Prognosis for Cutaneous Melanoma by Clinical and Pathological Profile: A Population-Based Study

Skin cancer screening: the experience in South Portugal

BACKGROUND

The number of skin cancer cases and related deaths continues to increase worldwide, including in Portugal. The lack of efficient health care leaves the southern Portuguese population at risk of presenting skin lesions at later stages. An initiative for skin cancer screening and medical care follow-up was created by the nonprofit organization Liga Portuguesa Contra o Cancro - Núcleo Regional do Sul (LPCC-NRS).

METHODS

Information was gathered from 4,398 participants in several Southern Portugal regions, from January 2021 to July 2022. Descriptive and lesion risk statistical analyses were applied.

RESULTS

Participants' characteristics were described, and risk assessment was performed differentially between premalignant (n = 577) and malignant lesions (n = 176). The main risk factor for both was male gender. From the described suspicious malignant lesions, 31.8% were confirmed (n = 56), among which there were 43 basal cell carcinomas (BCC), 9 cutaneous melanomas (CM), and 4 squamous cell carcinomas (SCC).

CONCLUSIONS

Data analysis pointed to a need for improved participant recruitment, especially of male participants, and health literacy assessment in future screenings.

Review on radiomic analysis in 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography for prediction of melanoma outcomes

Over the past decade, several strategies have revolutionized the clinical management of patients with cutaneous melanoma (CM), including immunotherapy and targeted tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI)-based therapies. Indeed, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), alone or in combination, represent the standard of care for patients with advanced disease without an actionable mutation. Notably BRAF combined with MEK inhibitors represent the therapeutic standard for disease disclosing BRAF mutation. At the same time, FDG PET/CT has become part of the routine staging and evaluation of patients with cutaneous melanoma. There is growing interest in using FDG PET/CT measurements to predict response to ICI therapy and/or target therapy. While semiquantitative values such as standardized uptake value (SUV) are limited for predicting outcome, new measures including tumor metabolic volume, total lesion glycolysis and radiomics seem promising as potential imaging biomarkers for nuclear medicine. The aim of this review, prepared by an interdisciplinary group of experts, is to take stock of the current literature on radiomics approaches that could improve outcomes in CM.

The Prognostic Value of Proliferative Activity in Cutaneous Melanoma: A Pilot Study Evaluating the Mitotic Rate and Ki67 Index to Predict Patient Outcomes

Proliferative activity in cutaneous melanomas can be appreciated both histopathologically by counting mitotic figures and immunohistochemically through the Ki67 index, but the prognostic value of each method is still a matter of debate. In this context, we performed a retrospective study on 33 patients diagnosed with cutaneous melanomas between 2013 and 2018 in order to evaluate progression-free survival and overall survival. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was performed by considering both clinical histopathological and immunohistochemical features. The mitotic rate was significantly independently associated with both outcomes, while the Ki67 index was not an independent prognostic factor. However, the Ki67 predictive accuracy could be improved by establishing both a cut-off value and a standardized protocol for evaluating its expression. Until these desiderata are met, the mitotic rate remains superior to the Ki67 index for predicting prognosis in cutaneous melanomas, as also has the advantage of being easily interpreted in a standard histopathological examination regardless of the pathologist's experience and with no further financial expenses. Importantly, this is one of very few articles that has shown perineural invasion to be an independent prognostic factor for both progression-free survival and overall survival in cutaneous melanomas. As a consequence, this parameter should become a mandatory feature in the histopathological evaluation of cutaneous melanomas as it can improve the identification of patients who are at high risk for disease progression.

Macroscopic tumor dimension, sentinel lymph node outcome, and survival analysis among cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

Cutaneous melanoma is characterized by a high risk of metastasis to distant organs and a substantial mortality rate. For planning treatment and assessing outcomes, the Breslow micrometric measurement is critical. The tumor macroscopic dimension is not considered a prognostic parameter in cutaneous melanoma, although there are studies showing that tumor size is an independent prognostic factor for melanoma-specific survival. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the macroscopic dimension of melanoma and other known prognostic factors (i.e., Breslow index, mitoses, regression, and ulceration) as predictors of sentinel lymph node outcome and survival outcome.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cross-sectional study of 227 melanoma lesions subjected to sentinel lymph node biopsy at two Brazilian referral centers.

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, there was a statistically significant correlation between the largest macroscopic tumor dimension and the sentinel lymph node result (P = 0.001); however, on multivariate analysis considering all evaluated parameters, there was no significant difference between the sentinel lymph node result and the tumor macroscopic dimension (P = 0.2689). Regarding melanoma-specific survival, the macroscopic dimension showed no significant correlation (P = 0.4632) in contrast to Breslow's dimension (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The Breslow thickness was the only significant factor related to both the sentinel lymph node outcome and melanoma specific survival among the evaluated variables.

Proposal for the applicability of modified Breslow (measured from the basal membrane) as a predictor of survival and sentinel lymph node outcome in patients with cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

Cutaneous melanoma is a neoplasm with a high mortality rate and risk of metastases to distant organs. The Breslow micrometric measurement is considered the most important factor for evaluating prognosis and management, measured from the granular layer to the deepest portion of the neoplasm. Despite its widespread use, the Breslow thickness measurement has some inaccuracies, such as not considering variations in the thickness of the epidermis in different body locations or when there is ulceration.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the applicability of a modified Breslow measurement, measured from the basal membrane instead of from the granular layer, in an attempt to predict sentinel lymph node examination outcome and survival of patients with melanoma.

METHODS

A retrospective and cross-sectional analysis was carried out based on the evaluation of slides stained with hematoxylin & eosin from 275 cases of melanoma that underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy from 2008 to 2021 at a reference center in Brazil.

RESULTS

Analysis of the Cox model to evaluate the impact of the Breslow measurement and the modified Breslow measurement on survival showed that both methods are statistically significant. Logistic regression revealed a significant association between both measurements and the presence of metastasis in sentinel lymph nodes.

CONCLUSION

Measuring melanoma depth from the basal membrane (modified Breslow measurement) is capable of predicting survival time and sentinel lymph node outcome, as well as the conventional Breslow measurement.

Polo-Like Kinase 4 Correlates with Aggressive Tumor Characteristics, Shortened Disease-Free Survival and Overall Survival in Patients with Cutaneous Melanoma who Undergo Surgical Resection

Polo-like kinase 4 (PLK4) involves in tumor progression via regulating centriole duplication. This study aimed to investigate correlations of PLK4 with tumor characteristics and survival in cutaneous melanoma patients undergoing surgical resection. Tumor specimens of 43 patients were retrieved for PLK4 determination by immunohistochemistry (IHC). The IHC score was a multiplication of staining intensity and percentage of staining-positive cells. This study found the median and mean tumor PLK4 IHC score was 0.0 (interquartile range: 0.0-6.0) and 3.5 ± 3.2 (mean ± SD), respectively. Elevated tumor PLK4 IHC score correlated with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.028), higher tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage (P = 0.004), and adjuvant therapy (P =0.029). Tumor PLK4 IHC score > 0 did not relate to disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) (both P > 0.050). Tumor PLK4 IHC score > 3 associated with decreased DFS (P = 0.027), but not OS (P = 0.098). Five-year DFS rate of patients with tumor PLK4 IHC score = 0 and > 0 was 75.0% and 53.9%, correspondingly; while the rate of patients with the score ≤ 3 and > 3 was 81.0% and 37.5%, respectively. Five-year OS rate of patients with the score = 0 and > 0 was 100.0% and 66.3%, accordingly; whereas the rate of patients with the score ≤ 3 and > 3 was 85.7% and 61.5%, correspondingly. According to forward-step multivariate analysis, neither the score > 0 nor > 3 independently related to worse DFS and OS (all P > 0.050). Further validation via THE HUMAN PROTEIN ATLAS database showed high PLK4 RNA expression associated with shortened OS in melanoma patients (P = 0.001). PLK4 correlates with lymph node metastasis, increased TNM stage, and poor DFS in cutaneous melanoma patients undergoing surgical resection.

Clinical and Immunologic Features of Germline Pathogenic Variant-Positive Patients with Melanoma

PURPOSE

Malignant melanoma represents the most lethal skin cancer with germline predispositions thought to comprise 10% to 15% of all melanoma cases. No studies to date examine the immunologic features that may differentiate survival differences between germline pathogenic variant (gPV)-positive patients with melanoma from gPV-negative patients with melanoma.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Adult patients with melanoma and clinical characteristics suggesting hereditary predisposition to cancer were prospectively recruited to undergo germline testing and flow cytometric analysis of peripheral immune suppressor cells.

RESULTS

In this cohort, gPV-positive patients (n = 72) had a significantly improved melanoma-specific survival (MSS) compared with gPV-negative patients (n = 411; HRadj, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.13-0.82; P = 0.01). These survival improvements among gPV-positive patients were most apparent among cutaneous melanoma subtypes (HRadj, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.016-0.86; P = 0.03) and numerically improved in later-stage (IIB-IV) patients (HRadj, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.10-1.11; P = 0.06). Further, gPV-positive patients had a significantly lower level of total circulating PMN-MDSC compared with gPV-negative patients (P = 0.01), which was most apparent in those diagnosed with later stages (IIB-IV) of melanoma (P = 0.009). Finally, a significant upregulation of inflammatory transcriptome signatures in later-stage gPV-positive patients (n = 21) was observed in comparison with gPV-negative patients (n = 173) in the cutaneous melanoma cohort (SKCM) of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA).

CONCLUSIONS

gPV-positive patients with melanoma exhibit improved MSS in addition to reduced peripheral PMN-MDSC and an enhanced inflammatory microenvironment.

KIF4A functions as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker and regulates tumor immune microenvironment in skin cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

KIF4A is upregulated in various malignancies and serves as an independent risk factor. However, its function in skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM) and the regulation of the immunological environment remains unknown.

METHODS

We first explored the mRNA and protein levels of KIF4A in SKCM through public databases. Then, the co-expressed genes with KIF4A in SKCM and their functional enrichment analysis were performed. Moreover, the clinical value, relationship with immune infiltration and tumor microenvironment (TME), as well as the correlation between KIF4A and immunomodulators were evaluated. In addition, we validated the function of KIF4A by in vitro experiments such as CCK-8 assay, clone formation and wound healing assay.

RESULTS

Our data reveal that the mRNA and protein levels of KIF4A are highly expressed in SKCM. Moreover, functional enrichment analysis of the top 50 co-expressed genes with KIF4A showed significant association with organelle fission, tubulin binding and immune processes. KIF4A can distinguish SKCM from normal tissue and predict a poorer prognosis. A negative association was observed between KIF4A and TME, and KIF4A exhibited a negative correlation with most immunomodulators. Additionally, the knockdown of KIF4A inhibited the proliferation and migration ability of A375 cells.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that KIF4A promotes the progression of SKCM and is negatively associated with immune infiltration and immunomodulators, which indicates a poor prognosis.

Role of Sleep Apnea and Long-Term CPAP Treatment in the Prognosis of Patients With Melanoma: A Prospective Multicenter Study of 443 Patients

BACKGROUND

OSA has been associated with increased incidence and aggressiveness of melanoma. However, the long-term impact of OSA and CPAP treatment on the prognosis of melanoma remains unexplored.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Are OSA and CPAP treatment associated independently with a poor prognosis for cutaneous melanoma?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Four hundred forty-three patients with a diagnosis of cutaneous melanoma (2012-2015) underwent a sleep study within 6 months of diagnosis. The main 5-year outcome of the study was a composite of melanoma recurrence, metastasis, or mortality. Patients were divided into four groups: baseline apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) of fewer than 10 events/h (no OSA; control group), OSA treated with CPAP and good adherence, untreated or poor CPAP adherence in moderate (AHI, 10-29 events/h), and severe OSA (AHI, ≥ 30 events/h). Survival analysis was used to determine the independent role of OSA and CPAP treatment on melanoma composite outcome.

RESULTS

Three hundred ninety-one patients (88.2%) were available for analysis at 5-year follow-up (mean age, 65.1 ± 15.2 years; 49% male; Breslow index, 1.7 ± 2.5 mm). One hundred thirty-nine patients had AHI of fewer than 10 events/h (control group); 78 patients with OSA were adherent to CPAP; and 124 and 50 patients had moderate and severe OSA, respectively, without CPAP treatment. Median follow-up was 60 months (interquartile range, 51-74 months). During follow-up, 32 relapses, 53 metastases, and 52 deaths occurred (116 patients showed at least one of the main composite outcomes). After adjusting for age, sex, sentinel lymph nodes affected at diagnosis, BMI, diabetes, nighttime with an oxygen saturation below 90%, Breslow index, Epworth sleepiness scale scores, and melanoma treatment, moderate (hazard ratio [HR], 2.45; 95% CI, 1.09-5.49) and severe OSA (HR, 2.96; 95% CI, 1.36-6.42) were associated with poorer prognosis of melanoma compared with the control group. However, good adherence to CPAP avoided this excess risk (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.71-3.90).

INTERPRETATION

Moderate to severe untreated OSA is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of melanoma. Treatment with CPAP is associated with improved melanoma outcomes compared with untreated moderate to severe OSA.

Histopathologic abundance of pigmentation correlates with disease-specific survival in malignant melanoma but is not independent of current AJCC pT stage

The increasing number of melanoma patients makes it necessary to develop best possible strategies for prognosis assessment in order to recommend appropriate therapy and follow-up. The prognostic significance of tumor cell pigmentation has not been fully elucidated. Hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained sections of 775 melanomas diagnosed between 2012 and 2015 were independently assessed for melanin pigment abundance by two investigators, and the impact on melanoma-specific survival was calculated. Unpigmented melanomas (n = 99) had a melanoma-specific survival of 67.7%, melanomas with moderate pigmentation (n = 384) had a melanoma-specific survival of 85.9%, and strongly pigmented melanomas (n = 292) had a melanoma-specific survival of 91.4% (p < .001). In an analysis of melanoma-specific survival adjusted for pT stage and pigmentation, we found a nonsignificant impact of pigmentation abundance with a hazard ratio of 1.277 (p = .74). The study presented here provides evidence in a German cohort that patients with pigmented melanomas have a more favorable prognosis than those diagnosed with nonpigmented melanomas. Moreover, the abundance of pigmentation already seems to provide a first prognostic estimate. However, it does not appear to provide significant additional value for prognostic assessment according to the AJCC 2017 pT classification.

Predictive accuracy of risk prediction models for recurrence, metastasis and survival for early-stage cutaneous melanoma: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To identify prognostic models for melanoma survival, recurrence and metastasis among American Joint Committee on Cancer stage I and II patients postsurgery; and evaluate model performance, including overall survival (OS) prediction.

DESIGN

Systematic review and narrative synthesis.

DATA SOURCES

Searched MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Science Citation Index and grey literature sources including cancer and guideline websites from 2000 to September 2021.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Included studies on risk prediction models for stage I and II melanoma in adults ≥18 years. Outcomes included OS, recurrence, metastases and model performance. No language or country of publication restrictions were applied.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Two pairs of reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias using the CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies checklist and the Prediction study Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Heterogeneous predictors prevented statistical synthesis.

RESULTS

From 28 967 records, 15 studies reporting 20 models were included; 8 (stage I), 2 (stage II), 7 (stages I-II) and 7 (stages not reported), but were clearly applicable to early stages. Clinicopathological predictors per model ranged from 3-10. The most common were: ulceration, Breslow thickness/depth, sociodemographic status and site. Where reported, discriminatory values were ≥0.7. Calibration measures showed good matches between predicted and observed rates. None of the studies assessed clinical usefulness of the models. Risk of bias was high in eight models, unclear in nine and low in three. Seven models were internally and externally cross-validated, six models were externally validated and eight models were internally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

All models are effective in their predictive performance, however the low quality of the evidence raises concern as to whether current follow-up recommendations following surgical treatment is adequate. Future models should incorporate biomarkers for improved accuracy.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018086784.

Topographical and Chronological Analysis of Thin Cutaneous Melanoma's Progressions: A Multicentric Study

A great portion of cutaneous melanoma's diagnoses nowadays is attributed to thin tumors with up to 1 mm in Breslow thickness (hereafter thin CMs), which occasionally metastasize. The objective of this study was to identify thin CM's metastatic patterns from a topographical and chronological standpoint. A total of 204 cases of metastatic thin CMs from five specialized centers were included in the study, and corresponding data were collected (clinical, epidemiological, histopathological information of primary tumor and the number, anatomical site, and time intervals of their progressions). First progressions occurred locally, in regional lymph nodes, and in a distant site in 24%, 15% and 61% of cases, respectively, with a median time to first progression of 3.10 years (IQR: 1.09-5.24). The median elapsed time between the first and second progression and between the second and third progression was 0.82 (IQR: 0.34-1.97) and 0.49 (IQR: 0.21-2.30) years, respectively, while the median survival time was about 4 years since first progression. Furthermore, the sequences of locations and time intervals of the progressions were associated with the clinicopathological and demographic features of the primary tumors along with the features of the preceding progressions. In conclusion, the findings of this study describe the natural history of thin CMs, thus highlighting the necessity to identify subgroups of thin CMs at a higher risk for metastasis and contributing to the optimization of the management and follow-up of thin CM patients.

Predictive accuracy of elevated mitotic rate on lymph node positivity and recurrence in thin melanomas

Background

Mitotic rate (MR) is considered an important prognostic factor for melanoma but is not currently used for staging because its nuanced effect is not yet well-delineated. We sought to determine if T category-specific MR is predictive of sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity, recurrence, and melanoma-specific mortality (MSM).

Methods

A retrospective review of patients with primary cutaneous melanoma from 1994 to 2020 at a single academic center was performed. Patient demographics and tumor characteristics were recorded. MR was considered elevated for each AJCC8-defined T category if it was ≥2 mitoses/mm² for T1, ≥4 mitoses/mm² for T2, ≥6 mitoses/mm² for T3, or ≥7 mitoses/mm² for T4. Statistical analysis was performed to assess the predictive accuracy of MR on selected outcomes while controlling for ulceration.

Results

Data from 2,984 patients with complete records were analyzed. Along with Breslow thickness and ulceration, elevated MR was associated with higher risk of MSM (HR 1.816, P=0.0001). There was no difference among patients with ulcerated T1 or T2 tumors regardless of MR, but those with non-ulcerated T1 or T2 tumors and elevated MR were more likely to have positive SLNs (P<0.0001 and P=0.0043, respectively) and recurrence (P=0.0007 and P=0.0004, respectively) compared to counterparts with low MR. There were no notable differences for T3 or T4 tumors based on MR.

Conclusions

Elevated MR is associated with SLN positivity and recurrence in thin melanomas, independent of ulceration. SLN biopsy should therefore be strongly considered for patients with non-ulcerated lesions <0.8 mm thick if the MR is ≥2 mitoses/mm².

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposure in melanoma patients: a retrospective study on prognosis and histological features

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are endocrine disrupting chemicals which could be associated with cancer development, such as kidney and testicular cancers, pancreatic and hepatocellular carcinoma and thyroid tumor. Available scientific literature offers no information on the role of PFAS in melanoma development/progression. Since 1965, a massive environmental contamination by PFAS has occurred in northeastern Italy. This study compared histopathology and prognosis between melanoma patients exposed (n = 194) and unexposed (n = 488) to PFAS. All patients were diagnosed and/or treated for melanoma at the Veneto Oncological Institute and the University Hospital of Padua (Italy) in 1998-2014. Patients were categorized in exposed or unexposed groups according to their home address and the geographical classification of municipalities affected by PFAS contamination as provided by Veneto Government in 2018. Presence of mitoses was found in 70.5% of exposed patients and 58.7% of unexposed patients (p = 0.005). Median follow-up was 90 months (IQR 59-136). 5-year overall survival was 83.7% in exposed patients and 88.0% in unexposed patients (p = 0.20); 5-year disease-specific survival was 88.0% in exposed patients and 90.9% in unexposed patients (p = 0.50); 5-year disease-free survival was 83.8% in exposed patients and 87.3% in unexposed patients (p = 0.20). Adjusting for imbalanced characteristics at baseline (presence of mitoses), survival was not statistically different between exposed and unexposed patients (overall survival: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.58, p = 0.57; disease-specific survival: HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.59, p = 0.99; disease-free survival: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.64, p = 0.62). Although the magnitude of PFAS exposure was not quantifiable, our findings suggested that exposure to PFAS was associated with higher level of mitosis in melanoma patients, but this did not translate into a survival difference. Further studies are required to investigate this relationship and all effects of PFAS on prognosis.