New prognostic markers in liver cirrhosis

Low Urinary Free Cortisol as a Risk Factor for Patients with Variceal Bleeding

Background and Objectives: Specificity and reliability issues of the current cortisol assessment methods lead to limitations on the accurate assessment of relative adrenal insufficiency. Although free cortisol provides a more accurate evaluation of adrenal cortisol production, the expense and time-consuming nature of these assays make them impractical for routine use. Research has, thus, focused on alternative methods, such as indirectly measuring free cortisol using Coolens' equation or directly assessing salivary cortisol concentration, which is considered a more favorable approach despite associated challenges like sampling issues and infection risks. The aim of this study was to explore correlations between 24 h urinary free cortisol (UFC), free plasma cortisol, serum total cortisol, and salivary cortisol as potential reliable indices of free cortisol in the setting of variceal bleeding. Additionally, we assessed the predictive value of UFC for 6-week mortality and 5-day treatment failure in patients with liver cirrhosis and variceal bleeding. Materials and Methods: A total of 40 outpatients with liver cirrhosis and variceal bleeding were enrolled. Free cortisol levels in serum, saliva, and urine were assessed using the electrochemiluminescence immunoassay method. For the measurement of plasma-free cortisol, a single quadrupole mass spectrometer was employed. The quantification of free cortisol was fulfilled by analyzing the signal response in the negative ESI-MS mode. Results: UFC was significantly correlated to free plasma cortisol. Negative correlations were demonstrated between UFC, the Child-Pugh (CP) score, and C reactive protein (CRP) levels. In the multivariate analysis, CP stage C was associated with 6-week mortality risk and portal vein thrombosis with 5-day treatment failure using Cox regression and binary logistic regression analyses, respectively. Patients who experienced rebleeding, infection, or death (or any combination of these events) presented with lower levels of UFC. Conclusions: This study suggests that low levels of UFC may impose a risk factor for patients with liver cirrhosis and variceal bleeding. The use of UFC as an index of adrenal cortisol production in variceal bleeding warrants further investigation.

Circulating copeptin level and the clinical prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

The relationship between copeptin and the severity of circulatory dysfunction and systemic stress response in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) has been established. Nevertheless, the potential of serum copeptin levels to predict the prognosis of CLD patients remains unclear.

AIM

To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the correlation between serum copeptin and transplant-free survival (TFS) in this population.

METHODS

To achieve the objective of the meta-analysis, PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and the Web of Science were searched to identify observational studies with longitudinal follow-up. The Cochrane Q test was utilized to assess between-study heterogeneity, and the I2 statistic was estimated. Random-effects models were employed to combine the outcomes, taking into account the potential influence of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Ten datasets including 3133 patients were involved. The follow-up durations were 1 to 48 mo (mean: 12.5 mo). Overall, it was shown that a high level of serum copeptin was associated with a poor TFS [risk ratio (RR): 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.52-2.19, P < 0.001; I2 = 0%]. In addition, sensitivity analysis by omitting one dataset at a time showed consistent results (RR: 1.73-2.00, P < 0.05). Finally, subgroup analyses according to study country, study design, patient diagnosis, cutoff of copeptin, follow-up duration, and study quality score also showed similar results (P for subgroup difference all > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Patients with CLD who have high serum copeptin concentrations may be associated with a poor clinical prognosis.

Cohort Profile: Shiraz Pediatric Liver Cirrhosis Cohort (SPLCCS)

Liver diseases in children and adolescents are a significant and arising public health issue and should be surveyed from different dimensions (clinical and para-clinical, psychological, socio-economic) and in diverse populations. Shiraz Liver Transplant Center, Shiraz, Iran is the only center for pediatric liver transplantation and its pre-operative evaluations. This provides a unique and valuable situation for studying this vulnerable population. The Shiraz Pediatric Liver Cirrhosis Cohort Study (SPLCCS) was established to assess cirrhotic children, the course of their disease, and treatment over time. This cohort study aimed to prospectively evaluate the natural course and factors that contributed to complications and death of children with chronic liver disease in the region. SPLCCS was launched in September 2018 after obtaining ethical approval; until August 2022, 370 children with end-stage liver disease were enrolled and followed every six months. Here, the cohort's features, the included population's baseline characteristics, and primary outcomes are reported.

Blood concentrations of mediators released from activated neutrophils are related to the severity of alcohol-induced liver damage

BACKGROUND

Immune dysregulation and neutrophil infiltration are hallmarks of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). Our objective was to evaluate the blood profile of neutrophil-derived mediators [neutrophil elastase (NE), myeloperoxidase (MPO), alpha1-antitrypsin (A1AT)], and their potential relevance in ALD.

METHODS

62 patients with ALD /47 males, and 15 females, aged 49,2 ± 9,9/ were prospectively recruited and distributed according to their 1/ gender, 2/ severity of liver dysfunction (by Child-Turcotte-Pugh, MELD scores, and mDF) 3/ presence of complications of ALD complications, and followed for 90 days. 24 age- and sex-matched healthy volunteers served as the control group. Neutrophil-derived biomarkers were quantified using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs).

RESULTS

Blood concentrations of MPO and NE were significantly higher in ALD patients in comparison with controls. A1AT levels were not different. There were no gender-related differences in the studied biomarker levels. Both NE and MPO correlated with routine markers of inflammation, while NE with MELD and mDF scores. Patients with a severe ALD course i.e. MELD>20 or mDF>32, presented with significantly higher NE blood concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results point out the critical role of neutrophils in the pathogenesis of ALD. NE and MPO correlated with the intensity of inflammation, and NE was related to the severity of liver dysfunction.

Prognostic value of von-Willebrand factor in patients with liver cirrhosis and its relation to other prognostic indicators

BACKGROUND

Von-Willebrand factor (vWF) disposes certain prognostic value in patients with liver cirrhosis, but its relation to other prognostic indicators has not been fully investigated.

AIM

To analyze the relation between vWF and other prognostic indicators in cirrhotic patients and to evaluate its prognostic value for mortality.

METHODS

This analytic prospective study was carried out in a tertiary center and initially enrolled 71 patients with liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension. It analyzed the relation between vWF and the stage of the disease and several inflammatory and prognostic indicators. The prospective analysis, performed on a sample of 63 patients, evaluated the association between the selected variables [vWF, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, C-reactive protein (CRP), ferritin, vitamin D, activated partial thromboplastin time, thrombin time, D-dimer concentration] and the survival time as well as their predictive value in terms of 3-mo, 6-mo and 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

vWF was significantly higher in patients with higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh class (P = 0.0045), MELD group (P = 0.0057), ferritin group (P = 0.0278), and D-dimer concentration (P = 0.0232). vWF significantly correlated with D-dimer concentration, ferritin, CRP, International Normalized Ratio, and MELD, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and CLIF-consortium organ failure (CLIF-C OF) scores. vWF, MELD score, and CRP were significantly associated with death and were significant predictors of 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality. Each vWF unit significantly increased the probability for 3-mo mortality by 1.005 times (P = 0.008), for 6-mo mortality by 1.006 times (P = 0.005), and for 1-year mortality by 1.007 times (P = 0.002). There was no significant difference between the diagnostic performance of vWF and MELD score and also between vWF and CRP regarding the 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSION

In patients with liver cirrhosis, vWF is significantly related to other prognostic indicators and is a significant predictor of 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality similar to MELD score and CRP.

CRP and the Prognosis of Patients with Cirrhosis

The theory of vasodilation partially explains the development and progression of liver cirrhosis and is completed by the theory of inflammation. C-reactive protein (CRP) is used as a surrogate marker of inflammation in studies; however, there is not sufficient data that would reflect the role of this protein in cirrhosis yet. The objective of this study was to determine the use of CRP value in the prognosis of patients with cirrhosis. In "Material and method" section we described a clinical prospective trial with 102 participants represented by patients with cirrhosis of various etiologies in a tertiary hospital, each monitored throughout a period of 12 months after the collection of CRP. The results showed that the mean CRP value was 0.7+/0.09 mg/dL (CI 0.59-0.90) in patients who did not decompensate throughout the trial and 1.58+/0.4 mg/dL (CI 1.76-2.30) in those who did decompensate, with a statistically significant difference (p=0.045). In rehospitalized patients versus those without any hospitalization, the mean CRP values were 1.35 mg/dL and 0.8 mg/dL, respectively (p=0.032). The increased values of this parameter were positively correlated with the number of hospitalizations (rs=0.35, p=0.05). A CRP value below the threshold of 0.62 mg/dL indicates a smaller probability of future decompensation in liver cirrhosis patients. The conclusion of this study is that CRP influences the secondary endpoints, including cirrhosis decompensation and patient rehospitalization. It can be added to the existing studies.

The value of severe vitamin D deficiency in predicting the mortality risk of patients with liver cirrhosis: A meta-analysis

AIM

Vitamin D plays an important role in the pathological process of chronic liver disease (CLD), and the degree of vitamin D deficiency is related to the severity of CLD. The aim of our study was to investigate the association between severe vitamin D deficiency and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC).

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched systematically for eligible studies from the earliest available date to 15 January 2019. The exposure and outcome of interest was serum vitamin D levels and all-cause mortality, respectively. The pooled risk ratio (RR) values and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated through a meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Eight studies published from March 2013 to January 2019 were included, involving 1,339 patients with LC. The meta-analysis showed that a severe serum vitamin D deficiency was associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with LC (RR = 1.79; 95% CI 1.44-2.22; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis confirmed the association between severe vitamin D deficiency and mortality risk, suggested serum vitamin D level as a new index to predict the prognosis, and emphasized the importance of vitamin D supplementation in LC patients.

Accuracy of calprotectin using the Quantum Blue Reader for the diagnosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in liver cirrhosis

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the dosage of calprotectin in ascitic fluid (AF) using the Quantum Blue assay, for the prompt diagnosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP).

METHODS

We prospectively collected 236 AF samples from 119 cirrhotic patients hospitalized in two French centers between May 2016 and May 2017. Bloody and chylous/cloudy AF, and secondary peritonitis were excluded. SBP was diagnosed if neutrophils in AF were >250/mm³ using standard cytology. The Quantum Blue Reader selectively measured the calprotectin antigen (MRP8/14) in 12 min within the measurable range from 0.18 to 1.80 μg/mL; values outside this range were registered as 0.17 and 1.81 μg/mL.

RESULTS

A total of 36 AF were considered as SBP (15.2%). SBP had higher median levels of calprotectin than non-SBP (1.81 vs. 0.25 μg/mL, P < 0.001). Calprotectin levels were positively correlated with neutrophils in AF (r = 0.57, P < 0.001) and C-reactive protein (r = 0.43, P < 0.001), but not with the Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores. The optimal threshold of calprotectin to diagnose SBP was set at 1.51 μg/mL (80th percentile of calprotectin), yielding sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of 86.1%, 92.0%, 65.9%, and 97.3%, respectively. Only one asymptomatic patient with SBP had a low calprotectin level, but a high serum C-reactive protein level that strongly suggested an ongoing infection. We also showed that intraclass correlation coefficients for inter- and intra-observer agreement were excellent, with 0.95 and 0.89, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The dosage of calprotectin in AF using the Quantum Blue assay is a rapid and reliable method of ruling out SBP in hospitalized cirrhotic patients.

Assessing the outcome of patients with liver cirrhosis during hospital stay: A comparison of lymphocyte/monocyte ratio with MELD and Child-Pugh scores

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Developing an easy and reliable score for evaluating the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis has always been challenging for hepatologists. This study aimed to assess the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in comparison with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh (CP) scores for determining the outcomes in these patients during hospital stay.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the efficacy of three parameters (LMR and MELD and CP scores) in determining the outcomes in 182 patients with cirrhosis. The cutoff values were calculated using Youden index, and the area under the curves (AUCs) was also compared. The associations of these scores between the survived and nonsurvived group was studied. The predictors of patient survival were determined using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean values for LMR and MELD and CP scores were 6.23, 11.62, and 9.32, respectively. MELD and CP were positively correlated with each other. LMR was negatively correlated to both MELD and CP scores (p=0.04). Pairwise comparison showed that the difference between the AUCs of MELD and LMR was not statistically significant (0.958 vs. 0.807; p > 0.05). With the LMR cutoff value of > 3.31 (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 74.83%), patients were segregated into low and high LMR groups. MELD and CP scores were significantly higher in the low LMR group than in the high LMR group (p=0.000). Patients in the low LMR group showed decreased survival than those in the high LMR group (p=0.000). The nonsurvived group had lower LMR and higher MELD and CP scores than those of the survived group (p=0.000). Logistic regression model showed MELD (p=0.000), CP score (p=0.010), 1/LMR (p=0.004), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (p=0.010), and international normalized ratio (INR; p=0.043) as predictors of outcome of these patients.

CONCLUSION

LMR can be used to determine the outcome of patients during hospital stay, because it is easy to calculate and can be interpreted with efficacy nearly equal to those of MELD and CP scores.

Major Changes of von Willebrand Factor Multimer Distribution in Cirrhotic Patients with Stable Disease or Acute Decompensation

Background  There is an unstable balance between pro- and anti-haemostatic processes in patients with cirrhosis. We hypothesized, that in patients with acute decompensation (AD) the major alterations of von Willebrand factor (VWF) could contribute to the pro-thrombotic situation as compared to patients with stable (ST) cirrhosis.

Patients and Methods  We analysed different parameters of VWF, including detailed multimer distribution by densitometry and platelet adhesion, together with ad isintegrin-like a nd m etalloproteinase with t hrombo s pondin type-1 motifs 13 (ADAMTS13) activity and antigen and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels in patients with ST cirrhosis ( n  = 99), with AD ( n  = 54) and controls ( n  = 92).

Results  VWF antigen, ristocetin co-factor as well as collagen-binding activities were elevated in both cirrhotic groups in a stepwise manner. There was a decrease in high and an increase in low molecular weight multimer ratios in the majority of ST cirrhosis. However, in 24 out of 54 AD patients, ultra-large VWF multimers (ultra-large molecular weight multimers [ULMWM]) were found. ADAMTS13 activity in ST and AD patients without ULMWM was similar to controls (median [interquartile range; IQR]%: 98 [67–132] and 91 [60–110] vs. 106 [88–117], respectively). The presence of ULMWM in AD patients was associated with low ADAMTS13 activity [33 (24–49)%] and high CRP level [23 (7.1–83.6) mg/L]. Adhesion of normal platelets showed a stepwise increase in the presence of cirrhotic plasmas, reaching the highest level in AD patients with ULMWM.

Conclusion  Characteristic changes of VWF parameters are seen in ST cirrhosis. In AD patients, highly increased VWF and reduced ADAMTS13 activity could be found, along with the presence of ULMWM, which are possible markers and contributors of the disease progression.

Cellular senescence and liver disease: Mechanisms and therapeutic strategies

Cellular senescence is a fundamental cell fate caused by several cellular injuries which results in irreversible cell cycle arrest yet remaining metabolically active across all species. Cellular senescence not only can prevent tumor occurrence by inhibiting the proliferation of injured cells, but also can affect the surrounding cells through the senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP). Attractively, accumulating evidence shows that cellular senescence is closely related to various liver diseases. Therapeutic opportunities based on targeting senescent cells and the SASP are considered to be potential strategy for liver diseases. However, although research on cell senescence has attracted widespread attention, the overview on detailed mechanism and biological function of cell senescence in liver disease is still largely unknown. The present review summarizes the specific role of cell senescence in various liver diseases, and updates the molecular mechanisms underlying cell senescence. Moreover, the review also explores new strategies for prevention and treatment of liver disease through promoting senescence or counteracting excessive pathological senescence.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio correlates with proinflammatory neutrophils and predicts death in low model for end-stage liver disease patients with cirrhosis

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has reduced accuracy for liver transplantation (LT) wait-list mortality when MELD ≤ 20. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker associated with systemic inflammation and may predict cirrhotic decompensation and death. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic utility of high NLR (≥4) for liver-related death among low MELD patients listed for LT, controlling for stage of cirrhosis. In a nested case-control study of cirrhotic adults awaiting LT (February 2002 to May 2011), cases were LT candidates with a liver-related death and MELD ≤ 20 within 90 days of death. Controls were similar LT candidates who were alive for ≥90 days after LT listing. NLR and other covariates were assessed at the date of lowest MELD, within 90 days of death for cases and within 90 days after listing for controls. There were 41 cases and 66 controls; MELD scores were similar. NLR 25th, 50th, 75th percentile cutoffs were 1.9, 3.1, and 6.8. NLR was ≥ 4 in 25/41 (61%) cases and in 17/66 (26%) controls. In univariate analysis, NLR (continuous ≥ 1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8), increasing cirrhosis stage, jaundice, encephalopathy, serum sodium, and albumin and nonselective beta-blocker use were significantly (P < 0.01) associated with liver-related death. In multivariate analysis, NLR of ≥1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8 were each associated with liver-related death. Furthermore, we found that NLR correlated with the frequency of circulating low-density granulocytes, previously identified as displaying proinflammatory properties, as well as monocytes. In conclusion, elevated NLR is associated with liver-related death, independent of MELD and cirrhosis stage. High NLR may aid in determining risk for cirrhotic decompensation, need for increased monitoring, and urgency for expedited LT in candidates with low MELD. Liver Transplantation 23 155-165 2017 AASLD.

Targeting Hepatic Fibrosis in Autoimmune Hepatitis

Hepatic fibrosis develops or progresses in 25 % of patients with autoimmune hepatitis despite corticosteroid therapy. Current management regimens lack reliable noninvasive methods to assess changes in hepatic fibrosis and interventions that disrupt fibrotic pathways. The goals of this review are to indicate promising noninvasive methods to monitor hepatic fibrosis in autoimmune hepatitis and identify anti-fibrotic interventions that warrant evaluation. Laboratory methods can differentiate cirrhosis from non-cirrhosis, but their accuracy in distinguishing changes in histological stage is uncertain. Radiological methods include transient elastography, acoustic radiation force impulse imaging, and magnetic resonance elastography. Methods based on ultrasonography are comparable in detecting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, but their performances may be compromised by hepatic inflammation and obesity. Magnetic resonance elastography has excellent performance parameters for all histological stages in diverse liver diseases, is uninfluenced by inflammatory activity or body habitus, has been superior to other radiological methods in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and may emerge as the preferred instrument to evaluate fibrosis in autoimmune hepatitis. Promising anti-fibrotic interventions are site- and organelle-specific agents, especially inhibitors of nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidases, transforming growth factor beta, inducible nitric oxide synthase, lysyl oxidases, and C-C chemokine receptors types 2 and 5. Autoimmune hepatitis has a pro-fibrotic propensity, and noninvasive radiological methods, especially magnetic resonance elastography, and site- and organelle-specific interventions, especially selective antioxidants and inhibitors of collagen cross-linkage, may emerge to strengthen current management strategies.

Prognostic value of C-reactive protein in cirrhosis: external validation from the CANONIC cohort

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The variations in C-reactive protein (CRP) levels have been reported to have prognostic significance in decompensated cirrhotic patients. We aimed to provide an external validation of a prognostic model combining model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and 'sustained high CRP levels' as main variables and to optimize the model to the context of liver transplantation by focusing on 3-month mortality with no consideration of severe chronic extrahepatic diseases.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from cirrhotic patients enrolled in the CANONIC study were collected. Multivariate analyses used the competing risk model. The prognostic performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC)] of the model incorporating CRP variations within 15 days was compared with that of the MELD score alone.

RESULTS

583 decompensated cirrhotic patients with Child-Pugh more than B7 and serial CRP measures available were included. Of these, 111 patients had baseline CRP at least 29 mg/l and 60 still had CRP at least 29 mg/l at day 15±6 (group A). Multivariate analysis (competing risk) identified three predictors of 3-month mortality: high MELD score [hazard ratio (HR)=1.14; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.11-1.17, P<0.001], age (HR=1.04; 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, P<0.001), and group A (HR=1.69; 95% CI: 1.01-2.81, P=0.046). The performance of the three variables taken together for predicting 3-month mortality was 0.796 (AUROC), which was significantly higher than that of the MELD score (AUROC=0.769; P=0.019).

CONCLUSION

In Child-Pugh higher than B7 cirrhotic patients with decompensation, prognostic models incorporating variations in CRP within 15 days and age predict 3-month mortality better than the MELD score alone. Such models would improve the ranking of candidates for liver transplantation by differentiating the severe patients with persistent systemic inflammation and intermediate MELD scores.

Circulating insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 as prognostic biomarker in liver cirrhosis

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 (IGFBP-3) in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS: Prospective study that included two cohorts: outpatients with stable cirrhosis (n = 138) and patients hospitalized for acute decompensation (n = 189). Development of complications, mortality or liver transplantation was assessed by periodical phone calls and during outpatient visits. The cohort of stable cirrhosis also underwent clinical and laboratory evaluation yearly (2013 and 2014) in predefined study visits. In patients with stable cirrhosis, IGFBP-3 levels were measured at baseline (2012) and at second re-evaluation (2014). In hospitalized subjects, IGFBP-3 levels were measured in serum samples collected in the first and in the third day after admission and stored at -80 °C. IGFBP-3 levels were measured by immunochemiluminescence.

RESULTS: IGFBP-3 levels were lower in hospitalized patients as compared to outpatients (0.94 mcg/mL vs 1.69 mcg/mL, P < 0.001) and increased after liver transplantation (3.81 mcg/mL vs 1.33 mcg/mL, P = 0.008). During the follow-up of the stable cohort, 17 patients died and 11 received liver transplantation. Bivariate analysis showed that death or transplant was associated with lower IGFBP-3 levels (1.44 mcg/mL vs 1.74 mcg/mL, P = 0.027). The Kaplan-Meier transplant-free survival probability was 88.6% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 1.67 mcg/mL and 72.1% for those with IGFBP3 < 1.67 mcg/mL (P = 0.015). In the hospitalized cohort, 30-d mortality was 24.3% and was independently associated with creatinine, INR, SpO₂/FiO₂ ratio and IGFBP-3 levels in the logistic regression. The 90-d transplant-free survival probability was 80.4% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 0.86 mcg/mL and 56.1% for those with IGFBP3 < 0.86 mcg/mL (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Lower IGFBP-3 levels were associated with worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis, and might represent a promising prognostic tool that can be incorporated in clinical practice.