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Eftekhar Z, Haybar H, Mohebbi A, Saki N. Cardiac Complications and COVID-19: A Review of Life-threatening Co-morbidities. Curr Cardiol Rev 2024; 20:1-12. [PMID: 38415433 PMCID: PMC11284692 DOI: 10.2174/011573403x279782240206091322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2023] [Revised: 12/23/2023] [Accepted: 01/19/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024] Open
Abstract
The novel 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was first reported in the last days of December 2019 in Wuhan, China. The presence of certain co-morbidities, including cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), are the basis for worse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Relevant English-language literature was searched and retrieved from the Google Scholar search engine and PubMed database up to 2023 using COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Heart failure, Myocardial infarction, and Arrhythmia and Cardiac complication as keywords. Increased hemodynamic load, ischemia-related dysfunction, ventricular remodeling, excessive neurohumoral stimulation, abnormal myocyte calcium cycling, and excessive or insufficient extracellular matrix proliferation are associated with heart failure (HF) in COVID-19 patients. Inflammatory reaction due to the excessive release of inflammatory cytokines, leads to myocardial infarction (MI) in these patients. The virus can induce heart arrhythmia through cardiac complications, hypoxia, decreased heart hemodynamics, and remarkable inflammatory markers. Moreover, studies have linked cardiac complications in COVID-19 with poor outcomes, extended hospitalization time, and increased mortality rate. Patients with COVID-19 and CVDs are at higher mortality risk and they should be given high priority when receiving the treatment and intensive care during hospitalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zeinab Eftekhar
- Thalassemia & Hemoglobinopathy Research Center, Health Research Institute, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Habib Haybar
- Atherosclerosis Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
| | - Alireza Mohebbi
- Department of Hematology and Blood Banking, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Najmaldin Saki
- Thalassemia & Hemoglobinopathy Research Center, Health Research Institute, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
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Tajmirriahi M, Sami R, Mansourian M, Khademi N, Hosseini NS, Dehghan M, Soltaninejad F. The clinical manifestation and outcome of COVID-19 in patients with a history of ischemic heart disease; a retrospective case-control study. BMC Cardiovasc Disord 2023; 23:241. [PMID: 37149583 PMCID: PMC10163857 DOI: 10.1186/s12872-023-03256-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/21/2023] [Indexed: 05/08/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Coronary artery disease (CAD) is considered an independent risk factor for COVID-19. However, no study has specifically examined the clinical manifestations and outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD). METHODS In a retrospective case-control study between 20 March 2020 to 20 May 2020, the medical record of 1611 patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was reviewed. IHD was defined as a history of an abnormal coronary angiography, coronary angioplasty, coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), or chronic stable angina. Demographic data, past medical history, drug history, symptoms, vital signs, laboratory findings, outcome, and death were investigated from medical records. RESULTS 1518 Patients (882 men (58.1%)) with a mean age of 59.3 ± 15.5 years were included in the study. Patients with IHD (n = 300) were significantly less likely to have fever (OR: 0.170, 95% CI: 0.34-0.81, P < 0.001), and chills (OR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.45-0.91, P < 0.001). Patients with IHD were 1.57 times more likely to have hypoxia (83.3% vs. 76%, OR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.13-2.19, P = 0.007). There was no significant difference in terms of WBC, platelets, lymphocytes, LDH, AST, ALT, and CRP between the two groups (P > 0.05). After adjusting for demographic characteristics, comorbidities and vital signs, the risk factors for mortality of these patients were older age (OR: 1.04 and 1.07) and cancer (OR: 1.03, and 1.11) in both groups. In addition, in the patients without IHD, diabetes mellitus (OR: 1.50), CKD (OR: 1.21) and chronic respiratory diseases (OR: 1.48) have increased the odds of mortality. In addition, the use of anticoagulants (OR: 2.77) and calcium channel blockers (OR: 2.00) has increased the odds of mortality in two groups. CONCLUSION In comparison with non-IHD, the symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection such as fever, chills and diarrhea were less common among patients with a history of IHD. Also, older age, and comorbidities (including cancer, diabetes mellitus, CKD and chronic obstructive respiratory diseases) have been associated with a higher risk of mortality in patients with IHD. In addition, the use of anticoagulants and calcium channel blockers has increased the chance of death in two groups without and with IHD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marzieh Tajmirriahi
- Hypertension Research Center, Isfahan Cardiovascular Research Institute, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Ramin Sami
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Marjan Mansourian
- Department of Biology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Niloufar Khademi
- Faculty of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | | | - Mehrneagar Dehghan
- Faculty of Medicine, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran
| | - Forogh Soltaninejad
- Bamdad Respiratory and Sleep Research Center, Pulmonary ward, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
- Khorshid Hospital, Ostandari St, Isfahan, Iran.
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Sardinha DM, Ferreira ALDS, Guimarães RJDPSE, Lima KVB, Lima LNGC. Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Patients with Cardiovascular Disease Who Were Hospitalized for COVID-19 in Brazil: Retrospective Cohort. Vaccines (Basel) 2023; 11:vaccines11040861. [PMID: 37112773 PMCID: PMC10146801 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines11040861] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2023] [Revised: 03/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/29/2023] [Indexed: 04/29/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION COVID-19 in Brazil has already caused, and it still causes, several impacts on health, economy, and education. The risk factors for death involved those with cardiovascular diseases (CVD), which were prioritized for the vaccination of COVID-19. OBJECTIVE To investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients with cardiovascular diseases hospitalized for COVID-19 in Brazil in the year 2022. METHODS A retrospective cohort was analyzed from the year 2022, with cases being hospitalized by COVID-19 being drawn from SIVEP-GRIPE surveillance. We compared clinical characteristics, comorbidities, and outcomes between CVD carriers and non-carriers, and we also compared vaccinated with two doses vs. those that are unvaccinated in CVD carriers. We performed chi-square, odds ratio, logistic regression, and survival analysis. RESULTS We included, in the cohort, 112,459 hospital inpatients. An amount of 71,661 (63.72%) of the hospitalized patients had CVD. Regarding deaths, 37,888 (33.69%) died. Regarding vaccination against COVID-19, 20,855 (18.54%) people were not vaccinated with any dose among those with CVD. Death p- < 0.001 (OR 1.307-CI 1.235-1.383) and fever p- < 0.001 (OR 1.156-CI 1.098-1.218) were associated with the unvaccinated CVD carriers, and diarrhea p-0.015 (OR 1.116-CI 1.022-1.218), dyspnea p-0.022 (OR 1.074-CI 1.011-1.142), and respiratory distress p-0.021 (OR 1.070-CI 1.011-1.134) were also recorded. Those patients who possessed predictors of death, including invasive ventilation (p- < 0.001 (OR 8.816-CI 8.313-9.350)), were admitted to the ICU p- < 0.001 (OR 1.754-CI 1.684-1.827), and some had respiratory distress p- < 0.001 (OR 1.367-CI 1.312-1.423), dyspnea p < 0.001 (OR 1.341-CI 1.284-1.400), O2 saturation < 95% p- < 0. 001 (OR 1.307-CI 1.254-1.363), they were unvaccinated against COVID-19 p- < 0.001 (OR 1.258-CI 1.200-1.319), they were of male sex p- < 0.001 (OR 1.179-CI 1.138-1.221), they had diarrhea p-0.018 (OR 1.081-CI 1.013-1.154), and they may have been old p < 0.001 (OR 1.034-CI 1.033-1.035). Survival was shorter for the unvaccinated p-0.003, and p- <0.001. CONCLUSIONS We highlight the predictors of death for those unvaccinated against COVID-19 in this research, and we evidenced the benefits of the COVID-19 vaccine in reducing deaths in hospitalized CVD patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniele Melo Sardinha
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará and Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém 66087-670, Pará, Brazil
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Epidemiologia e Vigilância em Saúde, Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGEVS/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
- Laboratório de Geoprocessamento do Instituto Evandro Chagas (LABGEO/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
- Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia, Laboratório de Biologia Molecular, Instituto Evandro Chagas (SABMI/LABMOL/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
| | - Ana Lúcia da Silva Ferreira
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará and Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém 66087-670, Pará, Brazil
- Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia, Laboratório de Biologia Molecular, Instituto Evandro Chagas (SABMI/LABMOL/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
| | - Ricardo José de Paula Souza E Guimarães
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Epidemiologia e Vigilância em Saúde, Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGEVS/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
- Laboratório de Geoprocessamento do Instituto Evandro Chagas (LABGEO/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
| | - Karla Valéria Batista Lima
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará and Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém 66087-670, Pará, Brazil
- Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia, Laboratório de Biologia Molecular, Instituto Evandro Chagas (SABMI/LABMOL/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
| | - Luana Nepomuceno Gondim Costa Lima
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará and Instituto Evandro Chagas (PPGBPA/UEPA/IEC), Belém 66087-670, Pará, Brazil
- Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia, Laboratório de Biologia Molecular, Instituto Evandro Chagas (SABMI/LABMOL/IEC), Ananindeua 67030-000, Pará, Brazil
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Vardavas CI, Mathioudakis AG, Nikitara K, Stamatelopoulos K, Georgiopoulos G, Phalkey R, Leonardi-Bee J, Fernandez E, Carnicer-Pont D, Vestbo J, Semenza JC, Deogan C, Suk JE, Kramarz P, Lamb F, Penttinen P. Prognostic factors for mortality, intensive care unit and hospital admission due to SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies in Europe. Eur Respir Rev 2022; 31:220098. [PMID: 36323422 PMCID: PMC9724816 DOI: 10.1183/16000617.0098-2022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2022] [Accepted: 08/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND As mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is strongly age-dependent, we aimed to identify population subgroups at an elevated risk for adverse outcomes from COVID-19 using age-/gender-adjusted data from European cohort studies with the aim to identify populations that could potentially benefit from booster vaccinations. METHODS We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to investigate the role of underlying medical conditions as prognostic factors for adverse outcomes due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), including death, hospitalisation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mechanical ventilation within three separate settings (community, hospital and ICU). Cohort studies that reported at least age and gender-adjusted data from Europe were identified through a search of peer-reviewed articles published until 11 June 2021 in Ovid Medline and Embase. Results are presented as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals and absolute risk differences in deaths per 1000 COVID-19 patients. FINDINGS We included 88 cohort studies with age-/gender-adjusted data from 6 653 207 SARS-CoV-2 patients from Europe. Hospital-based mortality was associated with high and moderate certainty evidence for solid organ tumours, diabetes mellitus, renal disease, arrhythmia, ischemic heart disease, liver disease and obesity, while a higher risk, albeit with low certainty, was noted for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure. Community-based mortality was associated with a history of heart failure, stroke, diabetes and end-stage renal disease. Evidence of high/moderate certainty revealed a strong association between hospitalisation for COVID-19 and solid organ transplant recipients, sleep apnoea, diabetes, stroke and liver disease. INTERPRETATION The results confirmed the strong association between specific prognostic factors and mortality and hospital admission. Prioritisation of booster vaccinations and the implementation of nonpharmaceutical protective measures for these populations may contribute to a reduction in COVID-19 mortality, ICU and hospital admissions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Constantine I Vardavas
- School of Medicine, University of Crete, Heraklion, Crete, Greece
- Department of Oral Health Policy and Epidemiology, Harvard School of Dental Medicine, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Alexander G Mathioudakis
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- North West Lung Centre, Wythenshawe Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Kimon Stamatelopoulos
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Georgios Georgiopoulos
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Revati Phalkey
- Centre for Evidence Based Healthcare, Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Jo Leonardi-Bee
- Centre for Evidence Based Healthcare, Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
| | | | - Dolors Carnicer-Pont
- Catalan Institute of Oncology, Barcelona, Spain
- Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica de Bellvithe (IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Jørgen Vestbo
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- North West Lung Centre, Wythenshawe Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Jan C Semenza
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
| | - Charlotte Deogan
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
| | - Jonathan E Suk
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
| | - Piotr Kramarz
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
| | - Favelle Lamb
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
| | - Pasi Penttinen
- European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Solna, Sweden
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Elkhatib W, Herrigel D, Harrison M, Flipse T, Speicher L. Cardiovascular Concerns from COVID-19 in Pilots. Aerosp Med Hum Perform 2022; 93:855-865. [PMID: 36757258 DOI: 10.3357/amhp.6109.2022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease, now complicated by the COVID-19 pandemic, remains a leading cause of death and risk for sudden incapacitation for pilots during flight. The capacity for aeromedically significant cardiovascular sequelae with potentially imperceptible clinical symptoms elicits concern both during and following resolution of acute COVID-19 in pilots.OBJECTIVE: We summarize the current state of knowledge regarding COVID-19 cardiovascular implications as applied to the aviation environment to better understand their significance toward flight safety and application toward a focused cardiovascular screening protocol following recovery from infection.METHODS: A narrative review of the cardiovascular implications of COVID-19 infection was performed using the PubMed literature search engine and existing organizational guidelines. In addition, to established medical aviation benchmarks, surrogate populations examined included high performance athletes (as a correlate for high G-forces), and scuba divers (as an environmental work analog). Conditions of primary concern included myocardial injury, proarrhythmic substrates, risk of sudden death, myopericarditis, pulse orthostatic lability in response to vigorous activity, cardiovagal dysfunction, and thromboembolic disease.LITERATURE REVIEW: Cardiovascular screening guideline recommendations post-infection recovery are suggested based on profile stratification: airperson flight class, tactical military, and aerobatic pilots. This provides an approach to inform aeromedical decision making.CONCLUSION: Aviation medical examiners should remain cognizant of the clinically apparent and occult manifestations of cardiovascular dysfunction associated with COVID-19 infection when applying return-to-work screening guidelines. This will ensure high flight safety standards are maintained and sudden incapacitation risk mitigated during and following the ongoing pandemic.Elkhatib W, Herrigel D, Harrison M, Flipse T, Speicher L. Cardiovascular concerns from COVID-19 in pilots. Aerosp Med Hum Perform. 2022; 93(12):855-865.
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Bolton A, Thyagaturu H, Ashraf M, Carnahan R, Hodgson-Zingman D. Effects of atrial fibrillation on outcomes of influenza hospitalization. IJC HEART & VASCULATURE 2022; 42:101106. [PMID: 36032267 PMCID: PMC9403342 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2022.101106] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2022] [Revised: 07/23/2022] [Accepted: 08/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Background There is little information available on AF and its association with outcomes in adult influenza hospitalizations. Methods The National Inpatient Sample was queried from years 2009–2018 to create a cohort of discharges containing an influenza diagnosis. AF was the primary exposure. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis was used to describe the association of AF with clinical and healthcare-resource outcomes. Finally, a doubly-robust analysis using average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) propensity score weighting was performed to verify the results of traditional regression analysis. Results After adjustment, the presence of AF during influenza hospitalization was associated with higher odds of in-hospital mortality (aOR 1.56, 95 % CI 1.49 – 1.65), acute respiratory failure (aOR 1.22, 95 % CI 1.19 – 1.25), acute respiratory failure with mechanical ventilation (aOR 1.37, 95 % CI 1.32 – 1.41), acute kidney injury (aOR 1.09, 95 % CI 1.06 – 1.12), acute kidney injury requiring dialysis (aOR 1.61, 95 % CI 1.46 – 1.78) and cardiogenic shock (aOR 1.90, 95 % CI 1.65 – 2.20, all p-values < 0.0001). These findings were validated in our propensity score analysis using ATT weights. The presence of AF was also associated with higher total charges and costs of hospitalization, as well as a significantly longer length of stay (all p-values < 0.0001). Conclusion AF is a cardiovascular comorbidity associated with worse clinical and healthcare resource outcomes in influenza requiring hospitalization. Its presence should be used to identify patients with influenza at risk of worse prognosis.
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Lao US, Law CF, Baptista-Hon DT, Tomlinson B. Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Statin Use and Mortality, Intensive Care Unit Admission and Requirement for Mechanical Ventilation in COVID-19 Patients. J Clin Med 2022; 11:5454. [PMID: 36143101 PMCID: PMC9501062 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11185454] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2022] [Revised: 09/04/2022] [Accepted: 09/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
There is mounting evidence that statin use is beneficial for COVID-19 outcomes. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the association between statin use and mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients, on studies which provided covariate adjusted effect estimates, or performed propensity score matching. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Scopus for studies and extracted odds or hazard ratios for specified outcome measures. Data synthesis was performed using a random-effects inverse variance method. Risk of bias, heterogeneity and publication bias were analyzed using standard methods. Our results show that statin use was associated with significant reductions in mortality (OR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.67-0.77; HR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.69, 0.79), ICU admission (OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99; HR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.60-0.96) and mechanical ventilation (OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.78-0.92; HR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.47-0.97). Nevertheless, current retrospective studies are based on the antecedent use of statins prior to infection and/or continued use of statin after hospital admission. The results may not apply to the de novo commencement of statin treatment after developing COVID-19 infection. Prospective studies are lacking and necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ut-Sam Lao
- Center for Biomedicine and Innovations, Faculty of Medicine, Macau University Science and Technology, Taipa, Macau SAR 999078, China
| | - Chak-Fun Law
- Center for Biomedicine and Innovations, Faculty of Medicine, Macau University Science and Technology, Taipa, Macau SAR 999078, China
| | - Daniel T. Baptista-Hon
- Center for Biomedicine and Innovations, Faculty of Medicine, Macau University Science and Technology, Taipa, Macau SAR 999078, China
- Division of Systems Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Dundee, Dundee DD1 4HN, UK
| | - Brian Tomlinson
- Center for Biomedicine and Innovations, Faculty of Medicine, Macau University Science and Technology, Taipa, Macau SAR 999078, China
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Ostrowska M, Kasprzak M, Stolarek W, Grzelakowska K, Kryś J, Kubica A, Adamski P, Podhajski P, Navarese EP, Anielska-Michalak E, Matuszewska-Brycht O, Curzytek A, Dudek A, Gromadziński L, Grzelakowski P, Kamiński L, Kleinrok A, Kostkiewicz M, Koziński M, Król P, Kulawik T, Minczew G, Mindykowski M, Pawlak A, Prokopczuk J, Skonieczny G, Sobkowicz B, Sowiński S, Stankala S, Szymański P, Wester A, Wilczewski P, Bartuś S, Budaj A, Gajda R, Gąsior M, Gruchała M, Droźdź J, Jaguszewski M, Jankowski P, Legutko J, Lesiak M, Leszek P, Mitkowski P, Nessler J, Tomaszuk-Kazberuk A, Tycińska A, Zdrojewski T, Kaźmierczak J, Kubica J. Longer Hospitalizations and Higher In-Hospital Mortality for Acute Heart Failure during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Larger vs. Smaller Cardiology Departments: Subanalysis of the COV-HF-SIRIO 6 Multicenter Study. Rev Cardiovasc Med 2022; 23:292. [PMID: 39077718 PMCID: PMC11262386 DOI: 10.31083/j.rcm2309292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2022] [Revised: 07/27/2022] [Accepted: 08/04/2022] [Indexed: 07/31/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is surging across Poland, leading to many direct deaths and underestimated collateral damage. We aimed to compare the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on hospital admissions and in-hospital mortality in larger vs. smaller cardiology departments (i.e., with ≥ 2000 vs. < 2000 hospitalizations per year in 2019). Methods We performed a subanalysis of the COV-HF-SIRIO 6 multicenter retrospective study including all patients hospitalized in 24 cardiology departments in Poland between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2020, focusing on patients with acute heart failure (AHF) and COVID-19. Results Total number of hospitalizations was reduced by 29.2% in larger cardiology departments and by 27.3% in smaller cardiology departments in 2020 vs. 2019. While hospitalizations for AHF were reduced by 21.8% and 25.1%, respectively. The length of hospital stay due to AHF in 2020 was 9.6 days in larger cardiology departments and 6.6 days in smaller departments (p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality for AHF during the COVID-19 pandemic was significantly higher in larger vs. smaller cardiology departments (10.7% vs. 3.2%; p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality for concomitant AHF and COVID-19 was extremely high in larger and smaller cardiology departments accounting for 31.3% vs. 31.6%, respectively. Conclusions During the COVID-19 pandemic longer hospitalizations and higher in-hospital mortality for AHF were observed in larger vs. smaller cardiology departments. Reduced hospital admissions and extremely high in-hospital mortality for concomitant AHF and COVID-19 were noted regardless of department size.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Michał Kasprzak
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Wioleta Stolarek
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | | | - Jacek Kryś
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Aldona Kubica
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Piotr Adamski
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | | | | | - Edyta Anielska-Michalak
- Department of Cardiology, Marian Zyndram-Kościałkowski Ministry of Interior and Administration Hospital, 15-471 Białystok, Poland
| | - Oliwia Matuszewska-Brycht
- Department of Cardiology, Chair of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, Medical University of Lodz, 92-213 łódź, Poland
| | - Andrzej Curzytek
- Department of Cardiology, Hospital of the Ministry of Interior and Administration, 35-111 Rzeszów, Poland
| | - Aneta Dudek
- 1st Department of Cardiology, Collegium Medicum, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-736 Kielce, Poland
| | - Leszek Gromadziński
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, 11-041 Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Paweł Grzelakowski
- Department of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, 10th Military Hospital and Polyclinic, 85-681 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Leszek Kamiński
- Department of Cardiology Independent Public Healthcare in Przeworsk, 37-200 Przeworsk, Poland
| | - Andrzej Kleinrok
- Institute of Humanities and Medicine, Academy of Zamosc, 22-400 Zamość, Poland
| | | | - Marek Koziński
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Diseases, Institute of Maritime and Tropical Medicine, Medical University of Gdansk, 81-519 Gdynia, Poland
| | - Paweł Król
- Department of Cardiology, Tertiary Care Hospital, 06-400 Ciechanów, Poland
| | - Tomasz Kulawik
- Department of Cardiology, Masovian Rehabilitation Center “STOCER”, Dr Włodzimierz Roefler Hospital, 05-800 Pruszków, Poland
| | - Gleb Minczew
- Department of Cardiology, District Hospital, 89-500 Tuchola, Poland
| | - Marcin Mindykowski
- Department of Cardiology, Dr. Emil Warmiński Tertiary Care Municipal Hospital, 85-808 Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Agnieszka Pawlak
- Department of Invasive Cardiology, Central Clinical Hospital of the Ministry of Interior and Administration, 02-507 Warsaw, Poland
- Mossakowski Medical Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, 02-106 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Janusz Prokopczuk
- Department of Cardiology, Polish Hospitals, 47-200 Kędzierzyn-Koźle, Poland
| | - Grzegorz Skonieczny
- Department of Cardiology and Intensive Cardiac Care Unit, District Polyclinic Hospital, 87-100 Toruń, Poland
| | - Bożena Sobkowicz
- Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Białystok, 15-276 Białystok, Poland
| | - Sergiusz Sowiński
- Department of Cardiology and Cardiac Intensive Care, Tertiary Care Municipal Hospital, 87-100 Toruń, Poland
| | - Sebastian Stankala
- Cardiology Subdivision of Heart Failure. St. Elizabeth Hospital, 48-210 Biała, Poland
| | - Paweł Szymański
- Department of Cardiology, Interventional Cardiology and Electrophysiology with Cardiac Intensive Care Unit, Tertiary Care Hospital, 86-300 Grudziądz, Poland
| | - Andrzej Wester
- 1st Department of Physiology, Institute of Medical Sciences, University of Opole 2, Cardiology Center of Kluczbork SCANMED SA, 46-203 Kluczbork, Poland
| | | | - Stanisław Bartuś
- 2nd Department of Cardiology, Collegium Medicum, Jagiellonian University, 30-688 Cracow, Poland
| | - Andrzej Budaj
- Department of Cardiology, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Grochowski Hospital, 04-073 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Robert Gajda
- Department of Kinesiology and Health Prevention, Jan Dlugosz University in Częstochowa, 42-200 Częstochowa, Poland
- Gajda-Med District Hospital in Pultusk, 06-100 Pułtusk, Poland
| | - Mariusz Gąsior
- 3rd Department of Cardiology, Silesian Center for Heart Diseases, Faculty of Medicine in Zabrze, Medical University of Silesia, 41-800 Zabrze, Poland
| | - Marcin Gruchała
- 1st Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Gdansk, 80-952 Gdańsk, Poland
| | - Jarosław Droźdź
- Department of Cardiology, Chair of Cardiology and Cardiac Surgery, Medical University of Lodz, 92-213 łódź, Poland
| | - Miłosz Jaguszewski
- 1st Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Gdansk, 80-952 Gdańsk, Poland
| | - Piotr Jankowski
- Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatric Cardiology, Centre of Postgraduate Medical Education, 00-416 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Jacek Legutko
- Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, John Paul II Hospital in Krakow, 31-202 Cracow, Poland
| | - Maciej Lesiak
- Department of Cardiology, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, 61-848 Poznań, Poland
| | - Przemysław Leszek
- Department of Heart Failure and Transplantology, National Institute of Cardiology, 04-628 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Przemysław Mitkowski
- Department of Cardiology, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, 61-848 Poznań, Poland
| | - Jadwiga Nessler
- Department of Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, 31-202 Cracow, Poland
| | | | - Agnieszka Tycińska
- Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Białystok, 15-276 Białystok, Poland
| | - Tomasz Zdrojewski
- Department of Arterial Hypertension and Diabetology, Medical University of Gdansk, 80-952 Gdańsk, Poland
| | - Jarosław Kaźmierczak
- Department of Cardiology, Pomeranian Medical University, 71-899 Szczecin, Poland
| | - Jacek Kubica
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, 85-094 Bydgoszcz, Poland
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9
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Rola P, Doroszko A, Trocha M, Giniewicz K, Kujawa K, Gawryś J, Matys T, Gajecki D, Madziarski M, Zieliński S, Skalec T, Drobnik J, Sebastian A, Zubkiewicz-Zarębska A, Adamik B, Kaliszewski K, Kiliś-Pstrusinska K, Matera-Witkiewicz A, Pomorski M, Protasiewicz M, Sokołowski J, Włodarczak S, Jankowska EA, Madziarska K. Usefulness of C 2HEST Score in Predicting Clinical Outcomes of COVID-19 in Heart Failure and Non-Heart-Failure Cohorts. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11123495. [PMID: 35743564 PMCID: PMC9225357 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11123495] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2022] [Revised: 06/02/2022] [Accepted: 06/15/2022] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Patients with heart failure represent a vulnerable population for COVID-19 and are prone to having worse prognoses and higher fatality rates. Still, the clinical course of the infection is dynamic, and complication occurrence in particular in patients with heart failure is fairly unpredictable. Considering that individual components of the C2HEST (C2: Coronary Artery Diseases (CAD)/Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); H: Hypertension; E: Elderly (Age ≥ 75); S: Systolic HF; T: Thyroid disease) are parallel to COVID-19 mortality risk factors, we evaluate the predictive value of C2HEST score in patients with heart failure (HF) Material and Methods: The retrospective medical data analysis of 2184 COVID-19 patients hospitalized in the University Hospital in Wroclaw between February 2020 and June 2021 was the basis of the study. The measured outcomes included: in-hospital mortality, 3-month and 6-month all-cause-mortality, non-fatal end of hospitalization, and adverse in-hospital clinical events. Results: The heart failure cohort consists of 255 patients, while 1929 patients were assigned to the non-HF cohort. The in-hospital, 3-month, and 6-month mortality rates were highest in the HF cohort high-risk C2HEST stratum, reaching 38.61%, 53.96%, and 65.36%, respectively. In the non-HF cohort, in-hospital, 3-month, and 6-month mortalities were also highest in the high-risk C2HEST stratum and came to 26.39%, 52.78%, and 65.0%, respectively. An additional point in the C2HEST score increased the total death intensity in 10% of HF subjects (HR 1.100, 95% CI 0.968−1.250 p = 0.143) while in the non-HF cohort, the same value increased by 62.3% (HR 1.623, 95% CI 1.518−1.734 p < 0.0001). Conclusions: The C2HEST score risk in the HF cohort failed to show discriminatory performance in terms of mortality and other clinical adverse outcomes during hospitalization. C2HEST score in the non-HF cohort showed significantly better performance in terms of predicting in-hospital and 6-month mortality and other non-fatal clinical outcomes such as cardiovascular events (myocardial injury, acute heart failure, myocardial infarction, cardiogenic shock), pneumonia, sepsis, and acute renal injury.
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Affiliation(s)
- Piotr Rola
- Department of Cardiology, Provincial Specialized Hospital, Iwaszkiewicza Street 5, 59-220 Legnica, Poland
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +48-76-7211-443
| | - Adrian Doroszko
- Clinical Department of Internal Medicine, Hypertension and Clinical Oncology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (A.D.); (J.G.); (T.M.); (D.G.)
| | - Małgorzata Trocha
- Department of Pharmacology, Wroclaw Medical University, Mikulicz-Radecki Street 2, 50-345 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Katarzyna Giniewicz
- Statistical Analysis Centre, Wroclaw Medical University, K. Marcinkowski Street 2-6, 50-368 Wroclaw, Poland; (K.G.); (K.K.)
| | - Krzysztof Kujawa
- Statistical Analysis Centre, Wroclaw Medical University, K. Marcinkowski Street 2-6, 50-368 Wroclaw, Poland; (K.G.); (K.K.)
| | - Jakub Gawryś
- Clinical Department of Internal Medicine, Hypertension and Clinical Oncology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (A.D.); (J.G.); (T.M.); (D.G.)
| | - Tomasz Matys
- Clinical Department of Internal Medicine, Hypertension and Clinical Oncology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (A.D.); (J.G.); (T.M.); (D.G.)
| | - Damian Gajecki
- Clinical Department of Internal Medicine, Hypertension and Clinical Oncology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (A.D.); (J.G.); (T.M.); (D.G.)
| | - Marcin Madziarski
- Clinical Department of Rheumatology and Internal Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (M.M.); (A.S.)
| | - Stanisław Zieliński
- Clinical Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (S.Z.); (T.S.); (B.A.)
| | - Tomasz Skalec
- Clinical Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (S.Z.); (T.S.); (B.A.)
| | - Jarosław Drobnik
- Department of Population Health, Division Epidemiology and Health Education, Wroclaw Medical University, Bujwida Street 44, 50-368 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Agata Sebastian
- Clinical Department of Rheumatology and Internal Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (M.M.); (A.S.)
| | - Anna Zubkiewicz-Zarębska
- Clinical Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Barbara Adamik
- Clinical Department of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Therapy, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (S.Z.); (T.S.); (B.A.)
| | - Krzysztof Kaliszewski
- Clinical Department of General, Minimally Invasive and Endocrine Surgery, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Katarzyna Kiliś-Pstrusinska
- Clinical Department of Paediatric Nephrology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Agnieszka Matera-Witkiewicz
- Screening of Biological Activity Assays and Collection of Biological Material Laboratory, Wroclaw Medical University Biobank, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 211A, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Michał Pomorski
- Clinical Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Marcin Protasiewicz
- Institute of Heart Diseases, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (M.P.); (E.A.J.)
- Institute of Heart Diseases, University Hospital, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland
| | - Janusz Sokołowski
- Clinical Department of Emergency Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
| | - Szymon Włodarczak
- Department of Cardiology, The Copper Health Centre (MCZ), 59-300 Lubin, Poland;
| | - Ewa Anita Jankowska
- Institute of Heart Diseases, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland; (M.P.); (E.A.J.)
- Institute of Heart Diseases, University Hospital, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland
| | - Katarzyna Madziarska
- Clinical Department of Nephrology and Transplantation Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland;
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10
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Loader J, Taylor FC, Lampa E, Sundström J. Renin-Angiotensin Aldosterone System Inhibitors and COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Revealing Critical Bias Across a Body of Observational Research. J Am Heart Assoc 2022; 11:e025289. [PMID: 35624081 PMCID: PMC9238740 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.122.025289] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2022] [Accepted: 04/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Background Renin-angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitor-COVID-19 studies, observational in design, appear to use biased methods that can distort the interaction between RAAS inhibitor use and COVID-19 risk. This study assessed the extent of bias in that research and reevaluated RAAS inhibitor-COVID-19 associations in studies without critical risk of bias. Methods and Results Searches were performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL databases (December 1, 2019 to October 21, 2021) identifying studies that compared the risk of infection and/or severe COVID-19 outcomes between those using or not using RAAS inhibitors (ie, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II type-I receptor blockers). Weighted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs were extracted and pooled in fixed-effects meta-analyses, only from studies without critical risk of bias that assessed severe COVID-19 outcomes. Of 169 relevant studies, 164 had critical risks of bias and were excluded. Ultimately, only two studies presented data relevant to the meta-analysis. In 1 351 633 people with uncomplicated hypertension using a RAAS inhibitor, calcium channel blocker, or thiazide diuretic in monotherapy, the risk of hospitalization (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor: HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.87; P<0.001; angiotensin II type-I receptor blockers: HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.97; P=0.015) and intubation or death (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor: HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.48-0.85; P=0.002; angiotensin II type-I receptor blockers: HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.58-0.95; P=0.019) with COVID-19 was lower in those using a RAAS inhibitor. However, these protective effects are probably not clinically relevant. Conclusions This study reveals the critical risk of bias that exists across almost an entire body of COVID-19 research, raising an important question: Were research methods and/or peer-review processes temporarily weakened during the surge of COVID-19 research or is this lack of rigor a systemic problem that also exists outside pandemic-based research? Registration URL: www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Unique identifier: CRD42021237859.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jordan Loader
- Department of Medical SciencesUppsala UniversityUppsalaSweden
- Inserm U1300 – HP2CHU Grenoble AlpesGrenobleFrance
| | - Frances C. Taylor
- Baker Heart and Diabetes InstituteMelbourneVictoriaAustralia
- Mary MacKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic UniversityMelbourneVictoriaAustralia
| | - Erik Lampa
- Department of Medical SciencesUppsala UniversityUppsalaSweden
| | - Johan Sundström
- Department of Medical SciencesUppsala UniversityUppsalaSweden
- The George Institute for Global HealthUniversity of New South WalesSydneyAustralia
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11
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Singh J, Durr MRR, Deptuch E, Sultana S, Mehta N, Garcia S, Henry TD, Dehghani P. Cardiac Registries During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons Learned. Curr Cardiol Rep 2022; 24:659-665. [PMID: 35380385 PMCID: PMC8981885 DOI: 10.1007/s11886-022-01686-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF THIS REVIEW We discuss the role of observational studies and cardiac registries during the COVID-19 pandemic. We focus on published cardiac registries and highlight contributions to the field that have had clinical implications. RECENT FINDINGS We included observational studies of COVID-19 patients published in peer-reviewed medical journals with defined inclusion and exclusion criteria, defined study design, and primary outcomes. A PubMed and MEDLINE literature review results in 437 articles, of which 52 include patients with COVID-19 with cardiac endpoints. From July 2020 to December 2021, the average time from last data collected to publication was 8.9 ± 4.1 months, with an increasing trend over time (R = 0.9444, p < 0.0001). Of the 52 articles that met our inclusion criteria, we summarize main findings of 4 manuscripts on stroke, 14 on acute coronary syndrome, 4 on cardiac arrest, 7 on heart failure, 7 on venous thromboembolism, 5 on dysrhythmia, and 11 on different populations at risk for cardiovascular. Registries are cost effective, not disruptive to essential health services, and can be rapidly disseminated with short intervals between last data point collected and publication. In less than 2 years, cardiac registries have filled important gaps in knowledge and informed the care of COVID-19 patients with cardiovascular conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Neha Mehta
- Prairie Vascular Research Inc, Regina, SK, Canada
| | - Santiago Garcia
- Minneapolis Heart Institute Foundation, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Timothy D Henry
- The Carl and Edyth Lindner Center for Research and Education, The Christ Hospital, Cincinnati, OH, USA
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12
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Machine learning-based model for prediction of clinical deterioration in hospitalized patients by COVID 19. Sci Rep 2022; 12:7097. [PMID: 35501359 PMCID: PMC9059444 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-09771-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2021] [Accepted: 03/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
AbstractDespite the publication of great number of tools to aid decisions in COVID-19 patients, there is a lack of good instruments to predict clinical deterioration. COVID19-Osakidetza is a prospective cohort study recruiting COVID-19 patients. We collected information from baseline to discharge on: sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities and associated medications, vital signs, treatment received and lab test results. Outcome was need for intensive ventilatory support (with at least standard high-flow oxygen face mask with a reservoir bag for at least 6 h and need for more intensive therapy afterwards or Optiflow high-flow nasal cannula or noninvasive or invasive mechanical ventilation) and/or admission to a critical care unit and/or death during hospitalization. We developed a Catboost model summarizing the findings using Shapley Additive Explanations. Performance of the model was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic and prediction recall curves (AUROC and AUPRC respectively) and calibrated using the Hosmer–Lemeshow test. Overall, 1568 patients were included in the derivation cohort and 956 in the (external) validation cohort. The percentages of patients who reached the composite endpoint were 23.3% vs 20% respectively. The strongest predictors of clinical deterioration were arterial blood oxygen pressure, followed by age, levels of several markers of inflammation (procalcitonin, LDH, CRP) and alterations in blood count and coagulation. Some medications, namely, ATC AO2 (antiacids) and N05 (neuroleptics) were also among the group of main predictors, together with C03 (diuretics). In the validation set, the CatBoost AUROC was 0.79, AUPRC 0.21 and Hosmer–Lemeshow test statistic 0.36. We present a machine learning-based prediction model with excellent performance properties to implement in EHRs. Our main goal was to predict progression to a score of 5 or higher on the WHO Clinical Progression Scale before patients required mechanical ventilation. Future steps are to externally validate the model in other settings and in a cohort from a different period and to apply the algorithm in clinical practice.Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04463706.
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13
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Bielski K, Szarpak A, Jaguszewski MJ, Kopiec T, Smereka J, Gasecka A, Wolak P, Nowak-Starz G, Chmielewski J, Rafique Z, Peacock FW, Szarpak L. The Influence of COVID-19 on Out-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcomes: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. J Clin Med 2021; 10:5573. [PMID: 34884289 PMCID: PMC8658174 DOI: 10.3390/jcm10235573] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2021] [Revised: 11/11/2021] [Accepted: 11/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Cardiopulmonary resuscitation in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with poor prognosis. Because the COVID-19 pandemic may have impacted mortality and morbidity, both on an individual level and the health care system as a whole, our purpose was to determine rates of OHCA survival since the onset of the SARS-CoV2 pandemic. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the influence of COVID-19 on OHCA survival outcomes according to the PRISMA guidelines. We searched the literature using PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials databases from inception to September 2021 and identified 1775 potentially relevant studies, of which thirty-one articles totaling 88,188 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods was 12.3% vs. 8.9%, respectively (OR = 1.40; 95%CI: 1.06-1.87; p < 0.001). Survival to hospital discharge in pre- vs. intra-COVID-19 periods was 11.5% vs. 8.2% (OR = 1.57; 95%CI: 1.37-1.79; p < 0.001). A similar dependency was observed in the case of survival to hospital discharge with the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) 1-2 (6.7% vs. 4.0%; OR = 1.71; 95%CI: 1.35-2.15; p < 0.001), as well as in the 30-day survival rate (9.2% vs. 6.4%; OR = 1.63; 95%CI: 1.13-2.36; p = 0.009). In conclusion, prognosis of OHCA is usually poor and even worse during COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karol Bielski
- Research Unit, Polonia University, 4/6 Pulaskiego Str., 42-200 Czestochowa, Poland;
- Provincial Emergency Medical Service Dispatcher, 22 Poznanska, 00-685 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Agnieszka Szarpak
- Institute of Outcomes Research, Maria Sklodowska-Curie Medical Academy, 12 Solidarnosci Av., 03-411 Warsaw, Poland;
| | - Miłosz Jaroslaw Jaguszewski
- 1st Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Gdansk, 3A Sklodowskiej-Curie Str., 80-210 Gdansk, Poland;
| | - Tomasz Kopiec
- First Chair and Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, 1A Banacha Str., 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (T.K.); (A.G.)
| | - Jacek Smereka
- Department of Emergency Medical Service, Wroclaw Medical University, 6 Bartla Str., 52-443 Wroclaw, Poland;
- Research Unit, Polish Society of Disaster Medicine, P.O. Box 78, Raszyn, 05-090 Warsaw, Poland
| | - Aleksandra Gasecka
- First Chair and Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, 1A Banacha Str., 02-097 Warsaw, Poland; (T.K.); (A.G.)
| | - Przemysław Wolak
- Institute of Medicine, Jan Kochanowski University of Kielce, 5 Zeromskiego Str., 25-369 Kielce, Poland;
| | - Grazyna Nowak-Starz
- Institute of Health Sciences, Jan Kochanowski University of Kielce, 5 Zeromskiego Str., 25-369 Kielce, Poland;
| | | | - Zubaid Rafique
- Henry JN Taub Department of Emergency Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine Houston, Ben Taub Hospital, 1504 Taub Loop, Houston, TX 77030, USA; (Z.R.); (F.W.P.)
| | - Frank William Peacock
- Henry JN Taub Department of Emergency Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine Houston, Ben Taub Hospital, 1504 Taub Loop, Houston, TX 77030, USA; (Z.R.); (F.W.P.)
| | - Lukasz Szarpak
- Institute of Medicine, Jan Kochanowski University of Kielce, 5 Zeromskiego Str., 25-369 Kielce, Poland;
- Research Unit, Maria Sklodowska-Curie Bialystok Oncology Center, 12 Ogrodowa Str., 15-027 Bialystok, Poland
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