Validation of the Khorana Score to Assess Venous Thromboembolism and Its Association with Mortality in Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Community-based Observational Experience

Previous Ischemic Stroke Significantly Alters Stroke Risk in Newly Diagnosed Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Previous ischemic stroke (IS) is a risk factor for subsequent IS in the general population; it is unclear if this relationship remains true in patients with cancer. Our objective was to examine the association between previous IS and risk for future IS in individuals newly diagnosed with cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective population-based matched cohort study of newly diagnosed adult cancer patients (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers and primary central nervous system tumors) in Ontario, Canada from 2010 to 2020; those with prior IS were matched (1:4) by age, sex, year of cancer diagnosis, cancer stage, and cancer site to those without a history of stroke. Cumulative incidence function curves were created to estimate the incidence of IS. Subdistribution adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs were calculated, where death was treated as a competing event. Multivariable analysis was adjusted for imbalanced baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

We examined 65 525 individuals with cancer, including 13 070 with a history of IS. The median follow-up duration was 743 days (interquartile range, 177-1729 days). The incidence of IS following cancer diagnosis was 261.3/10 000 person-years in the cohort with prior IS and 75.3/10 000 person-years in those without prior IS. Individuals with prior IS had an increased risk for IS after cancer diagnosis compared with those without a history (aHR, 2.68 [95% CI, 2.41-2.98]); they also had more prevalent cardiovascular risk factors. The highest risk for stroke compared with those without a history of IS was observed in the gynecologic cancer (aHR, 3.84 [95% CI, 2.15-6.85]) and lung cancer (aHR, 3.18 [95% CI, 2.52-4.02]) subgroups. The risk of IS was inversely correlated with lag time of previous stroke; those with IS 1 year before their cancer diagnosis had the highest risk (aHR, 3.68 [95% CI, 3.22-4.22]).

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with newly diagnosed cancer, those with IS history were almost 3× more likely to experience a stroke after cancer diagnosis, especially if the prediagnosis stroke occurred within 1 year preceding cancer diagnosis.

Using the Khorana risk score to predict venous thromboembolism and overall survival in a cohort of Hispanic patients with solid malignancies

Background

The Khorana risk score (KRS) for prognosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been rarely explored in Hispanic populations.

Objective

To determine the value of the KRS for prediction of VTE and overall survival (OS) among Hispanic individuals with cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated all outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours receiving systemic chemotherapy in Hospital San Juan Dios, San José, Costa Rica, from January to December 2021. The 6-month cumulative VTE incidence according to the KRS categories was estimated using the Fine & Gray competing risk model. A Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare OS among KRS categories. The Cox regression analysis was performed to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to identify the optimal cutoff value to predict VTE during follow-up.

Results

A total of 708 patients were included in the analysis. After a median follow-up of 8.13 months, the cumulative incidence of VTE at 6 months was 1.56% (95% CI: 0.83%-6.82%), 4.83% (95% CI: 2.81%-7.66%) and 8.84% (95% CI: 4.30%-15.42%) for low-, intermediate- and high-risk Khorana score categories, respectively (Gray's p value: 0.0178). The optimal cutoff for the KRS to predict VTE was 2 (area under the ROC curve: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.55-0.756). The KRS was independently associated with overall mortality (HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.46-2.29; p < 0.001, for the comparison of 'high-risk' and 'low-risk' KRS).

Conclusions

The KRS is a valid tool to predict VTE and mortality in a cohort of Hispanic outpatients with newly diagnosed solid tumours.

Frequency and risk factors for thrombosis in acute myeloid leukemia and high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes treated with intensive chemotherapy: a two centers observational study

The frequency of thrombosis in AML has been evaluated only in a few studies and no validated predictive model is currently available. Recently, DIC score was shown to identify patients at higher thrombotic risk. We aimed to evaluate the frequency of thromboembolism in AML patients treated with intensive chemotherapy and to assess the ability of genetic and clinical factors to predict the thrombotic risk. We performed a retrospective observational study including 222 newly diagnosed adult AML (210) and high-risk MDS (12), treated with intensive chemotherapy between January 2013 and February 2020. With a median follow-up of 44 months, we observed 50 thrombotic events (90% were venous, VTE). The prevalence of thrombosis was 22.1% and the 6-months cumulative incidence of thrombosis was 10%. The median time to thrombosis was 84 days and 52% of the events occurred within 100 days from AML diagnosis. Khorana and DIC score failed to stratify patients according to their thrombotic risk. Only history of a thrombotic event (p = 0.043), particularly VTE (p = 0.0053), platelet count above 100 × 10⁹/L at diagnosis (p = 0.036) and active smoking (p = 0.025) significantly and independently increased the risk of thrombosis, the latter particularly of arterial events. AML genetic profile did not affect thrombosis occurrence. Results were confirmed considering only thromboses occurring within day 100 from diagnosis. DIC score at diagnosis, but not thrombosis, was independently associated with reduced survival (p = 0.004). Previous VTE, platelet count above 100 × 10⁹/L and active smoking were the only factors associate with increased thrombotic risk in AML patients treated intensively, but further studies are needed to validate these results.

Validation of the Khorana Score to Assess Venous Thromboembolism and Its Association with Mortality in Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Community-based Observational Experience

INTRODUCTION

Khorana score (KS) stratifies patients into low, intermediate, and high risk groups for venous thromboembolism (VTE). We examined the generalizability of the KS to risk of VTE and association with mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted at Mount Auburn Hospital, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Patients aged 18 years or older undergoing chemotherapy were included. All patients were evaluated for a six-month period. Primary study endpoints were VTE or mortality.

RESULTS

Some 277 participants were included with a mean age of 63.95 (standard deviation, SD ± 12.47). The incidence proportion was 6.13% and a total of 17 VTE events were reported over a 2.5-year period. Compared to those with a low KS (0), those with a high KS (3 or above) had 6.4 times (p=0.032) while with an intermediate KS (1-2) had 2.6 times the odds of having a VTE event (p=0.22). Those who had a VTE had 4.03 times the odds of death compared to those who did not have a VTE (p=0.006). Compared to those with a low KS, those with a high KS had 5.7 times (p=0.02) the odds of six-month mortality and 5.04 odds (p=0.001) of mortality at any time.

CONCLUSION

High KS was associated with increased odds of VTE and mortality in our study.