Abegaz KH, Etikan İ. Boosting the Performance of Artificial Intelligence-Driven Models in Predicting COVID-19 Mortality in Ethiopia.
Diagnostics (Basel) 2023;
13:diagnostics13040658. [PMID:
36832146 PMCID:
PMC9955316 DOI:
10.3390/diagnostics13040658]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2023] [Revised: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Like other nations around the world, Ethiopia has suffered negative effects from COVID-19. The objective of this study was to predict COVID-19 mortality using Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven models. Two-year daily recorded data related to COVID-19 were trained and tested to predict mortality using machine learning algorithms. Normalization of features, sensitivity analysis for feature selection, modelling of AI-driven models, and comparing the boosting model with single AI-driven models were the main activities performed in this study. Prediction of COVID-19 mortality was conducted using a combination of four dominant feature variables, and hence, the best determination of coefficient (DC) of AdaBoost, KNN, ANN-6, and SVM in the prediction process were 0.9422, 0.8618, 0.8629, and 0.7171, respectively. The Boosting model improved the performance of the individual AI-driven models KNN, SVM, and ANN-6 by 7.94, 22.51, and 8.02 percent, respectively, at the verification stage using the testing dataset. This suggests that the boosting model has the best performance for prediction of COVID-19 mortality in Ethiopia. As a result, it suggests a promising potential performance of boosting ensemble model to be applied in predicting mortality and cases from similarly recorded daily data to predict mortality due to COVID-19 in other parts of the world.
Collapse