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Fatima ES, Laila L, Bouqoufi A, Amsdar L, Obtel M. Cardiovascular risk factors in Moroccan women: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:2390. [PMID: 39227871 PMCID: PMC11370024 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-19950-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Accepted: 08/30/2024] [Indexed: 09/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the major cause of disability and premature death. This is due to the ascending trend of consuming an unhealthy diet and obesity which increases the risk of hypertension and type 2 diabetes mellitus. The main aim of this review was to fill the knowledge gap by providing an up-to-date overview of the prevalence of CVD risk factors among women and to estimate the pooled prevalence among adolescent and pregnant women in Morocco. METHODS The review included original cross-sectional studies reporting the prevalence of CVD risk factors in Moroccan women aged ≥ 15 years, published between January 2008 and December 2022. The databases searched included MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar and national government publications (PROSPERO ID: CRD42023426809). RESULTS Initially, 1471 articles were identified, and 76 studies were included. The most commonly reported CVD risk factor was obesity (reported in 56 studies), the prevalence of obesity varies according to the age groups of women with the rate being particularly high in urban women aged ≥ 35 years (ranging of 14-44.9%). Followed by diabetes (ranging from 7.2 to 12.6%) with a high rate in menopausal women. Hypertension prevalence ranged from 29.8 to 39.29%. Among adolescents, the overall prevalence of obesity was 3.15% (95% CI: 2.6%, 3.7%) and the prevalence of physical inactivity was 56.5% (95% CI: 36.9 - 76%). Among pregnant women, the overall prevalence of obesity was 26.8% (95% CI: 15.5 - 38.2%). Gestational diabetes and hypertension were 15.2% (95% CI: 6.3 - 24.1%) and 7.07% (95% CI: 2.5 - 11.6%), respectively. CONCLUSION This review highlights the significant burden of CVD risk factors among Moroccan women, with a high prevalences of diabetes, obesity, hypertension. The prevalences of these risk factors varies with age, being notably higher in older age groups. These findings underscore the need for targeted public health interventions to address these risk factors. Future research should focus on longitudinal studies and standardized assessment tools to enhance the robustness of prevalence estimates and inform effective prevention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Es-Sabir Fatima
- Laboratory of Biostatistics, Clinical Research and Epidemiology and Laboratory of Community Health, Preventive Medicine and Hygiene, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Mohamed V University, Rabat, Morocco.
| | - Lahlou Laila
- Laboratory of Innovation Research in Health Sciences, Therapeutic Innovation, Translational Research, and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir, Morocco
| | - Afaf Bouqoufi
- Laboratory of Innovation Research in Health Sciences, Therapeutic Innovation, Translational Research, and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir, Morocco
| | - Lahoucine Amsdar
- Laboratory of Biotechnology and Medicine, National School of Applied Sciences, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir, 80060, Morocco
| | - Majdouline Obtel
- Laboratory of Biostatistics, Clinical Research and Epidemiology and Laboratory of Community Health, Preventive Medicine and Hygiene, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Mohamed V University, Rabat, Morocco
- Pedagogy and Research Unit of Public Health, Department of Public Health, Mohamed V University, Rabat, Morocco
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Gonçalves VBS, Lima SMRR. Menopause and metabolic syndrome: anthropometric, lipid, and dietary profiles. REVISTA DA ASSOCIACAO MEDICA BRASILEIRA (1992) 2024; 70:e20231571. [PMID: 39045954 PMCID: PMC11288260 DOI: 10.1590/1806-9282.20231571] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2024] [Accepted: 03/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/25/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to characterize the anthropometric, lipid, and dietary profiles of postmenopausal women with metabolic syndrome attending a public health service and compare them with a group of women without metabolic syndrome. METHODS A cross-sectional study was conducted with 60 postmenopausal women who were divided into two groups: control group and metabolic syndrome group, attending the Climacteric Outpatient Clinic at Santa Casa de São Paulo Hospital, Brazil, between February 2019 and December 2021. Participants were evaluated using a validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire, body mass index, waist circumference, and serum laboratory tests. RESULTS Significant differences were observed between the groups regarding body mass index and all parameters of metabolic syndrome. The nutritional profile revealed an imbalance in the number of food portions consumed, particularly in the intake of carbohydrates in the form of flour and sweets, which was higher in the metabolic syndrome group. CONCLUSION The analysis of the three profiles of postmenopausal women revealed significant imbalances, particularly in the metabolic syndrome group, highlighting the importance of regular adjustments and evaluations during this phase of a woman's life.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sônia Maria Rolim Rosa Lima
- Santa Casa de São Paulo School of Medical Sciences, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology – São Paulo (SP), Brazil
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Jin Z, Tian C, Kang M, Hu S, Zhao L, Zhang W. The 100 top-cited articles in menopausal syndrome: a bibliometric analysis. Reprod Health 2024; 21:47. [PMID: 38589898 PMCID: PMC11003046 DOI: 10.1186/s12978-024-01770-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Accepted: 03/10/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Significant scientific research has been conducted concerning menopausal syndrome(MPS), yet few bibliometric analyses have been performed. Our aim was to recognise the 100 most highly cited published articles on MPS and to analytically evaluate their key features. METHODS To identify the 100 most frequently cited articles, a search was conducted on Web of Science using the term 'menopausal syndrome'. Articles that matched the predetermined criteria were scrutinised to obtain the following data: citation ranking, year of publication, publishing journal, journal impact factor, country of origin, academic institution, authors, study type, and keywords. RESULTS The publication period is from January 1, 2000, to August 31, 2022. The maximum number of citations was 406 and in 2012. The median citations per year was 39.70. Most of the articles focused on treatment and complications. These articles were published in 36 different journals, with the Journal of MENOPAUSE having published the greatest number (14%). Forty-eight articles (48%) were from the United States, with the University of Pittsburgh being the leading institute (9%). Joann E. Manson was the most frequent first author (n = 6). Observational studies were the most frequently conducted research type (n = 53), followed by experimental studies (n = 33). Keyword analysis identified classic research topics, including genitourinary syndrome of menopause, bone mineral density (BMD), and anti-mullerian hormone (AMH) loci. CONCLUSION Using bibliometrics, we conducted an analysis to identify the inadequacies, traditional focal points, and potential prospects in the study of MPS across current scientific areas. Treatment and complications are at the core of MPS research, whereas prediction and biomarkers have less literature of high quality. There is a necessity for innovative analytical metrics to measure the real effect of these papers with a high level of citation on clinical application.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zishan Jin
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100029, China
- Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100053, China
| | - Chuanxi Tian
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100029, China
| | - Mengjiao Kang
- Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100053, China
| | - Shiwan Hu
- Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100029, China
- Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100053, China
| | - Linhua Zhao
- Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100053, China.
| | - Wei Zhang
- Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100053, China.
- Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
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Zhao C, Shi J, Shang D, Guo M, Zhou C, Zhao W. Protective effect of phytoestrogens on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in postmenopausal women. Front Pharmacol 2023; 14:1237845. [PMID: 37719855 PMCID: PMC10502324 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2023.1237845] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2023] [Accepted: 08/15/2023] [Indexed: 09/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a progressive metabolic disease characterized by hepatic steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis that seriously endangers global public health. Epidemiological studies have shown that the incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in postmenopausal women has significantly increased. Studies have shown that estrogen deficiency is the main reason for this situation, and supplementing estrogen has become a new direction for preventing the occurrence of postmenopausal fatty liver. However, although classical estrogen replacement therapy can reduce the incidence of postmenopausal NAFLD, it has the risk of increasing stroke and cardiovascular diseases, so it is not suitable for the treatment of postmenopausal NAFLD. More and more recent studies have provided evidence that phytoestrogens are a promising method for the treatment of postmenopausal NAFLD. However, the mechanism of phytoestrogens in preventing and treating postmenopausal NAFLD is still unclear. This paper summarizes the clinical and basic research evidence of phytoestrogens and reviews the potential therapeutic effects of phytoestrogens in postmenopausal NAFLD from six angles: enhancing lipid metabolism in liver and adipose tissue, enhancing glucose metabolism, reducing oxidative stress, reducing the inflammatory response, regulating intestinal flora, and blocking liver fibrosis (Graphical Abstract).
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Affiliation(s)
- ChenLu Zhao
- First Clinical Medical College, Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
| | - JunHao Shi
- First Clinical Medical College, Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
| | - DongFang Shang
- Department of Digestive Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Min Guo
- Department of Digestive Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Cheng Zhou
- First Clinical Medical College, Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
| | - WenXia Zhao
- Department of Digestive Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, China
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Bowo-Ngandji A, Kenmoe S, Ebogo-Belobo JT, Kenfack-Momo R, Takuissu GR, Kengne-Ndé C, Mbaga DS, Tchatchouang S, Kenfack-Zanguim J, Lontuo Fogang R, Zeuko'o Menkem E, Ndzie Ondigui JL, Kame-Ngasse GI, Magoudjou-Pekam JN, Wandji Nguedjo M, Assam Assam JP, Enyegue Mandob D, Ngondi JL. Prevalence of the metabolic syndrome in African populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0289155. [PMID: 37498832 PMCID: PMC10374159 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289155] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2022] [Accepted: 07/12/2023] [Indexed: 07/29/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The metabolic syndrome (MS) is a leading cause of death worldwide. Several studies have found MS to be prevalent in various African regions. However, no specific estimates of MS prevalence in African populations exist. The aim of this study was to estimate the overall prevalence of MS in the African populations. METHODS A systematic review was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Africa Index Medicus, and African Journal Online Scopus to find studies published up to the 15th of August 2022. Pooled prevalence was calculated based on six diagnostic methods. The pooled prevalence of MS was estimated using a random-effects model. Our risk of bias analysis was based on the Hoy et al. tool. A Heterogeneity (I2) assessment was performed, as well as an Egger test for publication bias. PROSPERO number CRD42021275176 was assigned to this study. RESULTS In total, 297 studies corresponding to 345 prevalence data from 29 African countries and involving 156 464 participants were included. The overall prevalence of MS in Africa was 32.4% (95% CI: 30.2-34.7) with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 98.9%; P<0.001). We obtained prevalence rates of 44.8% (95% CI: 24.8-65.7), 39.7% (95% CI: 31.7-48.1), 33.1% (95% CI: 28.5-37.8), 31.6% (95% CI: 27.8-35.6) and 29.3% (95% CI: 25.7-33) using the WHO, revised NCEP-ATP III, JIS, NCEP/ATP III and IDF definition criteria, respectively. The prevalence of MS was significantly higher in adults >18 years with 33.1% (95%CI: 30.8-35.5) compared to children <18 years with 13.3% (95%CI: 7.3-20.6) (P<0.001). MS prevalence was significantly higher in females with 36.9% (95%CI: 33.2-40.7) compared to males with 26.7% (95%CI: 23.1-30.5) (P<0.001). The prevalence of MS was highest among Type 2 diabetes patients with 66.9% (95%CI: 60.3-73.1), followed by patients with coronary artery disease with 55.2% (95%CI: 50.8-59.6) and cardiovascular diseases with 48.3% (95%CI: 33.5-63.3) (P<0.001). With 33.6% (95% CI: 28.3-39.1), the southern African region was the most affected, followed by upper-middle income economies with 35% (95% CI: 29.5-40.6). CONCLUSION This study, regardless of the definition used, reveals a high prevalence of MS in Africa, confirming the ongoing epidemiological transition in African countries. Early prevention and treatment strategies are urgently needed to reverse this trend.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arnol Bowo-Ngandji
- Department of Microbiology, The University of Yaounde I, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Sebastien Kenmoe
- Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, University of Buea, Buea, Cameroon
| | - Jean Thierry Ebogo-Belobo
- Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plants Studies, Medical Research Centre, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Raoul Kenfack-Momo
- Department of Biochemistry, The University of Yaounde I, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Guy Roussel Takuissu
- Centre for Food, Food Security and Nutrition Research, Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plants Studies, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Cyprien Kengne-Ndé
- Epidemiological Surveillance, Evaluation and Research Unit, National AIDS Control Committee, Douala, Cameroon
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ginette Irma Kame-Ngasse
- Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plants Studies, Medical Research Centre, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | | | - Maxwell Wandji Nguedjo
- Centre for Food, Food Security and Nutrition Research, Institute of Medical Research and Medicinal Plants Studies, Yaounde, Cameroon
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Harraqui K, Oudghiri DE, Mrabti HN, Hannoun Z, Lee LH, Assaggaf H, Qasem A, Goh KW, Ming LC, Tan CS, Bouyahya A, Bour A. Association between Physical Activity, Body Composition, and Metabolic Disorders in Middle-Aged Women of Ksar el Kebir (Morocco). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:1739. [PMID: 36767104 PMCID: PMC9914767 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20031739] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2022] [Revised: 01/09/2023] [Accepted: 01/12/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
This study aimed to examine the association between physical activity (PA), body composition, and metabolic disorders in a population of Moroccan women classified by menopausal status. This cross-sectional study comprised 373 peri- and postmenopausal women aged 45-64 years old. PA levels were assessed using the short version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ-SF). Body composition and metabolic disorders were assessed by measurements of anthropometric and biological parameters: weight, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), hip circumference (HC), WC/HC ratio, percent body fat, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, and serum lipids (total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), HDL-C, and LDL-C). Metabolic syndrome (MetS) was diagnosed according to the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III) criteria. Pearson correlations were used to test for associations. The mean total PA score of perimenopausal women was 1683.51 ± 805.36 MET-min/week, and of postmenopausal women was 1450.81 ± 780.67 MET-min/week. In all participants, peri- and postmenopausal women, PA was significantly and inversely associated with BMI, weight, percent body fat, HC, WC, and number of MetS components (p < 0.01), and with fasting blood glucose, TC, TG, and LDL-C (p < 0.05). The frequencies of metabolic disorders, obesity, abdominal obesity, type 2 diabetes, dyslipidemia, and MetS were significantly lower at moderate and intense levels of PA (p < 0.05), in also all participants. In middle-aged women, particularly those who are peri-menopausal, PA at moderate and intense levels is associated with more favorable body composition and less frequent metabolic disorders. However, in this particular study, PA does not appear to be associated with blood pressure and HDL-C concentrations. Future studies may be needed to further clarify these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khouloud Harraqui
- Laboratory of Biology and Health (LBS), Nutrition, Food and Health Sciences Team, Faculty of Sciences, Ibn Tofail University, Kenitra 14000, Morocco
| | - Dia Eddine Oudghiri
- Biology and Health UAE/U23FS Team, Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Abdelmalek Essaâdi University, Avenue de Sebta, Mhannech II, Tetouan 93002, Morocco
| | - Hanae Naceiri Mrabti
- High Institute of Nursing Professions and Health Techniques Casablanca, Casablanca 20250, Morocco
| | - Zineb Hannoun
- Laboratory of Biology and Health (LBS), Nutrition, Food and Health Sciences Team, Faculty of Sciences, Ibn Tofail University, Kenitra 14000, Morocco
| | - Learn-Han Lee
- Novel Bacteria and Drug Discovery Research Group (NBDD), Microbiome and Bioresource Research Strength (MBRS), Jeffrey Cheah School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Monash University Malaysia, Sunway City 47500, Malaysia
| | - Hamza Assaggaf
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21955, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ahmed Qasem
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21955, Saudi Arabia
| | - Khang Wen Goh
- Faculty of Data Science and Information Technology, INTI International University, Nilai 71800, Malaysia
| | - Long Chiau Ming
- School of Medical and Life Sciences, Sunway University, Sunway City 47500, Malaysia
| | - Ching Siang Tan
- School of Pharmacy, KPJ Healthcare University College, Nilai 71800, Malaysia
| | - Abdelhakim Bouyahya
- Laboratory of Human Pathologies Biology, Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Mohammed V University in Rabat, Rabat 10100, Morocco
| | - Abdellatif Bour
- Laboratory of Biology and Health (LBS), Nutrition, Food and Health Sciences Team, Faculty of Sciences, Ibn Tofail University, Kenitra 14000, Morocco
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Palacios-González B, León-Reyes G, Rivera-Paredez B, Ibarra-González I, Vela-Amieva M, Flores YN, Canizales-Quinteros S, Salmerón J, Velázquez-Cruz R. Targeted Metabolomics Revealed a Sex-Dependent Signature for Metabolic Syndrome in the Mexican Population. Nutrients 2022; 14:nu14183678. [PMID: 36145054 PMCID: PMC9504093 DOI: 10.3390/nu14183678] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2022] [Revised: 09/01/2022] [Accepted: 09/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a group of several metabolic conditions predisposing to chronic diseases. Individuals diagnosed with MetS are physiologically heterogeneous, with significant sex-specific differences. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the potential sex-specific serum modifications of amino acids and acylcarnitines (ACs) and their relationship with MetS in the Mexican population. This study included 602 participants from the Health Workers Cohort Study. Forty serum metabolites were analyzed using a targeted metabolomics approach. Multivariate regression models were used to test associations of clinical and biochemical parameters with metabolomic profiles. Our findings showed a serum amino acid signature (citrulline and glycine) and medium-chain ACs (AC14:1, AC10, and AC18:10H) associated with MetS. Glycine and AC10 were specific metabolites representative of discrimination according to sex-dependent MetS. In addition, we found that glycine and short-chain ACs (AC2, AC3, and AC8:1) are associated with age-dependent MetS. We also reported a significant correlation between body fat and metabolites associated with sex-age-dependent MetS. In conclusion, the metabolic profile varies by MetS status, and these differences are sex-age-dependent in the Mexican population.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Guadalupe León-Reyes
- Genomics of Bone Metabolism Laboratory, National Institute of Genomic Medicine (INMEGEN), Mexico City 14610, Mexico
| | - Berenice Rivera-Paredez
- Research Center in Policies, Population and Health, School of Medicine, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City 04510, Mexico
| | | | - Marcela Vela-Amieva
- Laboratory of Inborn Errors of Metabolism, National Pediatrics Institute (INP), Mexico City 04530, Mexico
| | - Yvonne N. Flores
- Epidemiological and Health Services Research Unit, Morelos Mexican Institute of Social Security, Cuernavaca 62000, Mexico
- Department of Health Policy and Management and UCLA-Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Equity, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
- UCLA Center for Cancer Prevention and Control Research, Fielding School of Public Health and Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Samuel Canizales-Quinteros
- Unit of Genomics of Population Applied to Health, Faculty of Chemistry, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City 04510, Mexico
- National Institute of Genomic Medicine (INMEGEN), Mexico City 14610, Mexico
| | - Jorge Salmerón
- Research Center in Policies, Population and Health, School of Medicine, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City 04510, Mexico
| | - Rafael Velázquez-Cruz
- Genomics of Bone Metabolism Laboratory, National Institute of Genomic Medicine (INMEGEN), Mexico City 14610, Mexico
- Correspondence: ; Tel./Fax: +52-(55)-5350-1900
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Razbek J, Zhang Y, Xia WJ, Xu WT, Li DY, Yin Z, Cao MQ. Study on Dynamic Progression and Risk Assessment of Metabolic Syndrome Based on Multi-State Markov Model. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes 2022; 15:2497-2510. [PMID: 35996564 PMCID: PMC9392490 DOI: 10.2147/dmso.s362071] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2022] [Accepted: 07/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM Metabolic syndrome (MetS) coexists with the occurrence and even death of cardiovascular disease and diabetes mellitus. It is essential to study the factors in the dynamic progression of MetS in the interest of prevention and control. PURPOSE The aim of this study was to analyze the dynamic progression of Mets and explore the potential factors influencing the progression or reversal of MetS. PATIENTS AND METHODS This study involved 5581 individuals from two waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study: 2011 and 2015. A multistate Markov model containing 4 states (free of metabolic disorder (FMD), mild metabolic disorder (MMD), severe metabolic disorder (SMD) and MetS) was adopted to study the dynamic progression of MetS and its influencing factors. RESULTS After follow-up, a total of 2862 cases (50.28% of the total number) had disease state transition. The intensity of transition from MetS to SMD is the same as that from SMD to MMD, and is greater than that from MMD to Mets (0.06 vs 0.05). For the MetS state, a mean of 1/0.08=12.5 years was spent in the MetS state before recovery. The exercise, smoke, drink, BMI level, hyperuricemia had statistically significant effects on progression of MetS status (P<0.05). The obesity or overweight, little exercise, smoke, drink and hyperuricemia increased the risk of forward progression of MetS disease status. There were significant nonmodifiable (age, gender) and modifiable factors (exercise, drink, BMI level, or high HbA1c) associated with reversion of MetS state. CONCLUSION The likelihood of progression from MMD to MetS is less likely than that of reversion from MetS to SMD and SMD to MMD. Old females were more resistant to recover from worse states than males. Prevention and intervention measures should be adopted early when MMD or SMD onset occurs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jaina Razbek
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yan Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wen-Jun Xia
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wan-Ting Xu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - De-Yang Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhe Yin
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
| | - Ming-Qin Cao
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, People’s Republic of China
- Correspondence: Ming-Qin Cao, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, College of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, No. 393 Xinyi Road, Urumqi, 830011, People’s Republic of China, Tel +86-13319912419, Email
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