Burden of valvular heart disease, 1990-2017: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Epidemiology of valvular heart disease in France

BACKGROUND

Demographic changes and improvements in the diagnosis and treatment of valvular heart diseases (VHDs) have led to changes in its epidemiological profile.

AIMS

To describe the epidemiology of VHD in France in 2022.

METHODS

Adults hospitalized due to VHD in 2022 were identified from the French National Health Data System and categorized by type of VHD on the basis of hospital diagnoses and interventions. Incidence and prevalence rates were calculated using national French demographic data.

RESULTS

In 2022, 51,894 adults (60.1% men) were hospitalized for VHD (97.0/100,000 inhabitants). The most frequently observed hospitalized VHDs were AS (61.6%) and MR (23.2%). The mean age at hospitalization was 74.0years, and this was higher for AS than MR (77.3 vs 71.2years). Infectious endocarditis was managed during the index hospitalization in 13.3% of patients. During the index hospitalization and the following 6months, 75.0% of patients underwent valve repair or replacement. Among hospitalized patients with AS, 56.9% had transcatheter aortic valve implantation and 24.9% had surgical aortic valve replacement. Among patients hospitalized for MR, 27.1% underwent surgical mitral valve repair, 12.7% transcatheter mitral valve repair and 19.1% mitral valve replacement. The all-cause death rate 1year after hospitalization for VHD was 13.7%. Overall, in France, on 1 January 2023, 1.90% of the adult population had VHD (2.08% of men and 1.72% of women). Overall, 363,574 had aortic stenosis (AS) and 409,570 had mitral regurgitation (MR).

CONCLUSION

VHDs are a major burden in France, particularly degenerative valve diseases of the left heart in older adults.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Nonrheumatic Valvular Heart Disease and Its Attributable Risk Factors in 204 Countries and Territories, 1990 to 2019: Results From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Nonrheumatic valvular heart disease (NRVD) is increasingly becoming a significant public health concern, particularly among older people. In the context of population aging, a detailed report on the epidemiological trends of NRVD is crucial for policymakers to effectively allocate health care resources. This study aimed to explore these trends using data from the GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2019 study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We assessed the changing trends of the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years rates for NRVD by calculating the estimated annual percentage change for each. Additionally, we examined the impact of a region's level of social development on NRVD epidemiological trends and identified key risk factors contributing to NRVD-related deaths. Between 1990 and 2019, the global incidence of NRVD showed a gradual increase, with an estimated annual percentage change of 0.39 (95% CI, 0.30-0.48). The data revealed that women and older people are more likely to develop NRVD. High-sociodemographic index countries exhibited higher age-standardized incidence and mortality rates compared with low- and middle-sociodemographic index countries. The most significant risk factor for NRVD-related mortality was identified as high systolic blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past 3 decades, the burden of NRVD has intensified, indicating a need for more health care resources to address this issue, which is closely associated with an aging population. Currently, high-sociodemographic index countries report the highest incidences and deaths due to NRVD. However, low- and middle-sociodemographic index countries should also implement measures to manage the rapidly increasing burden of NRVD.

Quantifying cardiac dysfunction and valvular heart disease associated with subretinal drusenoid deposits in age-related macular degeneration

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Demonstrate through objective multidisciplinary imaging that subretinal drusenoid deposits (SDDs) in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) are linked to both coexistent valvular heart disease (VHD) and reduced systemic perfusion via cardiac index (CI).

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of cross-sectional study. 200 intermediate AMD (iAMD) subjects were assigned by masked readers to two groups: SDD (with or without drusen) and drusen (only) based on multimodal ophthalmic imaging. 65 transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) reports were available for cardiologist evaluation of VHD severity of the four cardiac valves and the presences of precursor lesions of aortic sclerosis (ASc) and mitral annular calcification (MAC). Necessary parameters to calculate CI were also obtained. Univariate testing was performed using Fisher's Exact test and t-test.

RESULTS

82.6% (19/23) of the iAMD subjects with at least one moderate/severe VHD had concurrent SDDs (p = 0.0040). All cases of aortic regurgitation (6/6, p = 0.0370) and mitral regurgitation (13/13, p = 0.0004) were found with coexisting SDDs. Stenotic VHD was not significantly associated with SDDs, however 70.7% of subjects with ASc (29/41, p = 0.0108) and 76.0% of subjects with MAC (19/25, 0.0377) had coexisting SDDs. CI was available in 48 subjects and was significantly below normal levels in the SDD cohort (mean CI SDD 1.95 ± 0.60 L/min/m2, non-SDD 2.71 ± 0.73 L/min/m2, p = 0.0004).

CONCLUSIONS

Several specific VHDs have been found associated with the SDD form of AMD. Decreased systemic perfusion as measured by CI was also associated with SDDs, which supports a perfusion hypothesis of SDD pathogenesis. Further research is warranted to understand the relationship between cardiovascular disease and SDDs.

Early Acute Kidney Injury Recovery in Elderly Patients Undergoing Valve Replacement Surgery

OBJECTIVES

This study was designed to determine the incidence, contributing factors, and prognostic implications of acute kidney injury (AKI) recovery patterns in patients who experienced AKI after valve replacement surgery (VRS).

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study was conducted.

SETTING

The work took place in a postoperative care center in a single large-volume cardiovascular center.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients undergoing VRS between January 2010 and December 2019 were enrolled.

INTERVENTION

Patients were categorized into three groups based on their postoperative AKI status: non-AKI, AKI with early recovery (less than 48 hours), and persistent AKI.

MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was in-hospital major adverse clinical events. The secondary outcomes included in-hospital and 1-year mortality. A total of 4,161 patients who developed AKI following VRS were included. Of these, 1,513 (36.4%) did not develop postoperative AKI, 1,875 (45.1%) experienced AKI with early recovery, and 773 (18.6%) had persistent AKI. Advanced age, diabetes, New York Heart Association III-IV heart failure, moderate-to-severe renal dysfunction, anemia, and AKI stages 2 and 3 were identified as independent risk factors for persistent AKI. In-hospital major adverse clinical events occurred in 59 (3.9%) patients without AKI, 88 (4.7%) with early AKI recovery, and 159 (20.6%) with persistent AKI (p < 0.001). Persistent AKI was independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital adverse events and 1-year mortality. In contrast, AKI with early recovery did not pose additional risk compared with non-AKI patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients who develop AKI following VRS, early AKI recovery does not pose additional risk compared with non-AKI. However, AKI lasting more than 48 hours is associated with an increased risk of in-hospital and long-term adverse outcomes.

Directed Differentiation of Human Induced Pluripotent Stem Cells to Heart Valve Cells

BACKGROUND

A main obstacle in current valvular heart disease research is the lack of high-quality homogeneous functional heart valve cells. Human induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs)-derived heart valve cells may help with this dilemma. However, there are no well-established protocols to induce hiPSCs to differentiate into functional heart valve cells, and the networks that mediate the differentiation have not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

To generate heart valve cells from hiPSCs, we sequentially activated the Wnt, BMP4, VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor), and NFATc1 signaling pathways using CHIR-99021, BMP4, VEGF-165, and forskolin, respectively. The transcriptional and functional similarity of hiPSC-derived heart valve cells compared with primary heart valve cells were characterized. Longitudinal single-cell RNA sequencing was used to uncover the trajectory, switch genes, pathways, and transcription factors of the differentiation.

RESULTS

An efficient protocol was developed to induce hiPSCs to differentiate into functional hiPSC-derived valve endothelial-like cells and hiPSC-derived valve interstitial-like cells. After 6-day differentiation and CD144 magnetic bead sorting, ≈70% CD144+ cells and 30% CD144- cells were obtained. On the basis of single-cell RNA sequencing data, the CD144+ cells and CD144- cells were found to be highly similar to primary heart valve endothelial cells and primary heart valve interstitial cells in gene expression profile. Furthermore, CD144+ cells had the typical function of primary heart valve endothelial cells, including tube formation, uptake of low-density lipoprotein, generation of endothelial nitric oxide synthase, and response to shear stress. Meanwhile, CD144- cells could secret collagen and matrix metalloproteinases, and differentiate into osteogenic or adipogenic lineages like primary heart valve interstitial cells. Therefore, we identified CD144+ cells and CD144- cells as hiPSC-derived valve endothelial-like cells and hiPSC-derived valve interstitial-like cells, respectively. Using single-cell RNA sequencing analysis, we demonstrated that the trajectory of heart valve cell differentiation was consistent with embryonic valve development. We identified the main switch genes (NOTCH1, HEY1, and MEF2C), signaling pathways (TGF-β, Wnt, and NOTCH), and transcription factors (MSX1, SP5, and MECOM) that mediated the differentiation. Finally, we found that hiPSC-derived valve interstitial-like cells might derive from hiPSC-derived valve endothelial-like cells undergoing endocardial-mesenchymal transition.

CONCLUSIONS

In summary, this is the first study to report an efficient strategy to generate functional hiPSC-derived valve endothelial-like cells and hiPSC-derived valve interstitial-like cells from hiPSCs, as well as to elucidate the differentiation trajectory and transcriptional dynamics of hiPSCs differentiated into heart valve cells.

Post-surgery survival and associated factors for cardiac patients in Ethiopia: applications of machine learning, semi-parametric and parametric modelling

INTRODUCTION

Living in poverty, especially in low-income countries, are more affected by cardiovascular disease. Unlike the developed countries, it remains a significant cause of preventable heart disease in the Sub-Saharan region, including Ethiopia. According to the Ethiopian Ministry of Health statement, around 40,000 cardiac patients have been waiting for surgery in Ethiopia since September 2020. There is insufficient information about long-term cardiac patients' post-survival after cardiac surgery in Ethiopia. Therefore, the main objective of the current study was to determine the long-term post-cardiac surgery patients' survival status in Ethiopia.

METHODS

All patients attended from 2012 to 2023 throughout the country were included in the current study. The total number of participants was 1520 heart disease patients. The data collection procedure was conducted from February 2022- January 2023. Machine learning algorithms were applied. Gompertz regression was used also for the multivariable analysis report.

RESULTS

From possible machine learning models, random survival forest were preferred. It emphasizes, the most important variable for clinical prediction was SPO2, Age, time to surgery waiting time, and creatinine value and it accounts, 42.55%, 25.17%,11.82%, and 12.19% respectively. From the Gompertz regression, lower saturated oxygen, higher age, lower ejection fraction, short period of cardiac center stays after surgery, prolonged waiting time to surgery, and creating value were statistically significant predictors of death outcome for post-cardiac surgery patients' survival in Ethiopia.

CONCLUSION

Some of the risk factors for the death of post-cardiac surgery patients are identified in the current investigation. Particular attention should be given to patients with prolonged waiting times and aged patients. Since there were only two fully active cardiac centers in Ethiopia it is far from an adequate number of centers for more than 120 million population, therefore, the study highly recommended to increase the number of cardiac centers that serve as cardiac surgery in Ethiopia.

Artificial Intelligence in the Screening, Diagnosis, and Management of Aortic Stenosis

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into clinical management of aortic stenosis (AS) has redefined our approach to the assessment and management of this heterogenous valvular heart disease (VHD). While the large-scale early detection of valvular conditions is limited by socioeconomic constraints, AI offers a cost-effective alternative solution for screening by utilizing conventional tools, including electrocardiograms and community-level auscultations, thereby facilitating early detection, prevention, and treatment of AS. Furthermore, AI sheds light on the varied nature of AS, once considered a uniform condition, allowing for more nuanced, data-driven risk assessments and treatment plans. This presents an opportunity to re-evaluate the complexity of AS and to refine treatment using data-driven risk stratification beyond traditional guidelines. AI can be used to support treatment decisions including device selection, procedural techniques, and follow-up surveillance of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in a reproducible manner. While recognizing notable AI achievements, it is important to remember that AI applications in AS still require collaboration with human expertise due to potential limitations such as its susceptibility to bias, and the critical nature of healthcare. This synergy underpins our optimistic view of AI's promising role in the AS clinical pathway.

A systematic review and meta-analysis on outcomes of valvular heart surgery in Africa

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of valvular heart diseases remain considerably high in Africa, largely but not solely due to rheumatic heart disease. Valvular heart surgeries have emerged as the cornerstone in their management. While several studies have reported data on outcomes following heart valve surgery in many developed countries, there is a staggering paucity of data and evidence reporting the outcomes in the Africa population. The aim of this study is to report the perioperative outcomes following valvular heart surgery in Africa.

METHODS

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis guideline was utilized. Electronic searches were performed using PubMed, African journal online, and Research gate from inception to June 2023. The primary endpoints were overall mortality and 30-day mortality, and secondary endpoints included postoperative complications, length of hospital, and intensive care stays. The outcome data were pooled together and analyzed with the random effect model for proportions and mean for meta-analysis using the R software.

RESULTS

This systematic review identified 31 studies that fulfilled the study eligibility criteria and all were observational studies. The countries in which these studies were carried out include South Africa, Ethiopia, Egypt, Mali, Rwanda, Nigeria, Cameroon, Ghana, Senegal, Tanzania, and Kenya. Statistical analysis reported a pooled overall mortality of 10.48% and a pooled 30-day mortality of 4.59%.

CONCLUSION

Several obstacles, such as lack of financial resources and inadequate infrastructure, continue to impede valvular heart surgery practice in many parts of Africa. Future studies need to focus on identifying factors associated with this poor early mortality.

Lifestyle patterns, genetic susceptibility, and risk of valvular heart disease: a prospective cohort study based on the UK Biobank

AIMS

Genetic and lifestyle factors are both major contributors to valvular heart disease (VHD). However, it is still uncertain whether genetic susceptibility alters the association between lifestyle and VHD. We aimed to investigate the association between lifestyle and VHD in different genetic risk backgrounds.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A prospective cohort study was carried out on 499 341 participants without VHD at baseline. The assessment of lifestyle included smoking, alcohol consumption, diet, activity, and sleep. Genetic susceptibility was separately measured by polygenic risk scores (PRSs) and family history of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) between lifestyle and VHD, as well as aortic stenosis (AS). During a median follow-up of 10.8 years, 12 983 incident VHD cases were diagnosed (incidence rate 2.46 per 1000 person-years), including 3527 AS cases (incidence rate 0.66 per 1000 person-years). The risk of VHD and AS decreased with healthier lifestyles (P value for trend <0.001). Compared to individuals with a unhealthy lifestyle, the HRs of VHD in intermediate and healthy lifestyle groups were 0.81 (0.76-0.86) and 0.81 (0.76-0.87). The negative association between healthy lifestyle and VHD events was independent of genetic risk (P for interaction between healthy lifestyle scores and PRSs/family history of CVD was 0.723/0.763). Similar findings were obtained in analyses of AS, and a stronger negative association was found.

CONCLUSION

Our study reveals that adherence to a healthy lifestyle is significantly associated with a reduced risk of VHD especially AS, irrespective of genetic susceptibility.

SUMMARY

Based on a cohort of around 490 000 participants, the study investigated the association between lifestyle and VHD under different stratifications of genetic risk. The study found that a healthy lifestyle was associated with a lower risk of VHD, particularly AS, independent of genetic risk. Our findings suggest that advance interventions for lifestyle may be an effective way to reduce the global burden of VHD.

Fibrinolytic Therapy in Thrombosis of Mechanical Valves: Outcomes and Complications

INTRODUCTION

Valvular heart disease presents a significant and escalating global health challenge. Prosthetic valve thrombosis (PVT) following surgical valve replacement is a primary cause of valve failure. The aim of this study was to ascertain the outcomes and complications of fibrinolytic therapy in patients diagnosed with PVT.

METHOD

This cross-sectional study enrolled 81 patients diagnosed with PVT who underwent fibrinolytic therapy between 2008 and 2018. Streptokinase was administered to 87.6% of patients, while 12.4% received reteplase. All demographic and clinical data were gathered from the patients' medical records. The incidence of successful recovery and complications were assessed.

RESULTS

The records of 81 patients (43.2% male, mean age: 51.6 ± 13.9 years) were examined. The findings revealed that 59% and 35% of the patients had mitral and aortic PVT, respectively. While 12% of the patients experienced drug complications, 90% achieved successful recovery. Stroke and severe hemorrhage were complications frequently reported by the patients treated with streptokinase (8% and 4% respectively). The patients treated with reteplase demonstrated a 100% recovery rate. Conversely, 89% of the patients treated with streptokinase achieved successful recovery, and 7% of the patients experienced a partial recovery.

CONCLUSION

Fibrinolytic agents can serve as an effective treatment with an excellent success rate for managing PVT in patients post-surgical valve replacement.

Artificial intelligence-based model to classify cardiac functions from chest radiographs: a multi-institutional, retrospective model development and validation study

BACKGROUND

Chest radiography is a common and widely available examination. Although cardiovascular structures-such as cardiac shadows and vessels-are visible on chest radiographs, the ability of these radiographs to estimate cardiac function and valvular disease is poorly understood. Using datasets from multiple institutions, we aimed to develop and validate a deep-learning model to simultaneously detect valvular disease and cardiac functions from chest radiographs.

METHODS

In this model development and validation study, we trained, validated, and externally tested a deep learning-based model to classify left ventricular ejection fraction, tricuspid regurgitant velocity, mitral regurgitation, aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, tricuspid regurgitation, pulmonary regurgitation, and inferior vena cava dilation from chest radiographs. The chest radiographs and associated echocardiograms were collected from four institutions between April 1, 2013, and Dec 31, 2021: we used data from three sites (Osaka Metropolitan University Hospital, Osaka, Japan; Habikino Medical Center, Habikino, Japan; and Morimoto Hospital, Osaka, Japan) for training, validation, and internal testing, and data from one site (Kashiwara Municipal Hospital, Kashiwara, Japan) for external testing. We evaluated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy.

FINDINGS

We included 22 551 radiographs associated with 22 551 echocardiograms obtained from 16 946 patients. The external test dataset featured 3311 radiographs from 2617 patients with a mean age of 72 years [SD 15], of whom 49·8% were male and 50·2% were female. The AUCs, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for this dataset were 0·92 (95% CI 0·90-0·95), 86% (85-87), 82% (75-87), and 86% (85-88) for classifying the left ventricular ejection fraction at a 40% cutoff, 0·85 (0·83-0·87), 75% (73-76), 83% (80-87), and 73% (71-75) for classifying the tricuspid regurgitant velocity at a 2·8 m/s cutoff, 0·89 (0·86-0·92), 85% (84-86), 82% (76-87), and 85% (84-86) for classifying mitral regurgitation at the none-mild versus moderate-severe cutoff, 0·83 (0·78-0·88), 73% (71-74), 79% (69-87), and 72% (71-74) for classifying aortic stenosis, 0·83 (0·79-0·87), 68% (67-70), 88% (81-92), and 67% (66-69) for classifying aortic regurgitation, 0·86 (0·67-1·00), 90% (89-91), 83% (36-100), and 90% (89-91) for classifying mitral stenosis, 0·92 (0·89-0·94), 83% (82-85), 87% (83-91), and 83% (82-84) for classifying tricuspid regurgitation, 0·86 (0·82-0·90), 69% (68-71), 91% (84-95), and 68% (67-70) for classifying pulmonary regurgitation, and 0·85 (0·81-0·89), 86% (85-88), 73% (65-81), and 87% (86-88) for classifying inferior vena cava dilation.

INTERPRETATION

The deep learning-based model can accurately classify cardiac functions and valvular heart diseases using information from digital chest radiographs. This model can classify values typically obtained from echocardiography in a fraction of the time, with low system requirements and the potential to be continuously available in areas where echocardiography specialists are scarce or absent.

FUNDING

None.

Adherence, belief, and knowledge about oral anticoagulants in patients with bioprosthetic heart valve replacement: a cross-sectional study

Aims: To investigate adherence to oral anticoagulants among patients after mechanical heart valve (BHV) replacement and further examine the mediating role of medication belief in the relationship between knowledge and medication adherence. Background: The number of patients who undergo BHV replacement has increased in recent years. Short-term anticoagulant therapy is recommended for patients after BHV replacement. However, little is known about adherence to oral anticoagulant therapy and the underlying mechanisms among patients with BHV replacement. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted between September 2022 and November 2022. A convenience sample of 323 patients who underwent BHV replacement was recruited from a tertiary public hospital in Southwest China. Data were collected by using the 8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale, Beliefs about Medicines Questionnaire-specific, and the Knowledge of Anticoagulation Questionnaire. The mediation model was tested by Hayes's PROCESS macro. The STROBE checklist was used. Results: Approximately 17.3% of participants had low adherence, 47.1% had medium adherence, and only 35.6% reported high adherence to oral anticoagulants. Knowledge and necessity beliefs were positively related to medication adherence, while concern beliefs were negatively correlated with medication adherence. Medication belief mediated the relationship between knowledge and adherence to oral anticoagulants. Conclusion: Patients with BHV replacement demonstrated relatively low adherence to oral anticoagulant therapy. Efforts to enhance medication adherence should consider improving patients' knowledge and medication beliefs.

Etiologies and Patterns of Valvular Heart Disease Among Cardiac Patients at the Cardiac Center of Ethiopia During February 2000 to April 2022

Background

The leading global contributor to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is valvular heart disease. It is on the rise worldwide, including in the developing countries. However, the prevalence, patterns, and etiologies of valvular heart disease have not been well studied in Ethiopia. Hence, the purpose of this study was to evaluate the prevalence, patterns, and etiologies of valvular heart disease at the Cardiac Center of Ethiopia from February 2000 to April 2022.

Methods

This institution-based retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted between February 2000 and April 2022. Data from three thousand two hundred fifty-seven VHD were extracted from the electronic medical records and analyzed using SPSS version 25. Descriptive statistics, such as the frequency, mean ± standard deviation, and cross tabulations, were used to summarize the data.

Results

Of 10,588 total cardiac cases registered and treated at the Cardiac Centre of Ethiopia from February 2000 to April 2022, 30.8% (3257) were diagnosed with VHD. The most typical diagnosis for VHD was multi-valvular involvement, which accounted for 49.5% of cases (1612), followed by pulmonary stenosis (15%) and mitral regurgitation (14.3%). Females were more likely to develop valve diseases than males, being at the highest risk for each identified etiology of valve disease 1928 (59.2%). The majority percentages of the population affected by VHD were between 18 and 44 age category 1473 (45.2%). The most common etiology of VHD was rheumatic 2015 (61.87%), followed by congenital origin 828 (25.42%).

Conclusion

VHD affects nearly one-third of all cardiac cases admitted to the hospital. Multi-valvular involvement is the most commonly diagnosed form of VHD. Rheumatic causes were more prevalent in this study. As found in this study, VHD affects a significant percentage of the population, which in turn could have an impact on the country's economy and deserve attention as a possible means of intervention.

Aortic Stenosis and Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background Patients with aortic stenosis (AS) have been underrepresented in the trials evaluating direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to assess whether AS impacts outcomes in patients with AF and estimate the effects of DOACs versus warfarin in patients with AF and AS. Methods and Results The registry-based FinACAF (Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation) study covered all patients with AF diagnosed during 2007 to 2018 in Finland. Hazard ratios (HRs) of first-ever gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, any bleeding, ischemic stroke, and death were estimated with cause-specific hazards regression adjusted for anticoagulant exposure variables. We identified 183 946 patients (50.5% women; mean age, 71.7 [SD, 13.5] years) with incident AF without prior bleeding or ischemic stroke, of whom 5231 (2.8%) had AS. The crude incidence rate of all outcomes was higher in patients with AS than in patients without AS. After propensity score matching, AS was associated with the hazard of any bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, and death but not with intracranial bleeding or ischemic stroke (adjusted HRs, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.25-1.48], 1.63 [95% CI, 1.43-1.86], 1.32 [95% CI, 1.26-1.38], 0.96 [95% CI, 0.78-1.17], and 1.11 [95% CI, 0.99-1.25], respectively). Among patients with AS, DOACs were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke when compared with warfarin, while bleeding and mortality did not differ between DOACs and warfarin. Conclusions AS is associated with substantially higher risk of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with AF. DOACs may be more effective in preventing ischemic stroke than warfarin in patients with AF and AS. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04645537.

Prevalence and predictors of non-rheumatic valvular heart disease in patients with sickle cell disease: insights from the National In-Patient Database in 2016 and 2017

Sickle cell disease (SCD) life expectancy has increased in high-income countries, approaching the fifth decade in the United States. Aging in SCD has raised concerns about chronic organ damage due to adaptative and maladaptive cardiac remodeling. This study aims to assess the prevalence and predictors of non-rheumatic valvular heart disease (NRVHD) in SCD patients using the United States National Inpatient Sample database from 2016 and 2017. We conducted a weighted analysis on SCD patients during their index hospitalization. We obtained the prevalence of NRVHD and calculated adjusted odds ratios to identify the associated demographic, social, and clinical characteristics using multivariable logistic regression. We identified 192,460 SCD admissions during 2016 and 2017. Of them, 2450 (1.3%) had NRVHD. Mitral insufficiency (MI) was the most common NRVHD present in 52% of the cases. Mitral valve prolapse represented 12.4%, while aortic stenosis and aortic insufficiency in 10.8% and 12.7%, respectively. Right-sided NRVHD had a lower prevalence, with 17.1% of patients having tricuspid insufficiency (TI) and 6.3% pulmonary insufficiency. There were no cases of mitral, tricuspid, or pulmonary stenosis. Characteristics associated with the presence of NRVHD in SCD were secondary pulmonary hypertension, congestive heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and female sex. NRVHDs, especially MI and TI, are comorbidities in SCD. Literature is scarce on this topic. The predictors found for its occurrence could help address modifiable factors that can positively affect patients with SCD who, due to the natural history of the disease, are at risk of developing NRVHD.

Changing trends of the disease burden of non-rheumatic valvular heart disease in China from 1990 to 2019 and its predictions: Findings from global burden of disease study

Objective

China has an increasing burden of non-rheumatic valvular heart disease (NRVHD) as the aging of the population is deepening. The aim was to assess the age and sex-specific prevalence and DALYs of NRVHD in China from 1990 to 2019 and to predict the burden in the next 25 years.

Methods

The Global Burden of Disease Study (2019) was used to extract the data of age- and sex-specific incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of NRVHD in China, 1990-2019. We estimated the annual percentage change (EAPC) to access the temporal trends of the disease burden of NRVHD. The R package called Nordpred was used to perform an age-period-cohort analysis to predict the prevalence of NRVHD in the next 25 years.

Results

The number of incident cases of NRVHD increased from 93.16 thousand in 1990 to 325.05 thousand in 2019. Overall upward trends were observed in the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) from 1990 to 2019. Significant temporal trends in mortality and DALYs of NRVHD were observed. High systolic blood pressure, high sodium diet, and lead exposure were the main driving forces for NRVHD. In the next 25 years, the number of new cases and deaths of NRVHD should continue to increase to 390.64 thousand and 10.0 thousand, respectively. The ASIR should show an upward trend, while the ASMR should show a downward trend among men and women.

Conclusion

In China, the overall rates of NRVHD have increased over the past 30 years, and there has been a substantial increase in the burden of NRVHD due to population growth and aging and will continue to increase in the next 25 years. Our results can help shape a multifactorial approach and public policy to reduce the NRVHD burden throughout China.

Artificial intelligence for the echocardiographic assessment of valvular heart disease

Developments in artificial intelligence (AI) have led to an explosion of studies exploring its application to cardiovascular medicine. Due to the need for training and expertise, one area where AI could be impactful would be in the diagnosis and management of valvular heart disease. This is because AI can be applied to the multitude of data generated from clinical assessments, imaging and biochemical testing during the care of the patient. In the area of valvular heart disease, the focus of AI has been on the echocardiographic assessment and phenotyping of patient populations to identify high-risk groups. AI can assist image acquisition, view identification for review, and segmentation of valve and cardiac structures for automated analysis. Using image recognition algorithms, aortic and mitral valve disease states have been directly detected from the images themselves. Measurements obtained during echocardiographic valvular assessment have been integrated with other clinical data to identify novel aortic valve disease subgroups and describe new predictors of aortic valve disease progression. In the future, AI could integrate echocardiographic parameters with other clinical data for precision medical management of patients with valvular heart disease.

PRE-OPerative ECHOcardiograhy for prevention of cardiovascular events after non-cardiac surgery in intermediate- and high-risk patients: protocol for a low-interventional, mixed-cohort prospective study design (PREOP-ECHO)

Background

Cardiac evaluation using transthoracic echocardiography before noncardiac surgery is common in real-world practice. However, evidence supporting preoperative echocardiography is lacking. This study aims to evaluate the additional benefit of preoperative echocardiography in predicting postoperative cardiovascular events (CVE) in noncardiac surgery.

Methods

This study is designed as a multicenter, prospective study to assess the utility of preoperative echocardiography in patients undergoing intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery. This trial comprises two studies: (1) a randomized controlled trial (RCT) for patients undergoing intermediate-risk surgery with fewer than three clinical risk factors from the revised cardiac risk index (intermediate-risk group) and (2) a prospective cohort study for patients undergoing intermediate-risk surgery with three or more clinical risk factors, or who undergo high-risk surgery regardless of the number of clinical risk factors (high-risk group). We hypothesize that the use of preoperative echocardiography will reduce postoperative CVEs in patients undergoing intermediate- to high-risk surgery through discovery of and further intervention for unexpected cardiac abnormalities before elective surgery. A total of 2330 and 2184 patients will be enrolled in the two studies. The primary endpoint is a composite of all-cause death; aborted sudden cardiac arrest; type I acute myocardial infarction; clinically diagnosed unstable angina; stress-induced cardiomyopathy; lethal arrhythmia, such as sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation; and/or newly diagnosed or acutely decompensated heart failure within 30 days after surgery.

Discussion

This study will be the first large-scale prospective study examining the benefit of preoperative echocardiography in predicting postoperative CVE. The PREOP-ECHO trial will help doctors identify patients at risk of postoperative CVE using echocardiography and thereby reduce postoperative CVEs.

Trial registration

The Clinical Research Information Service KCT0006279 for RCT and KCT0006280 for prospective cohort study. Registered on June 21, 2021.

European survey on valvular heart disease clinical experience from the European Society of Cardiology council on valvular heart disease

Aims

The aim of this survey is to analyze how current recommendations on valvular heart disease (VHD) management have been adopted. Identifying potential discrepancies between recommendations and everyday clinical practice would enable us to better understand and address the remaining challenges in this controversial and complex field.

Methods and results

A total of 33 questions, distributed via email to all European Society of Cardiology (ESC) affiliated countries through the newsletter of the ESC council on VHD, were answered by 689 respondents, mainly from tertiary care settings. The results of this survey showed that VHD patients are mostly managed by tertiary care centres, where multi-disciplinary heart teams are frequently a reality. Cardiac computed tomography (CT) is often used in the preprocedural planning of transcatheter interventions, particularly for sizing and deliverability assessment. Echocardiography represents the most widely used imaging modality in the diagnostic, intra-operative and follow-up phase of VHD patients. Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is still largely underused, also for conditions such as mitral annular disjunction, or for the assessment of left ventricle volumes where it is considered as the gold standard, despite 3D volumes by echocardiography having proved good comparability with CMR. As for endocarditis, despite still underused, transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) represents the approach of choice for the diagnosis of native and prosthesis valve endocarditis (up to 46% of the respondents use it). In this context, positron emission tomography-CT is largely underused.

Conclusion

There is widespread adoption of current recommendation on the evaluation of VHD and these are frequently used to guide patient management. Nonetheless, there are still many discrepancies across centres and countries which need to be addressed with the aim of improving patients' management and outcomes and ultimately positively impacting on healthcare resources.

Contribution of Oxidative Stress (OS) in Calcific Aortic Valve Disease (CAVD): From Pathophysiology to Therapeutic Targets

Calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD) is a major cause of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, with increased prevalence and incidence. The underlying mechanisms behind CAVD are complex, and are mainly illustrated by inflammation, mechanical stress (which induces prolonged aortic valve endothelial dysfunction), increased oxidative stress (OS) (which trigger fibrosis), and calcification of valve leaflets. To date, besides aortic valve replacement, there are no specific pharmacological treatments for CAVD. In this review, we describe the mechanisms behind aortic valvular disease, the involvement of OS as a fundamental element in disease progression with predilection in AS, and its two most frequent etiologies (calcific aortic valve disease and bicuspid aortic valve); moreover, we highlight the potential of OS as a future therapeutic target.

Prospective cohort study of characteristics and sex differences in elderly patients with degenerative valvular disease

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to describe the characteristics and to compare the sex differences in the clinical features and prognosis of Chinese elderly patients with senile degenerative valvular heart disease (VHD).

DESIGN

This study was a nationwide, multicentre, prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Participants were enrolled consecutively from 69 hospitals nationwide in China from September to December 2016.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2728 patients aged ≥60 years old with an aetiological diagnosis of moderate to severe degenerative VHD as defined by echocardiography were recruited.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The baseline data and 1-year follow-up data were collected, and disease distribution, clinical features, treatment and prognosis were compared between different sex groups.

RESULTS

Aortic disease was more common in men, and mitral disease was more common in women. Male patients were more likely to have smoking, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and coronary artery bypass grafting histories, while female patients had more hypertension and atrial fibrillation. The average age and left ventricular ejection fraction were significantly lower in men than in women (p<0.001), while the intervention rate (p=0.026) and total hospitalisation cost (p=0.016) of male patients were higher than those of female patients. There were no significant differences in perioperative complications, in-hospital outcomes or short and intermediate prognoses between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Currently, the intervention rate of elderly patients with VHD is still not ideal, with dominant factor-patient rejection. Heart failure was the critical reason for rehospitalisation. There were some differences between men and women in the distribution, severity, clinical characteristics and interventions in senile degenerative valvular disease.

Hsa_circ_0003748 promotes disease progression in rheumatic valvular heart disease by sponging miR-577

The diagnosis and treatment of rheumatic valvular heart disease (RVHD) require substantial improvements. Studies found that circular RNAs (circRNAs) are involved in the progression of cardiovascular diseases. We screened target hsa_circ_0003748 by circRNA microarrays uploaded to a database. We used fluorescence in situ hybridization to determine the cellular location of hsa_circ_0003748. A dual-luciferase reporter gene assay revealed that has_circ_0003748 might bind the miRNA miR-577. In hVIC cells (an RVHD cell line), Cell Counting Kit-8, Transwell, and flow cytometry assays measured proliferation, migration, and cell cycle and apoptosis, respectively. We found that hsa_circ_0003748 was localized in the cytoplasm; hsa_circ_0003748 promoted the proliferation and migration of hVIC cells, arrested the cell cycle in the G2/M phase, and inhibited apoptosis. These phenomena may result from hsa_circ_0003748 promoting RVHD after sponging miR-577. Bioinformatic analysis revealed that hsa_circ_0003748 might affect RVHD progression by affecting transcription and the MAPK signaling pathway, the Ras signaling pathway, the cAMP signaling pathway, the Rap1 signaling pathway, and other signaling pathways.

Evaluating the effect of multivalvular disease on mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Aims: To determine the prognosis of multivalvular disease in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) for severe aortic stenosis. Methods: Patients undergoing TAVR for aortic stenosis with covariate-adjusted risk of mortality associated with concomitant valve disease (mitral regurgitation [MR], mitral stenosis [MS] or tricuspid regurgitation [TR]) were included. Results: Moderate-to-severe MR was associated with increased mortality at 30 days (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.11-2.30; p = 0.01) and 1 year (HR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.22-2.87; p = 0.004). The presence of all-grade MS did not impact 30-day or 1-year mortality (HR, 30 days: 1.60; 95% CI: 0.71-3.63; p = 0.26; and HR, 1 year: 1.90; 95% CI: 0.98-3.69; p = 0.06); however, an increased risk of 1-year mortality (HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.03-2.70; p = 0.04) was observed with severe MS compared with no MS. Moderate-to-severe TR had a higher risk of all-cause mortality at 1 year (HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.24-1.78; p < 0.001) compared with no or mild TR. Conclusion: Moderate-to-severe MR or TR, and severe MS, significantly increase mid-term mortality after TAVR.

Increased risks of aortic regurgitation and atrial fibrillation in radiographic axial spondyloarthritis patients: a 10-year nationwide cohort study

Background:

To compare the incidences of aortic regurgitation, atrial fibrillation (AF), and atrioventricular (AV) block II–III between radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (r-axSpA) patients and the general population (GP).

Methods:

National Health Insurance Services data were used. R-axSpA patients (N = 8877) and the age- and sex-matched GP (N = 26,631) were followed from August 2006 to December 2019. Incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of aortic regurgitation, AF, and AV block II–III were compared between these groups. Ten-year incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

Results:

Incidence rates of aortic regurgitation, AV block II–III, and AF in the r-axSpA group were 0.42, 0.21, and 4.0 per 1000 person-years (PYs), respectively. In the r-axSpA group, the SIR for aortic regurgitation was highest among 40- to 49-year-old men (4.11). Incidence rates of aortic regurgitation and AF were higher in the r-axSpA group than in the GP group (0.42 versus 0.18 per 1000 PYs 4.00 versus 3.13 per 1000 PYs, both p < 0.001, respectively), whereas the difference was insignificant for AV block II–III (0.21 versus 0.14 per 1000 PYs, p = 0.222). In multivariate analysis, r-axSpA was associated with a higher hazard (risk) for the development of aortic regurgitation and AF [HR (95% confidence interval) = 2.55 (1.49–4.37) and 1.20 (1.04–1.39), respectively], but the difference was insignificant for AV block II–III [HR (95% confidence interval) = 1.17 (0.59–2.31)].

Conclusions:

Compared with the GP, r-axSpA patients are at increased risk of aortic regurgitation and AF, but not AV block II–III. These patients should be carefully monitored for occurrence of aortic regurgitation and AF.

Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Mortality Risk in Elderly Patients Undergoing Valve Replacement Surgery: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in elderly patients is controversial. This study aimed to elucidate the relationship between the preoperative LDL-C and adverse outcomes in elderly patients undergoing valve replacement surgery (VRS).

METHODS

A total of 2,552 aged patients (age ≥ 60 years) undergoing VRS were retrospectively recruited and divided into two groups according to LDL-C level on admission: low LDL-C (<70 mg/dL, n = 205) and high LDL-C groups (≥ 70 mg/dL, n = 2,347). The association between the preoperative LDL-C with in-hospital and one-year mortality was evaluated by propensity score matching analysis and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The mean age was 65 ± 4 years and 1,263 (49.5%) were men. Patients in the low LDL-C group were significantly older (65.9 ± 4.6 vs. 64.9 ± 4.1, p = 0.002), with more male (65.4 vs. 48.1%, p < 0.001), higher alanine transaminase (ALT) (21 vs. 19, p = 0.001), lower serum albumin (35.3 ± 4.6 vs. 37.1 ± 4.1, p < 0.001), higher serum creatinine (92.2 ± 38.2 vs.84.6 ± 26.1, p = 0.006), lower lymphocyte count (1.7 ± 0.7 vs. 1.9 ± 0.6, p < 0.001), lower hemoglobin (121.9 ± 22.3 vs. 130.2 ± 16.5, p < 0.001), lower platelet count (171.3 ± 64.3 vs. 187.7 ± 58.7, p < 0.001), lower prognostic nutrition index (44 ± 6.2 vs. 46.7 ± 5.8, p < 0.001), and more severe tricuspid regurgitation (33.7 vs. 25.1%, p = 0.008). The rates of in-hospital death (11.2 vs. 3.7%, p < 0.001) and major adverse clinical events (17.6 vs. 9.6%, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in the low LDL-C group. The cumulative one-year death rate was significantly higher in the low LDL-C group (Log-Rank = 16.6, p < 0.001). After matching analysis and multivariate analysis, no association between LDL-C level and adverse outcomes was detected (all p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Our study did not support the negative relationship between LDL-C level and mortality risk in elderly patients undergoing VRS.

Cardiac Cachexia Associated With Valvular Heart Failure

Cardiac cachexia (CC) represents a serious complication of heart failure (HF). This condition could be directly related to mortality. The weight or muscle mass loss has to be monitored in our patients with HF to avoid potential complications.

We report a case of an elderly patient with a history of aortic stenosis (AS) who presented with progressive shortness of breath limiting his daily activities associated with weight loss. Signs of heart failure were evident on physical examination, and valvulopathy was also evident. His echocardiogram showed reduced ejection fraction (EF) with structural changes and severe aortic stenosis. He was not a candidate for cardiothoracic surgery, and a transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) was performed. After the procedure, his symptoms improved, and during the outpatient follow-up, his cardiac function and dry weight improved.

Cardiac cachexia could be caused by reversible cardiomyopathy. Early assessment and approach are critical for the outcome of our patients, impacting their quality of life and outcome in terms of morbidity and mortality consequences.

Aortic valve cell microenvironment: Considerations for developing a valve-on-chip

Cardiac valves are sophisticated, dynamic structures residing in a complex mechanical and hemodynamic environment. Cardiac valve disease is an active and progressive disease resulting in severe socioeconomic burden, especially in the elderly. Valve disease also leads to a 50% increase in the possibility of associated cardiovascular events. Yet, valve replacement remains the standard of treatment with early detection, mitigation, and alternate therapeutic strategies still lacking. Effective study models are required to further elucidate disease mechanisms and diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. Organ-on-chip models offer a unique and powerful environment that incorporates the ease and reproducibility of in vitro systems along with the complexity and physiological recapitulation of the in vivo system. The key to developing effective valve-on-chip models is maintaining the cell and tissue-level microenvironment relevant to the study application. This review outlines the various components and factors that comprise and/or affect the cell microenvironment that ought to be considered while constructing a valve-on-chip model. This review also dives into the advancements made toward constructing valve-on-chip models with a specific focus on the aortic valve, that is, in vitro studies incorporating three-dimensional co-culture models that incorporate relevant extracellular matrices and mechanical and hemodynamic cues.

The effect of preoperative statin treatment on acute kidney injury in elderly patients undergoing valve replacement surgery

PURPOSES

The effects of preoperative statin treatment on acute kidney injury (AKI) remain controversial, and current clinical evidence regarding statin use in the elderly undergoing valve replacement surgery (VRS) is insufficient. The present study aimed to investigate the association between preoperative statin treatment and AKI after VRS in the elderly.

METHODS

Three thousand seven hundred ninety-one elderly patients (≥ 60 years) undergoing VRS were included in this study and divided into 2 groups, according to the receipt of statin treatment before the operation: statin users (n = 894) and non-users (n = 2897). We determined the associations between statin use, AKI, and other adverse events using a multivariate model and propensity score-matched analysis.

RESULTS

After propensity score-matched analysis, there was no difference between statin users and non-users in regard to postoperative AKI (72.5% vs. 72.4%, p = 0.954), in-hospital death (5.7% vs. 5.1%, p = 0.650) and 1-year mortality (log-rank = 0, p = 0.986). The multivariate analysis showed that statin use was not an independent risk factor for postoperative AKI (OR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.90-1.17, p = 0.733), in-hospital mortality (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 0.75-1.68, p = 0.568), or 1-year mortality (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.70-1.28, p = 0.715).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative statin treatment did not significantly affect the risk of AKI among elderly patients undergoing VRS.

Recellularization of xenograft heart valves reduces the xenoreactive immune response in an in vivo rat model

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to address the role of autologous mesenchymal stem cell recellularization of xenogenic valves on the activation of the xenoreactive immune response in an in vivo rat model.

METHODS

Explanted aortic valve constructs from female Hartley guinea pigs were procured and decellularized, followed by recellularization with autologous Sprague-Dawley rat mesenchymal stem cells. Aortic valve xenografts were then implanted into the infrarenal aorta of recipient rats. Grafts were implanted as either autologous grafts, non-decellularized (NGP), decellularized and recellularized xenografts (RGP). Rats were euthanized after 7 and 21 days and exsanguinated and the grafts were explanted.

RESULTS

The NGP grafts demonstrated significant burden of granulocytes (14.3 cells/HPF) and CD3+ T cells (3.9 cells/HPF) compared to the autologous grafts (2.1 granulocytes/HPF and 0.72 CD3+ T cells/HPF) after 7 days. A lower absolute number of infiltrating granulocytes (NGP vs autologous, 6.4 vs 2.4 cells/HPF) and CD3+ T cells (NGP vs autologous, 2.8 vs 0.8 cells/HPF) was seen after 21 days. Equivalent granulocyte cell infiltration in the RGP grafts (2.4 cells/HPF) compared to the autologous grafts (2.1 cells/HPF) after 7 and 21 days (2.8 vs 2.4 cells/HPF) was observed. Equivalent CD3+ T-cell infiltration in the RGP grafts (0.63 cells/HPF) compared to the autologous grafts (0.72 cells/HPF) after 7 and 21 days (0.7 vs 0.8 cells/HPF) was observed. Immunoglobulin production was significantly greater in the NGP grafts compared to the autologous grafts at 7 (123.3 vs 52.7 mg/mL) and 21 days (93.3 vs 71.6 mg/mL), with a similar decreasing trend in absolute production. Equivalent immunoglobulin production was observed in the RGP grafts compared to the autologous grafts at 7 (40.8 vs 52.7 mg/mL) and 21 days (29.5 vs 71.6 mg/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

Autologous mesenchymal stem cell recellularization of xenogenic valves reduces the xenoreactive immune response in an in vivo rat model and may be an effective approach to decrease the progression of xenograft valve dysfunction.

Cardiac Manifestations in a Group of Romanian Patients with Gaucher Disease Type 1 (a Monocentric Study)

Gaucher disease (GD), one of the most common lysosomal disorders, is characterised by clinical heterogeneity. Cardiac involvement is rare and refers to pulmonary hypertension (PH), valvular abnormalities and myocardial infiltrative damage. The aim of this study was to evaluate cardiac involvement in a group of Romanian GD patients. Phenotypic and genotypic characterisation was carried out in 69 patients with GD type 1. Annual echocardiography and electrocardiography were performed to assess pulmonary pressure, morphology and function of the valves and electrocardiographic changes. Nine patients (13%) exhibited baseline echocardiographic signs suggesting PH. Mitral regurgitation was present in 33 patients (48%) and aortic regurgitation in 11 patients (16%). One patient presented aortic stenosis. Significant valvular dysfunction was diagnosed in 10% of patients. PH was associated with greater age (p < 0.001), longer time since splenectomy (p = 0.045) and longer time between clinical onset and the start of enzyme replacing therapy (p < 0.001). Electrocardiographic changes were present in five patients (7%).