Identifying pediatric diabetes cases from health administrative data: a population-based validation study in Quebec, Canada

Pediatric Morbidity Among Black Haitians in Canada: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

In the U.S., Black children have disproportionately elevated rates of pediatric morbidity compared with White children, but data are lacking for other countries. We studied the extent to which Black Haitians were at risk of pediatric morbidity in Canada.

METHODS

We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 736,498 children born in Quebec between 2008 and 2020. We identified Black Haitians using the mother tongue and birth country of parents. The outcome was mortality or hospitalization for infectious diseases, allergy, cancer, and other morbidity between birth and 12 years of age. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for these outcomes, comparing Haitians with non-Haitians in Cox regression models adjusted for patient characteristics.

RESULTS

Compared with non-Haitians, Haitians tended to have a greater risk of pediatric mortality, especially before age 2 years (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.00-2.45). However, Haitian children had a lower risk of hospitalization than non-Haitian children (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.59-0.63). Haitians were less likely to be hospitalized for infectious diseases, allergies, appendicitis, cancers, fractures, dental caries, and ophthalmologic conditions. Hospitalization rates were low throughout childhood, even though Haitian children were more likely to be born preterm, develop severe neonatal morbidity, and have other adverse outcomes at birth.

CONCLUSION

Haitian children have an elevated risk of neonatal morbidity and early childhood mortality, but lower risk of hospitalization compared with non-Haitians in Canada. The reasons for the disparity are unclear, but greater effort is needed to address potential gaps in healthcare among Black children.

Validated administrative data based ICD-10 algorithms for chronic conditions: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review aimed to identify ICD-10 based validated algorithms for chronic conditions using health administrative data.

METHODS

A comprehensive systematic literature search using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, Web of Science and CINAHL was performed to identify studies, published between 1983 and May 2023, on validated algorithms for chronic conditions using administrative health data. Two reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts and reviewed full text of selected studies to complete data extraction. A third reviewer resolved conflicts arising at the screening or study selection stages. The primary outcome was validated studies of ICD-10 based algorithms with both sensitivity and PPV of ≥70 %. Studies with either sensitivity or PPV <70 % were included as secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, the search identified 1686 studies of which 54 met the inclusion criteria. Combining a previously published literature search, a total of 61 studies were included for data extraction. The study identified 40 chronic conditions with high validity and 22 conditions with moderate validity. The validated algorithms were based on administrative data from different countries including Canada, USA, Australia, Japan, France, South Korea, and Taiwan. The algorithms identified included several types of cancers, cardiovascular conditions, kidney diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, and peripheral vascular diseases, amongst others.

CONCLUSION

With ICD-10 prominently used across the world, this up-to-date systematic review can prove to be a helpful resource for research and surveillance initiatives using administrative health data for identifying chronic conditions.

Comparing Costs of Noninvasive Cardiac Diagnostic Tests-a Population-Based Study

INTRODUCTION

Noninvasive cardiac diagnostic tests (NITs) for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease have been estimated to cost >$3 billion annually in the United States alone and have recently undergone scrutiny over concerns of overuse. Consequently, comparing costs of different NIT testing strategies is of urgent importance to health care planning.

METHODS

We utilized population-based administrative and clinical data from Ontario, Canada, to compare downstream costs between 4 available NIT testing strategies (graded exercise stress testing [GXT], stress echocardiography, cardiac computed tomography angiography [CCTA], and myocardial perfusion imaging [MPI] as well as no testing), among patients evaluated for chest pain. To compare costs among the tested (overall and by testing strategy) and nontested groups, we used a log-gamma generalized linear model to account for the skewed distribution of health care cost data, adjusting for relevant clinical covariates.

RESULTS

A total of 2,340,699 patients were included in our cohort, of whom 481,170 (21%) patients received 1 of the 4 NITs. Among patients who received a NIT, 254,492 (53%) received a GXT as their initial test, 154,137 (32%) received MPI, 69,160 (14%) received a stress echo, and 3,381 (<1%) received a CCTA. After adjustment for differences in baseline patient characteristics, receipt of any NIT was associated with an approximate 12% reduction in downstream 1-year mean costs (cost ratio = 0.88; 95% CI, 0.87, 0.89) compared with those without any testing. Comparing the different testing strategies with no testing, both GXT (cost ratio = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.79-0.81) and stress echocardiography (cost ratio = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.83) were associated with the lower downstream costs, while both MPI (cost ratio = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.25, 1.27) and CCTA (cost ratio = 1.29; 95% CI, 1.23, 1.35) were associated with higher downstream costs.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large population-based cohort consisting of >2 million people evaluated for chest pain, we report that receipt of noninvasive testing was associated with a 12% reduction in downstream costs when compared with no testing. Graded exercise stress testing and stress echocardiography were associated with the least downstream costs, whereas CCTA and MPI were associated with higher costs when compared with no testing. These findings may help inform testing decisions in chest pain patients.

Estimating the completeness of physician billing claims for diabetes case ascertainment: a multiprovince investigation

INTRODUCTION

Previous research has suggested that how physicians are paid may affect the completeness of billing claims for estimating chronic disease. The purpose of this study is to estimate the completeness of physician billings for diabetes case ascertainment.

METHODS

We used administrative data from eight Canadian provinces covering the period 1 April 2014 to 31 March 2016. The patient cohort was stratified into two mutually exclusive groups based on their physician remuneration type: fee-for-service (FFS), for those paid only on that basis; and non-fee-for-service (NFFS). Using diabetes prescription drug data as our reference data source, we evaluated whether completeness of disease case ascertainment varied with payment type. Diabetes incidence rates were then adjusted for completeness of ascertainment.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 86 110 patients. Overall, equal proportions received their diabetes medications from FFS and NFFS physicians. Overall, physician payment method had little impact upon the percentage of missed diabetes cases (FFS, 14.8%; NFFS, 12.2%). However, the difference in missed cases between FFS and NFFS varied widely by province, ranging from -1.0% in Nova Scotia to 29.9% in Newfoundland and Labrador. The difference between the observed and adjusted disease incidence rates also varied by province, ranging from 22% in Prince Edward Island to 4% in Nova Scotia.

CONCLUSION

The difference in the loss of cases by physician remuneration method varied across jurisdictions. This loss may contribute to an underestimation of disease incidence. The method we used could be applied to other chronic diseases for which drug therapy could serve as reference data source.

Association of PCOS with offspring morbidity: a longitudinal cohort study

STUDY QUESTION

Do children whose mothers have polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) have an increased risk of morbidity?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Maternal PCOS is associated with an increased risk of infection, allergy and other childhood morbidity.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

PCOS is associated with higher rates of gestational diabetes, pre-eclampsia and preterm delivery, but the long-term impact on child health is poorly understood.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

We conducted a retrospective longitudinal cohort study of 1 038 375 children in Quebec between 2006 and 2020.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

We included 7160 children whose mothers had PCOS and 1 031 215 unexposed children. Outcomes included child hospitalization for infectious, allergic, malignant and other diseases before 13 years of age. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI for the association of PCOS with childhood morbidity in adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Children exposed to PCOS were hospitalized at a rate of 68.9 (95% CI 66.2-71.8) per 1000 person-years, whereas unexposed children were hospitalized at a rate of 45.3 (95% CI 45.1-45.5) per 1000 person-years. Compared with no exposure, maternal PCOS was associated with 1.32 times the risk of any childhood hospitalization (95% CI 1.26-1.40), 1.31 times the risk of infectious disease hospitalization (95% CI 1.25-1.38) and 1.47 times the risk of allergy-related hospitalization (95% CI 1.31-1.66). Risk of hospitalization was also elevated for childhood metabolic (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.16-2.18), gastrointestinal (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.53-1.92), central nervous system (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.46-2.07) and otologic disorders (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.26-1.43). Subgroup analyses suggested that there was little difference in the association of PCOS with hospitalization among boys (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.24-1.39) and girls (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.26-1.43).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

We analyzed severe childhood morbidity requiring hospitalization, not mild diseases treated in ambulatory clinics. We lacked data on ethnicity, education and physical activity, and cannot rule out residual confounding.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Our findings suggest that maternal PCOS is associated with an increased risk of childhood morbidity.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This study was supported by grant PJT-162300 from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research. N.A. acknowledges a career award from the Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé (296785). The authors declare no competing interests.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Assisted reproductive technology and childhood morbidity: a longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between assisted reproductive technology (ART) and offspring morbidity in the first decade of life.

DESIGN

Longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING

Provincial health registry in Quebec, Canada.

PATIENT(S)

A total of 797,654 singleton children born between 2008 and 2019, followed up to 2020.

INTERVENTION(S)

Retrospective, noninterventional study of any ART procedure vs. no ART.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

Childhood morbidity, including hospitalization for infectious, allergic, malignant, and other diseases, assessed using adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association with ART. We controlled for unmeasured family-level confounders that were shared among siblings through stratified Cox regression. To do so, we restricted the analysis to 10,097 siblings with discordant exposure to ART and compared the risk of outcomes in exposed vs. unexposed siblings.

RESULT(S)

Compared with no ART, ART was associated with 1.23 times the risk of any hospitalization (95% CI 1.19-1.27), 1.25 times the risk of infectious disease hospitalization (95% CI 1.21-1.29), and 1.25 times the risk of allergy hospitalization (95% CI 1.14-1.38). When we used a sibling design to control for shared genetic and environmental confounders, ART was not associated with a greater risk of childhood hospitalization (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.78-1.08).

CONCLUSION(S)

ART is associated with an elevated risk of hospitalization up to 11 years of age, but discordant sibling analysis suggests that the association may be due to genetic, environmental, or other shared familial confounders.

Patient, physician and geographic predictors of cardiac stress testing strategy in Ontario, Canada: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

To identify patient, physician and geographic level factors that are associated with variation in initial stress testing strategy in patients evaluated for chest pain.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Population-based study of patients undergoing evaluation for chest pain in Ontario, Canada between 1 January 2011 and 31 March 2018.

PARTICIPANTS

103 368 patients who underwent stress testing (graded exercise stress testing (GXT), stress echocardiography (stress echo) or myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI)) following evaluation for chest pain.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

To identify the patient, physician and geographic level factors associated with variation in initial test selection, we fit two separate 2-level hierarchical multinomial logistic regression models for which the outcome was initial stress testing strategy (GXT, MPI or stress echo).

RESULTS

There was significant variability in the initial type of stress test performed, with approximately 50% receiving a GXT compared with approximately 36% who received MPI and 14% who received a stress echo. Physician-level factors were key drivers of this variation, accounting for up to 59.0% of the variation in initial testing. Physicians who graduated medical school >30 years ago were approximately 45% more likely to order an initial stress echo (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.80) than a GXT. Cardiovascular disease specialists were approximately sevenfold more likely to order an initial MPI (OR 7.35, 95% CI 5.38 to 10.03) than a GXT. Patients aged >70 years were approximately fivefold more likely to receive an MPI (OR 4.74, 95% CI 4.42 to 5.08) and approximately 26% more likely to receive a stress echo (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.38) than a GXT.

CONCLUSIONS

We report significant variability in initial stress testing strategy in Ontario. Much of that variability was driven by physician-level factors that could potentially be addressed through educational campaigns geared at reducing this variability and improving guideline adherence.

Control charts for chronic disease surveillance: testing algorithm sensitivity to changes in data coding

Background

Algorithms used to identify disease cases in administrative health data may be sensitive to changes in the data over time. Control charts can be used to assess how variations in administrative health data impact the stability of estimated trends in incidence and prevalence for administrative data algorithms. We compared the stability of incidence and prevalence trends for multiple juvenile diabetes algorithms using observed-expected control charts.

Methods

Eighteen validated algorithms for juvenile diabetes were applied to administrative health data from Manitoba, Canada between 1975 and 2018. Trends in disease incidence and prevalence for each algorithm were modelled using negative binomial regression and generalized estimating equations; model-predicted case counts were plotted against observed counts. Control limits were set as predicted case count ±0.8*standard deviation. Differences in the frequency of out-of-control observations for each algorithm were assessed using McNemar’s test with Holm-Bonferroni adjustment.

Results

The proportion of out-of-control observations for incidence and prevalence ranged from 0.57 to 0.76 and 0.45 to 0.83, respectively. McNemar’s test revealed no difference in the frequency of out-of-control observations across algorithms. A sensitivity analysis with relaxed control limits (2*standard deviation) detected fewer out-of-control years (incidence 0.19 to 0.33; prevalence 0.07 to 0.52), but differences in stability across some algorithms for prevalence.

Conclusions

Our study using control charts to compare stability of trends in incidence and prevalence for juvenile diabetes algorithms found no differences for disease incidence. Differences were observed between select algorithms for disease prevalence when using wider control limits.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-12328-w.

Association between Bacillus Calmette-Guerin vaccination and type 1 diabetes in adolescence: A population-based birth cohort study in Quebec, Canada

The Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) vaccine could reduce the incidence of type 1 diabetes through non-specific immunomodulation. Previous epidemiological studies, presenting some limitations, report no association. We examined this association of early life BCG vaccination and age at vaccination with type 1 diabetes incidence in adolescence in a large representative cohort in Quebec. The cohort included 387,704 individuals born in Quebec between 1970 and 1974 whose BCG vaccination status was determined from a provincial registry. Individuals were followed up from 1985 to their 19th birthday (maximum to 1993) for their use of physician services. Individuals were defined as type 1 diabetes cases if they had ≥4 related physician claims over a 2-year period, with at least 30 days between two claims. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the association of BCG vaccination and age at vaccination with type 1 diabetes. Covariates were selected based on a directed acyclic graph. Interaction according to sex was evaluated. A total of 178,133 (45.9%) individuals were vaccinated and 442 (0.11%) incident cases of type 1 diabetes were identified. The risk of type 1 diabetes was similar in vaccinated compared with unvaccinated individuals (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.06 [95% CI: 0.88-1.29]). There was no association with age at vaccination, and results did not differ by sex (Interaction, p = 0.60). Our results suggest that BCG vaccination does not prevent type 1 diabetes in adolescence.