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Gabriele F, Foschi M, Conversi F, Ciuffini D, De Santis F, Orlandi B, De Santis F, Ornello R, Sacco S. Epidemiology and outcomes of intracerebral hemorrhage associated with oral anticoagulation over 10 years in a population-based stroke registry. Int J Stroke 2024; 19:515-525. [PMID: 37997897 DOI: 10.1177/17474930231218594] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recent years have seen a change in the use of anticoagulants in the general population due to the availability of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) as an alternative to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and increased detection of atrial fibrillation. It is important to have updated epidemiological data to understand how this change is impacting on the occurrence and outcome of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). PATIENTS AND METHODS Our prospective population-based registry included patients with first-ever ICH occurring from January 2011 to December 2020. Oral anticoagulants (OAC)-related ICH was defined as an ICH occurring within 48 h from the intake of DOAC or VKAs, regardless of the measured international normalized ratio on hospital admission. RESULTS We included 748 first-ever ICH, of whom 108 (14.4%) were OAC-related. Specifically, 75 (69.4%) ICHs occurred on VKA and 33 (30.6%) on DOAC. The incidence of oral anticoagulation-associated intracerebral hemorrhage (OAC-ICH) was stable over time (p = 0.226). Among OAC-ICHs, we observed an increase in the overall incidence of DOAC-ICH (p for trend < 0.001) which overcome that of VKA-ICH in 2020 (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 4.71, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22-33.54; p = 0.022). Patients with OAC-ICH showed higher 30-day case fatality rates than those with non-OAC-ICH (48.1% vs 34.1%; p = 0.007). CONCLUSION No changes over time were detected in the incidence of OAC-ICH, but throughout the study period, there was a change in OAC-ICH from mostly VKA-related to mostly DOAC-related. Mortality in patients with OAC-ICH was higher than in patients with non-OAC-ICH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesca Gabriele
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Matteo Foschi
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Francesco Conversi
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Davide Ciuffini
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Federica De Santis
- Department of Neurology and Stroke Unit of Avezzano-Sulmona, ASL 1 Avezzano-Sulmona-L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Berardino Orlandi
- Department of Neurology and Stroke Unit of Avezzano-Sulmona, ASL 1 Avezzano-Sulmona-L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Federico De Santis
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Raffaele Ornello
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
| | - Simona Sacco
- Department of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
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2
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Liu L, Xie P, Zhu P, Zhuo W, Xu A. Role of the score for the targeting of atrial fibrillation (STAF) combined with D-dimer in screening ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation. J Med Biochem 2024; 43:57-62. [PMID: 38496027 PMCID: PMC10943463 DOI: 10.5937/jomb0-44255] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2023] [Accepted: 06/12/2023] [Indexed: 03/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Background We aim to explore the effect of the score for the targeting of atrial fibrillation (STAF) combined with the serum D-dimer (DD) level in screening acute ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods This study is a retrospective case observation study. This study consecutively selected patients with acute ischemic stroke who were hospitalized in the Department of Neurology at Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University from February 2019 to February 2021. Venous blood was drawn from all patients within 24 hours of hospitalization for DD detection. In accordance with the medical records, the patients were classified into an AF group and a non-AF group and were scored according to the STAF standard. A combined test method was used to estimate the diagnostic screening value of the STAF combined with the DD value for acute ischemic stroke patients with AF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Libin Liu
- Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University, Department of Neurology, Zhuhai, China
| | - Peikai Xie
- Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University, Department of Ultrasound Imaging, Zhuhai, China
| | - Peipei Zhu
- Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University, Department of Neurology, Zhuhai, China
| | - Wenyan Zhuo
- Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University, Department of Neurology, Zhuhai, China
| | - Anding Xu
- First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Department of Neurology, Guangzhou, China
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3
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Sposato LA, Field TS, Schnabel RB, Wachter R, Andrade JG, Hill MD. Towards a new classification of atrial fibrillation detected after a stroke or a transient ischaemic attack. Lancet Neurol 2024; 23:110-122. [PMID: 37839436 DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(23)00326-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Revised: 07/03/2023] [Accepted: 08/21/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023]
Abstract
Globally, up to 1·5 million individuals with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation per year. In the past decade, evidence has accumulated supporting the notion that atrial fibrillation first detected after a stroke or transient ischaemic attack differs from atrial fibrillation known before the occurrence of as stroke. Atrial fibrillation detected after stroke is associated with a lower prevalence of risk factors, cardiovascular comorbidities, and atrial cardiomyopathy than atrial fibrillation known before stroke occurrence. These differences might explain why it is associated with a lower risk of recurrence of ischaemic stroke than known atrial fibrillation. Patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be classified in three categories: no atrial fibrillation, known atrial fibrillation before stroke occurrence, and atrial fibrillation detected after stroke. This classification could harmonise future research in the field and help to understand the role of prolonged cardiac monitoring for secondary stroke prevention with application of a personalised risk-based approach to the selection of patients for anticoagulation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luciano A Sposato
- Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University, London, ON, Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University, London, ON, Canada; Department of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University, London, ON, Canada; Heart and Brain Laboratory, Western University, London, ON, Canada; Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London, ON, Canada; Lawson Health Research Institute, London, ON, Canada.
| | - Thalia S Field
- Division of Neurology, Vancouver Stroke Program, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Renate B Schnabel
- Department of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany; German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site Hamburg/Kiel/Lübeck, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Rolf Wachter
- Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany; Clinic for Cardiology and Pneumology, University Medicine Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany; German Cardiovascular Research Centre, Partner site Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Jason G Andrade
- Division of Cardiology, Centre for Cardiovascular Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Center for Cardiovascular Innovation, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Montreal Heart Institute, Department of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Michael D Hill
- Department of Clinical Neuroscience and Hotchkiss Brain Institute, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
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4
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Thijs V, Witte KK, Guarnieri C, Makino K, Tilden D, Gillespie J, Huynh M. Cost-effectiveness of insertable cardiac monitors for diagnosis of atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke in Australia. J Arrhythm 2021; 37:1077-1085. [PMID: 34386135 PMCID: PMC8339089 DOI: 10.1002/joa3.12586] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2021] [Accepted: 06/07/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) is required to initiate oral anticoagulation (OAC) after cryptogenic stroke (CS). However, paroxysmal AF can be difficult to diagnose with short term cardiac monitoring. Taking an Australian payer perspective, we evaluated whether long-term continuous monitoring for 3 years with an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) is cost-effective for preventing recurrent stroke in patients with CS. METHODS A lifetime Markov model was developed to simulate the follow-up of patients, comparing long-term continuous monitoring with an ICM to monitoring by conventional care. We used a linked evidence approach to estimate the rates of recurrent stroke when AF detection leads to initiation of OAC, as detected using ICM during the lifetime of the device or as detected using usual care. All diagnostic and patient management costs were modeled. Other model inputs were determined by literature review. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was undertaken to explore the effect of parameter uncertainty according to CHADS2 score and OAC treatment effect. RESULTS In the base-case analysis, the model predicted an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of A$29 570 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Among CHADS2 subgroups analyses, the ICER ranged from A$26 342/QALY (CHADS2 = 6) to A$42 967/QALY (CHADS2 = 2). PSA suggested that the probabilities of ICM strategy being cost-effective were 53.4% and 78.7%, at thresholds of $30 000 (highly cost-effective) and $50 000 per QALY (cost-effective), respectively. CONCLUSIONS Long-term continuous monitoring with an ICM is a cost-effective intervention to prevent recurrent stroke in patients following CS in the Australian context.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincent Thijs
- Florey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental HealthUniversity of MelbourneParkvilleVictoriaAustralia
| | - Klaus K. Witte
- Division of Cardiovascular and Diabetes ResearchUniversity of LeedsLeedsUK
| | | | - Koji Makino
- THEMA Consulting Pty Ltd.PyrmontNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Dominic Tilden
- THEMA Consulting Pty Ltd.PyrmontNew South WalesAustralia
| | - John Gillespie
- Medtronic Australasia Pty Ltd.Macquarie ParkNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Marianne Huynh
- Medtronic Australasia Pty Ltd.Macquarie ParkNew South WalesAustralia
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5
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Stazi F. Knots to untie: anticoagulant and antiarrhythmic therapy after ablation for atrial fibrillation. Eur Heart J Suppl 2020; 22:L136-L139. [PMID: 33239988 PMCID: PMC7673625 DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/suaa153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
The continuation or otherwise of anticoagulant and antiarrhythmic therapy after ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the main aspects still to be defined in the electrophysiological field. The currently available data do not allow the assumption of certain positions due to the lack of randomized studies on the subject. With regard to anticoagulant therapy, however, the suggestion of the guidelines to assess more the risk profile than the result of the ablation and consequently to prescribe anticoagulant treatment to all patients with CHADSVASc ≥2 seems acceptable. Its use in the first two or three months after the procedure appears reasonable; however, keeping in mind that the objective of this strategy is limited to the prevention of early recurrences only. More prolonged use of antiarrhythmics seems to be more promising, but further data are necessary before it can be recommended routinely. The ablation of AF is a therapy that is widely spreading and its use is continuously growing. Since it is a recently introduced method, not everything is still clear about it. The continuation or not of anticoagulant and antiarrhythmic therapy after ablation for AF is one of the main aspects yet to be defined.
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Affiliation(s)
- Filippo Stazi
- Cardiology Care Unit, San Giovanni Addolorata Hospital, Rome, Italy
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6
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Andrade JG, Aguilar M, Atzema C, Bell A, Cairns JA, Cheung CC, Cox JL, Dorian P, Gladstone DJ, Healey JS, Khairy P, Leblanc K, McMurtry MS, Mitchell LB, Nair GM, Nattel S, Parkash R, Pilote L, Sandhu RK, Sarrazin JF, Sharma M, Skanes AC, Talajic M, Tsang TSM, Verma A, Verma S, Whitlock R, Wyse DG, Macle L. The 2020 Canadian Cardiovascular Society/Canadian Heart Rhythm Society Comprehensive Guidelines for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation. Can J Cardiol 2020; 36:1847-1948. [PMID: 33191198 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjca.2020.09.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 312] [Impact Index Per Article: 78.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2020] [Revised: 09/05/2020] [Accepted: 09/05/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
The Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) atrial fibrillation (AF) guidelines program was developed to aid clinicians in the management of these complex patients, as well as to provide direction to policy makers and health care systems regarding related issues. The most recent comprehensive CCS AF guidelines update was published in 2010. Since then, periodic updates were published dealing with rapidly changing areas. However, since 2010 a large number of developments had accumulated in a wide range of areas, motivating the committee to complete a thorough guideline review. The 2020 iteration of the CCS AF guidelines represents a comprehensive renewal that integrates, updates, and replaces the past decade of guidelines, recommendations, and practical tips. It is intended to be used by practicing clinicians across all disciplines who care for patients with AF. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) system was used to evaluate recommendation strength and the quality of evidence. Areas of focus include: AF classification and definitions, epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical evaluation, screening and opportunistic AF detection, detection and management of modifiable risk factors, integrated approach to AF management, stroke prevention, arrhythmia management, sex differences, and AF in special populations. Extensive use is made of tables and figures to synthesize important material and present key concepts. This document should be an important aid for knowledge translation and a tool to help improve clinical management of this important and challenging arrhythmia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jason G Andrade
- University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada; Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
| | - Martin Aguilar
- Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | | | - Alan Bell
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - John A Cairns
- University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | | | - Jafna L Cox
- Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Paul Dorian
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | | | - Paul Khairy
- Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Girish M Nair
- University of Ottawa Heart Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Stanley Nattel
- Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Jean-François Sarrazin
- Institut universitaire de cardiologie et de pneumologie de Québec, Université Laval, Québec, Québec, Canada
| | - Mukul Sharma
- McMaster University, Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Mario Talajic
- Montreal Heart Institute, University of Montreal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Teresa S M Tsang
- University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Atul Verma
- Southlake Regional Health Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Laurent Macle
- Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
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Yang H, Nassif M, Khairy P, de Groot JR, Roos YBWEM, de Winter RJ, Mulder BJM, Bouma BJ. Cardiac diagnostic work-up of ischaemic stroke. Eur Heart J 2019; 39:1851-1860. [PMID: 29788298 DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehy043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2016] [Accepted: 08/17/2016] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Cardioembolic sources account for 20-30% of ischaemic strokes and are important to identify considering their prognostic and therapeutic implications. During the past years, new developments have been made in the cardiac diagnostic evaluation and management of patients with ischaemic stroke, especially regarding strokes of unknown aetiology. These recent advances have had a major impact on our understanding of embolic strokes, their diagnostic work-up, and clinical management. Herein, we propose a cardiac diagnostic work-up scheme for patients with ischaemic stroke from definite cardioembolic sources and embolic strokes of undetermined source.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hayang Yang
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands-Netherlands Heart Institute, Moreelsepark 1, 3511 EP, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Martina Nassif
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Paul Khairy
- Department of Cardiology, Montreal Heart Institute, Université de Montréal, 5000 Rue Bélanger, QC H1T 1C8, Montreal, Canada
| | - Joris R de Groot
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Yvo B W E M Roos
- Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Robbert J de Winter
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Barbara J M Mulder
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.,Interuniversity Cardiology Institute of the Netherlands-Netherlands Heart Institute, Moreelsepark 1, 3511 EP, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Berto J Bouma
- Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Sabar MI, Ara F, Henderson A, Ahmed O, Potter C, John I, Mitchell ARJ, Yáñez-Muñoz RJ, Kaba RA. A study to assess a novel automated electrocardiogram technology in screening for atrial fibrillation. PACING AND CLINICAL ELECTROPHYSIOLOGY: PACE 2019; 42:1383-1389. [PMID: 31482579 DOI: 10.1111/pace.13800] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2019] [Revised: 08/23/2019] [Accepted: 09/02/2019] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Atrial fibrillation is often asymptomatic and un-diagnosed in the community resulting in an increased risk of heart failure and stroke to those patients. We evaluated the effectiveness, tolerability, and accuracy of a novel six-channel electrocardiogram digital-health screening device, the RhythmPad, for the detection of atrial fibrillation. METHODS Seven hundred and fifty-two participants attending the cardiology department were recruited. Two recordings were taken-a six-lead electrocardiogram using the RhythmPad device and a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram. Recorded traces were analyzed by two blinded cardiologists. The computer-generated automated diagnostic reports from both systems were also compared. Post-participation feedback was obtained from study participants using a three-part questionnaire. RESULTS The sensitivity of the six-lead electrocardiogram compared to the 12-lead electrocardiogram, analyzed by two blinded cardiologists, for the detection of normal sinus rhythm was 95.9%, with a specificity of 97.2%. The sensitivity for the detection of atrial fibrillation using the six-lead ECG was 93.4%, with specificity 96.8%. The six-lead automated diagnostic report had a sensitivity and specificity of 97.5% and 98.6%, respectively, for correctly diagnosing normal sinus rhythm. For the correct diagnosis of atrial fibrillation, the six-lead automated diagnostic report had a sensitivity and specificity of 95.4% and 98.8%, respectively. A total of 95.4% of participants found RhythmPad to be comfortable, with only 0.5% preferring the 12-lead ECG device in comparison to six-lead ECG acquisitions. CONCLUSION The RhythmPad digital health device and its automated diagnostic report were highly accurate in detecting atrial fibrillation when compared to a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Farhana Ara
- Ashford and St. Peter's Hospital, Chertsey, UK.,Centre of Gene and Cell Therapy, Centre for Biomedical Sciences, Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK
| | | | - Omar Ahmed
- Ashford and St. Peter's Hospital, Chertsey, UK
| | | | - Isaac John
- Ashford and St. Peter's Hospital, Chertsey, UK.,Centre of Gene and Cell Therapy, Centre for Biomedical Sciences, Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK
| | | | - Rafael J Yáñez-Muñoz
- Centre of Gene and Cell Therapy, Centre for Biomedical Sciences, Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK
| | - Riyaz A Kaba
- Ashford and St. Peter's Hospital, Chertsey, UK.,Centre of Gene and Cell Therapy, Centre for Biomedical Sciences, Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, UK.,St. George's Hospital, London, UK
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9
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Tsivgoulis G, Katsanos AH, Köhrmann M, Caso V, Perren F, Palaiodimou L, Deftereos S, Giannopoulos S, Ellul J, Krogias C, Mavridis D, Triantafyllou S, Alexandrov AW, Schellinger PD, Alexandrov AV. Duration of Implantable Cardiac Monitoring and Detection of Atrial Fibrillation in Ischemic Stroke Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. J Stroke 2019; 21:302-311. [PMID: 31590474 PMCID: PMC6780018 DOI: 10.5853/jos.2019.01067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2019] [Revised: 06/04/2019] [Accepted: 06/14/2019] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Current guidelines do not provide firm directions on atrial fibrillation (AF) screening after ischemic stroke (IS). We sought to investigate the association of implantable cardiac monitoring (ICM) duration with the yield of AF detection in IS patients. METHODS We included studies reporting AF detection rates by ICM in IS patients with negative initial AF screening. We excluded studies reporting prolonged cardiac monitoring with devices other than ICM, not providing AF detection rates or monitoring duration, and reporting overlapping data for the same population. The random-effects model was used for all pooled estimates and meta-regression analyses. RESULTS We included 28 studies (4,531 patients, mean age 65 years). In meta-regression analyses, the proportion of AF detection by ICM was independently associated with monitoring duration (coefficient=0.015; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.005 to 0.024) and mean patient age (coefficient=0.009; 95% CI, 0.003 to 0.015). No associations were detected with other patient characteristics, including IS subtype (cryptogenic vs. embolic stroke of undetermined source) or time from IS onset to CM implantation. In subgroup analyses, significant differences (P<0.001) in the AF detection rates were found for ICM duration (<6 months: 5% [95% CI, 3% to 6%]; ≥6 and ≤12 months: 21% [95% CI, 16% to 25%]; >12 and ≤24 months: 26% [95% CI, 22% to 31%]; >24 months: 34% [95% CI, 29% to 39%]). CONCLUSION s Extended duration of ICM monitoring and increased patient age are factors that substantially increase AF detection in IS patients with initial negative AF screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Tsivgoulis
- Second Department of Neurology, Attikon Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
- Department of Neurology, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, USA
| | - Aristeidis H. Katsanos
- Second Department of Neurology, Attikon Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
- Department of Neurology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece
| | - Martin Köhrmann
- Department of Neurology, Essen University Hospital, Essen, Germany
| | - Valeria Caso
- Stroke Unit, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
| | - Fabienne Perren
- Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Lina Palaiodimou
- Second Department of Neurology, Attikon Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Spyridon Deftereos
- Second Department of Cardiology, Attikon Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Sotirios Giannopoulos
- Department of Neurology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece
| | - John Ellul
- Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Patras, School of Medicine, University of Patras, Patras, Greece
| | - Christos Krogias
- Department of Neurology, St. Josef-Hospital, Ruhr University, Bochum, Germany
| | - Dimitris Mavridis
- Department of Primary Education, University of Ioannina, Ioannina, Greece
| | - Sokratis Triantafyllou
- Second Department of Neurology, Attikon Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Anne W. Alexandrov
- Department of Neurology, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, USA
| | - Peter D. Schellinger
- Department of Neurology and Neurogeriatry, Johannes Wesling Medical Center, Ruhr University Bochum, Minden, Germany
| | - Andrei V. Alexandrov
- Department of Neurology, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, USA
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10
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Ratajczak-Tretel B, Lambert AT, Johansen H, Halvorsen B, Bjerkeli V, Russell D, Sandset EC, Ihle-Hansen H, Eriksen E, Næss H, Novotny V, Khanevski AN, Truelsen TC, Idicula T, Ægidius KL, Tobro H, Krogseth SB, Ihle-Hansen H, Hagberg G, Kruuse C, Arntzen K, Bakkejord GK, Villseth M, Nakstad I, Eldøen G, Shafiq R, Gulsvik A, Kurz M, Rezai M, Sømark J, Tingvoll SH, Jonassen C, Ingebrigtsen S, Steffensen LH, Kremer C, Atar D, Aamodt AH. Atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack - The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) Study: Rationale and design. Eur Stroke J 2019; 4:172-180. [PMID: 31259265 DOI: 10.1177/2396987319837089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2018] [Accepted: 02/13/2019] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Purpose Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation is often suspected as a probable cause of cryptogenic stroke. Continuous long-term ECG monitoring using insertable cardiac monitors is a clinically effective technique to screen for atrial fibrillation and superior to conventional follow-up in cryptogenic stroke. However, more studies are needed to identify factors which can help selecting patients with the highest possibility of detecting atrial fibrillation with prolonged rhythm monitoring. The clinical relevance of short-term atrial fibrillation, the need for medical intervention and the evaluation as to whether intervention results in improved clinical outcomes should be assessed. Method The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Study is an international, multicentre, prospective, observational trial evaluating the occurrence of occult atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack. Patients with cryptogenic stroke or transient ischaemic attack from the Nordic countries are included and will have the Reveal LINQ® Insertable cardiac monitor system implanted for 12 months for atrial fibrillation detection. Biomarkers which can be used as predictors for atrial fibrillation and may identify patients, who could derive the most clinical benefit from the detection of atrial fibrillation by prolonged monitoring, are being studied. Conclusion The primary endpoint is atrial fibrillation burden within 12 months of continuous rhythm monitoring. Secondary endpoints are atrial fibrillation burden within six months, levels of biomarkers predicting atrial fibrillation, CHA2DS2-VASc score, incidence of recurrent stroke or transient ischaemic attack, use of anticoagulation and antiarrhythmic drugs, and quality of life measurements. The clinical follow-up period is 12 months. The study started in 2017 and the completion is expected at the end of 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barbara Ratajczak-Tretel
- Department of Neurology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Anna Tancin Lambert
- Department of Neurology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | | | - Bente Halvorsen
- Research Institute of Internal Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Vigdis Bjerkeli
- Research Institute of Internal Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - David Russell
- Department of Neurology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | | | - Hege Ihle-Hansen
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - Erik Eriksen
- Department of Neurology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - Halvor Næss
- Department of Neurology, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
| | - Vojtech Novotny
- Department of Neurology, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
| | | | - Thomas C Truelsen
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Titto Idicula
- Department of Neurology, St. Olav University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Karen L Ægidius
- Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Håkon Tobro
- Department of Neurology, Telemark Hospital, Skien, Norway
| | - Siv B Krogseth
- Department of Neurology, Vestfold Hospital, Tønsberg, Norway
| | - Håkon Ihle-Hansen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Bærum, Norway
| | - Guri Hagberg
- Department of Internal Medicine, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Bærum, Norway
| | - Christina Kruuse
- Department of Neurology, Herlev Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | | | - Maja Villseth
- Department of Neurology, Drammen Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Drammen, Norway
| | - Ingvild Nakstad
- Department of Neurology, Drammen Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Drammen, Norway
| | | | - Raheel Shafiq
- Department of Neurology, Molde Hospital, Molde, Norway
| | - Anne Gulsvik
- Department of Internal Medicine, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - Martin Kurz
- Department of Neurology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Mehdi Rezai
- Department of Neurology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Jesper Sømark
- Department of Neurology, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway
| | | | - Christine Jonassen
- Center of Laboratory Medicine, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway.,Department of Chemistry, Biotechnology and Food Science, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway
| | | | | | - Christine Kremer
- Department of Neurology, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.,Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Dan Atar
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.,Department of Cardiology B, Oslo University Hospital, Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
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11
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Turner JL, Marrouche N. The Next 10 Years in Atrial Fibrillation. US CARDIOLOGY REVIEW 2019. [DOI: 10.15420/usc.2018.21.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Predicting future advancements in arrhythmia management – specifically AF – with any certainty is impossible. The clinical approach to AF has changed markedly since the turn of the century in ways that could never have been foreseen, but the current methods of identification and treatment remain far from perfect. Over the next decade we expect significant continued progress in AF management. However, if asked to forecast the future, we consider it wise to predict advancements in the nearer term. We believe there will be widespread expansion in digital health and mobile devices, altering the way we detect and monitor the arrhythmia. We expect substantial growth in advanced MRI to aid in early detection, evaluation, and possibly non-invasive treatment of AF substrate. We imagine there will be increasing focus on individual populations to identify at-risk groups and personalize early management. We also anticipate improvement in anticoagulation employment and left atrial appendage modification. Finally, recognizing the benefit of improvement in modifiable risk factors such as mandatory tobacco cessation and weight loss in obese patients, we predict that reimbursement will be dependent on successfully addressing modifiable risk. For now, several questions remain unanswered, and while no one can predict the next 10 years in AF, there is, without doubt, an abundance of opportunity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeffrey L Turner
- Comprehensive Arrhythmia and Research Management Center, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT
| | - Nassir Marrouche
- Comprehensive Arrhythmia and Research Management Center, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT
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12
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Giancaterino S, Lupercio F, Nishimura M, Hsu JC. Current and Future Use of Insertable Cardiac Monitors. JACC Clin Electrophysiol 2018; 4:1383-1396. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jacep.2018.06.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2018] [Revised: 05/31/2018] [Accepted: 06/04/2018] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
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13
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Mairesse GH, Moran P, Van Gelder IC, Elsner C, Rosenqvist M, Mant J, Banerjee A, Gorenek B, Brachmann J, Varma N, Glotz de Lima G, Kalman J, Claes N, Lobban T, Lane D, Lip GYH, Boriani G. Screening for atrial fibrillation: a European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) consensus document endorsed by the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), and Sociedad Latinoamericana de Estimulación Cardíaca y Electrofisiología (SOLAECE). Europace 2018; 19:1589-1623. [PMID: 29048522 DOI: 10.1093/europace/eux177] [Citation(s) in RCA: 182] [Impact Index Per Article: 30.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2017] [Accepted: 05/06/2017] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Georges H Mairesse
- Department of Cardiology, Cliniques du Sud-Luxembourg, 137 rue des déportés, B6700 Arlon, Belgium
| | - Patrick Moran
- Health Information and Quality Authority, George's Lane, Dublin 7, D07 E98Y, Ireland
| | - Isabelle C Van Gelder
- University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen, 9713 GZ, The Netherlands
| | - Christian Elsner
- University Clinic Of Schleswig Holstein, Maria Goeppert Strasse 7a-b, Luebeck, 23538, Germany
| | | | - Jonathan Mant
- Primary Care Unit, University of Cambridge, Strangeways Research Laboratory, Wort's Causeway, Cambridge, CB1 8RN, United Kingdom
| | - Amitava Banerjee
- University College London, Farr Institute of Health Informatics Research, 222 Euston Road, London, West Midlands NW1 2DA, United Kingdom
| | - Bulent Gorenek
- Eskisehir Osmangazi University, ESOGÜ Meselik Yerleskesi, 26480 ESKISEHIR, Turkey
| | - Johannes Brachmann
- Klinikum Coburg, Chefarzt der II. Medizinischen Klinik, Ketschendorfer Str. 33, Coburg, DE-96450, Germany
| | - Niraj Varma
- Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, 9500 Euclid Ave, Cleveland, Ohio 44195, USA
| | - Gustavo Glotz de Lima
- Instituto de Cardiologia do RS / FUC, Eletrofisiologia Dept., Av. Princesa Isabel 370, Porto Alegre, 90620-001, Brazil
| | - Jonathan Kalman
- The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne Heart Center, Royal Parade Suite 1, Parkville, Victoria, 3050, Australia
| | - Neree Claes
- University of Hasselt, Patient Safety in General Practice and Hospitals, Diepenbeek, Belgium, Antwerp Management School, Clinical Leadership, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Trudie Lobban
- Arrhythmia Alliance & AF Association, Unit 6B, Essex House, Cromwell Business Park, Chipping Norton, Oxfordshire OX7 5SR, UK
| | - Deirdre Lane
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, United Kingdom; and Aalborg Thrombosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Fredrik Bajers Vej 5, 9100 Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Gregory Y H Lip
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, United Kingdom; and Aalborg Thrombosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Fredrik Bajers Vej 5, 9100 Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Giuseppe Boriani
- Cardiology Division, Department of Diagnostics, Clinical and Public Health Medicine, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Policlinico di Modena, Largo del Pozzo, 71, 41125 Modena, Italy
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14
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Tang F, Xiao C, Wang F, Zhou J. Predictive modeling in urgent care: a comparative study of machine learning approaches. JAMIA Open 2018; 1:87-98. [PMID: 31984321 PMCID: PMC6951928 DOI: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooy011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2017] [Revised: 03/30/2018] [Accepted: 04/02/2018] [Indexed: 01/16/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The growing availability of rich clinical data such as patients' electronic health records provide great opportunities to address a broad range of real-world questions in medicine. At the same time, artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML)-based approaches have shown great premise on extracting insights from those data and helping with various clinical problems. The goal of this study is to conduct a systematic comparative study of different ML algorithms for several predictive modeling problems in urgent care. DESIGN We assess the performance of 4 benchmark prediction tasks (eg mortality and prediction, differential diagnostics, and disease marker discovery) using medical histories, physiological time-series, and demographics data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database. MEASUREMENTS For each given task, performance was estimated using standard measures including the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve, F-1 score, sensitivity, and specificity. Microaveraged AUC was used for multiclass classification models. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Our results suggest that recurrent neural networks show the most promise in mortality prediction where temporal patterns in physiologic features alone can capture in-hospital mortality risk (AUC > 0.90). Temporal models did not provide additional benefit compared to deep models in differential diagnostics. When comparing the training-testing behaviors of readmission and mortality models, we illustrate that readmission risk may be independent of patient stability at discharge. We also introduce a multiclass prediction scheme for length of stay which preserves sensitivity and AUC with outliers of increasing duration despite decrease in sample size.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fengyi Tang
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Michigan State University College of Engineering, East Lansing, Michigan, USA
| | - Cao Xiao
- AI for Healthcare, IBM Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Fei Wang
- Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical School Cornell University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jiayu Zhou
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Michigan State University College of Engineering, East Lansing, Michigan, USA
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15
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Carmona-Puerta R, Castro-Torres Y. Atrial fibrillation and cryptogenic stroke. What is the current evidence? Role of electrocardiographic monitoring. J Arrhythm 2018; 34:1-3. [PMID: 29721107 PMCID: PMC5828277 DOI: 10.1002/joa3.12016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2017] [Accepted: 10/29/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The diagnosis of cryptogenic stroke is made by exclusion. However, current evidence supports the role of atrial fibrillation episodes as a cause of this condition. Prospective data have demonstrated the benefits of long‐term electrocardiographic monitoring to identify atrial fibrillation in association with cryptogenic stroke. This aim of this article was to analyze the contemporary evidence for the possible relationship between atrial fibrillation and cryptogenic stroke and the role of continuous electrocardiographic monitoring to clarify this hypothesis.
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16
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The complexity of atrial fibrillation newly diagnosed after ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack: advances and uncertainties. Curr Opin Neurol 2018; 30:28-37. [PMID: 27984303 PMCID: PMC5321114 DOI: 10.1097/wco.0000000000000410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Purpose of review Atrial fibrillation is being increasingly diagnosed after ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Patient characteristics, frequency and duration of paroxysms, and the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke associated with atrial fibrillation detected after stroke and TIA (AFDAS) may differ from atrial fibrillation already known before stroke occurrence. We aim to summarize major recent advances in the field, in the context of prior evidence, and to identify areas of uncertainty to be addressed in future research. Recent findings Half of all atrial fibrillations in ischemic stroke and TIA patients are AFDAS, and most of them are asymptomatic. Over 50% of AFDAS paroxysms last less than 30 s. The rapid initiation of cardiac monitoring and its duration are crucial for its timely and effective detection. AFDAS comprises a heterogeneous mix of atrial fibrillation, possibly including cardiogenic and neurogenic types, and a mix of both. Over 25 single markers and at least 10 scores have been proposed as predictors of AFDAS. However, there are considerable inconsistencies across studies. The role of AFDAS burden and its associated risk of stroke recurrence have not yet been investigated. Summary AFDAS may differ from atrial fibrillation known before stroke in several clinical dimensions, which are important for optimal patient care strategies. Many questions remain unanswered. Neurogenic and cardiogenic AFDAS need to be characterized, as it may be possible to avoid some neurogenic cases by initiating timely preventive treatments. AFDAS burden may differ in ischemic stroke and TIA patients, with distinctive diagnostic and treatment implications. The prognosis of AFDAS and its risk of recurrent stroke are still unknown; therefore, it is uncertain whether AFDAS patients should be treated with oral anticoagulants.
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17
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Methods, accuracy and clinical implications of atrial fibrillation detection by cardiac implantable electronic devices. Int J Cardiol 2017; 236:262-269. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2016.12.189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2016] [Accepted: 12/31/2016] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
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18
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Welton NJ, McAleenan A, Thom HHZ, Davies P, Hollingworth W, Higgins JPT, Okoli G, Sterne JAC, Feder G, Eaton D, Hingorani A, Fawsitt C, Lobban T, Bryden P, Richards A, Sofat R. Screening strategies for atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and cost-effectiveness analysis. Health Technol Assess 2017. [DOI: 10.3310/hta21290] [Citation(s) in RCA: 88] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia that increases the risk of thromboembolic events. Anticoagulation therapy to prevent AF-related stroke has been shown to be cost-effective. A national screening programme for AF may prevent AF-related events, but would involve a substantial investment of NHS resources.ObjectivesTo conduct a systematic review of the diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) of screening tests for AF, update a systematic review of comparative studies evaluating screening strategies for AF, develop an economic model to compare the cost-effectiveness of different screening strategies and review observational studies of AF screening to provide inputs to the model.DesignSystematic review, meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis.SettingPrimary care.ParticipantsAdults.InterventionScreening strategies, defined by screening test, age at initial and final screens, screening interval and format of screening {systematic opportunistic screening [individuals offered screening if they consult with their general practitioner (GP)] or systematic population screening (when all eligible individuals are invited to screening)}.Main outcome measuresSensitivity, specificity and diagnostic odds ratios; the odds ratio of detecting new AF cases compared with no screening; and the mean incremental net benefit compared with no screening.Review methodsTwo reviewers screened the search results, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias. A DTA meta-analysis was perfomed, and a decision tree and Markov model was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the screening strategies.ResultsDiagnostic test accuracy depended on the screening test and how it was interpreted. In general, the screening tests identified in our review had high sensitivity (> 0.9). Systematic population and systematic opportunistic screening strategies were found to be similarly effective, with an estimated 170 individuals needed to be screened to detect one additional AF case compared with no screening. Systematic opportunistic screening was more likely to be cost-effective than systematic population screening, as long as the uptake of opportunistic screening observed in randomised controlled trials translates to practice. Modified blood pressure monitors, photoplethysmography or nurse pulse palpation were more likely to be cost-effective than other screening tests. A screening strategy with an initial screening age of 65 years and repeated screens every 5 years until age 80 years was likely to be cost-effective, provided that compliance with treatment does not decline with increasing age.ConclusionsA national screening programme for AF is likely to represent a cost-effective use of resources. Systematic opportunistic screening is more likely to be cost-effective than systematic population screening. Nurse pulse palpation or modified blood pressure monitors would be appropriate screening tests, with confirmation by diagnostic 12-lead electrocardiography interpreted by a trained GP, with referral to a specialist in the case of an unclear diagnosis. Implementation strategies to operationalise uptake of systematic opportunistic screening in primary care should accompany any screening recommendations.LimitationsMany inputs for the economic model relied on a single trial [the Screening for Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly (SAFE) study] and DTA results were based on a few studies at high risk of bias/of low applicability.Future workComparative studies measuring long-term outcomes of screening strategies and DTA studies for new, emerging technologies and to replicate the results for photoplethysmography and GP interpretation of 12-lead electrocardiography in a screening population.Study registrationThis study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42014013739.FundingThe National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicky J Welton
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Alexandra McAleenan
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Howard HZ Thom
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Philippa Davies
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Will Hollingworth
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Julian PT Higgins
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - George Okoli
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Jonathan AC Sterne
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Gene Feder
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - Aroon Hingorani
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK
| | - Christopher Fawsitt
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Trudie Lobban
- Atrial Fibrillation Association, Shipston on Stour, UK
- Arrythmia Alliance, Shipston on Stour, UK
| | - Peter Bryden
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Alison Richards
- School of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Reecha Sofat
- Division of Medicine, Faculty of Medical Science, University College London, London, UK
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19
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McIntyre WF, Healey J. Stroke Prevention for Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Beyond the Guidelines. J Atr Fibrillation 2017; 9:1475. [PMID: 29250283 PMCID: PMC5673333 DOI: 10.4022/jafib.1475] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2016] [Revised: 12/19/2016] [Accepted: 03/14/2017] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common serious heart rhythm disorder, with a lifetime incidence of 1 in 4 for patients >40 years of age[1]. AF is a major cause of death and disability, as it is associated with a 4-5 fold increase in the risk of ischemic stroke[2]. In patients with AF, oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy can reduce the risk of stroke by about two-thirds and the risk of all-cause mortality by approximately one-quarter, but is associated with an increased risk of bleeding[3], [4]. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common serious heart rhythm disorder and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. This risk can be moderated with oral anticoagulation therapy, but the decision to do so must be balanced against the risks of bleeding. Herein, we discuss three emerging areas where more high-quality evidence is required to guide risk stratification: 1) the relationships between the pattern and burden of AF and stroke 2) the risk conferred by short episodes of device-detected "sub-clinical" atrial fibrillation (SCAF) and 3) the significance of AF that occurs transiently with stress (AFOTS), as is often detected during medical illness or after surgery. Risk stratification is important to identify patients with AF who can benefit from OAC therapy. There are, however, several common clinical scenarios where guidelines do not yet provide direction for stroke prevention; or do so based on limited high-quality evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jeff Healey
- Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
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20
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Sejr MH, Nielsen JC, Damgaard D, Sandal BF, May O. Atrial fibrillation detected by external loop recording for seven days or two-day simultaneous Holter recording: A comparison in patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. J Electrocardiol 2017; 50:287-293. [PMID: 28118928 DOI: 10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2017.01.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2016] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac cause of ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (IS/TIA). AIM To compare the diagnostic value of seven-day external loop recording (ELR) and two-day Holter recording for detecting AF after IS/TIA. METHODS 191 IS/TIA patients without AF history. Endpoint was AF >30s. We started two-day Holter recording and seven-day ELR simultaneously. RESULTS Seven-day ELR and two-day Holter recording detected the same three AF patients. ELR detected another six patients with AF adjudicated by cardiologists, four detections after Holter (3 vs. 7, p=0.125) and two false-positive detections during Holter. Seven-day ELR automatically classified 50/191 patients (26%) with AF, but only 7/50 (14%) were confirmed as AF by cardiologists. CONCLUSION Seven-day ELR did not detect significantly more patients with AF than two-day Holter recording. 86% of patients with ELR-classified AF were false positives, indicating a poor performance of the automatic AF detection algorithm used.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michala Herskind Sejr
- Cardiovascular Research Unit, Department of Medicine, Regional Hospital West Jutland, Gl. Landevej 61, Herning, Denmark.
| | | | | | | | - Ole May
- Cardiovascular Research Unit, Department of Medicine, Regional Hospital West Jutland.
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21
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Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: Novel Strategies for Monitoring and Implications for Treatment in Stroke. CURRENT TREATMENT OPTIONS IN CARDIOVASCULAR MEDICINE 2016; 18:52. [DOI: 10.1007/s11936-016-0475-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
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22
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Abstract
Identifying occult paroxysmal atrial fibrillation as the etiology of cryptogenic stroke has been a top research priority in the past decade. This is because prompt initiation of anticoagulation has significantly decreased subsequent stroke risk. Available evidence suggests that prolonged cardiac monitoring after stroke increases the likelihood of detecting atrial fibrillation. However, further research is required to fill in the gaps in regard to the optimal period of monitoring, candidates for monitoring, etc. Here, we review the current evidence supporting the use of prolonged monitoring for cryptogenic stroke patients and discuss the directions of future research.
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