Risk Factors for Mortality and Cardiopulmonary Hospitalization in Systemic Sclerosis Patients At Risk for Pulmonary Hypertension, in the PHAROS Registry

Prognostic significance of pericardial effusion in systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary hypertension: analysis from the PHAROS Registry

OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a leading cause of death in patients with SSc. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic significance of pericardial effusion in patients with SSc-PH.

METHODS

Pulmonary Hypertension Assessment and Recognition of Outcomes in Scleroderma (PHAROS) is a prospective multicentre registry which enrolled patients with newly diagnosed SSc-PH from 2005 to 2016. The prognostic impact of pericardial effusion status, including those who ever or never had pericardial effusion, and those who had persistent or intermittent pericardial effusion, was analysed. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, log-rank test, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression were performed.

RESULTS

Of the 335 patients with SSc-PH diagnosed by right heart catheterization and documentation of pericardial effusion presence or absence on echocardiogram, 166 (50%) ever had pericardial effusion. Ever having pericardial effusion was not predictive of survival (log-rank test P = 0.49). Of the 245 SSc-PH patients who had at least two echocardiograms, 44% had a change in pericardial effusion status over an average of 4.3 years of follow up. Having a persistent pericardial effusion was an independent predictor of survival [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR)=2.34, 95% CI 1.20, 4.64, P = 0.002], while intermittent pericardial effusion was not a predictor of survival (aHR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.52, 1.56, P = 0.68), in a multivariable-adjusted analysis.

CONCLUSION

Persistent pericardial effusion, but not ever having had pericardial effusion or intermittent pericardial effusion, was independently associated with poorer survival. Incorporating information from serial echocardiograms may help clinicians better prognosticate survival in their SSc-PH patients.

Right Ventricle and Autoimmune Diseases

Autoimmune diseases can express pathologies in specific organs (e.g. thyroid, pancreas, skin) or generate systemic pathologies (generalized lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic sclerosis), the latter usually present systemic inflammatory phenomena. Some studies have reported alterations in right ventricular contractility in patients with rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, systemic sclerosis, and juvenile idiopathic arthritis, which may contribute to the known outcome of increased cardiovascular risk. However, there is not much information available on the causes that generate these alterations, the most likely being small vessel damage and fibrosis due to subclinical inflammation.1-5 In this sense, the disease in which the alterations of the right ventricle have been more studied is systemic sclerosis, specifically at the changes induced due to pulmonary arterial hypertension, this being one of the main causes of death in this group of patients after the significant decrease in mortality associated with the sclerodermic renal crisis with the treatment of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. In this review, we will focus on explaining the structural and functional changes that occur in the right ventricle of patients with systemic sclerosis, from early alterations to late complications. In this context, it is necessary to distinguish between right heart alterations that occur in patients with systemic sclerosis and pulmonary arterial hypertension and those that occur without pulmonary arterial hypertension and that can be attributed to other causes such as microvascular damage or myocardial fibrosis.

Heterogeneity of determining disease severity, clinical course and outcomes in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease: a systematic literature review

Objective The course of systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) is highly variable and different from continuously progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Most proposed definitions of progressive pulmonary fibrosis or SSc-ILD severity are based on the research data from patients with IPF and are not validated for patients with SSc-ILD. Our study aimed to gather the current evidence for severity, progression and outcomes of SSc-ILD.Methods A systematic literature review to search for definitions of severity, progression and outcomes recorded for SSc-ILD was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines in Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library up to 1 August 2023.Results A total of 9054 papers were reviewed and 342 were finally included. The most frequent tools used for the definition of SSc-ILD progression and severity were combined changes of carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) and forced vital capacity (FVC), isolated FVC or DLCO changes, high-resolution CT (HRCT) extension and composite algorithms including pulmonary function test, clinical signs and HRCT data. Mortality was the most frequently reported long-term event, both from all causes or ILD related.Conclusions The studies presenting definitions of SSc-ILD 'progression', 'severity' and 'outcome' show a large heterogeneity. These results emphasise the need for developing a standardised, consensus definition of severe SSc-ILD, to link a disease specific definition of progression as a surrogate outcome for clinical trials and clinical practice.PROSPERO registration number CRD42022379254.Cite Now.

Pericardial effusions and cardiac tamponade in hospitalized systemic sclerosis patients: analysis of the national inpatient sample

INTRODUCTION

Clinically significant pericardial effusions and cardiac tamponade in systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients is uncommon and the factors that contribute to progression of pericardial involvement in SSc patients have not been well established.

METHODS

A review of the national inpatient sample database was performed looking SSc related hospitalizations between 2002 and 2019. Data was collected on patients with pericardial effusions and cardiac tamponade and analyzed to identify and describe patient characteristics and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Out of a total of 523,410 SSc hospitalizations, with an overall inpatient mortality rate of 4.7% (24,764 patients), pericardial effusion was identified in 3.1% of all hospitalizations (16,141 patients) out of which 0.2% (838 patients) had a diagnosis of cardiac tamponade. Patients with pericardial effusion were significantly more likely to have pulmonary circulatory disease (p = < 0.0001), congestive heart failure (p = < 0.0001) end stage renal disease (p = < 0.0001), diabetes (p = 0.015), and hypothyroidism (p = 0.025). Patients with cardiac tamponade were significantly more likely to have a history of coronary artery bypass graft surgery (p = 0.001) or atrial fibrillation (p = < 0.0001). Hospitalized patients with cardiac tamponade had a significantly increased mortality rate of 17.7% compared to 8.8% in patients with pericardial effusions without a tamponade physiology, with an odds ratio of 2.3 (1.97-2.86), p = < 0.0001.

CONCLUSION

Pericardial effusion and tamponade are associated with increased morbidity and mortality in SSc patients. Further studies are required to explore the role of patient comorbidities and characteristics in development into pericardial effusions or tamponade.

Oxygenated hemoglobin as prognostic marker among patients with systemic sclerosis screened for pulmonary hypertension

Oxygenated hemoglobin (OxyHem) in arterial blood may reflect disease severity in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). The aim of this study was to analyze the predictive value of OxyHem in SSc patients screened for pulmonary hypertension (PH). OxyHem (g/dl) was measured by multiplying the concentration of hemoglobin with fractional oxygen saturation in arterialized capillary blood. Prognostic power was compared with known prognostic parameters in SSc using uni- and multivariable analysis. A total of 280 SSc patients were screened, 267 were included in the analysis. No signs of pulmonary vascular disease were found in 126 patients, while 141 patients presented with mean pulmonary arterial pressure ≥ 21 mmHg. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was identified in 70 patients. Low OxyHem ≤ 12.5 g/dl at baseline was significantly associated with worse survival (P = 0.046). In the multivariable analysis presence of ILD, age ≥ 60 years and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) ≤ 65% were negatively associated with survival. The combination of low DLCO and low OxyHem at baseline could predict PH at baseline (sensitivity 76.1%). This study detected for the first time OxyHem ≤ 12.5 g/dl as a prognostic predictor in SSc patients. Further studies are needed to confirm these results.

Cardiovascular disease and bone health in aging female rheumatic disease populations: A review

Rheumatic diseases cover a wide spectrum of conditions, including primary and secondary degenerative joint diseases and autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic diseases. The risks of cardiovascular disease and osteoporosis and resultant fractures in aging female rheumatic disease populations, especially those with autoimmune rheumatic diseases, are increased. Changes in the immune system in aging populations need to be considered especially among patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases. Immunosenescence is closely aligned to reduced adaptive immunity and increased non-specific innate immunity leading to chronic inflammation of inflammaging. The effective use of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs to control autoimmune rheumatic diseases may also mitigate factors leading to cardiovascular disease and osteoporosis. Rheumatic diseases, which largely manifest as arthritis, predispose patients to premature joint degeneration and poor bone health and therefore have a higher risk of developing end-stage arthritis requiring joint arthroplasties sooner or more often than other patients without rheumatic disease.

Association between Routine Laboratory Parameters and the Severity and Progression of Systemic Sclerosis

(1) Background: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a heterogeneous connective tissue disease with a high mortality and morbidity rate. Identification of biomarkers that can predict the evolution of SSc is a key factor in the management of patients. The aim of this study was to assess the association of routine laboratory parameters, widely used in practice and easily available, with the severity and progression of SSc. (2) Methods: In this retrospective monocentric cohort study, 372 SSc patients were included. We gathered clinical and laboratory data including routine laboratory parameters: C-reactive-protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), complete blood count, serum sodium and potassium levels, creatinin, urea, ferritin, albumin, uric acid, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), serum protein electrophoresis, and liver enzymes. Associations between these routine laboratory parameters and clinical presentation and outcome were assessed. (3) Results: Median (interquartile range) age was 59.0 (50.0; 68.0) years. White blood cell, monocyte, and neutrophil absolute counts were significantly higher in patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc and with interstitial lung disease (ILD) (p < 0.001). CRP was significantly higher in patients with ILD (p < 0.001). Hemoglobin and ferritin were significantly lower in patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH) including pulmonary arterial hypertension and ILD associated PH (p = 0.016 and 0.046, respectively). Uric acid and NT pro BNP were significantly higher in patients with PH (<0.001). Monocyte count was associated with ILD progression over time. (4) Conclusions: Overall, our study highlights the association of routine laboratory parameters used in current practice with the severity and progression of SSc.

Acute hospitalization in a cohort of patients with systemic sclerosis: a 10-year retrospective cohort study

This study aimed at analysing the causes and predictors of acute hospitalization and mortality in a cohort of SSc. Retrospective analysis of all acute hospital admissions of SSc patients fulfilling the 2013 EULAR/ACR Classification Criteria, from a single-centre cohort of 95 patients, between 2010 and 2020. The total number of SSc patients registered in our hospital, in this period, was 123. Clinical data were collected from medical files of our institution and from the National Healthcare Registry platform. 53 patients needed acute hospitalization, in a total of 164 admissions. The most frequent causes for admission were: infectious diseases [27%; 70% due to pneumoniae, of which 74% had SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD)], cardiac disease (16.5%), peripheral vascular disease [12.8%; all due to digital ulcers], pulmonary hypertension (PH) (9.8%) and ILD (9.1%). There was an increase in admissions due to cardiac disease over the 10 years of follow-up, and a decrease of ILD over the last 5 years. Fourteen patients died (in-hospital mortality of 9%) mainly due to pneumoniae (36%), heart failure (21%), neoplastic diseases (21%), PH (14%) and ILD (7%). From all the admissions due to infection 70.5% were under immunosuppression at the time of the hospitalization. The frequency of acute admissions superior to 1 was associated with infection (OR 2.29, 95%CI 1.11-4.71). There were several factors associated with both acute admissions and mortality, including: gender, race, digital ulcers, cardiac dysfunction, ILD and PH. Infection was the principal cause of acute hospitalization and mortality, mainly due to pneumoniae. Although a high percentage of those had ILD, it has been decreasing in the last years in our cohort, as a direct cause of hospital admission and mortality, possibly reflecting the advances in its management.

Increased risk of mortality in systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary hypertension: a systemic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a frequent complication of systemic sclerosis (SSc) and is currently one of the primary causes of death in patients with this disease. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the association between PH and mortality in patients with SSc to verify trends in mortality in patients with SSc-associated PH.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed and Embase databases for published studies on SSc-associated PH from inception to May 2021. All cohort studies in which mortality and/or survival for SSc-associated PH were reported were included in the analysis. The outcome parameters were pooled and analyzed using a random-effects model via generic inverse-variance weighting in conventional and cumulative meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 1161 citations, and the full texts of 54 studies were examined. Sixteen articles, with a total of 7857 patients with SSc and 1140 patients with SSc-associated PH, were included in the meta-analysis. Patients with SSc-associated PH had a higher pooled risk of mortality than patients with SSc without PH (risk ratio = 3.12; 95% confidence interval: [2.44, 3.98]).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis revealed a higher mortality in patients with SSc-associated PH. PH was a significant predictor of death in patients with SSc. Thus, early diagnosis and treatment of PH are important in patients with SSc.

Sine scleroderma, limited cutaneous, and diffused cutaneous systemic sclerosis survival and predictors of mortality

BACKGROUND

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a variability of mortality rates in the literature.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the mortality and its predictors in a long-term follow-up of a bi-centric cohort of SSc patients.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study by systematically analyzing the medical records of patients diagnosed with SSc in Toulouse University Hospital and Ducuing Hospital. Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR), mortality at 1, 3, 5, 10, and 15 years of disease and causes of death were described. Predictors of mortality using Cox regression were assessed.

RESULTS

Three hundred seventy-five patients were included: 63 with diffuse cutaneous SSc, 279 with limited cutaneous SSc, and 33 with sine scleroderma. The SMR ratio was 1.88 (95% CI 1.46-1.97). The overall survival rates were 97.6% at 1 year, 93.4% at 3 years, 87.1% at 5 years, 77.9% at 10 years, and 61.3% at 15 years. Sixty-nine deaths were recorded. 46.4% were SSc related deaths secondary to interstitial lung disease (ILD) (34.4%), pulmonary hypertension (31.2%), and digestive tract involvement (18.8%). 53.6% were non-related to SSc: cardiovascular disorders (37.8%) and various infections (35.1%) largely distanced those from cancer (13.5%). Four significant independent predictive factors were identified: carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) < 70% (HR=3.01; p=0.0053), C-reactive protein (CRP) >5 mg/l (HR=2.13; p=0.0174), cardiac involvement (HR=2.86; p=0.0012), and the fact of being male (HR=3.25; p=0.0004).

CONCLUSION

Long-term data confirmed high mortality of SSc. Male sex, DLCO <70%, cardiac involvement, and CRP> 5mg/l were identified as independent predictors of mortality.

Connective Tissue Disease-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension in Southern Taiwan: A Single-Center 10-Year Longitudinal Observation Cohort

Background: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a life-threatening disease with different etiologies and outcomes. We aimed to explore differences in clinical features and outcomes of idiopathic PAH (iPAH) and connective tissue disease-related PAH (CTD-PAH) in Taiwanese patients and determine risk factors for mortality. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with right-sided heart catheterization-diagnosed PAH between January 2005 and December 2015. The iPAH (n = 31) and CTD-PAH (n = 14) patients were enrolled and followed until December 31, 2019. Between-group comparisons were conducted. Potential predictors of the mortality of PAH were determined using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results: CTD-PAH patients had higher levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and lower predicted diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide (DLCO) than iPAH patients. The mortality rates were similar between CTD-PAH and iPAH (21.4% vs. 22.6%, p = 0.99). A mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) > 46 mmHg was a predictor of PAH-induced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 21.8, 95% confidence interval 2.32–204.8). Conclusions: A higher mPAP level, but not underlying CTDs, imposed a significantly increased risk of mortality to patients with PAH.

Safety and Efficacy of B-Cell Depletion with Rituximab for the Treatment of Systemic Sclerosis-associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: A Multicenter, Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-controlled Trial

Rationale: Systemic sclerosis (SSc)-pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is one of the most prevalent and deadly forms of PAH. B cells may contribute to SSc pathogenesis. Objectives: We investigated the safety and efficacy of B-cell depletion for SSc-PAH. Methods: In an NIH-sponsored, multicenter, double-blinded, randomized, placebo-controlled, proof-of-concept trial, 57 patients with SSc-PAH on stable-dose standard medical therapy received two infusions of 1,000 mg rituximab or placebo administered 2 weeks apart. The primary outcome measure was the change in 6-minute-walk distance (6MWD) at 24 weeks. Secondary endpoints included safety and invasive hemodynamics. We applied a machine learning approach to predict drug responsiveness. Measurements and Main Results: We randomized 57 subjects from 2010 to 2018. In the primary analysis, using data through Week 24, the adjusted mean change in 6MWD at 24 weeks favored the treatment arm but did not reach statistical significance (23.6 ± 11.1 m vs. 0.5 ± 9.7 m; P = 0.12). Although a negative study, when data through Week 48 were also considered, the estimated change in 6MWD at Week 24 was 25.5 ± 8.8 m for rituximab and 0.4 ± 7.4 m for placebo (P = 0.03). Rituximab treatment appeared to be safe and well tolerated. Low levels of RF (rheumatoid factor), IL-12, and IL-17 were sensitive and specific as favorable predictors of a rituximab response as measured by an improved 6MWD (receiver operating characteristic area under the curve, 0.88-0.95). Conclusions: B-cell depletion therapy is a potentially effective and safe adjuvant treatment for SSc-PAH. Future studies in these patients can confirm whether the identified biomarkers predict rituximab responsiveness. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrails.gov (NCT01086540).

An Update on Systemic Sclerosis and its Perioperative Management

Purpose of Review

Systemic sclerosis or scleroderma (SSc) is a systemic, immune-mediated disease characterized by abnormal cutaneous and organ-based fibrosis that results in progressive end-organ dysfunction and decreased survival. SSc results in significant challenges for the practicing anesthesiologist due to its rarity, multi-system involvement, and limited evidence-based guidance for optimal perioperative care. In this update, we briefly discuss the recent evidence on the pathophysiology and current management of SSc, review the anesthesia-related literature, and extrapolate these observations into an optimal perioperative strategy for the care of SSc patients.

Recent Findings

Evidence shows that patients with SSc demonstrate an increased risk for perioperative myocardial infarction, high rates of interstitial lung disease, pulmonary arterial hypertension, neurological disease, gastric dysmotility disorders, and challenging airway management, all findings that may result in suboptimal perioperative outcomes.

Summary

Advances in SSc medical management have resulted in improved survival, likely increasing the number of patients who will be exposed to perioperative care. Optimal perioperative management and risk stratification should expand beyond the well-described airway challenges and consider numerous systemic manifestations of systemic sclerosis such as pulmonary arterial hypertension, interstitial lung disease, and cardiac sequelae.

Systemic sclerosis: Advances towards stratified medicine

Epidemiological studies reporting demographic, clinical and serological factors predictive of various outcomes in systemic sclerosis (SSc) range from the prediction of mortality to the development and progression of disease manifestations. However, predicting the disease trajectory in the individual patient is a challenging but important step towards a stratified approach to disease management. Recent technological advances provide the opportunity for new subgroupings of disease based on risk stratification, through the systematic analysis of high-dimensional clinical data combined with genes, their transcription products and their corresponding translated proteins. In addition, these variables offer a rich vein of research to identify non-invasive biomarkers for predicting organ involvement and to assess disease activity and response to therapy. Selection of patients with a clinical phenotype or molecular signature relevant to the therapy under study combined with recent efforts to standardise outcome measures, show promise for improving clinical trial design and the identification of effective targeted therapies.

Therapeutic Challenges And Advances In The Management Of Systemic Sclerosis-Related Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (SSc-PAH)

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare autoimmune disorder with multi-organ involvement. SSc-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in the SSc population. With advances in our understanding of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) diagnosis and treatment, outcomes for all PAH patients have significantly improved. While SSc-PAH patients have also benefited from these advances, significant challenges remain. Diagnosis of PAH is a challenging endeavor in SSc patients who often have many co-existing pulmonary and cardiac comorbidities. Given the significantly elevated prevalence and lifetime risk of PAH in the SSc population, screening for SSc-PAH is a critically useful strategy. Treatment with pulmonary arterial (PA) vasodilators has resulted in a dramatic improvement in the survival and quality of life of PAH patients. While therapy with PA vasodilators is beneficial in SSc-PAH patients, therapy effects appear to be attenuated when compared to responses in patients with idiopathic PAH (IPAH). This review attempts to chronicle and summarize the advances in our understanding of the optimal screening strategies to identify PAH in patients with SSc. The article also reviews the advances in the therapeutic and risk stratification strategies for SSc-PAH patients.

Progress in Understanding, Diagnosing, and Managing Cardiac Complications of Systemic Sclerosis

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

Systemic sclerosis (scleroderma) is a complex autoimmune disease that commonly involves the cardiovascular system. Even if often subclinical, cardiac involvement is considered a poor prognostic factor as it is a leading cause of death in scleroderma patients. We review the cardiac manifestations of scleroderma, the diagnostic methods useful in detection, and current advances in therapeutic management.

RECENT FINDINGS

Beside the routine exams for the assessment of cardiac status (including EKG, standard echocardiography, provocative tests) novel techniques such as myocardial strain imaging on echocardiography, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, invasive hemodynamic assessment, and endomyocardial biopsy have been demonstrated to be useful in understanding the cardiac alterations that typically affect scleroderma patients. Recent application of novel cardiac detection strategies is providing increased insight into the breadth and pathogenesis of cardiac complications of scleroderma. Further studies coupling exercise provocation, invasive and imaging assessment, and mechanistic studies in scleroderma cardiac tissue are needed to develop the optimal approach to early detection of cardiac disease in scleroderma and targeted therapies.

Anti-C1q autoantibodies are frequently detected in patients with systemic sclerosis associated with pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Anti-C1q autoantibodies (autoAbs) are associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), but their presence in other rheumatic diseases has not been adequately investigated.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess anti-C1q autoAbs and circulating immune complexes (CICs) in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

In total 124 patients with SSc were studied; 106 were female and the median age was 59·4 years (range 25-81·4). Overall 75 (60·5%) had limited cutaneous SSc and 49 (39·5%) had diffuse cutaneous SSc. Also included were 25 patients with Sjögren syndrome (SjS), 29 with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), 38 with SLE and 53 healthy controls. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays with high- and low-salt buffers were used to measure anti-C1q antibodies and CICs. The former allows only anti-C1q antibody binding to C1q and the latter also allows IgG Fc to bind to C1q.

RESULTS

Anti-C1q antibodies were present in 20 of 124 (16·1%) patients with SSc: five had high levels (> 80 RU mL^-1 ) and 10 (50%) had moderate levels (40-80 RU mL^-1 ). Anti-C1q antibodies were also present in one of 25 (4%) patients with SjS, one of 29 (3%) with RA (P < 0·05 for both) and three of 53 (6%) healthy controls (P < 0·01). Anti-C1q antibodies were detected in 13 of 38 (34%) patients with SLEs. Anti-C1q antibodies were more frequent in male than female patients with SSc (P = 0·005); this association remained after multivariate regression analysis. Anti-C1q antibody level was the most important factor in predicting the presence of pulmonary fibrosis, and the second most important in predicting pulmonary arterial hypertension. Fourteen patients with SSc (11·3%) had CICs.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-C1q autoAbs were frequently detected in patients with SSc, and their high levels predict the co-occurrence of pulmonary fibrosis or pulmonary arterial hypertension.