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Miranda MNS, Pingarilho M, Pimentel V, Torneri A, Seabra SG, Libin PJK, Abecasis AB. A Tale of Three Recent Pandemics: Influenza, HIV and SARS-CoV-2. Front Microbiol 2022; 13:889643. [PMID: 35722303 PMCID: PMC9201468 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2022.889643] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Accepted: 05/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Emerging infectious diseases are one of the main threats to public health, with the potential to cause a pandemic when the infectious agent manages to spread globally. The first major pandemic to appear in the 20th century was the influenza pandemic of 1918, caused by the influenza A H1N1 strain that is characterized by a high fatality rate. Another major pandemic was caused by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), that started early in the 20th century and remained undetected until 1981. The ongoing HIV pandemic demonstrated a high mortality and morbidity rate, with discrepant impacts in different regions around the globe. The most recent major pandemic event, is the ongoing pandemic of COVID-19, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which has caused over 5.7 million deaths since its emergence, 2 years ago. The aim of this work is to highlight the main determinants of the emergence, epidemic response and available countermeasures of these three pandemics, as we argue that such knowledge is paramount to prepare for the next pandemic. We analyse these pandemics’ historical and epidemiological contexts and the determinants of their emergence. Furthermore, we compare pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions that have been used to slow down these three pandemics and zoom in on the technological advances that were made in the progress. Finally, we discuss the evolution of epidemiological modelling, that has become an essential tool to support public health policy making and discuss it in the context of these three pandemics. While these pandemics are caused by distinct viruses, that ignited in different time periods and in different regions of the globe, our work shows that many of the determinants of their emergence and countermeasures used to halt transmission were common. Therefore, it is important to further improve and optimize such approaches and adapt it to future threatening emerging infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mafalda N S Miranda
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM), Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical/Universidade Nova de Lisboa (IHMT/UNL), Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Marta Pingarilho
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM), Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical/Universidade Nova de Lisboa (IHMT/UNL), Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Victor Pimentel
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM), Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical/Universidade Nova de Lisboa (IHMT/UNL), Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Andrea Torneri
- Artificial Intelligence Lab, Department of Computer Science, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Sofia G Seabra
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM), Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical/Universidade Nova de Lisboa (IHMT/UNL), Lisboa, Portugal
| | - Pieter J K Libin
- Artificial Intelligence Lab, Department of Computer Science, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.,Interuniversity Institute of Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.,Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Ana B Abecasis
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine (GHTM), Instituto de Higiene e Medicina Tropical/Universidade Nova de Lisboa (IHMT/UNL), Lisboa, Portugal
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Hufsky F, Lamkiewicz K, Almeida A, Aouacheria A, Arighi C, Bateman A, Baumbach J, Beerenwinkel N, Brandt C, Cacciabue M, Chuguransky S, Drechsel O, Finn RD, Fritz A, Fuchs S, Hattab G, Hauschild AC, Heider D, Hoffmann M, Hölzer M, Hoops S, Kaderali L, Kalvari I, von Kleist M, Kmiecinski R, Kühnert D, Lasso G, Libin P, List M, Löchel HF, Martin MJ, Martin R, Matschinske J, McHardy AC, Mendes P, Mistry J, Navratil V, Nawrocki EP, O’Toole ÁN, Ontiveros-Palacios N, Petrov AI, Rangel-Pineros G, Redaschi N, Reimering S, Reinert K, Reyes A, Richardson L, Robertson DL, Sadegh S, Singer JB, Theys K, Upton C, Welzel M, Williams L, Marz M. Computational strategies to combat COVID-19: useful tools to accelerate SARS-CoV-2 and coronavirus research. Brief Bioinform 2021; 22:642-663. [PMID: 33147627 PMCID: PMC7665365 DOI: 10.1093/bib/bbaa232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2020] [Revised: 07/28/2020] [Accepted: 08/26/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) is a novel virus of the family Coronaviridae. The virus causes the infectious disease COVID-19. The biology of coronaviruses has been studied for many years. However, bioinformatics tools designed explicitly for SARS-CoV-2 have only recently been developed as a rapid reaction to the need for fast detection, understanding and treatment of COVID-19. To control the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it is of utmost importance to get insight into the evolution and pathogenesis of the virus. In this review, we cover bioinformatics workflows and tools for the routine detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the reliable analysis of sequencing data, the tracking of the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluation of containment measures, the study of coronavirus evolution, the discovery of potential drug targets and development of therapeutic strategies. For each tool, we briefly describe its use case and how it advances research specifically for SARS-CoV-2. All tools are free to use and available online, either through web applications or public code repositories. Contact:evbc@unj-jena.de.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Christian Brandt
- Institute of Infectious Disease and Infection Control at Jena University Hospital, Germany
| | - Marco Cacciabue
- Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tócnicas (CONICET) working on FMDV virology at the Instituto de Agrobiotecnología y Biología Molecular (IABiMo, INTA-CONICET) and at the Departamento de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad Nacional de Luján (UNLu), Argentina
| | | | - Oliver Drechsel
- bioinformatics department at the Robert Koch-Institute, Germany
| | | | - Adrian Fritz
- Computational Biology of Infection Research group of Alice C. McHardy at the Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Germany
| | - Stephan Fuchs
- bioinformatics department at the Robert Koch-Institute, Germany
| | - Georges Hattab
- Bioinformatics Division at Philipps-University Marburg, Germany
| | | | - Dominik Heider
- Data Science in Biomedicine at the Philipps-University of Marburg, Germany
| | | | | | - Stefan Hoops
- Biocomplexity Institute and Initiative at the University of Virginia, USA
| | - Lars Kaderali
- Bioinformatics and head of the Institute of Bioinformatics at University Medicine Greifswald, Germany
| | | | - Max von Kleist
- bioinformatics department at the Robert Koch-Institute, Germany
| | - Renó Kmiecinski
- bioinformatics department at the Robert Koch-Institute, Germany
| | | | - Gorka Lasso
- Chandran Lab, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Alice C McHardy
- Computational Biology of Infection Research Lab at the Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research in Braunschweig, Germany
| | - Pedro Mendes
- Center for Quantitative Medicine of the University of Connecticut School of Medicine, USA
| | | | - Vincent Navratil
- Bioinformatics and Systems Biology at the Rhône Alpes Bioinformatics core facility, Universitó de Lyon, France
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Nicole Redaschi
- Development of the Swiss-Prot group at the SIB for UniProt and SIB resources that cover viral biology (ViralZone)
| | - Susanne Reimering
- Computational Biology of Infection Research group of Alice C. McHardy at the Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research
| | | | | | | | | | - Sepideh Sadegh
- Chair of Experimental Bioinformatics at Technical University of Munich, Germany
| | - Joshua B Singer
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | | | - Chris Upton
- Department of Biochemistry and Microbiology, University of Victoria, Canada
| | | | | | - Manja Marz
- Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany
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An Evolutionary Model-Based Approach To Quantify the Genetic Barrier to Drug Resistance in Fast-Evolving Viruses and Its Application to HIV-1 Subtypes and Integrase Inhibitors. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2019; 63:AAC.00539-19. [PMID: 31109980 DOI: 10.1128/aac.00539-19] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2019] [Accepted: 05/15/2019] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Viral pathogens causing global disease burdens are often characterized by high rates of evolutionary changes. The extensive viral diversity at baseline can shorten the time to escape from therapeutic or immune selective pressure and alter mutational pathways. The impact of genotypic background on the barrier to resistance can be difficult to capture, particularly for agents in experimental stages or that are recently approved or expanded into new patient populations. We developed an evolutionary model-based counting method to quickly quantify the population genetic potential to resistance and assess population differences. We demonstrate its applicability to HIV-1 integrase inhibitors, as their increasing use globally contrasts with limited availability of non-B subtype resistant sequence data and corresponding knowledge gap. A large sequence data set encompassing most prevailing HIV-1 subtypes and resistance-associated mutations of currently approved integrase inhibitors was investigated. A complex interplay between codon predominance, polymorphisms, and associated evolutionary costs resulted in a subtype-dependent varied genetic potential for 15 resistance mutations against integrase inhibitors. While we confirm the lower genetic barrier of subtype B for G140S, we convincingly discard a similar effect previously suggested for G140C. A supplementary analysis for HIV-1 reverse transcriptase inhibitors identified a lower genetic barrier for K65R in subtype C through differential codon usage not reported before. To aid evolutionary interpretations of genomic differences for antiviral strategies, we advanced existing counting methods with increased sensitivity to identify subtype dependencies of resistance emergence. Future applications include novel HIV-1 drug classes or vaccines, as well as other viral pathogens.
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