Refining empiric subgroups of pediatric sepsis using machine-learning techniques on observational data

Screening and Identification of Neutrophil Extracellular Trap-related Diagnostic Biomarkers for Pediatric Sepsis by Machine Learning

Neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) is released by neutrophils to trap invading pathogens and can lead to dysregulation of immune responses and disease pathogenesis. However, systematic evaluation of NET-related genes (NETRGs) for the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis is still lacking. Three datasets were taken from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database: GSE13904, GSE26378, and GSE26440. After NETRGs and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified in the GSE26378 dataset, crucial genes were identified by using LASSO regression analysis and random forest analysis on the genes that overlapped in both DEGs and NETRGs. These crucial genes were then employed to build a diagnostic model. The diagnostic model's effectiveness in identifying pediatric sepsis across the three datasets was confirmed through receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. In addition, clinical pediatric sepsis samples were collected to measure the expression levels of important genes and evaluate the diagnostic model's performance using qRT-PCR in identifying pediatric sepsis in actual clinical samples. Next, using the CIBERSORT database, the relationship between invading immune cells and diagnostic markers was investigated in more detail. Lastly, to evaluate NET formation, we measured myeloperoxidase (MPO)-DNA complex levels using ELISA. A group of five important genes (MME, BST1, S100A12, FCAR, and ALPL) were found among the 13 DEGs associated with NET formation and used to create a diagnostic model for pediatric sepsis. Across all three cohorts, the sepsis group had consistently elevated expression levels of these five critical genes as compared to the normal group. Area under the curve (AUC) values of 1, 0.932, and 0.966 indicate that the diagnostic model performed exceptionally well in terms of diagnosis. Notably, when applied to the clinical samples, the diagnostic model also showed good diagnostic capacity with an AUC of 0.898, outperforming the effectiveness of traditional inflammatory markers such as PCT, CRP, WBC, and NEU%. Lastly, we discovered that children with high ratings for sepsis also had higher MPO-DNA complex levels. In conclusion, the creation and verification of a five-NETRGs diagnostic model for pediatric sepsis performs better than established markers of inflammation.

Advances and Challenges in Sepsis Management: Modern Tools and Future Directions

Sepsis, a critical condition marked by systemic inflammation, profoundly impacts both innate and adaptive immunity, often resulting in lymphopenia. This immune alteration can spare regulatory T cells (Tregs) but significantly affects other lymphocyte subsets, leading to diminished effector functions, altered cytokine profiles, and metabolic changes. The complexity of sepsis stems not only from its pathophysiology but also from the heterogeneity of patient responses, posing significant challenges in developing universally effective therapies. This review emphasizes the importance of phenotyping in sepsis to enhance patient-specific diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. Phenotyping immune cells, which categorizes patients based on clinical and immunological characteristics, is pivotal for tailoring treatment approaches. Flow cytometry emerges as a crucial tool in this endeavor, offering rapid, low cost and detailed analysis of immune cell populations and their functional states. Indeed, this technology facilitates the understanding of immune dysfunctions in sepsis and contributes to the identification of novel biomarkers. Our review underscores the potential of integrating flow cytometry with omics data, machine learning and clinical observations to refine sepsis management, highlighting the shift towards personalized medicine in critical care. This approach could lead to more precise interventions, improving outcomes in this heterogeneously affected patient population.

Deciphering the molecular classification of pediatric sepsis: integrating WGCNA and machine learning-based classification with immune signatures for the development of an advanced diagnostic model

Introduction: Pediatric sepsis (PS) is a life-threatening infection associated with high mortality rates, necessitating a deeper understanding of its underlying pathological mechanisms. Recently discovered programmed cell death induced by copper has been implicated in various medical conditions, but its potential involvement in PS remains largely unexplored. Methods: We first analyzed the expression patterns of cuproptosis-related genes (CRGs) and assessed the immune landscape of PS using the GSE66099 dataset. Subsequently, PS samples were isolated from the same dataset, and consensus clustering was performed based on differentially expressed CRGs. We applied weighted gene co-expression network analysis to identify hub genes associated with PS and cuproptosis. Results: We observed aberrant expression of 27 CRGs and a specific immune landscape in PS samples. Our findings revealed that patients in the GSE66099 dataset could be categorized into two cuproptosis clusters, each characterized by unique immune landscapes and varying functional classifications or enriched pathways. Among the machine learning approaches, Extreme Gradient Boosting demonstrated optimal performance as a diagnostic model for PS. Discussion: Our study provides valuable insights into the molecular mechanisms underlying PS, highlighting the involvement of cuproptosis-related genes and immune cell infiltration.

Lysosome-Related Diagnostic Biomarkers for Pediatric Sepsis Integrated by Machine Learning

Background

There is currently no biomarker that can reliably identify sepsis, despite recent scientific advancements. We systematically evaluated the value of lysosomal genes for the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis.

Methods

Three datasets (GSE13904, GSE26378, and GSE26440) were obtained from the gene expression omnibus (GEO) database. LASSO regression analysis and random forest analysis were employed for screening pivotal genes to construct a diagnostic model between the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and lysosomal genes. The efficacy of the diagnostic model for pediatric sepsis identification in the three datasets was validated through receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Furthermore, a total of 30 normal samples and 35 pediatric sepsis samples were gathered to detect the expression levels of crucial genes and assess the diagnostic model's efficacy in diagnosing pediatric sepsis in real clinical samples through real-time quantitative PCR (qRT-PCR).

Results

Among the 83 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to lysosomes, four key genes (STOM, VNN1, SORT1, and RETN) were identified to develop a diagnostic model for pediatric sepsis. The expression levels of these four key genes were consistently higher in the sepsis group compared to the normal group across all three cohorts. The diagnostic model exhibited excellent diagnostic performance, as evidenced by area under the curve (AUC) values of 1, 0.971, and 0.989. Notably, the diagnostic model also demonstrated strong diagnostic ability with an AUC of 0.917 when applied to the 65 clinical samples, surpassing the efficacy of conventional inflammatory indicators such as procalcitonin (PCT), white blood cell (WBC) count, C-reactive protein (CRP), and neutrophil percentage (NEU%).

Conclusion

A four-gene diagnostic model of lysosomal function was devised and validated, aiming to accurately detect pediatric sepsis cases and propose potential target genes for lysosomal intervention in affected children.

Exploring disease axes as an alternative to distinct clusters for characterizing sepsis heterogeneity

PURPOSE

Various studies have analyzed sepsis subtypes, yet the reproducibility of such results remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the reproducibility of sepsis subtypes across multiple cohorts.

METHODS

The study examined 63,547 sepsis patients from six distinct cohorts who had similar sepsis-related characteristics (vital signs, lactate, sequential organ failure assessment score, bilirubin, serum, urine output, and Glasgow coma scale). Identical cluster analysis techniques were used, employing 27 clustering schemes, and normalized mutual information (NMI), a metric ranging from 0 to 1 with higher values indicating better concordance, was employed to quantify the clustering solutions' reproducibility. Principal component analysis (PCA) was utilized to obtain the disease axis, and its uniformity across cohorts was evaluated through patterns of feature loading and correlation.

RESULTS

The reproducibility of sepsis clustering subtypes across the various studies was modest (median NMI ranging from 0.08 to 0.54). The top-down transfer learning method (model trained on cohorts with greater severity was transferred to cohorts with lower severity score) had a higher NMI value than the bottom-up approach (median [Q1, Q3]: 0.64 [0.49, 0.78] vs. 0.23 [0.2, 0.31], p < 0.001). The reproducibility was greater when the transfer solution was performed within United States (US) cohorts. The PCA analysis revealed that the correlation pattern between variables was consistent across all cohorts, and the first two disease axes were the "shock axis" and "systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) axis."

CONCLUSIONS

Cluster analysis of sepsis patients across various cohorts showed modest reproducibility. Sepsis heterogeneity is better characterized through continuous disease axes that coexist to varying degrees within the same individual instead of mutually exclusive subtypes.

Clinical Sepsis Phenotypes in Critically Ill Patients

Sepsis, defined as the life-threatening dysregulated host response to an infection leading to organ dysfunction, is considered as one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, especially in intensive care units (ICU). Moreover, sepsis remains an enigmatic clinical syndrome, with complex pathophysiology incompletely understood and a great heterogeneity both in terms of clinical expression, patient response to currently available therapeutic interventions and outcomes. This heterogeneity proves to be a major obstacle in our quest to deliver improved treatment in septic critical care patients; thus, identification of clinical phenotypes is absolutely necessary. Although this might be seen as an extremely difficult task, nowadays, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques can be recruited to quantify similarities between individuals within sepsis population and differentiate them into distinct phenotypes regarding not only temperature, hemodynamics or type of organ dysfunction, but also fluid status/responsiveness, trajectories in ICU and outcome. Hopefully, we will eventually manage to determine both the subgroup of septic patients that will benefit from a therapeutic intervention and the correct timing of applying the intervention during the disease process.