Survival of Stroke Patients According to Hypertension Status in Northern Ethiopia: Seven Years Retrospective Cohort Study

In-hospital mortality and its associated factors among hospitalized stroke patients at public hospitals of Eastern Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Stroke is rapidly developing clinical signs of focal/ global disturbance of cerebral function, with symptoms lasting more than 24 h and leading to death. Data showed that stroke deaths in Ethiopia reached nearly seven percent of total deaths. Despite this report, there is a paucity of investigations about the problem.

OBJECTIVE

To determine in-hospital mortality and its associated factors among hospitalized stroke patients in Hiwot Fana Comprehensive Specialized University Hospital and Jugal General Hospital, eastern Ethiopia from September 2016-August 2022 G.C.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among hospitalized stroke patients. A sample size of 395 medical records was selected from a total of 564 stroke patients by a simple random sampling technique. The data was analyzed by SPSS version 26 using bivariable and multivariable cox-regression models. A p-value of 0.05 and less at a 95% confidence interval was used to establish a statistically significant association.

RESULTS

Of the total, 109 (27.6%) died in the hospital while 57.2% and 15.2% of them were discharged with improvement and against medical advice, respectively. Age greater than 65 (AHR = 4.71, 95% CI = 1.11-19.96), creatinine level > 1.2 mg/dl (AHR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.0-2.39), and co-morbidity with atrial fibrillation (AHR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.0-2.21) were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

In-hospital mortality was found in more than a quarter of stroke patients. Mortality was more likely increased among the patients with age > 65, serum creatinine level > 1.2 mg/dl, and atrial fibrillation. Hence, these high-risk patients need to be monitored.

Incidence of mortality and risk factors among adult stroke patients in public hospitals Jigjiga town Somali region, Ethiopia: Cohort study design

Background

A stroke is a sudden loss of blood supply to the brain, leading to permanent tissue damage caused by embolism, thrombosis, or hemorrhagic events. Almost 85% of strokes are ischemic strokes.

Objective

To assess the incidence of mortality and risk factors among adult stroke patients in public hospitals of Jigjiga town, Somali Region, Ethiopia.

Methods

An institution-based retrospective cohort study was conducted from 25 May to 15 June 2022 at Sheikh Hassen Yabare Referral Hospital and Karamara Hospital. Data were entered using Epi-Data version 4.3 and exported to be analyzed using SPSS 20 statistical software. Kaplan-Meier was used to estimate mean survival time, and a predictor with a p-value < 0.05 was considered to have a significant in multivariate Cox regression.

Results

About 480 stroke patients' charts were included in this study; among those, 229 (53.3%) were male stroke patients, and 259 (60.2%) had an ischemic stroke. The overall incidence rate was 7.15 deaths per 1000 person-day observations. The overall median survival time for adult stroke patients was 120 days. GCS level b/n 3-8 has a lower survival time with a mean survival time of 57 days (95% CI: 48.8-66.7) as compared to those who had GCS level 9-12 with a mean survival time of 103 days (95% CI: 93.4-112.9). Age ⩾ 71 (AHR = 1.9; 95% CI: 1.02-3.45), presence of pneumonia (AHR = 2.7; 95% CI: 1.52-4.63), and history of hypertension (AHR = 2.07; 95% CI: 1.08-3.89) were the predictors of mortality among stroke patients.

Conclusion

According to the findings of this study, the incidence of mortality was high, at 7.15 per 1000 person-years. The presence of pneumonia, decreased GCS, age ⩾ 7, and history of hypertension were predictors of mortality in adult stroke patients.

Predictors of 30-day mortality following the first episode of stroke among patients admitted at referral hospitals in Dodoma, central Tanzania: A prospective longitudinal observational study

Background and Aims

Stroke is the leading cause of disability and the second most common cause of death after ischemic heart disease worldwide. Understanding predictors of early poststroke mortality provides opportunities for interventions and favorable outcomes. This study aimed to determine the incidence and predictors of 30-day mortality among patients admitted with the first stroke at referral hospitals in Dodoma.

Methods

A prospective longitudinal observational design enrolled patients with acute stroke confirmed by CT scan or MRI admitted at referral hospitals in Dodoma. The National Institute of Health Stroke Scale was used to assess stroke severity at baseline. A comparison of risk factors, clinical profiles, and mortality was done using the Chi-square test. A logistic regression model was used to determine the predictors of 30-day mortality in patients with the stroke while the 30-day probability of survival was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Results

Out of 226 patients with first-ever stroke, 121(54%) were males, and the population mean age was 63(15) years. The 140(62%) had Ischemic stroke, and 154(68%) survived at the 30th day. Patients with a history of smoking 2.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) (1.0-5.6), p = 0.048], loss of consciousness 2.7 [95% CI (1.2-6.4; p = 0.019] and unequal pupil size 13.7 [95% CI (4.1-58.1, p < 0.001 were significantly more associated with mortality within 30 days. The median survival was 7 (3-9) days, whereas alcohol drinkers and those aged above 60 years had a shorter time to mortality compared to non-alcohol drinkers and those aged <60 years.

Conclusion

The study showed a high incidence of mortality within 30 days after the first stroke episode, with the highest proportion dying within 7 days of being hospitalized. Advanced age of ≥60 years, smoking, alcohol use, and severe stroke at admission warrant special attention.

Risk factors for stroke-related functional disability and mortality at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Stroke is one of the top causes of functional disability around the world. The main objective was to identify stroke-related functional outcomes and risk factors. A good functional outcome is defined as the absence of problems secondary to the stroke event, a poor functional outcome as the presence of complications, and mortality as the existence of complications.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort analysis was used to observe factors in 298 eligible adult (18 or older) stroke patients who attend outpatient clinics every three months at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital between September 2019 and August 2021 to predict outcomes.

RESULT

The likelihood of dying from a poor outcome was 9%, and the likelihood of recovering was 24%. The average time spent on good and poor outcomes for different levels of independent variables varies according to their risk. During the first three years of follow-up, the instantaneous risk with a 95% confidence interval of transitioning from good to poor outcome in the women, aged 60 or older, with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and hemorrhage stroke versus men stroke patients, aged 18 to 59, without hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and ischemic stroke were 1.54 (1.10, 2.15), 1.73 (1.19, 2.52), 2.34 (1.55, 3.53), 2.74 (1.64, 4.56), and 1.52 (1.10, 2.19) respectively. The hazard ratio of transitioning from poor outcome to death for patients with diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation versus those without diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation was estimated to be 1.95 (1.10, 3.46) and 3.39 (1.67, 6.89), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Women over 60 with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and hemorrhagic stroke were more likely to progress from a good to a poor outcome. Diabetes and atrial fibrillation were also risk factors for progressing from a poor outcome to death. The states and transitions, as well as a clinical control of the hazards for the transition through states, should improve the physician's decision-making process. Since gender and age are difficult to control, early intervention by patients and the hospital may be critical in influencing functional outcomes.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among adult Stroke patients admitted to Jimma University Medical Center, South west Ethiopia: A retrospective Cohort study

Background

Stroke is the leading cause of cardiovascular disease death in sub-Saharan Africa and the second leading cause of mortality worldwide. In 2016, 6.23% of all fatalities in Ethiopia were stroke-related.

Objective

To assess survival status and predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients admitted to Jimma University Medical Center from April 1/2017 to March 31/2022.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 480 adult stroke patients selected by simple random sampling from patients admitted to the Jimma University Medical Center Stroke Unit from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2022. Data were extracted from May to June 2022 and entered Epi-data v.3.1 and analyzed by R v.4.2. The Kaplan-Meier curve with Log rank test was used to estimate survival time and to compare survival experience between categories of explanatory variables. The Cox regression model was computed to identify predictors of survival status in stroke patients. Then the 95% CI of the hazard ratio was set with corresponding p-value < 0.05 to declare statistical significance.

Results

During 4350 person-days of follow-up; 88 (18.33%) patients died; resulting in an incidence mortality of 20.23 per 1000 person-days, with a median survival time of 38 days. Glasgow coma score <8 on admission (AHR = 7.71; 95% CI: 3.78, 15.69), dyslipidemia (AHR = 3.96; 95% CI: 2.04, 7.69), aspiration pneumonia (AHR 2.30; 95% CI: 1.23-4.26), and increased intracranial pressure (AHR = 4.27; 95% CI: 2.33, 7.81), were the independent predictors of the time until death.

Conclusion

The incidence of stroke mortality was higher at the seven and fourteen days. Glasgow Coma Scale, increased intracranial pressure, dyslipidemia, and aspiration pneumonia were independent predictors of mortality.

Evaluation of transitions from early hypertension to hypertensive chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, stroke and mortality: a Thai real-world data cohort

Objective

Systemic arterial hypertension (HT) is a major modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVDs), associated with all-cause death (ACD). Understanding its progression from the early state to late complications should lead to more timely intensification of treatment. This study aimed to construct a real-world cohort profile of HT and to estimate transition probabilities from the uncomplicated state to any of these long-term complications; chronic kidney disease (CKD), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke, and ACD.

Methods

This real-world cohort study used routine clinical practice data for all adult patients diagnosed with HT in the Ramathibodi Hospital, Thailand from 2010 to 2022. A multi-state model was developed based on the following: state 1-uncomplicated HT, 2-CKD, 3-CAD, 4-stroke, and 5-ACD. Transition probabilities were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method.

Results

A total of 144,149 patients were initially classified as having uncomplicated HT. The transition probabilities (95% CI) from the initial state to CKD, CAD, stroke, and ACD at 10-years were 19.6% (19.3%, 20.0%), 18.2% (17.9%, 18.6%), 7.4% (7.1%, 7.6%), and 1.7% (1.5%, 1.8%), respectively. Once in the intermediate-states of CKD, CAD, and stroke, 10-year transition probabilities to death were 7.5% (6.8%, 8.4%), 9.0% (8.2%, 9.9%), and 10.8% (9.3%, 12.5%).

Conclusions

In this 13-year cohort, CKD was observed as the most common complication, followed by CAD and stroke. Among these, stroke carried the highest risk of ACD, followed by CAD and CKD. These findings provide improved understanding of disease progression to guide appropriate prevention measures. Further investigations of prognostic factors and treatment effectiveness are warranted.

Endovascular treatment in patients with coma that developed secondary to acute basilar artery occlusion

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients with secondary coma following acute basilar artery occlusion (comatose patients) and to identify the impact of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score on medical decisions.

METHODS

Patients from the Endovascular Treatment for Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion study were divided into comatose and noncomatose cohorts. The primary outcome was favorable functional independence (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] scores 0-3). The safety outcome was 90-day mortality. Subgroup analysis was performed to identify populations best suited for EVT. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent predictive factors of clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Comatose patients who underwent EVT had more favorable functional outcomes and lower mortality compared with those who underwent standard medical treatment (functional outcomes: 15.98% vs 4.17%; mortality: 62.72% vs 82.29%). Moreover, EVT was associated with better outcomes in the cohort with GCS scores of 6-8 (mRS scores 0-3, 25.33% and mortality, 41.33%) than in the cohort with GCS scores of 3-5. Multivariate analysis indicated that EVT was an independent factor for favorable functional outcomes (adjusted OR 8.921, 95% CI 2.330-34.158) and mortality (adjusted OR 0.189, 95% CI 0.092-0.411) in comatose patients. The initial GCS score was an independent factor for favorable functional outcomes (adjusted OR 1.402, 95% CI 1.115-1.763) and mortality (adjusted OR 0.613, 95% CI 0.499-0.752) in comatose patients with EVT.

CONCLUSIONS

EVT significantly improved the prognosis of comatose patients, and patients with GCS scores of 6-8 were found to benefit more from EVT than those with GCS scores of 3-5. The initial GCS score was an independent predictive factor for prognosis in comatose patients.

Incidence and mortality rates of strokes in Kazakhstan in 2014-2019

There is a lack of information on the epidemiology of acute ischemic stroke (AIS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in developing countries. This research presents incidence and mortality rates of stroke patients based on hospital admission and discharge status in one of the Central Asian countries by analysis of large-scale healthcare data. The registry data of 177,947 patients admitted to the hospital with the diagnosis of stroke between 2014 and 2019 were extracted from the National Electronic Health System of Kazakhstan. We provide descriptive statistics and analyze the association of socio-demographic and medical characteristics such as comorbidities and surgical treatments. Among all stroke patients, the incidence rate based on hospital admission of AIS was significantly higher compared to SAH and ICH patients. In 5 year follow-up period, AIS patients had a better outcome than SAH and ICH patients (64.7, 63.1 and 57.3% respectively). The hazard ratio (HR) after the trepanation and decompression surgery was 2.3 and 1.48 for AIS and SAH patients; however, it was protective for ICH (HR = 0.87). The investigation evaluated an increase in the all-cause mortality rates based on the discharge status of stroke patients, while the incidence rate decreased over time.

In-hospital mortality and its predictors among adult stroke patients admitted in Debre Markos Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia

Introduction

Stroke is the second-leading global cause of death next to ischemic heart disease. The burden of stroke mortality, morbidity, and disability is increasing across the world. In Ethiopia, evidence on the survival status of adult stroke patients is insufficient. The purpose of this study is to estimate in-hospital mortality and its predictors among adult stroke patients.

Methods

Institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted on adult stroke patients who were admitted to Debre Markos Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from 1 November 2015 to 31 October 2020. Through simple random sampling, 382 patient charts were selected from 1125 stroke patients for 5 years follow-up period. Data were entered using EpiData™ version 4.1 and exported to Stata/SE™ version 14 for cleaning, coding, categorizing, and analysis. Predictor variables were selected using 95% confidence interval with a corresponding adjusted hazard ratio.

Results

In this study, 219 (57.33%) males and the mean (standard deviation) age of 57.65 ± 14.3 years. The in-hospital mortality rate of stroke was 12.8%; the median (interquartile range) time to mortality and Glasgow Coma Scale were 7 (4-13) days and 14 (11-15), respectively. The incidence of in-hospital mortality was 29/1000, 11/1000, 8/1000, and 13.6/1000 person-days in the first, second, third, and end of follow-up weeks, respectively. Pneumonia (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.51 (95% confidence interval = 1.86, 6.61)), hemorrhagic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.03 (95% confidence interval = 1.03, 3.99)), moderate impairment Glasgow Coma Scale (9-12) (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.16 (95% confidence interval = 1.08, 4.29)), severe impairment Glasgow Coma Scale (3-8) (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.38 (95% confidence interval = 1.01, 5.67)), history of hypertension (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.01 (95% confidence interval = 1.08, 3.74)), and increased intracranial pressure (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.12 (95% confidence interval = 1.10, 4.07)) were statistically significant predictors for in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion

In-hospital mortality of stroke was relatively high, and the median time to mortality was 8 days. Pneumonia, hemorrhagic stroke, Glasgow Coma Scale, history of hypertension, and increased intracranial pressure were identified predictors.

Survival status and predictor of mortality among adult stroke patients in Saint Paul’s hospital millennium medical college, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Objective:

In Africa, there is up to 316 per 100,000 annual incidence rate of stroke, a prevalence of up to 1460 per 100,000, and a 3-year mortality rate higher than 80%. The incidence of stroke mortality in Ethiopia is 19.2%. Stroke is a major cause of disability and death worldwide. Early mortality in-hospital and deprived functional outcomes are common in acute stroke. This study aims to assess survival status and predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients.

Methods:

Institution-based retrospective cohort was conducted on patients who were admitted to Saint Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College. A simple random sampling technique was used. Bivariate and multivariable cox regression analysis were used to identify predictors of stroke mortality. For multivariable cox regression analysis statistically, significance was declared at p-value <0.05 and 95% CI.

Results:

A total of 251 adult stroke patient charts were included in the study. The overall Kaplan–Meier estimate showed that the probability of in-hospital stroke patients’ survival on the 41st day was nearly 50%. In this study, 77 (30.7%) of the study participants died. Decreased Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) with adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 4.26 (95% CI: 2.25–8.07) and p-value ⩽ 0.01 and presence of pneumonia with AHR 3.05 (95% CI: 1.29–7.21) and p-value ⩽ 0.01 are the predictor of mortality.

Conclusion:

The probability of survival relatively falls as follow-up time increases. The overall incidence of mortality among adult stroke patients was high. The decreased GCS and the presence of pneumonia are predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients.

The burden of stroke and modifiable risk factors in Ethiopia: A systemic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The burden and contribution of modifiable risk factors of stroke in Ethiopia are unclear. Knowledge about this burden and modifying risk factors is pivotal for establishing stroke prevention strategies. In recent decades, the issue of lifestyle and behavioral modification is a key to improve the quality of life. The modifiable risk factors are an importance as intervention strategies aimed at reducing these factors can subsequently reduce the risk of stroke. So far, many primary studies were conducted to estimate the burden of stroke and modifiable risk factors in Ethiopia. However, the lack of a nationwide study that determines the overall pooled estimation of burden and modifiable risk factors of stroke is a research gap.

METHODS

To conduct this systemic review and meta-analysis, we are following the PRISMA checklist. Three authors searched and extracted the data from the CINAHL (EBSCO), MEDLINE (via Ovid), PubMed, EMcare, African Journals Online (AJOL), and Google scholar. The quality of the primary study was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) by two independent reviewers. The primary studies with low and moderate risk of bias were included in the final analysis. The authors presented the pooled estimated burden of stroke and its modifiable risk factors. The registered protocol number in PROSPERO was CRD42020221906.

RESULTS

In this study, the pooled burden of hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke were 46.42% (95%CI: 41.82-51.53; I2 = 91.6%) and 51.40% (95%CI: 46.97-55.82; I2 = 85.5%) respectively. The overall magnitude of modifiable risk factor of hypertension, alcohol consumption and dyslipidemia among stroke patients were 49% (95%CI: 43.59, 54.41), 24.96% (95CI%:15.01, 34.90), and 20.99% (95%CI: 11.10, 30.88), respectively. The least proportion of stroke recovery was in the Oromia region (67.38 (95%CI: 41.60-93.17; I2 = 98.1%). Farther more, the proportion of stroke recovery was decreased after 2017 (70.50 (56.80-84.20).

CONCLUSIONS

In our study, more than 90% of stroke patients had one or more modifiable risk factors. All identified modifiable stroke risk factors are major public health issues in Ethiopia. Therefore, strategy is designed for stroke prevention to decrease stroke burden through targeted modification of a single risk factor, or a cluster of multiple risk factors, used on a population, community, or individual level.

Clinical Characteristics, Treatment Outcomes, and its Predictors Among Hospitalized Stroke Patients in Ambo University Referral Hospital, West Ethiopia: A Retrospective Hospital-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Stroke is becoming a leading cause of death and adult disability in the developing world.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to assess the clinical characteristics, treatment outcomes, and its predictors among stroke patients admitted to Ambo University Referral Hospital (AURH), West Ethiopia.

METHODS

All 111 stroke patients hospitalized from April 2016 to May 2019 were included using a hospital-based retrospective study. Socio-demographic profile, past medication history, clinical presentation, drugs prescribed for comorbid condition and stroke treatment, and outcomes data were collected using data abstraction formats and results were summarized using both descriptive and inferential statistics.

KEY FINDINGS

According to WHO clinical criteria, 89 (80.2%) were diagnosed with ischemic stroke, and 20 (18.0%) were diagnosed with hemorrhagic stroke. The majority of the patients 94 (84.7%) had at least one antecedent risk factor in which hypertension accounted for 44.1%. More than half, 69 (62.2%), of hospitalized stroke patients had good treatment outcomes while 42 (37.8%) had a poor outcome. The overall case-fatality rate was 18 (16.2%), 12 (13.5%) from ischemic stroke, and 6 (30.0%) from hemorrhagic stroke. Acetyl salicylic acid (ASA) with atorvastatin/simvastatin, 67 (73.5%) in ischemic stroke and 12 (60.0%) in hemorrhagic stroke, was the most frequent medications prescribed for stroke during admission while it was frequently prescribed for 48 (53.6%) of ischemic stroke and 10 (50.0%) of the hemorrhagic stroke on discharge. Overall, ceftriaxone + metronidazole 32 (28.8%) was frequently prescribed concomitant medications during admission. The major predictors identified for poor stroke outcomes were substance abuse (AOR=2.839, P=0.024) and have had not received any medication for stroke treatment during admission (AOR=12.503, P≤0.001).

CONCLUSION

A significant number of the admitted stroke patients had poor treatment outcome in which the case-fatality rate was relatively high. Substance abuse and having not received medication for stroke were the significant predictors for poor treatment outcome. Hence, a well-established stroke unit setup at AURH is required for accurate diagnosis and management of stroke to overcome stroke-related mortality and/or poor treatment outcome.