Predictors of treatment response in adolescent depression

Hard-to-treat or hard-to-catch? Clinical features and therapeutic outcomes of help-seeking foster care youths with mood disorders

Introduction

The high level of emotional problems in youths placed in foster care contrasts with the limited use of evidence-based treatments. This study aims to better characterize the clinical features and therapeutic outcomes of foster care youths with mood disorders.

Methods

A secondary analysis of data collected in the context of a French-Canadian clinical research network on pediatric mood disorders in four sites was conducted to compare three groups of patients with depressive or bipolar disorder: those without exposure to child welfare intervention (WCWI, n = 181), those who received non-placement psychosocial intervention (NPI, n = 62), and those in placement interventions (PI, n = 41).

Results

We observed a very high rate of academic problems in patients in the groups NPI/PI compared to those in the WCWI group. Patients in the PI group had more disruptive behavioral disorders (OR = 6.87, 95% CI [3.25-14.52]), trauma-related disorders (OR = 3.78, 95% CI [1.6-8.94]), and any neurodevelopmental disorders (OR = 2.73, 95% CI [1.36-5.49]) compared to the other groups (NPI/WCWI). Among inpatients, the Clinical Global Impression-Improvement scale and the change in the Children Global Assessment Scale during the hospital stay did not differ across the three groups. We observed a higher prescription rate of antipsychotics in the PI group compared to the NPI/WCWI groups, but no significant difference for antidepressants and mood stabilizers.

Discussion

These findings support the view that, when provided with dedicated support, fostered inpatient youths can improve in a range comparable to other inpatients. Undetected neurodevelopmental disorders and academic problems are likely important contributors of the burden of mood disorders in these youths.

Treatment-resistant depression in children and adolescents

Major depressive disorder (MDD) in children and adolescents is a significant health problem, causing profound impairments in social, academic, and family functioning and substantial morbidity and mortality. Up to 15% of children and adolescents suffer from MDD, and a proportion, around 30 to 40% of them, failed to respond to initial selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) treatment. The only evidence-based recommendation is medication switching to another SSRI and augmentation with cognitive behavioral therapy. Newly developing treatment, including ketamine, transcranial magnetic stimulation, psychotherapy other than cognitive behavioral therapy, and combined pharmacotherapy with other interventions, requires further longitudinal controlled trials regarding efficacy and safety in this vulnerable population.

Predictors of outcome after a time-limited psychosocial intervention for adolescent depression

Research on the predictors of outcome for early, community-based, and time-limited interventions targeted for clinical depression in adolescents is still scarce. We examined the role of demographic, psychosocial, and clinical variables as predictors of outcome in a trial conducted in Finnish school health and welfare services to identify factors associating to symptom reduction and remission after a brief depression treatment. A total of 55 12–16-year-olds with mild to moderate depression received six sessions of either interpersonal counseling for adolescents (IPC-A) or brief psychosocial support (BPS). Both interventions resulted in clinical improvement at end of treatment and 3- and 6-month follow-ups. Main outcome measures were self-rated BDI-21 and clinician-rated Adolescent Depression Rating Scale (ADRSc). Latent change score (LCS) models were used to identify predictors of change in depressive symptom scores and clinical remission at end of treatment and 3- and 6-month follow-ups over the combined brief intervention group. Symptom improvement was predicted by younger age and having a close relationship with parents. Both symptom improvement and clinical remission were predicted by male gender, not having comorbid anxiety disorder, and not having sleep difficulties. Our results add to knowledge on factors associating with good treatment outcome after a brief community intervention for adolescent depression. Brief depression interventions may be useful and feasible especially for treatment of mild and moderate depression among younger adolescents and boys, on the other hand clinicians may need to cautiously examine sleep problems and anxiety comorbidity as markers of the need for longer treatment.

Severe and complex youth depression: Clinical and historical features of young people attending a tertiary mood disorders clinic

AIM

The concept of severe and complex youth depression has evolved from clinical experience. Here we conducted a file audit study to evaluate supporting data for the construct.

METHODS

A retrospective file audit was undertaken with 84 consecutively discharged patients over 6-months from Orygen's Youth Mood Clinic (YMC; 50% female).

RESULTS

Over a third (36.9%) were disengaged from vocation and education, with exposure to traumatic events common (84.5%). Almost all patients (91.7%) reported past 2-week suicidal ideation at clinic entry. Hospital emergency departments were the most frequent referral source (31.0%). Most (72.6%) had received previous mental health treatment. Multimorbidity was frequently observed. The presence of a substance use disorder, or ≥ 3 comorbidities were both associated with a greater likelihood of prior suicide attempt.

CONCLUSIONS

These data highlight the clinical needs associated with severe and complex depression. Findings have implications for youth experiencing mood disorders attending tertiary and community mental health settings.

Predictors, Moderators, and Mediators Associated With Treatment Outcome in Randomized Clinical Trials Among Adolescents With Depression: A Scoping Review

Importance

The application of precision medicine principles for the treatment of depressive disorders in adolescents requires an examination of the variables associated with depression outcomes in randomized clinical trials (RCTs).

Objective

To describe predictors, moderators, and mediators associated with outcomes in RCTs for the treatment of depressive disorders in adolescents.

Evidence Review

A scoping review of RCTs for the treatment of depression in adolescents was conducted. Databases searched included MEDLINE, Embase, APA PsycInfo, and CINAHL. Included publications tested predictors, moderators, and/or mediators associated with depression symptom outcomes (eg, symptom reduction, response, remission) in RCTs pertaining to the treatment of adolescents, ages 13 to 17 years. Predictors were defined as variables that were associated with depression outcomes, independent of treatment group. Moderators were defined as baseline variables that were associated with differential outcomes between treatment groups. Mediators were defined by a formal mediation analysis. In duplicate, variables were extracted and coded with respect to analysis type (univariable or multivariable), statistical significance, direction of effect size, reporting of a priori hypotheses, and adjustment for multiple comparisons. Aggregated results were summarized by variable domain and RCT sample.

Findings

Eighty-one articles reporting on variables associated with outcomes across 33 RCTs were identified, including studies of biological (10 RCTs), psychosocial (18 RCTs), and combined (4 RCTs) treatments as well as a service delivery model (1 RCT). Fifty-three variable domains were tested as baseline predictors of depression outcome, 41 as moderators, 19 as postbaseline predictors, and 5 as mediators. Variable domains that were reported as significant in at least 3 RCTs included age, sex/gender, baseline depression severity, early response to treatment, sleep changes, parent-child conflict, overall psychopathology, suicidal ideation, hopelessness, functional impairment, attendance at therapy sessions, and history of trauma. Two publications reported a priori hypotheses and adjustment for multiple comparisons, both finding that baseline depression severity and family conflict were associated with poorer outcomes.

Conclusions and Relevance

This review identified commonly researched variables requiring more scrutiny as well as underresearched variables to inform future study designs. Further efforts to discover predictors, moderators, and mediators associated with treatment response have great potential to optimize care for adolescents with depression.

Looking for the Good Timing: Predictors of Length of Stay and Therapeutic Outcomes in Adolescent Inpatients with Severe or Treatment-Refractory Mood Disorders

Objectives: While hospitalization is an essential aspect of the therapeutic strategy for adolescents with severe or treatment-refractory mood disorders, little is known about the outcome predictors during inpatient treatment. Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted in a university tertiary referral hospital to determine the factors associated with the length of stay, symptom improvement (based on the Clinical Global Impression-Improvement [CGI-I] scale), and the change in the overall level of functioning during the stay (based on the Children-Global Assessment Scale [CGAS]). Over 2 years, 106 adolescents were diagnosed with mood disorders (mean age = 15.0 ± 0.16; 43% girls), with a particular high rate of associated adverse psychosocial factors, and an average length of stay longer than most psychiatric hospital settings (mean = 100.7 ± 9.57 days). Results: Multivariate analysis concluded that longer duration of current episode and worse functioning at admission (CGAS score) were independent predictors for length of stay. Greater functional improvement (CGAS score change from admission to discharge) was best predicted by the diagnosis of bipolar disorder, lower functioning, and greater illness severity on admission. Symptom improvement (CGI-I) did not have any independent predictors. Conclusion: This finding supports the value of measuring symptoms duration in predicting the hospitalization outcomes of adolescents with severe or treatment-refractory mood disorders, in view of addressing maintenance factors at an early stage. Bipolar symptoms should be sought not only at admission but also regularly during the stay.

Psychological Predictors of Cognitive-Behavioral Therapy Outcomes for Anxiety and Depressive Disorders in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

By understanding specific differences between responders to a treatment and non-responders, treatment modalities may be fitted to the individual in order to increase effectiveness, a concept known as "precision medicine". This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated which pretreatment patient and family characteristics may predict the outcome of cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) in clinically anxious and/or depressed youth. In particular, higher symptom severity, more severe co-occurring anxiety or depression and more severe parental psychopathology were hypothesized to predict a worse CBT outcome.

METHODS

The databases PubMed, PsycINFO and Cochrane Library were searched; 73 publications were included in the review from which 23 studies were used for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Higher symptom severity represented a clinically relevant predictor of a worse CBT outcome, with large effects estimated by meta-analysis. Further, parental psychopathology was significant and detrimental for CBT outcome in anxious but not depressed youth, while the effects for co-occurring anxiety and depression remained unclear. The additional results of the review show that only few characteristics seemed to be clearly associated with a worse CBT outcome, namely worse coping skills and, restricted to depressed patients, more non-suicidal self-injury.

LIMITATIONS

The available evidence was of only moderate quality in general, further high-quality research with more transparent reporting is needed.

CONCLUSIONS

The patient characteristics identified as being relevant for CBT outcome may represent important candidates for use in single patient prediction models for precision medicine in the field of child and adolescent psychotherapy. The review was preregistered on PROSPERO (ID: CRD42018116881).

International consensus on a standard set of outcome measures for child and youth anxiety, depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder, and post-traumatic stress disorder

A major barrier to improving care effectiveness for mental health is a lack of consensus on outcomes measurement. The International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement (ICHOM) has already developed a consensus-based standard set of outcomes for anxiety and depression in adults (including the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, the Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item Scale, and the WHO Disability Schedule). This Position Paper reports on recommendations specifically for anxiety, depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder, and post-traumatic stress disorder in children and young people aged between 6 and 24 years. An international ICHOM working group of 27 clinical, research, and lived experience experts formed a consensus through teleconferences, an exercise using an adapted Delphi technique (a method for reaching group consensus), and iterative anonymous voting, supported by sequential research inputs. A systematic scoping review identified 70 possible outcomes and 107 relevant measurement instruments. Measures were appraised for their feasibility in routine practice (ie, brevity, free availability, validation in children and young people, and language translation) and psychometric performance (ie, validity, reliability, and sensitivity to change). The final standard set recommends tracking symptoms, suicidal thoughts and behaviour, and functioning as a minimum through seven primarily patient-reported outcome measures: the Revised Children's Anxiety and Depression Scale, the Obsessive Compulsive Inventory for Children, the Children's Revised Impact of Events Scale, the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale, the KIDSCREEN-10, the Children's Global Assessment Scale, and the Child Anxiety Life Interference Scale. The set's recommendations were validated through a feedback survey involving 487 participants across 45 countries. The set should be used alongside the anxiety and depression standard set for adults with clinicians selecting age-appropriate measures.

Using informant discrepancies in report of parent-adolescent conflict to predict hopelessness in adolescent depression

Hopelessness is an important symptom of adolescent depression, being associated with both risk of suicide and poor treatment response, but predictors of hopelessness are understudied. Conflict with parents is common in adolescent depression, but parents and adolescents often disagree when reporting conflict severity. Discrepancy in reporting may be an indicator of the parent-adolescent dyad lacking a shared representation of the state of their relationship. This could make conflicts seem unresolvable to the adolescent, leading to expectations of persistent stress and lack of support, increasing hopelessness. This study employed latent difference scores, ordinal regression and cross-validation to evaluate the hypothesis that discrepancy in report of parent-adolescent conflict would predict hopelessness among depressed adolescents. Parents reporting less conflict than the adolescent was associated with increased adolescent hopelessness, giving preliminary support to the hypothesis.

Editorial: Identifying Predictors of Treatment Response Trajectories of Suicidal Adolescents

In this issue of the Journal, Abbott et al.¹ present findings from an important secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial that identifies predictors of treatment response. Previous research has highlighted the importance of varying trajectories of treatment response.^2,3 There is a need to identify factors related to varied treatment outcomes. Determining those who will benefit from treatment compared to those who will not is an important step to personalizing treatments.

Factors affecting improvement of children and adolescents who were treated in the child and adolescent psychiatry inpatient unit

Objective

This study aimed to assess the correlates and predictors of improvement in general functioning of children and adolescents who are treated in the child and adolescent psychiatry (CAMHS) inpatient unit.

Methods

Hospital records of 308 children and adolescents who were treated for at least 1 month in the CAMHS inpatient unit from 2005–2016 were included. Associations with individual, familial, and clinical variables and the difference in Children’s Global Assessment Scale (ΔCGAS) scores at admission and discharge were evaluated.

Results

Positive predictors of ΔCGAS were older age and lower CGAS scores at admission, whereas high familial risk scores at admission and diagnosis of early-onset schizophrenia negatively predicted ΔCGAS (B = 0.698, p = 0002; B = −0.620, p < 0.001; B = −0.842, p = 0.002; B =−9.184, p = 0.000, respectively). Familial risk scores were significantly and negatively correlated with ΔCGAS (p = 0.004, Spearman’s rho = −0.2).

Conclusions

This study indicates that improvement in general functioning during inpatient treatment in CAMHS is better at an older age and with lower general functioning at admission. However, high familial risks and diagnosis of early-onset schizophrenia weakens this improvement.

Predictors of rate of change for children and youth with emotional disorders: a naturalistic observational study

BACKGROUND

To examine demographic and clinical characteristics as potential predictors of change for children and youth with emotional disorders treated at two child and adolescent mental health outpatient services (CAMHS) in Norway.

METHODS

The study was of naturalistic observational type with "treatment as usual" (TAU). The sample consisted of 84 children and youth with emotional disorders. The Health of the Nation Outcome Scale (HONOSCA), and the Children's Global Assessment Scale (CGAS) were administered at intake (T0), during the assessment (T1) and approximately six months after assessment (T2). Change was analysed by means of the linear mixed models procedure.

RESULTS

For the HONOSCA total score, youths with a diagnosis of depression had statistically higher symptom severity levels at baseline and significantly lower change rates as compared to youths with an anxiety disorder.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study adds to the limited knowledge of predictors of rate of change for children and adolescents with emotional disorders treated within CAMHS. Our results point to a special need to improve clinical care for depressed children and adolescents. Important limitations comprising the external validity of the study concern missing data, a small study sample, and lack of information regarding the content and extent of the service provided.

Implementation and outcome of child psychotherapy compared with other psychiatric treatments in a naturalistic clinical setting

BACKGROUND

Mental health problems of children are commonly treated by psychotherapy and other psychosocial treatments. Studies comparing different treatments in naturalistic clinical settings are few, however.

AIMS

We assessed the differences: 1) in symptoms and diagnoses; 2) in treatment outcome between psychotherapy and other psychosocial treatments; and 3) evaluated the effect of family background and life circumstances on the outcome.

METHODS

The data were collected from the psychiatric hospital records of Oulu University Hospital, Finland. All 118 children (aged < 16 years) referred to psychotherapy from the Department of Child Psychiatry in 1996-2005 and 118 age- and sex-matched children undergoing other psychosocial treatments were included. A lack of later recorded psychiatric problems was used as an indicator of good treatment outcome.

RESULTS

On referral, functional ability was severely impaired in almost half of the children (Children's Global Assessment Scale score < 55). Internalizing symptoms were more common in the psychotherapy group, while no difference was found in externalizing symptoms between the groups. In both groups, later psychiatric problems were associated with a child's low functional ability and poor parental coping with their responsibilities. Children with internalizing problems had impaired prognosis if they had psychosocial treatments other than psychotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Individual psychotherapy should especially be considered for children with internalizing symptoms, but the outcome of psychiatric treatment depends not only on children's own functional abilities, but also on parental abilities.

Management of treatment-resistant depression in children and adolescents

Depression is a relatively common diagnosis in children and adolescents, and is associated with significant morbidity and suicidality in this population. Evidence-based treatment of the acute illness is imperative to try to prevent the development of treatment-resistant depression or other complications. In situations where response to acute treatment is inadequate, clinicians should first consider factors that may influence outcome, such as psychiatric or medical comorbidities, psychosocial stressors, and treatment noncompliance. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) are the first-line treatment for depression in children and adolescents. For treatment-resistant depression, a switch to an alternate SSRI is recommended before trials of other antidepressants. Psychotherapy, such as cognitive behavioral therapy or interpersonal therapy, may improve treatment response. More research is needed examining medication augmentation strategies for treatment-resistant depression in children and adolescents.

Predictors and moderators of outcome in child and adolescent anxiety and depression: a systematic review of psychological treatment studies

The aim of this literature review was to examine pre-treatment child and adolescent characteristics as predictors and moderators of outcome in psychotherapy treatment trials of anxiety and depressive disorders. A literature search was conducted using several databases and resulted in 45 published studies (32 anxiety studies and 13 depression studies) meeting predefined methodological criteria. Ten client demographic (age, gender, ethnicity, IQ) and clinical factors (duration, type of diagnosis, pre-treatment severity, comorbidity) were examined across studies. The majority of findings showed non-significant associations between demographic factors (gender and age) with treatment outcome for both the anxiety and the depression treatment trials. Some important differences between the results of the anxiety and depression treatment trials were found. The majority of findings for the anxiety studies suggest that there are no demographic or clinical factors that predict or moderate treatment outcome. For the depression studies, however, the findings suggest that baseline symptom severity and comorbid anxiety may impact on treatment response. Overall, existing studies of pre-treatment patient variables as predictors and moderators of anxiety and depression treatment outcome provide little consistent knowledge concerning for what type of patients and under what conditions treatments work. Suggestions for future research are discussed.