Secular Trends in the Burden of Multiple Myeloma From 1990 to 2019 and Its Projection Until 2044 in China

Comparison of secular trends of leukemia in China and the United States from 1990 to 2021 and their projections for the next 15 years

Background

Leukemia imposes a large healthcare burden both in China and the United States (US). The disease burden differs greatly between the two countries, but related research is limited. We explored the differences in leukemia incidence and mortality between China and the US.

Methods

Data on leukemia in China and the US from 1990 to 2021 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. Incidence and mortality were used to estimate the disease burden, and joinpoint regression was performed to compare their secular trends. We used an age-period-cohort model to analyze the effects of age, period, and birth cohort and project future trends in the next 15 years.

Results

In 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of leukemia were lower in China than in the US. However, the incidence and mortality of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) was considerably higher in China. In the past decades, the ASIR showed decreased tendency in the US, while ASIR showed stable in China. The ASDR tended to decrease in both countries from 1990 to 2021. Males have higher rates of incidence and mortality than females in two countries. The age effects showed that children and older individuals have higher RRs for incidence and mortality in China, while the RRs for incidence and mortality in the US particularly increased in the older population. The disease burden of leukemia in children is obviously greater in China. The ASIRs and ASDRs of leukemia will continue to decline in the next 15 years in China and the US, with the US experiencing a more obvious downtrend.

Conclusions

Over the past decades, the ASDRs in two countries both tended to decrease. And compared to the US, China had lower leukemia incidence and mortality, However, the ASIRs in China tended toward stable, which it was showed downtrend in the US. Children have obviously greater RRs for incidence and mortality in China. The incidence and mortality will decrease continuously in two countries. Effective intervention measures are needed to reduce the burden of leukemia.

The quantification of circular RNA 0007841 during induction therapy helps estimate the response and survival benefits to bortezomib-based regimen in multiple myeloma

OBJECTIVE

Circular RNA_0007841 (Circ_0007841) facilitates multiple myeloma (MM) progression and resistance of the bortezomib by experimental studies, while its clinical implication in MM patients is still unclear. This study intended to evaluate the longitudinal change and prognostic role of circ_0007841 expression in MM patients receiving bortezomib-based induction therapy.

METHODS

In this prospective study, bone marrow plasma cell (BMPC) samples were gained from 97 MM patients at diagnosis and after bortezomib-based induction therapy, and from 30 healthy controls (HCs) proposing BM donation. Then, circ_0007841 expression in BMPC samples was measured by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Additionally, MM patients were followed up for a median of 29.4 months.

RESULTS

Circ_0007841 expression was increased in MM patients compared to HCs (P < 0.001), but it was decreased after bortezomib-based induction therapy in MM patients (P < 0.001). Moreover, circ_0007841 expression at diagnosis was associated with the presence of t (4; 14) (P = 0.034), while its expression after bortezomib-based induction therapy was linked with higher revised international staging system stage (P = 0.025) in MM patients. Interestingly, circ_0007841 expression after bortezomib-based induction therapy was lower in MM patients who achieved complete remissions (P = 0.001) and overall responses (P = 0.002) compared to those who did not. Prognostically, circ_0007841 expression after bortezomib-based induction therapy (over the median vs. below the median) independently predicted shorter progression-free survival (hazard ratio (HR): 2.497, P = 0.002) and overall survival (HR: 3.107, P = 0.008) in MM patients.

CONCLUSION

Circ_0007841 quantification during induction therapy may reflect the response and survival benefits to bortezomib-based regimen in MM patients.

Secular trend in disease burden of leukemia and its subtypes in China from 1990 to 2019 and its projection in 25 years

Leukemia and its subtypes impose a major public health challenge in China. Identifying the secular trend of leukemia burden is critical to facilitate optimal healthcare planning and improve the management of leukemia. The incidence rates of leukemia from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database according to the following: subtype (acute lymphocytic leukemia [ALL], acute myeloid leukemia [AML], chronic lymphocytic leukemia [CLL], chronic myelogenous leukemia [CML], and other leukemia subtypes), sex, and age group. The average annual percentage changes and relative risks were calculated using joinpoint regression and the age-period-cohort model, respectively. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was also applied to predict the future trend of the incidence of leukemia and its subtypes in the next 25 years. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of leukemia slightly declined in males and females, which is similar to the trend of other leukemia subtypes. However, the four major leukemia subtypes, namely, ALL, AML, CLL, and CML, have been on the rise over the past three decades. The incidence rates of leukemia in children and the elderly were considerably higher than those in other age groups in males and females. Age effects were the most influential risk factor for leukemia incidence. Period effects showed that the risks of leukemia and its subtypes incidence increased with time. For cohort effects, the risks of leukemia and its subtypes were higher among the early-born cohorts compared with the late-born cohorts. The ASIRs of leukemia and its subtypes will continue to increase in the next 25 years. The burden of leukemia and its subtypes is expected to continue to increase in the next 25 years in males and females. A comprehensive understanding of the risk characteristics and disease pattern of leukemia and its subtypes is needed to formulate timely and effective intervention measures to reduce the leukemia burden in China.

Treatment benefit of upfront autologous stem cell transplantation for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Upfront high-dose therapy (HDT) followed by autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) remains a profitable strategy for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) patients in the context of novel agents. However, current knowledge demonstrates a discrepancy between progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) benefit with HDT/ASCT.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis that included both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies evaluating the benefit of upfront HDT/ASCT published during 2012 to 2023. Further sensitivity analysis and meta-regression were also performed.

RESULTS

Among the 22 enrolled studies, 7 RCTs and 9 observational studies had a low or moderate risk of bias, while the remaining 6 observational studies had a serious risk of bias. HDT/ASCT revealed advantages in complete response (CR) with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.24 and 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02 ~ 1.51, PFS with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.53 (95% CI 0.46 ~ 0.62), and OS with an HR of 0.58 (95% CI 0.50 ~ 0.69). Sensitivity analysis excluding the studies with serious risk of bias and trim-and-fill imputation fundamentally confirmed these findings. Older age, increased percentage of patients with International Staging System (ISS) stage III or high-risk genetic features, decreased proteasome inhibitor (PI) or combined PI/ immunomodulatory drugs (IMiD) utilization, and decreased follow-up duration or percentage of males were significantly related to a greater survival advantage with HDT/ASCT.

CONCLUSIONS

Upfront ASCT remains a beneficial treatment for newly diagnosed MM patients in the period of novel agents. Its advantage is especially acute in high-risk MM populations, such as elderly individuals, males, those with ISS stage III or high-risk genetic features, but is attenuated with PI or combined PI/IMiD utilization, contributing to divergent survival outcomes.

Global, regional, and national years lived with disability due to blindness and vision loss from 1990 to 2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Purpose

This study aimed to provide a comprehensive assessment of burden estimates and the secular trend of blindness and vision loss, as measured by years lived with disability (YLDs), at the global, regional, and national levels.

Methods

The age-standardized YLD rates (ASYRs) due to blindness and vision loss and its subtypes, including moderate vision loss, severe vision loss, blindness, and presbyopia, from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in the ASYRs due to blindness and vision loss.

Results

In 2019, the global ASYRs per 100,000 population was 327.98 for blindness and vision loss, specifically, 85.81 for moderate vision loss, 74.86 for severe vision loss, 95.03 for blindness, and 62.27 for presbyopia. From 1990 to 2019, the ASYRs due to blindness and vision loss slightly decreased. Females showed higher ASYRs than males in 2019. The global highest ASYRs were observed in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Negative associations were found between the burden estimates of blindness and vision loss and the sociodemographic index levels. The EAPCs of ASYRs in blindness and vision loss were significantly negatively correlated with the ASYRs in 1990 and positively correlated with human development indices in 2019.

Conclusions

Globally, blindness and vision loss continue to cause great losses of healthy life. Reasonable resource allocation and health-service planning are needed for the prevention and early intervention of disabilities caused by vision loss.