Dental caries risk studies revisited: causal approaches needed for future inquiries

Development and psychometric test of the myRisk mobile application for caries risk assessment

OBJECTIVES

To develop a caries-risk assessment application (myRisk app) and assess the psychometric properties based on content validity, construct validity, and how well it classifies the participants into different caries risk groups using caries increments at 10 months.

METHODS

The myRisk mobile application was developed using Android Studio 4.1.1. The content validity was assessed by three dental experts. To evaluate construct validity and the prediction of future dental caries, the participants (N = 88) were recruited from Rajvithi Home for Girls in Thailand by convenience sampling. The participants were completed a caries risk assessment (CRA) of myRisk app and ADA form. The oral examination was performed at the time of CRA and 10 months following the baseline.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight participants aged 12-29 used the myRisk app and completed the ADA form. The app content validity was acceptable (IOC = 0.67). According to myRisk, 7.9%, 71.6%, and 20.5% of the participants were classified into the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups, respectively. The percent agreement of the caries-risk classification with the ADA form was 30.7%. Significant differences between the three risk groups were found in active caries (p < 0.001), type, and frequency of sugary snacks (p = 0.002). The app had a sensitivity of 68%, a specificity of 61%, and an area under the receiver operating characterisitic (ROC) curve of 0.61.

CONCLUSIONS

The myRisk app has acceptable content validity and sufficient diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, and ROC curve). However, there is a different outcome in caries-risk classification compared with the ADA form.

Caries experience and risk indicators of having decayed teeth among 65-year-olds in Oslo, Norway: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Meeting the oral health needs of the increasing population of older adults presents a major challenge in dental care. Knowledge about the oral health status in the young-elderly age group is essential for the planning of future oral health education and prevention programs. The aims of the present study were therefore to investigate the caries experience among 65-year-olds in Oslo, Norway, and to explore associations between having decayed teeth and sociodemographic, behavioural, and biological factors.

METHODS

A random sample of 65‑year‑olds in Oslo answered a questionnaire and underwent clinical and radiographic examinations (n = 457, 52% men and 48% women) at the Research Clinic, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Oslo, between February and December 2019. Primary- and secondary coronal and root caries lesions, root remnants, and missing and restored teeth were recorded. Decayed teeth (DT) were defined as teeth with coronal- and root caries lesions that had progressed into dentine and root remnants, and the DMFT/S scores were calculated.

RESULTS

The mean number of teeth was 25 (SD: 4) and the mean DMFT was 19.4 (SD: 4.7). Thirty seven percent of the individuals had at least one decayed tooth (DT > 0), and the mean number of filled teeth (FT) was 16.1 (SD: 5.4). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that male gender (OR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.2-2.8), basic level of education (OR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.2-2.9), irregular dental attendance (OR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.0-4.8), and hyposalivation (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.0-4.4) were significant risk indicators for having decayed teeth (DT > 0) (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, 65-year-olds in Oslo had a low average number of decayed and missing teeth, and a high number of restored teeth. Irregular dental attendance and hyposalivation were the strongest risk indicators for having decayed teeth. Based on the present results, it will be important to ensure access to regular dental care and to increase the emphasis on caries preventive measures for individuals with hyposalivation in this age group.

Prediction of Early Childhood Caries Based on Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms Using Neural Networks

Background: Several genes and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been associated with early childhood caries. However, they are highly age- and population-dependent and the majority of existing caries prediction models are based on environmental and behavioral factors only and are scarce in infants. Methods: We examined 6 novel and previously analyzed 22 SNPs in the cohort of 95 Polish children (48 caries, 47 caries-free) aged 2–3 years. All polymorphisms were genotyped from DNA extracted from oral epithelium samples. We used Fisher’s exact test, receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and uni-/multi-variable logistic regression to test the association of SNPs with the disease, followed by the neural network (NN) analysis. Results: The logistic regression (LogReg) model showed 90% sensitivity and 96% specificity, overall accuracy of 93% (p < 0.0001), and the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.970 (95% CI: 0.912–0.994; p < 0.0001). We found 90.9–98.4% and 73.6–87.2% prediction accuracy in the test and validation predictions, respectively. The strongest predictors were: AMELX_rs17878486 and TUFT1_rs2337360 (in both LogReg and NN), MMP16_rs1042937 (in NN) and ENAM_rs12640848 (in LogReg). Conclusions: Neural network prediction model might be a substantial tool for screening/early preventive treatment of patients at high risk of caries development in the early childhood. The knowledge of potential risk status could allow early targeted training in oral hygiene and modifications of eating habits.

Inequality, Familial Aggregation, and Risk Prediction of Caries in Siblings

INTRODUCTION

Social and family conditions are likely of great importance to dental health; however, limited evidence of familial aggregation of caries among adolescent siblings exists. Moreover, social and family-level factors have never been evaluated as isolated caries predictors at the individual level.

OBJECTIVES

The objectives were to evaluate socioeconomic patterning of caries among siblings, assess sibling-specific aggregation of caries within families, and examine if such aggregation differed by parental socioeconomic position (SEP). We also evaluated the discriminant ability of sibling caries, SEP, and other social and familial factors in predicting caries in cosiblings.

METHODS

This nationwide register-based study included all 15-y-olds in Denmark in 2003 (index siblings) and their biological siblings born within ±3 y (cosiblings). Clinical and sociodemographic data for each subject were compiled from Danish national dental, social, and population registers. Caries was measured by the decayed, missing, and filled tooth surfaces (DMFS) index. Predictors included SEP (parental education, income, and occupational social class), gender, birth order, immigration status, and household type. Adjusted SEP-caries associations were estimated using negative binomial regression. Familial aggregation was evaluated using adjusted pairwise odds ratios from alternating logistic regressions. Caries prediction was based on classification and regression tree (CART) analyses.

RESULTS

The study included 23,847 sibling pairs (n = 47,694). Socioeconomic patterning of caries was similar among the index and cosiblings with significant graded SEP-caries associations. Significant sibling-specific aggregation of caries was observed; cosiblings of caries-affected index siblings had odds of having caries 3.9 times (95% confidence interval: 3.65-4.18) as high as that of cosiblings with caries-free index siblings. This sibling similarity was stronger in socioeconomically disadvantaged families (adjusted pairwise odds ratios: 3.08-5.47). CART revealed index sibling caries as the single most important caries predictor, with caries predicted in ≥84% of cosiblings of adolescents with ≥3 carious tooth surfaces.

CONCLUSIONS

Caries in a sibling should prompt preventive family-based approaches targeting cosiblings.

KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER STATEMENT

This study revealed significant socioeconomic patterning of caries in adolescent siblings. Prediction modeling indicated that the single most important caries predictor among cosiblings was index sibling caries. Information on sibling caries level should be routinely combined with clinical evaluation to identify children at risk. Moreover, information on social and family conditions should be used to target prevention and health promotion at the school or municipal level. These approaches could possibly contribute to reducing the existing caries inequalities.

Asthma and oral changes in children: Associated factors in a community of southern Brazil

BACKGROUND

Asthma is a chronic disease that involves several healthcare services that need attention in relation to its treatment and prevention.

AIM

The objective of this study was to evaluate caries, erosion, and enamel defects in children with and without asthma.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study, with a sample of 228 children ages 6-12 years, stratified as asthmatic (n = 112) and non-asthmatic (n = 116), at two Primary Health Units of the Community Health Service, Brazil. The evaluation consisted of an oral examination and a structured interview with parents/guardians, in addition to data from medical records. Data were analysed by Poisson regression with a robust error variance, all of them at a level of significance of P < 0.05.

RESULTS

Of 112 asthmatic children, 63 (51.2%) had dental caries and 25 (53.2%) enamel defects. In the adjusted analysis, dental caries and use of salbutamol were associated (PR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.01-1.72). In addition, children who performed oral hygiene more than three times a day showed a greater prevalence (PR = 2.36, 95% CI = 1.02-4.85) of dental erosion compared with children who performed it only once a day.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence for an association between asthma, caries, erosion, and enamel defect in children aged from 6 to 12 years. There was, however, an association between dental caries and use of salbutamol.

Are standardized caries risk assessment models effective in assessing actual caries status and future caries increment? A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Assessing caries risk is an essential element in the planning of preventive and therapeutic strategies. Different caries risk assessment (CRA) models have been proposed for the identification of individuals running a risk of future caries. This systematic review was designed to evaluate whether standardized caries risk assessment (CRA) models are able to evaluate the risk according to the actual caries status and/or the future caries increment.

METHODS

Randomized clinical trials, cross-sectional studies, cohort studies, comparative studies, validation studies and evaluation studies, reporting caries risk assessment using standardized models (Cariogram, CAMBRA, PreViser, NUS-CRA and CAT) in patients of any age related to caries data recorded by DMFT/S or ICDAS indices, were included. PubMed, Scopus and Embase were searched from 2000 to 2016. A search string was developed. All the papers meeting the inclusion criteria were subjected to a quality assessment.

RESULTS

One thousand three-undred ninety-two papers were identified and 32 were included. In all but one, the Cariogram was used both as sole model or in conjunction with other models. All the papers on children (n = 16) and adults (n = 12) found a statistically significant association between the risk levels and the actual caries status and/or the future caries increment. Nineteen papers, all using the Cariogram except one, were classified as being of good quality. Three of four papers comprising children and adults found a positive association. For seven of the included papers, Cariogram sensibility and specificity were calculated; sensibility ranged from low (41.0) to fairly low (75.0), while specificity was higher, ranging from 65.8 to 88.0. Wide 95% confidence intervals for both parameters were found, indicating that the reliability of the model differed in different caries risk levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The scientific evidence relating to standardized CRA models is still limited; even if Cariogram was tested in children and adults in few studies of good quality, no sufficient evidence is available to affirm the method is effective in caries assessment and prediction. New options of diagnosis, prognosis and therapy are now available to dentists but the validity of standardized CRA models still remains limited.

Decision Tree Approach to the Impact of Parents' Oral Health on Dental Caries Experience in Children: A Cross-Sectional Study

Decision tree (DT) analysis was applied in this cross-sectional study to investigate caries experience in children by using clinical and microbiological data obtained from parent–child pairs. Thirty pairs of parents and children were recruited from periodontal and pediatric dental clinics. All participants were clinically examined for caries and periodontitis by a calibrated examiner. Cariogenic and periodontopathic bacteria examinations were conducted. The Kendall rank correlation coefficient was used to measure the association between data variables obtained through clinical and microbiological examinations. A classificatory inductive decision tree was generated using the C4.5 algorithm with the top-down approach. The C4.5 DT analysis was applied to classify major influential factors for children dental caries experience. The DT identified parents’ periodontal health classification, decayed, missing, filled permanent teeth (DMFT) index, periodontopathic test (PerioCheck) result, and periodontal pocket depth as the classification factors for children caries experience. 13.3% of children were identified with a low decayed, missing, filled primary teeth (dmft) index (dmft < 3) whose parents had a periodontal pocket depth ≤3.7, PerioCheck score >1, DMFT index <13.5, and periodontal classification >2. The DT model for this study sample had an accuracy of 93.33%. Here, parental periodontal status and parents’ DMFT were the factors forming the DT for children’s caries experience.

Application of Multilevel Models in Dentistry

Multilevel analysis which was primarily introduced to deal with hierarchical data was later applied extensively for research in other fields of science and not only for nested data, but also for repeated measurements or clustered trials. This method of statistical analysis was applied in dental studies in the 1991 for the first time but despite its value for data analysis in dental studies, its application for dental studies remains limited until now. This manuscript reviews the applications of this method in dental studies.

Pediatric Caries Risk Assessment as a Predictor of Caries Outcomes

PURPOSE

To determine cumulative dental treatment experience in a retrospective clinical cohort, according to baseline caries risk assessment (CRA) information.

METHODS

Evaluated were electronic records from a university pediatric dental clinic (2009 to 2014) of new, six- to 72- month-old patients who were not treated under sedation or general anesthesia (N equals 750). The mean number of teeth restored or extracted (two-year total and omitting the first 190 days post-baseline to discount initial treatment needs) was compared by baseline CRA category and CRA items (caries risk indicators, protective items, and clinical disease indicators).

RESULTS

The CRA category was associated with mean treated teeth over two years (low equals 0.53, moderate equals 1.02, high/extreme equals 4.47) and post 190 days (low equals 0.51, moderate equals 0.89, high/extreme equals 2.11). Any treatment probability was greatest for high/extreme-risk children but not statistically significantly different between low- and moderate-risk. Age-standardized means were greater for all individual baseline clinical indicators and most risk indicators, but lower for most protective items (not statistically significantly for all items). Clinical indicators were the strongest outcome correlates.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population, baseline risk information was associated with clinical outcomes. CRA can help identify patients needing more intensive caries prevention.

Caries Risk Assessment Item Importance: Risk Designation and Caries Status in Children under Age 6

BACKGROUND

Caries risk assessment (CRA) is widely recommended for dental caries management. Little is known regarding how practitioners use individual CRA items to determine risk and which individual items independently predict clinical outcomes in children under age 6-years.

OBJECTIVES

Assess the relative importance of pediatric CRA items in dental providers' decision-making regarding patient risk and in association with clinically evident caries, cross-sectionally and longitudinally.

METHODS

CRA information was abstracted retrospectively from electronic patient records of children initially ages 6-72 months at a university pediatric dentistry clinic (N=3810 baseline; N=1315 with follow-up). The 17-item CRA form included caries risk indicators, caries protective items, and clinical indicators. Conditional random forests classification trees were implemented to identify and assign variable importance to CRA items independently associated with baseline high-risk designation, baseline evident tooth decay, and follow-up evident decay.

RESULTS

Thirteen individual CRA items, including all clinical indicators and all but one risk indicator, were independently and statistically significantly associated with student/resident providers' caries-risk designation. Provider-assigned baseline risk category was strongly associated with follow-up decay, which increased from low (20.4%), moderate (30.6%), to high/extreme risk patients (68.7%). Of baseline CRA items, before adjustment 12 were associated with baseline decay and 7 with decay at follow-up; however, in the conditional random forests models, only the clinical indicators (evident decay, dental plaque, and recent restoration placement) and one risk indicator (frequent snacking) were independently and statistically significantly associated with future disease, for which baseline evident decay was the strongest predictor.

CONCLUSIONS

In this predominantly high-risk population under caries-preventive care, more individual CRA items were independently associated with providers' risk determination than with future caries status. These university dental providers considered many items in decision-making regarding patient risk, suggesting that in turn, these comprehensive CRA forms could also aid individualized care, linking risk assessment to disease management.

Retrospective assessment of caries experience among US Naval Academy midshipmen

OBJECTIVE

To assess the 4-year caries incidence among US Naval Academy midshipmen.

METHODS

Dental records (n = 300) from a total population of 1,016 midshipmen from the 2011 graduating class at US Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD, were randomly selected for review. Patients were assigned a caries risk status based on the number of caries lesions recorded at initial examination (low = 0 lesions; moderate = 1-2 lesions; high = 3+ lesions). For each risk category, caries prevalence (DMFS, DMFT) and caries incidence were calculated based on findings recorded at the initial (E1), third year (E2), and fourth year (E3) examinations. The most significant predictors for caries incidence were determined for each risk category.

RESULTS

Mean DMFS and DMFT were significantly different for each risk group at each examination (low < moderate < high; one-way ANOVA, P < 0.05). Within each caries risk category, mean DMFS and DMFT increased significantly from E1 to E3 (repeated measures ANOVA, all P < 0.05). Compared with low-risk patients, total caries incidence was over 2× greater for moderate-risk and nearly 4× greater for high-risk patients (one-way ANOVA, P < 0.05). "Filled surfaces" was the most significant predictor for caries incidence among low-risk patients; among high-risk and all risk groups combined, the most significant predictors were "decayed surfaces" and "decayed surfaces plus incipient surfaces" (linear regression; all P < 0.047).

CONCLUSIONS

Caries experience was consistently greater for moderate- and high-risk patients at all examinations. The magnitude of increase in caries experience was greater for moderate- and high-risk patients. Caries history and current disease status reliably predict future caries experience in this young adult population.

Comparação de métodos de regressão multivariada no estudo de determinantes da cárie dentária em crianças

Objetivos: comparar resultados com modelos multivariados hierarquizados e convencionais na investigação de determinantes da cárie dentária em crianças. Métodos: analisou-se dados de um inquérito em crianças assistidas pela Estratégia Saúde da Família do Recife, Pernambuco, conduzido em 2006. A variável dependente foi a prevalência de cárie (ceo-d≥1); As variáveis independentes foram ordenadas em blocos: socioeconómico, contexto de vida/familiar, cuidado em saúde bucal. Variáveis estatisticamente associadas a ceo-d ≥1 em análises univariadas, com um nível de significância dep≤0,20, foram incluídas nos modelos multivariados. No modelo hierarquizado, a ordem de inclusão das variáveis foi orientada por um modelo conceitual multidimensional. Variáveis associadas a um nível de p≤0,10 foram mantidas no modelo final. No modelo logístico convencional as variáveis significantes nas análises univariadas foram simultaneamente incluídas e ajustadas. Variáveis associadas ao ceo-d com p≤0,10 foram mantidas. Resultados: no modelo convencional foram fatores associados ao ceo-d≥1: alta densidade domiciliar, baixa escolaridade do cuidador; estudar em escolas públicas, procurar tratamento/emergência, ingerir doces. No modelo hierarquizado, além desses fatores, foram mantidos no modelo final a ocupação do pai e a escolaridade da mãe. Conclusões: a análise hierarquizada possibilitou identificar os determinantes distais, que exerceram influências sobre os de níveis inferiores e destes sobre o desfecho, permitindo uma discussão mais contextualizada do problema.

Eruption stage of permanent molars and occlusal caries activity/arrest

This study assessed the association between the eruption stage of permanent second molars and occlusal caries activity among 12-year-old schoolchildren from South Brazil. A cross-sectional study was performed in Porto Alegre using a multistage probability sampling strategy to select a representative sample. Clinical examination was conducted to assess the eruption stage of permanent molars, Gingival Bleeding Index, and, after tooth cleaning and drying, caries experience (noncavitated and cavitated lesions, including caries activity assessment). Data were collected on sex, socioeconomic status, mother's education, brushing frequency, and consumption of soft drinks. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Overall, 983 schoolchildren with 3,071 second molars were available for analysis. Whereas active caries was observed in 6.6% of fully erupted permanent second molars, caries affected 26.2%, 29.6%, and 18.2% of erupting molars classified as stages 1, 2, and 3, respectively: stage 1, partially erupted occlusal surface; stage 2, fully erupted occlusal surface, <1/2 crown exposed; and stage 3, fully erupted occlusal surface, >1/2 crown exposed. After adjusting for socioeconomic and behavioral variables, partially erupted molars were significantly more likely to present active caries lesions than molars in full occlusion: stage 1, OR = 4.99 (95% CI = 3.38, 7.38); stage 2, OR = 5.18 (95% CI = 3.14, 8.53); stage 3, OR = 3.20 (95% CI = 2.21, 4.64). Similar results were found when clinical variables were included in the adjusted model. In conclusion, most occlusal caries lesions tend to arrest/revert when teeth reach the occlusal plan; however, an important proportion of these lesions remains active and in need of proper management. Children at risk should be targeted with preventive and minimally invasive strategies.

Dental status and associated factors in a dentate adult population in bulgaria: a cross-sectional survey

This study aimed to determine variations in the dental status of a dentate adult population in terms of "decayed," "missing," and "filled" teeth in relation to several sociodemographic and behavioral factors. Quota sampling was used to draw 2531 subjects aged 20 years and over. Data were collected by means of a questionnaire and an oral examination. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to observe associations between "decayed," "missing," and "filled" teeth and the factors of interest. The mean numbers of "decayed," "missing," and "filled" teeth were 2.2, 6.7, and 4.9, respectively. Molar teeth were significantly more often "missing" than premolar and anterior teeth. Age, gender, education, and tooth brushing revealed most noticeable associations. Increasing age was associated with a lower chance of having "decayed" and "filled" teeth, but with a higher chance of having "missing" teeth. Females were more likely to have "missing" and "filled" teeth. Higher education was associated with a lower chance of having "missing" teeth. More frequent tooth brushing was associated with a lower chance of having "decayed" and "missing" teeth, but with a higher chance of having "filled" teeth. These risk indicators should be considered in prevention program planning if reduction of tooth loss is to be achieved.

Susceptibility to dental caries and the salivary proline-rich proteins

Early childhood caries affects 28% of children aged 2–6 in the US and is not decreasing. There is a well-recognized need to identify susceptible children at birth. Caries-free adults neutralize bacterial acids in dental biofilms better than adults with severe caries. Saliva contains acidic and basic proline-rich proteins (PRPs) which attach to oral streptococci. The PRPs are encoded within a small region of chromosome 12. An acidic PRP allele (Db) protects Caucasian children from caries but is more common in African Americans. Some basic PRP allelic phenotypes have a three-fold greater frequency in caries-free adults than in those with severe caries. Early childhood caries may associate with an absence of certain basic PRP alleles which bind oral streptococci, neutralize biofilm acids, and are in linkage disequilibrium with Db in Caucasians. The encoding of basic PRP alleles is updated and a new technology for genotyping them is described.

Incidence of caries lesions in approximal surfaces: a radiographic study of a general adult Danish population

The aim was to describe the incidence of caries lesions in a randomly selected adult population, and to identify risk factors related to the incidence of caries lesions in approximal surfaces. In 1997, 616 adults participated in a study including a radiographic survey. In 2003 these individuals were contacted again and offered a second radiographic survey; 473 consented and attended this examination. In approximal surfaces, presence/absence of caries lesions and presence and type of coronal fillings were recorded. The incidence of caries lesions in surfaces with no caries lesions in 1997 was studied. Potential risk factors included information at three levels: (1) person, (2) tooth, and (3) surface. The analysis was carried out by multilevel logistic regression. For the analyses 23,701 approximal surfaces were eligible. In 23,243 approximal surfaces no caries lesions were detected in 1997, 17,007 of these were surfaces without fillings, and 6,236 were filled surfaces. In unfilled surfaces several factors affected the risk for development of a caries lesion: young age, high number of fillings, number of teeth and status of the adjacent surface. In filled surfaces few factors affected the incidence of caries lesions: status of the adjacent surface, smoking and distal surfaces. Differences in risk factor patterns for the incidence of caries lesions were found for unfilled and filled surfaces. The study emphasizes the importance of assessing factors related to the incidence of caries lesions in adults. Further it underlines the need to analyse the fate of filled surfaces separately, because once a surface has received a filling it needs continuous attendance.