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Yang Z, Qin T, Wang H. Progress of evapotranspiration research based on VOSviewer: A review. WATER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY : A JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION ON WATER POLLUTION RESEARCH 2024; 89:1063-1081. [PMID: 38423617 PMCID: wst_2024_036 DOI: 10.2166/wst.2024.036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/02/2024]
Abstract
Evapotranspiration (ET) is a key link between atmospheric processes and land surface hydrological processes. With the impact of global warming and human activities, research on ET has become a hot topic. Supported by a total of 1,222 Chinese and English literatures from China National Knowledge Infrastructure and the Web of Science Core Collection from 2013 to 2022, this paper adopts the bibliometric visualization method to review the current research progress and future trend of ET with respect to the time of publication, countries, institutions, journals, and research hotspots. The results show that the number of related research articles is increasing rapidly and the journals with high citations are Journal of Hydrology, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology and Agricultural Water Management. The research hotspots have been focused on prototype observation, remote sensing inversion, mechanism equation, model simulation, spatial-temporal analysis, and attribution identification. In the future, there is an urgent need to integrate algorithms such as machine learning and artificial intelligence, to develop higher resolution remote sensing products, to improve the mechanism equations based on precise observations, and to clarify the impact of synergistic effects on ET among the driving factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zetian Yang
- School of Water Conservancy and Transportation, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, China; State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China E-mail:
| | - Tianling Qin
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
| | - Huiliang Wang
- School of Water Conservancy and Transportation, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, China
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Lyu S, Guo C, Zhai Y, Huang M, Zhang G, Zhang Y, Cheng L, Liu Q, Zhou Y, Woods R, Zhang J. Characterising baseflow signature variability in the Yellow River Basin. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2023; 345:118565. [PMID: 37429090 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2023] [Revised: 06/25/2023] [Accepted: 07/01/2023] [Indexed: 07/12/2023]
Abstract
Baseflow is pivotal in maintaining catchment ecological health and improving sustainable economic development. The Yellow River Basin (YRB) is northern China's most important water supplier. However, it faces water shortage due to synergistic effects between natural conditions and anthropogenic activities. Investigating baseflow characteristics quantitively is, therefore, beneficial to promoting the sustainable development of the YRB. In this study, daily ensemble means baseflow data derived from four revised baseflow separation algorithms (i.e., the United Kingdom Institute of Hydrology (UKIH), Lyne-Hollick, Chapman-Maxwell, and Eckhardt methods) - was obtained from 2001 to 2020. Thirteen baseflow dynamics signatures were extracted to investigate baseflow spatiotemporal variations and their determinants across the YRB. The main findings were: (1) There were significant spatial distribution patterns of baseflow signatures, and most signatures had higher values in upstream and downstream reaches than in the middle reaches. There were also mixing patterns with higher values in middle and downstream reaches simultaneously. (2) The magnitude of temporal variation in baseflow signatures was most strongly correlated with catchment terrain (r = -0.4), vegetation growth (r > 0.3), and cropland coverage (r > 0.4). (3) There was a strong synergistic effect of multiple factors (e.g., soil textures, precipitation and vegetation conditions) on baseflow signature values. This study provided a heuristic evaluation of baseflow characteristics in the YRB, contributing to water resources management in the YRB and similar catchments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shixuan Lyu
- College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, 250358, China; Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
| | - Chunling Guo
- College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, 250358, China
| | - Yuyu Zhai
- College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, 250358, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China; University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
| | - Mengdong Huang
- Key Laboratory for Resource Use and Environmental Remediation, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China; University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China; College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
| | - Guotao Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Yongqiang Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Lei Cheng
- State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China; Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Water System Science for Sponge City Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Qiang Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China; Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
| | - Yuyan Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China
| | - Ross Woods
- Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
| | - Junlong Zhang
- College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, 250358, China.
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Meng H, Zhang J. Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on water quality in China during 2020 and 2022: two case surges. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023:10.1007/s11356-023-27962-7. [PMID: 37284955 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-27962-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2022] [Accepted: 05/24/2023] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 severely affected the world in 2020. Taking the two outbreaks in China in 2020 and 2022 as examples, the spatiotemporal changes in surface water quality levels and CODMn and NH3-N concentrations were analyzed, and the relationships between the variations in the two pollutants and environmental and social factors were evaluated. The results showed that during the two lockdowns, due to the total water consumption (including industrial, agricultural, and domestic water) decreased, the proportion of good water quality increased by 6.22% and 4.58%, and the proportion of polluted water decreased by 6.00% and 3.98%, the quality of water environment has been improved significantly. However, the proportion of excellent water quality decreased by 6.19% after entering the unlocking period. Before the second lockdown period, the average CODMn concentration exhibited a "falling, rising, and falling" trend, while the average NH3-N concentration changed in the opposite direction. The correlation analysis revealed that the increasing trend of pollutant concentrations was positively correlated with longitude and latitude, and weakly correlated with DEM and precipitation. A slight decrease trend in NH3-N concentration was negatively correlated with the population density variation and positively correlated with the temperature variation. The relationship between the change in the number of confirmed cases in provincial regions and the change in pollutant concentrations was uncertain, with positive and negative correlations. This study demonstrates the impact of lockdowns on water quality and the possibility of improving water quality through artificial regulation, which can provide a reference basis for water environmental management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haobin Meng
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Resource Environment and Geographic Information System, Capital Normal University, Beijing, 100048, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Key Laboratory of 3D Information Acquisition and Application of Ministry of Education, Capital Normal University, Beijing, 100048, China.
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Ma B, Jing J, Liu B, Wang Y, He H. Assessing the contribution of human activities and climate change to the dynamics of NPP in ecologically fragile regions. Glob Ecol Conserv 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/j.gecco.2023.e02393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
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Regional and Phased Vegetation Responses to Climate Change Are Different in Southwest China. LAND 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/land11081179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
Southwestern China (SW) is simultaneously affected by the East Asian monsoon, South Asian monsoon and westerly winds, forming a complex and diverse distribution pattern of climate types, resulting in a low interpretation rate of vegetation changes by climate factors in the region. This study explored the response characteristics of vegetation to climatic factors in the whole SW and the core area of typical climate type and the phased changes in response, adopting the form of “top-down”, using linear trend method, moving average method and correlation coefficient, and based on the climate data of CRU TS v. 4.02 for the period 1982–2017 and the annual maximum, 3/4 quantile, median, 1/4 quantile, minimum and average (abbreviated as P100, P75, P50, P25, P5 and Mean) of GIMMS NDVI, which were to characterize vegetation growth conditions. Coupling with the trend and variability of climate change, we identified four major types of climate change in the SW, including the significant increase in both temperature and precipitation (T+*-P+*), the only significant increase in temperature and decrease (T+*-P−) or increase (T+*-P+) of precipitation and no significant change (NSC). We then screened out nine typical areas of climate change types (i.e., core areas (CAs)), followed by one T+*-P+* area, which was located in the center of the lake basin of the Qiangtang Plateau. The response of vegetation to climatic factors in T+*-P+* area/T+*-P+ areas and T+*-P− areas/NSC areas were mainly manifested in an increase and a significant decrease, which makes the response characteristics of vegetation to climatic factors in the whole SW have different directionality at different growth stages. Our results may provide new ideas for clearly showing the complexity and heterogeneity of the vegetation response to climate change in the region under the background of global warming.
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Zhang X, Nian L, Liu X, Li X, Adingo S, Liu X, Wang Q, Yang Y, Zhang M, Hui C, Yu W, Zhang X, Ma W, Zhang Y. Spatial-Temporal Correlations between Soil pH and NPP of Grassland Ecosystems in the Yellow River Source Area, China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph19148852. [PMID: 35886703 PMCID: PMC9323939 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19148852] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2022] [Revised: 07/16/2022] [Accepted: 07/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
In recent years, ecological concerns such as vegetation destruction, permafrost deterioration, and river drying have been paid much more attention to on the Yellow River Basin in China. Soil pH is regarded to be the fundamental variable among soil properties for vegetation growth, while net primary productivity (NPP) is also an essential indicator to reflect the healthy growth of vegetation. Due to the limitation of on-site samples, the spatial−temporal variations in soil pH and NPP, as well as their intrinsic mechanisms, remain unknown, especially in the Yellow River source area, China. Therefore, it is imperative to investigate the coupling relationship between soil pH and NPP of the area. The study coupled MODIS reflectance data (MOD09A1) with on-site soil pH to estimate spatial−temporal variations in soil pH, explore the response of NPP to soil pH, and assess the extent to which they contribute to grassland ecosystems, thus helping to fill knowledge gaps. Results indicated that the surface spectral reflectance for seven bands could express the geographic pattern of soil pH by applying a multiple linear regression equation; NPP exhibited an increasing trend while soil pH was the contrary in summer from 2000 to 2021. In summer, NPP was negatively correlated with soil pH and there was a lag effect in the response of NPP to soil pH, revealing a correlation between temperate steppes > montane meadows > alpine meadows > swamps in different grassland ecosystems. In addition, contribution indices for temperate steppes and montane meadows were positive whereas they were negative for swamps and alpine meadows, which are apparent findings. The contribution index of montane and alpine meadows was greater than that of temperate steppes and swamps. The approach of the study can enable managers to easily identify and rehabilitate alkaline soil and provides an important reference and practical value for ecological restoration and sustainable development of grassland ecosystems in alpine regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoning Zhang
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Lili Nian
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Xingyu Liu
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Xiaodan Li
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Management, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China;
| | - Samuel Adingo
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
| | - Xuelu Liu
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Quanxi Wang
- College of Humanities and Law, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110169, China;
| | - Yingbo Yang
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Miaomiao Zhang
- College of Management, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China;
| | - Caihong Hui
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Wenting Yu
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Xinyu Zhang
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Wenjun Ma
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
| | - Yaoquan Zhang
- College of Forestry, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (X.Z.); (L.N.); (X.L.); (X.L.); (S.A.); (W.M.); (Y.Z.)
- College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China; (Y.Y.); (C.H.); (W.Y.); (X.Z.)
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Gimeno F, Galleguillos M, Manuschevich D, Zambrano-Bigiarini M. A coupled modeling approach to assess the effect of forest policies in water provision: A biophysical evaluation of a drought-prone rural catchment in south-central Chile. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 830:154608. [PMID: 35314246 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154608] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2021] [Revised: 03/11/2022] [Accepted: 03/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
The effect of different forest conservation policies on water provision has been poorly investigated due to a lack of an integrative methodological framework that enables its quantification. We developed a method for assessing the effects of forest conservation policies on water provision for rural inhabitants, based on a land-use model coupled with an eco-hydrological model. We used as a case study the Lumaco catchment, Chile, a territory dominated by native forests (NF) and non-native tree farms, with an extended dry period where nearly 12,600 people of rural communities get drinking water through water trucks. We analyzed three land-use policy scenarios: i) a baseline scenario based on historical land-cover maps; ii) a NF Recovery and Protection (NFRP) scenario, based on an earlier implementation of the first NF Recovery and Forestry Development bill; and iii) a Pristine (PR) scenario, based on potential vegetation belts; the latter two based on Dyna CLUE, and simulated between 1990 and 2015. Impacts on water provision from each scenario were computed with SWAT. The NFRP scenario resulted in an increase of 6974 ha of NF regarding the baseline situation, and the PR scenario showed an increase of 26,939 ha of NF. Despite large differences in NF areas, slight increases in inflows (Q) were found between the NFRP and the PR scenarios, with relative differences with respect to the baseline of 0.3% and 2.5% for NFRP and PR, respectively. Notwithstanding, these small differences in the NFRP scenario, they become larger if we analyze the cumulative values during the dry season only (December, January, and February), where they reach 1.1% in a normal year and 3.1% in a dry year. Flows increases were transformed into water truck costs resulting in up to 441,876 USD (monthly) of fiscal spending that could be avoided during a dry period.
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Affiliation(s)
- F Gimeno
- Doctorado en Ciencias de Recursos Naturales, Universidad de la Frontera, Temuco, Chile.
| | - M Galleguillos
- Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Santiago, Chile; Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Universidad Adolfo Ibañez, Santiago, Chile.
| | - D Manuschevich
- Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Santiago, Chile; Instituto de Ecología y Biodiversidad, Santiago, Chile; Departamento de Geografía, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
| | - M Zambrano-Bigiarini
- Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR)2, Santiago, Chile; Departamento de Ingeniería en Obras Civiles, Universidad de La Frontera, Temuco, Chile.
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Assessment and Inter-Comparison of Multi-Source High Spatial Resolution Evapotranspiration Products over Lancang–Mekong River Basin, Southeast Asia. REMOTE SENSING 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/rs14030479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Evapotranspiration (ET) plays a crucial role in water balance within the global hydrological cycle. Timely assessment of ET products can provide the scientific basis for quantitative analysis of hydrological cycle processes and water resources assessment. In this paper, four high spatial resolution remote sensing ET products—the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer global terrestrial evapotranspiration product (MOD16), the ET product based on Penman–Monteith–Leuning equation version 2 (PML-V2), the ET product based on the Breathing Earth System Simulator (BESS) and the ET product of the Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS)—were firstly assessed using the eddy covariance (EC) of different vegetation types in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin (LMRB). To fully assess the performances of these four products, spatiotemporal inter-comparisons and literature comparisons were also conducted across different climatic zones. The results are summarized as follows: (1) MOD16 does not perform well as compared to the other three products, with its Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) being higher than GLASS, PML-V2 and BESS, which are approximately 0.47 mm/8-day, 0.66 mm/8-day, and 0.90 mm/8-day, respectively; (2) the performance of each product varies across different vegetation types, and even within the same climate zone. PML-V2 performs best in evergreen broadleaf forests, BESS performs best in deciduous broadleaf forests and croplands, and GLASS performs best in shrubs, grasslands and mixed vegetation; (3) each product can well reflect the spatial difference brought by topography, climate and vegetation over the entire basin but all four ET products do not show either a consistent temporal trend or a uniform spatial distribution; (4) ET ranges of these four products over LMRB are consistent with previous literature in evergreen broadleaf forests, deciduous broadleaf forests, needleleaf forests and mixed forests in other regions with the same climate zones, but they show great differences in croplands, grasslands and shrubs. This study will contribute to improving our understanding of these four ET products in the different climatic zones and vegetation types over LMRB.
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Abstract
In 2009, the University of Alabama-Huntsville configured their GOES satellited-based solar radiation product to include Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands (USVI), Dominican Republic, Haiti, Jamaica, and Cuba. The half-hourly and daily integrated data are available at 1 km resolution for Puerto Rico and the USVI and 2 km for Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba. These data made it possible to implement estimates of satellite radiation-based evapotranspiration methods on all of the islands. The use of the solar radiation data in combination with estimates of other climate parameters facilitated the development of a water and energy balance algorithm for Puerto Rico. The purpose of this paper is to describe the theoretical background and technical approach for estimating the components of the daily water and energy balance. The operational water and energy balance model is the first of its kind in Puerto Rico. Model validation results are presented for reference and actual evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and streamflow. Mean errors for all analyses were less than 7%. The water and energy balance model results can benefit such diverse fields as agriculture, ecology, coastal water management, human health, renewable energy development, water resources, drought monitoring, and disaster and emergency management. This research represents a preliminary step in developing a suite of gridded hydro-climate products for the Caribbean Region.
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Analysing the Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Ecosystem Services in Laguna del Sauce (Uruguay) Using the SWAT Model and Remote Sensing Data. REMOTE SENSING 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/rs13102014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Assessing how climate change will affect hydrological ecosystem services (HES) provision is necessary for long-term planning and requires local comprehensive climate information. In this study, we used SWAT to evaluate the impacts on four HES, natural hazard protection, erosion control regulation and water supply and flow regulation for the Laguna del Sauce catchment in Uruguay. We used downscaled CMIP-5 global climate models for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 projections. We calibrated and validated our SWAT model for the periods 2005–2009 and 2010–2013 based on remote sensed ET data. Monthly NSE and R2 values for calibration and validation were 0.74, 0.64 and 0.79, 0.84, respectively. Our results suggest that climate change will likely negatively affect the water resources of the Laguna del Sauce catchment, especially in the RCP 8.5 scenario. In all RCP scenarios, the catchment is likely to experience a wetting trend, higher temperatures, seasonality shifts and an increase in extreme precipitation events, particularly in frequency and magnitude. This will likely affect water quality provision through runoff and sediment yield inputs, reducing the erosion control HES and likely aggravating eutrophication. Although the amount of water will increase, changes to the hydrological cycle might jeopardize the stability of freshwater supplies and HES on which many people in the south-eastern region of Uruguay depend. Despite streamflow monitoring capacities need to be enhanced to reduce the uncertainty of model results, our findings provide valuable insights for water resources planning in the study area. Hence, water management and monitoring capacities need to be enhanced to reduce the potential negative climate change impacts on HES. The methodological approach presented here, based on satellite ET data can be replicated and adapted to any other place in the world since we employed open-access software and remote sensing data for all the phases of hydrological modelling and HES provision assessment.
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