Abstract
BACKGROUND
Surveillance colonoscopy has been shown to be an effective tool for prevention of CRC in high-risk populations, if adhered to. We aimed to discover the sequelae of late surveillance in a cohort of patient's overdue for colonoscopy, in particular the development of colorectal cancer (CRC) or advanced adenoma (AA) within surveillance subgroups.
METHOD
We conducted a retrospective cohort study on all patients from the Bay of Plenty District Health Board region, New Zealand, placed on the colonoscopy surveillance waitlist from 2006 onwards who had their procedure completed between 1 November 2016 and 31 January 2018, when the total surveillance list was declared up-to-date. Patients with overdue surveillance, defined as done later than 90 days after the recommended due date were compared to patients who were done either early, or on time.
RESULTS
786 patients were recorded as overdue for surveillance colonoscopy, and 386 were completed early or on time. The median time overdue was 22 months. Three cases (0.4%) of CRC were found in overdue patients compared to 4 cases (1%) for those done on time (adjusted p=0.24). There were 86 (11%) AA in patient's overdue compared to 27 (7%) in those not overdue (odds ratio (OR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.0,2.5], p=0.04). Overdue status increased the expected risk of AA by approximately 60% (adjusted; 95% CI [1%,253%], p=0.04) or 19% per year overdue (95% CI [7%,32%], p=0.002). Surveillance of 248 low-risk post-polypectomy patients demonstrated 26/211 with AA in overdue patients compared to 2/37 (12.3% vs 5.4%, unadjusted p=0.23) for those done on time. Surveillance of 180 high-risk post-polypectomy patients identified 2 CRC's and 8/43 AA in those overdue, as compared to no CRC and 9/137 AA (18.6% vs 6.6%, OR 1.79 (95% CI [1.07,2.0], unadjusted p=0.03) in those done on time.
CONCLUSION
Whilst overdue surveillance is not predictive of increased CRC, it is associated with an increase in expected number of AA, particularly in patients having surveillance for previous high-risk polypectomy. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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