Prediction of outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage: timing of clinical assessment

Impact of age on surgical outcomes for world federation of neurosurgical societies grade I and II aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: a novel prognostic model using recursive partitioning analysis

This study aimed to evaluate age as a prognostic factor and develop a comprehensive prognostic model for patients undergoing clipping surgery for World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade I/II aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). We retrospectively investigated 188 patients with WFNS grade I/II SAH who underwent microsurgical clipping at our institute between December 2010 and January 2020. The data of 176 patients (75 with grade I and 101 with grade II) were analysed. Data on patient demographics, aneurysm characteristics, SAH factors, surgical details, and clinical outcomes were collected. Prognostic factors were assessed using bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses, and recursive partitioning analysis. Favourable outcomes (mRS 0-2) were observed in 76% of patients. Age, a significant negative prognostic factor in multivariable analysis (odds ratio 0.55, 95% confidence interval 0.40-0.76, p < 0.001), was cutoff at 70 years by the receiver operating characteristic curve. Patients aged ≤ 70 years had significantly better outcomes than those aged > 70 years (84% vs. 46%, respectively; p < 0.001). Epileptic seizures were significantly associated with poor outcomes in older adults (p < 0.001). A prognostic model (favourable, intermediate, and poor) based on age and postoperative adverse events showed significantly different outcomes between age groups (p < 0.001). Age was a stronger prognostic factor than WFNS grading for patients with grade I/II SAH undergoing microsurgical clipping. For patients aged ≤ 70 years, precise microsurgeries with fewer complications were associated with favourable outcomes beyond WFNS grade. For older patients, postoperative intensive seizure management may prevent poor outcomes.

Clinical severity of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage over time: systematic review

The incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is well studied. Yet, little is known about the trend of aSAH severity. This systematic review aims to analyze the distribution of aSAH severity over time. We performed a systematic review of the literature according to the PRISMA-P guidelines. We included studies from January 1968 up to December 2022. Studies were included if they either reported the severity of aSAH as single increments of the corresponding 5-point scale or as a binary measure (good grade 1-3, poor grade 4-5) on the Hunt and Hess (HH) or World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scale. Studies with fewer than 50 patients, (systematic) reviews, and studies including non-aSAH patients were excluded. A total of 2465 publications were identified, of which 214 met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. In total, 102,845 patients with an aSAH were included. Over the last five decades the number of good-grade HH (0.741 fold, p = 0.004) and WFNS (0.749 fold, p < 0.001) has decreased. Vice versa, an increase in number of poor grade HH (2.427 fold, p = 0.004), WFNS (2.289 fold, p < 0.001), as well as HH grade 5 (6.737 fold, p = 0.010), WFNS grade 4 (1.235 fold, p = 0.008) and WFNS grade 5 (8.322 fold, p = 0.031) was observed. This systematic review shows a worldwide 2-3 fold increase of poor grade aSAH patients and an 6-8 fold increase of grade 5 patients, over the last 50 years. Whether this evolution is due to more severe hemorrhage, improvements in neuro-intensive care and prehospital management, or to a change in grading behavior is unknown. This study strongly emphasizes the necessity for an improved grading system to differentiate grade 4 and grade 5 patients for meaningful clinical decision- making.

Revisiting the WFNS Score: Native Computed Tomography Imaging Improves Identification of Patients With "False Poor Grade" Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

In patients suffering from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), the optimal time to determine the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) score remains controversial because of possible confounding factors. Goals of this study were (1) to analyze the most sensitive timepoint to determine the WFNS score in patients with aSAH and (2) to evaluate the impact of initial native computed tomography (CT) imaging on reducing the mismatch of "false poor grade" patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed daily WFNS scores from admission until day 7 in 535 aSAH patients and evaluated their predictive value for the modified Rankin Scale at discharge and 6 months postbleeding. Patients with an initial WFNS score of IV-V who showed improvement to a WFNS score of I-II within the first 7 days (even short-term) were defined as "false poor grade" patients. We tried to identify the "false poor grade" patients using parameters of the initial native CT imaging.

RESULTS

Later determination of the WFNS score (day 1 vs 7; pseudo-R 2 = 0.13 vs 0.21) increasingly improved its predictive value for neurological outcome at discharge ( P < .001). We identified 39 "false poor grade" patients who had significantly better outcomes than "real poor grade" patients (N = 220) (modified Rankin Scale-discharge: 0-2, 56% vs 1%, P < .001; 3-5: 41% vs 56%, P = .12; 6: 3% vs 43%, P < .001). "False poor grade" patients differed significantly in initial CT parameters. A predictive model called "initial CT WFNS" ( ICT WFNS) was developed, incorporating SEBES, Hijdra score, and LeRoux score (sensitivity = 0.95, specificity = 0.84, accuracy = 0.859, F1 = 0.673). ICT WFNS scores of ≤4.6 classified patients as "false poor grade."

CONCLUSION

The initial WFNS score may misclassify a subgroup of patients with aSAH as poor grade, which can be avoided by later determination of the WFNS score, at days 3-4 losing its usefulness. Alternatively, the initial WFNS score can be improved in its predictive value, especially in poor-grade patients, using criteria from the initial native CT imaging, such as the Hijdra, LeRoux, and Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Early Brain Edema score, combined in the ICT WFNS score with even higher predictive power.

Prognostic value of scales for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: Report of a reference center in Peru

INTRODUCTION

Multiple scales have been designed to stratify the severity and predict the prognosis in the initial evaluation of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Our study aimed to validate the most commonly used prognostic scales for aSAH in our population: Hunt-Hess, modified Hunt-Hess, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS), Prognosis on Admission of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (PAASH), and Barrow Aneurysm Institute (BAI) scales.

METHODS

This study includes all aSAH cases treated at our institution between June 2019 and December 2020. We developed a retrospective cohort by reviewing medical records and radiologic images performed during hospitalization. The outcome was evaluated using the modified Rankin scale (mRS). It was defined as a poor outcome (mRS 4-5) and mortality (mRS 6). The ROC curves and the area under the curve (AUC) of each of the prognostic scales were calculated to evaluate their prognostic prediction capacity.

RESULTS

A total of 142 patients were diagnosed with aSAH. A poor outcome occurred in 52.1% of the patients, whereas mortality was 27.5%. The AUC of the scales studied was similar and no significant difference was found between them for predicting a poor outcome (P = .709) or mortality (P = .715).

CONCLUSION

We determined that the prognostic scales for aSAH had a similar predictive value for poor clinical outcomes and mortality in our institution, with no significant difference. Thus, we recommend the most simple and well-known scale used institutionally.

Assessing the risk of intracranial aneurysm rupture using computational fluid dynamics: a pilot study

Objective

This study compared 2 representative cases with ruptured aneurysms to explore the role of hemodynamic and morphological parameters in evaluating the rupture risk of intracranial aneurysms (IAs).

Methods

CTA and 3-dimensional rotational angiography (3DRA) of 3 IAs in 2 patients were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Hemodynamics and morphological parameters were compared between a ruptured IA and an unruptured IA in case1, and between before and after aneurysm rupture in case 2.

Results

In case 1, the ruptured aneurysm had larger morphological parameters including size ratio (SR), aspect ratio (AR), aneurysm vessel angle (θF), Aneurysm inclination angle (θA), Undulation index (UI), Ellipticity index (EI), and Non-sphericity Index (NSI) than the unruptured aneurysm. And oscillatory shear index (OSI) is also larger. Higher rupture resemblance score (RRS) was shown in the ruptured aneurysm. In case 2, the aneurysm had one daughter sac after 2 years. Partial morphological and hemodynamic parameters including SR, AR, θF, θA, UI, EI, NSI, OSI, and relative residence time (RRT) increased, and normalized wall shear stress (NWSS) was significantly reduced. RRS increased during this period.

Conclusion

SR and OSI may have predictive values for the risk of intracranial aneurysm rupture. It is possible that WSS Changes before and after IA rupture, yet the influence of high or low WSS on growth and rupture of IA remains unclear. RRS is promising to be used in the clinical assessment of the rupture risk of IAs and to guide the formulation of treatment plans.

The post-resuscitation VASOGRADE: a more accurate scale to predict delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Predicting the occurrence of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage is of interest to adjust the level of care. The VASOGRADE, a simple grading scale using admission World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grading score and modified Fisher scale (mFS) on first CT scan, could help to select patients at risk of DCI. However, using data after initial resuscitation (initial complication treatment, aneurysm exclusion) may be more relevant.

METHODS

We calculated a post-resuscitation VASOGRADE (prVG) using WFNS grade and mFS after early brain injury treatment and aneurysm exclusion (or at day 3). Patients were categorized as green, yellow, or red.

RESULTS

Using our prospective observational registry, 566 patients were included in the study. Two hundred six (36.4%) were classified as green, 208 (36.7%) as yellow, and 152 (26.9%) as red, and DCI was experienced in 22 (10.7%), 67 (32.2%), and 45 (29.6%) cases respectively. Patients classified as yellow had higher risk of developing DCI (OR 3.94, 95% CI 2.35-6.83). Risk was slightly lower in red patients (OR 3.49, 95% CI 2.00-6.24). The AUC for prediction was higher with prVG (0.62, 95% CI 0.58-0.67) than with VASOGRADE (0.56, 95% CI 0.51-0.60) (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

By using simple clinical and radiological scale evaluated at subacute stage, prVG is more accurate to predict the occurrence of DCI.

Frailty as a Predictor of Outcomes in Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Frailty is an emerging concept in clinical practice used to predict outcomes and dictate treatment algorithms. Frail patients, especially older adults, are at higher risk for adverse outcomes. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a neurosurgical emergency associated with high morbidity and mortality rates that have previously been shown to correlate with frailty. However, the relationship between treatment selection and post-treatment outcomes in frail aSAH patients is not established. We conducted a meta-analysis of the relevant literature in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar using "Subarachnoid hemorrhage AND frailty" and "subarachnoid hemorrhage AND frail" as search terms. Data on cohort age, frailty measurements, clinical grading systems, and post-treatment outcomes were extracted. Of 74 studies identified, four studies were included, with a total of 64,668 patients. Percent frailty was 30.4% under a random-effects model in all aSAH patients (p < 0.001). Overall mortality rate of aSAH patients was 11.7% when using a random-effects model (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in mortality rate between frail and non-frail aSAH patients, but this analysis only included two studies and should be interpreted cautiously. Age and clinical grading, rather than frailty, independently predicted outcomes and mortality in aSAH patients.

Clipping Versus Coiling for Ruptured MCA Aneurysms Associated with Intracerebral Hematoma Requiring Surgical Evacuation

BACKGROUND

Ruptured middle cerebral artery aneurysm (MCAa) can lead to intracerebral hematoma, and surgical evacuation can be performed in these cases. MCAa can be treated by clipping or before by endovascular therapy (EVT). Our objective was to compare the impact on the functional outcome of MCAa in patients with intracerebral hematoma requiring evacuation.

METHODS

This is a multicenter, retrospective, cohort study with nine French neurosurgical units from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2020. All participants were adult patients who required evacuation of an intracerebral hematoma. We looked for risk factors for poor outcomes by comparing the baseline characteristics and treatments performed by using the 6-month modified Rankin scale score. Poor outcomes were defined by an modified Rankin scale score of 3-6.

RESULTS

A total of 162 patients were included. A total of 129 (79.6%) patients were treated by microsurgery, and 33 (20.4%) patients were treated by EVT. In multivariate analysis, factors associated with poor outcomes included hematoma volume, realization of a decompressive craniectomy, occurrence of procedure-related symptomatic cerebral ischemia, occurrence of delayed cerebral ischemia, and EVT. In the propensity score matching analysis (n = 33 per group), poor outcomes were observed in 30% of the patients in the clipping group versus 76% in the EVT group (P < 0.001). These differences may have been related to a longer delay between hospital admission and hematoma evacuation in the EVT group.

CONCLUSIONS

In the specific subgroup of ruptured MCAa with intracerebral hematoma that requires surgical evacuation, clipping with concomitant hematoma evacuation could provide better functional outcomes than EVT followed by surgical evacuation.

Significance of Pupillary Findings in Decision Making and Outcomes of World Federation of Neurological Societies Grade V Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

There is considerable debate regarding the definition of grade V subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Recently, the Glasgow Coma Scale-Pupil (GCS-P) score was advocated for assessing traumatic brain injury.

OBJECTIVE

To study the significance of pupillary findings and GCS-P in the management and outcomes of the World Federation of Neurological Societies (WFNS) grade V SAH.

METHODS

We analyzed data obtained from a Japanese nationwide prospective registration study on the modified WFNS SAH grading system. Bilateral pupillary dilatation without reactivity was defined as pupil score 2, unilateral pupil dilation without reactivity as score 1, and no pupil dilatation with reactivity as score 0. The GCS-P score was calculated by subtracting the pupil score from the total GCS score. The characteristics and pupillary findings were examined in patients with each GCS score in WFNS grade V.

RESULTS

Among 1638 patients, 472 (men/women = 161/311, age 67.0 ± 14.0 years) had a GCS score of ≤6 after initial resuscitation on arrival. Overall, lower GCS scores were associated with poorer neurological outcomes and higher mortality. Aneurysms were treated in 20.5%, 53.9%, and 67.5% of patients with pupil scores of 2, 1, and 0, respectively. Favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale 0-2) at 3 months occurred in 4.5%, 10.8%, and 21.4% in patients with pupil scores 2, 1, and 0, respectively ( P < .0001), and in 0%, 0%, 13.6%, 28.6%, 16.7%, and 18.8% of patients with GCS-P scores 1 to 6 ( P < .0001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirmed the significance of pupillary findings in decision making and outcomes of WFNS grade V SAH.

Prospective, multicentre study of screening, investigation and management of hyponatraemia after subarachnoid haemorrhage in the UK and Ireland

BACKGROUND

Hyponatraemia often occurs after subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). However, its clinical significance and optimal management are uncertain. We audited the screening, investigation and management of hyponatraemia after SAH.

METHODS

We prospectively identified consecutive patients with spontaneous SAH admitted to neurosurgical units in the United Kingdom or Ireland. We reviewed medical records daily from admission to discharge, 21 days or death and extracted all measurements of serum sodium to identify hyponatraemia (<135 mmol/L). Main outcomes were death/dependency at discharge or 21 days and admission duration >10 days. Associations of hyponatraemia with outcome were assessed using logistic regression with adjustment for predictors of outcome after SAH and admission duration. We assessed hyponatraemia-free survival using multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

175/407 (43%) patients admitted to 24 neurosurgical units developed hyponatraemia. 5976 serum sodium measurements were made. Serum osmolality, urine osmolality and urine sodium were measured in 30/166 (18%) hyponatraemic patients with complete data. The most frequently target daily fluid intake was >3 L and this did not differ during hyponatraemic or non-hyponatraemic episodes. 26% (n/N=42/164) patients with hyponatraemia received sodium supplementation. 133 (35%) patients were dead or dependent within the study period and 240 (68%) patients had hospital admission for over 10 days. In the multivariable analyses, hyponatraemia was associated with less dependency (adjusted OR (aOR)=0.35 (95% CI 0.17 to 0.69)) but longer admissions (aOR=3.2 (1.8 to 5.7)). World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade I-III, modified Fisher 2-4 and posterior circulation aneurysms were associated with greater hazards of hyponatraemia.

CONCLUSIONS

In this comprehensive multicentre prospective-adjusted analysis of patients with SAH, hyponatraemia was investigated inconsistently and, for most patients, was not associated with changes in management or clinical outcome. This work establishes a basis for the development of evidence-based SAH-specific guidance for targeted screening, investigation and management of high-risk patients to minimise the impact of hyponatraemia on admission duration and to improve consistency of patient care.

Predictors of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation Among Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage After Microsurgical Clipping

INTRODUCTION

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a fatal event with high mortality and morbidity rates. Survivors may require prolonged intubation with mechanical ventilation (MV). However, the risk factors for prolonged intubation in these patients remain unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of prolonged MV in aSAH patients who underwent surgical clipping.

METHODS

In total, 108 adult patients with a primary diagnosis of aSAH who were on MV > 48 h and survived > 14 days after surgery were included. Clinicodemographic and radiological characteristics, laboratory tests on admission, and initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and its components were analyzed.

RESULTS

The average age of the patients included in the analysis was 59.1 ± 12.5 years. Overall, 32 patients (29.6%) had prolonged MV. The group with prolonged MV showed a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus and hypertension, lower initial GCS and its components, higher World Federation of Neurosurgeons (WFNS) and Hunt and Hess grades, and higher initial white cell counts. The independent factors associated with prolonged MV were a history of diabetes mellitus (odds ratio [OR] 5.799, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.109-30.334; P = 0.037) and Hunt and Hess grade 3-5 (OR 7.217, 95% CI 1.090-47.770; P = 0.040).

CONCLUSION

A history of diabetes mellitus and Hunt and Hess grade 3-5 independently predict prolonged MV after microsurgical clipping in patients with aSAH. Thus, knowledge of potential predictors for prolonged MV is essential to improve the early initiation of adequate treatment in the early stages of treatment and provide useful information for communication between caregivers and families.

Preoperative predictors of poor outcomes in Thai patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Objective

A scoring system for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is useful for guiding treatment decisions, especially in urgent-care limited settings. This study developed a simple algorithm of clinical conditions and grading to predict outcomes in patients treated by clipping or coiling.

Methods

Data on patients with aSAH hospitalized in a university’s neurovascular center in Thailand from 2013 to 2018 were obtained for chart review. Factors associated with poor outcomes evaluated at one year were identified using a stepwise logistic regression model. For each patient, the rounded regression coefficients of independent risk factors were linearly combined into a total score, which was assessed for its performance in predicting outcomes using receiver operating characteristic analysis. An appropriate cutoff point of the scores for poor outcomes was based on Youden’s criteria, which maximized the summation between sensitivity or true positive rate and the specificity or true negative rate.

Results

Patients (n, 121) with poor outcomes (modified Rankin Scale, mRS score, 4–6) had a significantly higher proportion of old age, underlying hypertension, diabetes and chronic kidney disease, high clinical severity grading, preoperative rebleeding, and hydrocephalus than those (n, 336) with good outcomes (mRS score, 0–3). Six variables, including age >70 years, diabetes mellitus, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scaling of IV-V, modified Fisher grading of 3–4, rebleeding, and hydrocephalus, were identified as independent risk factors and were assigned a score weight of 2, 1, 2, 1, 3 and 1, respectively. Among the total possible scores ranging from 0–10, the cut point at score 3 yielded the maximum Youden’s index (0.527), which resulted in a sensitivity of 77.7% and specificity of 75.0%.

Conclusion

A simple 0–10 scoring system on six risk factors for poor outcomes was validated for aSAH and should be advocated for use in limited resource settings.

Skeletal muscle atrophy and myosteatosis are not related to long-term aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage outcome

The prognosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is highly variable. This study aims to investigate whether skeletal muscle atrophy and myosteatosis are associated with poor outcome after aSAH. In this study, a cohort of 293 consecutive aSAH-patients admitted during a 4-year period was retrospectively analyzed. Cross-sectional muscle measurements were obtained at the level of the third cervical vertebra. Muscle atrophy was defined by a sex-specific cutoff value. Myosteatosis was defined by a BMI-specific cutoff value. Poor neurological outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale 4-6 at 2 and 6-month follow-up. Patient survival state was checked until January 2021. Generalized estimating equation was performed to assess the effect of muscle atrophy / myosteatosis on poor neurological outcome after aSAH. Cox regression was performed to analyze the impact of muscle atrophy and myosteatosis on overall survival. The study found that myosteatosis was associated with poor neurological condition (WFNS 4-5) at admission after adjusting for covariates (odds ratio [OR] 2.01; 95%CI 1.05,3.83; P = .03). It was not associated with overall survival (P = .89) or with poor neurological outcomes (P = .18) when adjusted for other prognostic markers. Muscle atrophy was not associated with overall survival (P = .58) or neurological outcome (P = .32) after aSAH. In conclusion, myosteatosis was found to be associated with poor physical condition directly after onset of aSAH. Skeletal muscle atrophy and myosteatosis were however irrelevant to outcome in the Western-European aSAH patient. Future studies are needed to validate these finding.

Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) remains an important cause of mortality and long-term morbidity. This article uses a case-based approach to guide readers through the fundamental epidemiology and pathogenesis of SAH, the approach to diagnosis and management, the results of clinical trials and evidence to date, prognostic considerations, controversies, recent developments, and future directions in SAH.

RECENT FINDINGS

Historically, management of SAH focused on prevention and treatment of subsequent cerebral vasospasm, which was thought to be the primary cause of delayed cerebral ischemia. Clinical and translational studies over the past decade, including several therapeutic phase 3 randomized clinical trials, suggest that the pathophysiology of SAH-associated brain injury is multiphasic and multifactorial beyond large vessel cerebral vasospasm. The quest to reduce SAH-associated brain injury and improve outcomes is shifting away from large vessel cerebral vasospasm to a new paradigm targeting multiple brain injury mechanisms, including early brain injury, delayed cerebral ischemia, microcirculatory dysfunction, spreading cortical depolarization, inflammation, and the brain-body interaction in vascular brain injury with critical illness.Despite multiple negative randomized clinical trials in search of potential therapeutic agents ameliorating the downstream effects after SAH, the overall outcome of SAH has improved over recent decades, likely related to improvements in interventional options for ruptured cerebral aneurysms and in critical care management. Emerging clinical evidence also suggests potential harmful impact of historic empiric treatments for SAH-associated vasospasm, such as prophylactic induction of hypertension, hypervolemia, and hemodilution (triple H therapy).With decreasing mortality, long-term SAH survivorship and efforts to reduce chronic morbidity and to improve quality of life and patient-centered outcome are growing areas of unmet need. Despite existing guidelines, significant variabilities in local and regional practices and in scientific terminologies have historically limited advancement in SAH care and therapeutic development. Large global collaborative efforts developed harmonized SAH common data elements in 2019, and studies are under way to examine how existing variabilities in SAH care impact long-term SAH outcomes.

SUMMARY

Although the overall incidence and mortality of SAH is decreasing with advances in preventive and acute care, SAH remains a major cause of long-term morbidity in survivors. Significant variabilities in care settings and empiric treatment protocols and inconsistent scientific terminologies have limited advancement in patient care and therapeutic clinical studies. Large consensus efforts are under way to introduce clinical guidelines and common data elements to advance therapeutic approaches and improve patient outcome.

Copeptin and insulin-like growth factor-1 predict long-term outcomes after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: A large prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The predictive roles of copeptin and insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remain controversial. We aimed to define the relationship between copeptin and IGF-1 levels and functional outcome as well as quality of life (QoL) after aSAH.

METHODS

Patients with aSAH were prospectively enrolled in a tertiary university hospital. Controls were sex- and age-matched healthy subjects. Plasma concentrations of copeptin and IGF-1 were measured on admission. Demographics and clinical, radiological and laboratory characteristics of the patients were collected. Favorable functional outcome was defined as modified Rankins≤2, and QoL was evaluated by the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) 1 year after aSAH. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed.

RESULTS

One hundred eighteen patients were eligible, with 122 healthy controls were included in this study. Plasma copeptin levels were significantly higher and plasma IGF-1 was lower in patients than in controls. Both copeptin (adjusted HR 4.143 [1.120-15.328], p = 0.033) and IGF-1 levels (adjusted HR 0.089 [0.013-0.602], p = 0.013) were positively associated with 1-year mortality, while only single copeptin and IGF-1 concentrations were independent predictors of poor functional outcome and QoL, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma copeptin and IGF-1 levels are abnormal in patients with acute aSAH, and this may reliably predict long-term mortality, functional outcome and QoL.

CRP (C-Reactive Protein) in Outcome Prediction After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage and the Role of Machine Learning

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Outcome prediction after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is challenging. CRP (C-reactive protein) has been reported to be associated with outcome, but it is unclear if this is independent of other predictors and applies to aSAH of all grades. Therefore, the role of CRP in aSAH outcome prediction models is unknown. The purpose of this study is to assess if CRP is an independent predictor of outcome after aSAH, develop new prognostic models incorporating CRP, and test whether these can be improved by application of machine learning.

METHODS

This was an individual patient-level analysis of data from patients within 72 hours of aSAH from 2 prior studies. A panel of statistical learning methods including logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machines were used to assess the relationship between CRP and modified Rankin Scale. Models were compared with the full Subarachnoid Hemmorhage International Trialists' (SAHIT) prediction tool of outcome after aSAH and internally validated using cross-validation.

RESULTS

One thousand and seventeen patients were included for analysis. CRP on the first day after ictus was an independent predictor of outcome. The full SAHIT model achieved an area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.831. Addition of CRP to the predictors of the full SAHIT model improved model performance (AUC, 0.846, P=0.01). This improvement was not enhanced when learning was performed using a random forest (AUC, 0.807), but was with a support vector machine (AUC of 0.960, P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

CRP is an independent predictor of outcome after aSAH. Its inclusion in prognostic models improves performance, although the magnitude of improvement is probably insufficient to be relevant clinically on an individual patient level, and of more relevance in research. Greater improvements in model performance are seen with support vector machines but these models have the highest classification error rate on internal validation and require external validation and calibration.

Anterior communicating artery aneurysms: Nonmodifiable morphological parameters associated with rupture risk

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between arterial morphological parameters and the rupture risk of anterior communicating artery (AComA) aneurysms.

METHODS

A hospital database was retrospectively reviewed to identify patients with AComA aneurysms. Morphologic parameters were evaluated on the 3-dimensional computed tomography angiograms. The patients were divided into two groups as ruptured and unruptured. Patient age, sex, morphological parameters such as aneurysm height and weight, neck diameter, aspect ratio (AR), size ratio (SR), bifurcation angle, aneurysm shape, and diameters of the artery were statistically compared between two groups.

RESULTS

Ninety-five AComA aneurysms were analyzed in this study (60 ruptured and 35 unruptured). The aneurysm neck size (p = .005) and the diameter of the A1 segment of the ipsilateral anterior cerebral artery (i-A1) were smaller in the ruptured group than in the unruptured group (p = .001), but AR (p = .001) was higher. The number of patients with irregular shape aneurysm were higher in the ruptured group (p = .006). There was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of age, sex, aneurysm height and weight, bifurcation angle, and SR. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that i-A1 segment diameter (odds ratio [OR]: -2.070, confidence interval [CI]: 0.030-0.531, p = .005), aneurysm neck diameter (OR: -0.409, CI: 0.491-0.899, p = .008), irregular shape (OR: 1.197, CI: 1.382-7.929, p = .007), and AR (OR: 0.880, CI: 1.315-4.417, p = .004) were significantly correlated with ruptured status. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that aneurysm neck diameter (OR: -0.457, CI: 0.410-0.977, p = .039) was the only independent variable for rupture.

CONCLUSION

AComA aneurysm rupture is more likely to occur in aneurysms with smaller i-A1 segment diameter, smaller aneurysm neck diameter, irregular aneurysm shape, and higher AR. Aneurysm neck diameter may be a more important determinant for rupture prediction.

Easily Created Prediction Model Using Automated Artificial Intelligence Framework (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) for Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Outcomes Treated by Coiling and Delayed Cerebral Ischemia

Introduction Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) are needed to decide the treatment strategy. Automated artificial intelligence (AutoAI) is attractive, but there are few reports on AutoAI-based models for SAH functional outcomes and DCI. We herein made models using an AutoAI framework, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan), and compared it to other previous statistical prediction scores. Methods We used an open dataset of 298 SAH patients, who were with non-severe neurological grade and treated by coiling. Modified Rankin Scale 0-3 at six months was defined as a favorable functional outcome and DCI occurrence as another outcome. We randomly divided them into a 248-patient training dataset and a 50-patient test dataset. Prediction One made the model using training dataset with 5-fold cross-validation. We evaluated the model using the test dataset and compared the area under the curves (AUCs) of the created models. Those of the modified SAFIRE score and the Fisher computed tomography (CT) scale to predict the outcomes. Results The AUCs of the AutoAI-based models for functional outcome in the training and test dataset were 0.994 and 0.801, and those for the DCI occurrence were 0.969 and 0.650. AUCs for functional outcome calculated using modified SAFIRE score were 0.844 and 0.892. Those for the DCI occurrence calculated using the Fisher CT scale were 0.577 and 0.544. Conclusions We easily and quickly made AutoAI-based prediction models. The models' AUCs were not inferior to the previous prediction models despite the easiness.

Time course of outcome in poor grade subarachnoid hemorrhage patients: a longitudinal retrospective study

Background

Neurological outcome and mortality of patients suffering from poor grade subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) may have changed over time. Several factors, including patients’ characteristics, the presence of hydrocephalus and intraparenchymal hematoma, might also contribute to this effect. The aim of this study was to assess the temporal changes in mortality and neurologic outcome in SAH patients and identify their predictors.

Methods

We performed a single center retrospective cohort study from 2004 to 2018. All non-traumatic SAH patients with poor grade on admission (WFNS score of 4 or 5) who remained at least 24 h in the hospital were included. Time course was analyzed into four groups according to the years of admission (2004–2007; 2008–2011; 2012–2015 and 2016–2018).

Results

A total of 353 patients were included in this study: 202 patients died (57 %) and 260 (74 %) had unfavorable neurological outcome (UO) at 3 months. Mortality tended to decrease in in 2008–2011 and 2016–2018 periods (HR 0.55 [0.34–0.89] and HR 0.33 [0.20–0.53], respectively, when compared to 2004–2007). The proportion of patients with UO remained high and did not vary significantly over time. Patients with WFNS 5 had higher mortality (68 % vs. 34 %, p = 0.001) and more frequent UO (83 % vs. 54 %, p = 0.001) than those with WFNS 4. In the multivariable analysis, WFNS 5 was independently associated with mortality (HR 2.12 [1.43–3.14]) and UO (OR 3.23 [1.67–6.25]). The presence of hydrocephalus was associated with a lower risk of mortality (HR 0.60 [0.43–0.84]).

Conclusions

Both hospital mortality and UO remained high in poor grade SAH patients. Patients with WFNS 5 on admission had worse prognosis than others; this should be taken into consideration for future clinical studies.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-021-02229-1.

Validation and Optimization of Barrow Neurological Institute Score in Prediction of Adverse Events and Functional Outcome After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage-Creation of the HATCH (Hemorrhage, Age, Treatment, Clinical State, Hydrocephalus) Score

BACKGROUND

The Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) score, measuring maximal thickness of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), has previously shown to predict symptomatic cerebral vasospasms (CVSs), delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), and functional outcome.

OBJECTIVE

To validate the BNI score for prediction of above-mentioned variables and cerebral infarct and evaluate its improvement by integrating further variables which are available within the first 24 h after hemorrhage.

METHODS

We included patients from a single center. The BNI score for prediction of CVS, DCI, infarct, and functional outcome was validated in our cohort using measurements of calibration and discrimination (area under the curve [AUC]). We improved it by adding additional variables, creating a novel risk score (measure by the dichotomized Glasgow Outcome Scale) and validated it in a small independent cohort.

RESULTS

Of 646 patients, 41.5% developed symptomatic CVS, 22.9% DCI, 23.5% cerebral infarct, and 29% had an unfavorable outcome. The BNI score was associated with all outcome measurements. We improved functional outcome prediction accuracy by including age, BNI score, World Federation of Neurologic Surgeons, rebleeding, clipping, and hydrocephalus (AUC 0.84, 95% CI 0.8-0.87). Based on this model we created a risk score (HATCH-Hemorrhage, Age, Treatment, Clinical State, Hydrocephalus), ranging 0 to 13 points. We validated it in a small independent cohort. The validated score demonstrated very good discriminative ability (AUC 0.84 [95% CI 0.72-0.96]).

CONCLUSION

We developed the HATCH score, which is a moderate predictor of DCI, but excellent predictor of functional outcome at 1 yr after aSAH.

Amount of blood during the subacute phase and clot clearance rate as prognostic factors for delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is a poorly predictable complication occurring after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) that can have dramatic functional consequences. Identifying the patients with the highest risk of DCI may help to institute more suitable monitoring and therapy. Early brain injuries and aneurysm-securing procedure complications could be regarded as confounding factors leading to severity misjudgment. After an early resuscitation phase, a subacute assessment may be more relevant to integrate the intrinsic SAH severity. A retrospective analysis was performed upon patients prospectively included in the registry of SAH patients between July 2015 to April 2020. The amount of cisternal and intraventricular blood were assessed semi-quantitatively on acute and subacute CT scans performed after early resuscitation. A clot clearance rate was calculated from their comparison. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of a DCI. A total of 349 patients were included in the study; 80 (22.9%) experienced DCI. In those patients, higher Fisher grades were observed on acute (p = 0.026) and subacute (p = 0.003) CT scans. On the subacute CT scan, patients who experienced DCI had a higher amount of blood, either at the cisternal (median Hijdra sum score: 11 vs 5, p < 0.001) or intraventricular (median Graeb score: 4 vs 2, p < 0.001) level. There was a negative linear relationship between the cisternal clot clearance rate and the risk of DCI. The assessment of the amount of subarachnoid blood and clot clearance following resuscitation after aneurysmal SAH can be useful for the prediction of neurological outcome.

Treatment of Delayed Cerebral Ischemia in Good-Grade Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Any Role for Invasive Neuromonitoring?

Background

Good-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (Hunt and Hess 1–2) is generally associated with a favorable prognosis. Nonetheless, patients may still experience secondary deterioration due to delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), contributing to poor outcome. In those patients, neurological assessment is challenging and invasive neuromonitoring (INM) may help guide DCI treatment.

Methods

An observational analysis of 135 good-grade SAH patients referred to a single tertiary care center between 2010 and 2018 was performed. In total, 54 good-grade SAH patients with secondary deterioration evading further neurological assessment, were prospectively enrolled for this analysis. The cohort was separated into two groups: before and after introduction of INM in 2014 (pre-INM_SecD: n = 28; post-INM_SecD: n = 26). INM included either parenchymal oxygen saturation measurement (p_tiO₂), cerebral microdialysis or both. Episodes of DCI (p_tiO₂ < 10 mmHg or lactate/pyruvate > 40) were treated via induced hypertension or in refractory cases by endovascular means. The primary outcome was defined as the extended Glasgow outcome scale after 12 months. In addition, we recorded the amount of imaging studies performed and the occurrence of silent and overall DCI-related infarction.

Results

Secondary deterioration, impeding neurological assessment, occurred in 54 (40.0%) of all good-grade SAH patients. In those patients, a comparable rate of favorable outcome at 12 months was observed before and after the introduction of INM (pre-INM_SecD 14 (50.0%) vs. post-INM_SecD 16, (61.6%); p = 0.253). A significant increase in good recovery (pre-INM_SecD 6 (50.0%) vs. post-INM_SecD 14, (61.6%); p = 0.014) was observed alongside a reduction in the incidence of silent infarctions (pre-INM_SecD 8 (28.6%) vs. post-INM_SecD 2 (7.7%); p = 0.048) and of overall DCI-related infarction (pre-INM_SecD 12 (42.8%) vs. post-INM_SecD 4 (23.1%); p = 0.027). The number of CT investigations performed during the DCI time frame decreased from 9.8 ± 5.2 scans in the pre-INM_SecD group to 6.1 ± 4.0 (p = 0.003) in the post-INM_SecD group.

Conclusions

A considerable number of patients with good-grade SAH experiences secondary deterioration rendering them neurologically not assessable. In our cohort, the introduction of INM to guide DCI treatment in patients with secondary deterioration increased the rate of good recovery after 12 months. Additionally, a significant reduction of CT scans and infarction load was recorded, which may have an underestimated impact on quality of life and more subtle neuropsychological deficits common after SAH.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s12028-020-01169-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Prognostic value of the 2010 consensus definition of delayed cerebral ischemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) complicates the recovery of approximately 30% of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). The definition of DCI widely varies, even though a consensus definition has been recommended since 2010. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the 2010 consensus definition of DCI in a cohort of patients with aSAH.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center, retrospective, observational study that included consecutive adult patients with aSAH who were admitted to the intensive care unit from January 2010 to December 2014. DCI was evaluated 48 h to 14 days after onset of aSAH symptoms using the 2010 consensus criteria and outcome was assessed by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) at discharge from hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 340 patients were analyzed and the incidence of DCI was 37.1%. The median time from primary hemorrhage to the occurrence of DCI was 97 h. Neurological deterioration was observed in most (89.7%) of the patients who fulfilled the DCI criteria. The occurrence of DCI was strongly associated with an unfavorable outcome (GOS 1-3) at hospital discharge (OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.69-4.22, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of DCI after aSAH is high and its occurrence is strongly associated with an unfavorable neurological outcome. This finding adds to the previous literature, which has shown that DCI appears to be a major contributor affecting the functional ability of survivors of aSAH. To further advance reliable knowledge of DCI, future studies should adhere to the consensus definition of DCI.

Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission

BACKGROUND

Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes are needed for decision-making of the treatment. SAFIRE score using only four variables is a good prediction scoring system. However, making such prediction models needs a large number of samples and time-consuming statistical analysis. Deep learning (DL), one of the artificial intelligence, is attractive, but there were no reports on prediction models for SAH outcomes using DL. We herein made a prediction model using DL software, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) and compared it to SAFIRE score.

METHODS

We used 153 consecutive aneurysmal SAH patients data in our hospital between 2012 and 2019. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-3 at 6 months was defined as a favorable outcome. We randomly divided them into 102 patients training dataset and 51 patients external validation dataset. Prediction one made the prediction model using the training dataset with internal cross-validation. We used both the created model and SAFIRE score to predict the outcomes using the external validation set. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared.

RESULTS

The model made by Prediction One using 28 variables had AUC of 0.848, and its AUC for the validation dataset was 0.953 (95%CI 0.900-1.000). AUCs calculated using SAFIRE score were 0.875 for the training dataset and 0.960 for the validation dataset, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We easily and quickly made prediction models using Prediction One, even with a small single-center dataset. The accuracy of the model was not so inferior to those of previous statistically calculated prediction models.

Randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, pilot trial to investigate safety and efficacy of Cerebrolysin in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background

There are limited neuroprotective treatment options for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Cerebrolysin, a brain-specific proposed pleiotropic neuroprotective agent, has been suggested to improve global functional outcomes in ischemic stroke. We investigated the efficacy, safety and feasibility of administering Cerebrolysin for SAH patients.

Methods

This was a prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-center, parallel-group pilot study. Fifty patients received either daily Cerebrolysin (30 ml/day) or a placebo (saline) for 14 days (25 patients per study group). The primary endpoint was a favorable Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) of 5 to 8 (moderate disability to good recovery) at six-months. Secondary endpoints included the modified Ranking Scale (mRS), the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MOCA) score, occurrence of adverse effects and the occurrence of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI).

Results

No severe adverse effects or mortality attributable to Cerebrolysin were observed. No significant difference was detected in the proportion of patients with favorable six-month GOSE in either study group (odds ratio (OR): 1.49; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.43–5.17). Secondary functional outcome measures for favorable six-month recovery i.e. a mRS of 0 to 3 (OR: 3.45; 95% CI 0.79–15.01) were comparable for both groups. Similarly, there was no difference in MOCA neurocognitive performance (p-value: 0.75) and in the incidence of DCI (OR: 0.85 95% CI: 0.28–2.59).

Conclusions

Use of Cerebrolysin in addition to standard-of-care management of aneurysmal SAH is safe, well tolerated and feasible. However, the neutral results of this trial suggest that it does not improve the six-month global functional performance of patients.

Clinical trial registration

Name of Registry: ClinicalTrials.gov

Trial Registration Number: NCT01787123.

Date of Registration: 8th February 2013.

Stroke units could be a valid alternative to intensive care units for patients with low-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

According to current guidelines, patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) are mostly managed in intensive care units (ICUs) regardless of baseline severity. We aimed to assess the prognostic and economic implications of initial admission of patients with low-grade aSAH into a stroke unit (SU) compared to initial ICU admission.

METHODS

We reviewed prospectively registered data from consecutive aSAH patients with a World Federation of Neurosurgery Societies grade <3, admitted to our Comprehensive Stroke Centre between April 2013 and September 2018. Clinical and radiological baseline traits, in-hospital complications, length of stay (LOS) and poor outcome at 90 days (modified Rankin Scale score > 2) were compared between the ICU and SU groups in the whole population and in a propensity-score-matched cohort.

RESULTS

Of 131 patients, 74 (56%) were initially admitted to the ICU and 57 (44%) to the SU. In-hospital complication rates were similar in the ICU and SU groups and included rebleeding (10% vs. 7%; P = 0.757), angiographic vasospasm (61% vs. 60%; P = 0.893), delayed cerebral ischaemia (12% vs. 12%; P = 0.984), pneumonia (6% vs. 4%; P = 0.697) and death (10% vs. 5%; P = 0.512). LOS did not differ between groups (median [interquartile range] 22 [16-30] vs. 19 [14-26] days; P = 0.160). In adjusted multivariate models, the location of initial admission was not associated with long-term poor outcome either in the whole population (odds ratio [OR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32-4.19; P = 0.825) or in the matched cohort (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.24-4.06; P = 0.974).

CONCLUSIONS

A dedicated SU, with care from a multidisciplinary team, might be an optimal alternative to ICU for initial admission of patients with low-risk aSAH.

Six-month mortality and functional outcomes in aneurysmal sub-arachnoid haemorrhage patients admitted to intensive care units in Australia and New Zealand: A prospective cohort study

Historical studies suggest survivors of aneurysmal sub-arachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) have at least a moderate burden of functional impairment. However, there is a paucity of modern data concerning these outcomes in those admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Accordingly, the aim of this multicentre prospective observational cohort study was to provide contemporary epidemiological data concerning 6-month outcomes of adult aneurysmal SAH patients admitted to ICU in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ). Between March 2016 and June 2018 (inclusive), 357 patients requiring ICU admission were enrolled into the study, from eleven (n = 11) neurosurgical centres in ANZ. The majority of patients were female (n = 242, 68%), the median [IQR] age was 57 [49, 67] years, and almost all were living independently prior to their SAH (n = 337, 94%). 38% (n = 134) suffered a high-grade (WFNS 4-5) SAH. The median index ICU and hospital lengths of stay (LOS) were 9 [4-14], and 20 [13-29] days, respectively. In-hospital mortality was 22% (n = 77). Of the evaluable cohort (n = 348), a further nine (n = 9) patients had died by 6-months, yielding an all cause mortality of 25% (n = 86). Moreover, 35% (n = 114) of assessable patients were 'dead or disabled' (modified Rankin scale ≥4) at 6-months, and there was significant variation between sites, independent of SAH severity. Overall, these patients consumed substantial healthcare resources, and given the burden of mortality and morbidity, in addition to the variability between institutions, there may be opportunity to improve patient outcomes.

Assessment of the Subarachnoid Hemorrhage International Trialists (SAHIT) Models for Dichotomized Long-Term Functional Outcome Prediction After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in a United Kingdom Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Long-term outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage, beyond the first few months, is difficult to predict, but has critical relevance to patients, their families, and carers.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the performance of the Subarachnoid Hemorrhage International Trialists (SAHIT) prediction models, which were initially designed to predict short-term (90 d) outcome, as predictors of long-term (2 yr) functional outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

We included 1545 patients with angiographically-proven aSAH from the Genetic and Observational Subarachnoid Haemorrhage (GOSH) study recruited at 22 hospitals between 2011 and 2014. We collected data on age, WNFS grade on admission, history of hypertension, Fisher grade, aneurysm size and location, as well as treatment modality. Functional outcome was measured by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) with GOS 1 to 3 corresponding to unfavorable and 4 to 5 to favorable functional outcome, according to the SAHIT models. The SAHIT models were assessed for long-term outcome prediction by estimating measures of calibration (calibration slope) and discrimination (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC]) in relation to poor clinical outcome.

RESULTS

Follow-up was standardized to 2 yr using imputation methods. All 3 SAHIT models demonstrated acceptable predictive performance for long-term functional outcome. The estimated AUC was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.68-0.77), and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.69-0.79) for the core, neuroimaging, and full models, respectively; the calibration slopes were 0.86, 0.84, and 0.89, indicating good calibration.

CONCLUSION

The SAHIT prediction models, incorporating simple factors available on hospital admission, show good predictive performance for long-term functional outcome after aSAH.

The effect of anaesthetic exposure in presurgical period on delayed cerebral ischaemia and neurological outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage undergoing clipping of aneurysm: A retrospective analysis

Background and Aims:

Delayed cerebral ischaemia is one of the major contributors to morbidity in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH). General anaesthesia (GA) in the presurgical period may have a preconditioning effect. The primary aim was to assess the effect of preoperative exposure to GA during digital subtraction angiography (DSA) on neurological outcome in patients presenting with aSAH.

Methods:

After Ethical Committee approval, we conducted a retrospective analysis of the data of patients with aSAH treated surgically. Patients, admitted to neurosurgical ICU (June 2014 and December 2017) with a computed tomography (CT) diagnosis of aSAH and underwent DSA, were included. DSA, done with or without exposure to a general anaesthetic, was classified to GA group and LA group, respectively. Propensity score matching was done on the baseline variables. Appropriate statistical methods were applied.

Results:

Of the 278 patients, 116 (41.7%) patients had received GA during DSA. Propensity matching yielded 114 (57 in each group) matched patients. In a logistic regression model, the odds ratio (OR) for poor outcome at discharge in GA group as compared to LA group was 4.4 (CI: 2.7–7.4), P = 0.001, whereas, in the matched data, the OR for poor outcome at discharge in GA group as compared to LA group was 1.2 (CI: 0.6–2.6), P = 0.57.

Conclusion:

The presurgical exposure to GA did not offer any neuroprotection and the odds of poor outcome were higher compare to non-exposure to GA group.

The influence of nimodipine and vasopressors on outcome in patients with delayed cerebral ischemia after spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is a major factor contributing to the inferior outcome of patients with spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Nimodipine and induced hypertension using vasopressors are an integral part of standard therapy. Consequences of the opposite effect of nimodipine and vasopressors on blood pressure on patient outcome remain unclear. The authors report the detailed general characteristics and influence of nimodipine and vasopressors on outcome in patients with SAH.

METHODS

The authors performed a 2-center, retrospective, clinical database analysis of 732 SAH patients treated between 2008 and 2016. Demographic and clinical data such as age, sex, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade, BMI, Fisher grade, history of arterial hypertension and smoking, aneurysm location, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and detailed dosage of vasopressors and nimodipine during the treatment period were evaluated. Clinical outcome was analyzed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 6 months after treatment. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed. Additionally, mean arterial pressure (MAP), age, nimodipine, and vasopressor dose cutoff were evaluated with regard to outcome. The level of significance was set at ≤ 0.05.

RESULTS

Follow-up was assessed for 397 patients, 260 (65.5%) of whom achieved a good outcome (defined as an mRS score of 0-3). Univariate and multivariate analyses confirmed that nimodipine (p = 0.049), age (p = 0.049), and CRP level (p = 0.002) are independent predictors of good outcome. WFNS grade, Fisher score, hypertension, initial hydrocephalus, and total vasopressor dose showed significant influence on outcome in univariate analysis, and patient sex, smoking status, BMI, and MAP showed no significant association with outcome. A subgroup analysis of patients with milder initial SAH (WFNS grades I-III) revealed that initial hydrocephalus (p = 0.003) and CRP levels (p = 0.001) had significant influence on further outcome. When evaluating only patients with WFNS grade IV or V, age, CRP level (p = 0.011), vasopressor dose (p = 0.030), and nimodipine dose (p = 0.049) were independent predictors of patient outcome. Patients with an MAP < 93 mm Hg, a nimodipine cutoff dose of 241.8 mg, and cutoff total vasopressor dose of 523 mg had better outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the authors' results, higher doses of vasopressors can safely provide a situation in which the maximum dose of nimodipine could be administered. Cutoff values of the total vasopressor dose were more than 3 times higher in patients with severe SAH (WFNS grade IV or V), while the nimodipine cutoff remained similar in patients with mild and severe SAH. Hence, it seems encouraging that a maximum nimodipine dosage can be achieved despite the need for a higher vasopressor dose in patients with SAH.

Prediction of Outcome After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose- Early prediction of clinical outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is still lacking accuracy. In this observational cohort study, we aimed to develop and validate an accurate bedside prediction model for clinical outcome after aSAH, to aid decision-making at an early stage. Methods- For the development of the prediction model, a prospectively kept single-center cohort of 1215 aSAH patients, admitted between 1998 and 2014, was used. For temporal validation, a prospective cohort of 224 consecutive aSAH patients from the same center, admitted between 2015 and 2017, was used. External validation was performed using the ISAT (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial) database (2143 patients). Primary outcome measure was poor functional outcome 2 months after aSAH, defined as modified Rankin Scale score 4-6. The model was constructed using multivariate regression analyses. Performance of the model was examined in terms of discrimination and calibration. Results- The final model included 4 predictors independently associated with poor outcome after 2 months: age, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade after resuscitation, aneurysm size, and Fisher grade. Temporal validation showed high discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.85-0.94), external validation showed fair to good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.76). The model showed satisfactory calibration in both validation cohorts. The SAFIRE grading scale was derived from the final model: size of the aneurysm, age, Fisher grade, world federation of neurosurgical societies after resuscitation. Conclusions- The SAFIRE grading scale is an accurate, generalizable, and easily applicable model for early prediction of clinical outcome after aSAH.

Early Antiinflammatory Therapy Attenuates Brain Damage After Sah in Rats

BACKGROUND

Early inflammatory processes may play an important role in the development of early brain injury (EBI) after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Experimental studies suggest that anti-inflammatory and membrane-stabilizing drugs might have beneficial effects, although the underlying mechanisms are not fully understood. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of early treatment with methylprednisolone and minocycline on cerebral perfusion and EBI after experimental SAH.

METHODS

Male Sprague-Dawley rats were subjected to SAH using the endovascular filament model. 30 minutes after SAH, they were randomly assigned to receive an intravenous injection of methylprednisolone (16mg/kg body weight, n=10), minocycline (45mg/kg body weight, n=10) or saline (n=11). Mean arterial blood pressure (MABP), intracranial pressure (ICP) and local cerebral blood flow (LCBF) over both hemispheres were recorded continuously for three hours following SAH. Neurological assessment was performed after 24 hours. Hippocampal damage was analyzed by immunohistochemical staining (caspase 3).

RESULTS

Treatment with methylprednisolone or minocycline did not result in a significant improvement of MABP, ICP or LCBF. Animals of both treatment groups showed a non-significant trend to better neurological recovery compared to animals of the control group. Mortality was reduced and hippocampal damage significantly attenuated in both methylprednisolone and minocycline treated animals.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study suggest that inflammatory processes may play an important role in the pathophysiology of EBI after SAH. Early treatment with the anti-inflammatory drugs methylprednisolone or minocycline in the acute phase of SAH has the potential to reduce brain damage and exert a neuroprotective effect.

Size, Aspect Ratio and Anatomic Location of Ruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: Consecutive Series of 415 Patients from a Prospective, Multicenter, Observational Study

To analyze the size and location distribution of ruptured intracranial aneurysms (IAs) helps to provide evidence for clinical treatment of unruptured IAs using this feature of aneurysms. In this study, 415 patients who presented with an acute subarachnoid hemorrhage caused by IAs were enrolled from eight tertiary referral centers between June 2016 and March 2018. The size, aspect ratio and anatomic location of ruptured IAs were defined and reported by patient sex. In the study cohort of 415 patients (60.5% women) with saccular ruptured IAs, the three most common locations of ruptured IAs were posterior communicating artery (32.0%), anterior communicating artery (28.7%), and middle cerebral artery (13.5%). The mean size of all ruptured IAs was 5.3±3.1 mm (range 1.1-28.5 mm), but the size varied considerably by location. For example, ruptured IAs of the posterior communicating artery had a mean size of 5.8±3.1 mm, whereas the mean size of ruptured anterior communicating artery aneurysms was 4.6±1.7 mm. The mean AR in all ruptured IAs was 1.66±0.76. Of those aneurysms, 243 (58.6%) had an AR smaller than 1.6 and 318 (76.6%) had an AR smaller than 2.0. Our results suggested that the size of the most ruptured IAs are smaller than 7 mm or even 5 mm. The size and AR varied by sex and location. With the knowledge of size, location and AR, multiplicity should be considered for treatment strategies of unruptured IAs.

PHASES score applied to a prospective cohort of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients

The treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms remains controversial. The PHASES score was developed to predict the 5-year risk of aneurysm rupture. We have assigned PHASES scores to a cohort of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients to assess the distribution of scores and its ability to predict outcome. In this study, the PHASES score was applied to a prospective cohort of aSAH patients that were enrolled in the Cerebral Aneurysm Renin Angiotensin System (CARAS) study. The CARAS study enrolled patients from two academic institutions in the United States from 2012 to 2015. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify factors predictive of outcome at last follow up. One hundred and forty-nine aSAH patients were included with a mean age of 54.9 ± 12.5 years. Most ruptured aneurysms were <7 mm (62.4%) and located in the anterior circulation (80.5%). Favorable functional outcome (mRS 0-2) at last follow up was achieved in 61.7% of patients. PHASES scores ranged from 0 to 16 with a median of 5; the majority of patients had a score of 4 (20.1%) or 5 (32.2%). Multivariable modeling identified higher PHASES scores (OR 1.235, CI 1.016-1.501, p = 0.034) and higher Hunt and Hess grades (OR 2.224, CI 1.353-3.655, p = 0.002) as independent predictors of poor functional outcome (mRS 3-6) at last follow up. The majority of aSAH patients present with low (≤5) PHASES scores. Elevated PHASES scores are independently associated with poor functional outcome in patients with aSAH.

Risk Factors for Unfavorable Outcome in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Revisited; Odds and Ends

Objectives

To evaluate the odds for unfavorable outcome of each risk factor and a combination of them in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) undergoing surgical clipping in Southern Iran.

Methods

A total of 367 patients who were operated between March 2007 and March 2016 due to aneurysmal SAH were analyzed according to patients' factors, aneurysm characteristics and intra-operative data. Correlation between outcomes of patients measured by modified Rankin Scale at 6-months with each factor were analyzed. Market Basket analysis was also used to identify the odds of unfavorable outcome for combinations of factors.

Results

A total of 367 patients, including 199 females and 168 males with a mean age of 47.27± 11.53 years, who underwent operation between March 2007 and March 2016 due to aneurysmal SAH were analyzed. Unlike gender, higher age was associated with unfavorable outcome. Ischemic heart disease, Duration of operation and amount of bleeding were also found to increase the odds of unfavorable outcome (p=0.01, 0.02, 0.04 respectively). DM, Cigarette smoking and opium addiction as well as the location and multiplicity of aneurysms did not have an adverse effect on outcome. (p≥0.05).

Conclusion

Among the numerous risk factors presumed to result in unfavorable outcome in aneurysmal SAH, only older age, duration of operation more than 60 minutes, previous known history of ischemic heart disease, poorer clinical grade and intra-operative bleeding more than 500 mL were found to be significant factors.

Outcomes Following Possible Undiagnosed Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Contemporary Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Existing literature suggests that patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and "sentinel" aSAH symptoms prompting healthcare evaluations prior to aSAH diagnosis are at increased risk of unfavorable neurologic outcomes and death. Accordingly, these encounters have been presumed to be unrecognized opportunities to diagnose aSAH and the worse outcomes representative of the added risks of delayed diagnoses. We sought to reinvestigate this paradigm among a contemporary cohort of patients with aSAH.

METHODS

A case-control cohort was retrospectively assembled among patients diagnosed with aSAH between January 1, 2007 and June 30, 2013 within an integrated healthcare delivery system. Patients with a discrete clinical evaluation for headache or neck pain within 14 days prior to formal aSAH diagnosis were identified as cases, and the remaining patients served as controls. Modified Rankin Scale scores at 90 days and 1 year were determined by structured chart review. Multivariable logistic regression controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, presence of intracerebral or intraventricular hemorrhage at diagnosis, and aneurysm size was used to compare adjusted outcomes. Sensitivity analyses were performed using varying definitions of favorable neurologic outcomes, a restricted control subgroup of patients with normal mental status at hospital admission, inclusion of additional cases that were diagnosed outside of the integrated health system, and exclusion of patients without evidence of subarachnoid blood on initial noncontrast cranial computed tomography (CT) at the diagnostic encounter (i.e. "CT-negative" SAH).

RESULTS

A total of 450 patients with aSAH were identified, 46 (10%) of whom had clinical evaluations for possible aSAH-related symptoms in the 14 days preceding formal diagnosis (cases). In contrast to prior reports, no differences were observed among cases compared to control patients in adjusted odds of death or unfavorable neurologic status at 90 days (0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.11-1.15; 0.59, 95% CI = 0.22-1.60, respectively) or at 1 year (0.58, 95% CI = 0.19-1.73; 0.52, 95% CI = 0.18-1.51, respectively). Likewise, neither restricting the analysis to a control subgroup of patients with normal mental status at hospital admission, varying the dichotomous definition of unfavorable neurologic outcome, inclusion of cases diagnosed outside the integrated health system, or exclusion of patients with CT-negative SAH resulted in significant adjusted outcome differences.

CONCLUSION

In a contemporary cohort of patients with aSAH, we observed no statistically significant increase in the adjusted odds of death or unfavorable neurologic outcomes among patients with clinical evaluations for possible aSAH-related symptoms in the 14 days preceding formal diagnosis of aSAH. While these findings cannot exclude a smaller risk difference than previously reported, they can help refine decision analyses and testing threshold determinations for patients with possible aSAH.

The venous delay phenomenon in computed tomography angiography: a novel imaging outcome predictor for poor cerebral perfusion after severe aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Diverse treatment results are observed in patients with poor-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Significant initial perfusion compromise is thought to predict a worse treatment outcome, but this has scant support in the literature. In this cohort study, the authors correlate the treatment outcomes with a novel poor-outcome imaging predictor representing impaired cerebral perfusion on initial CT angiography (CTA).

METHODS

The authors reviewed the treatment results of 148 patients with poor-grade aSAH treated at a single tertiary referral center between 2007 and 2016. Patients with the "venous delay" phenomenon on initial CTA were identified. The outcome assessments used the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at the 3rd month after aSAH. Factors that may have had an impact on outcome were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Compared with previously identified outcome predictors, the venous delay phenomenon on initial CTA was found to have the strongest correlation with posttreatment outcomes on both univariable (p < 0.0001) and multivariable analysis (OR 4.480, 95% CI 1.565-12.826; p = 0.0052). Older age and a higher Hunt and Hess grade at presentation were other factors that were associated with poor outcome, defined as an mRS score of 3 to 6.

CONCLUSIONS

The venous delay phenomenon on initial CTA can serve as an imaging predictor for worse functional outcome and may aid in decision making when treating patients with poor-grade aSAH.

The Size of Ruptured Intracranial Aneurysms : A 10-Year Series from a Single Center

PURPOSE

There is a controversy concerning the risk of rupture of small intracranial aneurysms. We sought to determine the size and morphological features of ruptured intracranial aneurysms.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The hospital files and images from all patients referred during one decade (2007-2016) to a specialized neurovascular center were retrospectively reviewed. Neck diameter, fundus depth and width as well as neck width based on catheter angiography were measured. Aneurysm morphology was classified as either regular, lobulated, irregular or fusiform.

RESULTS

A total of 694 consecutive patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) were identified (65.9% female, median age 54.3 years). The anterior communicating artery (AcomA) was the most frequent location of ruptured aneurysms. The medians for aneurysm depth, width and neck diameter were 5 mm, 4.5 mm and 3 mm, respectively. A regular contour of the aneurysm sac was found in 19%.

CONCLUSION

The majority of aSAH are caused by small intracranial aneurysms. There is no safety margin in terms of small aneurysm size of regular shape without daughter aneurysms. Treatment should also be offered to patients with small, regularly shaped intracranial aneurysms, together with an empirical risk-benefit assessment.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in the Elderly over Age 75: A Systematic Review

The number of elderly patients with an aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) has been increasing in aging- or aged societies in many countries. A treatment strategy for the elderly with aSAH has not been established, although many studies have been published emphasizing poor outcome for aSAH. The aim of this study was to analyze the factors and treatments affecting outcome in aSAH in the elderly in a systematic review of the literature by investigating patients over age 75. A literature search was done for “elderly aSAH” in PubMed and Embase. Literature with a clear description of treatment measures for aneurysmal occlusion and outcome was selected. Twelve studies, consisted of 816 cases, met the eligibility criteria. Patient characteristics included 83.2% female, 33.8% poor clinical grade on admission, 57.1% Fischer group 3, and 41% internal carotid artery aneurysm. As complications, symptomatic vasospasm was seen in 25.5% of patients, hydrocephalus in 31.1%, and medical complication in 38.4%. Favorable outcome was 35.0% in total, 45.3% for clipping, 36.3% for coiling, and 9.0% for conservative treatment. Several studies by multivariate analysis indicated that poor clinical grade on admission could be a risk factor for neurological outcome and mortality. Advanced age and selection of conservative treatment without aneurysmal occlusion could be a risk factor for mortality. Patients under age 85 with good clinical grade on admission can be candidates for treatment of aneurysm repair. However, treatment for patients over age 85 or with poor clinical grade should be carefully determined.

D-dimer may predict poor outcomes in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective study

Serum biomarkers may play a reliable role in predicting the outcomes of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. This study retrospectively analyzed the relationship between serum biomarkers on admission and outcomes in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. We recruited 146 patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage who were treated in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University of China between 1 May 2014 and 30 March 2016. There were 57 males and 89 females included and average age of included patients was 57.03 years old. Serum samples were taken immediately on admission (within 48 hours after initial hemorrhage) and the levels of serum biomarkers were detected. Baseline information, complications, and outcomes at 6 months were recorded. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the relationship between biomarkers and clinical outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curves were obtained to investigate the possibility of the biomarkers predicting prognosis. Of the 146 patients, 102 patients achieved good outcomes and 44 patients had poor outcomes. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that high World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade, high serum D-dimer levels, and high neurological complications were significantly associated with poor outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curves verified that D-dimer levels were associated with poor outcomes. D-dimer levels strongly correlated with neurological complications. In conclusion, we suggest that D-dimer levels are a good independent prognostic factor for poor outcomes in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.