Outcomes and prognostic factors for severe community-acquired pneumonia that requires mechanical ventilation

An Exploratory Analysis of the Association between Hypercapnia and Hospital Mortality in Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis

Rationale: Hypercapnia may affect the outcome of sepsis. Very few clinical studies conducted in noncritically ill patients have investigated the effects of hypercapnia and hypercapnic acidemia in the context of sepsis. The effect of hypercapnia in critically ill patients with sepsis remains inadequately studied. Objectives: To investigate the association of hypercapnia with hospital mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. Methods: This is a retrospective study conducted in three tertiary public hospitals. Critically ill patients with sepsis from three intensive care units between January 2011 and May 2019 were included. Five cohorts (exposure of at least 24, 48, 72, 120, and 168 hours) were created to account for immortal time bias and informative censoring. The association between hypercapnia exposure and hospital mortality was assessed with multivariable models. Subgroup analyses compared ventilated versus nonventilated and pulmonary versus nonpulmonary sepsis patients. Results: We analyzed 84,819 arterial carbon dioxide pressure measurements in 3,153 patients (57.6% male; median age was 62.5 years). After adjustment for key confounders, both in mechanically ventilated and nonventilated patients and in patients with pulmonary or nonpulmonary sepsis, there was no independent association of hypercapnia with hospital mortality. In contrast, in ventilated patients, the presence of prolonged exposure to both hypercapnia and acidemia was associated with increased mortality (highest odds ratio of 16.5 for ⩾120 hours of potential exposure; P = 0.007). Conclusions: After adjustment, isolated hypercapnia was not associated with increased mortality in patients with sepsis, whereas prolonged hypercapnic acidemia was associated with increased risk of mortality. These hypothesis-generating observations suggest that as hypercapnia is not an independent risk factor for mortality, trials of permissive hypercapnia avoiding or minimizing acidemia in sepsis may be safe.

Sex-Related Disparities in the Incidence and Outcomes of Community-Acquired Pneumonia among Type 2 Diabetes Patients: A Propensity Score-Matching Analysis Using the Spanish National Hospital Discharge Database for the Period 2016-2019

(1) Background: To analyze incidence, clinical characteristics, procedures, and in-hospital outcomes among patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) according to the presence of T2DM in Spain (2016-2019) and to assess the role of gender among those with T2DM. (2) Methods: Using the Spanish National Hospital Discharge Database, we estimated hospitalized CAP incidence. Propensity score matching was used to compare population subgroups. (3) Results: CAP was coded in 520,723 patients, of whom 140,410 (26.96%) had T2DM. The hospitalized CAP incidence was higher in patients with T2DM (both sexes) (IRR 4.25; 95% CI 4.23-4.28). The hospitalized CAP incidence was higher in men with T2DM than in women with T2DM (IRR 1.46; 95% CI 1.45-1.47). The hospitalized CAP incidence among T2DM patients increased over time; however, the in-hospital mortality (IHM) decreased between 2016 and 2019. IHM was higher among non-T2DM men and women than matched T2DM men and women (14.23% and 14.22% vs. 12.13% and 12.91%; all p < 0.001, respectively), After adjusting for confounders, men with T2DM had a 6% higher mortality risk than women (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02-1.1). (4) Conclusions: T2DM is associated with a higher hospitalized CAP incidence and is increasing overtime. Patients hospitalized with CAP and T2DM have lower IHM. Male sex is a significant risk factor for mortality after CAP among T2DM patients.

Utilization Trends and Predictors of Non-invasive and Invasive Ventilation During Hospitalization Due to Community-Acquired Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) are most important interventions for patients with severe CAP associated with respiratory failure. We analysed utilization trends and predictors of non-invasive and invasive ventilation in patients hospitalized with CAP.

METHODS

 Nationwide Inpatient Sample and Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project data for years 2008-2017 were analysed. Adult hospitalizations due to CAP were identified by previously validated International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) and International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes. We then utilized the Cochran-Armitage trend test and multivariate survey logistic regression models to analyse temporal incidence trends, predictors, and outcomes. We used SAS 9.4 software (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA) for analysing data.

RESULTS

Out of a total of 8,385,861 hospitalizations due to CAP, ventilation assistance was required in 552,395 (6.6%). The overall ventilation use increased slightly; however, IMV utilization decreased, while NIV utilization increased. In multivariable regression analysis, males, Asian/others and weekend admissions were associated with higher odds of any ventilation utilization. Concurrent diagnoses of septicemia, congestive heart failure, alcoholism, chronic lung diseases, pulmonary circulatory diseases, diabetes mellitus, obesity and cancer were associated with increased odds of requiring ventilation assistance. Ventilation requirement was associated with high odds of in-hospital mortality and discharge to facility.

CONCLUSION

The use of NIV among CAP patients has increased while IMV use has decreased over the years. We observed numerous factors linked with a higher use of ventilation support. The requirement of ventilation support is also associated with very high chances of mortality and morbidity.

Hospital Readmissions and Mortality Among Intubated and Mechanically Ventilated Adult Subjects With Pneumonia Due to Gram-Negative Bacteria

BACKGROUND

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is one of the most common hospital-acquired infections in ICUs and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Gram-negative bacteria cause 55-85% of hospital-acquired pneumonia and are associated with increased mortality.

METHODS

This study sought to describe mortality rates and 30-d readmission rates among intubated and mechanically ventilated subjects with Gram-negative pneumonia and to explore associated risk factors for mortality and rehospitalization using data from the 2013 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) National Readmission Database. The study sample included adults age ≥ 18 y who were hospitalized with invasive, continuous mechanical ventilation; were discharged between February 1, 2013, and November 30, 2013; and had a primary or secondary diagnosis of Gram-negative bacterial pneumonia. Logistic regression was used to identify subject characteristics significantly associated with mortality and readmissions.

RESULTS

Using the HCUP projected sample of 32,683 intubated and mechanically ventilated subjects with Gram-negative pneumonia, the mortality rate during the index hospitalization was 24.3%. More than one fifth of subjects (22.9%) who survived the index hospitalization were readmitted within 30 d of discharge. Among subjects with readmissions, 18% occurred within 3 d of discharge, 39% occurred within 7 d of discharge, and 65% occurred within 14 d of discharge. Subjects with prior hospitalization within 30 d of the index hospitalization had a higher risk of readmission with an odds ratio of 1.70 (95% CI 1.48-1.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality was high and readmissions were substantial among intubated and mechanically ventilated subjects with Gram-negative pneumonia.

Hypercapnia at Hospital Admission as a Predictor of Mortality

Introduction

Hypercapnia is an indicator of ventilatory exhaustion. There is some disagreement regarding whether hypercapnia is also a predictor of mortality. In this prospective study, we aimed to investigate whether hypercapnia can predict in-hospital and 1-year mortality rates in patients with dyspnea or pulmonary diseases.

Patients and Methods

All patients with dyspnea or pulmonary diseases underwent routine blood gas analysis at hospital admission. During the 12-month enrollment period, 2710 patients were enrolled, and 588 patients with hypercapnia at admission were identified. Of the 1626 normocapnic patients, 62 were randomly selected as controls. In-hospital and 1-year mortality rates were determined.

Results

There were significant increases in mortality rate between acute hypercapnic patients and both chronic hypercapnic patients and normocapnic controls. Their in-hospital mortality rates were 17%, 6.7% and 3.2%, respectively. Their 1-year mortality rates were 32%, 20.2% and 14.5%, respectively. The 1-year mortality rates of hypercapnic patients with different underlying diseases were 24.6% (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), 28.4% (congestive heart disease), 1.6% (obstructive sleep apnea syndrome/obesity hypoventilation syndrome), 50.9% (pneumonia), 0% (suppressed central respiratory drive, primarily due to opiate abuse) and 22.8% (other conditions).

Discussion

The 1-year mortality rate of patients with acute hypercapnia at hospital admission was 32%, with significant differences compared to chronic hypercapnic patients (20.2%) and normocapnic patients (14.5%). There was a wide range of 1-year mortality rates between the hypercapnic patients with different underlying diseases.

Management of Acute Respiratory Failure Due to Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Systematic Review

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a leading cause of mortality worldwide. CAP mortality is driven by the development of sepsis and acute respiratory failure (ARF). We performed a systematic review of the available English literature published in the period 1 January 1997 to 31 August 2017 and focused on ARF in CAP. The database searches identified 189 articles—of these, only 29 were retained for data extraction. Of these 29 articles, 12 addressed ARF in CAP without discussing its ventilatory management, while 17 evaluated the ventilatory management of ARF in CAP. In the studies assessing the ventilatory management, the specific treatments addressed were: high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) (n = 1), continuous positive airway pressure (n = 2), non-invasive ventilation (n = 9), and invasive mechanical ventilation (n = 5). When analyzed, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) success rates ranged from 20% to 76% and they strongly predicted survival, while NIV failure led to an increased risk of adverse outcome. In conclusion, ARF in CAP patients may require both ventilatory and non-ventilatory management. Further research is needed to better evaluate the use of NIV and HFNC in those patients. Alongside the prompt administration of antimicrobials, the potential use of steroids and the implementation of severity scores should also be considered.

Association of High Mobility Group Box Protein B1 Gene Polymorphisms with Pneumonia Susceptibility and Severity

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between the high mobility group box protein B1 (HMGB1) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) rs1412125, rs2249825, and rs1045411 with pneumonia in terms of susceptibility, severity, and inflammatory response.

METHODS

The genotypes of HMGB1 rs1412125 (-1615T > C), rs2249825 (3814C > G), and rs1045411 (2262C > T) loci in 328 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and 317 healthy subjects were analyzed by Sanger sequencing. The expression and secretion of the inflammatory cytokines HMGB1, interleukin (IL)-10, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), and IL-6 were determined after lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation of peripheral whole blood cells.

RESULTS

The risk of CAP was higher in carriers of the mutant HMGB1 rs1412125 and rs2249825 alleles than those that had the wild type alleles (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 1.241; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.061-1.448; p = 0.007; adjusted OR = 1.225; 95% CI = 1.038-1.427; p = 0.016, respectively). Moreover, the mutation-carrying patients with CAP were more likely to develop severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP). There was no correlation between the HMGB1 rs1045411 SNP alleles and CAP or SCAP (p > 0.05). The expression and secretion of the inflammatory cytokines HMGB1, IL-10, TNF-α, and IL-6 was significantly higher in LPS-stimulated peripheral blood among patients with mutations at the rs1412125 and rs2249825 loci compared with those with wild type alleles (p < 0.05). The 30-day mortality rates for CAP patients with mutations at the rs1412125 and rs2249825 loci of HMGB1 were significantly higher than those that had wild type alleles. The mortality rate difference between rs1045411 wild-type CAP patients and mutant was not significant (p = 0.789).

CONCLUSION

SNPs at the rs1412125 and rs2249825 loci of HMGB1 are associated with pneumonia in terms of susceptibility, severity, and inflammatory response.

Acute respiratory distress syndrome in mechanically ventilated patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Our aim was to assess the incidence, characteristics, aetiology, risk factors and mortality of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) using the Berlin definition.We prospectively enrolled consecutive mechanically ventilated adult ICU patients with CAP over 20 years, and compared them with mechanically ventilated patients without ARDS. The main outcome was 30-day mortality.Among 5334 patients hospitalised with CAP, 930 (17%) were admitted to the ICU and 432 required mechanical ventilation; 125 (29%) cases met the Berlin ARDS criteria. ARDS was present in 2% of hospitalised patients and 13% of ICU patients. Based on the baseline arterial oxygen tension/inspiratory oxygen fraction ratio, 60 (48%), 49 (40%) and 15 (12%) patients had mild, moderate and severe ARDS, respectively. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the most frequent pathogen, with no significant differences in aetiology between groups. Higher organ system dysfunction and previous antibiotic use were independent risk factors for ARDS in the multivariate analysis, while previous inhaled corticosteroids were independently associated with a lower risk. The 30-day mortality was similar between patients with and without ARDS (25% versus 30%, p=0.25), confirmed by propensity-adjusted multivariate analysis.ARDS occurs as a complication of CAP in 29% of mechanically ventilated patients, but is not related to the aetiology or mortality.

Severe community-acquired pneumonia: Characteristics and prognostic factors in ventilated and non-ventilated patients

BACKGROUND

Patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) and life-threatening acute respiratory failure may require invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Since use of IMV is often associated with significant morbidity and mortality, we assessed whether patients invasively ventilated would represent a target population for interventions aimed at reducing mortality of SCAP.

METHODS

We prospectively recruited consecutive patients with SCAP for 12 years. We assessed the characteristics and outcomes of patients invasively ventilated at presentation of pneumonia, compared with those without IMV, and determined the influence of risks factors on mortality with a multivariate weighted logistic regression using a propensity score.

RESULTS

Among 3,719 patients hospitalized with CAP, 664 (18%) had criteria for SCAP, and 154 (23%) received IMV at presentation of pneumonia; 198 (30%) presented with septic shock. In 370 (56%) cases SCAP was diagnosed based solely on the presence of 3 or more IDSA/ATS minor criteria. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the main pathogen in both groups. The 30-day mortality was higher in the IMV, compared to non-intubated patients (51, 33%, vs. 94, 18% respectively, p<0·001), and higher than that predicted by APACHE-II score (26%). IMV independently predicted 30-day mortality in multivariate analysis (adjusted odds-ratio 3·54, 95% confidence interval 1·45-8·37, p = 0·006). Other independent predictors of mortality were septic shock, worse hypoxemia and increased serum potassium.

CONCLUSION

Invasive mechanical ventilation independently predicted 30-day mortality in patients with SCAP. Patients invasively ventilated should be considered a different population with higher mortality for future clinical trials on new interventions addressed to improve mortality of SCAP.

Is β-Lactam Plus Macrolide More Effective than β-Lactam Plus Fluoroquinolone among Patients with Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia?: a Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

Adding either macrolide or fluoroquinolone (FQ) to β-lactam has been recommended for patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, due to the limited evidence available, there is a question as to the superiority of the two combination therapies. The MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched for systematic review and meta-analysis. A total of eight trials were analyzed. The total number of patients in the β-lactam plus macrolide (BL-M) and β-lactam plus fluoroquinolone (BL-F) groups was 2,273 and 1,600, respectively. Overall mortality of the BL-M group was lower than that of the BL-F group (19.4% vs. 26.8%), which showed statistical significance (odds ratio [OR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.49 to 0.94; P = 0.02). Length of hospital stay was reduced in the BL-M group compared to the BL-F group (mean difference, -3.05 days; 95% CI, -6.01 to -0.09; P = 0.04). However, there was no significant difference in length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay between the two groups. Among patients with severe CAP, BL-M therapy may better reduce overall mortality and length of hospital stay than BL-F therapy. However, we could not elicit strong conclusions from the available trials due to high risk of bias and methodological limitations.

Disease burden of pneumonia in Korean adults aged over 50 years stratified by age and underlying diseases

BACKGROUND/AIMS

This study was conducted to assess the disease burden of pneumonia according to age and presence of underlying diseases in patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational study and collected data targeting patients with CAP (≥ 50 years) from 11 hospitals. Disease burden was defined as total per-capita medical fee, severity (CURB-65), hospital length of stay (LOS), and mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 693 enrolled subjects, elderly subjects (age, ≥ 65 years) had a higher mean CURB-65 score (1.56 vs. 0.25; p < 0.01) and higher mortality than nonelderly subjects (4.4% [n = 21] vs. 0.5% [n = 1]; p = 0.00). In addition, the total cost of pneumonia treatment was higher in elderly patients compared to in nonelderly patients (KRW 2,088,190 vs. US $1,701,386; p < 0.01). Those with an underlying disease had a higher CURB-65 score (1.26 vs. 0.68; p < 0.01), were much older (mean age, 71.24 years vs. 64.24 years; p < 0.01), and had a higher mortality rate than those without an underlying disease (3.5% [n = 20] vs. 1.7% [n = 2]; p = 0.56). Total per-capita medical fees were higher (KRW 2,074,520 vs. US $1,440,471; p < 0.01) and hospital LOS was longer (mean, 8.38 days vs. 6.42 days; p < 0.01) in patients with underlying diseases compared to those without.

CONCLUSIONS

Due to the relatively high disease burden in Korea, particularly in the elderly and in those with an underlying disease, closer and more careful observation is needed to improve the outcomes of patients with CAP.

Spectrum and outcome predictors of central nervous system infections in a neurological critical care unit in India: a retrospective review

BACKGROUND

There are few published studies on the spectrum and outcome of central nervous system (CNS) infection in the neurology intensive care unit (NICU). We report the spectrum of CNS infections in the NICU and the predictors of outcome.

METHODS

During 2011 to 2012, 235 critically ill neurological patients were admitted to a 12-bed NICU in a tertiary-care teaching hospital in Lucknow, northern India; 76 (32.3%) of them had CNS infections and were included in the present study. The patients' demographic and clinical details were noted, together with the underlying aetiology, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and complications during mechanical ventilation. Deaths were recorded, and 3-month functional outcome in the surviving patients assessed by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS).

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 37.5 (4-75) years and 31 were females; 36/76 (47%) patients had tuberculous meningitis, 28/76 (37%) viral encephalitis, 8/76 (11%) pyogenic meningitis and 4/76 (5%) fungal meningitis. Seven of these patients had AIDS. The median duration of mechanical ventilation was 8 (1-121) days and 39/76 patients (51.3%) died. Duration of hospital stay (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.05-1.37, p=0.006) and duration of mechanical ventilation (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.68-0.95, p=0.01) were independent predictors of death. At 3-month follow-up, 23/37 patients (62%) had recovered well, 10/37 (27%) were severely disabled and 4/37 (11%) had died.

CONCLUSION

Of patients admitted to the NICU during the study period, one-third had a CNS infection. Half of those with a CNS infection survived, and predictors of death were prolonged mechanical ventilation and prolonged hospital stay.

Macrolide use in the treatment of critically ill patients with pneumonia: Incidence, correlates, timing and outcomes

BACKGROUND

Macrolide antibiotics are commonly used to treat pneumonia despite increasing antimicrobial resistance. Evidence suggests that macrolides may also decrease mortality in severe sepsis via immunomodulatory properties.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the incidence, correlates, timing and mortality associated with macrolide-based treatment.

METHODS

A population-based cohort of critically ill adults with pneumonia at five intensive care units in Edmonton, Alberta, was prospectively followed over two years. Data collected included disease severity (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE] II score), pneumonia severity (Pneumonia Severity Index score), comorbidities, antibiotic treatments at presentation and time to effective antibiotic. The independent association between macrolide-based treatment and 30-day all-cause mortality was examined using multivariable Cox regression. A secondary exploratory analysis examined time to effective antimicrobial therapy.

RESULTS

The cohort included 328 patients with a mean Pneumonia Severity Index score of 116 and a mean APACHE II score of 17; 84% required invasive mechanical ventilation. Ninety-one (28%) patients received macrolide-based treatments, with no significant correlates of treatment except nursing home residence (15% versus 30% for nonresidents [P=0.02]). Overall mortality was 54 of 328 (16%) at 30 days: 14 of 91 (15%) among patients treated with macrolides versus 40 of 237 (17%) for nonmacrolides (adjusted HR 0.93 [95% CI 0.50 to 1.74]; P=0.8). Patients who received effective antibiotics within 4 h of presentation were less likely to die than those whose treatment was delayed (14% versus 17%; adjusted HR 0.50 [95% CI 0.27 to 0.94]; P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Macrolide-based treatment was not associated with lower 30-day mortality among critically ill patients with pneumonia, although receipt of effective antibiotic within 4 h was strongly predictive of survival. Based on these results, timely effective treatment may be more important than choice of antibiotics.

The effect of diabetes on mortality in critically ill patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Critically ill patients with diabetes are at increased risk for the development of complications, but the impact of diabetes on mortality is unclear. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the effect of diabetes on mortality in critically ill patients, making a distinction between different ICU types.

Methods

We performed an electronic search of MEDLINE and Embase for studies published from May 2005 to May 2010 that reported the mortality of adult ICU patients. Two reviewers independently screened the resultant 3,220 publications for information regarding ICU, in-hospital or 30-day mortality of patients with or without diabetes. The number of deaths among patients with or without diabetes and/or mortality risk associated with diabetes was extracted. When only crude survival data were provided, odds ratios (ORs) and standard errors were calculated. Data were synthesized using inverse variance with ORs as the effect measure. A random effects model was used because of anticipated heterogeneity.

Results

We included 141 studies comprising 12,489,574 patients, including 2,705,624 deaths (21.7%). Of these patients, at least 2,327,178 (18.6%) had diabetes. Overall, no association between the presence of diabetes and mortality risk was found. Analysis by ICU type revealed a significant disadvantage for patients with diabetes for all mortality definitions when admitted to the surgical ICU (ICU mortality: OR [95% confidence interval] 1.48 [1.04 to 2.11]; in-hospital mortality: 1.59 [1.28 to 1.97]; 30-day mortality: 1.62 [1.13 to 2.34]). In medical and mixed ICUs, no effect of diabetes on all outcomes was found. Sensitivity analysis showed that the disadvantage in the diabetic surgical population was attributable to cardiac surgery patients (1.77 [1.45 to 2.16], P < 0.00001) and not to general surgery patients (1.21 [0.96 to 1.53], P = 0.11).

Conclusions

Our meta-analysis shows that diabetes is not associated with increased mortality risk in any ICU population except cardiac surgery patients.

How important is age in defining the prognosis of patients with community-acquired pneumonia?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Given that the population is increasing in age, a better understanding of the relationship between chronological age and health-related outcomes (especially mortality) is needed, for both chronic diseases (e.g. diabetes) and acute illnesses (e.g. pneumonia). Our purpose was to review the impact of age on the prognosis of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

RECENT FINDINGS

Many studies in patients with CAP have suggested that chronological age is not necessarily independently associated with mortality. Poorer outcomes in the elderly with CAP have been related to severity of disease, comorbid disease burden, functional status, and frailty, but not to age alone. However, many of these studies suffer from 'over-adjustment' due to the use of unmodified severity scores such as the Pneumonia Severity Index or Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (that already include age) in multivariable analyses. Studies accounting for this over-adjustment suggest that age is, in fact, independently associated with mortality in hospitalized patients with CAP. Other outcomes including hospitalization and readmission rates, hospital length of stay, and cost of care are similarly associated with increasing age. Residual confounding is still a problem in many of the observational studies reviewed.

SUMMARY

Contrary to conventional wisdom, chronological age is independently associated with adverse outcomes in patients with CAP. Until better methods (or more clinically-rich datasets) for observational studies are developed that can avoid over-adjustment and better deal with residual confounding, physicians should take into account both a patient's overall health status and his or her chronological age.

Age still matters: prognosticating short- and long-term mortality for critically ill patients with pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between age and mortality in critically ill patients with pneumonia. We hypothesized that increasing age would be independently associated with both short- and long-term mortality.

DESIGN

Prospective population-based cohort study examining the association between age and 30-day (short-term) and 1-yr (long-term) mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for pneumonia severity, mechanical ventilation, sex, functional status, nursing home residence, and having a living will.

SETTING

Five intensive care units in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.

PATIENTS

Critically ill adult patients with pneumonia.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The cohort included 351 intensive care unit patients; mean age 61 yrs, 59% male, 16% from nursing homes. Mean Pneumonia Severity Index was 115 (73% Pneumonia Severity Index class IV or V), mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score 17, and 83% received invasive mechanical ventilation. Overall, 151 (43%) were < 60 yrs old, 64 (18%) were 60-69 yrs old, 82 (23%) were 70-79 yrs old, and 54 (15%) were ≥ 80 yrs old. By 30 days, 58 of 351 (17%) had died; by 1 yr, 112 of 351 (32%) had died. Mortality increased with age, 28 of 151 (19%) in those < 60 yrs, 14 of 64 (22%) in those 60-69 yrs, 39 of 82 (48%) in those 70-79 yrs, and 31 of 54 (57%) in those ≥ 80 yrs. Independent of pneumonia severity and other factors, age (per 10-yr increase) was associated with 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.24, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.49, p = .026) and 1-yr mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.39, 95% confidence interval 1.21-1.60, p < .001). Having a living will was similarly associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 3.08, 95% confidence interval 1.61-5.90, p < .001 at 30 days; adjusted hazard ratio 2.00, 95% confidence interval 1.21-3.32, p = .007 at 1 yr).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing age was independently associated with risk-adjusted short- and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with pneumonia. These findings may help elderly patients, their families, and physicians better understand what intensive care unit admission can offer and help them to make more informed decisions.

Characteristics and clinical outcome of 458 patients with acute myocardial infarction requiring mechanical ventilation. Results of the BEAT registry of the ALKK-study group

BACKGROUND

Information about the clinical course of patients with acute myocardial infarction requiring mechanical ventilation is scarce. We sought to evaluate the clinical outcome of a large cohort of such patients in clinical practice.

METHODS

The German BEAT registry prospectively enrolled consecutive patients requiring mechanical ventilation who were admitted to an internal intensive care unit (ICU) of 45 participating German hospitals between September 2001 and June 2002. For this analysis, we created a subgroup of patients with acute ST-segment-elevation or non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction.

RESULTS

During the 9-month study period, 458 consecutive patients fulfilled our inclusion criteria. The mean age was 68 ± 8 years and 71% were men. 40% of the patients were already intubated in the prehospital phase. The initial reason for intubation was in 48% of the cases ventricular fibrillation/tachycardia or sudden cardiac death, in 39% congestive heart failure and in 13% of the cases non-cardiac. The median time of ventilation was 2 days (1-5) among survivors and 1 day (0-5) among non-survivors. Of the 458 patients, 256 (56%) had already or developed cardiogenic shock, 86 (19%) acute renal failure, 76 (17%) coma or brain damage, 64 (14%) severe infection, 46 (10%) sepsis and 28 (6%) multiorgan distress syndrome; 11% were treated with fibrinolysis, 39% with PCI and 6% with coronary artery bypass grafting. The overall hospital mortality rate was 48%. In patients with cardiogenic shock, mortality was even higher with 69%.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients requiring mechanical ventilation during an acute myocardial infarction constitute a high risk group with a mortality of about 50%. Further research is necessary to improve the outcome of these patients.

Only severely limited, premorbid functional status is associated with short- and long-term mortality in patients with pneumonia who are critically ill: a prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Severe pneumonia requiring ICU admission has not been well characterized with respect to long-term outcomes or predictors thereof. We examined the association between premorbid functional status and mortality in patients with severe pneumonia.

METHODS

From 2000 to 2002, a population-based cohort of adults with pneumonia who were critically ill was enrolled and prospectively followed. Short-term (30-day) and long-term (1-year) mortality were examined using multivariable Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The final cohort included 271 patients, mean age 61 years, 59% men, and 16% from nursing homes. The mean Pneumonia Severity Index was 113 (71% class IV or V), and the mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score was 17. Overall, 121 (45%) patients were functionally independent, 115 (42%) had limited mobility, and 35 (13%) were completely dependent. Mortality was 11% at 30 days and 27% at 1 year; by functional status mortality was 6% at 30 days and 17% at 1 year for patients who were independent, 10% and 31% for patients with limited mobility, and 39% and 48% for patients who were dependent. Mortality was greater for patients who were completely dependent when compared with patients who were independent (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 5.3; 95% CI, 2.0-14.1; P < .001 at 30 days; and aHR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.5-6.1; P = .002 at 1 year) or with patients who had limited mobility (aHR, 4.8; 95% CI, 2.0-11.2, P < .001 at 30 days; and aHR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.3-4,4, P = .007 at 1 year). There were no mortality differences between patients with limited mobility and patients who were independent.

CONCLUSIONS

One-quarter of patients with pneumonia who are critically ill are dead within 1 year. Severely limited premorbid functional status was associated with mortality; this should be considered at presentation for prognosis and at discharge for targeted follow-up.

Infections of respiratory or abdominal origin in ICU patients: what are the differences?

INTRODUCTION

There are few data related to the effects of different sources of infection on outcome. We used the Sepsis Occurrence in Acutely ill Patients (SOAP) database to investigate differences in the impact of respiratory tract and abdominal sites of infection on organ failure and survival.

METHODS

The SOAP study was a cohort, multicenter, observational study which included data from all adult patients admitted to one of 198 participating intensive care units (ICUs) from 24 European countries during the study period. In this substudy, patients were divided into two groups depending on whether, on admission, they had abdominal infection but no respiratory infection or respiratory infection but no abdominal infection. The two groups were compared with respect to patient and infection-related characteristics, organ failure patterns, and outcomes.

RESULTS

Of the 3,147 patients in the SOAP database, 777 (25%) patients had sepsis on ICU admission; 162 (21%) had abdominal infection without concurrent respiratory infection and 380 (49%) had respiratory infection without concurrent abdominal infection. Age, sex, and severity scores were similar in the two groups. On admission, septic shock was more common in patients with abdominal infection (40.1% vs. 29.5%, P = 0.016) who were also more likely to have early coagulation failure (17.3% vs. 9.5%, P = 0.01) and acute renal failure (38.3% vs. 29.5%, P = 0.045). In contrast, patients with respiratory infection were more likely to have early neurological failure (30.5% vs. 9.9%, P < 0.001). The median length of ICU stay was the same in the two groups, but the median length of hospital stay was longer in patients with abdominal than in those with respiratory infection (27 vs. 20 days, P = 0.02). ICU (29%) and hospital (38%) mortality rates were identical in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

There are important differences in patient profiles related to the site of infection; however, mortality rates in these two groups of patients are identical.