Predictive Factors of Recurrence in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Retrospective Analysis on 579 Patients

Active surveillance of nodal metastasis in differentiated thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Cervical lymph nodes (LN) represent the most common site of recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), frequently requiring repeated interventions that contribute to increase morbidity to a usually indolent disease. Data on active surveillance (AS) of nodal metastasis are limited. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate AS in nodal metastasis of DTC patients.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched up to July 2023 for studies including DTC patients with metastatic LN who were followed up with AS. The primary outcome was disease progression, according to the study's definition. Additional outcomes were LN enlargement ≥3 mm, occurrence of new cervical metastasis, and conversion from AS to surgical treatment.

RESULTS

The search identified 375 studies and seven were included, comprising 486 patients with metastatic nodal DTC. Most were female (69.5%) and had papillary thyroid cancer (99.8%). The mean AS follow-up ranged from 28-86 months. Following each study's definition of progression, the pooled incidence was 28% [95% confidence interval (CI), 20-37%]. The pooled incidence of LN growth ≥ 3 mm was 21% [95% CI, 17-25%] and the emergence of new LN sites was 19% [95% CI, 14-25%]. Combining growth of 3 mm and the emergence of new LN criteria, we found an incidence of 26% [95% CI, 20-33%]. The incidence of neck dissection during AS was 18% [95% CI, 12-26%].

CONCLUSIONS

AS seems to be a suitable strategy for selected DTC patients with small nodal disease, avoiding or postponing surgical reintervention.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION

CRD42023438293.

Recurrent Middle Eastern Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma Has Worse Outcomes Than Persistent Disease

Background: Despite the excellent prognosis of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), recurrent and persistent disease remain major challenges. Emerging studies to differentiate between recurrent and persistent disease are controversial, with studies from the Middle East lacking. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1691 patients who underwent surgery ± I131 treatment for DTC, with a median age of 38.7 years and median follow-up of 95.3 months. Results: We found a similar prevalence rate for persistent and recurrent disease (17.7% vs. 17.9%) in Middle Eastern DTC patients. Relative to patients with persistent disease, patients with recurrent disease were significantly older (median age: 36.1 vs. 45.8 years; p < 0.0001) and were more likely to have ATA high-risk tumors (61.5% vs. 75.2%; p = 0.0003). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, both T and N status were independent predictors for recurrent as well as structural persistent disease. However, older age, bilaterality and extrathyroidal extension were independent predictors of recurrent disease alone. In addition, patients with recurrent disease had significantly worse cancer-specific survival (p < 0.0001), which remained significant in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Although persistent and recurrent disease in Middle Eastern DTC have similar frequencies, recurrent disease has worse outcomes compared to persistent disease. Hence, differentiating recurrence from persistence has great potential clinical relevance for therapeutic and follow-up approaches, contributing to improving the outcomes of DTC patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity.

Loss of CDH16 expression is a strong independent predictor for lymph node metastasis in Middle Eastern papillary thyroid cancer

Papillary Thyroid Cancer (PTC) is the most common type of thyroid cancer. The membrane-associated glycoprotein cadherin-16 (CDH16) plays a significant role in the embryonal development of thyroid follicles and cell adhesion. Previous studies have indicated a substantial downregulation of CDH16 in PTC. However, its role in Middle Eastern PTC has not been elucidated. We analyzed a tissue microarray comprising 1606 PTC and 240 normal thyroid tissues using immunohistochemistry to assess CDH16 expression and determine its clinico-pathological associations. We also conducted BRAF and TERT mutations analyses through Sanger sequencing. Disease-free survival (DFS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. CDH16 immunostaining was seen in 100% of normal thyroid tissues but only in 9.4% of PTC tissues (p < 0.0001). The loss of CDH16 expression was associated with aggressive PTC characteristics including bilaterality, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, tall cell variant, lymph node metastasis (LNM) and distant metastasis. Additionally a correlation between loss of CDH16 expression and BRAF and TERT mutations was identified. Intriguingly, upon conducting multivariate logistic regression analysis, CDH16 was determined to be an independent predictor for LNM (Odds ratio = 2.46; 95% confidence interval = 1.60-3.79; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, CDH16 loss was associated with a shorter DFS (p = 0.0015). However, when we further subdivided CDH16 negative patients based on the co-existence of TERT and/or BRAF mutations, we found that patients with both CDH16 negative expression and TERT mutation exhibited the shortest DFS (p < 0.0001). In conclusion, our results suggest that CDH16 protein expression could serve as a valuable diagnostic tool for PTC. Furthermore, these findings demonstrate that the loss of CDH16 expression is an independent predictor of LNM and may contribute to the aggressiveness of PTC. Therefore, downregulation of CDH16 in PTC might be a potential target for designing novel therapeutic strategies to treat PTC.

Correlation between metabolic uptake of F-18-FDG-PET/computed tomography and thyroglobulin level in differentiated thyroid cancer patients with suspected recurrence

OBJECTIVE

Our objective is to determine if there is correlation between serum thyroglobulin and SUVmax of the main lesion detected in F18-FDG-PET/CT scan, in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with suspected recurrence.

METHODS

All DTC patients enrolled in this prospective study, received at least one dose of radioactive iodine. During follow-up, they are suspected to have a recurrence due to elevated tumor markers although negative iodine whole-body scans. For all patients, F18-FDG-PET/CT scanning was performed. A 3D volume of interest was generated over the liver and main lesion to obtain maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax). We calculated the lesion/liver ratio. Follow-up and/or histopathological examination were the gold standard. Pearson's correlation coefficient was calculated between thyroglobulin and SUVmax of the main lesion.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight patients were recruited in this study. F18-FDG-PET/CT identified suspicious malignant lesions in 42 patients, equivocal in 18 patients, while 8 patients showed no abnormal findings. Fifty-two, 6, 8, and 2 patients were true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy were 72%, 57% 87%, 35%, and 69% respectively. The median SUVmax and lesion/liver ratio were significantly higher in the malignant lesions than that of benign lesions (3.9 vs. 1.3 and 1.45 vs. 0.54 respectively). We found that the main lesion SUVmax and lesion/liver ratio have a positive moderate correlation with thyroglobulin (0.338 and 0.325 respectively).

CONCLUSION

In DTC patients with suspected recurrence, SUVmax of F18-FDG-PET/CT lesion showed a moderate positive correlation with serum thyroglobulin.

Predictive factors for nodal recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancers

INTRODUCTION

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma usually has a good prognosis. Primary treatment is surgery, followed by radioactive iodine ablation based on risk stratification. The incidence of local and distant recurrence is 30%. Recurrence can be managed surgically or with multiple cycles of radioactive iodine ablation. There are multiple risk factors for structural disease recurrence proposed by the American Thyroid Association. In this study, we attempted to study the risk factors of structural recurrence in differentiated carcinoma thyroid and the pattern of recurrence in patients with node negative thyroid cancer who underwent total thyroidectomy.

METHODOLOGY

This study selected a retrospective cohort of 1498 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer: out of these, 137 patients who presented after thyroidectomy with cervical nodal recurrence from January 2017 to December 2020 were included. The risk factors for central and lateral lymph node metastasis were analysed by univariate and multivariate analyses, including age, gender, T-stage, extrathyroidal extension, multifocality and high-risk variants. In addition, the presence of TERT/BRAF mutations was studied as a risk factor for central and lateral nodal recurrence.

RESULTS

Out of 1498 patients, 137 who fit the inclusion criteria were analysed. Majority were female (73%); mean age was 43.1 years. Lateral compartment neck nodal recurrence was more common (84%), while isolated central compartment nodal recurrence occurred only in 16%. Most recurrences were seen in the first 1 year (23.3%) or after 10 years post-total thyroidectomy (35.7%). On univariate variate analysis, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and high-risk variants stage were significant factors for nodal recurrence. However, on multivariate analysis for lateral compartment recurrence, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and age were found to be significant. On multivariate analysis, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and presence of high-risk variants were significant predictors of central compartment nodal metastasis. ROC curve analysis showed AUC for ETE (AUC-0.795), multifocality (AUC-0.860), presence of high-risk variants (AUC-0.727) and T-stage (AUC-0.771) as sensitive predictive factors for central compartment. 69 percent patients with very early recurrences (<6 month) had TERT/BRAF V600 E mutations.

CONCLUSION

In our study, we have noted extrathyroidal extension and multifocality as significant risk factors for nodal recurrence. BRAF and TERT mutations are associated with aggressive clinical course and early recurrences. There is limited role of prophylactic central compartment node dissection.

The Prospective Implementation of the 2015 ATA Guidelines and Modified ATA Recurrence Risk Stratification System for Treatment of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in a Canadian Tertiary Care Referral Setting

Objective: To present clinical outcomes of the prospective implementation of the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines for the management of thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) using the modified ATA recurrence risk (RR) stratification system. Methods: We prospectively analyzed 612 patients with DTC treated between April 2017 and December 2021 in Calgary, Alberta. Each patient was prospectively assigned a modified ATA RR and American Joint Committee Cancer 8th edition stage. Initial risk stratification and consideration of the 2015 ATA guidelines guided surgical management as well as the indication for and dose of radioiodine (RAI) and other adjuvant therapies. Patients were assessed for their response to treatment (RTT) at 2-years postoperatively. Results: There were 479 patients who had 2-year follow-up data and were included in the study. Of these patients, there were 253 (53%) low-, 129 (27%) intermediate-, and 97 (20%) high-RR patients. Of these, 227 patients (47%) underwent total thyroidectomy (TTX) plus RAI, 178 (37%) underwent TTX only, and 74 (16%) underwent lobectomy. The RTT at 2 years was excellent for 89% (66) of patients with lobectomy, 84% (149) for TTX only, and 53% (121) for TTX plus RAI. Among 253 patients who were deemed low RR, 85% (216) had excellent RTT, 13% (32) indeterminate RTT, 2% (4) biochemical incomplete RTT, and 1 patient had structural incomplete RTT. The intermediate RR group had the following RTT outcomes: 64% (83) excellent, 23% (30) indeterminate, 6% (7) biochemical incomplete, and 7% (9) structural incomplete. The high RR group had the worst RTT outcomes, with 38% (37) excellent, 19% (18) indeterminate, 10% (10) biochemical incomplete, and 33% (32) structural incomplete RTT. Conclusions: The 2015 ATA RR stratification system is useful for predicting disease status at 2-year post-treatment in patients with DTC. The 2015 ATA guidelines and modified ATA RR stratification treatment recommendations may reduce thyroid cancer overtreatment by including lobectomy as a definitive treatment option for low-risk thyroid cancers and selective use of RAI for intermediate and high-risk patients.

Radiologist versus Non-Radiologist Detection of Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma by Ultrasound: A Meta-Analysis

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most common thyroid cancer worldwide and is known to spread to adjacent neck lymphatics. Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is a known predictor of disease recurrence and is an indicator for aggressive resection. Our study aims to determine if ultrasound sonographers’ degree of training influences overall LNM detection. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus articles were searched and screened for relevant articles. Two investigators independently screened and extracted the data. Diagnostic test parameters were determined for all studies, studies reported by radiologists, and studies reported by non-radiologists. The total sample size amounted to 5768 patients and 10,030 lymph nodes. Radiologists performed ultrasounds in 18 studies, while non-radiologists performed ultrasounds in seven studies, corresponding to 4442 and 1326 patients, respectively. The overall sensitivity of LNM detection by US was 59% (95%CI = 58–60%), and the overall specificity was 85% (95%CI = 84–86%). The sensitivity and specificity of US performed by radiologists were 58% and 86%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of US performed by non-radiologists were 62% and 78%, respectively. Summary receiver operating curve (sROC) found radiologists and non-radiologists to detect LNM on US with similar accuracy (p = 0.517). Our work suggests that both radiologists and non-radiologists alike detect overall LNM with high accuracy on US.

The Role of TSHR, PTEN and RASSF1A Promoters' Methylation Status for Non-Invasive Detection of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Aim: We investigated whether a difference exists between TSHR, PTEN and RASSF1A methylation status in plasma of subjects with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Methods: Peripheral blood samples were collected from 68 patients with PTC and 86 healthy controls (HC). Thyroid cancer tissue and corresponding adjacent normal tissue methylation levels were analyzed. DNA methylation level changes in TSHR, PTEN and RASSF1A genes were analyzed by quantitative methylation-sensitive polymerase chain reaction. Results: We observed that the methylation level of TSHR was significantly higher in the thyroid cancer tissue compared to adjacent normal tissue (p = 0.040). TSHR methylation levels in the PTC group plasma samples were significantly higher compared to HC (p = 0.022). After surgery, PTC plasma samples showed lower TSHR and PTEN methylation levels compared to the levels before surgery (p = 0.003, p = 0.031, respectively). The TSHR methylation level was significantly higher in PTC with larger tumor size (>2 cm) (p < 0.001), and lymph node metastases (p = 0.01), lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.02) and multifocality (p = 0.013) 0ROC analysis revealed that the TSHR methylation level provides high accuracy in distinguishing PTC from HC (p = 0.022, AUC of 0.616). Conclusion: TSHR methylation in peripheral blood samples is expected to be a sensitive and specific minimally invasive tool for the diagnosis of PTC, especially in combination with other diagnostic means.

Association between hashimoto thyroiditis and differentiated thyroid cancer: A single-center experience

Hashimoto’s thyroiditis is the most common cause of hypothyroidism in the iodine-sufficient areas of the world. Differentiated thyroid cancer is the most common thyroid cancer subtype, accounting for more than 95% of cases, and it is considered a tumor with a good prognosis, although a certain number of patients experience a poor clinical outcome. Hashimoto’s thyroiditis has been found to coexist with differentiated thyroid cancer in surgical specimens, but the relationship between these two entities has not yet been clarified. Our study aims to analyze the relationship between these two diseases, highlighting the incidence of histological diagnosis of Hashimoto thyroiditis in differentiated thyroid cancer patients, and assess how this autoimmune disorder influences the risk of structural disease recurrence and recurrence rate.

Extrathyroidal extension and cervical node infiltration are associated with recurrences and shorter recurrence-free survival in differentiated thyroid cancer: a cohort study

Background

Differentiated thyroid cancer has excellent overall survival. However, around 20% of patients experience recurrent diseases after a certain time of follow-up. Therefore, identification of risk factors for recurrence is necessary to adjust treatment and surveillance planning.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted of 312 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer who received surgery with and without adjuvant treatment. Clinical and pathological risk factors were analyzed for recurrences.

Results

After median follow-up of 57 months, 109 of 312 patients (34.9%) developed recurrences. Extrathyroidal extension and positive cervical nodes were significantly associated with recurrences (OR = 2.449, 95%CI:1.260–4.760, P = 0.008 and OR = 3.511, 95%CI:1.860–6.626, P < 0.001; respectively). Lympho-vascular invasion (LVI) and tumor multifocality were also associated with increased risk of recurrence (OR = 2.577, 95%CI:1.380–4.812, P = 0.003 and OR = 1.602, 95%CI:1.001–2.495, P = 0.050; respectively). Using multivariable regression, only older age and tumor infiltration to the lymph nodes were significantly associated with recurrences (OR = 2.227, 95%CI:1.037–4.782, P = 0.040 and OR = 2.966, 95%CI:1.470–5.986, P = 0.002; respectively). In addition, T4, cervical lymph node infiltration, older age, and LVI were associated with shorter recurrence-free survival.

Conclusion

Recurrence rates in our study population are relatively high. Extrathyroidal extension, positive neck lymph node, and older age were associated with recurrence risks of well differentiated thyroid cancers.

Construction of a Signature Model to Predict the Radioactive Iodine Response of Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) accounts for about 90% of thyroid cancer. There are approximately 20%-30% of PTC patients showing disease persistence/recurrence and resistance to radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment. For these PTC patients with RAI refractoriness, the prognosis is poor. In this study, we aimed to establish a comprehensive prognostic model covering multiple signatures to increase the predictive accuracy for progression-free survival (PFS) of PTC patients with RAI treatment. The expression profiles of mRNAs and miRNAs as well as the clinical information of PTC patients were extracted from TCGA and GEO databases. A series of bioinformatics methods were successfully applied to filtrate a two-RNA model (IPCEF1 and hsa-mir-486-5p) associated with the prognosis of RAI-therapy. Finally, the RNA-based risk score was calculated based on the Cox coefficient of the individual RNA, which achieved good performances by the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curve and PFS analyses. Furthermore, the predictive power of the nomogram, integrated with the risk score and clinical parameters (age at diagnosis and tumor stage), was assessed by tROC curves. Collectively, our study demonstrated high precision in predicting the RAI response of PTC patients.

Risk Factors and Prognosis for Metastatic Follicular Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

Follicular thyroid cancer (FTC) is the second most common malignancy of thyroid. About 7%-23% of patients with FTC have distant metastasis. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors associated with distant metastasis and the impact of distant metastasis on survival in FTC patients.

METHODS

Patients with FTC were analyzed using a prospectively maintained dataset of thyroid cancer registered at a tertiary hospital in Taiwan between December 1976 and May 2020.

RESULTS

A total of 190 patients with a mean follow-up of 7.7 years were included in this study, including 29 with distant metastasis at diagnosis, 14 who developed metastasis during follow-up, and 147 without metastasis. Multivariate analysis adjusted for age, gender, tumor stage, and extrathyroidal invasion revealed old age (≥ 55 years) (adjusted odds ratio, 27.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.75-86.8; P < 0.001) and extrathyroidal invasion (odds ratio, 24.1; 95% CI, 3.50-166.5; P = 0.001) were significantly associated with an increased risk of distant metastasis. Metastasis was correlated with higher cancer-specific mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 35.5; 95% CI, 6.1-206.1; P < 0.001). In addition, patients with metastatic FTC diagnosed on initial presentation had the lowest 10-year cancer-specific survival rate (26.0%), followed by those who developed metastatic disease after initial treatment (76.6%), while patients without metastasis were all alive (100%) (P ≤ 0.002 for all comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

Age and extrathyroidal invasion are significant risk factors for distant metastasis of FTC. Patients with metastatic FTC, especially when diagnosed on initial presentation, have dismal survival outcomes.

A radiomics nomogram for the ultrasound-based evaluation of central cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on ultrasound (US) to predict central cervical lymph node (LN) metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

PTC patients with pathologically confirmed presence or absence of central cervical LN metastasis in our hospital between March 2021 and November 2021 were enrolled as the training cohort. Radiomics features were extracted from the preoperative US images, and a radiomics signature was constructed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to screen out the independent risk factors, and a radiomics nomogram was established. The performance of the model was verified in the independent test cohort of PTC patients who underwent thyroidectomy and cervical LN dissection in our hospital from December 2021 to March 2022.

RESULTS

In the independent test cohort, the radiomics model based on long-axis cross-section and short-axis cross-section images outperformed the radiomics models based on either one of these sections (the area under the curve (AUC), 0.69 vs. 0.62 and 0.66). The radiomics signature consisted of 4 selected features. The US radiomics nomogram included the radiomics signature, age, gender, BRAF V600E mutation status, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) status. In the independent test cohort, the AUC of the receiver operating curve(ROC) of this nomogram was 0.76, outperformingthe clinical model and the radiomics model (0.63 and 0.69, respectively), and also much better than preoperative US examination (AUC, 0.60). Decision curve analysis indicated that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents an efficient and useful US radiomics nomogram that can provide comprehensive information to assist clinicians in the individualized preoperative prediction of central cervical LN metastasis in PTC patients.

Myeloid Toxicity of Radionuclide Cancer Therapy

Emergent genomic analytic techniques in patients with cancer offer the potential to define the risk of myelo dysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute leukemia (AL) manifesting following targeted radionuclide therapy of metastatic lymphoma, neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), and prostate cancer. Characterization of the genetic profile will allow risk stratification of patients before theranostic radionuclide management of advanced cancers and offers the opportunity to minimize toxicity while preserving optimal individualized efficacy in the practice of personalized precision nuclear oncology. Our review of a single-center experience of prospective radionuclide theranostic management of metastatic non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), NETs, and castration-resistant prostate cancer (metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer [mCRPC]) over the past decade, and comparison with published studies, shows that while the risk of significant myelotoxicity is generally low, at <3%, the consequences in the small minority of patients who develop MDS or AL are substantial, and survival is poor. Timely identification of patients at heightened risk of hematologic toxic complication, using novel genomic technology before institution of radionuclide therapy, will facilitate amelioration of myelotoxicity. In current clinical practice, the minimal hematological toxicity of chemo-free theranostic management of advanced cancer is significantly less compared with newly adopted chemotherapy -immunotherapy regimens, and the financial toxicity associated with these novel agents is avoided.

Papillary Thyroid Cancer Prognosis: An Evolving Field

Simple Summary

Over the last couple of decades, the prognostic stratification systems of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients have been revised several times in an attempt to achieve a tailored clinical management reflecting the single patients’ needs. Such revisions are likely to continue in the near future, since the prognostic value of a number of promising clinicopathological features and new molecular biomarkers are being evaluated. Here, we will review the current staging systems of thyroid cancer patients and discuss the most relevant clinicopathological parameters and new molecular markers that are potentially capable of refining the prognosis.

Abstract

Over the last few years, a great advance has been made in the comprehension of the molecular pathogenesis underlying thyroid cancer progression, particularly for the papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), which represents the most common thyroid malignancy. Putative cancer driver mutations have been identified in more than 98% of PTC, and a new PTC classification into molecular subtypes has been proposed in order to resolve clinical uncertainties still present in the clinical management of patients. Additionally, the prognostic stratification systems have been profoundly modified over the last decade, with a view to refine patients’ staging and being able to choose a clinical approach tailored on single patient’s needs. Here, we will briefly discuss the recent changes in the clinical management of thyroid nodules, and review the current staging systems of thyroid cancer patients by analyzing promising clinicopathological features (i.e., gender, thyroid auto-immunity, multifocality, PTC histological variants, and vascular invasion) as well as new molecular markers (i.e., BRAF/TERT promoter mutations, miRNAs, and components of the plasminogen activating system) potentially capable of ameliorating the prognosis of PTC patients.

Influencing Factors and Cumulative Risk Analysis of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Objective

To explore the influencing factors and cumulative risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients.

Methods

607 patients confirmed PTMC pathologically after thyroidectomy were enrolled in this retrospective study. The rate of LNM was calculated. Different clinicopathological characteristics were compared in PTMC patients with and without LNM and in different subgroups of LNM, respectively. Correlation between clinicopathological characteristics and LNM was analyzed and the cumulative risk of LNM according to different clinicopathological characteristics was calculated.

Results

(1) There were 228 cases (37.56%) of PTMC combined with LNM. Compared with the non-lymph node metastasis group, the proportion of age <55 years, male, multiple foci, bilateral foci, diameter>0.5cm, extracapsular invasion, HT and intermediate-to-high risk stratification for recurrence of the LNM group was significantly increased (all p<0.05);(2) Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age <55years, male, multiple foci, diameter>0.5cm,HT were independently positively correlated with LNM (all p <0.05); (3) Subgroup analysis showed that women aged <55 years combined with HT and aged≥55 years combined with BMI≥25 kg/m² were independently positively associated with LNM; (4) With the increase of the tumor diameter, the cumulative risk of LNM in group of age <55 years, males, and multiple foci increased gradually, and was higher than those of age≥55 years, females and single foci, respectively. (5) Among the 228 cases of LNM, the proportion of lymph nodes (LN) >5 and the positive rate of LN were both higher in male group than that in the female group. The proportion of multiple foci and HT in LLNM group was higher than that in CLNM group (all P<0.05).

Conclusion

Age <55 years, males, multiple foci, diameter >0.5cm and HT were independent risk factors of LNM; HT was an independent risk factor for LNM in female <55 years old, and BMI≥25 kg/m² was an independent risk factor for LNM in female ≥55 years old; The increase of tumor diameter in age <55 years, males, multiple foci, and bilateral foci increased the cumulative risk of LNM, respectively; The number of LNM and the positive rate of LNM were both higher in male, and patients with multiple foci or HT were more likely to develop into LLNM.

A predictive model and survival analysis for local recurrence in differentiated thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Local recurrence (LR) is associated with poor outcome in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). The aim of this study was to explore potential risk factors for LR and build a predictive model.

METHODS

The medical data of patients who were diagnosed with DTC after initial surgery in three medical centers (2000-2018) were reviewed. Detailed clinicopathologic characteristics of all cases were identified.

RESULTS

Multiple factors, including extrathyroidal extension (ETE), histology, symptoms, multifocality, and tumor diameter, were significantly different between the LR and no evidence of disease groups in univariate and multivariate analysis (P ˂ 0.05). Tumor diameter, symptoms, and ETE made the greatest contributions to prognosis according to decision tree analysis and random forest algorithm. The predictive model constructed from these data achieved 98.7% accuracy of classification. A five-fold cross-validation confirmed that the model has 84.7%-89.7% accuracy of classification. Additionally, symptoms and ETE were independent predictors on survival analysis (P ˂ 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study optimized the weight of risk factors, including tumor diameter, symptoms, ETE, and multifocality, in predicting LR in patients with DTC. Our predictive model provides a strong tool to distinguish between high-risk and low-risk DTC.

The THYCOVIT (Thyroid Surgery during COVID-19 pandemic in Italy) study: results from a nationwide, multicentric, case-controlled study

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a disruption of surgical care. The aim of this multi-centric, retrospective study was to evaluate the impact of the pandemic on surgical activity for thyroid disease among the Italian Units of Endocrine Surgery. Three phases of the pandemic were identified based on the epidemiological situation and the public measures adopted from the Italian Government (1st phase: from 9th March to 3rd May 2020; 2nd phase: from 4th May to 14th June; 3rd phase: from 15th June to 31st). The patients operated upon during these phases were compared to those who underwent surgery during the same period of the previous year. Overall, 3892 patients from 28 Italian endocrine surgical units were included in the study, 1478 (38%) operated upon during COVID-19 pandemic, and 2414 (62%) during the corresponding period of 2019. The decrease in the number of operations was by 64.8%, 44.7% and 5.1% during the three phases of COVID-19 pandemic, compared to 2019, respectively. During the first and the second phases, the surgical activity was dedicated mainly to oncological patients. No differences in post-operative complications were noted between the two periods. Oncological activity for thyroid cancer was adequately maintained during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Tissue miR-146b, -21, -221, -222, -181b Expression in Relation with Clinicopathological Features

We analyzed miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221, miR-21, and miR-181b in formalin fixed paraffin-embedded papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tissue samples of 312 individuals and evaluated their expression relationship with clinicopathological parameters. A higher expression of miR-21 was related to unifocal lesions (p < 0.011) and autoimmune thyroiditis (0.007). miR-221, miR-222 expression was higher in the PTC tissue samples with extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.049, 0.003, respectively). In a group of PTC patients with pT1a and pT1b sized tumors, the expression of miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221, and miR-222 in PTC tissue samples was lower than in patients with pT2, pT3, and pT4 (p = 0.032; 0.0044; 0.003; 0.001; 0.001, respectively). Patients with lymph node metastases had higher expression of miR-21, -221, -222, and -181b (p < 0.05). A high expression of miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221 panel was associated with decreased overall survival (OS) (Log rank p = 0.019). Univariate analysis revealed that presence of metastatic lymph nodes and high expression of miR-146b, miR-21, and miR-221 panels were associated with increased hazard of shorter OS. After multivariate analysis, only sex (male) and age (≥55 years) emerged as independent prognostic factors associated with shorter OS (HR 0.28 (95% CI 0.09–0.86) and HR 0.05 (95% CI 0.01–0.22), respectively). In conclusion, 5 analyzed miRs expression have significant relations to clinicopathologic parameters so further investigations of these molecules are expedient while searching for prognostic PTC biomarkers.

Annual Hazard Rate of Recurrence in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Cancer over a Long-Term Follow-Up

Predicting the pattern of recurrence in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is necessary to establish optimal surveillance and treatment strategies. We analyzed changes in hazard rate (HR) for tumor recurrence over time in 1201 unselected Middle Eastern PTC patients. The changes in risk were further analyzed according to clinical variables predictive of early (≤5 years) and late (>5 years) recurrence using Cox regression analysis to identify patient populations that remain at risk. Tumor recurrence was noted in 18.4% (221/1201) patients. The annualized hazard of PTC recurrence was highest during the first 5 years (2.8%), peaking between 1 and 2 years (3.7%), with a second smaller peak between 13 and 14 years (3.2%). Patients receiving radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy had lower recurrence hazard compared to those who did not (1.5% vs. 2.7%, p = 0.0001). Importantly, this difference was significant even in intermediate-risk PTC patients (0.7% vs. 2.3%; p = 0.0001). Interestingly, patients aged ≥55 years and having lymph node metastasis were at persistent risk for late recurrence. In conclusion, we confirmed the validity of the double-peaked time-varying pattern for recurrence risk in Middle Eastern PTC patients and our findings could help in formulating individualized treatment and surveillance plans.

What Is New in Thyroid Cancer: The Special Issue of the Journal Cancers

The incidence of thyroid cancer has increased over the past 3 to 4 decades. Nonetheless, the mortality from thyroid cancer has remained stable. The thyroid gland may develop nodules encompassing several types of cell proliferation, from frankly benign to very aggressive forms with many intermediate challenging variants. For this reason, there is growing interest in evaluating thyroid nodules from many points of view, from the clinical to the molecular aspects, in the search for innovative diagnostic and prognostic parameters. The aim of this Special Issue was to provide an overview of recent developments in understanding the biology and molecular oncology of thyroid tumors of follicular cell derivation and their repercussions on the diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy. The contributions of many experts in the field made up a Special Issue of Cancers journal, that focusing on different aspects, including mechanistic and functional facets, gives the status of art of clinical and biological perspectives of thyroid cancer.

Prognosis of papillary thyroid cancer in patients with Graves' disease: a propensity score-matched analysis

Background

Patients with Graves’ disease (GD) are at a 2.5 times higher risk of developing thyroid cancer than the general population. Previous studies reported conflicting results about the prognosis of thyroid cancer concomitant with GD. This study aimed to investigate the effect of GD to the recurrence rates of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

Methods

We reviewed 3628 patients who underwent total thyroidectomy for PTC at the Ewha Womans University Medical Center from January 2006 to June 2014. Of those, 114 patients had non-occult PTC with concomitant GD. To reduce potential confounding effects and selection bias, we conducted 1:5 propensity score matching and analyzed the recurrence-free survival.

Results

Thyroid cancer in patients with GD showed lower rate of lymphatic invasion (1.8% vs. 6.7%; p = 0.037), microscopic resection margin involvement (0.9% vs. 5.8%; p = 0.024), and lymph node metastasis (29.8% vs. 37.3%; p = 0.001) than in patients without GD, respectively. During the median follow-up of 94.1 months, recurrence occurred in one patient (0.9%) with GD. After propensity score matching for adjusting clinicopathological features, 5-year recurrence-free survival was comparable between patients with GD and euthyroid patients (100% vs. 98.4%, p = 0.572). Both tumor size [hazard ratio (HR) 1.585, p < 0.001] and lymph node metastasis (HR for N1a 3.067, p = 0.024; HR for N1b 15.65, p < 0.001) were predictive factors for recurrence-free survival, while GD was not associated with the recurrence.

Conclusions

Our data suggest that GD does not affect the prognosis of PTC. Thyroid cancer in patients with GD is not more aggressive than in euthyroid patients.

Prophylactic Central Lymph Node Dissection Improves Disease-Free Survival in Patients with Intermediate and High Risk Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Retrospective Analysis on 399 Patients

The role of prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) in the treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is controversial and still a matter of debate. The primary outcome of our study was to assess whether pCLND is effective in reducing the incidence of recurrent disease, and the secondary goal was to estimate the incidence of postoperative complications in patients who underwent pCLND and to evaluate the prognostic value of occult node metastases. In this retrospective study, we included patients with preoperative diagnosis of DTC and clinically uninvolved lymph nodes (cN0). The patients were divided into two groups, depending on the surgical approach: total thyroidectomy alone (TT group) or total thyroidectomy and pCLND (pCLND group). Three hundred and ninety-nine patients were included in this study, 320 (80.2%) in the TT group and 79 (19.8%) in the pCLND group. There were no significant differences in morbidity among the two groups. Histopathological evaluation demonstrated a similar distribution of aggressive features, especially regarding multicentricity, extrathyroidal extension, and angioinvasivity between the two groups. Occult lymph node metastases were found in 20 (25.3%) patients in the pCLND group. Prophylactic CLND was effective in improving disease-free survival in patients with intermediate and high risk of disease recurrence (p = 0.0392); occult lymph node metastases resulted as a significant negative prognostic factor (p < 0.001).

Genomic characterization of high-recurrence risk papillary thyroid carcinoma in a southern Chinese population

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to investigate genetic variations and the relationships between these genetic variations and clinicopathological features of high-recurrence risk papillary thyroid carcinoma in a southern Chinese population.

METHODS

One hundred sixty-eight patients of high-recurrence risk papillary thyroid carcinoma were recruited for this study from 2017 to 2018. Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue and the data of clinicopathological characteristics were all collected and analyzed from these patients. We used next-generation sequencing technology to investigate the targeted gene mutations and gene fusions of the pathology specimens.

RESULTS

The frequency of candidate tumor driver gene mutation was 85.1% in 143 patients, including BRAF V600E mutation in 119 patients(70.8%), RET fusion in 13 patients(7.7%), TERT promoter mutations in 11 patients(6.5%), RAS (HRAS, NRAS, KRAS) gene mutations in 10 patients(6.0%), and other mutations involving TP53, PIK3CA, AKT1, PTEN and NTRK1. Concomitant presence of more than two genetic aberrations was seen in 27 patients (16.1%). Our study showed that BRAF V600E mutation is highly correlated with conventional PTC (p < 0.001), BRAF V600E and TERT promoter mutation duet was associated with older patient age (> 45, p = 0.003) and higher disease stage of III or IV (p = 0.002). RAS gene and BRAF V600E co-mutations were only seen in multifocal PTC (p = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

In our high-recurrence risk PTC cohort, most patients had more than one driver gene aberration. Coexistence of BRAF V600E with TERT promoter mutations or with RAS mutations were significantly correlated with worse clinicopathological characteristics.

Predictive Factors of Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients With Papillary Microcarcinoma of the Thyroid: Retrospective Analysis on 293 Cases

Introduction: Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is defined as a tumor with a larger diameter ≤ 1 cm and is considered having an indolent course and an excellent prognosis. Nevertheless, the incidence of lymph node metastasis in PTMC is not negligible, reaching up to 65% in some series. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of lymph node metastasis in patients with PTMC and to evaluate predictive factors for lymph node metastasis. Methods: We included in this retrospective observational study patients who underwent thyroidectomy with pathological diagnosis of PTMC at our department from January 2003 to June 2019. Results: Two hundred ninety-three patients were included in the study. The incidence of lymph node metastasis was 13.7%. Multivariate analysis revealed as independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis age <45 years, nodule size ≥6 mm, tall cell variant of PTC, extrathyroidal extension, and angioinvasion. Conversely, autoimmune thyroiditis was found as a protective factor for lymph node metastasis. A subgroup of patients, with nodule size ≤ 5 mm, presented non-aggressive features. Conclusion: The incidence of lymph node metastasis in PTMC is considerable; the size of the tumor appears to be the most significant predictive factor for lymph node metastasis. The traditional cut-off value used for definition of microcarcinoma could be reconsidered to identify patients with an indolent course of the tumor, where active surveillance could be the appropriate treatment, and on the other hand, patients with potentially aggressive tumors requiring an adequate surgical intervention. Clinical Trial Registration: The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (ID: NCT04274829).