Serum Potassium and Cardiovascular Outcomes: The Highs and the Lows

Risk prediction of kalaemia disturbance and acute kidney injury after total knee arthroplasty: use of a machine learning algorithm

INTRODUCTION

Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a procedure associated with risks of electrolyte and kidney function disorders, which are rare but can lead to serious complications if not correctly identified. A routine check-up is very often carried out to assess the seric ionogram and kidney function after TKA, that rarely requires clinical intervention in the event of a disturbance. The aim of this study was to identify perioperative variables that would lead to the creation of a machine learning model predicting the risk of kalaemia disorders and/or acute kidney injury after total knee arthroplasty.

HYPOTHESIS

A predictive model could be constructed to estimate the risk of kalaemia disorders and/or acute kidney injury after total knee arthroplasty.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This single-centre retrospective study included 774 total knee arthroplasties (TKA) operated on between January 2020 and March 2023. Twenty-five preoperative variables were incorporated into the machine learning model and filtered by a first algorithm. The most predictive variables selected were used to construct a second algorithm to define the overall risk model for postoperative kalaemia and/or acute kidney injury (K+ A). Two groups were formed of K+ A and non-K+ A patients after TKA. A univariate analysis was performed and the performance of the machine learning model was assessed by the area under the curve representing the sensitivity of the model as a function of 1 - specificity.

RESULTS

Of the 774 patients included who had undergone TKA surgery, 46 patients (5.9%) had a postoperative kalaemia disorder requiring correction and 13 patients (1.7%) had acute kidney injury, of whom 5 patients (0.6%) received vascular filling. Eight variables were included in the machine learning predictive model, including body mass index, age, presence of diabetes, operative time, lowest mean arterial pressure, Charlson score, smoking and preoperative glomerular filtration rate. Overall performance was good with an area under the curve of 0.979 [CI95% 0.938-1.02], sensitivity was 90.3% [CI95% 86.2-94.4] and specificity 89.7% [CI95% 85.5-93.8]. The tool developed to assess the risk of impaired kalaemia and/or acute kidney injury after TKA is available on https://arthrorisk.com.

CONCLUSION

The risk of kalaemia disturbance and postoperative acute kidney injury after total knee arthroplasty could be predicted by a model that identifies low-risk and high-risk patients based on eight pre- and intraoperative variables. This machine learning tool is available on a web platform accessible for everyone, easy to use and has a high predictive performance. The aim of the model was to better identify and anticipate the complications of dyskalaemia and postoperative acute kidney injury in high-risk patients. Further prospective multicentre series are needed to assess the value of a systematic postoperative biochemical work-up in the absence of risk predicted by the model.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV; retrospective study of case series.

The unexplored role of alkali and alkaline earth elements (ALAEs) on the structure, processing, and biological effects of bioactive glasses

Bioactive glass has been employed in several medical applications since its inception in 1969. The compositions of these materials have been investigated extensively with emphasis on glass network formers, therapeutic transition metals, and glass network modifiers. Through these experiments, several commercial and experimental compositions have been developed with varying chemical durability, induced physiological responses, and hydroxyapatite forming abilities. In many of these studies, the concentrations of each alkali and alkaline earth element have been altered to monitor changes in structure and biological response. This review aims to discuss the impact of each alkali and alkaline earth element on the structure, processing, and biological effects of bioactive glass. We explore critical questions regarding these elements from both a glass science and biological perspective. Should elements with little biological impact be included? Are alkali free bioactive glasses more promising for greater biological responses? Does this mixed alkali effect show increased degradation rates and should it be employed for optimized dissolution? Each of these questions along with others are evaluated comprehensively and discussed in the final section where guidance for compositional design is provided.

Introduction to Nephrocardiology

The interaction between nephrology and cardiovascular medicine is much broader than the cardiorenal syndrome. Many different aspects of cardiovascular medicine are interconnected with and substantially influenced by the conditions that fall into the realm of nephrology, and vice versa. Those aspects include pathophysiology, risk factors, epidemiology, prognosis, prevention, diagnosis, monitoring, and therapy. Discovery of the interconnected areas and development of appropriate knowledge and skill to optimally approach those circumstances can improve the quality of care and outcome of a large population of patients. Therefore, establishment of the distinct subspeciality of nephrocardiology is imperative.

Update on management of hypokalemia and goals for the lower potassium level in patients with cardiovascular disease: A review in collaboration with the European Society of Cardiology Working Group on Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy

Hypokalaemia is common in patients with cardiovascular disease. In this review, we emphasize the importance of tight potassium regulation in patients with cardiovascular disease based on findings from observational studies. To enhance the understanding, we also describe the mechanisms of potassium homeostasis maintenance, the most common causes of hypokalaemia and present strategies for monitoring and management of low potassium levels. We propose elevation of potassium in asymptomatic patients with lower normal concentrations and concurrent cardiovascular disease. These proposals are intended to assist clinicians until more evidence is available.

Effects of hyperkalaemia and non-adherence to renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor therapy in patients with heart failure in Italy: a propensity-matched study

Aims

The aims of this study were to evaluate if the risk of cardiovascular events and all‐cause mortality was higher in the presence of hyperkalaemia (HK) in patients with heart failure (HF) treated with renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi), and to investigate in this cohort the increased risk of cardiovascular events and all‐cause mortality among HK patients with non‐optimal adherence to RAASi therapy.

Methods and results

In this retrospective cohort study based on administrative databases of five Italian Local Health Units, all adult patients with a HF diagnosis between January 2010 and December 2017 were included only if they were prescribed RAASi therapy during the first 3 months after the index date, that corresponded to the date of first HF diagnosis during the inclusion period. Patients were considered to have HK if serum potassium level was ≥5.5 mmol/L. A propensity score matching was applied before evaluation of hazard ratios. Patients with HK were 37% (P < 0.001) and 70% (P < 0.001), respectively, more at risk of cardiovascular events and of dying for all‐cause mortality compared to non‐HK patients. Among the HK group, patients non‐adherent to RAASi therapy had a 39% (P = 0.105) higher risk of cardiovascular events and a twofold increased risk (P < 0.001) of all‐cause death.

Conclusion

Findings from this real‐world study showed that in a cohort of HF patients under RAASi therapy, subjects with HK had an enhanced risk of cardiovascular events or death compared to patients without HK. Moreover, in HK patients, sub‐optimal adherence to RAASi therapy was associated with an increased risk of all‐cause mortality.

Hyperkalemia: pathophysiology, risk factors and consequences

There have been significant recent advances in our understanding of the mechanisms that maintain potassium homoeostasis and the clinical consequences of hyperkalemia. In this article we discuss these advances within a concise review of the pathophysiology, risk factors and consequences of hyperkalemia. We highlight aspects that are of particular relevance for clinical practice. Hyperkalemia occurs when renal potassium excretion is limited by reductions in glomerular filtration rate, tubular flow, distal sodium delivery or the expression of aldosterone-sensitive ion transporters in the distal nephron. Accordingly, the major risk factors for hyperkalemia are renal failure, diabetes mellitus, adrenal disease and the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers or potassium-sparing diuretics. Hyperkalemia is associated with an increased risk of death, and this is only in part explicable by hyperkalemia-induced cardiac arrhythmia. In addition to its well-established effects on cardiac excitability, hyperkalemia could also contribute to peripheral neuropathy and cause renal tubular acidosis. Hyperkalemia-or the fear of hyperkalemia-contributes to the underprescription of potentially beneficial medications, particularly in heart failure. The newer potassium binders could play a role in attempts to minimize reduced prescribing of renin-angiotensin inhibitors and mineraolocorticoid antagonists in this context.

Risk of Developing Hypokalemia in Patients With Hypertension Treated With Combination Antihypertensive Therapy

Little is known about the occurrence of hypokalemia due to combination therapy for hypertension. Using data from Danish administrative registries, we investigated the association between different combinations of antihypertensive therapy and risk of developing hypokalemia. Using incidence density matching, 2 patients without hypokalemia were matched to a patient with hypokalemia (K, <3.5 mmol/L) on age, sex, renal function, and time between index date and date of potassium measurement. Combination therapies were subdivided into 10 groups including β-blockers (BB)+thiazides (BB+thiazides), calcium channel blockers (CCB)+renin angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi)+thiazides (CCB+RASi+Thiazides), calcium channel blockers+thiazides (CCB+thiazides), and β-blockers+renin angiotensin system inhibitors+thiazides (BB+RASi+thiazides). We used conditional logistic regression to estimate the odds of developing hypokalemia for different combinations of antihypertensive drugs within 90 days of combination therapy initiation. We matched 463 patients with hypokalemia to 926 patients with normal potassium concentrations. The multivariable analysis showed 5.82× increased odds of developing hypokalemia if administered CCB+thiazides (95% CI, 3.06–11.08) compared with CCB+RASi. Other combinations significantly associated with increased hypokalemia odds were BB+thiazides (odds ratio, 3.34 [95% CI, 1.67–6.66]), CCB+RASi+thiazides (odds ratio, 3.07 [95% CI, 1.72–5.46]), and BB+RASi+thiazides (odds ratio, 2.78 [95% CI, 1.41–5.47]). Combinations of thiazides with CCB, RASi, or BB were strongly associated with increased hypokalemia risk within 90 days of treatment initiation.

Regulation of Potassium Homeostasis in CKD

Disturbances of potassium homeostasis can cause either hyperkalemia or hypokalemia and result in serious consequences. Although the consequences of acute and chronic hyperkalemia and treatment of these conditions in CKD have been widely appreciated by nephrologists, more recent information has focused attention on the consequences of chronic hypokalemia. Several recent studies have documented a "U-shaped" relationship between the serum [K⁺] and higher mortality in several clinical studies. The causes of dyskalemias are placed into the unique perspective of patients with CKD and its evolution with progression of CKD to later stages and focuses on the pathophysiology of these disorders. Emphasis is placed on the high mortality associated with both low and high levels of potassium that are unique to patients with CKD. Recent information regarding sensors of changes in the serum [K⁺] that evoke changes in NaCl transport in the DCT1 and subsequent efferent responses by aldosterone-responsive cells in the DCT2 and cortical collecting duct to adjust K⁺ secretion by the renal outer medullary potassium channel is reviewed in detail. These sensing mechanisms can be interrupted by drugs, such as the calcineurin inhibitors to cause both hypertension and hyperkalemia in kidney transplant patients, or can be inherited as familial hypertensive hyperkalemia. The role and pathogenesis of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers in causing hyperkalemia is a common stop point for cessation of these important drugs, but, and newer agents to lower the serum [K⁺] that might allow continuation of angiotensin-converting enzyme or angiotensin receptor blocker therapy are examined. Finally, the importance of emphasis on potassium-containing foods, such as fresh produce and fruit in the diets of patients with early-stage CKD, is examined as an under-appreciated area requiring more emphasis by nephrologists caring for these patients and may be unique to food-challenged patients with CKD.

Serum Potassium Levels and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death Among Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease and Significant Coronary Artery Disease

Introduction

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients have increased risks of sudden cardiac arrest and sudden cardiac death (SCA/SCD) that are not explained by traditional risk factors. We examined associations between serum potassium and SCA/SCD in a large cohort of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and moderate CKD.

Methods

Among 22,009 patients who underwent cardiac catheterization at our institution between 1999 and 2011, 6181 patients had an estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m² and were not receiving renal replacement therapy. The risk of SCA/SCD and all-cause mortality associated with potassium concentration was evaluated at the time of cardiac catheterization (baseline) and most proximate to SCA/SCD events. Covariate-adjusted Cox models were used to examine relationships between baseline potassium measurements and outcomes. A propensity score-matched, case−control design was used to assess risk associations of potassium measurements obtained proximate to SCA events.

Results

In the baseline potassium analysis, compared with levels in the normal range, there was no significant risk association between hyperkalemia (>5 mEq/l) or hypokalemia (<3.5 mEq/l) and SCA/SCD or all-cause death after covariate adjustment. In the proximate potassium analysis, hyperkalemia occurred more frequently than hypokalemia (16.7% vs. 3%), and was associated with a doubling in SCA/SCD risk (adjusted odd ratio: 2.37; 95% confidence interval: 1.33–4.23) whereas there was no significant relationship between hypokalemia and outcome.

Discussion

Among CKD patients with significant CAD, elevated serum potassium levels >5.0 mEq/l are common and are associated with an increased short-term risk of SCA/SCD. Early detection and treatment of hyperkalemia may reduce the high risk of SCD among CKD patients.