Longterm Data on Disease Flares in Patients with Proliferative Lupus Nephritis in Recent Years

Alterations in exhausted and classical memory B cells in lupus nephritis - Relationship with disease relapse

INTRODUCTION

B cell exhaustion is a functional abnormality of B lymphocytes observed in chronic infections and shows association with autoreactivity. The role of exhausted and classical memory B cells in maintaining disease stability of lupus nephritis (LN) remains unclear.

METHODS

We measured classical memory (CD19+CD21+CD27+), exhausted B cells (CD19+CD21-CD27-), and related cytokines in LN patients with multiple relapses (MR) (n = 15) and no relapse (NR) (n = 15) during disease remission. The expression of inhibitory/adhesion molecules, cell proliferation and calcium mobilization in classical memory and exhausted B cells were also assessed.

RESULTS

The MR group had higher proportion of circulating exhausted and classical memory B cells compared to the NR group and healthy controls (HC) (p all <0.05 for MR vs. NR or HC). Blood levels of IL-6, BAFF, IL-21, CD62L, CXCR3 and Siglec-6 were all higher in the MR group (p < 0.05, for all). Exhausted B cells from the MR group showed higher FcRL4, CD22, CD85j and CD183 but lower CD62L expression than NR and HC groups. Exhausted B cells from MR patients exhibited reduced proliferation compared to NR patients and HC, while classical memory B cell proliferation in MR group was higher than the other two groups. Exhausted B cells from both MR and NR patients showed impaired calcium mobilization.

CONCLUSION

Alterations in exhausted and classical memory B cells are related to disease relapse in LN. These findings may help devise new strategies for monitoring disease activity and preventing relapse in LN.

Renal relapse in children and adolescents with childhood-onset lupus nephritis: a 20-year study

OBJECTIVES

There is little data on renal relapse in childhood-onset LN (cLN). We investigate the incidence, predictive factors and outcomes related to renal relapse.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all cLN diagnosed at ≤18 years between 2001-2021 to investigate the incidence and outcomes related to renal relapse.

RESULTS

Ninety-five Chinese cLN patients (91% proliferative LN) were included. Induction immunosuppression was prednisolone and CYC [n = 36 (38%)] or MMF [n = 33 (35%)]. Maintenance immunosuppression was prednisolone and MMF [n = 53 (54%)] or AZA [n = 29 (31%)]. The rates of complete remission/partial remission (CR/PR) at 12 months were 78.9%/7.4%. Seventy renal relapses occurred in 39 patients over a follow-up of 10.2 years (s.d. 5.9) (0.07 episode/patient-year). Relapse-free survival was 94.7, 86.0, 80.1, 71.2, 68.3, 50.3 and 44.5% at 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10 and 20 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that LN diagnosis <13.1 years [adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) 2.59 995% CI 1.27, 5.29), P = 0.01], AZA maintenance [HRadj 2.20 (95% CI 1.01, 4.79), P = 0.05], PR [HRadj 3.9 (95% CI 1.03, 9.19), P = 0.01] and non-remission [HRadj 3.08 (95% CI 1.35, 11.3), P = 0.04] at 12 months were predictive of renal relapse. Renal relapse was significantly associated with advanced chronic kidney disease (stages 3-5) and end-stage kidney disease (17.9% vs 1.8%, P < 0.01). Furthermore, patients with renal relapse showed an increased incidence of infections (30.8% vs 10.7%, P = 0.02), osteopenia (38.5% vs 17.9%, P = 0.04) and hypertension (30.8% vs 7.1%, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Renal relapse is common among cLN, especially among young patients, and is associated with an increased incidence of morbidity and mortality. Attaining CR and the use of MMF appear to decrease the incidence of renal relapse.

Predictors of renal relapse in Koreans with lupus nephritis after achieving complete response: a 35-years of experience at a single center

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Renal relapse has known to be a poor prognostic factor in patients with lupus nephritis (LN), but there were few studies that identified the risk factors of renal relapse in real world. We conducted this study based on 35-years of experience at a single center to find out predictors of renal relapse in Korean patients with LN after achieving complete response (CR).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical, laboratory, pathologic and therapeutic parameters in 296 patients of LN who reached CR. The cumulative risk and the independent risk factors for renal relapse were examined by Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, respectively.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period from CR was 123 months. Renal relapse had occurred in 157 patients. Renal relapse occurred in 38.2%, 57.6% and 67.9% of patients within 5-, 10-, and 20-year, respectively. The age at diagnosis of SLE and LN were significantly younger, and the proportions of severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia were higher in patients with renal relapse. Interestingly, the proportion of receiving cytotoxic maintenance treatment was higher in patients with renal relapse. In Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, only young-age onset of LN (by 10 years, HR = 0.779, p = 0.007) was identified to independent predictor of renal relapse.

CONCLUSION

Young-age onset of LN was only independent predictor and the patients with severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia also tended to relapse more, despite of sufficient maintenance treatment. Studies on more effective maintenance treatment regimens and duration are needed to reduce renal relapse.

Belimumab and antimalarials combined against renal flares in patients treated for extra-renal systemic lupus erythematosus: results from 4 phase III clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

To determine the effect of antimalarial agents (AMA) and different doses and pharmaceutical forms of belimumab on preventing renal flares in patients with SLE treated for extra-renal disease.

METHODS

We pooled data from the BLISS-52, BLISS-76, BLISS-SC and BLISS-Northeast Asia trials of belimumab (n = 3225), that included patients with active SLE yet no severe ongoing nephritis. Participants were allocated to receive intravenous belimumab 1 mg/kg, intravenous belimumab 10 mg/kg, subcutaneous belimumab 200 mg, or placebo in addition to standard therapy. We estimated hazards of renal flare development throughout the study follow-up (52-76 weeks) using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 192 patients developed a renal flare after a median of 197 days. Compared with placebo, the risk of renal flares was lower among patients receiving intravenous belimumab 10 mg/kg (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.41, 0.92; P = 0.018) and intravenous belimumab 1 mg/kg (HR: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.22, 0.79; P = 0.007), while no significant association was found for subcutaneous belimumab 200 mg. AMA use yielded a lower hazard of renal flares (HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.55, 0.78; P < 0.001). The protection conferred was enhanced when belimumab and AMA were co-administered; the lowest flare rate was observed for the combination intravenous belimumab 1 mg/kg and AMA (18.5 cases per 1000 person-years).

CONCLUSIONS

The protection conferred from belimumab against renal flare development in patients treated for extra-renal SLE appears enhanced when belimumab was administered along with AMA. The prominent effect of low-dose belimumab warrants investigation of the efficacy of intermediate belimumab doses.

CLINICAL TRIAL IDENTIFICATION

BLISS-52: NCT00424476; BLISS-76: NCT00410384; BLISS-SC: NCT01484496; BLISS-NEA: NCT01345253.

Rituximab as add-on therapy in patients with resistant lupus nephritis who have failed induction or maintenance therapy with other agents: A real-world experience from a single center in Mumbai

BACKGROUND

Lupus nephritis (LN) is associated with poor outcomes and a significant risk of progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Some patients with resistant LN do not respond adequately to current treatment options and need alternative strategies or therapies.

OBJECTIVE

The objective is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of rituximab as a re-induction therapy (Re-RTX) followed by maintenance therapy for patients with resistant LN.

METHODS

Twenty-four patients with resistant LN (failed initial induction therapy or severe relapse after remission) were analyzed. Re-RTX was co-administered with other immunosuppressants. The primary KDIGO criteria outcomes included renal response (complete and partial), disease progression, relapses, and infections.

RESULTS

The median age was 28 years (IQR 24.5-42), and the female-to-male ratio was 11:1. All patients had active LN, and 91.3% had proliferative LN. Baseline creatinine was 1.075 mg% (IQR 0.7-1.38), and mean urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) was 4.9 (IQR 2.8-6.65). Of the patients receiving RTX as re-induction therapy, 66.6% (16/24) had failed initial induction therapy with other immunosuppressants, whereas 33.3% (8/24) had severe relapse during maintenance therapy.Re-RTX had a favorable renal response at 6 months, with 91.7% of the patients responding (20.8% complete response and 70.8% partial response). At 12 months, 58.3% of the patients maintained a renal response (25% complete response and 33.3% partial response). Approximately one-third of patients relapsed within a year.Fourteen patients (58.3%) continued RTX maintenance therapy with two different treatment regimens. At 6 months, Regimen-1 (500 mg every 6 months) resulted in a partial response in 43% (3/7) and relapse in 57% (4/7) of patients. Regimen 2 (1 g dose per year) achieved a complete response in 28.5% (2/7) and a partial response in 71.5% (5/7) with no relapses at 6 months.At a median follow-up of 29 months, adverse renal outcomes were observed in 29.16% of the patients with progression to advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The overall use of Re-RTX was considered safe, with a reported infection prevalence of 16%, which is comparable to the existing data.

CONCLUSION

Re-RTX demonstrated efficacy and safety as an induction therapy for resistant LN. However, the response waned after 1 year, underscoring the need for optimized maintenance therapy.

Long-term outcomes with rituximab as add-on therapy in severe childhood-onset lupus nephritis

BACKGROUND

Long-term data pertaining to rituximab as add-on therapy in childhood-onset lupus nephritis (cLN) is scarce.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on all patients with proliferative cLN, diagnosed ≤ 18 years and between 2005 and 2021, who received rituximab for LN episodes that were life/organ threatening and/or treatment resistant to standard immunosuppression.

RESULTS

Fourteen patients with cLN (female, n = 10) were included, with median follow-up period of 6.9 years. LN episodes (class III, n = 1; class IV, n = 11; class IV + V, n = 2) requiring rituximab occurred at 15.6 years (IQR 12.8-17.3), urine protein:creatinine ratio was 8.2 mg/mg (IQR 3.4-10.1) and eGFR was 28 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 24-69) prior to rituximab treatment. Ten and four patients received rituximab at 1500 mg/m2 and 750 mg/m2, which were given at 46.5 days (IQR 19-69) after commencement of standard therapies. Treatment with rituximab resulted in improvements in proteinuria (ps < 0.001), eGFR (ps < 0.01) and serological parameters, including haemoglobin levels, complement 3 levels and anti-dsDNA antibodies, compared with baseline. Rates of complete/partial remission at 6-, 12- and 24-month post-rituximab were 28.6/42.8%, 64.2/21.4% and 69.2/15.3%. All three patients who required acute kidney replacement therapy became dialysis-free after rituximab. Relapse rate following rituximab was 0.11 episodes/patient-year. There was no lethal complication or severe infusion reaction. Hypogammaglobulinaemia was the most frequent complication (45%) but was mostly asymptomatic. Neutropenia and infections were observed in 20% and 25% of treatments. Upon last follow-up, three (21%) and two (14%) patients developed chronic kidney disease (stage 2, n = 2; stage 4; n = 1) and kidney failure, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Add-on rituximab is an effective and safe rescue therapy for cLN patients with life-/organ-threatening manifestations or treatment-resistance. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Flares in Lupus Nephritis: Risk Factors and Strategies for Their Prevention

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Discuss the prognostic significance of kidney flares in patients with lupus nephritis, associated risk factors, and possible preventative strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recently performed clinical trials and observational cohort studies underscore the high frequency of relapses of kidney disease, following initial response, in patients with proliferative and/or membranous lupus nephritis. Analysis of hard disease outcomes such as progression to chronic kidney disease or end-stage kidney disease, coupled with histological findings from repeat kidney biopsy studies, have drawn attention to the importance of renal function preservation that should be pursued as early as lupus nephritis is diagnosed. In this respect, non-randomized and randomized evidence have suggested a number of factors associated with reduced risk of renal flares such as attaining a very low level of proteinuria (< 700-800 mg/24 h by 12 months), using mycophenolate over azathioprine, adding belimumab to standard therapy, maintaining immunosuppressive/biological treatment for at least 3 to 5 years, and using hydroxychloroquine. Other factors that warrant further clarification include serological activity and the use of repeat kidney biopsy to guide the intensity and duration of treatment in selected cases. The results from ongoing innovative studies integrating kidney histological and clinical outcomes, together with an expanding spectrum of therapies in lupus nephritis, are expected to facilitate individual medical care and long-term disease and patient prognosis.

Towards development of treat to target (T2T) in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus: PReS-endorsed overarching principles and points-to-consider from an international task force

OBJECTIVES

Application of 'treat-to-target' (T2T) in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) may improve care and health outcomes. This initiative aimed to harmonise existing evidence and expert opinion regarding T2T for cSLE.

METHODS

An international T2T Task Force was formed of specialists in paediatric rheumatology, paediatric nephrology, adult rheumatology, patient and parent representatives. A steering committee formulated a set of draft overarching principles and points-to-consider, based on evidence from systematic literature review. Two on-line preconsensus meeting Delphi surveys explored healthcare professionals' views on these provisional overarching principles and points-to-consider. A virtual consensus meeting employed a modified nominal group technique to discuss, modify and vote on each overarching principle/point-to-consider. Agreement of >80% of Task Force members was considered consensus.

RESULTS

The Task Force agreed on four overarching principles and fourteen points-to-consider. It was agreed that both treatment targets and therapeutic strategies should be subject to shared decision making with the patient/caregivers, with full remission the preferred target, and low disease activity acceptable where remission cannot be achieved. Important elements of the points-to-consider included: aiming for prevention of flare and organ damage; glucocorticoid sparing; proactively addressing factors that impact health-related quality of life (fatigue, pain, mental health, educational challenges, medication side effects); and aiming for maintenance of the target over the long-term. An extensive research agenda was also formulated.

CONCLUSIONS

These international, consensus agreed overarching principles and points-to-consider for T2T in cSLE lay the foundation for future T2T approaches in cSLE, endorsed by the Paediatric Rheumatology European Society.

Development of an instrument to predict proliferative histological class in lupus nephritis based on clinical and laboratory data

OBJECTIVES

To compare the correlations of histological class inferences based on clinical manifestations and laboratory tests between rheumatologists and nephrologists, to determine the associations of clinical and laboratory data with histological classes and to develop an instrument that can assist histological class identification in lupus nephritis (LN).

METHODS

Retrospective study based on medical records of 80 systemic lupus erythematosus patients (SLICC criteria classification, 2012) who underwent kidney biopsy between 2010 and 2017. Two rheumatologists and two nephrologists received clinical and laboratory data and answered questions regarding which histological class was expected on kidney biopsy. Kappa (K) coefficient was used to assess agreement between evaluators. A decision tree was constructed using the chi-square interaction detector and logistic regression was performed for the development of the proliferative histological class predictor instrument.

RESULTS

The mean age and disease duration were 33 ± 10.3 years and 11.5 ± 6.7 years, respectively. The level of agreement between the evaluators and kidney biopsy was poor (global K 0.364 ± 0.029; p < .001). Analyzing clinical and laboratory variables as predictors of proliferative histological class, patients with abnormal urinary sediment and positive anti-dsDNA antibodies presented 13.96 and 4.96 times higher risks of presenting class III or IV, respectively (p < 0.001). Our instrument has a sensitivity of 87.8% and specificity of 80%, using abnormal urinary sediment, anti-dsDNA antibodies, and serum creatinine as variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Rheumatologists and nephrologists with experience in treating LN generated evaluations that correlated weakly with kidney biopsy. When kidney biopsy is unavailable or is contraindicated for medical reasons, instruments based on clinical and laboratory predictors may be helpful.

Long-Term Outcomes of Children and Adolescents With Biopsy-Proven Childhood-Onset Lupus Nephritis

Introduction

Long-term data pertaining to childhood-onset lupus nephritis (cLN) remain extremely scarce.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of biopsy-proven cLN with onset age <18 years diagnosed from 2001 to 2020 to ascertain the long-term patient and kidney survival rates, and the incidence of advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <60 ml/min per 1.73 m²).

Results

A total of 92 subjects (78 female; age 13.7 ± 3.3 years; all Chinese) were included, with follow-up duration of 10.3 years (interquartile range, 5.8-15.9). Of these, 83 children (90%) had proliferative lupus nephritis (LN) (Class III/IV ± V). Mycophenolate was used for induction in 36%, whereas 34% received cyclophosphamide (CYC); 55% received mycophenolate as maintenance immunosuppression. The rates of complete remission (CR) and partial remission (PR) at 6 months and 12 months, respectively, were 65% and 20% and 78% and 8%. Two patients died (mortality rate 2.1/1000 patient-years), with a standardized mortality ratio of 22.3. Three patients (3.2%) developed end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and advanced CKD occurred in 5 patients (5.4%). Survival rates without advanced CKD, ESKD, or death were 96.7%, 94.2%, 92.7%, 83.2% and 83.2% at 1 year, 5 years, 10 years, 15 years, and 20 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that severe kidney failure necessitating dialysis at presentation (adjusted hazard ratio 37.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.0-355.6, P = 0.002), nonresponse (NR) after 12 months of treatment (adjusted hazard ratio 11.2, 95% CI 2.3-54.9, P = 0.003), and multiple nephritis flares (adjusted hazard ratio 2.6, 95% CI 1.1-6.2, P = 0.03) were predictive of advanced CKD, ESKD, or death. Other adverse outcomes included infections (2.9 episodes/100 patient-years), osteopenia (32%), hypertension (17%), short stature (14%), and avascular necrosis (7%).

Conclusion

The long-term outcomes of cLN appeared to have improved in the present era with effective immunosuppression, cautious drug tapering, and assurance of medication adherence. There is still an unacceptably high prevalence of adverse outcomes.

MOONLIGHT study: the design of a comparative study of the effectiveness of belimumab in patients with a history of lupus nephritis from the post-Marketed effectiveness of belimumab cOhOrt and JapaN Lupus NatIonwide reGistry (LUNA) coHorT

Introduction

Lupus nephritis (LN) is more prevalent in patients with SLE of Asian ethnicity than in Caucasian patients. Belimumab became available in Japan in 2017 to treat patients with SLE, including those with LN. In the BLISS-LN trial (NCT01639339), belimumab showed a favourable effect on renal outcomes when combined with standard therapy (ST) starting at the induction treatment phase for active LN, but real-world effectiveness of belimumab in LN has not been extensively studied. Here we describe the protocol for the MOONLIGHT (post-Marketed effectiveness of belimumab cOhOrt and JapaN Lupus NatIonwide ReGistry (LUNA) coHorT) study, which will use data from a Japan postmarketing surveillance study and the Lupus Registry of Nationwide Institutions (LUNA) to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of belimumab plus ST versus ST alone in patients with a history of active LN who are not in the induction phase.

Methods and analysis

This multicentre, retrospective, observational study (GSK Study 214710) will enrol adults with SLE and a history of active LN, holding ≥3 years of complete follow-up data from the initiation of belimumab (no continuous treatment required). Data for patients with belimumab plus ST treatment (postmarketing registry data, belimumab cohort) will be compared with those for patients with ST only treatment (LUNA data, comparison cohort). Patients who discontinue/initiate belimumab after the start of the follow-up may be included in the comparison/belimumab cohort, respectively. The primary endpoint will be the occurrence of renal flares, for which belimumab’s effectiveness will be estimated using a marginal structural model to consider time-dependent treatment and confounding factors. Secondary endpoints will include change in corticosteroid dose, renal disease activity, extrarenal disease activity, disease severity/activity biomarkers, LN class changes, end-stage kidney disease events and hospitalisations.

Ethics and dissemination

This study will be conducted according to the Declaration of Helsinki and the local ethical guidelines. Findings will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals and presented at scientific meetings.

Predictors of Early Response, Flares, and Long-Term Adverse Renal Outcomes in Proliferative Lupus Nephritis: A 100-Month Median Follow-Up of an Inception Cohort

Objective: To define predictors of response, time to response, flares, and long-term renal outcome in an inception cohort of proliferative lupus nephritis (PLN). Methods: We included 100 patients (80% female; mean age 31 ± 13 years) with biopsy-proven PLN (III, IV, III/IV + V). Clinical, laboratory, histological and therapeutical parameters were recorded at baseline, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24, 36, 72 months, time of flare, and last follow-up visit. Logistic and Cox-regression models were applied. Results: After induction treatment (69% received cyclophosphamide (CYC) and 27% mycophenolic acid (MPA)), partial (PR) or complete (CR) response was achieved in 59% (26% CR, 33% PR) and 67% (43% CR, 24% PR) of patients at 3 and 6 months, respectively; median time to PR was 3 months (IQR 5) and median time to CR was 6 months (IQR 9). Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day correlated with a shorter time to CR (HR 1.77) and with CR at 3, 6, and 9 months (OR 9.4, OR 5.3 and OR 3.7, respectively). During 100-month median follow-up, 33% of patients had ≥1 renal flares (median time: 38 months). Proteinuria >0.8 g/day at 12 months was associated with a higher risk of flares (OR 4.12), while MPA and mixed classes with lower risk (OR 0.14 and OR 0.13, respectively). Baseline proteinuria >2 g/day and 12-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with a shorter time to flare (HR 2.56 and HR 2.57, respectively). At the end of follow-up, 10% developed stage 3–4 chronic kidney disease (CKD), and 12% end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day (OR 10.8) and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25% (OR 7.7) predicted CKD or ESRD at last visit. Conclusions: Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day predicted time to CR. Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with flares (ever) and time to flare and, along with baseline interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25%, predicted CKD or ESRD at the last visit.

Long-term outcome and predictors of long-term outcome in patients with lupus nephritis managed at a tertiary hospital in Mumbai

AIM

Study the long-term outcome of the patients with LN and identify the baseline factors that can predict the long-term outcome of these patients.

METHODS

All biopsy-proven LN patients who attended our regular 'lupus nephritis' clinic from 2013 to 2021 were studied. Data of these patients were collected from the hospital patient records. Standard therapy was given as per the KDIGO guidelines, and the renal response was evaluated according to KDIGO outcome criteria. Cox' regression analysis was used to determine predictors of chronic kidney disease (persistent doubling of serum creatinine with creatinine ≥1.5 mg%). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for renal survival.

RESULTS

Eighty patients with at least 1 year of follow-up were included. Median age of onset was 24 years (IQR18-35). Median follow up was 6.5 years (IQR 3-10). World Health Organisation renal biopsy profile was Class I 1(1.2 %), Class II 6(7.5 %), Class III 9(11.2 %), Class IV 36(45 %), Class V 18(22.5 %) and Mixed Class IV + V 10 (12%). Complete remission was achieved in 63.75%, 70 % and 66.6% patients at 1, 2 and 5 years, respectively. Survival with normal renal function was 88.5 %, 85.8% and 60 % at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. Risk factors for poor outcome on univariate analysis were presence of Raynaud's phenomena-hazard ratio(HR) 7.78 (CI 1.944-31.207; p < .004), baseline hypertension-HR 5.356 (CI 1.479-19.403; p < .011), tubulointerstitial involvement-HR 1.076 (CI 1.032-1.222; p < .001), time to complete response-HR 1.036 (CI 1.036-1.067; p < .02 ), serum creatinine at 6 months HR 10.51 (CI 2.19-50.39; p < .003), failure to achieve complete response at 2 years HR 6.271 (CI 1.567-25.092; p < .009) and the number of nephritic flares HR 1.868(CI 1.103-3.164 ; p < .02). Renal relapses were quite common, with 1.8 flares per 10 patient-years of follow up. Infection was the most common cause of death, with bacterial lower respiratory infections and pulmonary tuberculosis being the most common.

CONCLUSIONS

Apart from conventional risk factors, other predictive factors like the presence of Raynaud's phenomenon, tubulointerstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy on kidney biopsy, and initial response to induction therapy by 6 months have a significant impact on the long-term outcome in patients with LN.

Effect of Combined Mycophenolate and Rapamycin Treatment on Kidney Fibrosis in Murine Lupus Nephritis

Background: A significant proportion of lupus nephritis patients develop chronic kidney disease (CKD) and progressive kidney fibrosis, for which there is no specific treatment. We previously reported that mycophenolate or rapamycin monotherapy showed comparable efficacy in suppressing kidney fibrosis in a murine model of lupus nephritis through their direct action on mesangial cells. We extended our study to investigate the effect of combined mycophenolate and rapamycin treatment (MR) on kidney fibrosis in NZBWF1/J mice.

Methods: Female NZBWF1/J mice with active nephritis were randomized to receive vehicle or treatment with mycophenolate (50 mg/kg/day) and rapamycin (1.5 mg/kg/day) (MR) for up to 12 weeks, and the effect of treatment on clinical parameters, kidney histology, and fibrotic processes was investigated.

Results: Progression of nephritis in untreated mice was accompanied by mesangial proliferation, glomerulosclerosis, tubular atrophy, protein cast formation, increased mTOR and ERK phosphorylation, and induction of TGF-β1, IL-6, α-smooth muscle actin, fibronectin, and collagen expression. Combined MR treatment prolonged survival, improved kidney function, decreased anti-dsDNA antibody level, and ameliorated histopathological changes. The effect of combined MR treatment on kidney histology and function was comparable to that of mycophenolate or rapamycin monotherapy. In vitro studies in human mesangial cells showed that exogenous TGF-β1 and IL-6 both induced mTOR and ERK phosphorylation and downstream fibrotic processes. Both mycophenolic acid and rapamycin inhibited inflammatory and fibrotic processes induced by TGF-β1 or IL-6 by downregulating mTOR and ERK phosphorylation.

Conclusions: Our findings indicate that combined mycophenolate and rapamycin, at reduced dose, improves kidney fibrosis in murine lupus nephritis through their distinct effect on mTOR and ERK signaling in mesangial cells.

Lupus Nephritis: Improving Treatment Options

Despite improvements in patient and renal death rates following the introduction of potent immunosuppressive drugs in earlier decades, a sizeable fraction of patients with lupus nephritis is burdened with suboptimal or delayed responses, relapses, chronic use of glucocorticoids and accrual of renal (chronic renal insufficiency) and extra-renal organ damage. The recently approved combinatory treatments comprising belimumab or voclosporin added to conventional agents, especially mycophenolate, hold promise for further improving disease outcomes and enabling a faster steroid tapering, thus being relevant to the treat-to-target context. However, it remains uncertain whether these dual regimens should become the first-line choice for all patients or instead be prioritized to certain subgroups. In the present article, we summarize the existing lupus nephritis management recommendations, followed by a critical appraisal of the randomized trials of belimumab and voclosporin, as well as the available data on obinutuzumab and other novel compounds under development. We conclude that pending the identification of accurate clinical, histological, or translational predictors for guiding personalized decisions, it is of utmost importance that lupus nephritis patients are monitored closely with appropriate treatment adjustments aiming at a prompt, deep response to ensure long-term preservation of kidney function.

Management of lupus nephritis: a systematic literature review informing the 2019 update of the joint EULAR and European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (EULAR/ERA-EDTA) recommendations

Objectives

To analyse the current evidence for the management of lupus nephritis (LN) informing the 2019 update of the EULAR/European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association recommendations.

Methods

According to the EULAR standardised operating procedures, a PubMed systematic literature review was performed, from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2018. Since this was an update of the 2012 recommendations, the final level of evidence (LoE) and grading of recommendations considered the total body of evidence, including literature prior to 2012.

Results

We identified 387 relevant articles. High-quality randomised evidence supports the use of immunosuppressive treatment for class III and class IV LN (LoE 1a), and moderate-level evidence supports the use of immunosuppressive treatment for pure class V LN with nephrotic-range proteinuria (LoE 2b). Treatment should aim for at least 25% reduction in proteinuria at 3 months, 50% at 6 months and complete renal response (<500–700 mg/day) at 12 months (LoE 2a-2b). High-quality evidence supports the use of mycophenolate mofetil/mycophenolic acid (MMF/MPA) or low-dose intravenous cyclophosphamide (CY) as initial treatment of active class III/IV LN (LoE 1a). Combination of tacrolimus with MMF/MPA and high-dose CY are alternatives in specific circumstances (LoE 1a). There is low-quality level evidence to guide optimal duration of immunosuppression in LN (LoE 3). In end-stage kidney disease, all methods of kidney replacement treatment can be used, with transplantation having the most favourable outcomes (LoE 2b).

Conclusions

There is high-quality evidence to guide the initial and subsequent phases of class III/IV LN treatment, but low-to-moderate quality evidence to guide treatment of class V LN, monitoring and optimal duration of immunosuppression.

Machine Learning for Prediction and Risk Stratification of Lupus Nephritis Renal Flare

BACKGROUND

Renal flare of lupus nephritis (LN) is strongly associated with poor kidney outcomes, and predicting renal flare and stratifying its risk are important for clinical decision-making and individualized management to reduce LN flare.

METHODS

We randomly divided 1,694 patients with biopsy-proven LN, who had achieved remission after treatment, into a derivation cohort (n = 1,186) and an internal validation cohort (n = 508), at a ratio of 7:3. The risk of renal flare 5 years after remission was predicted using an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method model, developed from 59 variables, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological, and therapeutic characteristics. A simplified risk score prediction model (SRSPM) was developed from important variables selected by XGBoost model using stepwise Cox regression for practical convenience.

RESULTS

The 5-year relapse rates were 39.5% and 38.2% in the derivation and internal validation cohorts, respectively. Both the XGBoost model and the SRSPM had good predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.819 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.774-0.857) and 0.746 (95% CI: 0.697-0.795), respectively, in the validation cohort. The SRSPM comprised 6 variables, including partial remission and endocapillary hypercellularity at baseline, age, serum Alb, anti-dsDNA, and serum complement C3 at the point of remission. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, the SRSPM identified significant risk stratification for renal flares (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Renal flare of LN can be readily predicted using the XGBoost model and the SRSPM, and the SRSPM can also stratify flare risk. Both models are useful for clinical decision-making and individualized management in LN.

An Update on the Diagnosis and Management of Lupus Nephritis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Update on the diagnosis, treatment, and monitoring of lupus nephritis.

RECENT FINDINGS

The recent criteria enable the earlier classification of lupus nephritis based on kidney biopsy and compatible serology. Treatment of active nephritis includes low-dose intravenous cyclophosphamide or mycophenolate, followed by maintenance immunosuppression. Recent trials have suggested superiority of regimens combining mycophenolate with either calcineurin inhibitor or belimumab, although their long-term benefit/risk ratio has not been determined. Encouraging results with novel anti-CD20 antibodies confirm the effectiveness of B cell depletion. Achievement of low-grade proteinuria (< 700-800 mg/24 h) at 12-month post-induction is linked to favorable long-term outcomes and could be considered in a treat-to-target strategy. Also, repeat kidney biopsy can guide the duration of maintenance immunosuppression. Lupus nephritis has increased cardiovascular disease burden necessitating risk-reduction strategies. An expanding spectrum of therapies coupled with ongoing basic/translational research can lead to individualized medical care and improved outcomes in lupus nephritis.

Persistent Disease Activity in Patients With Long-Standing Glomerular Disease

Introduction

Methods

Results

Conclusion

2019 Update of the Joint European League Against Rheumatism and European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (EULAR/ERA-EDTA) recommendations for the management of lupus nephritis

OBJECTIVE

To update the 2012 EULAR/ERA-EDTA recommendations for the management of lupus nephritis (LN).

METHODS

Following the EULAR standardised operating procedures, a systematic literature review was performed. Members of a multidisciplinary Task Force voted independently on their level of agreeement with the formed statements.

RESULTS

The changes include recommendations for treatment targets, use of glucocorticoids and calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) and management of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The target of therapy is complete response (proteinuria <0.5-0.7 g/24 hours with (near-)normal glomerular filtration rate) by 12 months, but this can be extended in patients with baseline nephrotic-range proteinuria. Hydroxychloroquine is recommended with regular ophthalmological monitoring. In active proliferative LN, initial (induction) treatment with mycophenolate mofetil (MMF 2-3 g/day or mycophenolic acid (MPA) at equivalent dose) or low-dose intravenous cyclophosphamide (CY; 500 mg × 6 biweekly doses), both combined with glucocorticoids (pulses of intravenous methylprednisolone, then oral prednisone 0.3-0.5 mg/kg/day) is recommended. MMF/CNI (especially tacrolimus) combination and high-dose CY are alternatives, for patients with nephrotic-range proteinuria and adverse prognostic factors. Subsequent long-term maintenance treatment with MMF or azathioprine should follow, with no or low-dose (<7.5 mg/day) glucocorticoids. The choice of agent depends on the initial regimen and plans for pregnancy. In non-responding disease, switch of induction regimens or rituximab are recommended. In pure membranous LN with nephrotic-range proteinuria or proteinuria >1 g/24 hours despite renin-angiotensin-aldosterone blockade, MMF in combination with glucocorticoids is preferred. Assessment for kidney and extra-renal disease activity, and management of comorbidities is lifelong with repeat kidney biopsy in cases of incomplete response or nephritic flares. In ESKD, transplantation is the preferred kidney replacement option with immunosuppression guided by transplant protocols and/or extra-renal manifestations. Treatment of LN in children follows the same principles as adult disease.

CONCLUSIONS

We have updated the EULAR recommendations for the management of LN to facilitate homogenization of patient care.

B Cell Abnormalities in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Lupus Nephritis-Role in Pathogenesis and Effect of Immunosuppressive Treatments

Abnormalities in B cells play pivotal roles in the pathogenesis of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and lupus nephritis (LN). Breach in central and peripheral tolerance mechanisms generates autoreactive B cells which contribute to the pathogenesis of SLE and LN. Dysregulation of B cell transcription factors, cytokines and B cell-T cell interaction can result in aberrant B cell maturation and autoantibody production. These immunological abnormalities also lead to perturbations in circulating and infiltrating B cells in SLE and LN patients. Conventional and novel immunosuppressive medications confer differential effects on B cells which have important clinical implications. While cyclophosphamide and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) showed comparable clinical efficacy in active LN, MMF induction was associated with earlier reduction in circulating plasmablasts and plasma cells. Accumulating evidence suggests that MMF maintenance is associated with lower risk of disease relapse than azathioprine, which may be explained by its more potent and selective suppression of B cell proliferation. Novel therapeutic approaches targeting the B cell repertoire include B cell depletion with monoclonal antibodies binding to cell surface markers, inhibition of B cell cytokines, and modulation of costimulatory signals in B cell-T cell interaction. These biologics, despite showing improvements in serological parameters and proteinuria, did not achieve primary endpoints when used as add-on therapy to standard treatments in active LN patients. Other emerging treatments such as calcineurin inhibitors, mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors and proteasome inhibitors also show distinct inhibitory effects on the B cell repertoire. Advancement in the knowledge on B cell biology has fueled the development of new therapeutic strategies in SLE and LN. Modification in background treatments, study endpoints and selective recruitment of subjects showing aberrant B cells or its signaling pathways when designing future clinical trials may better elucidate the roles of these novel therapies for SLE and LN patients.

Antiphospholipid antibodies in patients with lupus nephritis: clinical correlations and associations with long-term outcomes

Whether the presence or absence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) in patients with lupus nephritis (LN) is associated with differences in clinical outcomes remains unclear. We reviewed LN patients at a single centre during 2000-2017, and compared the clinical features and long-term outcomes between patients who were seropositive or seronegative for aPL. aPL was detected in 53/149 (35.6%) patients with biopsy-proven LN, and anticardiolipin IgM, anticardiolipin IgG, anti-β2 glycoprotein I and lupus anticoagulant was detected in 18.8%, 18.1%, 10.7% and 8.1%, respectively. Follow-up was 155.8 ± 61.0 months, and was similar between aPL-seropositive and -seronegative patients. aPL seropositivity persisted in 94.3% of patients during remission. aPL-seropositive patients showed inferior patient survival (91% and 85% at 10 and 15 years, respectively, compared to 99% and 95% in aPL-seronegative patients; p = 0.043). Nine (6.0%) patients died during follow-up, including six aPL-seropositive (four thrombotic events and two bleeding complications related to anticoagulation) and three aPL-seronegative patients. aPL seropositivity was associated with more rapid decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (-1.44 mL/min/year compared to -0.38 mL/min/year in aPL-seronegative patients; p = 0.027) and inferior long-term renal survival (82% and 74% at 10 and 15 years, respectively, compared to 91% and 87% in aPL-seronegative patients; p = 0.034). aPL-seropositive patients also had a higher incidence of thrombotic events and miscarriage (32.1% and 13.2%, respectively, compared to 16.7% and 2.1% in the aPL-seronegative group; p = 0.030 and 0.006). We concluded that aPL seropositivity was associated with inferior long-term patient and renal survival and more frequent thrombotic events and miscarriage in LN patients.

Effect of mycophenolate and rapamycin on renal fibrosis in lupus nephritis

Lupus nephritis (LN) leads to chronic kidney disease (CKD) through progressive fibrosis. Mycophenolate inhibits inosine monophosphate dehydrogenase and is a standard treatment for LN. The mammalian or mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway is activated in LN. Rapamycin inhibits mTOR and is effective in preventing kidney transplant rejection, with the additional merits of reduced incidence of malignancies and viral infections. The effect of mycophenolate or rapamycin on kidney fibrosis in LN has not been investigated. We investigated the effects of mycophenolate and rapamycin in New Zealand Black and White first generation (NZB/W F1) murine LN and human mesangial cells (HMCs), focusing on mechanisms leading to kidney fibrosis. Treatment of mice with mycophenolate or rapamycin improved nephritis manifestations, decreased anti-double stranded (ds) DNA antibody titer and reduced immunoglobulin G (IgG) deposition in the kidney. Both mycophenolate and rapamycin, especially the latter, decreased glomerular mTOR Ser2448 phosphorylation. Renal histology in untreated mice showed mesangial proliferation and progressive glomerulosclerosis with tubular atrophy, and increased expression of transforming growth factor β1 (TGF-β1), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), fibronectin (FN) and collagen. Both mycophenolate and rapamycin ameliorated the histopathological changes. Results from in vitro experiments showed that both mycophenolate and rapamycin decreased mesangial cell proliferation and their binding with anti-dsDNA antibodies. Mycophenolate and rapamycin also down-regulated mTOR and extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK) phosphorylation and inhibited fibrotic responses in mesangial cells that were induced by anti-dsDNA antibodies or TGF-β1. Our findings suggest that, in addition to immunosuppression, mycophenolate and rapamycin may reduce fibrosis in LN, which has important implications in preventing CKD in patients with LN.

Clinical Outcomes and Clinico-pathological Correlations in Lupus Nephritis with Kidney Biopsy Showing Thrombotic Microangiopathy

Objective.

Renal thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) is an uncommon pathological finding in lupus nephritis (LN), and its clinical significance remains to be defined.

Methods.

Twenty-four patients with lupus nephritis (LN) and renal TMA were selected from a retrospective review of 677 biopsy-proven LN patients, and compared with 48 LN controls without TMA (1:2 ratio) matched according to demographics and treatments.

Results.

Renal TMA was noted in 3.5% of kidney biopsies of LN. TMA was associated with a higher prevalence of anti-Ro (45.8% vs 18.8%; p = 0.016), higher Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index scores (21.4 ± 8.5 vs 10.8 ± 2.3; p < 0.001), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; 16.8 ± 11.7 ml/min vs 77.8 ± 28.6 ml/min; p < 0.001), and a higher percentage of patients who required dialysis (37.5% vs 2.1%; p < 0.001) at the time of kidney biopsy. Activity and chronicity indices [median (range)] were higher in the TMA group [11 (2–19) and 3 (1–8), respectively, compared with 7 (0–15) and 1 (0–3) in controls; p = 0.004 and p < 0.001; respectively]. Patients with TMA showed inferior 5-year renal survival and higher incidence of chronic kidney disease at last followup (70% and 66.6%, respectively, compared with 95% and 29.2% in controls; p = 0.023 and 0.002, respectively). The TMA group also showed lower median eGFR compared with controls [50.1 (IQR 7–132) ml/min vs 85.0 (IQR 12–147) ml/min; p = 0.003]. Five-year patient survival rate was similar between the 2 groups (87% and 98% in TMA and control group, respectively; p = 0.127).

Conclusion.

TMA in kidney biopsy was associated with more severe clinical and histological activity, and significantly inferior longterm renal outcome in LN.

Complete renal response at 12 months after induction therapy is associated with renal relapse-free rate in lupus nephritis: a single-center, retrospective cohort study

Background

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a major risk factor for overall morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed cases of proliferative and membranous LN patients who underwent a renal biopsy at our hospital in 1993–2016. We analyzed the association between complete renal response (CR) rates at 12 months after induction therapy and predictive factors for CR and their association with renal flares.

Results

Of the 95 cases analyzed, we were able to track the therapeutic responses of 81 patients at 12 months after their induction therapy. The median follow-up duration after renal biopsy was 51 months (interquartile range: 16.5–154.5 months). The Cox proportional hazards model showed that, compared to not attaining CR at 12 months, the attainment of CR at 12 months was correlated with being free from renal flares. The multivariate logistic analysis revealed that the predictive factors for CR at 12 months were the anti-La/SSB antibodies (U/ml) (odds ratio (OR) 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01–1.63, p = 0.0220), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.44–0.90, p = 0.00048) and serum β2 microglobulin (MG) (OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.06–0.74, p = 0.00098) levels.

Conclusions

Among LN patients, being free from renal flares was associated with attaining CR at 12 months after induction therapy. Anti-La/SSB antibodies were a positive predictive factor, and BUN and serum β2MG levels were negative predictive factors of CR at 12 months.

Lupus nephritis: An update on treatments and pathogenesis

Immunosuppressive therapies for lupus nephritis (LN) have improved significantly over the past few decades, resulting in growing number of choices for treatment individualization and improved renal and patient outcomes. Corticosteroids combined with mycophenolate or cyclophosphamide induces a satisfactory response in a high proportion of Asian and Caucasian patients, but the rate of improvement varies considerably between patients. Relatively low disease flare rate was observed in Chinese patients receiving low-dose prednisolone and mycophenolate maintenance. Short-term results with calcineurin inhibitors (CNI) are encouraging, attributed both to their immunosuppressive efficacy and the action of these agents on podocyte biology leading to more rapid proteinuria suppression. Additional data, especially on the avoidance of nephrotoxicity and metabolic side effects, is required to facilitate selection of patients appropriate for this treatment. Modifications of standard regimens such as reducing corticosteroid exposure or using enteric-coated mycophenolate might help reduce treatment-related toxicities without compromising efficacy. While clinical outcomes of patients have improved with recent therapeutic advances, individual and ethnic variations in disease manifestations and treatment response, as well as the prevention of infections and long-term complications still present challenges to frontline clinicians. Recent data from histological examination and translational studies also suggest that complement activation via the alternative pathway, immune deposition on renal tubular basement membrane, and local inflammatory responses involving resident kidney cells are of pathogenic relevance in LN. The progress of clinical and translational studies has improved not only the understanding of disease mechanisms but also clinical decision making in the management of LN.

Podocyte foot process width is a prediction marker for complete renal response at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy in lupus nephritis

Morphological change that includes diffuse effacement of podocyte foot processes is correlated with proteinuria in patients with lupus nephritis (LN). We collected the data of clinico-pathological parameters and assessed foot process width (FPW) as an index of podocyte effacement in 73 patients with LN who had undergone renal biopsy. The multivariate analysis revealed that female gender (OR: 5.288; 95%CI: 1.197-37.29; p = .0267) and FPW (OR = 0.999, 95%CI = 0.997-0.999, p = .0150) were significantly predictive of a complete renal response (CR) at 6 months, while lymphocyte counts (OR = 1.002; 95%CI = 1.001-1.003, p = .0028) and FPW (OR = 0.998, 95%CI = 0.996-0.999, p = .0027) were significantly predictive of CR at 12 months. The cut-off point determined by the Classification and Regression Trees algorithm showed that FPW <908.3 nm provides the best performance for predicting patients who achieve CR at 12 months. A smaller FPW appears to be a predictive factor for CR at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy.

Pharmacokinetics and pharmacogenomics of mycophenolic acid and its clinical correlations in maintenance immunosuppression for lupus nephritis

Background

There is little data on mycophenolic acid (MPA) pharmacokinetics and pharmacogenomics and optimal MPA exposure in lupus nephritis (LN) patients during long-term maintenance.

Methods

We measured blood MPA levels at 1, 2, 4, 8, 10 and 12-h post-dose (i.e. C1, C2, C4, C8, C10 and C12) in 88 stable LN patients receiving maintenance prednisolone and mycophenolate mofetil, repeated every 6 months. The relationship between MPA exposure and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of adenosine triphosphate–binding cassette subfamily C member 2 (ABCC2; rs2273697, rs3740066, rs717620 and rs17222723), organic anion-transporting polypeptides (OATPs; rs7311358 and rs4149117) and uridine diphosphate glucuronosyltransferase (UGT; rs17863762, rs6714486, rs17868320 and rs72551330) was also investigated.

Results

C1, C2 and C12 were 8.3 ± 6.6 , 7.2 ± 5.2 and 2.0 ± 1.4 mg/L and all correlated with the 12-h area under the curve (AUC0–12; r = 0.51, 0.85 and 0.73; P = 0.02, &lt;0.001 and &lt;0.001, respectively). C12 inversely correlated with hemoglobin, immunoglobulins and leukocyte levels (P &lt; 0.05 for all). Five renal flares, 11 episodes of infection and 10 episodes of anemia (hemoglobin &lt;10 g/dL) occurred over 96 weeks, with a corresponding C12 of 1.3 ± 0.5, 4.3 ± 2.6 and 2.9 ± 1.5 mg/L, respectively (versus 2.4 ± 1.2, 1.8 ± 1.2 and 1.7 ± 1.1 mg/L in patients without these complications; P = 0.041, &lt;0.001 and 0.004). SNP rs2273697 A/G in the ABCC2 gene was associated with lower MPA exposure compared with G/G (1075.9 ± 239.9 versus 1891.5 ± 918.9 mgh/L per g/kg; P = 0.003). SNPs of OATP and UGT were unrelated to MPA level.

Conclusion

MPA C12 correlates with the AUC0–12 and is related to renal flare, infection and anemia. SNP rs2273697 A/G is associated with lower MPA exposure.

Changing patterns in clinical-histological presentation and renal outcome over the last five decades in a cohort of 499 patients with lupus nephritis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate changes in demographic, clinical and histological presentation, and prognosis of lupus nephritis (LN) over time.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied a multicentre cohort of 499 patients diagnosed with LN from 1970 to 2016. The 46-year follow-up was subdivided into three periods (P): P1 1970-1985, P2 1986-2001 and P3 2002-2016, and patients accordingly grouped based on the year of LN diagnosis. Predictors of patient and renal survival were investigated by univariate and multivariate proportional hazards Cox regression analyses. Survival curves were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A progressive increase in patient age at the time of LN diagnosis (p<0.0001) and a longer time between systemic lupus erythematosus onset and LN occurrence (p<0.0001) was observed from 1970 to 2016. During the same period, the frequency of renal insufficiency at the time of LN presentation progressively decreased (p<0.0001) and that of isolated urinary abnormalities increased (p<0.0001). No changes in histological class and activity index were observed, while chronicity index significantly decreased from 1970 to 2016 (p=0.023). Survival without end-stage renal disease (ESRD) was 87% in P1, 94% in P2% and 99% in P3 at 10 years, 80% in P1 and 90% in P2 at 20 years (p=0.0019). At multivariate analysis, male gender, arterial hypertension, absence of maintenance immunosuppressive therapy, increased serum creatinine, and high activity and chronicity index were independent predictors of ESRD.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical presentation of LN has become less severe in the last years, leading to a better long-term renal survival.