Pre-pregnancy high-risk factors at first antenatal visit: how predictive are these of pregnancy outcomes?

A predictive model of pregnancy loss using pre-pregnancy endocrine and immunological parameters in women with abnormal glucose/lipid metabolism and previous pregnancy loss

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical and endocrine risk factors for pregnancy loss in women with abnormal glucose/lipid metabolism and a history of pregnancy loss, and to develop a predictive model to assess the risk of pregnancy loss in these women's subsequent pregnancies.

METHODS

Patients with a history of pregnancy loss who had abnormal glucose/lipid metabolism were retrospectively included in this study, and their pre-pregnancy baseline and clinical characteristics were collected. A predictive nomogram was constructed based on the results of the multivariable logistic regression model analysis, and its calibration and discriminatory capabilities were evaluated. The internal validation was then performed and the net benefits were assessed by the clinical decision curve.

RESULTS

The predictive model was eventually incorporated eight variables, including maternal age, previous pregnancy losses, anticardiolipin antibody (aCL) IgG, aCL IgM, thyroid peroxidase antibody, complement 4, free thyroxine and total cholesterol. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 0.709, and Chi-square value and P value of the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were 12.786 and 0.119, respectively, indicating that the nomogram had a satisfactory calibration and discriminatory performance. The validation cohort showed a similar result for the discrimination of the nomogram (AUC = 0.715). The clinical decision curve demonstrated the nomogram had good positive net benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to predict the risks of subsequent pregnancy loss in women with abnormal glucose/lipid metabolism and history of pregnancy loss using pre-pregnancy clinical and endocrine parameters. This predictive nomogram may provide clinicians assistance to personalize the management of subsequent pregnancies in these patients.

Effect of high-risk versus low-risk pregnancy at the first antenatal care visit on the occurrence of complication during pregnancy and labour or delivery in Kenya: a double-robust estimation

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated the causal effects of high-risk versus low-risk pregnancy at the first antenatal care (ANC) visit on the occurrence of complications during pregnancy and labour or delivery among women in Kenya.

METHODS

We designed a quasi-experimental study using observational data from a large mobile health wallet programme, with the exposure as pregnancy risk at the first ANC visit, measured on a binary scale (low vs high). Complications during pregnancy and at labour or delivery were the study outcomes on a binary scale (yes vs no). Causal effects of the exposure were examined using a double-robust estimation, reported as an OR with a 95% CI.

RESULTS

We studied 4419 women aged 10-49 years (mean, 25.6±6.27 years), with the majority aged 20-29 years (53.4%) and rural residents (87.4%). Of 3271 women with low-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit, 833 (25.5%) had complications during pregnancy while 1074 (32.8%) had complications at labour/delivery. Conversely, of 1148 women with high-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit, 343 (29.9%) had complication during pregnancy while 488 (42.5%) had complications at labour delivery. Multivariable adjusted analysis showed that women with high-risk pregnancy at the time of first ANC attendance had a higher occurrence of pregnancy during pregnancy (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.22, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.46) and labour or delivery (aOR 1.20, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.41). In the double-robust estimation, a high-risk pregnancy at first ANC visit increased the occurrence of complications during pregnancy (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.46) and labour or delivery (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.45).

CONCLUSION

Women with a high-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit have an increased occurrence of complications during pregnancy and labour or delivery. These women should be identified early for close and appropriate obstetric and intrapartum monitoring and care to ensure maternal and neonatal survival.

Antenatal-care knowledge among women of reproductive age group in Ido Ekiti, Nigeria

BACKGROUND

Maternal mortality plagues much of the low- and low-middle-income countries. There were 303,000 maternal deaths in 2015, representing an overall global maternal mortality ratio of 216 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births. 99% of all maternal deaths occur in developing countries. The knowledge of antenatal care is an important factor affecting maternal mortality rates.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the extent of knowledge of antenatal-care services among women of reproductive age in Ido Ekiti, a rural town in South West Nigeria.

STUDY DESIGN

This cross-sectional study was conducted among 299 women in the reproductive age group, ie, from the ages of 18 to 49 years. Data were collected with a set of self-administered questionnaires and analyzed using SPSS version 25. This study was conducted in Ido Ekiti, a town in the Ido-Osi local government area.

RESULTS

Most respondents were between 31 and 40 years of age. Most respondents (96%) were educated. 95.6% of the participants in this study were aware of antenatal-care services. 98.7% of the respondents acknowledged that weight and height measurements, abdominal examination, blood tests, and administration of folic acids were carried out during antenatal-care visits. 97.3% had excellent knowledge of the service.

CONCLUSION

Most respondents were aware of antenatal care and had excellent knowledge of its components. This is indeed a positive finding and is likely because of the high literacy levels, access to electronic media, and the location of 3 public health facilities in the town. Continuous education of women by relevant stakeholders and policymakers on antenatal care should be ensured to maintain the current state and replicate similar findings in other rural areas across Africa.

Maternal Obesity as a Risk Factor for Caesarean Delivery in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review

Background: Maternal obesity is associated with several adverse reproductive outcomes. It is a growing public health burden in sub-Saharan Africa, a region with low resources and capacity to care for the large, affected population. Objectives: To assess the evidence of maternal obesity as a risk factor for caesarean delivery in women in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: A systematic review of relevant original articles using PubMed, MEDLINE, and CINAHL was performed. Google Scholar and the reference lists of relevant systematic reviews and meta-analyses were also searched for other eligible studies. Observational studies assessing maternal body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2 before or during gestation and caesarean delivery as birth outcome were included. Results: All 17 studies were published between 2009 and 2021 and included 227,675 (236−153,102) participants. The prevalence of maternal obesity ranged from 3.9 to 44%. All except two studies (88%) indicated an association of obesity and risk of caesarean delivery in pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa. Overweight/obese women had up to 4-fold increased risk of caesarean delivery compared to normal weight women. Three studies also reported a direct relationship between morbid obesity and prevalence of caesarean delivery in the sub-region. The risk of caesarean delivery appears to increase with increasing BMI e.g., >5 times in women with BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2 than in normal weight women. Conclusions: In sub-Saharan Africa, increased BMI in pregnancy is a risk factor for subsequent caesarean delivery. The risk of caesarean delivery appears to increase with increasing BMI. A robust meta-analysis and other patho-mechanistic studies can be conducted to confirm causal association. Culturally appropriate weight management and nutritional interventions should be implemented to reduce the incidence of obesity-induced caesarean delivery in sub-Saharan Africa.

Risk score to stratify miscarriage risk levels in preconception women

Spontaneous miscarriage is one of the most common complications of pregnancy. Even though some risk factors are well documented, there is a paucity of risk scoring tools during preconception. In the S-PRESTO cohort study, Asian women attempting to conceive, aged 18-45 years, were recruited. Multivariable logistic regression model coefficients were used to determine risk estimates for age, ethnicity, history of pregnancy loss, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol intake and dietary supplement intake; from these we derived a risk score ranging from 0 to 17. Miscarriage before 16 weeks of gestation, determined clinically or via ultrasound. Among 465 included women, 59 had miscarriages and 406 had pregnancy ≥ 16 weeks of gestation. Higher rates of miscarriage were observed at higher risk scores (5.3% at score ≤ 3, 17.0% at score 4–6, 40.0% at score 7–8 and 46.2% at score ≥ 9). Women with scores ≤ 3 were defined as low-risk level (< 10% miscarriage); scores 4–6 as intermediate-risk level (10% to < 40% miscarriage); scores ≥ 7 as high-risk level (≥ 40% miscarriage). The risk score yielded an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.74 (95% confidence interval 0.67, 0.81; p < 0.001). This novel scoring tool allows women to self-evaluate their miscarriage risk level, which facilitates lifestyle changes to optimize modifiable risk factors in the preconception period and reduces risk of spontaneous miscarriage.

Family History of Hypertension, Cardiovascular Disease, or Diabetes and Risk of Developing Preeclampsia: A Systematic Review

Preeclampsia is a severe pregnancy complication with high potential for adverse effects on maternal and fetal health during the perinatal period. It is also associated with an increased risk of maternal cardiovascular disease later in life. Development of preeclampsia can be decreased by prescribing low-dose aspirin to high-risk women. At present, maternal and pregnancy factors are used to assess the risk of preeclampsia. One additional factor that could add to the assessment of risk is a family history of hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes, especially for nulliparous women who do not have a pregnancy history to inform treatment decisions. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review to assess the association between family history of the aforementioned conditions and preeclampsia. Four databases including MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, and CINAHL/pre-CINAHL were searched for observational studies that examined a family history of hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes in women with preeclampsia and in a control population. Studies were evaluated for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. A total of 84 relevant studies were identified. A meta-analysis was not conducted due to suspected heterogeneity in the included studies. Most studies reported a positive association between a family history of hypertension or cardiovascular disease and the development of preeclampsia. The majority of studies examining family history of diabetes reported non-significant associations. Overall, family history of hypertension or cardiovascular disease is associated with a higher risk for developing preeclampsia and should be considered when assessing women in the first trimester for low-dose aspirin.

Proportion of pregnant women screened for hypertensive disorders in pregnancy and its associated factors within antenatal clinics of Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo

Background

Screening for hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP) is clinically important for identifying women at high risk, and planning early preventative interventions to improve pregnancy outcomes. Several studies in developing countries show that pregnant women are seldom screened for HDP. We conducted a study in Kinshasa, DR Congo, in order to assess the proportion of pregnant women screened for HDP, and to identify factors associated with the screening.

Methods

We conducted a facility-based cross-sectional study in a random sample of 580 pregnant women attending the first antenatal visit. Data collection consisted of a review of antenatal records, observations at the antenatal care services, and interviews. A pregnant woman was considered as screened for HDP if she had received the tree following services: blood pressure measurement, urine testing for proteinuria, and HDP risk assessment. Multivariable logistic regression, with generalized estimating equations, was used to identify factors associated with the screening for HDP.

Results

Of the 580 pregnant women, 155 (26.7%) were screened for HDP, 555 (95.7%) had their blood pressure checked, 347(59.8%) were assessed for risk factors of HDP, and 156 (26.9%) were tested for proteinuria. After multivariable analysis, screening for HDP was significantly higher in parous women (AOR = 2.09; 95% CI, 1.11–3.99; P = 0.023), in women with a gestational age of at least 20 weeks (AOR = 5.50; 95% CI, 2.86–10.89; P = 0.002), in women attending in a private clinic (AOR = 3.49; 95% CI, 1.07–11.34; P = 0.038), or in a hospital (AOR = 3.24; 95% CI, 1.24–8.47; P = 0.017), and when no additional payment was required for proteinuria testing at the clinic (AOR = 2.39; 95% CI, 1.14–5.02; P = 0.021).

Conclusion

Our results show that screening for HDP during the first antenatal visit in Kinshasa is not universal. The factors associated with screening included maternal as well as clinics’ characteristics. More effort should be made both at maternal and clinic levels to improve the screening for HDP in Kinshasa.

Previous Adverse Outcome of Term Pregnancy and Risk of Preterm Birth in Subsequent Pregnancy

Objective Evaluate risk of preterm birth (PTB, < 37 completed weeks' gestation) among a population of women in their second pregnancy with previous full term birth but other adverse pregnancy outcome. Methods The sample included singleton live born infants between 2007 and 2012 in a birth cohort file maintained by the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development. The sample was restricted to women with two pregnancies resulting in live born infants and first birth between 39 and 42 weeks' gestation. Logistic regression was used to calculate the risk of PTB in the second birth for women with previous adverse pregnancy outcome including: small for gestational age (SGA) infant, preeclampsia, placental abruption, or neonatal death (≤ 28 days). Risks were adjusted for maternal factors recorded for second birth. Results The sample included 133,622 women. Of the women with any previous adverse outcome, 4.7% had a PTB while just 3.0% of the women without a previous adverse outcome delivered early (relative risk adjusted for maternal factors known at delivery 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.5). History of an SGA infant, placental abruption, or neonatal death increased the adjusted risk of PTB in their second birth by 1.5-3.7-fold. History of preeclampsia did not elevate the risk of a preterm birth in the subsequent birth. Conclusions for Practice The findings indicate that women with previous SGA infant, placental abruption, or neonatal death, despite a term delivery, may be at increased risk of PTB in the subsequent birth. These women may be appropriate participates for future interventions aimed at reduction in PTB.

"Babies born early?" - silences about prematurity and their consequences

Background

The principal aim of this study was to understand how communication between parents and health professionals concerning prematurity occurs, from delivery to admission to the neonatal Intensive Care Unit.

Methods

This is an exploratory, descriptive study with a qualitative methodology. Data were collected using tape-recorded and Focal Groups technique interview with mothers of premature newborns and health professionals involved in caring for preterm infants, at southeast Brazil.

Results

The word “premature” was not said or heard during prenatal care. From the narratives, it was observed that there was a lack of information available to pregnant women about preterm birth, failure in medical care regarding signs and symptoms reported by pregnant women, and lack of communication between the medical teams, mothers and family during delivery and Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) admission.

Conclusion

There is a fine line between born too soon and die too soon, that increases stress, fear and distance impacting negatively over communication between mothers and health professionals during antenatal care, childbirth and NICU admission.

Outcome of caesarean section at the Edward Francis Small Teaching Hospital, Banjul The Gambia

BACKGROUND

Caesarean section is a very important procedure to decrease maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality. Anecdotal evidence suggests that more than half of all caesarean sections done in The Gambia are done at the Edward Francis Small Teaching Hospital.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to determine the caesarean section rate at the Edward Francis Small teaching Hospital. The study also aimed to determine the socio-demographic factors associated with caesarean section and maternal and fetal outcomes of caesarean section at the hospital.

METHOD

A retrospective review of all caesarean sections carried out at the Edward Francis Small Teaching Hospital from 1st January 2014 to 31st December 2014 was done. Data was extracted from patients' record. Descriptive statistics was done using Epi Info 7 statistical software.

RESULTS

The Caesarean section rate in the hospital is 24.0%. The commonest indications for caesarean section were previous caesarean section (20.6%) and cephalopelvic disproportion (20.2%). There were 21 maternal deaths (1.8%) and 71 fresh stillbirths (6.0%) in the study population.

CONCLUSION

About a quarter of all deliveries in the hospital were caesarean sections most of which were done as emergencies. The commonest indications for caesarean section were cephalopelvic disproportion and previous caesarean section.

Can adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes be predicted when blood pressure becomes elevated? Secondary analyses from the CHIPS (Control of Hypertension In Pregnancy Study) randomized controlled trial

Introduction

For women with chronic or gestational hypertension in CHIPS (Control of Hypertension In Pregnancy Study, NCT01192412), we aimed to examine whether clinical predictors collected at randomization could predict adverse outcomes.

Material and methods

This was a planned, secondary analysis of data from the 987 women in the CHIPS Trial. Logistic regression was used to examine the impact of 19 candidate predictors on the probability of adverse perinatal (pregnancy loss or high level neonatal care for >48 h, or birthweight <10th percentile) or maternal outcomes (severe hypertension, preeclampsia, or delivery at <34 or <37 weeks). A model containing all candidate predictors was used to start the stepwise regression process based on goodness of fit as measured by the Akaike information criterion. For face validity, these variables were forced into the model: treatment group (“less tight” or “tight” control), antihypertensive type at randomization, and blood pressure within 1 week before randomization. Continuous variables were represented continuously or dichotomized based on the smaller p‐value in univariate analyses. An area‐under‐the‐receiver‐operating‐curve (AUC ROC) of ≥0.70 was taken to reflect a potentially useful model.

Results

Point estimates for AUC ROC were <0.70 for all but severe hypertension (0.70, 95% CI 0.67–0.74) and delivery at <34 weeks (0.71, 95% CI 0.66–0.75). Therefore, no model warranted further assessment of performance.

Conclusions

CHIPS data suggest that when women with chronic hypertension develop an elevated blood pressure in pregnancy, or formerly normotensive women develop new gestational hypertension, maternal and current pregnancy clinical characteristics cannot predict adverse outcomes in the index pregnancy.

The Burden of Provider-Initiated Preterm Birth and Associated Factors: Evidence from the Brazilian Multicenter Study on Preterm Birth (EMIP)

Background

About 15 million children are born under 37 weeks of gestation worldwide. Prematurity is the leading cause of neonatal deaths and short/long term morbidities, entailing consequences not only for the individual, but also their family, health agencies, facilities and all community. The provider-initiated preterm birth is currently one of the most important obstetric conditions related to preterm births, particularly in middle and high income countries, thus decreasing the need for therapeutic preterm birth is essential to reduce global prematurity. Therefore detailed knowledge on the factors associated with provider-initiated preterm birth is essential for the efforts to reduce preterm birth rates and its consequences. In this current analysis we aimed to assess the proportion of provider-initiated (pi-PTB) among preterm births in Brazil and identify associated factors.

Methods and Findings

This is an analysis of a multicenter cross-sectional study with a nested case-control component called Brazilian Multicenter Study on Preterm Birth (EMIP). EMIP was conducted in 20 referral obstetric hospitals located in the three most populated of the five Brazilian regions. We analysed data of women with pi-PTB, defined as childbirth occurring at less than 37 weeks, medically indicated for maternal/fetal compromise or both; and women with term birth, childbirth at or after 37 weeks. Maternal, sociodemographic, obstetric, prenatal care, delivery, and postnatal characteristics were assessed as possible factors associated with pi-PTB, compared to term births. The overall prevalence of preterm births was 12.3%. Of these, approximately one-third of cases were initiated by the provider. Hypertensive disorders, placental abruption, and diabetes were the main maternal conditions leading to pi-PTB. Caesarean section was the most common mode of delivery. Chronic hypertension (OR 7.47; 95%CI 4.02–13.88), preeclampsia/eclampsia/HELLP syndrome (OR 15.35; 6.57–35.88), multiple pregnancy (OR 12.49; 4.86–32.05), and chronic diabetes (OR 5.24; 2.68–10.25) were the most significant factors independently associated with pi-PTB.

Conclusions

pi-PTB is responsible for about one-third of all preterm births, requiring special attention. The decision-making process relative to the choice of provider-initiated birth is complex, and many factors should be elucidated to improve strategies for its prevention, including evidence-based guidelines on proper management of the corresponding clinical conditions.

Association of maternal anemia with other risk factors in occurrence of Great obstetrical syndromes at university clinics, Kinshasa, DR Congo

BACKGROUND

Maternal anemia, a common situation in developing countries, provokes impairment of nutrients/oxygen supply to the placenta-fetus unit that leads to Great obstetrical syndromes (GOS). In our setting, however, occurrence of GOS has been found also depending on variables existing prior to pregnancy such as diabetes in family, hypertension in family, previous macrosomia, stillbirth, SGA and pre-eclampsia as well as overweight/obesity. Our study thus aimed to determine the magnitude of maternal anemia and its association with these pre-pregnancy high-risk variables in occurrence of GOS.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study including women delivered at the University Clinics of Kinshasa, DR Congo, 12. during 18 months. Anemia was stated at hemoglobin blood concentration < 10 g/dL. Sampled women were checked for pregnancy high-risk factors and pregnancy complications. Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) were calculated to establish associations of anemia with various variables. Multivariate calculations aimed to isolate variables influencing these associations. The p <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The study sample included 412 women, among whom 220 (53.4%) were diagnosed anemic. Anemia was found significantly linked to malaria, urinary infection, cesarean section, prematurity, SGA and stillbirth whose risk was 1.6 - 6.1 times augmented. Anemia was also found linked to pre-pregnancy high-risk factors such as age < 18 and ≥ 35 years, previous miscarriage, grand multiparity, diabetes in family, previous prematurity, overweight/obesity, previous cesarean section and previous pre-eclampsia, all of them enhancing the link of maternal anemia with complications.

CONCLUSION

Maternal anemia is very prevalent among pregnant women of our setting. It strongly contributes to worsening of morbidities that act with pregnancy high-risk factors in raising the risk of cesarean section, prematurity, SGA and stillbirth.