Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Admission is an Independent Risk Factor for the Severity of Neurological Impairment at Disease Onset in Patients with a First Episode of Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder

Soluble biomarkers for Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders: a mini review

The Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders (NMOSD) constitute a spectrum of rare autoimmune diseases of the central nervous system characterized by episodes of transverse myelitis, optic neuritis, and other demyelinating attacks. Previously thought to be a subtype of multiple sclerosis, NMOSD is now known to be a distinct disease with unique pathophysiology, clinical course, and treatment options. Although there have been significant recent advances in the diagnosis and treatment of NMOSD, the field still lacks clinically validated biomarkers that can be used to stratify disease severity, monitor disease activity, and inform treatment decisions. Here we review many emerging NMOSD biomarkers including markers of cellular damage, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, complement, and cytokines, with a focus on how each biomarker can potentially be used for initial diagnosis, relapse surveillance, disability prediction, and treatment monitoring.

How well does peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict the severity and prognosis of hemorrhagic Stroke

OBJECTIVE

We explored the blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic marker and its relation with mortality and Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at discharge and at 3 months following ICH and also compared NLR with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score.

METHODS

The investigators calculated the NIHSS score, SOFA score, ICH score and NLR of 90 adult patients within 3 days of onset of stroke with evidence of hemorrhagic stroke in brain imaging and correlated it with in-hospital mortality, 3-month mortality and mRS at 3 months following stroke using regression analysis.

RESULTS

Out of 90 individuals, there were 54 (60%) males and 36 (40%) females. The mRS score at 3 months significantly related to the admission NLR ratio >7 and SOFA score. Similarly, the in-hospital death and 3-month mortality was related to the admission NLR ratio >7 and ICH score. However, at a cut off value of NLR>3 for assessing the prognosis of the patients, we did not get significant results for mRS at 3 months following stroke and for in-hospital and 3-month mortality.

CONCLUSION

A high NLR ratio >7 predicted worse outcomes in terms of mortality and morbidity at 3-months following haemorrhagic stroke. Hence, like ICH score, NLR can predict 3-month mortality following an acute haemorrhagic stroke and can also predict morbidity following 3 months of brain haemorrhage.

Deciphering prognostic indicators in AQP4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: An integrative review of demographic and laboratory factors

BACKGROUND

Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) is a group of inflammatory diseases affecting the central nervous system, characterized by optic neuritis and myelitis. The complex nature of NMOSD and varied patient response necessitates personalized treatment and efficient patient stratification strategies.

OBJECTIVE

To provide a comprehensive review of recent advances in clinical and biomarker research related to aquaporin-4 (AQP4)-immunoglobulin G (IgG)-seropositive NMOSD prognosis and identify key areas for future research.

METHODS

A comprehensive review and synthesis of recent literature were conducted, focusing on demographic factors and laboratory investigations.

RESULTS

Demographic factors, such as age, ethnicity, and sex, influence NMOSD prognosis. Key biomarkers for NMOSD prognosis include homocysteine, antinuclear antibodies, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, thyroid hormone levels, neurofilament light chain levels, and serum glial fibrillary acidic protein might also predict NMOSD attack prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Further investigation is required to understand sex-related disparities and biomarker inconsistencies. Identification and understanding of these factors can aid in the development of personalized therapeutic strategies, thereby improving outcomes for NMOSD patients. Future studies should focus on unifying research design for consistent results.

Fulminant Anti-Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein-Associated Cerebral Cortical Encephalitis: Case Series of a Severe Pediatric Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein Antibody-Associated Disease Phenotype

BACKGROUND

We describe a cohort of children with severe myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG)-IgG-associated cerebral cortical encephalitis (CCE), manifesting with bilateral cortical cytotoxic edema and critical neurological illness.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed our pediatric MOG antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) database and identified patients with specific radiographic pattern of bilateral, multifocal cortical cytotoxic lesions. We collected demographic, clinical, and outcomes data from these patients and compared select variables with radiographically distinct cerebral MOGAD syndromes (case-control analysis). We assessed the correlation of quantitative clinical variables with severity/outcomes measures using simple linear regression.

RESULTS

Sixty-five of 88 total MOGAD cases had cerebral disease, and six of 88 met inclusion criteria for fulminant CCE (f-CCE). Age range was 2 to 7 years; five of six were male. Six of six were critically ill with severe encephalopathy and seizures, two of six required barbiturate coma, and two of six required invasive intracranial pressure monitoring. Six of six required treatment escalation beyond steroids. Four of six had favorable outcome; two of six had moderate-severe disability. Compared with other cerebral MOGAD cases (n = 59), children with f-CCE were more likely to have critical illness and poor neurological outcomes scores. Neurofilament light chain and treatment latency positively correlated with intensive care unit length of stay and outcomes scores; cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) white blood cell count and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio did not.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric CCE with bilateral cytotoxicity is associated with more fulminant disease and worse outcomes than other cerebral MOGAD syndromes.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is an independent predictor for neurological disability in patients with idiopathic transverse myelitis

INTRODUCTION

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been found to be useful in the prognostication of immune-mediated neurological disorders because it roughly reflects the systemic innate immune response compared to the adaptive immune response. However, studies on the validity of NLR in demyelinating disorders of the central nervous system have shown conflicting results. Therefore, we aimed to investigate NLR in the idiopathic transverse myelitis (ITM) cohort.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the cohort data of patients with ITM between January 2006 and February 2020. The medical data of all patients with myelitis were reviewed to exclude patients with disease-associated myelopathy according to predefined exclusion criteria. The relationship between the natural log-transformed NLR (lnNLR) and the clinical, paraclinical, and imaging data was evaluated. Factors associated with neurological disability were analyzed using a linear mixed-effects model. Predictive factors for moderate-to-severe neurological disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score ≥ 4) were investigated.

RESULTS

A total of 124 participants were included in the analysis. The lnNLR correlated with EDSS and lesion length. Linear mixed-effects analysis showed that age, lesion length, and lnNLR were independently associated with neurological disabilities. Multivariable logistic regression revealed that lnNLR (odds ratio [OR] = 4.266, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.220-14.912, p = 0.023) and lesion length (OR = 1.848, 95% CI = 1.249-2.734, p = 0.002) were independent predictive factors of the worst neurological disability.

CONCLUSION

NLR may be used as an independent prognostic factor for predicting poor neurological outcomes in patients with ITM.

Novel index, neutrophil percentage (%) is a useful marker for disease activity in MOG antibody-associated disease

BACKGROUND

Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) is a CNS autoimmune disease affecting the brain, spinal cord, and optic nerve. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is related to autoimmune disease activity. However, the clinical implication of index ratios such as the NLR is unclear in patients with MOGAD.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the relationship between index ratios such as the NLR and disease activity and disability to discover the index that best correlates with an attack in MOGAD.

METHODS

Using a CNS demyelinating disease cohort, we reviewed 39 patients with MOGAD (age 37.4 ± 12.0 years; F:M = 20:19) who had 390 blood samples available for cell count analysis. We calculated the NLR, eosinophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (ELR), platelet-to-lymphocyte-ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), basophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (BLR), and neutrophil percentage (N%) [neutrophil count (/mm³) / WBC (/mm³) x 100 (%)]. We investigated the associations between each index ratio and disease activity and disability using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, machine learning program (kNN algorithm), and generalized estimating equations (GEE) analysis.

RESULTS

In patients with MOGAD, the NLR, PLR, and N% were higher and ELR was lower during an attack than in remission (all p<0.001). The areas under the ROC curve for the NLR, ELR, PLR, and N% were 0.68, 0.69, 0.61, and 0.68, respectively, with the highest sensitivity of 76.0% in the ELR and the highest specificity of 76.3% in the N%. The classification accuracy scores of the kNN machine learning algorithm were 71% for the NLR, 62% for the ELR, 63% for the PLR, and 72% for the N%. In the GEE analysis of attack samples, both the NLR and treatment-naive had positive associations with the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score (β=0.137, p = 0.008 and β=1.142, p = 0.003, respectively), and the PLR was negatively associated with the EDSS score (β=-0.004, p = 0.022).

DISCUSSION

Our study suggests that the novel index, neutrophil% is the simplest and the most useful marker to differentiate between attack and remission and shows comparable reliability with NLR in MOGAD. Moreover, the NLR and PLR could be used as supportive biomarkers for disease disability during an attack in patients with MOGAD.

The Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and the Monocyte-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predict Expanded Disability Status Scale Score at One Year in Pediatric Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder but not in Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) are inflammatory biomarkers that may predict disease course in neuroinflammatory diseases. We examine whether NLR or MLR at the time of the first attack predicts longitudinal disease outcomes in pediatric neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) and multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

Clinical data were collected retrospectively at a single institution. NLR (ratio of percent neutrophils to percent lymphocytes) and MLR (ratio of percent monocytes to percent lymphocytes) were calculated in the complete blood cell count at the time of presentation before treatments. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score and time to next relapse were used as the outcome assessments.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight patients with MS and eight patients with aquaporin-4-positive NMOSD were included. For NMOSD, NLR at presentation associated with EDSS at six months (P = 0.003) and one year (P = 0.032) even when adjusting for age at presentation. MLR associated with EDSS at six months (P = 0.0203) and EDSS at one year (P = 0.0079). However, NLR and MLR did not predict EDSS scores in MS. MLR and NLR did not predict time to next relapse or did not associate with magnetic resonance imaging activity in MS and NMOSD. Changes in MLR and NLR were observed with disease-modifying therapies but did not predict disease activity.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR and MLR associated with six-month and one-year EDSS in children with NMOSD but not in MS. Future studies should explore whether changes in NLR and MLR could predict disease activity or treatment efficacy.

Clinical and imagenologic significance of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: A systematic review with meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Recently, the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has become a biomarker for assessing inflammatory stress and prognosis in different diseases.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to summarize the current evidence on the capacity of the NLR to serve as a biomarker in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD).

METHODS

Through a comprehensive systematic search up to December 2021 and using the search terms "neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio" and "neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder" we selected studies evaluating NLR values in NMOSD patients. A meta-analysis was planned, and a narrative synthesis was performed when this was not possible. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were planned. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach was used to assess certainty of the evidence.

RESULTS

Six studies were included (1036 patients). A significant increase in the NLR was observed between NMOSD patients and healthy controls with high heterogeneity (MD: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.76; 1.32; I2 = 59%). Regarding NMOSD prognosis, relapse (OR: 1.33 -OR: 2.14) was evaluated as being related to NLR with low certainty. An association with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≥4 (OR: 1.23 -OR: 1.43) was reported with moderate certainty. An association with the occurrence of lesions on MRI was reported with an OR of 1.52.

CONCLUSION

We found the NLR to be useful as a biomarker of NMOSD as it was significantly increased in the patient group compared to the healthy control group with high certainty. Additionally, the NLR was applicable as an indicator of poor prognosis with low to moderate certainty.

The Diagnostic Value of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio as an Effective Biomarker for Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder

Background

Neuromyelitis Optica (NMO) is a serious condition associated with inflammation. Early diagnosis and detection are critical for early intervention. In this systematic review, we investigate the role of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as an important biomarker for NMO.

Methods

Ten studies were selected that were sufficiently high quality and then checked for quality. The studies were organized by English language and selective inclusion criteria.

Results

NLR was significantly increased in NMO patients compared to controls. The ratio was specifically proportional to severity of disease. More severe disease had a higher ratio.

Conclusion

NLR offers a reliable and affordable method for early detection of disease severity. This can help guide appropriate treatment selection and monitor treatment response.

Predictive role of blood-based indicators in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders

Introduction

This study aimed to assess the predictive role of blood markers in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD).

Methods

Data from patients with NMOSD, multiple sclerosis (MS), and healthy individuals were retrospectively collected in a 1:1:1 ratio. The expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score was used to assess the severity of the NMOSD upon admission. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to distinguish NMOSD patients from healthy individuals, and active NMOSD from remitting NMOSD patients. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate risk factors that could be used to predict disease recurrence. Finally, Wilcoxon signed-rank test or matched-sample t-test was used to analyze the differences between the indicators in the remission and active phases in the same NMOSD patient.

Results

Among the 54 NMOSD patients, neutrophil count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (platelet × NLR) were significantly higher than those of MS patients and healthy individuals and positively correlated with the EDSS score of NMOSD patients at admission. PLR can be used to simultaneously distinguish between NMOSD patients in the active and remission phase. Eleven (20.4%) of the 54 patients had recurrence within 12 months. We found that monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) (AUC = 0.76, cut-off value = 0.34) could effectively predict NMOSD recurrence. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that a higher MLR at first admission was the only risk factor for recurrence (p = 0.027; OR = 1.173; 95% CI = 1.018-1.351). In patients in the relapsing phase, no significant changes in monocyte and lymphocyte count was observed from the first admission, whereas patients in remission had significantly higher levels than when they were first admitted.

Conclusion

High PLR is a characteristic marker of active NMOSD, while high MLR is a risk factor for disease recurrence. These inexpensive indicators should be widely used in the diagnosis, prognosis, and judgment of treatment efficacy in NMOSD.

Comparison of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio between myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease and aquaporin-4 antibody-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders in adults

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker for evaluating disease activity in systemic autoimmune diseases. However, few studies have discussed NLR changes in myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD). This study aimed to explore the NLR difference between MOGAD, aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-Ab)-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD), and healthy controls (HCs) and evaluate the clinical value of NLR in the differential diagnosis. We included 15 patients with MOGAD, 28 patients with AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD, and 68 HCs. Their NLRs were calculated, and statistical analysis was performed, with statistical significance set at P < 0.05. In pairwise comparisons between three groups, P < 0.017 was considered statistically significant under Bonferroni correction. NLR was higher during the acute attack in MOGAD patients than HCs but lower than in AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD patients. NLR was correlated with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in MOGAD and AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD patients. Also, there were no statistical differences in intracranial pressure between MOGAD and AQP4-Ab-positive NMOSD patients and HCs. The cut-off value was 2.86, and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.750 and 0.867, respectively. In conclusion, our results suggest that NLR may be a helpful marker to evaluate disease severity and differentiate between both diseases at a cut-off value of > 2.86 when patients have clinical symptoms like optic neuritis or myelitis.

Pregnancy-Related Attack in Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder With AQP4-IgG: A Single-Center Study and Meta-Analysis

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the demographic characteristic of pregnancy-related attacks (PRAs) in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD). In addition, we investigated the predictors of PRAs as well as the effect of immunosuppressive (IS) therapy in patients with pregnancy-related NMOSD.

Method

We retrospectively analyzed data on clinical and diagnostic characteristics, therapeutic management, and pregnancy outcomes for PRAs in AQP4-IgG-positive NMOSD patients admitted to the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University. Moreover, we searched the literature (without any temporal restriction) to identify all such similar cohorts and performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of IS therapy on NMOSD patients with PRAs.

Result

We collected clinical data on 117 women with AQP4 antibody-positive NMOSD; we ultimately included 33 patients (34 pregnancies). Ten patients were relapse-free during pregnancy, and 23 (69.7%) had PRA; attacks were most common during the first trimester of the postpartum period. Maintenance of IS treatment during pregnancy was found to greatly reduce PRAs in patients with NMOSD. PRAs were associated with a higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at relapse during pregnancy and shorter time interval between the last relapse and conception. The meta-analysis suggested that maintenance of IS treatment during pregnancy can significantly reduce the RR of NMOSD (95%CI=0.35-0.62; z=5.18, p<0.0001) and had no adverse effect on the miscarriage rate. However, the unhealthy newborn occurrence among those receiving IS treatment was 3.73 times higher than that of those not receiving treatment during pregnancy (95%CI=1.40–9.91; z=2.64, p=0.008).

Conclusion

Our study results demonstrates that pregnancy can induce the onset or relapse of attacks in NMOSD patients. The increased NLR value and disease activity may be a predictor for PRAs in patients with NMOSD. Moreover, administration of IS treatment during pregnancy can reduce the relapse rate. However, the dosage of drugs and risks of adverse effects to the fetus need to be considered. Future prospective studies with larger sample sizes are needed to confirm and extend our findings.

Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio differs between MS and NMOSD at disease onset and predict disability

BACKGROUND

We aimed to assess platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLR) for differentiating multiple sclerosis (MS) from aquaporin-4-antibody-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) at disease onset.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled and reviewed the medical records of patients with MS (N = 50) and NMOSD (N = 33) followed in specialized MS/NMOSD centers from Argentina. Demographical and clinical (manifestation and disability) data and neuroradiological features (new/enlarging or contrast-enhancing lesions) were assessed at baseline, 1 and 2 years. Serum samples were obtained during the first relapse without a previous acute or chronic treatment, at 1 and 2 years. Mixed-effects model was used to identify independent associations between the log-transformed NLR or PLR and MS/NMOSD outcomes.

RESULTS

PLR is increased in NMOSD when compared to MS (229.4 ± 86.74 vs. 186.6 ± 70.17, P = 0.01), but no significant differences were found for NLR (3.51 ± 1.29 vs. 3.30 ± 1.17, P = 0.43). PLR was the only independent predictor of poor physical disability score (EDSS ≥ 4) in NMOSD patients at 2 years (β=0.28, p = 0.02) after applying multivariate mixed-effects regression analysis. Additionally, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the PLR was the only independent predictor of EDSS ≥ 4 at 2 years (OR 28.8, p = 0.041) in the NMOSD group. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.841.

CONCLUSION

PLR could be potentially useful as additional diagnostic tool in differentiating these two neuroinflammatory conditions at presentation. PLR can predict severity of neurological disability at 2 years in NMOSD patients.

Clinical and Radiological Characteristics of Children and Adults With First-Attack Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein Antibody Disease and Analysis of Risk Factors for Predicting the Severity at Disease Onset in Central China

Objective

To analyze and compare different clinical, laboratory, and magnetic resonance imaging characteristics between pediatric and adult patients with first-attack myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody disease (MOGAD) and to explore predictive factors for severity at disease onset.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with MOGAD at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2013 to August 2021 were enrolled in this retrospective study. Age at disease onset, sex, comorbidities, laboratory tests, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) characteristics, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores were collected and analyzed. The association between risk factors and initial EDSS scores at disease onset was analyzed using logistic regression models and Spearman correlation analyses. A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the uric acid and homocysteine (Hcy) levels for the severity of neurological dysfunction at the onset of MOGAD.

Results

Sixty-seven patients (female, n=34; male, n=33) with first-attack MOGAD were included in this study. The mean age at onset was 26.43 ± 18.22 years (range: 3–79 years). Among patients &lt;18 years of age, the most common presenting symptoms were loss of vision (36.0%), and nausea and vomiting (24.0%), and the most common disease spectrum was acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) (40.0%). Among patients aged ≥18 years, the most common presenting symptoms were loss of vision (35.7%), paresthesia (33.3%), and paralysis (26.2%), and the most common disease spectrum was optic neuritis (35.7%). The most common lesions were cortical gray matter/paracortical white matter lesions in both pediatric and adult patients. Uric acid [odds ratio (OR)=1.014; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.006–1.022; P=0.000] and serum Hcy (OR=1.125; 95% CI=1.017–1.246; P=0.023) levels were significantly associated with the severity of neurological dysfunction at disease onset. Uric acid levels (r=0.2583; P=0.035) and Hcy levels (r=0.3971; P=0.0009) were positively correlated with initial EDSS scores. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.7775 (95% CI= 0.6617‒0.8933; P&lt;0.001) and 0.6767 (95% CI=0.5433‒0.8102, P=0.014) for uric acid and Hcy levels, respectively.

Conclusion

The clinical phenotype of MOGAD varies in patients of different ages. The most common disease spectrum was ADEM in patients aged&lt;18 years, while optic neuritis was commonly found in patients aged ≥18 years. The uric acid and Hcy levels are risk factors for the severity of neurological dysfunction at disease onset in patients with first-attack MOGAD.

Monocyte to High-Density Lipoprotein Ratio: A Novel Predictive Marker of Disease Severity and Prognosis in Patients With Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders

Background and Purpose: To investigate the association of monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (MHR) with disease severity and prognosis in patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD).

Methods: This retrospective study included 125 patients with NMOSD. Demographic and clinical parameters, including the MHR, were assessed. The initial Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score and relapse rate were used to evaluate disease severity and prognosis, respectively. Correlations between MHR and disease severity and relapse rate were analyzed. The predictive value of MHR for prognosis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results: Compared with the low MHR group, the initial EDSS score (median 4.5 vs. 5.5%, P = 0.025) and relapse rate (51.61 vs. 30.16%, P = 0.015) were significantly higher in the high MHR group. MHR was positively correlated with the initial EDSS score (r = 0.306, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that MHR was significantly associated with severity (odds ratio = 7.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.08–57.82, P = 0.041), and it was a significant predictor of disease prognosis (hazard ratio = 3.12, 95% CI = 1.02–9.53, P = 0.046). The median relapse interval of the high MHR group was 24.40 months. When the MHR was higher than 0.565, the risk of relapse was high [sensitivity, 33.3%; specificity, 91.9%; area under the ROC curve, 0.642 (95% CI = 0.54–0.74, P = 0.007)].

Conclusion: MHR is a novel predictive marker of disease severity and prognosis in patients with NMOSD. Early monitoring and reduction of MHR may allow earlier intervention and improved prognosis.