonly caused by pneumococcus and was cost-saving during the first five years of the immunisation programme.

Changes in US Outpatient Antibiotic Prescriptions From 2011-2016

BACKGROUND

While antibiotics are life-saving drugs, their use is not without risk, including adverse events and antibiotic resistance. The majority of US antibiotic prescriptions are prescribed in outpatient settings, making outpatient antibiotic prescribing an important antibiotic stewardship target. The primary objective of this study was to describe trends in US outpatient oral antibiotic prescriptions from 2011-2016.

METHODS

We estimated annual oral antibiotic prescription rates using national prescription dispensing count data from IQVIA Xponent, divided by census estimates for 2011-2016. We calculated the ratio of broad- to narrow-spectrum prescriptions by dividing broad-spectrum prescription rates by narrow-spectrum prescription rates. We used Poisson models to estimate prevalence rate ratios, comparing 2011 and 2016 antibiotic prescription rates, and linear models to evaluate temporal trends throughout the study period.

RESULTS

Oral antibiotic prescription rates decreased 5%, from 877 prescriptions per 1000 persons in 2011 to 836 per 1000 persons in 2016. During this period, rates of prescriptions dispensed to children decreased 13%, while adult rates increased 2%. The ratio of broad- to narrow-spectrum antibiotics decreased from 1.62 in 2011 to 1.49 in 2016, driven by decreases in macrolides and fluoroquinolones. The proportion of prescriptions written by nurse practitioners and physician assistants increased during the study period; in 2016, these providers prescribed over one-quarter of all antibiotic prescriptions.

CONCLUSIONS

Outpatient antibiotic prescription rates, especially of broad-spectrum agents, have decreased in recent years. Clinicians who prescribe to adults, including nurse practitioners and physician assistants, are important targets for antibiotic stewardship.

Perceptions of the Benefits and Risks of Antibiotics Among Adult Patients and Parents With High Antibiotic Utilization

Background

Inappropriate antibiotic use is common. Understanding how patients view antibiotic risks and/or benefits could inform development of patient education materials and clinician communication strategies. We explored current knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors related to antibiotics among populations with high antibiotic use.

Methods

We conducted 12 focus groups with adult patients and parents across the United States by telephone in March 2017. Purposive sampling was used to identify participants with high antibiotic use. We transcribed the discussions verbatim and performed thematic analysis.

Results

We identified 4 major themes. First, participants expressed uncertainty regarding which clinical syndromes required antibiotics, and emotion often influenced their desire for antibiotics. Second, they had a limited understanding of antibiotic risks. Antibiotic resistance was viewed as the primary risk but was seen as a “distant, future” issue, whereas immediate adverse events, such as side effects, were minimized; however, patients expressed concern when told about the risk of serious adverse events. Third, they prioritized antibiotic benefits over risks in their decision-making, both due to an inaccurate estimation of antibiotic risks and/or benefits and a tendency to prioritize instant gratification. Fourth, most participants were willing to defer to their clinicians’ decisions about antibiotics, especially if their clinician provided symptomatic treatment and anticipatory guidance.

Conclusions

Patients have a limited understanding of antibiotic risks, potentially explaining why they are willing to try antibiotics even if it is unclear antibiotics will help. Educating patients on the potential antibiotic risks versus benefits, rather than just antibiotic resistance, may have a bigger impact on their decision-making.

Chronic suppurative otitis media in Zimbabwean school children: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Chronic suppurative otitis media is a major cause of disabling childhood hearing loss, especially in low-income countries. Estimates on its prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa range from the lowest to the highest in the world (less than one per cent to more than five per cent). However, the prevalence of chronic suppurative otitis media in Zimbabwe is largely unknown. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of paediatric chronic suppurative otitis media and other middle-ear pathology in rural Zimbabwe.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was performed in primary school children aged 4-13 years from the rural province of Mashonaland East. Participants underwent video otoscopy and tympanometry.

RESULTS

Out of 451 examined children, two (0.4 per cent) had chronic suppurative otitis media. Acute otitis media was present in one (0.2 per cent), otitis media with effusion was present in five (1.1 per cent) and scarring was present in 69 (15.3 per cent).

CONCLUSION

Chronic suppurative otitis media and otitis media sequelae were surprisingly uncommon in this sample of rural primary school children in Zimbabwe. More studies, preferably population-based, are needed to enable more precise estimates of chronic suppurative otitis media prevalence in Zimbabwe.

Influence of pneumococcal vaccination on the hospitalization of healthy pediatric patients due to typical Community-Acquired Pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) is one of the most frequent causes of hospital admission in children. Our objective is to measure the impact of the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on the hospitalization of previously healthy children due to CAP.

METHOD

From 2011 to 2016, a partially retrospective, prospective, and descriptive study was carried out on healthy pediatric patients (3 months-14 years old) with CAP, who required hospital admission. Clinical, epidemiological, and demographic characteristics were collected, and vaccination status was obtained from medical records.

RESULTS

A total of 292 cases were included, with a mean age of 33.4 months, 54% males. There was a progressive and significant 42% decrease in the number of admissions each year, without significant changes in the annual percentage of parapneumonic pleural effusion (PPE). Fifty-six percent of patients were immunized with a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV). The percentage of children who were not vaccinated decreased by 14%, and the coverage with PCV-13 increased by 46%. This revealed a significant increase of PPE in vaccinated patients with PCV-7 (63%) compared with unvaccinated (45%) and with PCV-13 (57%), without association with the presence of severe PPE. Moreover, no significant differences in severity or hospital stay were observed in unvaccinated patients, compared to those who were vaccinated. In >2-year-olds, we observed a significant increase in PPE (59%) compared to 45% in younger children.

CONCLUSIONS

The increase in vaccination coverage with PCV-13 resulted in a decrease in hospitalizations due to CAP and PPE. Vaccination with PCV-7 is associated in our sample with an increase in PPE but not with severe PPE nor an increase in the hospital stay. There was an epidemiological shift of severe forms of pneumonia and empyema at later ages (>2 years).

Acute Otitis Media and Associated Complications in United States Emergency Departments

OBJECTIVE

Complications due to acute otitis media (AOM), while rare, are associated with significant morbidity and are not well characterized from an epidemiological perspective. We analyze the pattern of presentation and emergency department (ED) utilization in patients with AOM and associated complications.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) from 2009 to 2011.

SETTING

Emergency Department.

PATIENTS

Patients who presented with a primary diagnosis of AOM or acute mastoiditis.

INTERVENTION

Diagnostic.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

NEDS was queried for patient encounters with a diagnosis of AOM or acute mastoiditis based on ICD-9 codes. Complications of severe infection, including petrositis, Gradenigo's syndrome, facial paresis, labyrinthitis, meningitis, intracranial abscess, venous sinus thrombosis, and cerebrospinal fluid leak, were assessed. Weighted estimates for demographics, types of complications, socioeconomic status, and trends over time were extracted.

RESULTS

A weighted total of 5,811,127 ED visits were identified. The majority of patients were less than 18 years old (79.9%) with an average age of 10.1 years. Most were discharged (99.4%). There were 15,243 (0.26%) patients who presented with a complication. The most common complications were acute mastoiditis (0.16%), labyrinthitis (0.06%), and facial paresis (0.03%). Compared with patients with uncomplicated AOM, patients with complicated AOM were older (37 vs. 10-yr old), insured by Medicare (18% vs. 2.1%), and more likely to be admitted (43.6% vs. 0.4%) (p < 0.0001, for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

ED visits related to AOM or mastoiditis are common and complications are rare. An in-depth analysis on a national level is useful for assessing healthcare utilization trends.

National impact of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on ambulatory care visits for otitis media in children under 5 years in the United States

OBJECTIVE

The 7- and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7 and PCV13) were approved in the US in 2000 and 2010, respectively, for active immunization against invasive disease caused by all vaccine serotypes and otitis media (OM) caused by 7 serotypes common to both vaccines, starting at ∼6 weeks of age. This study assessed the impact of PCV13 on OM by evaluating changes in US ambulatory care visit rates between the period before PCV7 (1997-1999), during PCV7 (2001-2009), and after the introduction of PCV13 (2011-2013) among US children <5 years old.

METHODS

This ecological study used US National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey data. Trend analyses using weighted least-squares regression and mean visit rates were calculated for OM and two control endpoints not likely to be related to either vaccine (skin rash and trauma).

RESULTS

Among children <5 and < 2 years old, the observed reduction in OM visit rates was 22% (95%CI: 12%-32%) and 24% (95%CI: 13%-35%) when comparing PCV13 to PCV7 periods, and 41% (95%CI: 30%-52%) and 48% (95%CI: 37%-59%) when comparing PCV13 to pre-PCV7 periods. Visit rates for skin rash and trauma remained stable.

CONCLUSION

Significant reductions in US ambulatory care visit rates for OM were observed among children aged <5 years after introduction of PCV13 compared to the periods before and during PCV7; reductions were greatest among children <2 years old. The reductions beyond the PCV7 period support the effectiveness of the vaccine's 6 additional serotypes in preventing OM.

Cost-Effectiveness of the Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (10- or 13-Valent) Versus No Vaccination for a National Immunization Program in Tunisia or Algeria

INTRODUCTION

To evaluate the expected impact of the Algeria national immunization program (NIP) and potential impact for a Tunisia NIP, this study assessed the public health and economic value of vaccination, through a cost-effectiveness analysis, for a PCV13 or PCV10 NIP, compared with no vaccination.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was programmed in Microsoft Excel™ and adapted to evaluate the clinical and economic outcomes of PCV vaccination. Assuming a steady state, the model estimated invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD; bacteremia and meningitis), all-cause pneumonia (inpatient and outpatient), and all-cause otitis media cases as well as the associated costs from a payer perspective. The base case scenario assumed direct effects for both PCVs and indirect effects (against IPD) for PCV13 only.

RESULTS

In Algeria, compared with no vaccination program, PCV13 would save 2177 lives and avoid nearly 349,000 cases of IPD, pneumonia, and AOM at a highly cost-effective value of $308 per QALY. In Tunisia, PCV13 would save 308 lives and avoid 1305 cases of IPD, 4833 cases of pneumonia, and 54,957 cases of AOM at a highly cost-effective value of $848 per QALY. PCV10 prevented 1224 deaths and 270,483 cases of disease in Algeria and prevented 172 deaths and 56,610 cases in Tunisia. PCV10 was cost-effective in both Algeria at $731/QALY and in Tunisia at $1366/QALY.

CONCLUSION

The ongoing NIP in Algeria is projected to reduce the impact and economic toll of pneumococcal disease in Algeria. If an NIP were also introduced in Tunisia, a commensurate impact would be expected. PCV NIPs are highly cost-effective, highly impactful public health interventions.

FUNDING

Pfizer.

Gaps in Well-Child Care Attendance Among Primary Care Clinics Serving Low-Income Families

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

It is unclear which specific well-child visits (WCVs) are most frequently missed and whether age-specific patterns of attendance differ by race or insurance type.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of children 0 to 6 years old between 2011 and 2016 within 2 health networks spanning 20 states. WCVs were identified by using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and 10th Revisions and Current Procedural Terminology codes. We calculated adherence to the 13 American Academy of Pediatrics-recommended WCVs from birth to age 6 years. To address data completeness, we made 2 adherence calculations after a child's last recorded WCV: 1 in which we assumed all subsequent WCVs were attended outside the network and 1 in which we assumed none were.

RESULTS

We included 152 418 children in our analysis. Most children were either publicly insured (77%) or uninsured (14%). The 2-, 4-, and 6-month visits were the most frequently attended (63% [assuming no outside care after the last recorded WCV] to 90% [assuming outside care]), whereas the 15- and 18-months visits (41%-75%) and 4-year visit (19%-49%) were the least frequently attended. Patients who were publicly insured and uninsured (versus privately insured) had higher odds of missing WCVs. Hispanic and Asian American (versus non-Hispanic white) patients had higher odds of attending WCVs.

DISCUSSION

The 15- and 18-month WCVs as well as the 4-year WCV are the least frequently attended WCVs. The former represent opportunities to identify developmental delays, and the latter represents an opportunity to assess school readiness.

Ambulatory Visits for Otitis Media before and after the Introduction of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccination

OBJECTIVE

To examine the long-term trend of otitis media (OM)-associated ambulatory visits from 1997 to 2014 and to evaluate the impact of 7-valent and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7 and PCV13) on OM ambulatory visits.

STUDY DESIGN

We examined OM-associated ambulatory visits in children, using the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey.

RESULTS

A total of 24 148 OM-related visits were identified from 363 240 ambulatory visits. OM visits accounted for 9.5% of all ambulatory visits in 1997-1999, 7.1% in 2002-2009, and 5.5% in 2012-2014. Between the pre-PCV7 and the post-PCV13 period, annual physician's office visits for OM declined from 826 to 387 visits per 1000 children among children younger than 2 years of age. Compared with the pre-PCV7 period, office visit rates for OM significantly declined by 51% (95% CI 42%-58%) among children younger than 2 years of age and by 37% (95% CI 23%-48%) among children 2-4 years of age during the post-PCV13 period. Among children younger than 2 years of age, emergency department visits for OM declined by 47% (95% CI 36%-55%) during the post-PCV13 period, and hospital outpatient visits declined by 30% (95% CI 8%-48%) during the PCV13-transition period. OM-related visits declined across sex, race/ethnicity, health insurance status, and geographic region.

CONCLUSION

Our nationwide study shows that ambulatory visits for OM have declined following the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13. Future research on the evolving microbiology of OM and continued monitoring of the epidemiology of pneumococcal disease are needed.

Otitis Media in Fully Vaccinated Preschool Children in the Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Era

Objectives. To evaluate the effect of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) on the burden of acute otitis media (AOM) and to evaluate the characteristics of AOM versus otitis media with effusion (OME) in the 2 PCV periods. Methods. A cohort of fully vaccinated children aged 18 to 60 months diagnosed with AOM from 2006 to 2015 was identified. Patients with otorrhea/bulging tympanic membrane were considered as true AOM, while those without bulging/otorrhea were considered to have OME. Burden of true AOM in the PCV7 and PCV13 periods and clinical features of true AOM versus OME were compared. Results. Of 393 episodes in our cohort, 50.8% occurred in PCV7 period. Burden of true AOM in the 2 PCV groups was similar: 26% in PCV7 versus 26.4% in PCV13 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.65-1.60). Factors significantly associated with OME were cold season (OR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.04-2.4), fever (OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.29-3.3), and recurrence (OR = 2.24, 95% CI = 1.22-4.09). No complications of AOM were identified. Majority episodes were treated with antibiotics. Conclusion. Unlike the role of PCV13 in reducing invasive pneumococcal disease, its effect on reducing the burden of AOM is minimal as compared with PCV7. With regard to characteristics of AOM versus OME, findings of tympanic membrane should be used to suggest a diagnosis of AOM, instead of occurrence of fever or recurrence of AOM episodes. Using this approach would help in guiding the use of antibiotics appropriately.

Trends in Otitis Media and Myringotomy With Tube Placement Among American Indian and Alaska Native Children and the US General Population of Children After Introduction of the 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine

BACKGROUND

American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) children have experienced higher otitis media (OM) outpatient visit rates than other US children. To understand recent trends, we evaluated AI/AN OM rates before and after 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction.

METHODS

We analyzed outpatient visits listing OM as a diagnosis among AI/AN children <5 years of age from the Indian Health Service National Patient Information Reporting System for 2010-2013. OM outpatient visits for the general US child population <5 years of age were analyzed using the National Ambulatory Medical Care and National Hospital Ambulatory Care Surveys for 2010-2011.

RESULTS

The 2010-2011 OM-associated outpatient visit rate for AI/AN children (63.5 per 100/year) was similar to 2010-2011 rate for same-age children in the general US population (62.8) and decreased from the 2003 to 2005 AI/AN rate (91.4). Further decline in AI/AN OM visit rates was seen for 2010-2011 to 2012-2013 (P < 0.0001). The AI/AN infant OM visit rate (130.5) was 1.6-fold higher than the US infant population. For 2010-2011, the highest AI/AN OM visit rate for <5 year olds was from Alaska (135.0).

CONCLUSIONS

AI/AN <5-year-old OM visits declined by one third from 2003-2005 to 2010-2011 to a rate similar to the US general population <5 years. However, the AI/AN infant OM rate remained higher than the US infant population. The highest AI/AN <5-year-old OM rate occurred in Alaska.

Impact of National Ten-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Program on Reducing Antimicrobial Use and Tympanostomy Tube Placements in Finland

BACKGROUND

Otitis media in young children is associated with major resource use including antimicrobial consumption and tympanostomy tube placements (TTPs). We evaluated the impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) introduction into the Finnish National Vaccination Programme (NVP) against these outcomes in vaccine-eligible children.

METHODS

PCV10-NVP began September 2010 with a 2 + 1 schedule; uptake in 2012 was estimated at 92%. The relative and absolute reduction in the NVP-eligible target cohort was compared with a season and age-matched (3-54 months) cohort before NVP introduction. Outpatient antimicrobial purchase data were collected from the Social Insurance Institution register. Data on purchases of antimicrobials recommended for treatment of acute otitis media by the Finnish Current Care Guidelines (amoxicillin with/without enzyme inhibitor, cefuroxime, cefaclor, clarithromycin, azithromycin) were collected, but full data on penicillin and sulfadiazine/trimethoprim were not available. Data on all TTP procedures were obtained from national hospital discharge register and Social Insurance Institution benefits register. Generalized Cox regression was used in the analysis.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of antimicrobial purchases in the reference and target cohorts were 1.09 and 0.89 per person-year, respectively. The relative rate reduction was 17.5% (95% confidence interval: 17.0-18.1) and the absolute rate reduction 0.20 per person-year. The rates of TTP in the reference and target cohorts were 5.41/100 and 4.56/100 person-years, respectively. The relative rate reduction was 14.8% (95% confidence interval: 13.1-16.5) and the absolute rate reduction 0.86/100 person-years.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of antimicrobials and TTPs reduced after PCV10 was introduced into a routine vaccination program. This suggests considerable savings in health care resource use.

Trends in Otitis Media Incidence After Conjugate Pneumococcal Vaccination: A National Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was introduced in 2000. The first 7-valent vaccine (PCV7) was followed by a 13-valent vaccine (PCV13) with the same conjugate, and a 10-valent vaccine (PCV10), conjugated to protein D from Haemophilus influenzae. The vaccines offer some protection against pneumococcal acute otitis media (AOM), and, with PCV10, possibly also some protection against H. influenzae AOM. PCV7 was introduced in Sweden in 2009, but from 2010, Swedish counties were free to use either PCV13 or PCV10. The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence of AOM-related diagnoses and surgical procedures before and after the introduction of PCV in Sweden, but also to compare the areas using PCV13 and PCV10.

METHODS

Data showing the number of AOM diagnoses, ventilation tube insertions, myringotomies, acute mastoiditis cases and mastoidectomies between 2005 and 2014 were extracted from the National Board of Health and Welfare database. Yearly national incidences were calculated, and areas using PCV13 and PCV10 were compared.

RESULTS

AOM incidence decreased, both in outpatients (39%) and hospital admissions (42%). Ventilation tube insertions decreased by 18%, and myringotomies by 15%. The decline in outpatient AOM and ventilation tube insertions was more pronounced in areas that used PCV10, but geographical differences were large also before vaccine introduction.

CONCLUSION

Otitis media-related diagnoses have decreased in Sweden since the introduction of PCV. Though some decreases were more pronounced in areas where PCV10 were used, figures should be interpreted with great caution, because considerable geographical differences were obvious also before vaccine introduction.

Influenza vaccines for preventing acute otitis media in infants and children

BACKGROUND

Acute otitis media (AOM) is one of the most common infectious diseases in children. It has been reported that 64% of infants have an episode of AOM by the age of six months and 86% by one year. Although most cases of AOM are due to bacterial infection, it is commonly triggered by a viral infection. In most children AOM is self limiting, but it does carry a risk of complications. Since antibiotic treatment increases the risk of antibiotic resistance, influenza vaccines might be an effective way of reducing this risk by preventing the development of AOM.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness of influenza vaccine in reducing the occurrence of acute otitis media in infants and children.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, LILACS, Web of Science, the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and ClinicalTrials.gov (15 February 2017). We also searched the reference lists of included studies to identify any additional trials.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials comparing influenza vaccine with placebo or no treatment in infants and children aged younger than six years. We included children of either sex and of any ethnicity, with or without a history of recurrent AOM.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently screened studies, assessed trial quality, and extracted data. We performed statistical analyses using the random-effects and fixed-effect models and expressed the results as risk ratio (RR), risk difference (RD), and number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome (NNTB) for dichotomous outcomes, with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

MAIN RESULTS

We included 11 trials (6 trials in high-income countries and 5 multicentre trials in high-, middle-, and low-income countries) involving 17,123 children aged 6 months to 6 years. Eight trials recruited participants from a healthcare setting. Ten trials (and all four trials that contributed to the primary outcome) declared funding from vaccine manufacturers. Four trials reported adequate allocation concealment, and 10 trials reported adequate blinding of participants and personnel. Attrition was low for eight trials included in the analysis.The primary outcome showed a small reduction in at least one episode of AOM over at least six months of follow-up (4 trials, 3134 children; RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.02; RD -0.04, 95% CI -0.08 to -0.00; NNTB 25, 95% CI 12.5 to 100; low-quality evidence).The subgroup analyses (i.e. number of courses and types of vaccine administered) showed no differences.There was a reduction in the use of antibiotics in vaccinated children (2 trials, 1223 children; RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.83; RD -0.11, 95% CI -0.16 to -0.06; moderate-quality evidence).We were unable to demonstrate whether there was any difference in the utilisation of health care. The use of influenza vaccine resulted in a significant increase in fever (7 trials, 10,615 children; RR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.24; RD 0.02, 95% CI 0.00 to 0.04; low-quality evidence), rhinorrhoea (6 trials, 10,563 children; RR 1.17, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.29; RD 0.09, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.16; low-quality evidence), but no difference in pharyngitis. No major adverse events were reported.Differing from the protocol, the original publication of the review included a subgroup analysis of AOM episodes by season, and the secondary outcome 'types of influenza vaccine' was changed to a subgroup analysis. For this update, we removed the subgroup analyses for trial setting, season, and utilisation of health care due to the small number of trials involved. We removed Belshe 2000 from primary and secondary outcomes (courses of vaccine and types of vaccine) because it reported episodes of AOM per person. We did not perform a subgroup analysis by type of adverse event. We have reported each type of adverse event as a separate analysis.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Influenza vaccine results in a small reduction in AOM. The observed reduction in the use of antibiotics needs to be considered in light of current recommended practices aimed at avoiding antibiotic overuse. Safety data from these trials were limited. The benefits may not justify the use of influenza vaccine without taking into account the vaccine efficacy in reducing influenza and safety data. We judged the quality of the evidence to be low to moderate. Additional research is needed.

Vaccination ecosystem health check: achieving impact today and sustainability for tomorrow

BACKGROUND

Vaccination is a complex ecosystem with several components that interact with one another and with the environment. Today's vaccine ecosystem is defined by the pursuit of polio eradication, the drive to get as many of the new vaccines to as many people as possible and the research and development against immunologically challenging diseases. Despite these successes, vaccine ecosystem is facing keys issues with regard to supply/distribution and cost/profitability asymmetry that risk slowing its global growth. The conference "Vaccination ecosystem health check: achieving impact today and sustainability for tomorrow" held in Annecy-France (January 19-21, 2015) took stock of the health of today's vaccination ecosystem and its ability to reliably and sustainably supply high-quality vaccines while investing in tomorrow's needed innovation.

MAIN FINDINGS

Small and decreasing numbers of suppliers/manufacturing facilities; paucity of research-driven companies; regulatory pressures; market uncertainties; political prioritization; anti-vaccine movements/complacency; and technological and programmatic issues were acknowledged as the major challenges that could weaken today's vaccination ecosystem. The expert panel discussed also drivers and barriers to a sustainable vaccination ecosystem; the metrics of a vaccination ecosystem; and what should be added, removed, increased, or reduced to maintain the health of the vaccination ecosystem.

Reduction in all-cause otitis media-related outpatient visits in children after PCV10 introduction in Brazil

Few studies have reported the effect of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) on otitis media (OM) in infants. In particular, no population-based study in upper-middle income countries is available. In 2010, Brazil introduced PCV10 into its routine National Immunization Program using a 3+1 schedule. We measured the impact of PCV10 on all-cause OM in children. An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted in Goiânia/Brazil considering monthly rates (per 100,000) of all-cause OM outpatient visits in children aged 2–23 months. We used case-based data from the Outpatient Visits Information System of the Unified Health System coded for ICD-10 diagnosis for the period of August/2008 to July/2015. As a comparator, we used rates of outpatient visits due to all-other causes. The relative reduction of all-cause OM and all-other causes of outpatient visits were calculated as the difference between the predicted and observed cumulative rates of the PCV10 post-vaccination period. We then subtracted the relative reduction of all-other causes of outpatient visits from all-cause OM to obtain the impact of PCV10 on OM. In total, 6,401 OM outpatient visits were recorded in 4,793 children aged 2–23 months. Of these, 922 (19.2%) children had more than one OM episode. A significant reduction in all-cause OM visits was observed (50.7%; 95%CI: 42.2–59.2%; p = 0.013), while the reduction in visits due to all-other causes was 7.7% (95% CI 0.8–14.7%; p<0.001). The impact of PCV10 on all-cause OM was thus estimated at 43.0% (95%CI 41.4–44.5). This is the first study to show significant PCV10 impact on OM outpatient visits in infants in a developing country. Our findings corroborate the available evidence from developed countries.

Modeling the cost-effectiveness of infant vaccination with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in Germany

BACKGROUND

In 2009, the European Medicines Agency granted approval for two higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of universal infant (<2 years old) vaccination with a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in comparison with a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in Germany.

METHODS

A population-based Markov model was developed to estimate the impact of PCV13 and PCV10 on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), non-invasive pneumonia (PNE), and acute otitis media (AOM) over a time horizon of 50 years. The model included the effects of the historical vaccination scheme in infants as well as indirect herd effects and replacement disease. We used German epidemiological data to calculate episodes of IPD, PNE, and AOM, as well as direct and indirect effects of the vaccination. Parameter uncertainty was tested in univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, the ICER of PCV13 versus PCV10 infant vaccination was EUR 9826 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained or EUR 5490 per life-year (LY) gained from the societal perspective and EUR 3368 per QALY gained or EUR 1882 per LY gained from the perspective of the German statutory health insurance. The results were particularly sensitive to the magnitude of indirect effects of both vaccines.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal infant vaccination with PCV13 is likely to be a cost-effective intervention compared with PCV10 within the German health care system, if additional net indirect effects of PCV13 vaccination are significant.

Community-acquired pneumonia in the post 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine era

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review covers the outpatient management of pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), discussing the changing microbiology of CAP since the introduction of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in 2010, and providing an overview of national guideline recommendations for diagnostic evaluation and treatment.

RECENT FINDINGS

Rates of invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumococcal antibiotic resistance have plummeted since widespread 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunization. Viruses remain the most common cause of CAP in young children; children over age 5 years have increased rates of Mycoplasma pneumoniae. A recent national guideline offers recommendations for office-based diagnostic evaluation and treatment of pediatric CAP.

SUMMARY

This review offers a discussion of the above findings with practical recommendations for the office-based practitioner in the evaluation and treatment of an infant (>3 months) or child with suspected CAP.

Antibiotic prescriptions in the community by type of provider in the United States, 2005-2010

OBJECTIVES

Although antibiotic prescriptions are decreasing in the United States, broad-spectrum prescribing is increasing. It is unknown if decreases observed in national antibiotic prescribing differ by provider group. Understanding prescribing trends over time by provider group can be helpful for customizing antimicrobial stewardship efforts. Therefore, the purposes of this study were to describe outpatient antibiotic prescribing by provider group overall and adjusted for population and number of providers. In addition, trends in prescribing by class and seasonal variation are described by provider group over 6 years.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional observation of outpatient antibiotic prescriptions.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A population-level analysis of U.S. prescribing from 2005 to 2010 with the use of the IMS Health Xponent dataset.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Number and rates of prescriptions dispensed overall and by provider group.

RESULTS

The majority (81.0%) of antibiotics were prescribed by physicians, followed by dentists (10.4%), nurse practitioners (NPs; 4.5%), and physician assistants (PAs; 4.2%). The percentage of antibiotic prescriptions decreased for physicians, but increased significantly for NPs and PAs. Provider-based and population-based prescribing rates decreased for physicians and dentists and increased for NPs and PAs. Penicillins were prescribed most frequently by all provider groups, decreasing for physicians and dentists. Increased prescribing of broad-spectrum agents was observed for NPs and PAs. With the exception of dentists, antibiotic prescriptions were higher in winter than in summer, with the largest seasonal increase by NPs.

CONCLUSION

Over 6 years, antibiotic prescriptions overall and for broad-spectrum agents decreased for physicians and increased for NPs and PAs. Thus, increasing trends in the US of broad-spectrum antibiotic prescriptions can be attributed to midlevel providers. Interventions should be designed to reverse increasing prescribing trends, especially of broad-spectrum agents prescribed by NPs and PAs. Stewardship efforts should also be targeted towards dentists, since this group prescribes a higher proportion of antibiotics compared with midlevel providers.

Pneumococcal Disease in the Era of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine

Universal immunization of infants and toddlers with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines over the last 15 years has dramatically altered the landscape of pneumococcal disease. Decreases in invasive pneumococcal disease, all-cause pneumonia, empyema, mastoiditis, acute otitis media, and complicated otitis media have been reported from multiple countries in which universal immunization has been implemented. Children with comorbid conditions have higher rates of pneumococcal disease and increased case fatality rates compared with otherwise healthy children, and protection for the most vulnerable pediatric patients will require new strategies to address the underlying host susceptibility and the expanded spectrum of serotypes observed.

Prevention of early episodes of otitis media by pneumococcal vaccines might reduce progression to complex disease

Otitis media is a common childhood infection of the middle ear and a major cause of morbidity. This multifactorial disease manifests as a spectrum of clinical syndromes from uncomplicated acute otitis media to more complex recurrent and chronic cases (frequently polymicrobial), with the major pathogens involved being Streptococcus pneumoniae and non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) target only a few serotypes that cause otitis media; however, results from studies suggest that existing PCVs can prevent early episodes of disease associated with vaccine serotypes, resulting in a reduction of subsequent complex cases caused by non-vaccine serotypes and other otopathogens, which contribute considerably to the disease burden. In this Review, we discuss the role of pneumococcus in the disease continuum and assess clinical evidence showing the effect of prevention of early episodes on the complex interplay between bacterial species implicated in otitis media.

The costs and effectiveness of large Phase III pre-licensure vaccine clinical trials

Prior to the 1980s, most vaccines were licensed based upon safety and effectiveness studies in several hundred individuals. Beginning with the evaluation of Haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccines, much larger pre-licensure trials became common. The pre-licensure trial for Haemophilus influenzae oligosaccharide conjugate vaccine had more than 60,000 children and that of the seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine included almost 38,000 children. Although trial sizes for both of these studies were driven by the sample size required to demonstrate efficacy, the sample size requirements for safety evaluations of other vaccines have subsequently increased. With the demonstration of an increased risk of intussusception following the Rotashield brand rotavirus vaccine, this trend has continued. However, routinely requiring safety studies of 20,000-50,000 or more participants has two major downsides. First, the cost of performing large safety trials routinely prior to licensure of a vaccine is very large, with some estimates as high at US$200 million euros for one vaccine. This high financial cost engenders an opportunity cost whereby the number of vaccines that a company is willing or able to develop to meet public health needs becomes limited by this financial barrier. The second downside is that in the pre-licensure setting, such studies are very time consuming and delay the availability of a beneficial vaccine substantially. One might argue that in some situations, this financial commitment is warranted such as for evaluations of the risk of intussusception following newer rotavirus vaccines. However, it must be noted that while an increased risk of intussusception was not identified in large pre-licensure studies, in post marketing evaluations an increased risk of this outcome has been identified. Thus, even the extensive pre-licensure evaluations conducted did not identify an associated risk. The limitations of large Phase III trials have also been demonstrated in efficacy trials. Notably, pre-licensure trials of pneumococcal conjugate severely underestimated their true effect and cost-effectiveness. In fact, in discussions prior to vaccine introduction in the USA for PCV7, the vaccine was said to be not cost-effective and some counseled against its introduction. In reality, following introduction, PCV7 has been shown to be highly cost-effective. In the last decade, new methods have been identified using large linked databases such as the Vaccine Safety Datalink in the USA that allow identification of an increased risk of an event within a few months of vaccine introduction and that can screen for unanticipated very rare events as well. In addition, the availability of electronic medical records and hospital discharge data in many settings allows for accurate assessment of vaccine effectiveness. Given the high financial and opportunity cost of requiring large pre-licensure safety studies, consideration could be given to 'conditional licensure' of vaccines whose delivery system is well characterized in a setting where sophisticated pharmacovigilance systems exist on the condition that such licensure would incorporate a requirement for rapid cycle and other real-time evaluations of safety and effectiveness following introduction. This would actually allow for a more complete and timely evaluation of vaccines, lower the financial barrier to development of new vaccines and thus allow a broader portfolio of vaccines to be developed and successfully introduced.

Impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on childhood otitis media in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Studies have demonstrated a reduction for otitis media (OM) following the introduction of seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7), but this has not been evaluated in the United Kingdom (UK). Moreover, there are limited data on any additional impact of PCV13 introduction in 2010.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study to investigate the trends in OM incidence and associated antibiotic prescriptions in children aged <10 year-olds during 2002-2012 using a national primary care database. Three time-periods were defined to estimate monthly incidence: pre-PCV7 (January 2002-August 2006), post-PCV7 (September 2007-March 2010), and post-PCV13 (April 2011-December 2012).

RESULTS

Overall annual OM incidence declined by 51.3% from 135.8 episodes/1000 person-years in 2002 to 66.1 episodes/1000 person-years in 2012; antibiotic prescription rates for OM declined by 72.9% from 57.9 prescriptions/1000 person-years to 15.7 prescriptions/1000 person-years, respectively. PCV7 introduction was associated with significant decline in OM rates across all age-groups (21.8%; 95% CI, 20.2-23.4), including <2 year-olds (19.8%; 95% CI, 16.0-23.5%); 2-4 year-olds (23.0%; 95% CI, 20.4-25.4%) and 5-9 year-olds (20.2%; 95% CI, 17.6-22.7%). There was an additional significant reduction in OM (18.5%; 95% CI, 16.7-20.2%) and associated antibiotic prescribing (12.2%; 95% CI, 8.6-15.6%) after the introduction of PCV13 across all age-groups.

CONCLUSION

The introduction of PCV7 was associated with a 22% significant reductions in OM in children aged <10 year-olds with an additional 19% reductions after PCV13 introduction. These declines are equivalent to 592,000 and 15,700 fewer consultations and OM-related hospitalizations, respectively, in England and Wales every year. Although the continuing decline in OM rates in our study suggests that further reduction may continue to occur, it is important to monitor long-term trends in all pneumococcal diseases, including OM and pneumonia, because of increasing replacement of non-vaccine pneumococcal serotypes in carriage and disease.

Pneumococcal vaccination reduced the risk of acute otitis media: Cohort study

BACKGROUND

Seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) was introduced to Japan in 2009, and after that invasive pneumococcal disease has gradually decreased. There are few data, however, on the effectiveness of PCV7 against acute otitis media (AOM) in Japan.

METHODS

From 10 daycare centers in Sapporo, Japan, 614 parents participated in the survey. Each parent reported whether their child subject had received one or more doses of PCV7, and, if so, the exact dates of receiving PCV7 were verified by reviewing their maternal and child health handbooks marked by a pediatrician. AOM was diagnosed by otorhinolaryngologist or pediatrician. Cox's proportional hazard model was used for calculating the hazard ratio (HR) of AOM incidence reduced by PCV7 inoculation.

RESULTS

Inoculation of PCV7 significantly reduced the risk of AOM (crude HR, 0.63; 95%CI: 0.50-0.79). Adjusting for potentially confounding variables reduced the risk further (adjusted HR, 0.32; 95%CI: 0.23-0.44). On stratification by subject age on 30 April 2012, PCV7 was significantly associated with a reduced risk of AOM in both infants < 3 years old, and in children ≥ 3 years.

CONCLUSION

PCV7 is effectiveness in reducing the risk of AOM both in infants < 3 years old, and in young children ≥ 3 years in Japan.

Association of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination with rates of ventilation tube insertion in Denmark: population-based register study

OBJECTIVE

To examine if the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in Denmark was associated with a decrease in the rate of ventilation tube (VT) insertions performed by office-based practising ear, nose and throat (ENT) specialists.

DESIGN

Population-based register study based on prospectively collected data.

SETTING

Central Denmark Region. Data on VT insertions performed by any office-based practising ENT specialist in the region were collected from the National Health Service Registry.

PARTICIPANTS

All children below the age of 2 years with a first-time VT insertion from 2001 through 2011.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age-stratified and gender-stratified standardised incidence rates of first-time VT insertion, and incidence rate ratio for PCV period 2008-2011 compared with pre-PCV period 2001-2007.

RESULTS

The annual incidence rate of first-time VT insertion in small children increased steadily from 64/1000 person-years in 2001 to 100/1000 person-years in 2011. The incidence rate ratio was 1.27 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.30) in the PCV period compared with the pre-PCV period.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of PCV into the Danish childhood immunisation programme in 2007 was not associated with a subsequent decrease in the rate of VT insertions among children below the age of 2 years. Instead, the rate continued to rise, as before the introduction of PCV.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Danish Data Protection Agency: 2007-58-0010.

Factors influencing parents' decision-making when sending children with respiratory tract infections to nursery

BACKGROUND

Many families rely on formal day care provision, which can be problematic when children are unwell. Attendance in these circumstances may impact on the transmission of infections in both day care and the wider community.

METHODS

Thirty-one semi-structured interviews were conducted to investigate how parents make decisions about nursery care when children are unwell. Topics for discussion included: illness attitudes, current practice during childhood illness and potential nursery policy changes that could affect decision-making.

RESULTS

A combination of illness perceptions and external factors affected decision-making. Parents: (i) considered the severity of respiratory and non-respiratory symptoms differently, and stated that while most other contagious illnesses required nursery exclusion, coughs/colds did not; (ii) said decisions were not solely based on nursery policy, but on practical challenges such as work absences, financial penalties and alternative care availability; (iii) identified modifiable nursery policy factors that could potentially help parents keep unwell children at home, potentially reducing transmission of infectious illness.

CONCLUSIONS

Decision-making is a complex interaction between the child's illness, personal circumstance and nursery policy. Improving our understanding of the modifiable aspects of nursery policies and the extent to which these factors affect decision-making could inform the design and implementation of interventions to reduce the transmission of infectious illness and the associated burden on NHS services.

Impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on pediatric tympanostomy tube insertion in partial immunized population

Objective. To investigate the impact of seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on tube insertions in a partial immunized pediatric population. Study Design. Retrospective ecological study. Methods. This study used Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database for the period 2000–2009. Every child under 17 years old who received tubes during this 10-year period was identified and analyzed. The tube insertion rates in different age groups and the risk to receive tubes in different birth cohorts before and after the release of the vaccine in 2005 were compared. Results. The tube insertion rates for children under 17 years of age ranged from 21.6 to 31.9 for 100,000 persons/year. The tube insertion rate of children under 2 years old decreased significantly after 2005 in period effect analysis (β = −0.074, P < 0.05, and the negative β value means a downward trend) and increased in children 2 to 9 years old throughout the study period (positive β values which mean upward trends, P < 0.05). The rate of tube insertion was lower in 2004-2005 and 2006-2007 birth cohorts than that of 2002-2003 birth cohort (RR = 0.90 and 0.21, 95% CI 0.83–0.97 and 0.19–0.23, resp.). Conclusion. The seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine may reduce the risk of tube insertion for children of later birth cohorts. The vaccine may have the protective effect on tube insertions in a partial immunized pediatric population.