Application of Zone Model Predictive Control Artificial Pancreas During Extended Use of Infusion Set and Sensor: A Randomized Crossover-Controlled Home-Use Trial

Glucose Rate-of-Change and Insulin-on-Board Jointly Weighted Zone Model Predictive Control

We present design and evaluation of closed-loop insulin delivery using zone model predictive control (MPC) featuring an adaptive weighting scheme to address prolonged hyperglycemia due to changes in insulin sensitivity, underdelivery from profile mismatch, and meal composition. In the MPC cost function, the penalty on predicted glucose deviation from the upper zone boundary is weighted by a joint function of predicted glucose rate-of-change (ROC) and insulin-on-board (IOB). The asymmetric weighting gradually increases when glucose ROC and IOB were jointly low, independent of glucose magnitude, to limit hyperglycemia while aggressively reduces for negative glucose ROC to avoid hypoglycemia. The proposed controller was evaluated using two simulation scenarios: an induced resistance scenario and a nominal scenario to highlight the performance over a reference zone MPC with glucose ROC weighting only. The continuous adaption scheme resulted in consistent improvement for the entire glucose range without incurring additional risk of hypoglycemia. For the induced resistance and no feedforward bolus scenario, the percent time in 70-180 mg/dL was higher (53.5% versus 48.9%, p<0.001) with larger improvement in the overnight percent time in tighter glucose range 70-140 mg/dL (70.9% versus 52.9%, p<0.001). The results from extensive simulations, as well as clinical validation in three different outpatient studies demonstrate the utility and safety of the proposed zone MPC.

Effectiveness and safety of a model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for an artificial pancreas system in outpatients with type 1 diabetes (T1D): systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to assess the effectiveness and safety of a model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for an artificial pancreas system in outpatients with type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central, and the Web of Science to December 2021. The eligibility criteria for study selection were randomized controlled trials comparing artificial pancreas systems (MPC, PID, and fuzzy algorithms) with conventional insulin therapy in type 1 diabetes patients. The heterogeneity of the overall results was identified by subgroup analysis of two factors including the intervention duration (overnight and 24 h) and the follow-up periods (< 1 week, 1 week to 1 month, and > 1 month).

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included a total of 41 studies. Considering the effect on the percentage of time maintained in the target range between the MPC-based artificial pancreas and conventional insulin therapy, the results showed a statistically significantly higher percentage of time maintained in the target range in overnight use (10.03%, 95% CI [7.50, 12.56] p < 0.00001). When the follow-up period was considered, in overnight use, the MPC-based algorithm showed a statistically significantly lower percentage of time maintained in the hypoglycemic range (-1.34%, 95% CI [-1.87, -0.81] p < 0.00001) over a long period of use (> 1 month).

CONCLUSIONS

Overnight use of the MPC-based artificial pancreas system statistically significantly improved glucose control while increasing time maintained in the target range for outpatients with type 1 diabetes. Results of subgroup analysis revealed that MPC algorithm-based artificial pancreas system was safe while reducing the time maintained in the hypoglycemic range after an overnight intervention with a long follow-up period (more than 1 month).

Feasibility of Closed-Loop Insulin Delivery with a Pregnancy-Specific Zone Model Predictive Control Algorithm

Objective: Evaluating the feasibility of closed-loop insulin delivery with a zone model predictive control (zone-MPC) algorithm designed for pregnancy complicated by type 1 diabetes (T1D). Research Design and Methods: Pregnant women with T1D from 14 to 32 weeks gestation already using continuous glucose monitor (CGM) augmented pump therapy were enrolled in a 2-day multicenter supervised outpatient study evaluating pregnancy-specific zone-MPC based closed-loop control (CLC) with the interoperable artificial pancreas system (iAPS) running on an unlocked smartphone. Meals and activities were unrestricted. The primary outcome was the CGM percentage of time between 63 and 140 mg/dL compared with participants' 1-week run-in period. Early (2-h) postprandial glucose control was also evaluated. Results: Eleven participants completed the study (age: 30.6 ± 4.1 years; gestational age: 20.7 ± 3.5 weeks; weight: 76.5 ± 15.3 kg; hemoglobin A1c: 5.6% ± 0.5% at enrollment). No serious adverse events occurred. Compared with the 1-week run-in, there was an increased percentage of time in 63-140 mg/dL during supervised CLC (CLC: 81.5%, run-in: 64%, P = 0.007) with less time >140 mg/dL (CLC: 16.5%, run-in: 30.8%, P = 0.029) and time <63 mg/dL (CLC: 2.0%, run-in:5.2%, P = 0.039). There was also less time <54 mg/dL (CLC: 0.7%, run-in:1.6%, P = 0.030) and >180 mg/dL (CLC: 4.9%, run-in: 13.1%, P = 0.032). Overnight glucose control was comparable, except for less time >250 mg/dL (CLC: 0%, run-in:3.9%, P = 0.030) and lower glucose standard deviation (CLC: 23.8 mg/dL, run-in:42.8 mg/dL, P = 0.007) during CLC. Conclusion: In this pilot study, use of the pregnancy-specific zone-MPC was feasible in pregnant women with T1D. Although the duration of our study was short and the number of participants was small, our findings add to the limited data available on the use of CLC systems during pregnancy (NCT04492566).

Zone-MPC Automated Insulin Delivery Algorithm Tuned for Pregnancy Complicated by Type 1 Diabetes

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) increases the risk for pregnancy complications. Increased time in the pregnancy glucose target range (63-140 mg/dL as suggested by clinical guidelines) is associated with improved pregnancy outcomes that underscores the need for tight glycemic control. While closed-loop control is highly effective in regulating blood glucose levels in individuals with T1D, its use during pregnancy requires adjustments to meet the tight glycemic control and changing insulin requirements with advancing gestation. In this paper, we tailor a zone model predictive controller (zone-MPC), an optimization-based control strategy that uses model predictions, for use during pregnancy and verify its robustness in-silico through a broad range of scenarios. We customize the existing zone-MPC to satisfy pregnancy-specific glucose control objectives by having (i) lower target glycemic zones (i.e., 80-110 mg/dL daytime and 80-100 mg/dL overnight), (ii) more assertive correction bolus for hyperglycemia, and (iii) a control strategy that results in more aggressive postprandial insulin delivery to keep glucose within the target zone. The emphasis is on leveraging the flexible design of zone-MPC to obtain a controller that satisfies glycemic outcomes recommended for pregnancy based on clinical insight. To verify this pregnancy-specific zone-MPC design, we use the UVA/Padova simulator and conduct in-silico experiments on 10 subjects over 13 scenarios ranging from scenarios with ideal metabolic and treatment parameters for pregnancy to extreme scenarios with such parameters that are highly deviant from the ideal. All scenarios had three meals per day and each meal had 40 grams of carbohydrates. Across 13 scenarios, pregnancy-specific zone-MPC led to a 10.3 ± 5.3% increase in the time in pregnancy target range (baseline zone-MPC: 70.6 ± 15.0%, pregnancy-specific zone-MPC: 80.8 ± 11.3%, p < 0.001) and a 10.7 ± 4.8% reduction in the time above the target range (baseline zone-MPC: 29.0 ± 15.4%, pregnancy-specific zone-MPC: 18.3 ± 12.0, p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the time below range between the controllers (baseline zone-MPC: 0.5 ± 1.2%, pregnancy-specific zone-MPC: 3.5 ± 1.9%, p = 0.1). The extensive simulation results show improved performance in the pregnancy target range with pregnancy-specific zone MPC, suggest robustness of the zone-MPC in tight glucose control scenarios, and emphasize the need for customized glucose control systems for pregnancy.

Impact of Accelerating Insulin on an Artificial Pancreas System Without Meal Announcement: An In Silico Examination

BACKGROUND

Controlling postprandial blood glucose without the benefit of an appropriately sized premeal insulin bolus has been challenging given the delays in absorption and action of subcutaneously injected insulin during conventional and artificial pancreas (AP) system diabetes treatment. We aim to understand the impact of accelerating insulin and increasing aggressiveness of the AP controller as potential solutions to address the postprandial hyperglycemia challenge posed by unannounced meals through a simulation study.

METHODS

Accelerated rapid-acting insulin analogue is modeled within the UVA/Padova simulation platform by uniformly reducing its pharmacokinetic time constants (α multiplier) and used with a model predictive control, where the controller's aggressiveness depends on α. Two sets of single-meal simulations were performed: (1) where we only tune the controller's aggressiveness and (2) where we also accelerate insulin absorption and action to assess postprandial glycemic control during each intervention.

RESULTS

Mean percent of time spent within the 70 to 180 mg/dL postprandial glycemic range is significantly higher in set (2) than in set (1): 79.9, 95% confidence interval [77.0, 82.7] vs 88.8 [86.8, 90.9] ([Note to typesetter: Set all unnecessary math in text format and insert appropriate spaces between operators.] P < .05) for α = 2, and 81.4 [78.6, 84.3] vs 94.1 [92.6, 95.6] (P < .05) for α = 3. A decrease in percent of time below 70 mg/dL is also detected: 0.9 [0.4, 2.2] vs 0.6 [0.2, 1.4] (P = .23) for α = 2 and 1.4 [0.7, 2.8] vs 0.4 [0.1, 1.4] (P < .05) for α = 3.

CONCLUSION

These proof-of-concept simulations suggest that an AP without prandial insulin boluses combined with significantly faster insulin analogues could match the glycemic performance obtained with an optimal hybrid AP.

Physical Activity and Psychological Stress Detection and Assessment of Their Effects on Glucose Concentration Predictions in Diabetes Management

OBJECTIVE

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) enables prediction of the future glucose concentration (GC) trajectory for making informed diabetes management decisions. The glucose concentration values are affected by various physiological and metabolic variations, such as physical activity (PA) and acute psychological stress (APS), in addition to meals and insulin. In this work, we extend our adaptive glucose modeling framework to incorporate the effects of PA and APS on the GC predictions.

METHODS

A wristband conducive of use by free-living ambulatory people is used. The measured physiological variables are analyzed to generate new quantifiable input features for PA and APS. Machine learning techniques estimate the type and intensity of the PA and APS when they occur individually and concurrently. Variables quantifying the characteristics of both PA and APS are integrated as exogenous inputs in an adaptive system identification technique for enhancing the accuracy of GC predictions. Data from clinical experiments illustrate the improvement in GC prediction accuracy.

RESULTS

The average mean absolute error (MAE) of one-hour-ahead GC predictions with testing data decreases from 35.1 to 31.9 mg/dL (p-value = 0.01) with the inclusion of PA information, and it decreases from 16.9 to 14.2 mg/dL (p-value = 0.006) with the inclusion of PA and APS information.

CONCLUSION

The first-ever glucose prediction model is developed that incorporates measures of physical activity and acute psychological stress to improve GC prediction accuracy.

SIGNIFICANCE

Modeling the effects of physical activity and acute psychological stress on glucose concentration values will improve diabetes management and enable informed meal, activity and insulin dosing decisions.

Basal Glucose Control in Type 1 Diabetes Using Deep Reinforcement Learning: An In Silico Validation

People with Type 1 diabetes (T1D) require regular exogenous infusion of insulin to maintain their blood glucose concentration in a therapeutically adequate target range. Although the artificial pancreas and continuous glucose monitoring have been proven to be effective in achieving closed-loop control, significant challenges still remain due to the high complexity of glucose dynamics and limitations in the technology. In this work, we propose a novel deep reinforcement learning model for single-hormone (insulin) and dual-hormone (insulin and glucagon) delivery. In particular, the delivery strategies are developed by double Q-learning with dilated recurrent neural networks. For designing and testing purposes, the FDA-accepted UVA/Padova Type 1 simulator was employed. First, we performed long-term generalized training to obtain a population model. Then, this model was personalized with a small data-set of subject-specific data. In silico results show that the single and dual-hormone delivery strategies achieve good glucose control when compared to a standard basal-bolus therapy with low-glucose insulin suspension. Specifically, in the adult cohort (n = 10), percentage time in target range 70, 180 mg/dL improved from 77.6% to 80.9% with single-hormone control, and to 85.6% with dual-hormone control. In the adolescent cohort (n = 10), percentage time in target range improved from 55.5% to [Formula: see text] with single-hormone control, and to 78.8% with dual-hormone control. In all scenarios, a significant decrease in hypoglycemia was observed. These results show that the use of deep reinforcement learning is a viable approach for closed-loop glucose control in T1D.

Embedded Model Predictive Control for a Wearable Artificial Pancreas

While artificial pancreas (AP) systems are expected to improve the quality of life among people with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM), the design of convenient systems that optimize the user experience, especially for those with active lifestyles, such as children and adolescents, still remains an open research question. In this work, we introduce an embeddable design and implementation of model predictive control (MPC) of AP systems for people with T1DM that significantly reduces the weight and on-body footprint of the AP system. The embeddable controller is based on a zone MPC that has been evaluated in multiple clinical studies. The proposed embedded zone MPC features a simpler design of the periodic safe zone in the cost function and the utilization of state-of-the-art alternating minimization algorithms for solving the convex programming problems inherent to MPC with linear models subject to convex constraints. Off-line closed-loop data generated by the FDA-accepted UVA/Padova simulator is used to select an optimization algorithm and corresponding tuning parameters. Through hardware-in-the-loop in silico results on a limited-resource Arduino Zero (Feather M0) platform, we demonstrate the potential of the proposed embedded MPC. In spite of resource limitations, our embedded zone MPC manages to achieve comparable performance of that of the full-version zone MPC implemented in a 64-bit desktop for scenarios with/without meal-disturbance compensations. Metrics for performance comparison included median percent time in the euglycemic ([70, 180] mg/dL range) of 84.3% vs. 83.1% for announced meals, with an equivalence test yielding p = 0.0013 and 66.2% vs. 66.0% for unannounced meals with p = 0.0028.

Glucose outcomes of a learning-type artificial pancreas with an unannounced meal in type 1 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Glycemic control with unannounced meals is the major challenge for artificial pancreas. In this study, we described the performance and safety of learning-type model predictive control (L-MPC) for artificial pancreas challenged by an unannounced meal in type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

This closed-loop (CL) system was tested in 29 T1D patients at one site in a 4 h inpatient open-label study. Participants used an L-MPC CL system for 6 days after 2-day system identification using open-loop (OL) insulin system. During the CL period, the L-MPC system was started from 8:00 am to noon each day. At 9:00 am, each participant consumed 50 g of carbohydrates with no prandial insulin bolus. At 9:30 am on CL-Day 4 or CL-Day 6, participants rode bicycles for 20 minutes or drank 50 ml of beer, in a random order.

RESULTS

As the primary outcome, TIR on CL-Day 3 was 65.2±23.3%, which was 9.8 points higher (95% CI 1.8 to 17.8; P = 0.019) than that on CL-Day 1. The time of glucose >10 mmol/L was decreased by 11.0% (95% CI -18.7 to 3.3; P = 0.007), and mean glucose level was decreased by 1.1 mmol/L (95% CI -1.1 to 0.5; P = 0.000). The total daily insulin dosage showed no significant difference (-0.1U, 95% CI -1.34 to 1.32; P = 0.982). Compared with OL-Day1 with a postprandial bolus, the TIR was increased by 13.7 points (95% CI 1.4 to 26.0; P = 0.030), the time of glucose >10 mmol/L and the mean glucose level were also decreased. Compared with the exercise day (CL-Day E, 62.0 ± 23.3%; P = 0.347) or alcohol day (CL-Day A, 64.0 ± 23.6%; P = 0.756), there was no statistically significant difference in terms of TIR, time of glucose >10 mmol/L and mean glucose level. No severe hypoglycemic events occurred and hypoglycemic episodes were not increased by using closed-loop insulin system.

CONCLUSION

The L-MPC CL insulin system achieved good glycemic control challenged by an unannounced meal.

Monitoring of Pediatric Type 1 Diabetes

Regular self-monitoring of blood glucose levels, and ketones when indicated, is an essential component of type 1 diabetes (T1D) management. Although fingerstick blood glucose monitoring has been the standard of care for decades, ongoing rapid technological developments have resulted in increasingly widespread use of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). This article reviews recommendations for self-monitoring of glucose and ketones in pediatric T1D with particular emphasis on CGM and factors that impact the accuracy and real-world use of this technology.

Controlling the AP Controller: Controller Performance Assessment and Modification

BACKGROUND

Despite recent advances in closed-loop control of blood glucose concentration (BGC) in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D), online performance assessment and modification of artificial pancreas (AP) control systems remain a challenge as the metabolic characteristics of users change over time.

METHODS

A controller performance assessment and modification system (CPAMS) analyzes the glucose concentration variations and controller behavior, and modifies the parameters of the control system used in the multivariable AP system. Various indices are defined to quantitatively evaluate the controller performance in real time. Controller performance assessment and modification system also incorporates online learning from historical data to anticipate impending disturbances and proactively counteract their effects.

RESULTS

Using a multivariable simulation platform for T1D, the CPAMS is used to enhance the BGC regulation in people with T1D by means of automated insulin delivery with an adaptive learning predictive controller. Controller performance assessment and modification system increases the percentage of time in the target range (70-180) mg/dL by 52.3% without causing any hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia events.

CONCLUSIONS

The results demonstrate a significant improvement in the multivariable AP controller performance by using CPAMS.

Artificial Pancreas: Evaluating the ARG Algorithm Without Meal Announcement

BACKGROUND

Either under standard basal-bolus treatment or hybrid closed-loop control, subjects with type 1 diabetes are required to count carbohydrates (CHOs). However, CHO counting is not only burdensome but also prone to errors. Recently, an artificial pancreas algorithm that does not require premeal insulin boluses-the so-called automatic regulation of glucose (ARG)-was introduced. In its first pilot clinical study, although the exact CHO counting was not required, subjects still needed to announce the meal time and classify the meal size.

METHOD

An automatic switching signal generator (SSG) is proposed in this work to remove the manual mealtime announcement from the control strategy. The SSG is based on a Kalman filter and works with continuous glucose monitoring readings only.

RESULTS

The ARG algorithm with unannounced meals (ARG_um) was tested in silico under the effect of different types of mixed meals and intrapatient variability, and contrasted with the ARG algorithm with announced meals (ARG_am). Simulations reveal that, for slow-absorbing meals, the time in the euglycemic range, [70-180] mg/dL, increases using the unannounced strategy (ARG_am: 78.1 [68.6-80.2]% (median [IQR]) and ARG_um: 87.8 [84.5-90.6]%), while similar results were found with fast-absorbing meals (ARG_am: 87.4 [86.0-88.9]% and ARG_um: 87.6 [86.1-88.8]%). On the other hand, when intrapatient variability is considered, time in euglycemia is also comparable (ARG_am: 81.4 [75.4-83.5]% and ARG_um: 80.9 [77.0-85.1]%).

CONCLUSION

In silico results indicate that it is feasible to perform an in vivo evaluation of the ARG algorithm with unannounced meals.

Closed-Loop Control with Unannounced Exercise for Adults with Type 1 Diabetes using the Ensemble Model Predictive Control

This paper presents an individualized Ensemble Model Predictive Control (EnMPC) algorithm for blood glucose (BG) stabilization and hypoglycemia prevention in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) who exercise regularly. The EnMPC formulation can be regarded as a simplified multi-stage MPC allowing for the consideration of N _en scenarios gathered from the patient's recent behavior. The patient's physical activity behavior is characterized by an exercise-specific input signal derived from the deconvolution of the patient's continuous glucose monitor (CGM), accounting for known inputs such as meal, and insulin pump records. The EnMPC controller was tested in a cohort of in silico patients with representative inter-subject and intra-subject variability from the FDA-accepted UVA/Padova simulation platform. Results show a significant improvement on hypoglycemia prevention after 30 min of mild to moderate exercise in comparison to a similarly tuned baseline controller (rMPC); with a reduction in hypoglycemia occurrences (< 70 mg/dL), from 3.08% ± 3.55 with rMPC to 0.78% ± 2.04 with EnMPC (P < 0.05).

Factory-Calibrated Continuous Glucose Monitoring: How and Why It Works, and the Dangers of Reuse Beyond Approved Duration of Wear

Continuous glucose monitors (CGM) display real-time glucose values enabling greater glycemic awareness with reduced management burden. Factory-calibrated CGM systems allow for glycemic assessment without the pain and inconvenience of fingerstick glucose testing. Advances in sensor chemistry and CGM algorithms have enabled factory-calibrated systems to have greater accuracy than previous generations of CGM technology. Despite these advances many patients and providers are hesitant about the idea of removing fingerstick testing from their diabetes care. In this commentary, we aim to review the clinical trials on factory-calibrated CGM systems, present the algorithms which facilitate factory-calibrated CGMs to improve accuracy, discuss clinical use of factory-calibrated CGMs, and finally present two cases demonstrating the dangers of utilizing exploits in commercial systems to prolong sensor life.

Design and Clinical Evaluation of the Interoperable Artificial Pancreas System (iAPS) Smartphone App: Interoperable Components with Modular Design for Progressive Artificial Pancreas Research and Development

BACKGROUND

There is an unmet need for a modular artificial pancreas (AP) system for clinical trials within the existing regulatory framework to further AP research projects from both academia and industry. We designed, developed, and tested the interoperable artificial pancreas system (iAPS) smartphone app that can interface wirelessly with leading continuous glucose monitors (CGM), insulin pump devices, and decision-making algorithms while running on an unlocked smartphone.

METHODS

After algorithm verification, hazard and mitigation analysis, and complete system verification of iAPS, six adults with type 1 diabetes completed 1 week of sensor-augmented pump (SAP) use followed by 48 h of AP use with the iAPS, a Dexcom G5 CGM, and either a Tandem or Insulet insulin pump in an investigational device exemption study. The AP system was challenged by participants performing extensive walking without exercise announcement to the controller, multiple large meals eaten out at restaurants, two overnight periods, and multiple intentional connectivity interruptions.

RESULTS

Even with these intentional challenges, comparison of the SAP phase with the AP study showed a trend toward improved time in target glucose range 70-180 mg/dL (78.8% vs. 83.1%; P = 0.31), and a statistically significant reduction in time below 70 mg/dL (6.1% vs. 2.2%; P = 0.03). The iAPS system performed reliably and showed robust connectivity with the peripheral devices (99.8% time connected to CGM and 94.3% time in closed loop) while requiring limited user intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

The iAPS system was safe and effective in regulating glucose levels under challenging conditions and is suitable for use in unconstrained environments.

Artificial Pancreas: Clinical Study in Latin America Without Premeal Insulin Boluses

BACKGROUND

Emerging therapies such as closed-loop (CL) glucose control, also known as artificial pancreas (AP) systems, have shown significant improvement in type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) management. However, demanding patient intervention is still required, particularly at meal times. To reduce treatment burden, the automatic regulation of glucose (ARG) algorithm mitigates postprandial glucose excursions without feedforward insulin boluses. This work assesses feasibility of this new strategy in a clinical trial.

METHODS

A 36-hour pilot study was performed on five T1DM subjects to validate the ARG algorithm. Subjects wore a subcutaneous continuous glucose monitor (CGM) and an insulin pump. Insulin delivery was solely commanded by the ARG algorithm, without premeal insulin boluses. This was the first clinical trial in Latin America to validate an AP controller.

RESULTS

For the total 36-hour period, results were as follows: average time of CGM readings in range 70-250 mg/dl: 88.6%, in range 70-180 mg/dl: 74.7%, <70 mg/dl: 5.8%, and <50 mg/dl: 0.8%. Results improved analyzing the final 15-hour period of this trial. In that case, the time spent in range was 70-250 mg/dl: 94.7%, in range 70-180 mg/dl: 82.6%, <70 mg/dl: 4.1%, and <50 mg/dl: 0.2%. During the last night the time spent in range was 70-250 mg/dl: 95%, in range 70-180 mg/dl: 87.7%, <70 mg/dl: 5.0%, and <50 mg/dl: 0.0%. No severe hypoglycemia occurred. No serious adverse events were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

The ARG algorithm was successfully validated in a pilot clinical trial, encouraging further tests with a larger number of patients and in outpatient settings.

Incorporating Unannounced Meals and Exercise in Adaptive Learning of Personalized Models for Multivariable Artificial Pancreas Systems

BACKGROUND

Despite the recent advancements in the modeling of glycemic dynamics for type 1 diabetes mellitus, automatically considering unannounced meals and exercise without manual user inputs remains challenging.

METHOD

An adaptive model identification technique that incorporates exercise information and estimates of the effects of unannounced meals obtained automatically without user input is proposed in this work. The effects of the unknown consumed carbohydrates are estimated using an individualized unscented Kalman filtering algorithm employing an augmented glucose-insulin dynamic model, and exercise information is acquired from noninvasive physiological measurements. The additional information on meals and exercise is incorporated with personalized estimates of plasma insulin concentration and glucose measurement data in an adaptive model identification algorithm.

RESULTS

The efficacy of the proposed personalized and adaptive modeling algorithm is demonstrated using clinical data involving closed-loop experiments of the artificial pancreas system, and the results demonstrate accurate glycemic modeling with the average root-mean-square error (mean absolute error) of 25.50 mg/dL (18.18 mg/dL) for six-step (30 minutes ahead) predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

The approach presented is able to identify reliable time-varying individualized glucose-insulin models.

Adaptive Zone Model Predictive Control of Artificial Pancreas Based on Glucose- and Velocity-Dependent Control Penalties

OBJECTIVE

Zone model predictive control (MPC) has been proven to be an efficient approach to closed-loop insulin delivery in clinical studies. In this paper, we aim to safely reduce mean glucose levels by proposing control penalty adaptation in the cost function of zone MPC.

METHODS

A zone MPC method with a dynamic cost function that updates its control penalty parameters in real time according to the predicted glucose and its rate of change is developed. The proposed method is evaluated on the entire 100-adult cohort of the FDA-accepted UVA/Padova T1DM simulator and compared with the zone MPC tested in an extended outpatient study.

RESULTS

For unannounced meals, the proposed method leads to statistically significant improvements in terms of mean glucose (153.8 mg/dL vs. 159.0 mg/dL; ) and percentage time in [70, 180] mg/dL ([Formula: see text] vs. [Formula: see text]; ) without increasing the risk of hypoglycemia. Performance for announced meals is similar to that obtained without adaptation. The proposed method also behaves properly and safely for scenarios of moderate meal-bolus and basal rate mismatches, as well as simulated unannounced exercise. Advisory-mode analysis based on clinical data indicates that the method can reduce glucose levels through suggesting additional safe amounts of insulin on top of those suggested by the zone MPC used in the study.

CONCLUSION

The proposed method leads to improved glucose control without increasing hypoglycemia risks.

SIGNIFICANCE

The results validate the feasibility of improving glucose regulation through glucose- and velocity-dependent control penalty adaptation in MPC design.

Closed-loop insulin delivery: current status of diabetes technologies and future prospects

INTRODUCTION

Type 1 diabetes is characterised by destruction of pancreatic beta cells, leading to insulin deficiency and hyperglycaemia. The mainstay of treatment remains lifelong insulin therapy as a sustainable cure has as yet proven elusive. The burden of daily management of type 1 diabetes has contributed to suboptimal outcomes for people living with the condition. Innovative technological approaches have been shown to improve glycaemic and patient-related outcomes.

AREAS COVERED

We discuss recent advances in technologies in type 1 diabetes including closed-loop systems, also known as the 'artificial pancreas. Its various components, technical aspects and limitations are reviewed. We also discuss its advent into clinical practice, and other systems in development. Evidence from clinical studies are summarised.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

The recent approval of a hybrid closed-loop system for clinical use highlights the significant progress made in this field. Results from clinical studies have shown safety and glycaemic benefit, however challenges remain around improving performance and acceptability. More data is required to establish long-term clinical efficacy and cost-effectiveness, to fulfil the expectations of people with type 1 diabetes.

Fully Closed-Loop Multiple Model Probabilistic Predictive Controller Artificial Pancreas Performance in Adolescents and Adults in a Supervised Hotel Setting

BACKGROUND

Initial Food and Drug Administration-approved artificial pancreas (AP) systems will be hybrid closed-loop systems that require prandial meal announcements and will not eliminate the burden of premeal insulin dosing. Multiple model probabilistic predictive control (MMPPC) is a fully closed-loop system that uses probabilistic estimation of meals to allow for automated meal detection. In this study, we describe the safety and performance of the MMPPC system with announced and unannounced meals in a supervised hotel setting.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The Android phone-based AP system with remote monitoring was tested for 72 h in six adults and four adolescents across three clinical sites with daily exercise and meal challenges involving both three announced (manual bolus by patient) and six unannounced (no bolus by patient) meals. Safety criteria were predefined. Controller aggressiveness was adapted daily based on prior hypoglycemic events.

RESULTS

Mean 24-h continuous glucose monitor (CGM) was 157.4 ± 14.4 mg/dL, with 63.6 ± 9.2% of readings between 70 and 180 mg/dL, 2.9 ± 2.3% of readings <70 mg/dL, and 9.0 ± 3.9% of readings >250 mg/dL. Moderate hyperglycemia was relatively common with 24.6 ± 6.2% of readings between 180 and 250 mg/dL, primarily within 3 h after a meal. Overnight mean CGM was 139.6 ± 27.6 mg/dL, with 77.9 ± 16.4% between 70 and 180 mg/dL, 3.0 ± 4.5% <70 mg/dL, 17.1 ± 14.9% between 180 and 250 mg/dL, and 2.0 ± 4.5%> 250 mg/dL. Postprandial hyperglycemia was more common for unannounced meals compared with announced meals (4-h postmeal CGM 197.8 ± 44.1 vs. 140.6 ± 35.0 mg/dL; P < 0.001). No participants met safety stopping criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

MMPPC was safe in a supervised setting despite meal and exercise challenges. Further studies are needed in a less supervised environment.

Real-Time Detection of Infusion Site Failures in a Closed-Loop Artificial Pancreas

BACKGROUND

As evidence emerges that artificial pancreas systems improve clinical outcomes for patients with type 1 diabetes, the burden of this disease will hopefully begin to be alleviated for many patients and caregivers. However, reliance on automated insulin delivery potentially means patients will be slower to act when devices stop functioning appropriately. One such scenario involves an insulin infusion site failure, where the insulin that is recorded as delivered fails to affect the patient's glucose as expected. Alerting patients to these events in real time would potentially reduce hyperglycemia and ketosis associated with infusion site failures.

METHODS

An infusion site failure detection algorithm was deployed in a randomized crossover study with artificial pancreas and sensor-augmented pump arms in an outpatient setting. Each arm lasted two weeks. Nineteen participants wore infusion sets for up to 7 days. Clinicians contacted patients to confirm infusion site failures detected by the algorithm and instructed on set replacement if failure was confirmed.

RESULTS

In real time and under zone model predictive control, the infusion site failure detection algorithm achieved a sensitivity of 88.0% (n = 25) while issuing only 0.22 false positives per day, compared with a sensitivity of 73.3% (n = 15) and 0.27 false positives per day in the SAP arm (as indicated by retrospective analysis). No association between intervention strategy and duration of infusion sets was observed ( P = .58).

CONCLUSIONS

As patient burden is reduced by each generation of advanced diabetes technology, fault detection algorithms will help ensure that patients are alerted when they need to manually intervene. Clinical Trial Identifier: www.clinicaltrials.gov,NCT02773875.

Velocity-weighting & velocity-penalty MPC of an artificial pancreas: Improved safety & performance

A novel Model Predictive Control (MPC) law for the closed-loop operation of an Artificial Pancreas (AP) to treat type 1 diabetes is proposed. The contribution of this paper is to simultaneously enhance both the safety and performance of an AP, by reducing the incidence of controller-induced hypoglycemia, and by promoting assertive hyperglycemia correction. This is achieved by integrating two MPC features separately introduced by the authors previously to independently improve the control performance with respect to these two coupled issues. Velocity-weighting MPC reduces the occurrence of controller-induced hypoglycemia. Velocity-penalty MPC yields more effective hyperglycemia correction. Benefits of the proposed MPC law over the MPC strategy deployed in the authors' previous clinical trial campaign are demonstrated via a comprehensive in-silico analysis. The proposed MPC law was deployed in four distinct US Food & Drug Administration approved clinical trial campaigns, the most extensive of which involved 29 subjects each spending three months in closed-loop. The paper includes implementation details, an explanation of the state-dependent cost functions required for velocity-weighting and penalties, a discussion of the resulting nonlinear optimization problem, a description of the four clinical trial campaigns, and control-related trial highlights.

Artificial pancreas treatment for outpatients with type 1 diabetes: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of artificial pancreas treatment in non-pregnant outpatients with type 1 diabetes.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

DATA SOURCES

Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and grey literature up to 2 February 2018.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES

Randomised controlled trials in non-pregnant outpatients with type 1 diabetes that compared the use of any artificial pancreas system with any type of insulin based treatment. Primary outcome was proportion (%) of time that sensor glucose level was within the near normoglycaemic range (3.9-10 mmol/L). Secondary outcomes included proportion (%) of time that sensor glucose level was above 10 mmol/L or below 3.9 mmol/L, low blood glucose index overnight, mean sensor glucose level, total daily insulin needs, and glycated haemoglobin. The Cochrane Collaboration risk of bias tool was used to assess study quality.

RESULTS

40 studies (1027 participants with data for 44 comparisons) were included in the meta-analysis. 35 comparisons assessed a single hormone artificial pancreas system, whereas nine comparisons assessed a dual hormone system. Only nine studies were at low risk of bias. Proportion of time in the near normoglycaemic range (3.9-10.0 mmol/L) was significantly higher with artificial pancreas use, both overnight (weighted mean difference 15.15%, 95% confidence interval 12.21% to 18.09%) and over a 24 hour period (9.62%, 7.54% to 11.7%). Artificial pancreas systems had a favourable effect on the proportion of time with sensor glucose level above 10 mmol/L (-8.52%, -11.14% to -5.9%) or below 3.9 mmol/L (-1.49%, -1.86% to -1.11%) over 24 hours, compared with control treatment. Robustness of findings for the primary outcome was verified in sensitivity analyses, by including only trials at low risk of bias (11.64%, 9.1% to 14.18%) or trials under unsupervised, normal living conditions (10.42%, 8.63% to 12.2%). Results were consistent in a subgroup analysis both for single hormone and dual hormone artificial pancreas systems.

CONCLUSIONS

Artificial pancreas systems are an efficacious and safe approach for treating outpatients with type 1 diabetes. The main limitations of current research evidence on artificial pancreas systems are related to inconsistency in outcome reporting, small sample size, and short follow-up duration of individual trials.

The UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes Simulator Goes From Single Meal to Single Day

BACKGROUND

A new version of the UVA/Padova Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) Simulator is presented which provides a more realistic testing scenario. The upgrades to the previous simulator, which was accepted by the Food and Drug Administration in 2013, are described.

METHOD

Intraday variability of insulin sensitivity (S_I) has been modeled, based on clinical T1D data, accounting for both intra- and intersubject variability of daily S_I. Thus, time-varying distributions of both subject's basal insulin infusion and insulin-to-carbohydrate ratio were calculated and made available to the user. A model of "dawn" phenomenon based on clinical T1D data has been also included. Moreover, the model of subcutaneous insulin delivery has been updated with a recently developed model of commercially available fast-acting insulin analogs. Models of both intradermal and inhaled insulin pharmacokinetics have been included. Finally, new models of error affecting continuous glucose monitoring and self-monitoring of blood glucose devices have been added.

RESULTS

One hundred in silico adults, adolescent, and children have been generated according to the above modifications. The new simulator reproduces the intraday glucose variability observed in clinical data, also describing the nocturnal glucose increase, and the simulated insulin profiles reflect real life data.

CONCLUSIONS

The new modifications introduced in the T1D simulator allow to extend its domain of validity from "single-meal" to "single-day" scenarios, thus enabling a more realistic framework for in silico testing of advanced diabetes technologies including glucose sensors, new insulin molecules and artificial pancreas.

Glucose-responsive insulin delivery for type 1 diabetes: The artificial pancreas story

Insulin replacement therapy is integral to the management of type 1 diabetes, which is characterised by absolute insulin deficiency. Optimal glycaemic control, as assessed by glycated haemoglobin, and avoidance of hyper- and hypoglycaemic excursions have been shown to prevent diabetes-related complications. Insulin pump use has increased considerably over the past decade with beneficial effects on glycaemic control, quality of life and treatment satisfaction. The advent and progress of ambulatory glucose sensor technology has enabled continuous glucose monitoring based on real-time glucose levels to be integrated with insulin therapy. Low glucose and predictive low glucose suspend systems are currently used in clinical practice to mitigate against hypoglycaemia, and provide the first step towards feedback glucose control. The more advanced technology approach, an artificial pancreas or a closed-loop system, gradually increases and decreases insulin delivery in a glucose-responsive fashion to mitigate against hyper- and hypoglycaemia. Randomised outpatient clinical trials over the past 5 years have demonstrated the feasibility, safety and efficacy of the approach, and the recent FDA approval of the first single hormone closed-loop system establishes a new standard of care for people with type 1 diabetes.

Extremum Seeking Control for Personalized Zone Adaptation in Model Predictive Control for Type 1 Diabetes

Zone model predictive control has proven to be an effective closed-loop method to regulate blood glucose for people with type 1 diabetes (T1D). In this paper, we present a universal model-free optimization scheme for adapting the zone for T1D patients individually. The adaptation is based on a clinical glycemic risk index named relative regularized glycemic penalty index (rrGPI), which is calculated from glucose measurements by a continuous glucose monitor. The scheme's objective is to minimize rrGPI by simultaneously modulating a controller's blood glucose target zone's upper bound and lower bound. The adaptation mechanism is based on extremum seeking control, in which the zone boundaries are driven by gradient estimation obtained by continuously sinusoidally modulating and demodulating the rrGPI readings. To improve the adaptation method's robustness against uncertainties, a decaying feedback gain and a vanishing dither signal are employed. in-silico trials suggested that the personalized optimized zone can be reached within a week of adaptation. Both for announced and unannounced meals, the proposed method outperforms the fixed zone [80, 140] mg/dL, which has been employed in the authors' clinical trials. It is also shown that the developed method has strong robustness against real-life uncertainties.