Validation of Modified Breast Graded Prognostic Assessment for breast cancer patients with brain metastases: extra-cranial disease progression is an independent risk factor

Real-World Experience in Hispanic Patients With Breast Cancer and Brain Metastases Using Different Prognostic Tools

PURPOSE

Only a small percentage of Hispanic patients have been included in studies that developed prognostic models for breast cancer and brain metastases. Therefore, there is a clear need for tools tailored to this demographic. This study assesses the efficacy of common prognostic tools in a Hispanic population.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively analyzed a data set of Hispanic patients with breast cancer and newly diagnosed brain metastases from 2009 to 2023 at a single referral center. For each prognostic tool, Kaplan-Meier curves were built. The performances of the models were compared using the area under the curve (AUC), C-statistic, and Akaike information criteria (AIC).

RESULTS

Of 492 patients, the median time from breast cancer to brain metastasis diagnosis was 22.7 months (IQR, 12.1-53.3). The median overall survival was 11.6 months (95% CI, 9.9-13.4). All models were validated as prognostic tools (P < .001). The model with the better performance was the breast graded prognostic assessment (GPA; AIC, 402; AUC, 0.65), followed by the modified GPA (AIC, 406; AUC, 0.64), the disease-specific GPA (AIC, 407; AUC, 0.62), recursive partitioning analysis (AIC, 421; AUC, 0.62), and GPA (AIC, 422; AUC, 0.60).

CONCLUSIONS

The breast GPA demonstrated superior accuracy in prognosticating outcomes for Hispanic patients with breast cancer and brain metastases. This underscores the critical importance of incorporating racial and ethnic diversity in creating and validating medical prognostic tools.

The Usefulness of Prognostic Tools in Breast Cancer Patients with Brain Metastases

Simple Summary

Due to the variability of an individual’s prognosis and the variety of treatment options available to breast cancer (BC) patients with brain metastases (BM), establishing the proper therapy is challenging. Since 1997, several prognostic tools for BC patients with BM have been proposed with variable precision in determining the overall survival. The majority of prognostic tools include the performance status, the age at BM diagnosis, the number of BM, the primary tumor phenotype/genotype and the extracranial metastases status as an outcome of systemic therapy efficacy. It is necessary to update the prognostic indices used by physicians as advances in local and systemic treatments develop and change the parameters of survival. Free access to prognostic tools online may increase their routine adoption in clinical practice. Clinical trials on BC patients with BM remains a broad field for the application of prognostic tools.

Abstract

Background: Determining the proper therapy is challenging in breast cancer (BC) patients with brain metastases (BM) due to the variability of an individual’s prognosis and the variety of treatment options available. Several prognostic tools for BC patients with BM have been proposed. Our review summarizes the current knowledge on this topic. Methods: We searched PubMed for prognostic tools concerning BC patients with BM, published from January 1997 (since the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group developed) to December 2021. Our criteria were limited to adults with newly diagnosed BM regardless of the presence or absence of any leptomeningeal metastases. Results: 31 prognostic tools were selected: 13 analyzed mixed cohorts with some BC cases and 18 exclusively analyzed BC prognostic tools. The majority of prognostic tools in BC patients with BM included: the performance status, the age at BM diagnosis, the number of BM (rarely the volume), the primary tumor phenotype/genotype and the extracranial metastasis status as a result of systemic therapy. The prognostic tools differed in their specific cut-off values. Conclusion: Prognostic tools have variable precision in determining the survival of BC patients with BM. Advances in local and systemic treatment significantly affect survival, therefore, it is necessary to update the survival indices used depending on the type and period of treatment.

Validation and comparison of Breast Graded Prognostic Assessment scores in patients with breast cancer and brain metastases

PURPOSE

Brain metastases (BM) occur in 15-35% of patients with metastatic breast cancer, conferring poor prognosis and impairing quality of life. Clinical scores have been developed to classify patients according to their prognosis. We aimed to check the utility of the Breast Graded Prognostic Assessment (B-GPA) and its modified version (mB-GPA) and compare them in routine clinical practice.

METHODS

This is an ambispective study including all patients with breast cancer BM treated in a single cancer comprehensive center. We analyzed the overall survival (OS) from BM diagnosis until death. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model were used in the analyses. ROC curves were performed to compare both scores.

RESULTS

We included 169 patients; median age was 50 years. HER2-positive and triple negative patients were 33.7% and 20.7%, respectively. At the last follow-up, 90% of the patients had died. Median OS was 12 months (95% confidence interval 8.0-16.0 months). OS was worse in patients with > 3 BM and in patients with triple negative subtype.

CONCLUSIONS

In our series, we confirm that B-GPA and mB-GPA scores correlated with prognosis. ROC curves showed that B-GPA and mB-GPA have similar prognostic capabilities, slightly in favor of mB-GPA.

Incidence, risk factors and survival of patients with brain metastases at initial metastatic breast cancer diagnosis in China

Purpose

To characterize the incidence, risk factors and survival of patients with brain metastases at initial diagnosis of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) in China.

Methods

The China National Cancer Center database was used to identify 2087 MBC patients diagnosed between 2003 and 2015. Clinicopathological features, treatment and survival information were extracted. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression were performed to determine factors predictive of brain metastases at MBC diagnosis and survival, respectively.

Results

Brain metastases occurred in ninety patients (4.3%) at MBC diagnosis, and in 27 patients (2.5%), 42 patients (7.2%) and 21 patients (5.2%) with hormone receptor positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR + HER2-), HER2-positive and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), respectively. HER2-positive subtype (OR = 2.38; 95% CI 1.40–4.04; p < 0.0001), TNBC subtype (OR = 1.89; 95% CI 1.02–3.51; p = 0.005), and metastases to all three sites of bone, liver and lungs (OR = 3.23; 95% CI 1.52–6.87; p = 0.002) were shown to increase the risk of BM at MBC diagnosis. Median survival after BM was 23.7 months. First-line tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) improved survival compared to trastuzumab-based regimen (44.9 vs 35.4 months, p = 0.09). Factors that independently decreased BM death risk were ECOG<2, brain metastases only and multidisciplinary treatment.

Conclusion

HER2-positive and TNBC subtypes have a higher incidence of BM at initial MBC diagnosis. Brain screening might be considered in patients with HER2-positive disease at MBC diagnosis, and further prospective randomized study is warranted.

•

Large retrospective analysis focusing on patients with BM at initial MBC diagnosis.

•

HER2-positive subtype presented with the highest incidence of BM at initial MBC diagnosis.

•

Patients with brain metastases only and receiving multidisciplinary treatment have a superior OS.

•

Brain screening might be considered in HER2-positive patients with BM at MBC diagnosis.

Management of Brain and Leptomeningeal Metastases from Breast Cancer

The management of breast cancer (BC) has rapidly evolved in the last 20 years. The improvement of systemic therapy allows a remarkable control of extracranial disease. However, brain (BM) and leptomeningeal metastases (LM) are frequent complications of advanced BC and represent a challenging issue for clinicians. Some prognostic scales designed for metastatic BC have been employed to select fit patients for adequate therapy and enrollment in clinical trials. Different systemic drugs, such as targeted therapies with either monoclonal antibodies or small tyrosine kinase molecules, or modified chemotherapeutic agents are under investigation. Major aims are to improve the penetration of active drugs through the blood-brain barrier (BBB) or brain-tumor barrier (BTB), and establish the best sequence and timing of radiotherapy and systemic therapy to avoid neurocognitive impairment. Moreover, pharmacologic prevention is a new concept driven by the efficacy of targeted agents on macrometastases from specific molecular subgroups. This review aims to provide an overview of the clinical and molecular factors involved in the selection of patients for local and/or systemic therapy, as well as the results of clinical trials on advanced BC. Moreover, insight on promising therapeutic options and potential directions of future therapeutic targets against BBB and microenvironment are discussed.

Beyond an Updated Graded Prognostic Assessment (Breast GPA): A Prognostic Index and Trends in Treatment and Survival in Breast Cancer Brain Metastases From 1985 to Today

PURPOSE

Brain metastases are a common sequelae of breast cancer. Survival varies widely based on diagnosis-specific prognostic factors (PF). We previously published a prognostic index (Graded Prognostic Assessment [GPA]) for patients with breast cancer with brain metastases (BCBM), based on cohort A (1985-2007, n = 642), then updated it, reporting the effect of tumor subtype in cohort B (1993-2010, n = 400). The purpose of this study is to update the Breast GPA with a larger contemporary cohort (C) and compare treatment and survival across the 3 cohorts.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A multi-institutional (19), multinational (3), retrospective database of 2473 patients with breast cancer with newly diagnosed brain metastases (BCBM) diagnosed from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2017, was created and compared with prior cohorts. Associations of PF and treatment with survival were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were compared with log-rank tests. PF were weighted and the Breast GPA was updated such that a GPA of 0 and 4.0 correlate with the worst and best prognoses, respectively.

RESULTS

Median survival (MS) for cohorts A, B, and C improved over time (from 11, to 14 to 16 months, respectively; P < .01), despite the subtype distribution becoming less favorable. PF significant for survival were tumor subtype, Karnofsky Performance Status, age, number of BCBMs, and extracranial metastases (all P < .01). MS for GPA 0 to 1.0, 1.5-2.0, 2.5-3.0, and 3.5-4.0 was 6, 13, 24, and 36 months, respectively. Between cohorts B and C, the proportion of human epidermal receptor 2 + subtype decreased from 31% to 18% (P < .01) and MS in this subtype increased from 18 to 25 months (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

MS has improved modestly but varies widely by diagnosis-specific PF. New PF are identified and incorporated into an updated Breast GPA (free online calculator available at brainmetgpa.com). The Breast GPA facilitates clinical decision-making and will be useful for stratification of future clinical trials. Furthermore, these data suggest human epidermal receptor 2-targeted therapies improve clinical outcomes in some patients with BCBM.