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Jang SW, Park JH, Kim HR, Kwon HJ, Lee YM, Hong SJ, Yoon JH. Recurrence Risk Evaluation in Patients with Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Multicenter Machine Learning Evaluation of Lymph Node Variables. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:cancers15020550. [PMID: 36672498 PMCID: PMC9856505 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15020550] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 01/14/2023] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Lymph node (LN)-related risk factors have been updated to predict long-term outcomes in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, those factors’ analytic appropriateness and general applicability must be validated. This study aimed to assess LN-related risk factors, and suggest new LN-related risk categories. Methods: This multicenter observational cohort study included 1232 patients with PTC with N1 disease treated with a total thyroidectomy and neck dissection followed by radioactive iodine remnant ablation. Results: The median follow-up duration was 117 months. In the follow-up period, structural recurrence occurred in 225 patients (18.3%). Among LN-related variables, the presence of extranodal extension (p < 0.001), the maximal diameter of metastatic LN foci (p = 0.029), the number of retrieved LNs (p = 0.003), the number of metastatic LNs (p = 0.003), and the metastatic LN ratio (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for structural recurrence. Since these factors showed a nonlinear association with the hazard ratio of recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates, we calculated their optimal cutoff values using the K-means clustering algorithm, selecting 0.2 cm and 1.1 cm for the maximal diameter of metastatic LN foci, 4 and 13 for the number of metastatic LN, and 0.28 and 0.58 for the metastatic LN ratio. The RFS curves of each subgroup classified by these newly determined cutoff values showed significant differences (p < 0.001). Each LN risk group also showed significantly different RFS rates from the others (p < 0.001). Conclusions: In PTC patients with an N1 classification, our novel LN-related risk estimates may help predict long-term outcomes and design postoperative management and follow-up strategies. After further validation studies based on independent datasets, these risk categories might be considered when redefining risk stratification or staging systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sung-Woo Jang
- Department of Surgery, National Medical Center, Seoul 04564, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-Hyun Park
- Division of Thyroid-Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Wonju Severance Christian Hospital, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju 26426, Republic of Korea
| | - Hae-Rim Kim
- College of Natural Science, School of Statistics, University of Seoul, Seoul 02504, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyeong-Ju Kwon
- Department of Pathology, Wonju Severance Christian Hospital, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju 26426, Republic of Korea
| | - Yu-Mi Lee
- Department of Surgery, Asan Medical Center, Ulsan University School of Medicine, Seoul 05505, Republic of Korea
| | - Suck-Joon Hong
- Department of Surgery, Uijeongbu Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University School of Medicine, Uijeongbu 11759, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong-Ho Yoon
- Division of Thyroid-Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Wonju Severance Christian Hospital, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju 26426, Republic of Korea
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +82-33-741-0576
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Central Lymph Node Ratio Predicts Recurrence in Patients with N1b Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14153677. [PMID: 35954338 PMCID: PMC9367408 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14153677] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2022] [Revised: 07/22/2022] [Accepted: 07/26/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary The lymph node ratio (LNR) is an emerging predictive marker for recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between LNR and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with N1b PTC. Unlike that in the lateral or whole neck, LNR in the central compartment (CLNR) was found to have prognostic significance. The high-CLNR group (CLNR ≥ 0.7) had worse DFS and was 4.5 times more likely to experience recurrence in patients with N1b PTC. Abstract The lymph node ratio (LNR) indicates the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) to the total number of LNs. The prognostic value of LNR in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and other solid tumors is known. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between LNR and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with PTC with lateral LN metastases (N1b PTC). A total of 307 patients with N1b PTC who underwent total thyroidectomy and therapeutic central and lateral LN dissection were retrospectively analyzed. The DFS and recurrence risk in the patients with LNR, central-compartment LNR (CLNR), and lateral-compartment LNR (LLNR) were compared. The mean follow-up duration was 93.6 ± 19.9 months. Eleven (3.6%) patients experienced recurrence. Neither LNR nor LLNR affected the recurrence rate in our analysis (p = 0.058, p = 0.106, respectively). However, there was a significant difference in the recurrence rates between the patients with low and high CLNR (2.1% vs. 8.8%, p = 0.017). In the multivariate analysis, CLNR ≥ 0.7 and perineural invasion were independent predictors of tumor recurrence. High CLNR was associated with an increased risk of recurrence, and was shown to be a significant predictor of prognosis in patients with N1b PTC.
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Dong W, Horiuchi K, Noguchi E, Okamoto T. Predictive value of metastatic lateral lymph node ratio for recurrence in pathologically lateral lymph node-positive papillary thyroid cancer patients with palpable lymph nodes. Head Neck 2022; 44:1623-1630. [PMID: 35452140 DOI: 10.1002/hed.27067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2021] [Revised: 03/21/2022] [Accepted: 04/12/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to identify the predictive value of the extent of metastatic lymph nodes in the central and lateral neck compartment for recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with pathologically lateral lymph node metastasis (pN1b). METHODS This study enrolled 252 patients with pN1b from PTC. RESULTS During a mean follow-up of 17.6 years, 55 (21.8%) patients experienced recurrence. Patients with palpable lymph nodes were more likely to have a recurrence than those with nonpalpable lymph nodes (30.1% vs. 17.8%, relative risk 1.7, 95%CI: 1.1-2.7). For patients with palpable metastatic lymph nodes, lymph node ratio of lateral lymph nodes ≥0.5 (aHR = 2.906, 95%CI: 1.29-6.54) and age ≥55 years (aHR = 2.508, 95%CI: 1.12-5.63) were independent prognostic factors. For those without palpable nodes, age ≥55 years (aHR = 2.224, 95%CI: 1.08-4.60) and tumor size >4 cm (aHR = 2.168, 95%CI: 1.01-4.66) were independently predictive of worse RFS. CONCLUSIONS Palpable lymph nodes were approximately twice as likely to recur as nonpalpable nodes. Metastatic lateral lymph node ratio predicts recurrence in pN1b PTC patients with palpable lymph nodes, but not those without ones.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenwu Dong
- Department of Thyroid Surgery, The First Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China.,Department of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kiyomi Horiuchi
- Department of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Eiichiro Noguchi
- Department of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takahiro Okamoto
- Department of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan
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Hei H, Gong W, Zheng C, Zhou B, Qin J. Macroscopic extranodal extension is an independent predictor of lung metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer. Endocrine 2022; 77:73-79. [PMID: 35389141 DOI: 10.1007/s12020-022-03045-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2021] [Accepted: 03/22/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Lymph node metastasis is common in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Some metastatic lymph nodes may present extranodal extension (ENE). The clinical role of ENE in PTC has yet to be clearly identified. We evaluated macroscopic ENE as a potential prognostic indicator of lung metastasis in PTC. PATIENTS AND METHODS We identified 1140 consecutive patients who had PTC initially resected at our cancer center. Clinical data and pathological results were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to figure out the association between clinicopathological variables and lung metastasis. RESULTS In this cohort, 51.7% of PTC patients had lymph node metastasis; 10.4% had macroscopic ENE positive nodes; 2.3% had lung metastasis. In patients with lymph node metastasis, the average number of positive nodes was 5.10 ± 4.91. Multivariable analysis of clinicopathological factors revealed that extrathyroidal extension (odds ratio [OR], 3.57; 95% CI, 1.41-9.04), macroscopic ENE (OR, 7.08; 95% CI, 2.54-19.74), and number of positive nodes were significantly associated with lung metastasis. Compared with 0-3 positive nodes, 7-9 positive nodes denoted a moderate risk of lung metastasis (OR, 4.53; 95% CI, 1.03-19.85). And 10 positive nodes or more indicated a high risk of lung metastasis (OR, 9.63; 95% CI, 2.65-35.02). CONCLUSION Macroscopic ENE could serve as a strong independent prognostic factor of lungmetastasis in PTC. More attention should be paid to patients with ENE positive nodes duringfollow-up.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hu Hei
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Wenbo Gong
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Chen Zheng
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Bin Zhou
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Jianwu Qin
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China.
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Yun C, Xiao J, Cao J, Shao C, Wang L, Zhang W, Jia H. Lymph node metastases >5 and metastatic lymph node ratio >0.30 of differentiated thyroid cancer predict response to radioactive iodine. Cancer Med 2021; 10:7610-7619. [PMID: 34622559 PMCID: PMC8559488 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.4288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2021] [Revised: 07/20/2021] [Accepted: 07/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE The study was designed to elucidate the predictive value of the number of lymph node metastases (LNMs) and lymph node ratio (LNR) for response to therapy restratification system (RTRS). METHODS From December 2015 to December 2019, 1228 patients who accepted radioactive iodine (RAI) were collected in the study. After 6-8 months, response to RAI was evaluated as complete response (excellent response) and incomplete response (indeterminate, biochemical, and structural incomplete response). The study developed classification tree to determine the optimum LNMs and LNR that predicted response to RAI. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were further analyzed to find independent factors of response to RAI. RESULT The mean age of patients was 44 ± 12 and 71.09% (873/1228) were females. The best cutoff value of LNMs to affect RAI treatment response determined by classification tree was 5. Further in 388 patients with LNMs >5, the best cutoff value of LNR to affect RAI treatment response determined by classification tree was 0.30. With multivariate analysis, the study found that LNMs (>5), gender, lymph node dissection, and American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk classification were independent predictors of response to RAI for all 1228 patients; and LNR (>0.30), gender, and ATA risk classification for 388 patients with LNMs >5. The sensitivity analysis indicated that whether patients with LNM or not were included, the multivariate logistic regression model was kept stable. On subgroup analysis, no significant interactions were observed between the effect of LNMs/LNR and gender, N stage, ATA risk classification, lymph node dissection, or T stage. CONCLUSIONS With classification tree, the study found that LNMs and LNR could predict initial response to RAI, and their optimal cutoff values were 5 and 0.30, separately.
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Affiliation(s)
- Canhua Yun
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Juan Xiao
- Center of Evidence-Based Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Jingjia Cao
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Chunchun Shao
- Center of Evidence-Based Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Lihua Wang
- School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Hongying Jia
- Center of Evidence-Based Medicine, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Shandong University, Jinan, China
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Kwon HK, Cheon YI, Shin SC, Sung ES, Lee JC, Kim IJ, Lee BJ. Risk factors of suprasternal lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma with clinical lateral cervical lymph node metastasis. Gland Surg 2021; 10:512-520. [PMID: 33708534 DOI: 10.21037/gs-20-368] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Background Metastatic lymph nodes are occasionally found in suprasternal lymph nodes in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). However, limited studies have examined these lymph nodes thus far. Therefore, we investigated the frequency and risk factors of suprasternal lymph node metastasis in patients with PTC and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis. Methods A total of 85 patients with cN1b PTC underwent total thyroidectomy, central neck dissection, and ipsilateral selective neck dissection including suprasternal lymph node dissection. We analyzed the correlation between suprasternal lymph node metastasis and sex, age, tumor characteristics, and cervical lymph node metastasis status. Results Eleven (12.9%) patients had pathological suprasternal lymph node metastasis. Suprasternal lymph node metastasis was associated with tumors located in the inferior pole of the thyroid gland and level IV lymph node metastasis (P=0.005 and 0.014, respectively). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that two or more level IV metastatic lymph nodes had the best predictive value for suprasternal lymph node metastasis (P<0.001). Conclusions In patients with cN1b PTC, especially those with tumors in the inferior pole of the thyroid gland or level IV lymph node metastasis, greater attention should be paid to the suprasternal lymph nodes and suprasternal lymph node dissection should be routinely included as part of selective neck dissection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hyun-Keun Kwon
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Medicine, Pusan National University and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Yong-Il Cheon
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Medicine, Pusan National University and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Sung-Chan Shin
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Medicine, Pusan National University and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Eui-Suk Sung
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Korea
| | - Jin-Choon Lee
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Korea
| | - In Ju Kim
- Department of Internal medicine, College of Medicine and Medical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Byung-Joo Lee
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, College of Medicine, Pusan National University and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Korea
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Zhang H, Hu S, Wang X, Liu W, He J, Sun Z, Ge Y, Dou W. Using Diffusion-Weighted MRI to Predict Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Feasibility Study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2020; 11:326. [PMID: 32595598 PMCID: PMC7303282 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2020.00326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2019] [Accepted: 04/27/2020] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective: To investigate whether diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) with multi b values can be used as a quantitative assessment tool to predict central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Method: A total of 214 PTC patients were enrolled from January 2015 to April 2018. Each patient underwent multi b value DWI (300, 500, and 800 s/mm2) preoperatively and then clinical treatment of central LN dissection at the Thyroid Surgery Department. These patients were divided as two groups based on with and without CLNM. The corresponding apparent diffusion coefficients (ADCs) were evaluated with separated b value, i.e., 300, 500, or 800 s/mm2. Clinicopathological variables and ADC values were analyzed retrospectively by using univariate and binary logistic regression. The corresponding obtained variables with statistical significance were further applied to create a nomogram in which the bootstrap resampling method was used for correction. Results: PTCs with CLNM had significantly lower ADC300, ADC500, and ADC800 values compared with PTCs without CLNM. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the ADC500 value (0.817) showed a higher area under the curve (AUC) than those of the ADC300 and ADC800 values (0.610 and 0.641, respectively) in differentiating patients with CLNM and without CLNM. The corresponding cutoff value for ADC500 was also determined (1.444 × 10-3 mm2/s), with respective sensitivity and specificity of 88.6 and 66%. The nomogram was generated by binary logistic regression results, incorporating four variables: gender, primary tumor size, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and ADC500 value. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.894 in predicting CLNM. Moreover, as shown in the calibration curve between nomogram and clinical findings, a strong agreement was observed in the prediction of CLNM. Conclusions: In summary, the ADC value is a valuable noninvasive imaging biomarker for evaluating CLNM in PTCs. The nomogram, as a clinical predictive model, is able to provide an effective evaluation of CLNM risk in PTC patients preoperatively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heng Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China
| | - Shudong Hu
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Renmin Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, China
- *Correspondence: Shudong Hu
| | - Xian Wang
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Renmin Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, China
| | - Wenhua Liu
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Renmin Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, China
| | - Junlin He
- Department of Radiology, Tinglin Hospital of Jinshan District, Shanghai, China
| | - Zongqiong Sun
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China
| | - Yuxi Ge
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China
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Jang JY, Kim DS, Park HY, Shin SC, Cha W, Lee JC, Wang SG, Lee BJ. Preoperative serum VEGF-C but not VEGF-A level is correlated with lateral neck metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Head Neck 2019; 41:2602-2609. [PMID: 30843635 DOI: 10.1002/hed.25729] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2018] [Revised: 01/31/2019] [Accepted: 02/19/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to investigate the relationships between serum vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A or VEGF-C levels and lymph node metastasis (LNM) status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). METHODS The study enrolled 150 patients with pathologically proven PTC who underwent surgery: PTC without LNM, PTC with central neck metastasis, and PTC with lateral neck metastasis. RESULTS Preoperative serum VEGF-A levels were 300.12 ± 80.80 pg/mL overall and were not correlated with the presence of LNM. Preoperative serum VEGF-C levels were 132.41 ± 48.48 pg/mL overall and were significantly correlated with the presence of LNM. Serum VEGF-C levels were further increased in patients with lateral neck metastasis and positively correlated with the number of metastatic LNs (rho = 0.252, P = 0.002). Serum VEGF-C, but not VEGF-A, was identified as a significant predictor of lateral neck metastasis. CONCLUSION Serum VEGF-C might be a clinically relevant biomarker of lateral neck metastasis in patients with PTC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeon Yeob Jang
- Department of Otolaryngology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Republic of Korea
| | - Deok-Soo Kim
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Hee-Young Park
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung-Chan Shin
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Wonjae Cha
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin-Choon Lee
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Soo-Geun Wang
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Byung-Joo Lee
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
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Hei H, Song Y, Qin J. Individual prediction of lateral neck metastasis risk in patients with unifocal papillary thyroid carcinoma. Eur J Surg Oncol 2019; 45:1039-1045. [PMID: 30824213 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2019.02.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2018] [Revised: 02/03/2019] [Accepted: 02/14/2019] [Indexed: 10/27/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Much controversy exists over whether to perform lateral neck dissection (LND) on patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This study aimed to build predictive nomograms that could individually estimate lateral neck metastasis (LNM) risk and help determine follow up intensity. PATIENTS AND METHODS Unifocal PTC patients who underwent LND between April 2012 and August 2014 were identified. Clinical and pathological variables were retrospectively evaluated using univariate and stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis. Variables that had statistical significance in final multivariate logistic models were chosen to build nomograms, which were further corrected using the bootstrap resampling method. RESULTS In all, 505 PTC patients were eligible for analysis. Among these, 178 patients (35.2%) had lateral neck metastasis. Two nomograms were generated: nomogram (c) and nomogram (c + p). Nomogram (c) incorporated four clinical variables: age, tumor size, tumor site, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE). It had a good discriminative ability, with a C-index of 0.79 (bootstrap-corrected, 0.78). Nomogram (c + p) incorporated two clinical variables and two pathological variables: tumor size, tumor site, extranodal extension (ENE), and number of positive nodes in the central compartment. Nomogram (c + p) showed an excellent discriminative ability, with a C-index of 0.86 (bootstrap-corrected, 0.85). CONCLUSION Two predictive nomograms were generated. Nomogram (c) is a clinical model, whereas nomogram (c + p) is a clinicopathological model. Each nomogram incorporates only four variables and can give an accurate estimate of LNM risk in unifocal PTC patients, which may assist clinicians in patient counseling and decision making regarding LND.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hu Hei
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Yongping Song
- Department of Hematology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China
| | - Jianwu Qin
- Department of Thyroid and Neck, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450003, China.
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Rubinstein JC, Dinauer C, Herrick-Reynolds K, Morotti R, Callender GG, Christison-Lagay ER. Lymph node ratio predicts recurrence in pediatric papillary thyroid cancer. J Pediatr Surg 2019; 54:129-132. [PMID: 30361076 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2018.10.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2018] [Accepted: 10/01/2018] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Regional lymph node (LN) metastasis at the time of presentation plays a significant role in predicting recurrence in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Multiple studies in the adult population have demonstrated that the lymph node ratio (LNR) in both the central and lateral neck can improve the accuracy of recurrence prediction, but this ratio has not been studied in the pediatric population. In this study, we sought to investigate the LNR in the central and lateral compartments as a prognostic predictor for recurrence in pediatric patients with PTC. METHODS A retrospective analysis of pediatric patients (≤21 years old) at a single institution between 2002 and 2014 who underwent total thyroidectomy with prophylactic central neck dissection (TTpCND) with at least 3 sampled nodes or total thyroidectomy with unilateral modified radical neck dissection (TTMRND) with at least 10 sampled nodes, and on whom at least 24 months of follow up data were available was performed. The LNR was defined as the ratio of metastatic LNs to total number of investigated LNs. Recurrence after TTpCND and TTMRND was examined separately as a function of LNR, using the value of 0.45 as a cutoff. RESULTS Forty-eight patients met inclusion criteria. Thirty-two underwent TTpCND, and sixteen underwent TTMRND. Median age at time of operation was 17 years (range 6-20), and median duration of follow-up was 53.5 months (range 24-183). In the TTpCND, LNR ranged from 0 to 1.0. There were two recurrences among the eight patients (25%) undergoing TTpCND in patients with LNRs >0.45 and a single recurrence among the 24 patients (4.2%) undergoing TTpCND with an LNR ≤0.45. In the TTMRND, LNR ranged from 0.1 to 1.0. There were 3 recurrences in 12 patients with LNR ≤0.45 (30.8%%) and 4 recurrences in 4 patients with LNR >0.45 (100%) (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS Although limited by small sample size, LNR may be a useful predictor to stratify the likelihood of recurrence in pediatric patients undergoing TTpCND or TTMRND for pathologic N1a or N1b PTC. TYPE OF STUDY Prognosis study / retrospective case series. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level IV.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Raffaella Morotti
- Yale School of Medicine, Department of Pathology, New Haven, CT 06520
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Pyo JS, Sohn JH, Chang K. Prognostic Role of Metastatic Lymph Node Ratio in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma. J Pathol Transl Med 2018; 52:331-338. [PMID: 30157618 PMCID: PMC6166020 DOI: 10.4132/jptm.2018.08.07] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2018] [Accepted: 08/07/2018] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The aim of this study is to elucidate the clinicopathological significances, including the prognostic role, of metastatic lymph node ratio (mLNR) and tumor deposit diameter in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) through a retrospective review and meta-analysis. Methods We categorized the cases into high (≥ 0.44) and low mLNR (< 0.44) and investigated the correlations with clinicopathological parameters in 64 PTCs with neck level VI lymph node (LN) metastasis. In addition, meta-analysis of seven eligible studies was used to investigate the correlation between mLNR and survival. Results Among 64 PTCs with neck level VI LN metastasis, high mLNR was found in 34 PTCs (53.1%). High mLNR was significantly correlated with macrometastasis (tumor deposit diameter ≥ 0.2 cm), extracapsular spread, and number of metastatic LNs. Based on linear regression test, mLNR was significantly increased by the largest LN size but not the largest metastatic LN (mLN) size. High mLNR was not correlated with nuclear factor κB or cyclin D1 immunohistochemical expression, Ki-67 labeling index, or other pathological parameters of primary tumor. Based on meta-analysis, high mLNR significantly correlated with worse disease-free survival at the 5-year and 10-year follow-up (hazard ratio [HR], 4.866; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.527 to 6.714 and HR, 5.769; 95% CI, 2.951 to 11.275, respectively). Conclusions Our data showed that high mLNR significantly correlated with worse survival, macrometastasis, and extracapsular spread of mLNs. Further cumulative studies for more detailed criteria of mLNR are needed before application in daily practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jung-Soo Pyo
- Department of Pathology, Eulji University Hospital, Eulji University School of Medicine, Daejeon, Korea
| | - Jin Hee Sohn
- Department of Pathology, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Kyungseek Chang
- Department of Pathology, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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Kim HI, Kim K, Park SY, Choe JH, Kim JH, Kim JS, Oh YL, Hahn SY, Shin JH, Ahn HS, Kim SW, Kim TH, Chung JH. Refining the eighth edition AJCC TNM classification and prognostic groups for papillary thyroid cancer with lateral nodal metastasis. Oral Oncol 2018; 78:80-86. [DOI: 10.1016/j.oraloncology.2018.01.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2017] [Revised: 01/20/2018] [Accepted: 01/24/2018] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
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Gao W, Zhao T, Liang J, Lin Y. Is the ratio superior to the number of metastatic lymph nodes in addressing the response in patients with papillary thyroid cancer? Medicine (Baltimore) 2018; 97:e9664. [PMID: 29505008 PMCID: PMC5779777 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000009664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
CONTEXT The number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) and the ratio of metastatic LN (LR) have been reported as predictors of recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), while the role of LR or the number of metastatic LNs on the clinical response remains unclear. OBJECTIVE We aimed to compare the prognostic value of LR and the number of metastatic LNs on clinical response in PTC. DESIGN/SETTING/PATIENTS A total of 384 PTC patients with LN metastases were enrolled in this study, all of whom underwent total or near total thyroidectomy and subsequent radioiodine ablation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES After a mean follow-up of 25.7 months, response to initial therapy was classified as excellent response (ER), indeterminate, biochemical incomplete or structural incomplete response. The scatter diagram and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were respectively employed to identify and compare the clinical value of the number of metastatic LNs and LR for predicting ER in different number of dissected LNs (DLNs). Multivariate analyses were further performed to explore the indicator for ER. RESULTS ER tended to be more concentrate in patients with lower LR and lower number of metastatic LNs in scatter diagram. Although in patients with ≤10 DLNs, LR presented higher area under the ROC curve than the number of metastatic LNs in predicting ER (LR: 0.687, LNs, 0.556, P = .02), whereas it turns opposite in those with >10 DLNs. In the multivariate analysis, LR (odds ratio [OR] = 1.037, P = .001) rather than the number metastatic LNs (OR = 0.752, P = .09) was an independent indicator for ER in addition to preablative-stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg; OR = 1.056, P = .01) among patients with ≤10 DLNs. Although in patients with >10 DLNs, the number of metastatic LNs (OR = 1.062, P = .04) turned to be independent factor for ER, apart from ps-Tg (OR = 1.071, P = .00) and sex (OR = 0.570, P = .02). CONCLUSIONS LR appears to be a better negative predictor for ER than the number of metastatic LNs in PTC patients with ≤10 DLNs, whereas the number of metastatic LNs is superior to LR in those with >10 DLNs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wen Gao
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing
- Department of Oncology, the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao
| | - Teng Zhao
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University
| | - Jun Liang
- Department of Oncology, Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing, China
| | - Yansong Lin
- Department of Nuclear Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing
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Prognostic value of lymph node ratio in metastatic papillary thyroid carcinoma. The Journal of Laryngology & Otology 2017; 132:8-13. [DOI: 10.1017/s0022215117002250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
AbstractObjective:Cervical metastases in papillary thyroid carcinoma are associated with increased recurrence. However, their effect on survival remains controversial. This study evaluated literature on the prognostic value of lymph node ratio for loco-regional recurrence and survival in metastatic papillary thyroid carcinoma.Methods:The PubMed database was systematically searched using the terms ‘papillary thyroid carcinoma’ and ‘lymph node ratio’. Articles addressing the association between lymph node ratio and loco-regional recurrence or survival were identified.Results:Nine retrospective studies were included, comprising 12 400 post-thyroidectomy and neck dissection papillary thyroid carcinoma patients (median age, 48.6 years; 76 per cent females). Lymph node ratio was associated with worse recurrence-free survival in 60 and 75 per cent of studies investigating the effect of central compartment metastases and both central and lateral compartment metastases on recurrence-free survival, respectively. One large population-based study showed an association between lymph node ratio and disease-specific mortality in N1nodal disease, but failed to maintain the same association when N1bpatients were excluded.Conclusion:Regional lymph node ratio is an independent predictor for loco-regional recurrence in pathologically staged N1patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Patients with a high lymph node ratio should be closely followed up.
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Kim HI, Kim TH, Choe JH, Kim JH, Kim JS, Oh YL, Hahn SY, Shin JH, Jang HW, Kim YN, Kim H, Ahn HS, Kim K, Kim SW, Chung JH. Restratification of survival prognosis of N1b papillary thyroid cancer by lateral lymph node ratio and largest lymph node size. Cancer Med 2017; 6:2244-2251. [PMID: 28857489 PMCID: PMC5633551 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.1160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2017] [Revised: 06/22/2017] [Accepted: 07/16/2017] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The current 7th TNM staging stratifies N1b papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients without distant metastasis into either stage I or stage IV merely by an age threshold (45 years). To date, no studies have adequately quantified the mortality risk of PTC patients with N1b disease. We hypothesized that incorporating lymph node (LN) factors into the staging system would better predict cancer-specific mortality (CSM). A total of 745 nonmetastatic PTC patients with N1b disease were enrolled. We identified factors related to LNs and cut-points using Cox regression and time-dependent ROC analysis. New prognostic groupings were derived based on minimal hazard differences for CSM among the groups stratified by LN risk and age, and prediction of CSM was assessed. Lateral lymph node ratio (LNR) and largest LN size were significant prognostic LN factors at cut-points of 0.3 and 3 cm. Without LN risk (lateral LNR >0.3 or largest LN size >3 cm), stage IV patients had prognosis [adjusted HR 1.10 (98% CI 0.19-6.20); P = 0.906] similar to stage I patients with LN risk. Patients were restratified into three prognostic groups: Group 1, <45 years without LN risk; Group 2, <45 years with LN risk or ≥45 years without LN risk; and Group 3, ≥45 with LN risk. This system had a lower log-rank P-value (<0.001 vs. 0.002) and higher C-statistics (0.80 vs. 0.71) than the 7th TNM. New prognostic grouping using lateral LNR and largest LN size predicts CSM accurately and distinguishes N1b patients with different prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hye In Kim
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Tae Hyuk Kim
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jun-Ho Choe
- Division of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jung-Han Kim
- Division of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jee Soo Kim
- Division of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Young Lyun Oh
- Department of Pathology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Soo Yeon Hahn
- Department of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jung Hee Shin
- Department of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hye Won Jang
- Department of Medical Education, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Young Nam Kim
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hosu Kim
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyeon Seon Ahn
- Statistics and Data Center, Research Institute for Future Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Kyunga Kim
- Statistics and Data Center, Research Institute for Future Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sun Wook Kim
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jae Hoon Chung
- Division of Endocrinology & Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Thyroid Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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Predictive factors of right paraesophageal lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: Single center experience and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0177956. [PMID: 28545107 PMCID: PMC5435339 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177956] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2017] [Accepted: 05/05/2017] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We performed this retrospective study to identify predictors of right paraesophageal lymph node metastasis, and reviewed previous studies related to this topic. METHODS Between June 2005 and March 2015, 1107 patients were diagnosed with papillary thyroid carcinoma and underwent surgery at Pusan National University Hospital. RESULTS Right paraesophageal lymph node metastasis was observed in 171 (15.4%) patients. Multivariate analyses showed that the risk of right paraesophageal metastasis was significantly associated with tumor size, location, a higher number of metastatic central lymph nodes, and lateral lymph node metastasis. In a meta-analysis of the eligible studies, tumor size, number of metastatic central lymph nodes, and lateral lymph node metastasis showed significant relationships with the risk of right paraesophageal metastasis. CONCLUSIONS In patients with risk factors such as those identified in our study, the possibility of right paraesophageal metastasis should be kept in mind, and careful inspection and dissection are required.
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Rosario PW, Mourão GF, Calsolari MR. Recombinant human TSH versus thyroid hormone withdrawal in adjuvant therapy with radioactive iodine of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and clinically apparent lymph node metastases not limited to the central compartment (cN1b). ARCHIVES OF ENDOCRINOLOGY AND METABOLISM 2017; 61:167-172. [PMID: 28226001 PMCID: PMC10118864 DOI: 10.1590/2359-3997000000247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2016] [Accepted: 11/25/2016] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
Objective To compare the short- and long-term outcomes of adjuvant therapy with radioactive iodine (RAI) preceded by the administration of recombinant human TSH (rhTSH) versus thyroid hormone withdrawal (THW) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and clinically apparent lymph node metastases not limited to the central neck compartment (cN1b). Subjects and methods The sample consisted of 178 cN1b patients at intermediate risk who underwent total thyroidectomy with apparently complete tumor resection [including postoperative ultrasonography (US) without anomalies] and who received adjuvant therapy with RAI (30-100 mCi) preceded by the administration of rhTSH (n = 91) or THW (n = 87). Results One year after RAI, the rates of excellent response to therapy, i.e., nonstimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) ≤ 0.2 ng/mL with negative antithyroglobulin antibodies and negative neck US, and of structural disease were similar for the two preparations (84% and 4.5%, respectively, in both groups). During follow-up (median 66 months), the rate of structural or biochemical (nonstimulated Tg > 1 ng/mL, with increment) recurrence was also similar in the two groups (4.5%). In the last assessment, the percentage of patients without evidence of disease, i.e., nonstimulated Tg < 1 ng/mL and no evidence of structural disease, was similar for the two preparations [92.3% in the rhTSH group and 97.7% in the THW group (p = 0.17)]. Conclusion Preparation with rhTSH was equally effective (short- and long-term) as THW for adjuvant RAI therapy of cN1b patients at intermediate risk and with apparently complete tumor resection.
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