Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events, Severe Hypoglycemia, and All-Cause Mortality in Postpancreatitis Diabetes Mellitus Versus Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Metabolic Sequelae and All-Cause Mortality in Chronic Pancreatitis With and Without Prior Acute Pancreatitis: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to investigate the risk of metabolic sequelae and all-cause mortality in a population-based cohort of chronic pancreatitis (CP) patients with and without prior acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

We used nationwide health registries to identify all Danish residents (18 years and older) with incident CP from 2000 to 2018. Information on AP/CP diagnoses, metabolic sequelae (post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus [PPDM], exocrine pancreatic dysfunction, and osteoporosis), and all-cause mortality were obtained from Danish national health registries. CP cases were stratified based on the presence of AP before CP diagnosis. The risk of metabolic sequelae and all-cause mortality was expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), calculated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A total of 9,655 patients with CP were included. Among patients with CP, 3,913 (40.5%) had a prior AP diagnosis. Compared with patients without a history of AP, patients with prior AP had a decreased risk of death (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.74-0.84), which was largely confined to the initial period after CP diagnosis. Patients with prior AP had an increased risk of PPDM (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.38-1.69), which persisted for up to a decade after CP diagnosis. No overall differences in risk were observed for exocrine pancreatic dysfunction (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.87-1.07) and osteoporosis (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.74-1.02).

DISCUSSION

This nationwide study revealed that most of the patients with CP have no prior episode(s) of AP, indicating that an attack of AP sensitizing the pancreas is not essential for CP development. CP patients with and without prior AP have different risk profiles of PPDM and all-cause mortality.

Epidemiology of post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus: insights from the COSMOS program

INTRODUCTION

Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) has long been recognized as one of the most challenging sub-types of diabetes to manage. Part of the problem is that the earlier literature on epidemiology of PPDM was confusing because of the presence of selection bias.

AREAS COVERED

A concerted series of population-based nationwide studies on PPDM from New Zealand has recently been published as part of the COSMOS (Clinical and epidemiOlogical inveStigations in Metabolism, nutritiOn, and pancreatic diseaseS) program and is the main focus of the present article.

EXPERT OPINION

The foundational knowledge on epidemiology of PPDM generated by the COSMOS program is generalizable to the population at large. It brings the field closer to a comprehensive narrative of risk factors, burden, mortality, and morbidity outcomes of PPDM. In producing new knowledge on epidemiology of PPDM, it will be important to adhere to the guidelines on identification of PPDM in population-based datasets advanced in the present article.

Risk and factors determining diabetes after mild, nonnecrotizing acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is relatively common following acute pancreatitis (AP), even after mild acute pancreatitis (MAP), the most frequent AP presentation, in which there is no overt beta cell injury. Post-AP related diabetes is widely misdiagnosed, resulting in potentially inappropriate treatment and worse outcomes than type 2 diabetes (T2D). Thus, it is important to understand risk across the spectrum of AP severity.

RECENT FINDINGS

Biological mechanisms are unclear and may include local and systemic inflammation leading to beta cell dysfunction and insulin resistance, altered gut barrier and/or gut peptides and possibly islet autoimmunity, though no studies have specifically focused on MAP. While studies examining clinical risk factors on MAP exclusively are lacking, there are studies which include MAP. These studies vary in scientific rigor, approaches to rule out preexisting diabetes, variable AP severity, diagnostic testing methods, and duration of follow-up. Overall, disease related factors, including AP severity, as well as established T2D risk factors are reported to contribute to the risk for DM following AP.

SUMMARY

Though numerous studies have explored risk factors for DM after AP, few studies specifically focused on MAP, highlighting a key knowledge gap that is relevant to the majority of patients with AP.

Closed-loop insulin delivery systems in patients with pancreatitis or pancreatectomy-induced diabetes: A case series

Pancreatic diabetes is associated with glycemic variability, poor metabolic control, and reduced quality of life. Though hybrid closed-loop (HCL) insulin delivery systems were not originally developed for these types of diabetes, they could address the therapeutic challenge. We aimed to evaluate long-term metabolic control in ten adult patients (mean ± SD age: 59 ± 12) treated with HCL insulin delivery systems for pancreatitis or pancreatectomy-induced diabetes. After a median of 346 days (range 64 - 631) with HCL insulin delivery, continuous glucose monitoring showed 59±19 % time-in-range [70-180 mg/dl] (versus 49±24 % before HCL insulin delivery, P = 0. 049) and 0.8 ± 1.0 % time-below-range [< 70 mg/dl] (versus 2.2 ± 2.6 %, P = 0.142), with the coefficient of glucose variability at 35.4 ± 7.6 (versus 37.8 ± 7.1, P = 0.047). HbA1c decreased from 8.5 ± 1.7 % to 7.7 ± 1.3 % [69±18 to 60±14 mmol/mol] (P = 0.076). No patient experienced an acute adverse metabolic event.

Mechanism exploration and biomarker identification of glycemic deterioration in patients with diseases of the exocrine pancreas

The damage to the endocrine pancreas among patients with diseases of the exocrine pancreas (DP) leads to reduced glycemic deterioration, ultimately resulting in diabetes of the exocrine pancreas (DEP). The present research aims to investigate the mechanism responsible for glycemic deterioration in DP patients, and to identify useful biomarkers, with the ultimate goal of enhancing clinical practice awareness. Gene expression profiles of patients with DP in this study were acquired from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. The original study defines DP patients to belong in one of three categories: non-diabetic (ND), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and DEP, which correspond to normoglycemia, early and late glycemic deterioration, respectively. After ensuring quality control, the discovery cohort included 8 ND, 20 IGT, and 12 DEP, while the validation cohort included 27 ND, 15 IGT, and 20 DEP. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) employed differentially expressed genes (DEGs), while immunocyte infiltration was determined using single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Additionally, correlation analysis was conducted to establish the link between clinical characteristics and immunocyte infiltration. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and random forest combined to identify biomarkers indicating glycemic deterioration in DP patients. These biomarkers were further validated through independent cohorts and animal experiments. With glycemic deterioration, biological processes in the pancreatic islets such as nutrient metabolism and complex immune responses are disrupted in DP patients. The expression of ACOT4, B2M, and ACKR2 was upregulated, whereas the expression of CACNA1F was downregulated. Immunocyte infiltration in the islet microenvironment showed a significant positive correlation with the age, body mass index (BMI), HbA1c and glycemia at the 2-h of patients. It was a crucial factor in glycemic deterioration. Additionally, B2M demonstrated a significant positive correlation with immunocyte infiltration and clinical features. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) and western blotting confirmed the upregulation in B2M. Immunofluorescent staining suggested the alteration of B2M was mainly in the alpha cells and beta cells. Overall, the study showed that gradually increased immunocyte infiltration was a significant contributor to glycemic deterioration in patients with DP, and it also highlighted B2M as a biomarker.

Prediction of pancreatic cancer risk in patients with new-onset diabetes using a machine learning approach based on routine biochemical parameters

OBJECTIVE

To develop a machine-learning model that can predict the risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in people with new-onset diabetes (NOD).

METHODS

From a population-based sample of individuals with NOD aged >50 years, patients with pancreatic cancer-related diabetes (PCRD), defined as NOD followed by a PDAC diagnosis within 3 years, were included (n = 716). These PCRD patients were randomly matched in a 1:1 ratio with individuals having NOD. Data from Danish national health registries were used to develop a random forest model to distinguish PCRD from Type 2 diabetes. The model was based on age, gender, and parameters derived from feature engineering on trajectories of routine biochemical variables. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and relative risk scores.

RESULTS

The most discriminative model included 20 features and achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.78 (CI:0.75-0.83). Compared to the general NOD population, the relative risk for PCRD was 20-fold increase for the 1 % of patients predicted by the model to have the highest cancer risk (3-year cancer risk of 12 % and sensitivity of 20 %). Age was the most discriminative single feature, followed by the rate of change in haemoglobin A1c and the latest plasma triglyceride level. When the prediction model was restricted to patients with PDAC diagnosed six months after diabetes diagnosis, the ROC-AUC was 0.74 (CI:0.69-0.79).

CONCLUSION

In a population-based setting, a machine-learning model utilising information on age, sex and trajectories of routine biochemical variables demonstrated good discriminative ability between PCRD and Type 2 diabetes.

Identification of Genetic Variants for Diabetic Retinopathy Risk Applying Exome Sequencing in Extreme Phenotypes

Background

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) risk has been shown to vary depending on ethnic backgrounds, and thus, it is worthy that underrepresented populations are analyzed for the potential identification of DR-associated genetic variants. We conducted a case-control study for the identification of DR-risk variants in Mexican population.

Methods

We ascertained 60 type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. Cases (n = 30) were patients with advanced proliferative DR (PDR) with less than 15 years after a T2DM diagnosis while controls (n = 30) were patients with no DR 15 years after the diagnosis of T2DM. Exome sequencing was performed in all patients, and the frequency of rare variants was compared. In addition, the frequency of variants occurring in a set of 169 DR-associated genes were compared.

Results

Statistically significant differences were identified for rare missense and splice variants and for rare splice variants occurring more than once in either group. A strong statistical difference was observed when the number of rare missense variants with an aggregated prediction of pathogenicity and occurring more than once in either group was compared (p = 0.0035). Moreover, 8 variants identified more than once in either group, occurring in previously identified DR-associated genes were recognized. The p.Pro234Ser KIR2DS4 variant showed a strong protective effect (OR = 0.04 [0.001-0.36]; p = 0.04).

Conclusions

Our study showed an enrichment of rare splice acceptor/donor variants in patients with PDR and identified a potential protective variant in KIR2DS4. Although statistical significance was not reached, our results support the replication of 8 previously identified DR-associated genes.

Risk factors for diabetes mellitus after acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Within 5 years of having acute pancreatitis (AP), approximately 20% of patients develop diabetes mellitus (DM), which later increases to approximately 40%. Some studies suggest that the prevalence of prediabetes (PD) and/or DM can grow as high as 59% over time. However, information on risk factors is limited. We aimed to identify risk factors for developing PD or DM following AP.

Methods

We systematically searched three databases up to 4 September 2023 extracting direct, within-study comparisons of risk factors on the rate of new-onset PD and DM in AP patients. When PD and DM event rates could not be separated, we reported results for this composite outcome as PD/DM. Meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model to calculate pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

Of the 61 studies identified, 50 were included in the meta-analysis, covering 76,797 participants. The studies reported on 79 risk factors, and meta-analysis was feasible for 34 risk factor and outcome pairs. The odds of developing PD/DM was significantly higher after severe and moderately severe AP (OR: 4.32; CI: 1.76-10.60) than mild AP. Hypertriglyceridemic AP etiology (OR: 3.27; CI: 0.17-63.91) and pancreatic necrosis (OR: 5.53; CI: 1.59-19.21) were associated with a higher risk of developing PD/DM. Alcoholic AP etiology (OR: 1.82; CI: 1.09-3.04), organ failure (OR: 3.19; CI: 0.55-18.64), recurrent AP (OR: 1.89; CI: 0.95-3.77), obesity (OR: 1.85; CI: 1.43-2.38), chronic kidney disease (OR: 2.10; CI: 1.85-2.38), liver cirrhosis (OR: 2.48; CI: 0.18-34.25), and dyslipidemia (OR: 1.82; CI: 0.68-4.84) were associated with a higher risk of developing DM.

Discussion

Severe and moderately severe AP, alcoholic and hypertriglyceridemic etiologies, pancreatic necrosis, organ failure, recurrent acute pancreatitis and comorbidities of obesity, chronic kidney disease liver disease, and dyslipidemia are associated with a higher risk of developing PD or DM.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42021281983.

Metformin treatment is associated with reduced risk of hypoglycaemia, major adverse cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality in patients with post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus: a nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is a frequent complication of pancreatitis and is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Metformin is recommended for the treatment of PPDM, but evidence of its risk-benefit profile is limited. In a pharmaco-epidemiologic study, we investigated the association between metformin treatment and adverse outcomes in patients with PPDM.

DESIGN AND METHODS

In a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study, we included adults (≥18 years) with incident PPDM or type 2 diabetes between 2009 and 2018. Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus was categorised into acute and chronic subtypes (PPDM-A and PPDM-C). Associations between metformin treatment and severe hypoglycaemia, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and all-cause mortality were examined across the diabetes subgroups using Cox regression analysis. Treatments with metformin, insulin, and other glucose-lowering therapies were handled as time-varying exposures.

RESULTS

We included 222 337 individuals with new-onset type 2 diabetes and 3781 with PPDM, of whom 2305 (61%) were classified as PPDM-A and 1476 (39%) as PPDM-C. Treatment with metformin was associated with a lower risk of severe hypoglycaemia (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.41, 95% CI 0.27-0.62, P < .0001), MACE (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.92, P = .0071), and all-cause mortality (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.49-0.64, P < .0001) in patients with PPDM. In sensitivity analyses and among individuals with type 2 diabetes, metformin treatment exhibited comparable trends of risk reduction.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin is associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes, including all-cause mortality in patients with PPDM, supporting the use of metformin as a glucose-lowering therapy for these patients.

Metabolic Sequelae: The Pancreatitis Zeitgeist of the 21st Century

Holistic management of pancreatitis means that gastroenterologists in the 21st Century should think beyond improving in-hospital outcomes of pancreatitis alone. In particular, there is considerable room for optimizing the management of new-onset diabetes, exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and other metabolic sequelae of pancreatitis. The present article provides state-of-the-art information on classification, terminology, and burden of the common sequelae of pancreatitis. A high-risk group of patients with pancreatitis is identified, which is positioned to benefit the most from the metabolic sequelae surveillance program introduced in this article. The program involves continuous follow-up after pancreatitis diagnosis, with the focus on early identification of new-onset diabetes after pancreatitis and exocrine pancreatic insufficiency. The metabolic sequelae surveillance program is scalable and has the potential to reduce the burden of pancreatitis through tertiary prevention in the decades to come.

Risk of pancreatic cancer in people with new-onset diabetes: A Danish nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

New onset diabetes (NOD) in people 50 years or older may indicate underlying pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The cumulative incidence of PDAC among people with NOD remains uncertain on a population-based level.

METHODS

This was a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study based on the Danish national health registries. We investigated the 3-year cumulative incidence of PDAC in people 50 years or older with NOD. We further characterised people with pancreatic cancer-related diabetes (PCRD) in relation to demographic and clinical characteristics, including trajectories of routine biochemical parameters, using people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) as a comparator group.

RESULTS

During a 21-year observation period, we identified 353,970 people with NOD. Among them, 2105 people were subsequently diagnosed with pancreatic cancer within 3 years (0.59%, 95% CI [0.57-0.62%]). People with PCRD were older than people with T2D at diabetes diagnosis (median age 70.9 vs. 66.0 years (P < 0.001) and had a higher burden of comorbidities (P = 0.007) and more prescriptions of medications used to treat cardiovascular diseases (all P < 0.001). Distinct trajectories of HbA1c and plasma triglycerides were observed in PCRD vs. T2D, with group differences observed for up to three years prior to NOD diagnosis for HbA1c and up to two years for plasma triglyceride levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The 3-year cumulative incidence of PDAC is approximately 0.6% among people 50 years or older with NOD in a nationwide population-based setting. Compared to T2D, people with PCRD are characterised by distinct demographic and clinical profiles, including distinctive trajectories of plasma HbA1c and triglyceride levels.

Diabetes of the Exocrine Pancreas: Implications for Pharmacological Management

Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus, pancreatic cancer-related diabetes, and cystic fibrosis-related diabetes are often underappreciated. As a result, a substantial proportion of people with these sub-types of diabetes receive antidiabetic medications that may be suboptimal, if not harmful, in the context of their underlying disease of the exocrine pancreas. The present article delineates both classical (biguanides, insulin, sulfonylureas, α-glucosidase inhibitors, thiazolidinediones, and meglitinides) and newer (glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, amylin analogs, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors, D2 receptor agonists, bile acid sequestrants, and dual glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptor co-agonists) therapies and provides recommendations for managing people with diabetes of the exocrine pancreas based on the most up-to-date clinical evidence. Also, several emerging directions (lipid-enriched pathways, Y4 receptor agonism, glucagon-like peptide-1 and glucagon receptor co-agonism) are presented with a view to informing the process of new drug discovery and development.

Development of a Clinical Prediction Model for Diabetes in Chronic Pancreatitis: The PREDICT3c Study

OBJECTIVE

Diabetes that arises from chronic pancreatitis (CP) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Methods to predict which patients with CP are at greatest risk for diabetes are urgently needed. We aimed to examine independent risk factors for diabetes in a large cohort of patients with CP.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study comprised 645 individuals with CP enrolled in the PROCEED study, of whom 276 had diabetes. We conducted univariable and multivariable regression analyses of potential risk factors for diabetes. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, and accuracy was evaluated by cross validation. Exploratory analyses were stratified according to the timing of development of diabetes relative to the diagnosis of pancreatitis.

RESULTS

Independent correlates of diabetes in CP included risk factors for type 2 diabetes (older age, overweight/obese status, male sex, non-White race, tobacco use) as well as pancreatic disease-related factors (history of acute pancreatitis complications, nonalcoholic etiology of CP, exocrine pancreatic dysfunction, pancreatic calcification, pancreatic atrophy) (AUROC 0.745). Type 2 diabetes risk factors were predominant for diabetes occurring before pancreatitis, and pancreatic disease-related factors were predominant for diabetes occurring after pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple factors are associated with diabetes in CP, including canonical risk factors for type 2 diabetes and features associated with pancreatitis severity. This study lays the groundwork for the future development of models integrating clinical and nonclinical data to identify patients with CP at risk for diabetes and identifies modifiable risk factors (obesity, smoking) on which to focus for diabetes prevention.

Evaluation of motor vehicle crashes between scooter riders and car drivers after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Despite the plausibility that diabetes may increase the risk of motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) due to various diabetes related complications and co-morbidity, findings from epidemiological studies on the relationship between diabetes and MVCs remained inclusive mainly due to heterogeneity in the study design and failure to complete consideration of potential confounders. This study re-visited this putative association with an improved study design.

METHOD

This study employed a controlled before-after study design and included 1,264,280 people aged 18-75 years with T2D newly diagnosed from 2009-2014 and an equal number of age-, sex-, and time-matched controls. The rate ratios (RRs) of vehicle type-specific incidence rates of MVCs in the 1 and 2 years before and after diabetes diagnosis (or the matched dates) were compared between the individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their matched controls.

RESULTS

The rate of MVCs increased slightly among people with T2D over 1 and 2 years following diabetes diagnosis, with RRs of 1.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.02-1.07) and 1.11 (95% CI=1.09-1.13), respectively. These RRs were comparable to those obtained for controls (1.06 and 1.12, respectively). By contrast, the RRs of scooter crashes were significantly higher in the T2D group than in the control group during the 1 year (1.28 vs. 1.08, p < 0.001) and 2 years (1.32 vs. 1.08, p < 0.001) following diabetes diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

T2D diagnosis was associated with a moderate but significant increase in the risk of MVCs among scooter drivers, but not among car drivers.