Time to Recovery from Covid-19 and Its Predictors Among Patients Admitted to Treatment Centers of Southern Nations Nationalities and Peoples Region (SNNPR), ETHIOPIA: Multi-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

COVID-19 mortality rate and its determinants in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The COVID-19 mortality rate continues to be high in low-income countries like Ethiopia as the new variant's transmission expands and the countries' limited capacity to combat the disease causes severe outcomes, including deaths. The aim of this study is to determine the magnitude of the COVID-19 mortality rate and its determinants in Ethiopia.

Methods

The main electronic databases searched were PubMed, CINAHL, Google Scholar, and African journals online. The included studies' qualities were assessed independently using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. The data was extracted in Microsoft Excel spreadsheet format. The pooled effect size and odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals across studies were determined using the random-effects model. I2 is used to estimate the percentage of overall variation across studies due to heterogeneity. Egger's test and funnel plot were used to find the published bias. A subgroup analysis was conducted. The effect of a single study on the overall estimation was determined by sensitivity analysis.

Results

A total of 21 studies with 42,307 study participants were included in the final analysis. The pooled prevalence of COVID-19 mortality was 14.44% (95% CI: 10.35-19.08%), with high significant heterogeneity (I2 = 98.92%, p < 0.001). The risk of mortality from COVID-19 disease was higher for patients with comorbidity (AHR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.13-2.54) and cardiovascular disease (AHR = 2, 95% CI: 1.09-2.99) than their counterparts without these conditions.

Conclusion

A significant number of COVID-19 patients died in Ethiopia. COVID-19 patients with comorbidities, particularly those with cardiovascular disease, should receive special attention to reduce COVID-19 mortality.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, registration identifier (ID) CRD42020165740.

Time to recovery and determinant factors of COVID-19 patients under treatment in Sidama region, Ethiopia: A retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Evidence from several studies shows that the median recovery time among COVID-19 patients varies in different settings, and why that difference occurs is questionable. The current study was aimed to estimate the time to recovery and to identify determinant factors among COVID-19 patients admitted to treatment centers in the Sidama region, Ethiopia.

Methods

The secondary data was extracted from the Sidama Public Health Institute (SPHI), data management unit. A total of 1038 COVID-19 patients who were under treatment from 1, June 2020, to 30, June 2022, at different treatment centers in the region were included in the study. The Log-Logistic Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model was employed to estimate the effects size of different covariates on recovery time of COVID-19 patients under treatment.

Results

Among the total number of patients in the study, 704 (67.82 %) were recovered, while 334(32.18 %) were censored. The median recovery time was 14 days (IQR: 10-18 days). Patients who were above 65 years old had nearly 1.17 times more prolonged recovery time as compared to patients who were below 25 years old, (OR = 1.168, p-value = 0.032, CI = 0.013,0.298). The log odds of recovery for patients who were in critical severity status at admission was 1.279 times more decelerated as compared to asymptomatic patients (P-value = 0.005, CI = 0.076, 0.417). The log odds of recovery for patients who had no history of headache was 1.107 times more accelerated as compared to patients who had a history of headache (OR = 1.107, p-value = 0.027, CI = 0.011, 0.192). The log odds of recovery for non-diabetic patients was 1.244 times more accelerated as compared to patients who were diabetic (OR = 1,244, p-value = 0.002, CI = 0.077, 0.360), holding other covariates constant in the model.

Conclusion

Age, critical severity status of infection, having symptoms of infection, having a history of headaches, and being diabetic had statistically significant effects on time to recovery among COVID-19 patients admitted to the treatment centers in the Sidama region.