Predictors of the outcomes of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure

Impact of compensated cirrhosis on survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background and aims

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is considered a main prognostic event in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). We analyzed the 28-day and 90-day mortality in ACLF patients with or without underlying cirrhosis enrolled in the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) database.

Methods

A total of 1,621 patients were prospectively enrolled and 637 (39.3%) of these patients had cirrhosis. Baseline characteristics, complications and mortality were compared between patients with and without cirrhosis.

Results

Alcohol consumption was more common in cirrhosis than non-cirrhosis (66.4% vs. 44.2%, p < 0.0001), while non-alcoholic fatty liver disease/cryptogenic CLD (10.9% vs 5.8%, p < 0.0001) and chronic HBV reactivation (18.8% vs 11.8%, p < 0.0001) were more common in non-cirrhosis. Only 0.8% of patients underwent liver transplantation. Overall, 28-day and 90-day mortality rates were 39.3% and 49.9%, respectively. Patients with cirrhosis had a greater chance of survival compared to those without cirrhosis both at 28-day (HR = 0.48; 95% CI 0.36–0.63, p < 0.0001) and 90-day (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.43–0.72, p < 0.0001), respectively. In alcohol CLD, non-cirrhosis patients had a higher 28-day (49.9% vs. 23.6%, p < 0.001) and 90-day (58.4% vs. 35.2%, p < 0.001) mortality rate than cirrhosis patients. ACLF patients with cirrhosis had longer mean survival than non-cirrhosis patients (25.5 vs. 18.8 days at 28-day and 65.2 vs. 41.2 days at 90-day). Exaggerated systemic inflammation might be the reason why non-cirrhosis patients had a poorer prognosis than those with cirrhosis after ACLF had occurred.

Conclusions

The 28-day and 90-day mortality rates of ACLF patients without cirrhosis were significantly higher than those with cirrhosis in alcoholic CLD. The presence of cirrhosis and its stage should be evaluated at baseline to guide for management. Thai Clinical Trials Registry, TCTR20191226002.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12072-021-10266-8.

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease With Additional Criteria to Predict Short-Term Mortality in Severe Flares of Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognosis in severe acute flares of chronic hepatitis B (AFOCHB) is often unclear. The current study aimed to establish the predictive value using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score for short-term mortality for severe AFOCHB.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with severe AFOCHB with bilirubin > 50 µmol/L, alanine aminotransferase > 10× upper limit of normal, and international normalized ratio > 1.5 were included. All patients were commenced on entecavir and/or tenofovir. Laboratory results and MELD scores were pooled to calculate mortality at four time points (days 7, 14, 21, and 28). A total of 240 patients were included. Median hepatitis B virus DNA was 7.77 log IU/mL (range, 4.11-10.06), and 49 (20.4%) were hepatitis B e antigen-positive. The 7, 14, 21, and 28-day survival was 96.7%, 88.5%, 79.5%, and 72.8%, respectively. Using pooled results derived from 4,201 blood samples, the area under the receiver operating curve for the MELD score to predict day 7, 14, 21, and 28 mortality was 0.909, 0.892, 0.883, and 0.871, respectively. For MELD ≤ 28, mortality at day 28 was low (<25%) compared with > 50% mortality for MELD ≥ 32. For MELD = 28-32, higher day-28 mortality was observed for four criteria: age ≥52 years, alanine aminotransferase > 217 U/L, platelets < 127, and abnormal baseline imaging (all P < 0.001). In this MELD bracket, the 28-day mortality was 0%, 12.1%, 23.8%, 59.4%, and 78.8% for the presence of zero, one, two, three, and four criteria, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

MELD score at any time points can accurately predict the short-term mortality. Patients with MELD ≥ 28 should be worked up for liver transplantation, and those with MELD = 28-32 with three to four at-risk criteria, or MELD ≥ 32 should be listed.

The clinical parameters for the diagnosis of hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure with sepsis

It is still unknown that whether sepsis with hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) fit into the conventional diagnostic criteria of sepsis. Our aim was to investigate the potential clinical parameters for the diagnosis of HBV-ACLF with sepsis. A retrospective study was conducted in 43 patients with HBV-ACLF and sepsis who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation. All patients were divided into three groups according to the pathological results and laboratory test results. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining, hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and Gordon Sweet’s reticulin staining were performed in this study. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartale aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBiL), cholinesterase (CHE), albumin (ALB), prothrombin activity (PTA), blood routine examination were detected. The results being chosen at admission and before transplantation were analyzed. TBiL had a significant increase (563.5 ± 191.8 umol/L vs. 383.9 ± 157.6 umol/L, 438.3 ± 154.7 umol/L, P = 0.031) and ALT significantly decreased (81.6 ± 66.4 U/L, 754.5 ± 1084.7 U/L, 120.6 ± 102.5 U/L, P = 0.005) in sepsis group before liver transplantation. When sepsis appeared in patients with HBV-ACLF, the ratio of PLT to WBC count before liver transplantation was much lower than it at admission (4.6 ± 2.0 vs. 16.1 ± 7.2, P = 0.000). In conclusion, the clinical parameters of sepsis in patients with HBV-ACLF should be reset. The ratio of PLT/WBC and (WBC_BLT/WBC_AA)/ (PLT_BLT/PLT_AA) could remind us the occurring of sepsis in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Identification and management of patients with severe exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B

Some patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have a high risk to progress to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Early identification and intervention of this group of patients are important to improve their prognosis. In China, the progression from CHB to ACLF has been termed severe acute exacerbation (SAE) of CHB. However, due to the fact that it is difficult to predict the outcomes of patients with CHB, it is reasonable to include these patients who have a high tendency to progress to ACLF as patients with SAE of CHB. It remains unclear how to identify this progression in patients with SAE of CHB. Therefore, it is needed to establish uniform criteria to identify patients with SAE. In this review, we discuss the identification and management of patients with SAE of CHB.

A Randomized Controlled Trial of Glycyrrhizin Plus Tenofovir vs. Tenofovir in Chronic Hepatitis B with Severe Acute Exacerbation

Objectives:

Severe acute exacerbation (SAE) of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may progress to liver failure with high potential mortality despite the prompt treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogs. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of glycyrrhizin in the treatment of CHB with SAE.

Methods:

Sixty patients with SAE of CHB were randomly treated with tenofovir plus intravenous glycyrrhizin (group A, n=30) or with tenofovir alone (group B, n=30). Primary end points were the improvement of serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score. Secondary end point was overall mortality or receipt of liver transplantation by week 24.

Results:

Patients in group A had significant reductions of serum AST and ALT levels from baseline at days 3, 5, 8, and 15 than those in group B (all P<0.05). The MELD score significantly decreased since week 1 in the group A patients, whereas there were no changes relative to baseline in group B patients at weeks 1 and 2. By week 24, one (3.3%) of group A patients and four (13.3%) of group B patients died (n=3) or received liver transplantation (n=1) (P=0.177). Multivariate analysis identified baseline MELD score (P=0.021) as an independent factor for mortality or receipt of liver transplantation. There were no differences in the rates of grade 3 hypertension, hypokalemia and ascites between two groups.

Conclusions:

Early introduction of glycyrrhizin can be safe and helpful for patients with SAE of CHB.

Classification and regression tree analysis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: Seeing the forest for the trees

At present, there is no ideal model for predicting the short-term outcome of patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). This study aimed to establish and validate a prognostic model by using the classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. A total of 1047 patients from two separate medical centres with suspected ACHBLF were screened in the study, which were recognized as derivation cohort and validation cohort, respectively. CART analysis was applied to predict the 3-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. The accuracy of the CART model was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, which was compared with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and a new logistic regression model. CART analysis identified four variables as prognostic factors of ACHBLF: total bilirubin, age, serum sodium and INR, and three distinct risk groups: low risk (4.2%), intermediate risk (30.2%-53.2%) and high risk (81.4%-96.9%). The new logistic regression model was constructed with four independent factors, including age, total bilirubin, serum sodium and prothrombin activity by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performances of the CART model (0.896), similar to the logistic regression model (0.914, P=.382), exceeded that of MELD score (0.667, P<.001). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. We have developed and validated a novel CART model superior to MELD for predicting three-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. Thus, the CART model could facilitate medical decision-making and provide clinicians with a validated practical bedside tool for ACHBLF risk stratification.

Prognostic performance of clinical indices and model scorings for acute-on-chronic liver failure: A study of 164 patients

The present study aimed to analyze the prognostic factors of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), with the perspective of an improved selection of optimal therapeutic schemes. A retrospective analysis was used to study 164 patients with ACLF hospitalized between 2010 and 2014 in a single center. Patients were divided into favorable and unfavorable groups, according to the treatment outcomes. General characteristics and clinical manifestations were analyzed to determine whether they would affect the prognosis of the patients with ACLF, with a particular focus on the scoring systems Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD with incorporation of sodium (MELD-Na), MELD and serum sodium ratio (MESO) and integrated MELD (iMELD). Hepatitis B virus infection was the predominant cause of ACLF, accounting for 88 cases (53.7%). Age, prothrombin time, thrombin time, international normalized ratio (INR), prothrombin activity, serum sodium, albumin, total bilirubin, serum creatinine, platelets, fasting blood sugar, infections, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), and electrolyte disorder were revealed to be associated with prognosis. Age, serum sodium, INR, HRS, and infection were independent prognostic risk factors, as determined by multivariate analysis. Child-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, MESO and iMELD scoring systems all demonstrated adequate predictive values, with MELD-Na as the most effective scoring system. In conclusion, age, hyponatremia, INR, HRS and bacterial or fungal infections were reported to be independent prognostic risk factors for ACLF. Among the various liver function scoring systems, MELD-Na was the most accurate in predicting the prognosis of ACLF.

Simple organ failure count versus CANONIC grading system for predicting mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study assessed the utility of a simple organ failure count (SOFC) in predicting the in-hospital mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) compared with Chronic Liver Failure Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Cirrhosis (CANONIC) ACLF grading system.

METHODS

Consecutive patients of ACLF were included prospectively from 2012 to 2013. The diagnosis was based on Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria except for the inclusion of non-hepatic insults as acute events. Organ failures were defined as per the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment system. SOFC was calculated as the simple number of organ failures from 0 to 6. In-hospital mortality was recorded.

RESULTS

Majority (92[87%]) of the 106 patients included were males, had alcohol (76[72%]) as the etiology of cirrhosis, and alcoholic hepatitis (58[55%]) as the acute precipitating event. Overall, 51(48%) patients died in-hospital. In-hospital mortality in patients with SOFC of 0 (n = 9), 1 (n = 39), 2 (n = 24), 3 (n = 24), 4 (n = 7), and 5 (n = 3) was 0%, 26%, 58%, 71%, 100%, and 100% respectively (P < 0.001), whereas it was 10%, 30%, 58%, and 79% in patients with no-ACLF (n = 21), grades 1 (n = 27), 2 (n = 24), and 3 ACLF (n = 34) respectively (P < 0.001). Patients with no-ACLF (n = 21) had higher mortality than SOFC 0 as they included 9 patients with SOFC 0 (0% mortality) and 12 patients with SOFC 1 (17% mortality). Mortality was similar between 12 no-ACLF and 27 grade 1 ACLF patients (P = 0.462) that comprised SOFC 1.

CONCLUSION

SOFC is a simpler and better method than the CANONIC grading system for predicting the in-hospital mortality in patients with ACLF defined as per APASL criteria.

Management of chronic hepatitis B in severe liver disease

In the past few decades, chronic hepatitis B (CHB) has evolved from a disease that was untreatable and progressive, to one that can be easily controlled with antiviral therapy. However, patients with severe liver disease still remain difficult to treat despite the availability of highly potent nucleos(t)ide analogs. These include those with underlying cirrhosis, severe flares of CHB, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and for those undergoing liver transplantation. For those with established cirrhosis, antiviral therapy should be considered for all, as unpredictable flares can still occur, which can be fatal for those with advanced chronic liver disease. However, even with effective viral suppression, the development of HCC can still occur. For patients with severe flares of CHB, although the use of antiviral can improve long term outcomes, a significant proportion may still die without liver transplantation. The short term prognosis of these patients is dependent on both the severity of flare and underlying pre-existing liver disease. In patients with decompensated cirrhosis, liver failure secondary to severe flares, or those with HCC, liver transplantation may be curative. After liver transplantation, long term antiviral therapy is required to prevent graft loss from recurrent hepatitis B infection. The use of hepatitis B immune globulin (HBIG) in combination with an oral antiviral agent has been the mainstay of post-transplant antiviral regimen for over a decade. With newer and more potent antiviral agents such as tenofovir and entecavir, use of these agents along with HBIG have demonstrated to be effective in preventing significant recurrence in the long term.

Potent antiviral therapy improves survival in acute on chronic liver failure due to hepatitis B virus reactivation

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a disease entity with a high mortality rate. The acute event arises from drugs and toxins, viral infections, bacterial sepsis, interventions (both surgical and non-surgical) and vascular events on top of a known or occult chronic liver disease. ACLF secondary to reactivation of chronic hepatitis B virus is a distinct condition; the high mortality of which can be managed in the wake of new potent antiviral therapy. For example, lamivudine and entecavir use has shown definite short-term survival benefits, even though drug resistance is a concern in the former. The renoprotective effects of telbivudine have been shown in a few studies to be useful in the presence of renal dysfunction. Monotherapy with newer agents such as tenofovir and a combination of nucleos(t)ides is promising for improving survival in this special group of liver disease patients. This review describes the current status of potent antiviral therapy in patient with acute on chronic liver failure due to reactivation of chronic hepatitis B, thereby providing an algorithm in management of such patients.

Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment is better than the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of Liver criteria for defining acute-on-chronic liver failure and predicting outcome

AIM: To compare the utility of the Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) and Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of Liver (APASL) definitions of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in predicting short-term prognosis of patients with ACLF.

METHODS: Consecutive patients of cirrhosis with acute decompensation were prospectively included. They were grouped into ACLF and no ACLF groups as per CLIF-SOFA and APASL criteria. Patients were followed up for 3 mo from inclusion or mortality whichever was earlier. Mortality at 28-d and 90-d was compared between no ACLF and ACLF groups as per both criteria. Mortality was also compared between different grades of ACLF as per CLIF-SOFA criteria. Prognostic scores like CLIF-SOFA, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II, Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores were evaluated for their ability to predict 28-d mortality using area under receiver operating curves (AUROC).

RESULTS: Of 50 patients, 38 had ACLF as per CLIF-SOFA and 19 as per APASL criteria. Males (86%) were predominant, alcoholic liver disease (68%) was the most common etiology of cirrhosis, sepsis (66%) was the most common cause of acute decompensation while infection (66%) was the most common precipitant of acute decompensation. The 28-d mortality in no ACLF and ACLF groups was 8.3% and 47.4% (P = 0.018) as per CLIF-SOFA and 39% and 37% (P = 0.895) as per APASL criteria. The 28-d mortality in patients with no ACLF (n = 12), ACLF grade 1 (n = 11), ACLF grade 2 (n = 14) and ACLF grade 3 (n = 13) as per CLIF-SOFA criteria was 8.3%, 18.2%, 42.9% and 76.9% (χ² for trend, P = 0.002) and 90-d mortality was 16.7%, 27.3%, 78.6% and 100% (χ² for trend, P < 0.0001) respectively. Patients with prior decompensation had similar 28-d and 90-d mortality (39.3% and 53.6%) as patients without prior decompensation (36.4% and 63.6%) (P = NS). AUROCs for 28-d mortality were 0.795, 0.787, 0.739 and 0.710 for CLIF-SOFA, APACHE-II, Child-Pugh and MELD scores respectively. On multivariate analysis of these scores, CLIF-SOFA was the only significant independent predictor of mortality with an odds ratio 1.538 (95%CI: 1.078-2.194).

CONCLUSION: CLIF-SOFA criteria is better than APASL criteria to classify patients into ACLF based on their prognosis. CLIF-SOFA score is the best predictor of short-term mortality.

Effect of a carbohydrate-containing late-evening snack on energy metabolism and fasting substrate utilization in adults with acute-on-chronic liver failure due to Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

This study investigates the effects of a carbohydrate (CHO; lotus-root starch) predominant, late-evening snack (LES), containing 200 kcal (50 g CHO) on fasting resting energy expenditure (REE) and nutrient oxidation in hospitalized adults with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

SUBJECTS/METHODS

Adults with ACLF were randomized to receive daily LES (treatment; n=35) or standard care (n=35; non-supplemented control) for 14 days. REE and respiratory quotient (RQ) were measured by indirect calorimetry, nutrient oxidation (CHO, protein and fat), intake and biochemical parameters were measured in both groups at baseline and after 14 days using validated techniques. Disease severity was measured using the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD).

RESULTS

No significant differences in macronutrient intake, anthropometric, demographic characteristics or MELD scores were observed between groups at baseline (P>0.05). Fasting RQ was significantly higher in the LES supplemented verses the control group after 2 weeks (P=0.02). CHO oxidation was significantly higher (P=0.001) and fat oxidation (P=0.02) was lower in the LES-supplemented group when compared with controls after 2 weeks. Fasting RQ and REE in the LES-supplemented group increased significantly (0.83 verses 0.88; P=0.007/1301±409 vs 1687±718 kcal/day; P=0.02) in patients with MELD scores 30 when compared with patients with MELD scores >30 (0.82 verses 0.84; P=0.27/ 1361±405 vs 1437±429 kcal/day; P=0.67) after supplementation.

CONCLUSIONS

A carbohydrate-predominant LES is associated with increases in fasting carbohydrate oxidation, REE and reductions in fat oxidation in adults with ACLF. Therapeutic strategies utilizing LES may promote improved nutritional status in adults with ACLF.

Increased CD163 expression is associated with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure

AIM: To assess CD163 expression in plasma and peripheral blood and analyze its association with disease in acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) patients.

METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted from January 1, 2011 to January 1, 2012. Forty patients with ACHBLF (mean age 44.48 ± 12.28 years, range 18-69 years), 40 patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) (mean age 39.45 ± 12.22 years, range 21-57 years) and 20 age- and sex-matched healthy controls (mean age 38.35 ± 11.97 years, range 28-60 years) were included in this study. Flow cytometry was used to analyze the frequency of CD163+ peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and surface protein expression of CD163. Real-time transcription-polymerase chain reaction was performed to assess relative CD163 mRNA levels in PBMCs. Plasma soluble CD163 (sCD163) levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Clinical variables were also recorded. Comparisons between groups were analyzed by Kruskal-Wallis H test and Mann-Whitney U test. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 15.0 software and a P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS: Flow cytometry showed that the population of CD163+ PBMCs was significantly greater in ACHBLF patients than in CHB patients and healthy controls (47.9645% ± 17.1542%, 32.0975% ± 11.0215% vs 17.9460% ± 6.3618%, P < 0.0001). However, there were no significant differences in mean fluorescence intensity of CD163+ PBMCs within the three groups (27.4975 ± 11.3731, 25.8140 ± 10.0649 vs 20.5050 ± 6.2437, P = 0.0514). CD163 mRNA expression in ACHBLF patients was significantly increased compared with CHB patients and healthy controls (1.41 × 10^-2± 2.18 × 10^-2, 5.10 × 10^-3± 3.61 × 10^-3vs 37.0 × 10^-4± 3.55 × 10^-4, P = 0.02). Plasma sCD163 levels in patients with ACHBLF were significantly increased compared with CHB patients and healthy controls (4706.2175 ± 1681.1096 ng/mL, 1089.7160 ± 736.8395 ng/mL vs 435.9562 ± 440.8329 ng/mL, P < 0.0001). In ACHBLF patients, plasma sCD163 levels were significantly positively associated with model for end-stage liver disease scores (r = 0.5075, P = 0.008), hepatitis B virus-DNA (r = 0.6827, P < 0.0001), and negatively associated with prothrombin activity (r = -0.3348, P = 0.0347), but had no correlation with total bilirubin (r = 0.2551, P = 0.1122). Furthermore, sCD163 was obviously elevated in non-surviving patients compared with surviving patients with ACHBLF (5344.9080 ± 1589.5199 ng/mL vs 3641.7333 ± 1264.5228 ng/mL, P = 0.0321).

CONCLUSION: CD163 and sCD163 may be related to disease severity and prognosis in ACHBLF patients.

Efficacy of lamivudine combined with adefovir dipivoxil in management of chronic hepatitis B with acute or sub-acute liver failure

AIM: Too investigate the efficacy of lamivudine combined with adefovir dipivoxil in the management of chronic hepatitis B with acute or sub-acute liver failure.

METHODS: Thirty-four chronic hepatitis B patients with acute or sub-acute liver failure were treated with a combination of lamivudine and adefovir, apart from traditional internal therapy. Fifty-four patients who were treated with traditional internal therapy only during the same period were used as controls. The results were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS: Significantly lower levels of serum total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase and HBV DNA were detected in the combination group compared with the control group (242.7 μmol/L ± 72.5 μmol/L vs 347.4 μmol/L ± 97.6 μmol/L, 140.2 U/L ± 59.0 U/L vs 244.1 U/L ± 65.1 U/L, 4.22 copies/L ± 1.02 copies/L vs 6.37 copies/L ± 1.35 copies/L). Prothrombin activity was significantly higher at weeks 4, 8 and 12 in the treatment group than in the control group (55.2% ± 11.2% vs 30.9% ± 11.7%, 78.3% ± 27.8% vs 53.6% ± 17.1%, 96.4% ± 20.1% vs 72.7% ± 28.3%). The mortality at weeks 24 and 48 in the treatment group was significantly lower than that in the control group (14.7% vs 33.3%, 14.7% vs 35.2%).

CONCLUSION: Lamivudine combined with adefovir is more effective than the traditional internal therapy in the management of acute or sub-acute liver failure associated with chronic hepatitis B.