Trends in prevalence, incidence and mortality of diagnosed and silent coronary heart disease in Quebec

Developing a gender measure and examining its association with cardiovascular diseases incidence: a 28-year prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Examining gender (socio-cultural) in addition to sex (biological) is required to untangle socio-cultural characteristics contributing to inequities within or between sexes. This study aimed to develop a gender measure including four gender dimensions and examine the association between this gender measure and CVD incidence, across sexes.

METHODS

A cohort of 9188 white-collar workers (49.9% females) in the Quebec region was recruited in 1991-1993 and follow-up was carried out 28 years later for CVD incidence. Data collection involved a self-administered questionnaire and extraction of medical-administrative CVD incident cases. Cox proportional models allowed calculations of hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), stratified by sex.

RESULTS

Sex and gender were partly independent, as discordances were observed in the distribution of the gender score across sexes. Among males, being in the third tertile of the gender score (indicating a higher level of characteristics traditionally ascribed to women) was associated with a 50% CVD risk increase compared to those in the first tertile (HR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.24 to 1.82). This association persisted after adjustment for several CVD risk factors (HR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.16 to 1.73). Conversely, no statistically significant association between the third tertile of the gender score and CVD incidence was observed in females (HR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.60-1.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggested that males within the third tertile of the gender score were more likely to develop CVD, while females with those characteristics did not exhibit an increased risk. These findings underline the necessity for clinical and population health research to integrate both sex and gender measures, to further evaluate disparities in cardiovascular health and enhance the inclusivity of prevention strategies.

Effect of statin use for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease among older adults: a cautionary tale concerning target trials emulation

OBJECTIVES

Evidence concerning the effect of statins in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among older adults is lacking. Using Quebec population-wide administrative data, we emulated a hypothetical randomized trial including older adults >65 years on April 1, 2013, with no CVD history and no statin use in the previous year.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We included individuals who initiated statins and classified them as exposed if they were using statin at least 3 months after initiation and nonexposed otherwise. We followed them until March 31, 2018. The primary outcome was the composite endpoint of coronary events (myocardial infarction, coronary bypass, and percutaneous coronary intervention), stroke, and all-cause mortality. The intention-to-treat (ITT) effect was estimated with adjusted Cox models and per-protocol effect with inverse probability of censoring weighting.

RESULTS

A total of 65,096 individuals were included (mean age = 71.0 ± 5.5, female = 55.0%) and 93.7% were exposed. Whereas we observed a reduction in the composite outcome (ITT-hazard ratio (HR) = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.68-0.83) and mortality (ITT-HR = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.61-0.77) among exposed, coronary events increased (ITT-HR = 1.46; 95% CI: 1.09-1.94). All multibias E-values were low indicating that the results were not robust to unmeasured confounding, selection, and misclassification biases simultaneously.

CONCLUSION

We cannot conclude on the effectiveness of statins in primary prevention of CVD among older adults. We caution that an in-depth reflection on sources of biases and careful interpretation of results are always required in observational studies.

Psychosocial Stressors at Work and Coronary Heart Disease Risk in Men and Women: 18-Year Prospective Cohort Study of Combined Exposures

BACKGROUND

Psychosocial stressors at work, like job strain and effort-reward imbalance (ERI), can increase coronary heart disease (CHD) risk. ERI indicates an imbalance between the effort and received rewards. Evidence about the adverse effect of combined exposure to these work stressors on CHD risk is scarce. This study examines the separate and combined effect of job strain and ERI exposure on CHD incidence in a prospective cohort of white-collar workers in Quebec, Canada.

METHODS

Six thousand four hundred sixty-five white-collar workers without cardiovascular disease (mean age, 45.3±6.7) were followed for 18 years (from 2000 to 2018). Job strain and ERI were measured with validated questionnaires. CHD events were retrieved from medico-administrative databases using validated algorithms. Marginal Cox models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) stratified by sex. Multiple imputation and inverse probability weights were applied to minimize potential threats to internal validity.

RESULTS

Among 3118 men, 571 had a first CHD event. Exposure to either job strain or ERI was associated with an adjusted 49% CHD risk increase (HR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.07-2.09]). Combined exposure to job strain and ERI was associated with an adjusted 103% CHD risk increase (HR, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.38-2.97]). Exclusion of early CHD cases and censoring at retirement did not alter these associations. Among 3347 women, 265 had a first CHD event. Findings were inconclusive (passive job HR, 1.24 [95% CI, 0.80-1.91]; active job HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.70-1.94]; job strain HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.66-1.77]; ERI HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.72-1.45]).

CONCLUSIONS

In this prospective cohort study, men exposed to job strain or ERI, separately and in combination, were at increased risk of CHD. Early interventions on these psychosocial stressors at work in men may be effective prevention strategies to reduce CHD burden. Among women, further investigation is required.

Social Determinants of Stroke Hospitalization and Mortality in United States' Counties

(1) Background: Stroke incidence and outcomes are influenced by socioeconomic status. There is a paucity of reported population-level studies regarding these determinants. The goal of this ecological analysis was to determine the county-level associations of social determinants of stroke hospitalization and death rates in the United States. (2) Methods: Publicly available data as of 9 April 2021, for the socioeconomic factors and outcomes, was extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The outcomes of interest were “all stroke hospitalization rates per 1000 Medicare beneficiaries” (SHR) and “all stroke death rates per 100,000 population” (SDR). We used a multivariate binomial generalized linear mixed model after converting the outcomes to binary based on their median values. (3) Results: A total of 3226 counties/county-equivalents of the states and territories in the US were analyzed. Heart disease prevalence (odds ratio, OR = 2.03, p < 0.001), blood pressure medication nonadherence (OR = 2.02, p < 0.001), age-adjusted obesity (OR = 1.24, p = 0.006), presence of hospitals with neurological services (OR = 1.9, p < 0.001), and female head of household (OR = 1.32, p = 0.021) were associated with high SHR while cost of care per capita for Medicare patients with heart disease (OR = 0.5, p < 0.01) and presence of hospitals (OR = 0.69, p < 0.025) were associated with low SHR. Median household income (OR = 0.6, p < 0.001) and park access (OR = 0.84, p = 0.016) were associated with low SDR while no college degree (OR = 1.21, p = 0.049) was associated with high SDR. (4) Conclusions: Several socioeconomic factors (e.g., education, income, female head of household) were found to be associated with stroke outcomes. Additional research is needed to investigate intermediate and potentially modifiable factors that can serve as targeted interventions.

Evolution of the burden of aortic stenosis by sex in the province of Quebec between 2006 and 2018

Objectives

To evaluate the evolution of the burden of aortic stenosis (AS) by sex in the province of Quebec from 2006–2007 to 2018–2019 and compare the percentage of mortality between people who underwent aortic valve intervention and those who did not.

Methods

Persons aged ≥20 years were identified from the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System using International Classification of Diseases and intervention codes in the hospital files.

Results

In 2018, the crude prevalence and incidence of AS were 0.89% (99% CI 0.89 to 0.90) (n=59 025) and 1.39 per 1000 (1.35 to 1.43) (n=9105), respectively. Age-standardised prevalence and incidence of AS diagnosis increased between 2006 and 2018 from 0.67% (0.66 to 0.68) to 0.75% (0.74 to 0.76) and from 0.91 per 1000 (0.88 to 0.95) to 1.20 per 1000 (1.17 to 1.23), respectively. Among incident AS, the age-standardised percentage of valve interventions increased from 11.7% (10.9 to 12.6) to 14.5% (13.9 to 15.3). This increase was only observed in men. The 30-day mortality was stable among patients with incident AS treated conservatively, from 6.9% (6.5 to 7.4) to 7.3% (6.9 to 7.6), and decreased from 7.6% (6.1 to 9.3) to 3.8% (3.1 to 4.7) among operated patients with incident AS. This decrease was only observed in women. However, from 2010, the age-adjusted mortality among prevalent AS tended to be higher in women.

Conclusions

In the province of Quebec, age-standardised prevalence and incidence of AS diagnosis increased between 2006 and 2018. Among incident AS, there was an increase in valve intervention in men and a decrease in 30-day mortality in women who underwent valve intervention. Overall and age-standardised mortality remained higher in women.

Polypharmacy among older individuals with heart failure: trends between 2000 and 2017 in the province of Quebec, Canada

OBJECTIVE

Pharmacological management of heart failure and comorbidities may result in polypharmacy, but there are few population-based studies that portray the use of medications over time. We aimed to describe the trends in polypharmacy and medication use in older adults with heart failure.

METHODS

We performed a study including all adults >65 years with heart failure between 2000 and 2017 using health administrative databases in Quebec, Canada. Medication use was ascertained by the presence of at least one claim in each year. We defined three levels of polypharmacy: ⩾10, ⩾15 and ⩾20 different medications/year, and evaluated the use of guideline-recommended and potentially inappropriate medications. We calculated age- and sex-standardized proportions of users each year.

RESULTS

The use of ⩾10, ⩾15 and ⩾20 medications increased from 62.2%, 30.6% and 12.2% in 2000 to 71.9%, 43.9% and 22.7%, respectively, in 2017. The combination of β-blocker and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB) was used by 30.4% of individuals in 2000 and 45.5% in 2017. ACEI/ARB users decreased from 65.8% in 2000 to 62.1% in 2017. Potentially inappropriate medication use decreased over time.

CONCLUSION

Polypharmacy is significant among older adults with heart failure. Implications of such medication burden should be investigated.

Sex-specific prevalence of coronary heart disease among Tehranian adult population across different glycemic status: Tehran lipid and glucose study, 2008-2011

Background

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is one of the leading causes of death. Alarmingly Iranian populations had a high rank of CHD worldwide. The current study aimed to assess the prevalence of CHD across different glycemic categories.

Methods

This study was conducted on 7718 Tehranian participants (Men = 3427) aged ≥30 years from 2008 to 2011. They were categorized based on glycemic status. The prevalence of CHD was calculated in each group separately. CHD was defined as hospital records adjudicated by an outcome committee. The association of different glycemic categories with CHD was calculated using multivariate logistic regression, compared with normal fasting glucose /normal glucose tolerance (NFG/NGT) group as reference.

Results

The age-standardized prevalence of isolated impaired fasting glucose (iIFG), isolated impaired glucose tolerance (iIGT), both impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance (IFG/IGT), newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus (NDM), and known diabetes mellitus (KDM) were 14.30% [95% confidence interval (CI): 13.50–15.09], 4.81% [4.32–5.29], 5.19% [4.71–5.67], 5.79% [5.29–6.28] and 7.72% [7.17–8.27], respectively.

Among a total of 750 individuals diagnosed as cases of CHD (398 in men), 117 (15.6%), 453 (60.4%), and 317 (42.3%) individuals had a history of myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac procedure, and unstable angina, respectively. The age-standardized prevalence of CHD for the Tehranian population was 7.71% [7.18–8.24] in the total population, 8.62 [7.81–9.44] in men and 7.19 [6.46–7.93] in women. Moreover, among diabetic participants, the age-standardized prevalence of CHD was 13.10 [9.83–16.38] in men and 10.67 [8.90–12.44] in women, significantly higher than corresponding values for NFG/NGT and prediabetic groups.

Across six levels of glycemic status, CHD was associated with IFG/IGT [odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI: 1.38 (1.01–1.89)], NDM [1.83 (1.40–2.41)], and KDM [2.83 (2.26–3.55)] groups, in the age- and sex-adjusted model. Furthermore, in the full-adjusted model, only NDM and KDM status remained to be associated with the presence of CHD by ORs of 1.40 (1.06–1.86) for NDM and 1.91 (1.51–2.43) for KDM.

Conclusion

The high prevalence of CHD, especially among diabetic populations, necessitates the urgent implementation of behavioral interventions in the Tehranian population, according to evidence-based guidelines for the clinical management of diabetic patients.

Participants' Perspectives of a Primary Exercise-Based Prevention Program for Cardiac Patients: A Prepost Intervention Qualitative Case Study

Perseverance in exercise-based, cardiovascular disease prevention programs is generally very low. The purpose of this case study is to understand the experience of participants enrolled in a 6-month primary and secondary exercise-focused, cardiovascular disease prevention out of hospital program. Ten participants were interviewed about their experiences at entry and after it ended 6 months later to understand the facilitators and difficulties encountered by participants in such exercise programs. Four out of ten participants completed the 6-month program. The six participants who left the program accepted to contribute to the postprogram interview. The results showed that the four participants who persevered in the program became aware of cardiac risk factors and their conditions were willing to make changes in their lifestyles to reach their objectives, felt a strong perception of self-efficacy, and felt like they belonged in the program. Both persevering and nonpersevering participants experienced many episodes of discouragement during the program and faced many barriers that interfered with their progress. Suggestions to help coping with these barriers while reinforcing self-efficacy and the sentiment of belonging are discussed.

Complex Evolution of Epidemiology of Vascular Diseases, Including Increased Disease Burden: From 2000 to 2015

BACKGROUND

Vascular diseases, encompassing coronary heart disease (CHD), cerebrovascular disease (CVD), and peripheral artery disease (PAD), are leading causes of the global mortality and morbidity burdens. Our objective was to evaluate the temporal trends in the burden of vascular diseases in the province of Quebec from 2000 to 2015.

METHODS

We identified subjects aged ≥ 20 years with vascular diseases in the Quebec Integrated Chronic Disease Surveillance System (a combination of 5 provincial health administrative datasets). We identified Quebecers with CHD, CVD, or PAD by tracking codes identifying vascular diseases (and interventions for CHD) in the hospitalization datasets. We used the 2011 Quebec standard population for age standardization.

RESULTS

In 2015, the crude prevalence of vascular diseases was 7.3% (n = 473,305), and the all-cause crude mortality rate was 6.6% (n = 31,320). Age-standardized prevalence of vascular diseases increased relatively by 21.4% between 2000 (5.6%; 99% confidence interval [CI], 5.5-5.6) and 2015 (6.8%; 99% CI, 6.7-6.8), whereas the age-standardized incidence and mortality rates showed relative decreases of 46.2% and 32.6%, respectively. PAD and CVD had lower prevalence and incidence but higher mortality than CHD. Most patients with CHD only had this vascular disease in contrast to patients with PAD who generally had diseases involving more than 1 vascular bed. CHD only and CHD with PAD ranked first and second, respectively, in mortality burdens.

CONCLUSIONS

During the last decade, the age-standardized incidence and mortality rate of vascular diseases declined, but their prevalence increased with the overall burden of vascular diseases remaining substantial in Quebec, Canada.

Arterial Calcification on Wrist Radiographs May Suggest Need for Evaluation of Atherosclerosis in Asymptomatic Individuals

Asymptomatic individuals with significant coronary artery disease (CAD) are at risk for unanticipated cardiac events including myocardial infarction (MI). Laboratory studies, stress tests, and coronary artery imaging including coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring evaluate at-risk individuals. Hand and wrist x-rays demonstrating significant arterial wall calcification may provide an additional means to identify asymptomatic individuals at risk for cardiac events. Here we report a case series of patients without known cardiac disease who demonstrated significant calcium deposits in the radial and/or ulnar arteries in radiographs performed for evaluation of their hand conditions. Each series patient was subsequently found to have calcification on coronary artery imaging and an elevated risk of future cardiac events. Our series suggests that peripheral arterial calcifications observed by radiologists and hand specialists may warrant systemic evaluation for atherosclerosis in other areas of the body.

Trends in chronic disease incidence rates from the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System

INTRODUCTION

The Public Health Agency of Canada's Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System (CCDSS) produces population-based estimates of chronic disease prevalence and incidence using administrative health data. Our aim was to assess trends in incidence rates over time, trends are essential to understand changes in population risk and to inform policy development.

METHODS

Incident cases of diagnosed asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes, hypertension, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke were obtained from the CCDSS online infobase for 1999 to 2012. Trends in national and regional incidence estimates were tested using a negative binomial regression model with year as a linear predictor. Subsequently, models with year as a restricted cubic spline were used to test for departures from linearity using the likelihood ratio test. Age and sex were covariates in all models.

RESULTS

Based on the models with year as a linear predictor, national incidence rates were estimated to have decreased over time for all diseases, except diabetes; regional incidence rates for most diseases and regions were also estimated to have decreased. However, likelihood ratio tests revealed statistically significant departures from a linear year effect for many diseases and regions, particularly for hypertension.

CONCLUSION

Chronic disease incidence estimates based on CCDSS data are decreasing over time, but not at a constant rate. Further investigations are needed to assess if this decrease is associated with changes in health status, data quality, or physician practices. As well, population characteristics that may influence changing incidence trends also require exploration.

Examining postpartum depression screening effectiveness in well child clinics in Alberta, Canada: A study using the All Our Families cohort and administrative data

Affecting 10-15% of women, postpartum depression (PPD) can be debilitating and costly. While early identification has the potential to improve timely care, recommendations regarding the implementation of routine screening are inconsistent. In Alberta, screening is completed using the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale during public health well child clinic visits. The objective of this study was to examine the effectiveness of screening in identifying, diagnosing and treating women at increased risk for PPD over the first year postpartum, compared to those unscreened. The All Our Families prospective pregnancy cohort was linked to public health, inpatient, outpatient, physician claims and community pharmaceutical data over the first year postpartum. Descriptive statistics and bivariate analyses examined differences in sample characteristics and PPD and non-PPD related utilization by screening category. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for PPD diagnosis and mental health drugs dispensed were generated using crude and multivariable logistic regression models. Within our sample, 87% of the eligible population were screened, with 3% receiving a high-risk score, and 13% were unscreened. Compared to those unscreened, women screened high-risk had higher odds of being diagnosed with PPD (OR: 3.88, 95% CI: 2.18-6.92) and women screened low/moderate-risk had reduced odds of receiving a diagnosis (OR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.35-0.74). High-risk women had an increased likelihood of diagnosis, higher PPD-related utilization and drugs dispensed compared to those unscreened. This information suggests that screening was effective at streamlining resources in Alberta. Future work should focus on evaluating the cost-effectiveness of PPD screening.

Management of acute coronary syndrome in emergency departments: a cross sectional multicenter study (Tunisia)

Background

We aimed to describe diagnosed acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and its care management and outcomes in emergency departments (EDs) and to determine related cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs).

Methods

We conducted a cross sectional multicenter study that included 1173 adults admitted to EDs for acute chest pain (ACP) in 2015 at 14 sites in Tunisia. Data included patients’ baseline characteristics, diagnosis, treatment and output.

Results

ACS represented 49.7% of non-traumatic chest pain [95% CI: 46.7–52.6]; 74.2% of ACS cases were unstable angina/non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (UA/NSTEMI). Males represented 67.4% of patients with ACS (p < 0.001). The median age was 60 years (IQR 52–70). Emergency medical service transportation was used in 11.9% of cases. The median duration between chest pain onset and ED arrival was two hours (Inter quartile ranges (IQR) 2–4 h). The age-standardized prevalence rate was 69.9/100,000 PY; the rate was 96.24 in men and 43.7 in women. In the multivariable analysis, CVRFs related to ST segment elevation myocardial infarction were age correlated to sex and active smoking. CVRFs related to UA/NSTEMI were age correlated to sex, familial and personal vascular history and type 2 diabetes. We reported 27 cases of major adverse cardiovascular events (20.0%) in patients with STEMI and 36 in patients with UA/NSTEMI (9.1%).

Conclusion

Half of the patients consulting EDs with ACP had ACS. Emergency medical service transportation calls were rare. Management delays were acceptable. The risk of developing an UA/NSTEMI was equal to the number of CVRFs + 1. To improve patient outcomes, it is necessary to increase adherence to international management guidelines.

Estimating incidence and prevalence from population registers: example from myocardial infarction

AIM

To illustrate how the fundamental epidemiological measures, incidence rate and prevalence proportion, can be estimated based on Swedish population registers using acute myocardial infarction (MI) as an example, together with a discussion about the analytical decisions.

METHODS

All individuals in Sweden aged 60-89 (born 1904-1954) during the study period 1994-2014 were identified through the Total Population Register. Cases of MI were defined and identified from information on hospital admissions and causes of death. Incidence rates of all, first, and recurrent MI were calculated together with prevalence proportions.

RESULTS

The incidence rate of all, first, and recurrent MI declined over the study period. While the incidence rates of first MI are lower for women than men, the incidence rates of recurrent MI are considerably higher but similar for men and women. The prevalence calculated with duration of disease set at 28 days also declined. This was despite improved survival from MI and increased life expectancy over the same period meaning that the decline in incidence was large enough to compensate for increased survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Calculating incidence and prevalence of diseases using population registers requires detailed and well-reasoned definitions. The definitions will affect both the study population and the number of disease events and it is essential that the cases and the study population are defined in a coherent way. Different measures of disease occurrence contribute with different aspects of the disease panorama and a joint interpretation contributes to a thorough understanding of the disease development in a population.