Model for end-stage liver disease score as a predictor of short-term outcome in patients with drug-induced liver injury

Designing clinical trials to address alcohol use and alcohol-associated liver disease: an expert panel Consensus Statement

Most patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) engage in heavy drinking defined as 4 or more drinks per day (56 g) or 8 (112 g) or more drinks per week for women and 5 or more drinks per day (70 g) or 15 (210 g) or more drinks per week for men. Although abstinence from alcohol after diagnosis of ALD improves life expectancy and reduces the risk of decompensation of liver disease, few studies have evaluated whether treatment of alcohol use disorders will reduce progression of liver disease and improve liver-related outcomes. In November 2021, the National Institute of Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism commissioned a task force that included hepatologists, addiction medicine specialists, statisticians, clinical trialists and members of regulatory agencies to develop recommendations for the design and conduct of clinical trials to evaluate the effect of alcohol use, particularly treatment to reduce or eliminate alcohol use in patients with ALD. The task force conducted extensive reviews of relevant literature on alcohol use disorders and ALD. Findings were presented at one in-person meeting and discussed over the next 16 months to develop the final recommendations. As few clinical trials directly address this topic, the 28 recommendations approved by all members of the task force represent a consensus of expert opinions.

MELD 3.0 in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

The MELD (model for end-stage liver disease) 3.0 score was developed to replace the MELD-Na score that is currently used to prioritize liver allocation for cirrhotic patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States. The MELD 3.0 calculator includes new inputs from patient sex and serum albumin levels and has new weights for serum sodium, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine levels. It is expected that use of MELD 3.0 scores will reduce overall waitlist mortality modestly and improve access for female liver transplant candidates. The utility of MELD 3.0 and PELDcre (pediatric end-stage liver disease, creatinine) scores for risk stratification in cirrhotic patients undergoing major abdominal surgery, placement of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, and other interventions requires further study. This article reviews the background of the MELD score and the rationale to create MELD 3.0 as well as potential implications of using this newer risk stratification tool in clinical practice.

Comparison of the prognostic models for mortality in idiosyncratic drug-induced liver injury

BACKGROUND

Several models have been proposed to predict acute liver failure/death in patients with drug-induced liver injury (DILI), but the predictive performances of them have not been systematically compared. We aim to compare the current models for their predictive potency of mortality at DILI onset.

METHODS

DILI patients hospitalized at both Beijing Friendship Hospital and the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital were categorized into death/liver transplantation (LT) or survival without LT group. Predictive potency of 28-day, 90-day, 6-month and 12-month death/LT outcomes of Hy's Law, nHy's Law, Robles-Diaz Model, drug-induced liver toxicity (DrILTox ALF) Score, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score, and Ghabril Model was compared by Delong method.

RESULTS

A total of 6.3% (83/1314) patients died or received LT within 12 months after DILI onset. The area under receiver operating characteristic of Hy's Law, nHy's Law, and Robles-Diaz Model was all lower than 0.750 for the prediction of within 12 months' mortality. DrILTox ALF Score, MELD Score and Ghabril Model showed better predictive potency of 28-day [0.896 (0.878-0.912), 0.934 (0.919-0.947), 0.935 (0.921-0.948), respectively], 90-day [0.883 (0.864-0.899), 0.951 (0.938-0.962), 0.952 (0.939-0.963), respectively], 6-month [0.820 (0.799-0.841), 0.905 (0.888-0.921) and 0.908 (0.891-0.923), respectively] and 12-month [0.801 (0.779-0.823), 0.882 (0.863-0.899) and 0.885 (0.866-0.902), respectively] mortality.

CONCLUSION

Despite the difference of clinical characteristics and implicated-drug categories between China and industrialized countries, we demonstrate that MELD Score and Ghabril Model have the best predictive performance in the prediction of mortality within 12 months after DILI onset.

Drug-induced liver injury at a tertiary care centre in Germany: Model for end-stage liver disease is the best predictor of outcome

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Agents most frequently inducing idiosyncratic drug-induced liver injury (DILI) differ between countries worldwide. Besides, there is no consistent data on the best model predicting mortality or the need for liver transplantation in DILI. We here analysed the DILI cohort of our centre with regard to causative drugs and clinical outcome.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 157 consecutive severe DILI patients presenting to our tertiary care centre in Hamburg, Germany, from 2008 to 2018, was performed.

RESULTS

The most frequent putatively causative drugs were phenprocoumon (n = 21), metamizole (n = 17) and flupirtine (n = 6). The mean values of ALT, bilirubin and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score at the time of hospitalisation were 1201 U/L (SD: 1169 U/L), 6.8 mg/dL (SD: 7 mg/dL) and 17 (SD: 8). About 71% of all cases were treated with steroids or steroids combined with n-acetylcysteine. About 12.1% of all DILI cases had a poor outcome (liver transplantation and/or death). At the time of admission, MELD score performed better than Hy's law, the ratio (R) or the new ratio (nR) on their own or combined with bilirubin, regarding sensitivity or specificity for poor outcome. MELD score had a c-statistic of 0.847 (95% CI: 0.731-0.964). Furthermore, the cut-off of 18 MELD points had a sensitivity of 88% and a specificity of 72% for poor outcome.

CONCLUSION

Phenprocoumon and metamizole are frequent causative drugs for DILI in Germany. In comparison to other prognostic scores, MELD score ≥18 at the time of admission performed best in our cohort for the prediction of poor outcome in DILI.

Consensus Guidelines: Best Practices for Detection, Assessment and Management of Suspected Acute Drug-Induced Liver Injury During Clinical Trials in Adults with Chronic Viral Hepatitis and Adults with Cirrhosis Secondary to Hepatitis B, C and Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

With the widespread development of new drugs to treat chronic liver diseases (CLDs), including viral hepatitis and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), more patients are entering trials with abnormal baseline liver tests and with advanced liver injury, including cirrhosis. The current regulatory guidelines addressing the monitoring, diagnosis, and management of suspected drug-induced liver injury (DILI) during clinical trials primarily address individuals entering with normal baseline liver tests. Using the same laboratory criteria cited as signals of potential DILI in studies involving patients with no underlying liver disease and normal baseline liver tests may result in premature and unnecessary cessation of a study drug in a clinical trial population whose abnormal and fluctuating liver tests are actually due to their underlying CLD. This position paper focuses on defining best practices for the detection, monitoring, diagnosis, and management of suspected acute DILI during clinical trials in patients with CLD, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV), both with and without cirrhosis and NASH with cirrhosis. This is one of several position papers developed by the IQ DILI Initiative, comprising members from 16 pharmaceutical companies in collaboration with DILI experts from academia and regulatory agencies. It is based on an extensive literature review and discussions between industry members and experts from outside industry to achieve consensus regarding the recommendations. Key conclusions and recommendations include (1) the importance of establishing laboratory criteria that signal potential DILI events and that fit the disease indication being studied in the clinical trial based on knowledge of the natural history of test fluctuations in that disease; (2) establishing a pretreatment value that is based on more than one screening determination, and revising that baseline during the trial if a new nadir is achieved during treatment; (3) basing rules for increased monitoring and for stopping drug for potential DILI on multiples of baseline liver test values and/or a threshold value rather than multiples of the upper limit of normal (ULN) for that test; (4) making use of more sensitive tests of liver function, including direct bilirubin (DB) or combined parameters such as aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase (AST:ALT) ratio or model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) to signal potential DILI, especially in studies of patients with cirrhosis; and (5) being aware of potential confounders related to complications of the disease being studied that may masquerade as DILI events.

Outcomes and Predictors of Mortality in Patients With Drug-Induced Liver Injury at a Tertiary Hospital in South India: A Single-Centre Experience

INTRODUCTION

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is an important cause of acute liver failure with significant morbidity and mortality. The outcome of DILI varies widely according to the drug implicated and the type of liver injury. Owing to the heterogeneous nature of liver injury, knowledge on clinical course and prognosis of DILI is limited. We had undertaken this study to determine the clinical characteristics, outcomes, and predictors of mortality in patients with DILI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective study was conducted from January 2015 through December 2018. We analyzed the drugs implicated, clinical course, and the outcome. Causality assessment was performed by using Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method scoring. Patients were followed for 6 months until recovery/death or liver transplantation.

RESULTS

There were 133 cases with DILI. The mean age was 47.6 years, and 51.9% of them were men. Drugs causing DILI were antitubercular drugs (37.5%) followed by neuropsychiatric drugs (16.5%), antibiotics/antifungals (12%), complementary and alternative medicine (10.5%), immunomodulatory/chemotherapeutic drugs (10.5%), and nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (7.5%). Eighty-two (61.6%) patients were classified as hepatocellular, 30 (22.5%) as mixed and 21 (15.7%) as cholestatic type of injury. There was no significant difference in the mortality and morbidity between the three types of liver injury. There were 18 deaths (13.5%), of which antitubercular drugs constituted the majority (55.5%) followed by neuropsychiatric drugs (27.7%) and complementary and alternative medicine (16.6%). Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score >28, mean international normalized ratio (INR) >1.97, mean bilirubin level >15.6 mg/dl, and creatinine level >1.35 mg/dl were associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Although DILI is uncommon, it has significant morbidity and mortality. Antitubercular drugs were the most common cause for DILI and DILI-related mortality in our study. Variables such as MELD, INR, bilirubin, albumin, and creatinine help in predicting severity of liver injury and may help in triaging the patient for referral for liver transplantation.

Drug induced liver injury: an update

Drug induced liver injury (DILI) is a relatively rare hepatic condition in response to the use of medications, illegal drugs, herbal products or dietary supplements. It occurs in susceptible individuals through a combination of genetic and environmental risk factors believed to modify drug metabolism and/or excretion leading to a cascade of cellular events, including oxidative stress formation, apoptosis/necrosis, haptenization, immune response activation and a failure to adapt. The resultant liver damage can present with an array of phenotypes, which mimic almost every other liver disorder, and varies in severity from asymptomatic elevation of liver tests to fulminant hepatic failure. Despite recent research efforts specific biomarkers are not still available for routine use in clinical practice, which makes the diagnosis of DILI uncertain and relying on a high degree of awareness of this condition and the exclusion of other causes of liver disease. Diagnostic scales such as the CIOMS/RUCAM can support the causality assessment of a DILI suspicion, but need refinement as some criteria are not evidence-based. Prospective collection of well-vetted DILI cases in established DILI registries has allowed the identification and validation of a number of clinical variables, and to predict a more severe DILI outcome. DILI is also in need of properly designed clinical trials to evaluate the efficacy of new DILI treatments as well as older drugs such as ursodeoxycholic acid traditionally used to ameliorate cholestasis or corticosteroids now widely tried in the oncology field to manage the emergent type of hepatotoxicity related to immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Diagnostic and prognostic assessment of suspected drug-induced liver injury in clinical practice

Idiosyncratic drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a challenging liver disorder because it can present with a range of phenotypes, mimicking almost every other hepatic disease, and lacks specific biomarkers for its diagnosis. Hence, a confident DILI diagnosis is seldom possible as it relies on the precise establishment of a temporal sequence between the exposure to a given prescription drug or sometimes hidden herbal product/over the counter medication as well as the exclusion of other aetiologies of liver disease. However, an accurate diagnosis is of most importance, as prompt withdrawal of the causative agent is essential in DILI management. Indeed, DILI can be severe and even fatal or in a fraction of cases evolve to chronic damage, but specific biomarkers for predicting mortality/liver transplantation or a chronic outcome in the very early phases of DILI are not yet available. In this article, we discuss the best diagnostic and prognostic approach of a DILI suspicion by judiciously choosing and interpreting the standard tests currently used in clinical practice.

Predictors of poor outcomes in 488 patients with herb-induced liver injury

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Herb-induced liver injury (HILI) can lead to chronic liver injury, liver transplantation, or even death. This study aimed to identify the predictors of poor HILI outcomes, especially chronic HILI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical data of 488 patients with HILI were retrospectively analyzed from a Chinese center between January 2010 and January 2014. Logistic regression and C-statistic were used to identify risk factors and prognostic models for HILI outcomes.

RESULTS

In all patients, 69 (14.1%) developed chronic HILI, and 20 (4.1%) died due to liver injury or underwent liver transplantation. To predict the fatal HILI prognosis, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) with a C-statistic of 0.981 (95%CI 0.968-0.995) was better than Hy's law (C-statistic 0.569; 95%CI 0.449-0.689). The latency, course of peak alanine aminotransferase decreasing >50% after discontinuation of herb application, peak triglyceride value, and platelet count at liver injury onset were identified as independent risk factors for chronicity with the adjusted odds ratios of 1.268 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.034-1.554), 2.303 (95%CI 1.588-3.340), 0.580 (95%CI 0.343-0.978), and 0.183 (95%CI 0.091-0.368), respectively. A prognostic model for chronic HILI based on these four factors yielded the best prediction with a C-statistic of 0.812 (95%CI 0.755-0.868), compared with MELD (C-statistic 0.506; 95%CI 0.431-0.581) and Hy's law (C-statistic 0.418; 95%CI 0.343-0.492).

CONCLUSION

Model for end-stage liver disease can be used to predict the fatal prognosis of HILI. A long latency, slow recovery, and low triglyceride value and platelet counts are important determinants for chronic HILI.

Prognostic factors and treatment effect of standard-volume plasma exchange for acute and acute-on-chronic liver failure: A single-center retrospective study

Patients with acute liver failure (ALF) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have a high risk of mortality. Few studies have reported prognostic factors for patients receiving plasma exchange (PE) for liver support. We conducted a retrospective analysis using data of 55 patients with severe ACLF (n = 45) and ALF (n = 10) who received standard-volume PE (1-1.5 plasma volume) in the ICU. Hepatitis B virus infection accounts for the majority of ACLF (87%) and ALF (50%) patients. PE significantly improved the levels of total bilirubin, prothrombin time and liver enzymes (P<0.05). Thirteen ACLF patients (29%) and one ALF patient (10%) underwent liver transplantation. Two ALF patients (20%) recovered spontaneously without transplantation. The overall in-hospital survival rates for ACLF and ALF patients were 24% and 30%, and the transplant-free survival rates were 0% and 20%, respectively. For the 14 transplanted patients, the one-year survival rate was 86%. Multivariate analysis showed that pre-PE hemoglobin (P = 0.008), post-PE hemoglobin (P = 0.039), and post-PE CLIF-C ACLF scores (P = 0.061) were independent predictors of survival in ACLF. The post-PE CLIF-C ACLF scores ≥59 were a discriminator predicting the in-hospital mortality (area under the curve = 0.719, P = 0.030). Cumulative survival rates differed significantly between patients with CLIF-C ACLF scores ≤ 58 and those with CLIF-C ACLF scores ≥ 59 after PE (P< 0.05). The findings suggest that PE is mainly a bridge for liver transplantation and spontaneous recovery is exceptional even in patients treated with PE. A higher improvement in the post-PE CLIF-C ACLF score is associated with a superior in-hospital survival rate.

Traditional Chinese Medicine and Herb-induced Liver Injury: Comparison with Drug-induced Liver Injury

Cases of suspected herb-induced liver injury (HILI) caused by herbal Traditional Chinese Medicines (TCMs) and of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) are commonly published in the scientific literature worldwide. As opposed to the multiplicity of botanical chemicals in herbal TCM products, which are often mixtures of several herbs, conventional Western drugs contain only a single synthetic chemical. It is therefore of interest to study how HILI by TCM and DILI compare with each other, and to what extent results from each liver injury type can be transferred to the other. China is among the few countries with a large population using synthetic Western drugs as well as herbal TCM. Therefore, China is well suited to studies of liver injury comparing drugs with TCM herbs. Despite some concordance, recent analyses of liver injury cases with verified causality, using the Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method, revealed major differences in HILI caused by TCMs as compared to DILI with respect to the following features: HILI cases are less frequently observed as compared to DILI, have a smaller proportion of females and less unintentional rechallenge events, and present a higher rate of hepatocellular injury features. Since many results were obtained among Chinese residents who had access to and had used Western drugs and TCM herbs, such ethnic homogeneity supports the contention that the observed differences of HILI and DILI in the assessed population are well founded.

CSH guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of drug-induced liver injury

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is an important clinical problem, which has received more attention in recent decades. It can be induced by small chemical molecules, biological agents, traditional Chinese medicines (TCM), natural medicines (NM), health products (HP), and dietary supplements (DS). Idiosyncratic DILI is far more common than intrinsic DILI clinically and can be classified into hepatocellular injury, cholestatic injury, hepatocellular-cholestatic mixed injury, and vascular injury based on the types of injured target cells. The CSH guidelines summarized the epidemiology, pathogenesis, pathology, and clinical manifestation and gives 16 evidence-based recommendations on diagnosis, differential diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of DILI.

Causes of drug-induced liver injury: A retrospective study of 122 cases

AIM: To analyze the type of drugs that induce liver injury, in order to improve doctors' and pharmacists' awareness of drug-induced liver injury.

METHODS: One hundred and twenty-two patients with drug-induced liver injury diagnosed from March 2012 to December 2014 were enrolled and retrospectively studied. Each case was assessed with RUCAM scale and got a score ≥ 3 points. Data were analyzed by rank sum test.

RESULTS: The top three types of drugs that induced liver injury in the 122 patients were antituberculotic agents (29.51%), immuno-suppressants and chemotherapeutics (24.59%), and traditional Chinese herbs (19.67%). There was no significant difference in the severity of liver injury or prognosis among the three clinical types (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION: Antituberculotic drugs have become the main cause of drug-induced liver injury in Xinjiang. Liver function monitoring should be strengthened to prevent the occurrence of drug-induced liver injury.

Causes, clinical features and outcomes of drug-induced liver injury in hospitalized patients in a Chinese tertiary care hospital

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is an important liver disease in China, owing to the country’s huge population and the availability of a multitude of drugs. Consequently, DILI is becoming an increasingly serious health problem. However, there is not enough relevant epidemiological data, and the clinical features of these patients are not clear. We conducted this study to report the causes and clinical features of DILI in hospitalized patients, and identify the mortality and predictive factors. We retrospectively collected and analyzed the data of all hospitalized patients whose discharge diagnosis was DILI at the Second Xiangya Hospital between January 2011 and December 2014. The data analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2. Among the 469 patients who were diagnosed with DILI at discharge, 361 met the criteria for DILI on re-evaluation. The crude annual incidence rate of DILI was 92.95 cases per 100,000 patients. Chinese herbal medicine was identified as the primary cause of DILI in 36.01 % of the patients. The overall mortality was 8.59 %. Alcohol consumption, use of antituberculosis drugs, serum total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, total protein, albumin, thrombinogen time, international normalized ratio, and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were significantly correlated with DILI-associated mortality. Among them, the MELD score and albumin were found to be independent predictors of outcome in patients with DILI. Chinese herbal medicine was the primary cause of DILI in the identified patients. The MELD score and albumin were independent predictors of outcome in patients with DILI.

Risk of Acute Liver Failure in Patients With Drug-Induced Liver Injury: Evaluation of Hy's Law and a New Prognostic Model

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Few studies have evaluated the ability of laboratory tests to predict risk of acute liver failure (ALF) among patients with drug-induced liver injury (DILI). We aimed to develop a highly sensitive model to identify DILI patients at increased risk of ALF. We compared its performance with that of Hy's Law, which predicts severity of DILI based on levels of alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase and total bilirubin, and validated the model in a separate sample.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 15,353 Kaiser Permanente Northern California members diagnosed with DILI from 2004 through 2010, liver aminotransferase levels above the upper limit of normal, and no pre-existing liver disease. Thirty ALF events were confirmed by medical record review. Logistic regression was used to develop prognostic models for ALF based on laboratory results measured at DILI diagnosis. External validation was performed in a sample of 76 patients with DILI at the University of Pennsylvania.

RESULTS

Hy's Law identified patients that developed ALF with a high level of specificity (0.92) and negative predictive value (0.99), but low level of sensitivity (0.68) and positive predictive value (0.02). The model we developed, comprising data on platelet count and total bilirubin level, identified patients with ALF with a C statistic of 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.96) and enabled calculation of a risk score (Drug-Induced Liver Toxicity ALF Score). We found a cut-off score that identified patients at high risk patients for ALF with a sensitivity value of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.71-0.99) and a specificity value of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.75-0.77). This cut-off score identified patients at high risk for ALF with a high level of sensitivity (0.89; 95% CI, 0.52-1.00) in the validation analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Hy's Law identifies patients with DILI at high risk for ALF with low sensitivity but high specificity. We developed a model (the Drug-Induced Liver Toxicity ALF Score) based on platelet count and total bilirubin level that identifies patients at increased risk for ALF with high sensitivity.

Severe hepatic dysfunction is associated with venous thromboembolic events in phase 1 clinical trials

INTRODUCTION

Venous thromboembolic events (VTEs) are a significant cause of death in patients with cancer. The incidence of VTE is not well characterized in early phase clinical trials of novel antineoplastic agents, or in hepatic dysfunction studies designed for patients with varying degrees of liver test abnormalities. We compared the incidences of VTE in phase 1 clinical trials (P1CTs) and hepatic dysfunction trials (HDCTs) sponsored by the Cancer Therapy Evaluation Program of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) of the United States.

MATERIALS & METHODS

We reviewed individual patient records of 1841 subjects for symptomatic VTE diagnosed while on study: 1328 subjects on 42 P1CTs, and 513 subjects on 9 HDCTs. The NCI's Organ Dysfunction Working Group definitions were used to categorize patients. The incidences of VTEs between patients were compared by the Chi square test. Confounders were evaluated with the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel method.

RESULTS & CONCLUSIONS

There were 43 VTEs identified among all subjects (2.3%). There were significantly more VTE observed in the subjects on P1CTs (n=38, 2.9%) than in the subjects on HDCTs (n=5, 1.0%; RR 0.341, 95% 0.13-0.86, p=0.015). For patients on HDCTs, those with severe dysfunction had a high incidence of VTE (RR 10.5 (1.12-93.6), p=0.021) that remained significant in a multivariate model. VTEs were observed less frequently in patients who were enrolled in HDCT than those who were enrolled in P1CT; however, patients with severe hepatic dysfunction were more likely to experience VTE. Severe liver test abnormalities may not be protective against VTE in patients with malignancies receiving chemotherapy.