Risk stratification model integrating nutritional and inflammatory factors for predicting 1-year mortality after valvular heart surgery: a retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Existing risk-scoring systems for cardiac surgery include only standard preoperative factors without considering nutritional and inflammatory status or intraoperative factors. The objective of this study was to develop a comprehensive prediction model for mortality incorporating nutritional, inflammatory, and perioperative factors in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective review of 2046 patients who underwent valvular heart surgery, Cox and LASSO regression analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors for 1-year postoperative mortality among various perioperative factors known to affect prognosis, including objective nutritional and inflammatory indices. A novel nomogram model incorporating selected prognostic factors was developed, and its discrimination ability was evaluated using the C-index. The model was validated in internal and external cohorts.

RESULTS

The 1-year mortality rate after valvular heart surgery was 5.1% (105 of 2046 patients) and was significantly associated with several preoperative objective inflammatory and nutritional indices. Cox and LASSO analyses identified the following five independent prognostic factors for mortality: monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (an objective inflammatory index), EuroSCORE II, Controlling Nutritional Status score, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and number of erythrocyte units transfused intraoperatively. The nomogram model incorporating these five factors had a C-index of 0.834 (95% CI: 0.791-0.877), which was higher than that of EuroSCORE II alone (0.744, 95% CI: 0.697-0.791) ( P <0.001). The nomogram achieved good discrimination ability, with C-indices of 0.836 (95% CI: 0.790-0.878) and 0.727 (95% CI: 0.651-0.803) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively, and showed well-fitted calibration curves.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram model incorporating five inflammatory, nutritional, and perioperative factors, as well as EuroSCORE II, was a better predictor of 1-year mortality after valvular heart surgery than EuroSCORE II alone, with good discrimination and calibration power for predicting mortality in both internal and external validation cohorts.

A systematic review and meta-analysis on outcomes of valvular heart surgery in Africa

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of valvular heart diseases remain considerably high in Africa, largely but not solely due to rheumatic heart disease. Valvular heart surgeries have emerged as the cornerstone in their management. While several studies have reported data on outcomes following heart valve surgery in many developed countries, there is a staggering paucity of data and evidence reporting the outcomes in the Africa population. The aim of this study is to report the perioperative outcomes following valvular heart surgery in Africa.

METHODS

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis guideline was utilized. Electronic searches were performed using PubMed, African journal online, and Research gate from inception to June 2023. The primary endpoints were overall mortality and 30-day mortality, and secondary endpoints included postoperative complications, length of hospital, and intensive care stays. The outcome data were pooled together and analyzed with the random effect model for proportions and mean for meta-analysis using the R software.

RESULTS

This systematic review identified 31 studies that fulfilled the study eligibility criteria and all were observational studies. The countries in which these studies were carried out include South Africa, Ethiopia, Egypt, Mali, Rwanda, Nigeria, Cameroon, Ghana, Senegal, Tanzania, and Kenya. Statistical analysis reported a pooled overall mortality of 10.48% and a pooled 30-day mortality of 4.59%.

CONCLUSION

Several obstacles, such as lack of financial resources and inadequate infrastructure, continue to impede valvular heart surgery practice in many parts of Africa. Future studies need to focus on identifying factors associated with this poor early mortality.

Effect of iron deficiency without anaemia on days alive and out of hospital in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery

Comprehensive evidence regarding the treatment of non-anaemic iron deficiency in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery is lacking. This study aimed to investigate the association between non-anaemic iron deficiency and postoperative outcomes in these patients. We retrospectively analysed 321 patients of which 180 (56%) had iron deficiency (defined as serum ferritin < 100 ng.ml^-1 or < 300 ng.ml^-1 with transferrin saturation < 20%). While the iron-deficient group had lower pre-operative haemoglobin levels than the non-iron deficient group (median (IQR [range]) 134 (127-141 [120-172]) g.l^-1 , 143 (133-150 [120-179]) g.l^-1 , p = 0.001), there was no between-group difference in allogeneic red blood cell transfusion. Median (IQR [range]) days alive and out of hospital at postoperative day 90 was 1 day shorter in the iron-deficient group (80 (77-82 [9-85]) days vs. 81 (79-83 [0-85]) days, p = 0.026). In multivariable analysis, only cardiopulmonary bypass duration (p = 0.032) and intra-operative allogeneic red blood cell transfusion (p = 0.011) were significantly associated with reduced days alive and out of hospital at postoperative day 90. Iron deficiency did not exert any adverse influence on secondary outcomes except length of hospital stay. Our findings indicate that non-anaemic iron deficiency alone is not associated with adverse effects in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery when it does not translate into an increased risk of allogeneic transfusion.

What Can We Learn from the Past by Means of Very Long-Term Follow-Up after Aortic Valve Replacement?

Background: Studies on very long-term outcomes after aortic valve replacement are sparse. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, long-term outcomes during 25.1 ± 2.8 years of follow-up were determined in 673 patients who underwent aortic valve replacement with or without concomitant coronary artery bypass surgery for severe aortic stenosis and/or regurgitation. Independent predictors of decreased long-term survival were determined. Cumulative incidence rates of major adverse events in patients with a mechanical versus those with a biologic prosthesis were assessed, as well as of major bleeding events in patients with a mechanical prosthesis under the age of 60 versus those above the age of 60. Results: Impaired left ventricular function, severe prosthesis–patient mismatch, and increased aortic cross-clamp time were independent predictors of decreased long-term survival. Left ventricular hypertrophy, a mechanical or biologic prosthesis, increased cardiopulmonary bypass time, new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation, and the presence of symptoms did not independently predict decreased long-term survival. The risk of major bleeding events was higher in patients with a mechanical in comparison with those with a biologic prosthesis. Younger age (under 60 years) did not protect patients with a mechanical prosthesis against major bleeding events. Conclusions: Very long-term outcome data are invaluable for careful decision-making on aortic valve replacement.

Impact of preoperative nutritional scores on 1-year postoperative mortality in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery

OBJECTIVE

Malnutrition is a well-recognized risk factor for poor prognosis and mortality. We investigated whether preoperative malnutrition diagnosed with objective nutritional scores affects 1-year mortality in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort observational study, we evaluated the association among the Controlling Nutritional Status score, Prognostic Nutritional Index, and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index with 1-year mortality in 1927 patients undergoing valvular heart surgery. We identified factors for mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis and investigated the utility of nutritional scores for risk stratification.

RESULTS

Malnutrition, as identified by a high Controlling Nutritional Status score and low Prognostic Nutritional Index and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, was significantly associated with higher 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that mortality significantly increased as the severity of malnutrition increased (log-rank test, P < .001). The predicted discrimination (C-index) was 0.79 with the Controlling Nutritional Status score, 0.77 with the Prognostic Nutritional Index, and 0.73 with the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index. Each nutritional index (Controlling Nutritional Status; hazard ratio, 1.31, 95% confidence interval, 1.21-1.42, P < .001), the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (hazard ratio, 1.07, 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.09, P < .001), and chronic kidney disease (hazard ratio, 2.26, 95% confidence interval, 1.31-3.90, P = .003) were independent risk factors for mortality. The Controlling Nutritional Status score added to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II significantly increased the predictive discrimination ability for mortality (C-index 0.82, 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.87, P = .014) compared with the Controlling Nutritional Status or European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative malnutrition as assessed by objective nutritional scores was associated with 1-year mortality after valvular heart surgery. The Controlling Nutritional Status score had the highest predictive ability and, when added to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II, provided more accurate risk stratification.

A comparison of sevoflurane versus sevoflurane-propofol combination on renal function in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery-A prospective randomized controlled pilot study

Aim

The objective of the present study was to compare the effect of sevoflurane with the sevoflurane-propofol combination on renal function in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery. The renal protective effect was assessed using a novel marker called neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL).

Materials and Methods

This was a prospective randomized controlled pilot study conducted at a tertiary care center in India. The study enrolled 36 patients undergoing elective valvular heart surgery, but only 31 were included. All the patients were randomized into two groups, that is, 15 in the sevoflurane group (S-group) and 16 in the sevoflurane-propofol group (SP-group). The baseline NGAL level and test NGAL level at 4 h after cardiopulmonary bypass were measured.

Results

There was a significant rise in the test NGAL levels compared to baseline in both the groups. The test NGAL level in the S-group was significantly high compared to that of the SP-group (P = 0.034). The number of patients with acute kidney injury was less in the SP-group without reaching statistical significance (P = 0.210).

Conclusion

Renal function was better preserved in patients anesthetized with a combination of sevoflurane and propofol. This could be due to the enhanced protective effect on renal function by both sevoflurane and propofol.

MAGGIC, STS, and EuroSCORE II Risk Score Comparison After Aortic and Mitral Valve Surgery

OBJECTIVES

To compare the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score with the established Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) and EuroSCORE II risk prediction models regarding mortality discrimination after aortic and mitral valve surgery.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Single tertiary academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 259 patients who underwent open aortic valve replacement or open mitral valve repair/replacement from 2009-2014.

INTERVENTIONS

Retrospective chart review.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

MAGGIC, STS, and EuroSCORE II risk scores for each patient were studied using binary logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis for the primary endpoint of one-year mortality and secondary endpoint of 30-day mortality. One-year mortality C-statistics were similar across risk scores (STS 0.709, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.578-0.841; MAGGIC 0.673, 95% CI 0.547-0.799; EuroSCORE II 0.642, 95% CI 0.521-0.762; p = 0.56 between STS and MAGGIC; p = 0.20 between STS and EuroSCORE II; and p = 0.69 between MAGGIC and EuroSCORE II). Thirty-day mortality C-statistics also were similar between STS (0.797, 95% CI 0.655-0.939; p < 0.0001 v null hypothesis), MAGGIC (0.721, 95% CI 0.581-0.860; p = 0.33 v STS), and EuroSCORE II (0.688, 95% CI 0.557-0.818; p = 0.06 v STS; p = 0.68 v MAGGIC).

CONCLUSIONS

The MAGGIC risk score performs similarly to STS and EuroSCORE II risk models in mortality discrimination after aortic and mitral valve surgery, albeit in a small sample size. This finding has important implications in establishing MAGGIC as a viable prognostic model in this population subset, with fewer variables and ease of use representing key advantages over STS and EuroSCORE II.

Circulating extracellular vesicles from patients with valvular heart disease induce neutrophil chemotaxis via FOXO3a and the inhibiting role of dexmedetomidine

We previously demonstrated that circulating extracellular vesicles (EVs) from patients with valvular heart disease (VHD; vEVs) contain inflammatory components and inhibit endothelium-dependent vasodilation. Neutrophil chemotaxis plays a key role in renal dysfunction, and dexmedetomidine (DEX) can reduce renal dysfunction in cardiac surgery. However, the roles of vEVs in neutrophil chemotaxis and effects of DEX on vEVs are unknown. Here, we investigated the impact of vEVs on neutrophil chemotaxis in kidneys and the influence of DEX on vEVs. Circulating EVs were isolated from healthy subjects and patients with VHD. The effects of EVs on chemokine generation, forkhead box protein O3a (FOXO3a) pathway activation and neutrophil chemotaxis on cultured human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs) and kidneys in mice and the influence of DEX on EVs were detected. vEVs increased FOXO3a expression, decreased phosphorylation of Akt and FOXO3a, promoted FOXO3a nuclear translocation, and activated the FOXO3a signaling pathway in vitro. DEX pretreatment reduced vEV-induced CXCL4 and CCL5 expression and neutrophil chemotaxis in cultured HUVECs via the FOXO3a signaling pathway. vEVs were also found to suppress Akt phosphorylation and activate FOXO3a signaling to increase plasma levels of CXCL4 and CCL5 and neutrophil accumulation in kidney. The overall mechanism was inhibited in vivo with DEX pretreatment. Our data demonstrated that vEVs induced CXCL4-CCL5 to stimulate neutrophil infiltration in kidney, which can be inhibited by DEX via the FOXO3a signaling. Our findings reveal a unique mechanism involving vEVs in inducing neutrophils chemotaxis and may provide a novel basis for using DEX in reducing renal dysfunction in valvular heart surgery.

Chronic progression of cardiac surgery associated acute kidney injury: Intermediary role of acute kidney disease

OBJECTIVE

The association between acute kidney injury (AKI) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains elusive in cardiac surgery. We investigated the association between postoperative AKI and CKD development, emphasizing the intermediary role of acute kidney disease (AKD), in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery.

METHODS

We assessed the occurrence of postoperative AKI (7 days postsurgery), AKD (3 months postsurgery), and CKD (12 months postsurgery) in 1386 patients. The primary outcome was the development of AKD and CKD according to AKI occurrence. Relevant risk factors of AKI, AKD, and CKD were identified through multivariable regression analysis.

RESULTS

AKI occurred in 23.9% of patients with normal preoperative renal function. Even with early recovery of renal function within 3 days, AKI increased the risk of AKD (odds ratio [OR], 3.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.98-5.20, P < .001) and CKD (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.68-4.86, P < .001), whereas persistent AKI further increased the risk of AKD (OR, 12.07; 95% CI, 5.56-26.21, P < .001) and CKD (OR, 10.54; 95% CI, 4.01-27.76, P < .001). We also found these relationships in patients with pre-existing renal dysfunction. Multivariable analysis identified 3-month postoperative heart failure and high right ventricular systolic pressure as independent risk factors for CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Even after early recovery, postvalvular heart surgery AKI was associated with increased risk of CKD via AKD in a graded manner related to AKI severity and persistence. Postoperative cardiac dysfunction assessed 3 months postsurgery also significantly influenced CKD development, indicating a need for close follow-up of cardiac and renal function to improve patient outcomes.

Efficacy of Goal-Directed Therapy Using Bioreactance Cardiac Output Monitoring after Valvular Heart Surgery

PURPOSE

We compared the efficacy of postoperative hemodynamic goal-directed therapy (GDT) using a pulmonary artery catheter (PAC) and bioreactance-based noninvasive cardiac output monitoring (NICOM) in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing valvular heart surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Fifty eight patients were randomized into two groups of GDT with common goals to maintain a mean arterial pressure of 60-80 mm Hg and cardiac index ≥2 L/min/m²: the PAC group (n=29), based on pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, and the NICOM group (n=29), based on changes in stroke volume index after passive leg raising. The primary efficacy variable was length of hospital stay. Secondary efficacy variables included resource utilization including vasopressor and inotropic requirement, fluid balance, and major morbidity endpoints.

RESULTS

Patient characteristics and operative data were similar between the groups, except that significantly more patients underwent double valve replacement in the NICOM group. The lengths of hospital stay were not different between the two groups (12.2±4.8 days vs. 10.8±4.0 days, p=0.239). Numbers of patients requiring epinephrine (5 vs. 0, p=0.019) and ventilator care >24 h (6 vs. 1, p=0.044) were significantly higher in the PAC group. The PAC group also required significantly larger amounts of colloid (1652±519 mL vs. 11430±463 mL, p=0.004).

CONCLUSION

NICOM-based postoperative hemodynamic GDT showed promising results in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing valvular heart surgery in terms of resource utilization.

Intraoperative loading dose of amiodarone for prophylaxis against atrial fibrillation after valvular heart surgery

Objective:

Benefit of amiodarone in restoring sinus rhythm (SR) after cardiac surgery was concluded in previous studies that used different protocols for giving amiodarone. The purpose of this study was to assess the use of single parenteral intraoperative loading dose of amiodarone without maintenance as prophylaxis against atrial fibrillation (AF) after valvular heart surgery.

Materials and Methods:

This was a prospective, randomized, double-blind controlled study on 94 patients listed for valvular heart surgery. The patients received either amiodarone, 3 mg/kg diluted in 100 ml of normal saline and started prior to making skin incision and administrated through venous line over a period of 30 minutes, or the same volume of normal saline infused in a similar fashion. The incidence of AF during the first 5 days after surgery was the main outcome measured.

Results:

There was significant difference in favor of the amiodarone group regarding restoration of sinus rhythm after aortic cross-clamp removal, number of patients requiring cardioversion, incidence of AF and the time elapsed before incidence of it postoperatively (P values=0.02, 0.04, 0.02, 0.02, respectively). There was no difference in hospital mortality, major postoperative morbidity, intensive care unit (ICU) stay or hospital stay.

Conclusions:

Amiodarone prophylaxis in a single intraoperative dose was significantly effective in prevention of new-onset postoperative AF after valvular heart surgery. This amiodarone dose is well tolerated and not associated with postoperative complications.