Acute pancreatitis--costs for healthcare and loss of production

Healthcare disparities in pancreatitis: knowledge gaps and next steps

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review examines current research on healthcare disparities in pancreatitis, identifies knowledge gaps, and proposes strategies to develop targeted multilevel interventions to address inequities in pancreatitis care.

RECENT FINDINGS

Current literature has identified patient, disease, and healthcare-level factors contributing to disparities in risk factors and health outcomes of pancreatitis. Moreover, social structures, economic systems, social vulnerability, and policy significantly influence the pancreatitis care continuum.

SUMMARY

Understanding the root causes of health inequities is critical to developing effective approaches for the prevention, early detection, and management of pancreatitis.

Analysis of Risk Factors for Severe Acute Pancreatitis in the Early Period (<24 h) After Admission

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has high mortality. Early identification of high-risk factors that may progress to SAP and active intervention measures may improve the prognosis of SAP patients.

OBJECTIVE

Clinical data within 24 h after admission were retrospectively analyzed to provide an evidence for early screening of high-risk factors in patients with SAP.

METHODS

A review of clinical data of acute pancreatitis patients from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022, was conducted. We compared the clinical data of SAP and non-SAP patients, and a multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify the independent predictors of SAP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of SAP was drawn for continuous numerical variables to calculate the optimal clinical cutoff value of each variable, and the predictive value of each variable was compared by the area under the ROC curve.

RESULTS

Based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis of Age (odds ratio (OR), 1.032;95% confident interval (CI),1.018-1.046, p < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.181; 95% CI,1.083-1.288, p < 0.001), Non-HTGAP (nonhypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis) (OR, 2.098; 95% CI,1.276-3.45, p = 0.003), white blood cell count (WBC) (OR,1.072; 95% CI,1.034-1.111, p < 0.001), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR, 1.060; 95% CI, 1.027-1.095, p < 0.001), serum calcium (Ca) (OR,0.121; 95% CI, 0.050-0.292, p < 0.001), computed tomography severity index (CTSI) ≥4 (OR,12.942;95% CI,7.267-23.049, p < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for SAP. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) and optimal CUT-OFF values of continuous numerical variables for predicting SAP were Age (0.6079,51.5), BMI (0.6,23.25), WBC (0.6701,14.565), PCT (0.7086, 0.5175), Ca (0.7787,1.965), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Age, BMI, non-HTGAP, WBC, PCT, serum Ca and CTSI≥4 have good predictive value for SAP.

Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis, a Retrospective Study about Clinical Risk Factors and Outcomes-A Seven-Year Experience of a Large Tertiary Center

(1) Background: Alcohol consumption is one of the main causes of acute pancreatitis. (2) Material and Methods: In this unicentric retrospective cohort study, we selected 1855 patients from the Bucharest Acute Pancreatitis Index (BUC-API) who presented with acute pancreatitis. We investigated correlations between Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis (AAP) and the rate of complications, cost, length of hospitalization and rate of recurrence. (3) Results: We found a moderately strong association between AAP and recurrence (p < 0.01) and observed that the disease is likelier to evolve with pseudocysts and walled-off necrosis than other forms of AP. Patients with AAP are less likely to have a morphologically normal pancreas than patients suffering from AP of other causes (p < 0.01), but a low probability of requiring intensive care unit admission (p < 0.01) significantly lowers daily cost (Md = 154.7 EUR compared to Md = 204.4 EUR) (p < 0.01). (4) Conclusions: This study's data show that patients with AAP have a greater rate of pseudocyst occurrence, lower intensive care unit admittance rate and lower cost of hospitalization than patients with AP of other causes. Typical Sketch: A middle-aged male tobacco smoker with recurrent AP, lower risk of in-hospital mortality and complications such as pseudocysts; treated in a gastroenterological ward and discharged at-will.

Investigating potential biomarkers of acute pancreatitis in patients with a BMI>30 using Mendelian randomization and transcriptomic analysis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) has become a significant global health concern, and a high body mass index (BMI) has been identified as a key risk factor exacerbating this condition. Within this context, lipid metabolism assumes a critical role. The complex relationship between elevated BMI and AP, mediated by lipid metabolism, markedly increases the risk of complications and mortality. This study aimed to accurately define the correlation between BMI and AP, incorporating a comprehensive analysis of the interactions between individuals with high BMI and AP.

METHODS

Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was first applied to determine the causal relationship between BMI and the risk of AP. Subsequently, three microarray datasets were obtained from the GEO database. This was followed by an analysis of differentially expressed genes and the application of weighted gene coexpression network analysis (WGCNA) to identify key modular genes associated with AP and elevated BMI. Functional enrichment analysis was then performed to shed light on disease pathogenesis. To identify the most informative genes, machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine-Recursive Feature Elimination (SVM-RFE), and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), were employed. Subsequent analysis focused on the colocalization of the Quantitative Trait Loci (eQTL) data associated with the selected genes and Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) data related to the disease. Preliminary verification of gene expression trends was conducted using external GEO datasets. Ultimately, the diagnostic potential of these genes was further confirmed through the development of an AP model in mice with a high BMI.

RESULTS

A total of 21 intersecting genes related to BMI>30, AP, and lipid metabolism were identified from the datasets. These genes were primarily enriched in pathways related to cytosolic DNA sensing, cytokine‒cytokine receptor interactions, and various immune and inflammatory responses. Next, three machine learning techniques were utilized to identify HADH as the most prevalent diagnostic gene. Colocalization analysis revealed that HADH significantly influenced the risk factors associated with BMI and AP. Furthermore, the trend in HADH expression within the external validation dataset aligned with the trend in the experimental data, thus providing a preliminary validation of the experimental findings.The changes in its expression were further validated using external datasets and quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR).

CONCLUSION

This study systematically identified HADH as a potential lipid metabolism-grounded biomarker for AP in patients with a BMI>30.

Acute Pancreatitis during and after Pregnancy: A Review

During pregnancy and in the post-partum period, several diseases may arise or become exacerbated. Acute pancreatitis is an inflammatory disease with an increasing incidence in Western countries. The incidence of acute pancreatitis during pregnancy is not different with respect to the general population, but this incidence increases in the first 2 years after delivery. Biliary sludge and stones are the most frequent aetiologies, followed by hypertriglyceridemia. Taking care of the mother and foetus through a potentially severe disease requires a team consisting of an obstetrician, a gastroenterologist, an anaesthesiologist, and a surgeon. It is necessary to monitor the health of the foetus/child and the mother during pregnancy, childbirth, and puerperium. The management of this care depends on the systemic and local complications, the severity of the acute pancreatitis, and the trimester of pregnancy. Some diagnostic tools and many drugs are not safe for foetuses, while interventional endoscopy and surgery have limitations and can only be used after an accurate evaluation of benefit/risk ratios. Despite these limitations, maternal mortality due to acute pancreatitis is low during pregnancy, mainly thanks to multidisciplinary approaches for these patients. A careful diet to prevent obesity, alcohol abstinence, routine serum triglyceride control, and breastfeeding for at least three months may prevent acute pancreatitis during and after pregnancy.

Structured alcohol cessation support program versus current practice in acute alcoholic pancreatitis (PANDA): Study protocol for a multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

The most important risk factor for recurrent pancreatitis after an episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis is continuation of alcohol use. Current guidelines do not recommend any specific treatment strategy regarding alcohol cessation. The PANDA trial investigates whether implementation of a structured alcohol cessation support program prevents pancreatitis recurrence after a first episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis.

METHODS

PANDA is a nationwide cluster randomised superiority trial. Participating hospitals are randomised for the investigational management, consisting of a structured alcohol cessation support program, or current practice. Patients with a first episode of acute pancreatitis caused by harmful drinking (AUDIT score >7 and < 16 for men and >6 and < 14 for women) will be included. The primary endpoint is recurrence of acute pancreatitis. Secondary endpoints include cessation or reduction of alcohol use, other alcohol-related diseases, mortality, quality of life, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs. The follow-up period comprises one year after inclusion.

DISCUSSION

This is the first multicentre trial with a cluster randomised trial design to investigate whether a structured alcohol cessation support program reduces recurrent acute pancreatitis in patients after a first episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis, as compared with current practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Netherlands Trial Registry (NL8852). Prospectively registered.

Drug-Induced Acute Pancreatitis in Adults: Focus on Antimicrobial and Antiviral Drugs, a Narrative Review

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an acute inflammation of the pancreas caused by the activation of digestive enzymes in the pancreatic tissue. The main causes of AP are cholelithiasis and alcohol abuse; less commonly, it can be caused by drugs, with a prevalence of up to 5%. Causal associations between drugs and pancreatitis are largely based on case reports or case series with limited evidence. We reviewed the available data on drug-induced AP, focusing on antimicrobial drugs and antivirals, and discussed the current evidence in relation to the classification systems available in the literature. We found 51 suspected associations between antimicrobial and antiviral drugs and AP. The drugs with the most evidence of correlation are didanosine, protease inhibitors, and metronidazole. In addition, other drugs have been described in case reports demonstrating positive rechallenge. However, there are major differences between the various classifications available, where the same drug being assigned to different probability classes. It is likely that the presence in multiple case reports of an association between acute pancreatitis and a drug should serve as a basis for conducting prospective randomized controlled trials to improve the quality of the evidence.

Acute Pancreatitis-Drivers of Hospitalisation Cost-A Seven-Year Retrospective Study from a Large Tertiary Center

(1) Introduction: Acute pancreatitis (AP) remains a global burden of cost for healthcare services. We found a high degree of heterogeneity in cost-related reports and a scarcity of data regarding the cost of AP episodes in European and Asian populations. We aimed to estimate the median daily cost of hospitalisation (DCH) of AP in our population. Our secondary aims included estimating the total cost of hospitalisation (TCH) and the total cost of AP in Romania, as well as assessing the correlation between median DCH and ward, age, sex, length of stay (LoS), intensive care unit (ICU), outcome, severity, morphology, and aetiology of AP. (2) Material and methods: This retrospective cohort study included 1473 cases recruited from the electronic health records of the University Emergency Hospital of Bucharest. Statistical tests used included Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Kruskal-Wallis with post-hoc Dunn-Bonferroni, and Pearson correlation two-tailed. (3) Results: We found a median DCH of AP of USD 203.8 and a median TCH of USD 1360.5. The total yearly cost of AP in Romania was estimated at around USD 19 million. The majority of males with AP (61.8%) were mostly discharged as healed/ameliorated (83.8%); a majority had local complications (55.4%), which were mostly alcohol-related (35.1%). Regarding the aetiology, biliary-related AP was a cost driver, with significant statistical differences observed in all studied groups (p < 0.01). Morphology assessment revealed that acute necrotic collections were associated with high cost and meaningful disparities among the groups (p < 0.01). Cost was also associated with severity, with significant deviations among all groups (p < 0.01). Outcome-at-discharge as deceased correlated with higher costs, with substantial differences within groups (p < 0.01). The need for an intensive care unit was also a large driver of cost (p < 0.01). Females were prone to more expensive costs (p < 0.01). Surgical cases necessitated more financial resources (p < 0.01). (4) Conclusions: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study on the cost of AP in Romania. Our findings showed that the drivers of increased AP costs might be older age, ICU, intra-hospital mortality, severe AP, local complications such as acute necrotic collections, biliary aetiology, and female sex. We found large heterogeneity and scarcity regarding cost-related data in the literature.

Mortality and costs related to severe acute pancreatitis in the intensive care units of Australia and New Zealand (ANZ), 2003-2020

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Comprehensive data on the burden of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in global intensive care units (ICUs) and trends over time are lacking. Our objective was to compare trends in hospital and ICU mortality, in-hospital and ICU length of stay, and costs related to ICU admission in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) for SAP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational, cohort study of ICU admissions reported to the ANZ Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database over three consecutive six-year time periods from 2003 to 2020.

RESULTS

12,635 patients with SAP from 189 ICUs in ANZ were analysed. No difference in adjusted hospital mortality (11.4% vs 11.5% vs 11.0%, p = 0.85) and ICU mortality rates (7.5% vs 8.0% vs 8.1%, p = 0.73) were noted over the study period. Median length of hospital admission reduced over time (13.9 days in 2003-08, 13.1 days in 2009-14 and 12.5 days in 2015-20; p < 0.01). No difference in length of ICU stay was noted over the study period (p = 0.13). The cost of managing SAP in ANZ ICUs remained constant over the three time periods.

CONCLUSIONS

In critically-ill SAP patients in ANZ, no change in mortality has been noted over nearly two decades. There was a slight reduction in hospital stay (1 day), while the length of ICU stay remained unchanged. Given the significant costs related to care of patients with SAP in ICU, these findings highlight the need to prioritise resource allocation for healthcare delivery and targeted clinical research to identify treatments aimed at reducing mortality.

Prediction of severe pancreatitis in a population with low atmospheric oxygen pressure

To establish the severity of pancreatitis, there are many scoring systems, the most used are the Marshall and APACHE II systems, each one has advantages and disadvantages; but with good relation regarding mortality and prediction of complications. In populations with low barometric pressures produced by a decrease in atmospheric pressure, there is a decrease in partial pressure of oxygen, in these cases scores which take arterial oxygen partial pressure as one of their variables, may be overestimated. A diagnostic trial study was designed to evaluate the performance of APACHE II, Marshall and BISAP in a city 2640 m above sea level. A ROC analysis was performed to estimate the AUC of each of the scores, to evaluate the performance in predicting unfavorable outcomes (defined as the need for percutaneous drainage, surgery, or mortality) and a non-parametric comparison was made between the AUC of each of the scores with the DeLong test. From January 2018 to December 2019, data from 424 patients living in Bogota, with a diagnosis of gallstone pancreatitis was collected consecutively in a hospital in Bogota, Colombia. The ROC analysis showed AUC for predicting adverse outcomes for APACHE II in 0.738 (95% CI 0.647-0.829), Marshall in 0.650 (95% CI 0.554-0.746), and BISAP in 0.744 (95% CI 0.654-0.835). The non-parametric comparison to assess whether there were differences between the different AUC of the different scores showed that there is a statistically significant difference between Marshall and BISAP AUC to predict unfavorable outcomes (p=0.032). The mortality in the group of patients studied was 5.8%. We suggest the use of BISAP to predict clinical outcomes in patients with a diagnosis of biliary pancreatitis in populations with decreased atmospheric pressure because it is an easy-to-use tool and does not require arterial oxygen partial pressure for its calculation.

coMpliAnce with evideNce-based cliniCal guidelines in the managemenT of acute biliaRy pancreAtitis): The MANCTRA-1 international audit

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Reports about the implementation of recommendations from acute pancreatitis guidelines are scant. This study aimed to evaluate, on a patient-data basis, the contemporary practice patterns of management of biliary acute pancreatitis and to compare these practices with the recommendations by the most updated guidelines.

METHODS

All consecutive patients admitted to any of the 150 participating general surgery (GS), hepatopancreatobiliary surgery (HPB), internal medicine (IM) and gastroenterology (GA) departments with a diagnosis of biliary acute pancreatitis between 01/01/2019 and 31/12/2020 were included in the study. Categorical data were reported as percentages representing the proportion of all study patients or different and well-defined cohorts for each variable. Continuous data were expressed as mean and standard deviation. Differences between the compliance obtained in the four different subgroups were compared using the Mann-Whitney U, Student's t, ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis tests for continuous data, and the Chi-square test or the Fisher's exact test for categorical data.

RESULTS

Complete data were available for 5275 patients. The most commonly discordant gaps between daily clinical practice and recommendations included the optimal timing for the index CT scan (6.1%, χ2 6.71, P = 0.081), use of prophylactic antibiotics (44.2%, χ2 221.05, P < 0.00001), early enteral feeding (33.2%, χ2 11.51, P = 0.009), and the implementation of early cholecystectomy strategies (29%, χ2 354.64, P < 0.00001), with wide variability based on the admitting speciality.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study showed an overall poor compliance with evidence-based guidelines in the management of ABP, with wide variability based on the admitting speciality. Study protocol registered in ClinicalTrials.Gov (ID Number NCT04747990).

Acute Pancreatitis: Diagnosis and Treatment

Acute pancreatitis is a common indication for hospital admission, increasing in incidence, including in children, pregnancy and the elderly. Moderately severe acute pancreatitis with fluid and/or necrotic collections causes substantial morbidity, and severe disease with persistent organ failure causes significant mortality. The diagnosis requires two of upper abdominal pain, amylase/lipase ≥ 3 ×upper limit of normal, and/or cross-sectional imaging findings. Gallstones and ethanol predominate while hypertriglyceridaemia and drugs are notable among many causes. Serum triglycerides, full blood count, renal and liver function tests, glucose, calcium, transabdominal ultrasound, and chest imaging are indicated, with abdominal cross-sectional imaging if there is diagnostic uncertainty. Subsequent imaging is undertaken to detect complications, for example, if C-reactive protein exceeds 150 mg/L, or rarer aetiologies. Pancreatic intracellular calcium overload, mitochondrial impairment, and inflammatory responses are critical in pathogenesis, targeted in current treatment trials, which are crucially important as there is no internationally licenced drug to treat acute pancreatitis and prevent complications. Initial priorities are intravenous fluid resuscitation, analgesia, and enteral nutrition, and when necessary, critical care and organ support, parenteral nutrition, antibiotics, pancreatic exocrine and endocrine replacement therapy; all may have adverse effects. Patients with local complications should be referred to specialist tertiary centres to guide further management, which may include drainage and/or necrosectomy. The impact of acute pancreatitis can be devastating, so prevention or reduction of the risk of recurrence and progression to chronic pancreatitis with an increased risk of pancreas cancer requires proactive management that should be long term for some patients.

Acadesine alleviates acute pancreatitis-related lung injury by mediating the barrier protective function of pulmonary microvascular endothelial cells

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a condition characterized by highly fatal acute inflammation and is usually associated with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. Acute lung injury (ALI) is the most common complications of SAP, which is the accelerator of other organ dysfunction caused by SAP and the primary cause of early death due to SAP. Acadesine, an adenosine analog and an AMPK activator, has been discovered to modulate glucose and lipid metabolism, and inhibit the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines and iNOS. However, its role in SAP-ALI and its mechanism remains unclear and need to be explored. Herein, we discovered that acadesine mitigated the generation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) in human pulmonary microvascular endothelial cells (HPMECs), alleviated apoptosis and recovered barrier integrity, thereby contributing to anti-inflammatory effects in vitro and in vivo. Moreover, Nrf2 deficiency partially eliminated the effects of acadesine-induced antioxidant effects and thus weakened the protective effects on cells and Nrf2-knockout (Nrf2^-/-) mice. This study demonstrates that acadesine attenuated SAP-ALI associated inflammation and tissue damage by modulating the Nrf2-dependent antioxidant pathway by triggering AMPK. These findings are of great significance for the treatment of SAP-related lung injury.

Ward based goal directed fluid therapy (GDFT) in acute pancreatitis (GAP) trial: A feasibility randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Goal-directed fluid therapy (GDFT) reduces complications in patients undergoing major general surgery. There are no reports of cardiac output evaluation being used to optimise the fluid administration for patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in a general surgery ward.

METHOD

50 patients with AP were randomised to either ward-based GDFT (n = 25) with intravenous (IV) fluids administered based on stroke volume optimisation protocol or standard care (SC) (n = 25), but with blinded cardiac output evaluation, for 48-h following hospital admission. Primary outcome was feasibility.

RESULTS

50 of 116 eligible patients (43.1%) were recruited over 20 months demonstrating feasibility. 36 (72%) completed the 48-h of GDFT; 10 (20%) discharged within 48-h and 4 withdrawals (3 GDFT, 1 SC). Baseline characteristics were similar with only 3 participants having severe disease (6%, 1 GDFT, 2 SC). Similar volumes of IV fluids were administered in both groups (GDFT 5465 (1839) ml, SC 5211 (1745) ml). GDFT group had a lower heart rate, blood pressure and respiratory rate and improved oxygen saturations. GDFT was not associated with any harms. There was no evidence of difference in complications of AP (GDFT 24%, SC 32%) or in the duration of stay in intensive care (GDFT 0 (0), SC 0.7 [(Van DIjk et al., 2017) 33 days). Length of hospital stay was 5 (2.9) days in GDFT and 6.3 (7.6) in SC groups.

CONCLUSION

Ward-based GDFT is feasible and shows a signal of possible efficacy in AP in this early-stage study. A larger multi-site RCT is required to confirm clinical and cost effectiveness.

The harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) identifies non-severe patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

We previously described a scoring system to identify patients with harmless acute pancreatitis as defined by absence of pancreatic necrosis, no need for artificial ventilation or dialysis, and non-fatal course. This scoring system, the Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS), can be quickly calculated from three parameters: absence of abdominal tenderness or rebound, normal hematocrit and normal creatinine level. We aim to assess the positive predictive value (PPV) of the HAPS by performing a meta-analysis of subsequently published studies.

METHODS

We performed a literature search using Pubmed, Web of Science^TM and Google Scholar. We used random effects models, with maximum likelihood estimates, to estimate the PPV of HAPS. We produced forest plots and used the I² statistic to quantify heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty reports covering 6374 patients were identified. The overall PPV based on 16 studies that closely followed the original description of the HAPS system was 97% (95%CI 95-99%) with significant heterogeneity (I² = 76%; P < 0.01). For 11 studies in which HAPS was used to identify patients with mild AP, the overall PPV dropped to 83% (74-91%). For 8 studies in which HAPS was used to predict non-fatal course the overall PPV was 98% (97-100%).

CONCLUSION

The HAPS, if used as originally defined, accurately identifies patients with non-severe AP who will not require ICU care and facilitate selection of patients who can be discharged after a short stay on a general ward or can even be cared for at home. This could free hospital beds for other purposes and decrease healthcare costs.

Machine learning predictive models for acute pancreatitis: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common clinical pancreatic disease. Patients with different severity levels have different clinical outcomes. With the advantages of algorithms, machine learning (ML) has gradually emerged in the field of disease prediction, assisting doctors in decision-making.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted using the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase databases, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Publication time was limited from inception to 29 May 2021. Studies that have used ML to establish predictive tools for AP were eligible for inclusion. Quality assessment of the included studies was conducted in accordance with the IJMEDI checklist.

RESULTS

In this systematic review, 24 of 2,913 articles, with a total of 8,327 patients and 47 models, were included. The studies could be divided into five categories: 10 studies (42%) reported severity prediction; 10 studies (42%), complication prediction; 3 studies (13%), mortality prediction; 2 studies (8%), recurrence prediction; and 2 studies (8%), surgery timing prediction. ML showed great accuracy in several prediction tasks. However, most of the included studies were retrospective in nature, conducted at a single centre, based on database data, and lacked external validation. According to the IJMEDI checklist and our scoring criteria, two studies were considered to be of high quality. Most studies had an obvious bias in the quality of data preparation, validation, and deployment dimensions.

CONCLUSION

In the prediction tasks for AP, ML has shown great potential in assisting decision-making. However, the existing studies still have some deficiencies in the process of model construction. Future studies need to optimize the deficiencies and further evaluate the comparability of the ML systems and model performance, so as to consequently develop high-quality ML-based models that can be used in clinical practice.

Alcohol Reduction to Reduce Relapse in Acute Alcoholic Pancreatitis-Missed Opportunities

Aim

Resuming drinking is a main contributant to recurrence in alcoholic pancreatitis. We assessed current clinical practice in the Netherlands regarding alcohol in managing patients with a first episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis.

Methods

A survey was distributed to 35 hospitals affiliated with the Dutch Pancreatitis Study Group. We evaluated current support based on various components of brief interventions, the participation of psychosocial healthcare providers, the cooperation with the primary care physicians and the presence of a protocol and its implementation.

Results

The response rate was 100% (n = 35). Psychoeducation is the most frequently performed intervention in current support treatment (97% of hospitals). In 17% of hospitals, healthcare providers with a psychosocial background routinely participate in current support treatment; 37% of hospitals create an individual treatment plan in which goals regarding alcohol cessation are specified and only 46% of hospitals provide the primary care physician with specific discharge information; 31% of hospitals indicate that the treatment is uniformly performed within their division of Gastroenterology. Protocols are available in 3% of the hospitals surveyed. Opportunities to involve the patient’s social network were not given sufficient priority.

Conclusion

Among Dutch hospitals, there is no routine management strategy with regard to enhancing treatment for heavy alcohol use in alcoholic pancreatitis patients. There is a need to test a validated support program in randomized studies. Meanwhile, possible opportunities for effecting change are often missed.

The Value of Managing Acute Pancreatitis With Standardized Order Sets to Achieve "Perfect Care"

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to define perfect care index (PCI) metrics and to evaluate whether implementation of standardized order sets would improve outcomes without increasing hospital-based charges in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

This is a retrospective, pre-post, observational study measuring clinical quality, processes of care, and hospital-based charges at a single tertiary care center. The first data set included AP patients from August 2011 to December 2014 (n = 219) before the implementation of a standardized order set (Methodist Acute Pancreatitis Protocol [MAPP]) and AP patients after MAPP implementation from January 2015 to September 2018 (n = 417). The second data set included AP patients (n = 150 in each group) from January 2013 to September 2014 (pre-MAPP) and January 2018 to September 2019 (post-MAPP) to evaluate perfect care between the 2 cohorts after controlling for systemic inflammatory response syndrome at baseline. Length of stay, PCI, and hospital-based charges were measured.

RESULTS

The post-MAPP cohort had a significantly shorter length of stay (median, 3 days vs 4 days; P = 0.01). In the second data set, PCI significantly increased after implementation of MAPP order sets (5.3%-35.3%, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The MAPP order sets increased the value of care by improving clinical outcomes without increasing hospital-based charges.

Comparison of clinical characteristics and outcomes between alcohol-induced and gallstone-induced acute pancreatitis: An Australian retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

To compare the characteristics and outcomes of patients presenting to hospital with alcohol-induced and gallstone-induced acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Retrospective study of all patients with alcohol-induced or gallstone-induced pancreatitis during the period 1 June 2012 to 31 May 2016. The primary outcome measure was hospital mortality. Secondary outcome measures included hospital length of stay, requirements for intensive care unit admission, intensive care unit mortality, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, requirement of inotropes and total parenteral nutrition.

RESULTS

A total of 642 consecutive patients (49% alcohol; 51% gallstone) were included. No statistically significant differences were found between alcohol-induced and gallstone-induced acute pancreatitis with respect to hospital mortality, requirement for intensive care unit admission, intensive care unit mortality and requirement for mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, inotropes or total parenteral nutrition. There was significant difference in hospital length of stay (3.07 versus 4.84; p < 0.0001). On multivariable regression analysis, Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis score (estimate: 0.393; standard error: 0.058; p < 0.0001) and admission haematocrit (estimate: 0.025; standard error: 0.008; p = 0.002) were found to be independently associated with prolonged hospital length of stay.

CONCLUSION

Hospital mortality did not differ between patients with alcohol-induced and gallstone-induced acute pancreatitis. The duration of hospital stay was longer with gallstone-induced pancreatitis. Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis score and admission haematocrit were independently associated with hospital length of stay.

The diagnostic work-up and outcomes of 'presumed' idiopathic acute pancreatitis: A post-hoc analysis of a multicentre observational cohort

INTRODUCTION

After standard diagnostic work-up, the aetiology of acute pancreatitis remains unknown in 16-27% of cases, a condition referred to as idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP). Determining the aetiology of pancreatitis is essential, as it may direct treatment in the acute phase and guides interventions to prevent recurrent pancreatitis.

METHODS

Between 2008 and 2015, patients with acute pancreatitis were registered prospectively in 19 Dutch hospitals. Patients who had a negative initial diagnostic work-up with regard to the underlying aetiology of their pancreatitis were labelled 'presumed' IAP. The aim of this study was to assess the use of diagnostic modalities and their yield to establish an aetiology in 'presumed' IAP, and to assess recurrence rates both with and without treatment.

RESULTS

Out of the 1632 registered patients, 191 patients had a first episode of 'presumed' IAP, of whom 176 (92%) underwent additional diagnostic testing: CT (n = 124, diagnostic yield 8%), EUS (n = 62, yield 35%), MRI/MRCP (n = 56, yield 33%), repeat ultrasound (n = 97, yield 21%), IgG4 (n = 54, yield 9%) and ERCP (n = 15, yield 47%). In 64 of 176 patients (36%) an aetiological diagnosis was established, mostly biliary (n = 39). In 13 out of 176 of patients (7%) a neoplasm was diagnosed. If additional diagnostic workup revealed an aetiology, the recurrence rate was lower in the treated patients than in the patients without a definite aetiology (15% versus 43%, p = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

Additional diagnostic testing revealed an aetiology in one-third of 'presumed' IAP patients. The aetiology found was mostly biliary, but occasionally neoplasms were found. Identification of an aetiology with subsequent treatment reduced the rate of recurrence.

Effects of Bacterial Translocation and Autophagy on Acute Lung Injury Induced by Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Aim

To reveal the role of bacterial translocation (BT) and autophagy in severe acute pancreatitis-induced acute lung injury (SAP-ALI).

Methods

Rats were separated into a control (sham-operation) group (n = 10) and a SAP group (n = 10) and a SAP group (

Results

Levels of TNF-α, IL-6, lipase, and amylase in the SAP group were significantly higher than those in the control group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (P < 0.01). Histopathological score and W/D ratio of the lung in the SAP-BT(+) group were significantly higher than that in the SAP-BT(-) group (

Conclusions

BT can aggravate SAP-ALI with the increasing oxidative stress level, which may be related to the decrease of autophagy level.

Effects of curcumin on oxidative stress, inflammation and apoptosis in L-arginine induced acute pancreatitis in mice

Background and purpose

Curcumin, an active constituent of rhizomes of Curcuma longa Linn, exhibits a variety of biological activities such as anti-inflammation and anti-oxidant. The present study aims to examine the effects of curcumin on oxidative stress, inflammation and apoptosis in L-arginine induced acute pancreatitis (AP) in mice.

Methods

Male ICR mice were randomly divided into 4 groups. Control group received intraperitoneal injection (i.p.) of 1% DMSO as a vehicle. AP group received two doses of i.p. L-arginine (L-Arg) 450 mg/100 g body weight (BW) at 1-hour interval. AP plus low-dose curcumin group received i.p. curcumin 50 mg/kg BW 1 hour before L-Arg injection and then once daily for 3 days. AP plus high-dose curcumin group received i.p. curcumin 200 mg/kg BW 1 hour before L-Arg injection and then once daily for 3 days. All mice were sacrificed at 72 hours. Pancreatic tissue was obtained for histological evaluation, immunohistochemical studies for nuclear factor-kappa beta (NF-kβ), apoptosis and myeloperoxidase (MPO), and Western blot analyses for 4-Hydroxynonenal (4-HNE). Blood samples were collected for amylase analysis.

Results

Mean body weight was significantly lower in AP group than in control group, while in curcumin group, body weight was maintained. The serum amylase, number of MPO positive cells, NF-kB positive cells, TUNEL positive cells, and 4-HNE expression significantly increased in AP group when compared with control group, but decreased in low and high-dose curcumin groups. Mice in AP group developed severe pancreatic inflammation, edema and fat necrosis. While mice in low and high-dose curcumin groups showed a significant improvement in histopathological scores. There was no significant difference between low and high doses of curcumin.

Conclusion

Curcumin could attenuate acute pancreatitis via anti-oxidant, anti-inflammation and anti-apoptosis property leading to the improvement in pancreatic damage.

Endoscopic Ultrasound for Routine Assessment in Idiopathic Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common general acute surgical presentations. Current recommendations are that idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP) should account for no more than 20% of AP cases. Some studies suggest gallbladder microlithiasis is the aetiology in up to 75% of IAP patients. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) has been reported to be effective in the detection of microlithiasis and choledocholithiasis as well as pancreatic parenchymal, ductal and ampullary disorders. The aims of this study were to evaluate the usefulness of EUS in establishing aetiology in IAP patients and to assess if there is a role for EUS in the selection criteria for laparoscopic cholecystectomy to treat a potential biliary cause in IAP patients.

METHODS

A systematic review following PRISMA guideline was performed to gather data on patients with IAP undergoing EUS for further investigation. Three databases (MEDLINE, PubMed, and EMBASE) were searched to 28 July 2018.

RESULTS

Our systematic review included 28 studies, comprising 1850 patients with an initial diagnosis of IAP prior to having EUS. Diagnosis of a potential aetiology or associated pancreatic pathology was established in 1095 (62%, p < 0.001) of cases. A biliary aetiology (microlithiasis or choledocholithiasis) was found in 37%. Chronic pancreatitis and associated pancreatic findings (dilated pancreatic duct, pancreatic duct stricture or stone) were found in 21%. Pancreatic neoplasms were found in 6%. Of the patients who had identifiable biliary pathology on EUS that proceeded to cholecystectomy, 2% had a recurrence of AP during a mean follow-up period of 20.5 months.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a likely role for the routine use of EUS in the assessment of patients with IAP. The routine use of EUS may decrease the proportion of cases with a diagnosis of IAP. EUS may provide better selection criteria for laparoscopic cholecystectomy in patients with an initial diagnosis of IAP.

Clinical management and outcomes of acute pancreatitis: Identifying areas for quality improvement in a tertiary Asian setting

BACKGROUND

This study aims to review the clinical management of patients with acute pancreatitis in a tertiary institute in Singapore, and to identify areas qualiy improvement based on validation against the recommendations in the IAP/APA and the Japanese guidelines.

METHODS

391 patients from a prospective electronic database were included and reviewed for compliance to the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP)/American Pancreatic Association (APA) guidelines (2013) and the Japanase Guidelines (2015).

RESULTS

The 90 day mortality was 8.4% for moderately severe and 11.9% for severe pancreatitis. The accuracy of SIRS in predicting severe acute pancreatitis on admission was 72.1% and at 48 h 80.8%. Only 61.1% patients had ultrasound scan during their admission of whom 32.9% had it within 24 h of admission. 18.3% patients with initial diagnosis of idiopathic pancreatitis had EUS. 50% received Ringer lactate for initial fluid resuscitation. 38.7% received antibiotics as prophylaxis. 21.4% with severe acute pancreatitis had early enteral nutrition. Only 21.4% patients with biliary pancreatitis had index admission cholecystectomy.

CONCLUSION

The compliance to existing guidelines for management of acute pancreatitis is variable. Identifying gaps and implementing measures to address them allows for continued improvement in the management of patients with acute pancreatitis.

The utility of early cross-sectional imaging to evaluate suspected acute mild pancreatitis

Background

There are roughly 300,000 hospitalizations for acute pancreatitis annually in the United States. Many of the affected patients at our institution undergo computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) unnecessarily early during their admissions. We hypothesize that cross-sectional imaging within 48 h of admission in patients meeting the criteria for acute, mild pancreatitis is over-utilized and does not change management.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with a discharge diagnosis of acute pancreatitis from our tertiary care institution from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2015. Inclusion criteria were a lipase more than three times the upper limit of normal and clinical suspicion of pancreatitis. Exclusion criteria were an etiology of pancreatitis following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, recurrent or chronic pancreatitis, severe pancreatitis, and ultrasound findings being the reason for imaging.

Results

Of the 166 patients who met the criteria for analysis, 105 (63.3%) underwent cross-sectional imaging within 48 h of presentation (CT: 104, MRI: 1). Of the examined CTs, 27 (26.0%) showed no abnormality and 55 (52.9%) revealed uncomplicated pancreatitis. The remaining 22 (21.2%) demonstrated at least one of the following: local complications, biliary ductal dilatation or other findings. On thorough chart review, only two patients received a beneficial change in management as a result of the early imaging.

Conclusions

This analysis supports current guidelines that early cross-sectional abdominal imaging (CT or MRI) in patients with suspected acute mild pancreatitis does not alter medical management. Early imaging may lead to unnecessary resource use and patient irradiation.

Systemic histone release disrupts plasmalemma and contributes to necrosis in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Clinical and experimental acute pancreatitis feature histone release within the pancreas from innate immune cells and acinar cell necrosis. In this study, we aimed to detail the source of circulating histones and assess their role in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Circulating nucleosomes were measured in patient plasma, taken within 24 and 48 h of onset of acute pancreatitis and correlated with clinical outcomes. Using caerulein hyperstimulation, circulating histones were measured in portal, systemic venous and systemic arterial circulation in mice, and the effects of systemic administration of histones in this model were assessed. The sites of actions of circulating histones were assessed by administration of FITC-labelled histones. The effects of histones on isolated pancreatic acinar cells were further assessed by measuring acinar cell death and calcium permeability in vitro.

RESULTS

Cell-free histones were confirmed to be abundant in human acute pancreatitis and found to derive from pancreatitis-associated liver injury in a rodent model of the disease. Fluorescein isothianate-labelled histones administered systemically targeted the pancreas and exacerbated injury in experimental acute pancreatitis. Histones induce charge- and concentration-dependent plasmalemma leakage and necrosis in isolated pancreatic acinar cells, independent of extracellular calcium.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that histones released systemically in acute pancreatitis concentrate within the inflamed pancreas and exacerbate injury. Circulating histones may provide meaningful biomarkers and targets for therapy in clinical acute pancreatitis.

Early diagnosis of pancreatic necrosis based on perfusion CT to predict the severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Perfusion CT can diagnose pancreatic necrosis in early stage of severe acute pancreatitis, accurately. However, no study to date has examined whether early diagnosis of pancreatic necrosis is useful in predicting persistent organ failure (POF).

METHODS

We performed a multi-center prospective observational cohort study to investigate whether perfusion CT can predict the development of POF in the early stage of AP, based on early diagnosis of the development of pancreatic necrosis (PN). From 2009 to 2012, we examined patients showing potential early signs of severe AP (n = 78) on admission. Diagnoses for the development of PN were made prospectively by on-site physicians on the admission based on perfusion CT (diagnosis 1). Blinded retrospective reviews were performed by radiologists A and B, having 8 and 13 years of experience as radiologists (diagnosis 2 and 3), respectively. Positive diagnosis for the development of PN were assumed equivalent to positive predictions for the development of POF. We then calculated the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic for POF predictions.

RESULTS

Fourteen (17.9%) and 23 patients (29.5%) developed PN and POF, respectively. For diagnoses 1, 2, and 3, AUCs for POF predictions were 74, 68, and 73, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Perfusion CT diagnoses pancreatic necrosis and on that basis predicts the development of POF; http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index-j.htm,UMIN000001926 .

Acute biliary pancreatitis: focus on recurrence rate and costs when current guidelines are not complied

BACKGROUND

International guidelines recommend cholecystectomy within 2-4 weeks after mild to moderate acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) to prevent recurrence. We aimed to investigate the compliance to guidelines concerning early cholecystectomy and the associated costs.

METHODS

Admissions for ABP 2011-2013 were retrospectively reviewed. Classification was made according to the revised Atlanta classification. Treatment, time to surgery and recurrence, as well as cost analysis for both in-hospital costs and loss of production (LOP) were performed.

RESULTS

In total, 254 patients were included. Some 202 of the ABP patients (80%) underwent definitive treatment during their first attack of ABP (68% cholecystectomy, 17% endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), 15% both interventions) and 186 (73%) were treated within 1 month of discharge. Patients with ERCP alone were significantly older than cholecystectomy cases (p < .001), but no significant difference was observed between those who underwent ERCP or no treatment (p = .071). Mild ABP had intervention earlier (p < .001). In all, 52 patients (20%) had no intervention, out of which 15 were readmitted due to pancreatitis, compared to 3 patients of those treated at the initial admission (p < .001). The mean cost for hospital care and LOP in mild ABP was €6882 ± 3010 and €9580 ± 7047 for moderate ABP (p = .001). The cost for a recurrent episode was €16,412 ± 22,367.

CONCLUSION

By improved compliance to current guidelines concerning the management of ABP, recurrence rate and associated costs can potentially be reduced.

Biliary tract external drainage protects against multiple organs injuries of severe acute pancreatitis rats via heme oxygenase-1 upregulation

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of biliary tract external drainage (BTED) on severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in rats and the relationship with heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) pathway.

METHODS

Thirty SD rats weighing 250-300 g were randomly assigned into five groups (n = 6): sham surgery (SS) group, SAP group, SAP + BTED group, SAP + zinc protoporphyrin IX (ZnPP) group, SAP + BTED + ZnPP group. The SAP model was induced via retrograde injection of 4% sodium taurocholate (1 mL/kg) into biliopancreatic duct through duodenal wall. BTED was performed by inserting a cannula into the bile duct of SAP rats. Tissue and blood samples were collected 24 h after surgery. Pathological changes in organs were scored. The level of amylase, alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), diamine oxidase (DAO), lipopolysaccharide (LPS), myeloperoxidase (MPO) and ability to inhibit hydroxyl radical(·OH) in serum were measured. The expression of hemeoxygenase-1 (HO-1), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in tissues were analyzed by RT- PCR and western-blot.

RESULTS

Organs damage in SAP rats was significantly alleviated by BTED (p < 0.05). Compared to the SAP group, the serum level of amylase, ALT, AST, DAO, MPO, and LPS were significantly lower in the SAP + BTED group, and the ability to inhibit ·OH was significantly higher (p < 0.05). The BETD treatment led to a significant reduction of TNF-α, IL-6 level and a significant increase of HO-1 level in tissues than in SAP rats (p < 0.05). ZnPP significantly inhibited all above mentioned changes.

CONCLUSIONS

BTED protected multiple organs against SAP related injuries via HO-1 upregulation.

Analysis of Treatment-Related Factors Affecting Mortality in Patients with Severe Necrotizing Acute Pancreatitis

The aim of the paper was to determine the factors related to the initial therapy that may contribute to death from severe necrotizing acute pancreatitis and to analyze their clinical importance as well as possible additive effects.

A retrospective case-control study included all adult patients treated for severe necrotizing acute pancreatitis in the Clinical Center of Kragujevac, Serbia, during the five-year period (2006-2010.). The cases (n = 41) were patients who died, while the controls (n = 69) were participants who survived. In order to estimate the relationship between potential risk factors and observed outcome, crude and adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated in logistic regression models.

Significant association with observed outcome was shown for the use of gelatin and/or hydroxyethyl starch (adjusted OR 12.555; 95 % CI 1.150-137.005), use of albumin (adjusted OR 27.973; 95 % CI 1.741-449.373), use of octreotide (adjusted OR 16.069; 95 % CI 1.072-240.821) and avoiding of enteral feeding (adjusted OR 3.933; 95 % CI 1.118-13.829), while the use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs had protective role (adjusted OR 0.057; 95 % CI 0.004-0.805).

The risk of death in patients with predicted severe necrotizing acute pancreatitis could be reduced with avoidance of treatment with colloid solutions, albumin and octreotide, as well as with an early introduction of oral/enteral nutrition and use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs.

A microsimulation cost-utility analysis of alcohol screening and brief intervention to reduce heavy alcohol consumption in Canada

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Screening and brief intervention (SBI) is a public health intervention that has been shown to be effective in reducing heavy alcohol consumption. The aim of this study is to estimate the cost-effectiveness of implementing universal alcohol SBI in primary care in Canada.

DESIGN

We developed a microsimulation model of alcohol consumption and its effects on 18 alcohol-related causes of death.

SETTING

The model simulates a Canadian population.

PARTICIPANTS

The model simulates individuals and their alcohol consumption on a continuous scale starting from age 17 years to death.

INTERVENTIONS

The reference case assumes no SBI in Canada. The base case assumes screening was conducted using the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) at a threshold score of 8. Additional analyses included evaluating SBI using the AUDIT at threshold scores between 4 and 8 or the Derived Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT-C) at threshold scores between 3 and 7.

MEASUREMENTS

The model estimates the direct health-care costs, life years gained and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained, which are then used to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SBI versus no SBI.

FINDINGS

SBI with AUDIT (at a threshold score of 8) had an ICER of $8729/QALY. Our results suggest that using AUDIT thresholds between 8 and 4, inclusive, would be cost-effective for the whole population, as well as for men and women individually. Our results suggest that the AUDIT-C would be cost-effective at thresholds of 7 to 3, inclusive, for men, women and the whole population.

CONCLUSIONS

In Canada, screening and brief intervention via Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) and Derived Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT-C) to reduce heavy alcohol consumption appears to be cost-effective for men and women at Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) thresholds of 8 and lower and at Derived Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT-C) thresholds of 7 and lower.

A prospective cohort study on the association between coffee drinking and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis

Only one previous study has examined the association between coffee consumption and risk of acute pancreatitis, and it found a reduced risk for alcohol-related episodes among high consumers of coffee. Therefore, we examined (1) the association between coffee consumption and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis and (2) whether this association was modified by alcohol intake. Data were obtained from two prospective cohorts, the Cohort of Swedish Men and the Swedish Mammography Cohort, including 76 731 men and women (born 1914-1952). Coffee consumption was assessed at baseline with a FFQ, and the cohorts were followed up between 1998 and 2012 via linkage to national health registries. Hazard ratios were estimated using Cox models, with adjustment for potential confounding factors. During 1 035 881 person-years of total follow-up, 383 cases (246 in men and 137 in women) of incident non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis were identified. Overall, and irrespective of whether a categorical or a continuous exposure model was used, we observed no association between coffee consumption and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis (e.g. the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for each 1 cup/d increase in coffee consumption was 0·97; 95 % CI 0·92, 1·03). There was no evidence of effect modification by alcohol intake (P interaction=0·77). In conclusion, coffee consumption was not associated with risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis in this large prospective cohort study. Because of the limited number of epidemiological studies and their conflicting results, further research is needed to elucidate this potential association.

Nabumetone use and risk of acute pancreatitis in a case-control study

BACKGROUND

It remains unknown whether nabumetone increases or decreases acute pancreatitis risk. To investigate this, we conducted a population-based case-control study using the database from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Program.

METHODS

We analysed 5384 cases aged 20-84 years who had their first attack of acute pancreatitis during 1998-2011 and 21,536 controls without acute pancreatitis, and matched them according to sex, age and year in which acute pancreatitis was diagnosed. Never use of nabumetone was defined as subjects who had never received a nabumetone prescription; active use as subjects receiving a minimum of one prescription for nabumetone within 7 days before acute pancreatitis diagnosis and non-active use of nabumetone as subjects who did not receive a prescription for nabumetone within 7 days before but received at least one prescription for nabumetone ≥8 days before. The odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated to investigate the risk of acute pancreatitis associated with nabumetone use, using the multivariable unconditional logistic regression model.

RESULTS

The adjusted odds ratio of acute pancreatitis was 3.69 (95%CI 1.69, 8.05) for subjects with active use of nabumetone compared with those with never use. The odds ratios decreased to 1.0 (95%CI 0.88, 1.12) for subjects with non-active use.

CONCLUSIONS

Active use of nabumetone may increase the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Severe Acute Pancreatitis: Gut Barrier Failure, Systemic Inflammatory Response, Acute Lung Injury, and the Role of the Mesenteric Lymph

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) often leads to distant organ dysfunction with a high morbidity and mortality rate. The most common and earliest organ to fail is the lungs, but the exact pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the disease are still unclear. No successful targeted therapy exists, and treatment is limited to organ supportive care. It is believed that the gut is involved in the development of distant organ failure, as severe AP is associated with changes in the microcirculation, gut permeability/motility, bacterial translocation, and activation of the gut-associated lymphoid tissue (GALT). Experimental evidence implicates the mesenteric lymph as a primary route for these toxic factors to gain access to the systemic circulation. This literature overview was made to survey these mechanisms and the potential of surgical interventions on the thoracic duct as a means of therapy.

METHODS

Review of the pertinent English-language literature.

RESULTS

In experimental studies, interruption of mesenteric lymphatic flow has preventive qualities for acute lung injury (ALI) in the setting of critical illness with various etiologies. Experimentally, diversion of mesenteric lymph is able to prevent ALI if done before its development, whereas a later intervention partially reduces the lung damage. Few studies have investigated surgical approaches to the thoracic duct in human beings under these circumstances, and the ones that have been performed are of low quality and have conflicting results. It seems likely that the intervention would need to be performed prior to the development of ALI to obtain maximum benefits, which complicates its application clinically, because prediction of ALI cannot today be done with high precision.

CONCLUSION

Studies are ongoing to identify the factors carried in mesenteric lymph that may cause end-organ failure (e.g., ALI) and, once recognized, might allow the development of novel targeted agents that would modify the disease course.

Determinant-based classification and revision of the Atlanta classification, which one should we choose to categorize acute pancreatitis?

BACKGROUND

Two new systems of acute pancreatitis (AP) severity classification, namely, the determinant-based classification (DBC) and the revision of the Atlanta classification (RAC), were recently published. Information is lacking on the differences between the two systems.

METHODS

We analyzed data from adult patients with AP (973 episodes), admitted to West China Hospital from July 2012 through March 2013. We validated and compared the DBC and RAC systems by investigating the discordances between the RAC and DBC.

RESULTS

Using the RAC system, 66%, 27%, and 7% of the patients were categorized as mild, moderately severe, and severe, respectively. Using the DBC system, 83%, 7%, 7%, and 2% patients were determined to have mild, moderate, severe, and critical AP, respectively. The mortality and ICU admission rates were similar between the subgroups of the severe category under the RAC system. The severe and critical categories had similar mortality rates [35% (7/20) vs. 29% (20/70), P = 0.59] based on DBC. A subgroup of severe category of DBC (IPN and no persistent OF) had significantly lower mortality rate than the other two subgroups of severe category of DBC (SPN and persistent OF; persistent OF and no PN) [0% (0/18) vs. 29% (10/34) vs. 56% (10/18), P < 0.05].

CONCLUSION

Some subgroups of severe categories under the DBC system did not accurately reflected clinical outcomes. RAC seemed to be a better choice to guide the selection of patient populations for clinical research and provide a more accurate description of AP classification in the clinical setting than DBC.

Late infection of pancreatic necrosis: A separate entity in necrotizing pancreatitis with low mortality

BACKGROUND

Several studies have examined on the timing of the onset of infected necrosis and organ failure. The duration of these two complications and the effects of different durations of these two complications have not been mentioned. Our aim was to investigate the durations of these two complications and the corresponding effects of the different durations.

METHODS

A post-hoc analysis was performed on a prospective database containing 578 patients with necrotizing pancreatitis. The patients who received intervention were divided into subgroups based on different durations of the two complications, and the outcomes were compared.

RESULTS

The mortality rate in patients with late infection (occurred after 30 days) was lower than in the early (infection occurred within 30 days) group (3% vs. 22%, P < 0.05). The mortality rate in patients with long duration (>7 days) of infection before intervention was similar with those patients with short duration (≤7 days) of infection (6/27 vs. 11/74; P = 0.38). The mortality rate in patients with long duration (>7 days) of organ failure before intervention was higher than in patients with short duration (≤7 days) of organ failure (31/99 vs. 18/184; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Patients with late developed infection of pancreatic necrosis showed significantly better prognosis than patients with early infection. The duration of organ failure before intervention was correlated with mortality of necrotizing pancreatitis.