Estimated glomerular filtration rate and the risk of stroke in individuals with diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation insight from a large contemporary population study

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased risk of embolic complications in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Impaired renal function (IRF) increases the risk of stroke as well, but this finding is not consistent among all studies. Our aim was to assess the incidence rates and risk of ischemic stroke and mortality by baseline Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) levels Among individuals with AF and DM.

METHODS

A prospective, historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services electronic medical records database. Among patients with AF and DM, we compared three groups according to eGFR levels: eGFR ≥ 60, between 30 and 60, and ≤ 30 (mL/min/1.73m2).

RESULTS

A total of 17,567 cases were included in the final analysis; of them, 11,013 (62.7%) had eGFR ≥ 60, 4930 (28%) had eGFR between 30 and 60, and 1624 (9.24%) with eGFR ≤ 30. The incidence of stroke per 100 person-years in the three study groups was: 1.88, 2.69, and 3.34, respectively (p < 0.001). IRF was associated with increased risk of stroke in univariate analysis, but not after multivariate adjustment (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) 0.96 {95%CI; 0.74-1.25} for eGFR 30-60 and 0.96 {95%CI; 0.60-1.55} for eGFR ≤ 30). Mortality per 100 person-years was 10.78, 21.49, and 41.55, respectively (p < 0.001). IRF was associated with increased mortality risk in univariate analysis, as well as in multivariate analysis (AHR 1.08 {95%CI; 0.98-1.18} for eGFR 30-60, and 1.59 {95%CI; 1.37-1.85} for eGFR ≤ 30.

CONCLUSION

In patients with NVAF and DM, IRF was not associated with an increased risk of stroke, but severe IRF (eGFR ≤ 30) was associated with increased mortality risk.

Relation of Hemoglobin A1C Levels to Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Mortality in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus and Atrial Fibrillation

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased risk of complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to assess the incidence and risks of ischemic stroke and mortality according to baseline HbA1c levels in patients with DM and AF. We conducted a cohort study using Clalit Health Services electronic medical records. The study population included all Clalit Health Services members aged ≥25 years, with the first diagnosis of AF between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016, who had a diagnosis of DM. The risk of stroke and all-cause death were compared according to HbA1c levels at the time of AF diagnosis: <7.0%, between 7% and 9%, and ≥9%. A total of 44,451 patients with DM and AF were identified. The median age was 75 years (interquartile 65 to 83), and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow-up of 38 months, higher levels of HbA1c were associated with an increased risk of stroke with a dose-dependent response when compared with patients with HbA1c <7% (Adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] =1.30 [95% confidence interval 1.10 to 2.05] for levels between 7% and 9% and 1.60 (95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.03) for HbA1c >9%, even after adjusting for CHA₂DS₂-Vasc risk factors and use of oral anticoagulants. The risk for overall mortality was significantly higher in the HBA1C >9% group (aHR = 1.17 [1.07 to 1.28]). In conclusion, in this cohort of patients with AF and DM, HbA1c levels were associated with the risk of stroke in a dose-dependent manner even after accounting for other recognized risk factors for stroke.

Association of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone Inhibitors with COVID-19 Infection and Disease Severity among Individuals with Hypertension

BACKGROUND

The association between use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone (RAAS) inhibitors and both SARS-CoV-2 infection and the development of severe COVID-19 has been presented in the recent medical literature with inconsistent results.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the association between RAAS inhibitor use and two outcomes: infection with SARS-CoV-2 (Model 1) and severe COVID-19 among those infected (Model 2).

METHODS

We accessed used electronic health records of individuals from Israel who were receiving anti-hypertensive medications for this retrospective study. For Model 1 we used a case-control design. For Model 2 we used a cohort design. In both models, inverse probability weighting adjusted for identified confounders as part of doubly robust outcome regression.

RESULTS

We tested 38,554 individuals for SARS-CoV-2 who had hypertension and were being treated with medication; 691 had a positive test result. Among those with a positive test, 119 developed severe illness. There was no association between RAAS inhibitor use and a positive test. Use of RAAS inhibitors was associated with a decreased risk for severe COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.29-0.77) compared with users of non-RAAS anti-hypertensive medication. The association remained significant when use of angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (adjusted OR 0.46, 95%CI 0.27-0.77) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (adjusted OR 0.39, 95%CI 0.16-0.95) were analyzed separately.

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with hypertension using RAAS inhibitors, we found a lower risk of severe disease compared to those using non-RAAS anti-hypertensive medications. This finding suggests that RAAS inhibitors may have a protective effect on COVID-19 severity among individuals with medically treated hypertension.

Adding a First Metatarsal Pin to An Ankle Tubular External Fixator Does Not Reduce the Incidence of Early Reduction Loss

External fixation with a bilateral frame configuration (delta frame, DF) is a routine approach for treating ankle fractures and dislocations with severe soft tissue damage. The purpose of this study was to evaluate to what extent adding a first metatarsal fixation contributes to the stability of the fixation as evidenced by reduced frequency of early loss of reduction. A retrospective study was performed to compare the rate of early reduction loss in patients treated with a bilateral frame external fixation as part of a 2-stage treatment protocol for periarticular ankle fractures, in a level one trauma center between 2006 and 2016. The cohort was divided into 2 groups according to the frame configuration that had been used: DF only and DF with first metatarsal fixation (DF+1MT). A multivariate analysis assessing risk factors for postoperative loss of reduction was conducted. A total of 67 patients were included in the study, of which 30 underwent fixation by DF and 37 by DF+1MT. Early loss of reduction was recorded in 13 (19.4%) patients, 6 (20%) in the DF group and 7 (18.9%) in the DF+1MT group (p = .576). None of the assessed risk factors reached statistical significance. To conclude, the addition of a first metatarsal pin as an enhancement of external fixation with a delta frame configuration did not reduce the incidence of early loss of reduction. There is no evidence to support the claim that adding this pin contributes to the stability of the fixation in a clinically relevant manner.

Pre-Diabetes Increases Stroke Risk in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) increases the risk of embolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The association between pre-diabetes and risk of ischemic stroke has not been studied separately in this population.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether pre-diabetes is associated with increased risk of stroke and death in patients with NVAF.

METHODS

We conducted a historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services electronic medical records. The study population included all members aged ≥25 years, with a first diagnosis of NVAF between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016. We compared 3 groups of individuals: those with pre-diabetes, those with diabetes, and normoglycemic patients.

RESULTS

A total of 44,451 cases were identified. The median age was 75 years, and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow-up of 38 months, the incidence rates of stroke (per 100 person-years) were: 1.14 in normoglycemic individuals, 1.40 in those with pre-diabetes, and 2.15 in those with diabetes. In both univariate and multivariate analyses, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with normoglycemic persons (adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR]: 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 to 1.4) even after adjustment for CHA₂DS₂-Vasc risk factors and use of anticoagulants, while diabetes conferred an even higher risk (vs. normoglycemia (adjHR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.37 to 1.79). The risk for mortality was higher for individuals with diabetes (adjHR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.41 to 1.54) but not for those with pre-diabetes (adjHR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.92 to 1.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of patients with incident NVAF, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke even after accounting for other recognized risk factors.

It's how you say it: Systematic A/B testing of digital messaging cut hospital no-show rates

Failure to attend hospital appointments has a detrimental impact on care quality. Documented efforts to address this challenge have only modestly decreased no-show rates. Behavioral economics theory has suggested that more effective messages may lead to increased responsiveness. In complex, real-world settings, it has proven difficult to predict the optimal message composition. In this study, we aimed to systematically compare the effects of several pre-appointment message formats on no-show rates. We randomly assigned members from Clalit Health Services (CHS), the largest payer-provider healthcare organization in Israel, who had scheduled outpatient clinic appointments in 14 CHS hospitals, to one of nine groups. Each individual received a pre-appointment SMS text reminder five days before the appointment, which differed by group. No-show and advanced cancellation rates were compared between the eight alternative messages, with the previously used generic message serving as the control. There were 161,587 CHS members who received pre-appointment reminder messages who were included in this study. Five message frames significantly differed from the control group. Members who received a reminder designed to evoke emotional guilt had a no-show rates of 14.2%, compared with 21.1% in the control group (odds ratio [OR]: 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67, 0.76), and an advanced cancellation rate of 26.3% compared with 17.2% in the control group (OR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.19, 1.21). Four additional reminder formats demonstrated significantly improved impact on no-show rates, compared to the control, though not as effective as the best performing message format. Carefully selecting the narrative of pre-appointment SMS reminders can lead to a marked decrease in no-show rates. The process of a/b testing, selecting, and adopting optimal messages is a practical example of implementing the learning healthcare system paradigm, which could prevent up to one-third of the 352,000 annually unattended appointments in Israel.

Mortality After Complex Displaced Proximal Humerus Fractures in Elderly Patients: Conservative Versus Operative Treatment With Reverse Total Shoulder Arthroplasty

Introduction

Proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) are a common fragility fracture and have been shown to increase mortality in elderly patients. In the last decade, reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) was introduced as a reliable operative treatment option for this indication. In other fragility fractures, most notably hip fractures, urgent surgical treatment can reduce mortality. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether treatment with RTSA can reduce 1-year mortality in elderly patients with complex displaced PHFs.

Materials and Methods

A retrospective study was performed to compare 1-year mortality between 2 groups of elderly patients (>75 years old) who presented to a level 1 trauma center emergency department with complex displaced PHFs. The conservative treatment group (n = 83; mean age, 83.7 years) presented from 2008 to 2010 when RTSA was not yet available, and treatment was nonoperative. The surgical treatment group (n = 62; mean age, 82.2 years) presented from 2012 to 2015 and underwent RTSA.

Results

One-year mortality was 8.1% (male 7.1%; female 8.3%) in the surgical treatment group and 10.8% (male 18.8%; female 9.0%) in the conservative treatment group. The reduction in mortality in the surgical treatment group was not significant (entire cohort P = .56; males P = .35; females P = .59).

Discussion

Recent studies failed to show better functional results after surgical treatment with RTSA when compared to conservative treatment. This study suggests that a benefit of surgical treatment with RTSA that was not examined until now might exist-a reduction in the increased mortality risk associated with PHFs.

Conclusions

There was no significant difference in 1-year mortality between the groups, although there was a trend showing lower mortality with RTSA, mostly in men. Further studies with larger populations and longer follow-up times are needed to determine whether this trend is of clinical significance.