Development and validation of a new prognostic immune–inflammatory–nutritional score for predicting outcomes after curative resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: A multicenter study

C-Reactive Protein-Albumin Ratio Predicts Objective Response to Enfortumab Vedotin in Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Enfortumab vedotin (EV), an antibody-drug conjugate that targets Nectin-4, is used for patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma who have experienced progression on platinum-based chemotherapy and checkpoint inhibitors. Despite the widespread use of the drug, evidence remains scarce regarding clinical indicators that can predict the response to EV treatment.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to explore the predictive value of clinical indicators derived from peripheral blood tests for treatment responses to EV.

METHODS

We utilized records of 109 patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated by EV from our multi-institutional dataset. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for predicting objective responses including several indicators from blood examinations, such as C-reactive protein-albumin ratio (CAR), hemoglobin, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, and lactate dehydrogenase, were performed. The optimal cutoff points were determined by the Youden index. Logistic regression analyses for achieving objective responses to EV treatment were performed among these indicators.

RESULTS

The median age of the cohort was 74 years, and the median follow-up duration was 10 months for the entire group. Median overall survival and progression-free survival from the initiation of EV were 12 and 6 months, respectively. The objective response rate and disease control rate were 48% and 70%, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis aimed at predicting the achievement of an objective response to EV showed that the concordant index for the CAR was 0.774, significantly surpassing other indicators such as hemoglobin level, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, and serum lactate dehydrogenase. The Youden index identified an optimal cutoff value of 1 for CAR (mg/L for C-reactive protein and g/dL for serum albumin level) in predicting the objective response to EV treatment. Using the cutoff value for the CAR, the cohort was divided into 32 patients (29%) with lower CAR and 77 patients (71%) with higher CAR. The objective response rate was observed to be 84% in the lower CAR group and 32% in the higher CAR group (p < 0.0001). A logistic regression analysis revealed that an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status ≥1 (p = 0.04) and a CAR ≥1 (p < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors for the objective response to EV.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of the CAR from a concise blood examination at the initiation of EV could effectively predict the treatment response to EV in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma after the progression of platinum-based chemotherapy and checkpoint inhibitors.

Prognostic value of the Naples prognostic score in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The Naples Prognostic Score (NPS), integrating inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers, has been reported to be associated with the prognosis of various malignancies, but there is no report on intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of NPS in patients with ICC.

METHODS

Patients with ICC after hepatectomy were collected, and divided into three groups. The prognosis factors were determined by Cox regression analysis. Predictive efficacy was evaluated by the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 174 patients were included (Group 1: 33 (19.0%) patients; Group 2: 83 (47.7%) patients; and Group 3: 58 (33.3%) patients). The baseline characteristics showed the higher the NPS, the higher the proportion of patients with cirrhosis and Child-Pugh B, and more advanced tumors. The Kaplan-Meier curves reflect higher NPS were associated with poor survival. Multivariable analysis showed NPS was an independent risk factor of overall survival (NPS group 2 vs. 1: HR = 1.671, 95% CI: 1.022-3.027, p = 0.009; NPS group 3 vs. 1: HR = 2.208, 95% CI: 1.259-4.780, p = 0.007) and recurrence-free survival (NPS group 2 vs. 1: HR = 1.506, 95% CI: 1.184-3.498, p = 0.010; NPS group 3 vs. 1: HR = 2.141, 95% CI: 2.519-4.087, P = 0.001). The time ROC indicated NPS was superior to other models in predicting prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

NPS is a simple and effective tool for predicting the long-term survival of patients with ICC after hepatectomy. Patients with high NPS require close follow-up, and improving NPS may prolong the survival time.

Baseline 25(OH)D level is a prognostic indicator for bariatric surgery readmission: a matched retrospective cohort study

Introduction

Managing postsurgical complications is crucial in optimizing the outcomes of bariatric surgery, for which preoperative nutritional assessment is essential. In this study, we aimed to evaluate and validate the efficacy of vitamin D levels as an immunonutritional biomarker for bariatric surgery prognosis.

Methods

This matched retrospective cohort study included adult patients who underwent bariatric surgery at a tertiary medical center in China between July 2021 and June 2022. Patients with insufficient and sufficient 25(OH)D (< 30 ng/mL) were matched in a 1:1 ratio. Follow-up records of readmission at 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year were obtained to identify prognostic indicators.

Results

A matched cohort of 452 patients with a mean age of 37.14 ± 9.25 years and involving 69.47% females was enrolled. Among them, 94.25 and 5.75% underwent sleeve gastrectomy and gastric bypass, respectively. Overall, 25 patients (5.54%) were readmitted during the 1-year follow-up. The prognostic nutritional index and controlling nutritional status scores calculated from inflammatory factors did not efficiently detect malnourishment. A low 25(OH)D level (3.58 [95% CI, 1.16-11.03]) and surgery season in summer or autumn (2.68 [95% CI, 1.05-6.83]) increased the risk of 1-year readmission in both the training and validation cohorts. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.747 (95% CI, 0.640-0.855), with a positive clinical benefit in the decision curve analyses. The relationship between 25(OH)D and 6-month readmission was U-shaped.

Conclusion

Serum 25(OH)D levels have prognostic significance in bariatric surgery readmission. Hence, preferable 25(OH)D levels are recommended for patients undergoing bariatric surgery.

The fibrosis-4 index is a prognostic factor for cholangiocarcinoma patients who received immunotherapy

Background

Research of immunotherapy for cholangiocarcinoma has yielded some results, but more clinical data are needed to prove its efficacy and safety. Moreover, there is a need to identify accessible indexes for selecting patients who may benefit from such treatments.

Methods

The medical records of 66 cholangiocarcinoma patients who underwent immunotherapy were retrospectively collected. The effectiveness of immunotherapy was assessed by tumor response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS), while safety was evaluated by adverse events during treatment. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify prognostic risk factors for PFS and OS, and Kaplan-Meier curves of potential prognostic factors were drawn.

Results

Overall, in this study, immunotherapy achieved an objective response rate of 24.2% and a disease control rate of 89.4% for the included patients. The median PFS was 445 days, and the median OS was 772.5 days. Of the 66 patients, 65 experienced adverse events during treatment, but none had severe consequences. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that tumor number is a prognostic risk factor for disease progression following immunotherapy in cholangiocarcinoma patients, while tumor differentiation and the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index are independent risk factors for OS.

Conclusion

In general, immunotherapy for cholangiocarcinoma is safe, with adverse events remaining within manageable limits, and it can effectively control disease progression in most patients. The FIB-4 index may reflect the potential benefit of immunotherapy for patients with cholangiocarcinoma.

Construction and Validation of a Novel Nomogram Predicting Recurrence in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Post-Surgery Using an Innovative Liver Function-Nutrition-Inflammation-Immune (LFNII) Score: A Bicentric Investigation

Purpose

We developed a nomogram based on the liver function, nutrition, inflammation, and immunity (LFNII) score to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) post-resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibiting alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP ≤20 ng/mL).

Patients and Methods

Clinical data of 661 patients diagnosed with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) who underwent surgical resection at two medical centers between 2012 and 2021 were collected. A total of 462 and 199 patients served as the training and validation sets, respectively. Pre-operative blood markers were collected and analyzed for LFNII. The LFNII score was formulated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. A nomogram model was developed using the training set to incorporate other relevant clinicopathological indicators and predict postoperative recurrence. Model discrimination was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration was evaluated using a calibration curve, and clinical applicability was assessed using clinical decision curve analysis. A comparison with liver cancer staging was performed using the nomogram model. Finally, a cohort study was conducted to validate our findings.

Results

We derived the LFNII scores from nine indicators. Elevated LFNII scores correlated with unfavorable clinicopathological features. The LFNII score area under the curve revealed superior predictive efficacy at 1-, 2-, and 5-year RFS intervals, with values of 0.675, 0.658, and 0.633, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that a high LFNII score independently increased RFS risk in patients with AFP-NHCC. The C-index of the LFNII-nomogram model was 0.686 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.651-0.721). The nomogram model's clinical application value surpassed that of standard HCC staging systems.

Conclusion

The LFNII score-derived nomogram effectively predicted the RFS of patients with AFP-NHCC after curative resection.

Nomogram incorporating prognostic immune-inflammatory-nutritional score for survival prediction in pancreatic cancer: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Prognosis prediction for pancreatic cancer has always been difficult in clinical practice because of its high heterogeneity and mortality. The aim of the study was to assess the value of prognostic immune-inflammatory-nutritional (PIIN) score on overall survival (OS) in postoperative patients with pancreatic cancer and to develop a nomogram incorporating PIIN score.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed the clinic pathological data of 155 patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent radical surgery. PIIN score was calculated by measuring the fibrinogen (FIB), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Patients were divided into two groups by PIIN score levels over a threshold of 37.2. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed using the Cox regression analysis model. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to compare the prognostic values of the scoring systems. Finally, a nomogram based on PIIN score was constructed and validated.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression analysis showed that PIIN score (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.171, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.207-3.906, P = 0.010), lymphovascular invasion (HR = 1.663, 95% CI = 1.081-2.557, P = 0.021), poor tumor grade (HR = 2.577, 95% CI = 1.668-3.982, P < 0.001), bad TNM stage (I vs. II: HR = 1.791, 95% CI = 1.103-2.906, P = 0.018; I vs. III: HR = 4.313, 95% CI = 2.365-7.865, P < 0.001) and without adjuvant chemotherapy (HR = 0.552, 95% CI = 0.368-0.829, P = 0.004) were independent risk factors for OS. The time-dependent ROC curves revealed that PIIN score was better than the other scoring systems in predicting survival prognosis. And last, the nomogram established from independent factors such as PIIN score had good predictive power for OS. The ROC curve results showed that the AUC values for 1, 3 and 5 years were 0.826, 0.798 and 0.846, respectively. The calibration plots showed the superior clinical applicability of the nomogram.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model based on PIIN score can be utilized as one of the prognosis stratifications as well as postoperative follow-up for the development of individual treatment for pancreatic cancer.

Prognostic significance of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients has been widely reported but remains inconsistent. The aim of this study is to systematically investigate the relationship between the GRIm score and survival outcomes in cancer patients.

METHODS

Relevant literature was identified using electronic databases including Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase from the inception to March 2023. The primary endpoints were long-term oncological outcomes. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted during the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (20 cohorts) including 4997 cancer patients were enrolled. The combined results revealed that patients in the high GRIm group had a deteriorated overall survival (HR = 2.07 95%CI: 1.73-2.48; p < 0.0001; I2 = 62%) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.42; 95%CI: 1.22-1.66; p < 0.0001; I2 = 36%). The prognostic values of GRIm on overall survival and progression-free survival were observed across various tumour types and tumour stages. Sensitivity analysis supported the stability and reliability of the above results.

CONCLUSION

Our evidence suggested that the GRIm score could be a valuable prognostic marker in cancer patients, which can be used by clinicians to stratify patients and formulate individualized treatment plans.

Prognostic models for upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma patients after radical nephroureterectomy based on a novel systemic immune-inflammation score with machine learning

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical significance of a novel systemic immune-inflammation score (SIIS) to predict oncological outcomes in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma(UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy(RNU).

METHOD

The clinical data of 483 patients with nonmetastatic UTUC underwent surgery in our center were analyzed. Five inflammation-related biomarkers were screened in the Lasso-Cox model and then aggregated to generate the SIIS based on the regression coefficients. Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analyses. The Cox proportional hazards regression and random survival forest model were adopted to build the prognostic model. Then we established an effective nomogram for UTUC after RNU based on SIIS. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC), and calibration curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the net benefits of the nomogram at different threshold probabilities.

RESULT

According to the median value SIIS computed by the lasso Cox model, the high-risk group had worse OS (p<0.0001) than low risk-group. Variables with a minimum depth greater than the depth threshold or negative variable importance were excluded, and the remaining six variables were included in the model. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of the Cox and random survival forest models were 0.801 and 0.872 for OS at five years, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that elevated SIIS was significantly associated with poorer OS (p<0.001). In terms of predicting overall survival, a nomogram that considered the SIIS and clinical prognostic factors performed better than the AJCC staging.

CONCLUSION

The pretreatment levels of SIIS were an independent predictor of prognosis in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma after RNU. Therefore, incorporating SIIS into currently available clinical parameters helps predict the long-term survival of UTUC.