Subpopulations of children with multiple chronic health outcomes in relation to chemical exposures in the ECHO-PATHWAYS consortium

A multimorbidity-focused approach may reflect common etiologic mechanisms and lead to better targeting of etiologic agents for broadly impactful public health interventions. Our aim was to identify clusters of chronic obesity-related, neurodevelopmental, and respiratory outcomes in children, and to examine associations between cluster membership and widely prevalent chemical exposures to demonstrate our epidemiologic approach. Early to middle childhood outcome data collected 2011-2022 for 1092 children were harmonized across the ECHO-PATHWAYS consortium of 3 prospective pregnancy cohorts in six U.S. cities. 15 outcomes included age 4-9 BMI, cognitive and behavioral assessment scores, speech problems, and learning disabilities, asthma, wheeze, and rhinitis. To form generalizable clusters across study sites, we performed k-means clustering on scaled residuals of each variable regressed on study site. Outcomes and demographic variables were summarized between resulting clusters. Logistic weighted quantile sum regressions with permutation test p-values associated odds of cluster membership with a mixture of 15 prenatal urinary phthalate metabolites in full-sample and sex-stratified models. Three clusters emerged, including a healthier Cluster 1 (n = 734) with low morbidity across outcomes; Cluster 2 (n = 192) with low IQ and higher levels of all outcomes, especially 0.4-1.8-standard deviation higher mean neurobehavioral outcomes; and Cluster 3 (n = 179) with the highest asthma (92 %), wheeze (53 %), and rhinitis (57 %) frequencies. We observed a significant positive, male-specific stratified association (odds ratio = 1.6; p = 0.01) between a phthalate mixture with high weights for MEP and MHPP and odds of membership in Cluster 3 versus Cluster 1. These results identified subpopulations of children with co-occurring elevated levels of BMI, neurodevelopmental, and respiratory outcomes that may reflect shared etiologic pathways. The observed association between phthalates and respiratory outcome cluster membership could inform policy efforts towards children with respiratory disease. Similar cluster-based epidemiology may identify environmental factors that impact multi-outcome prevalence and efficiently direct public policy efforts.

Gallbladder Disease and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Postmenopausal Women: A Women's Health Initiative Study

Studies have suggested that adults with gallbladder disease have increased risk of type 2 diabetes. This prospective cohort study assessed the risk of type 2 diabetes in postmenopausal women with gallbladder disease. Data from women enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative from 1993 to 2005, aged 50-79 years (mean = 63.2; standard deviation, 7.2), were analyzed. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the risk of type 2 diabetes associated with gallbladder disease. There were 8,896 new cases of type 2 diabetes after 1,025,486 person-years of follow-up. Gallbladder disease was significantly associated with type 2 diabetes (hazard ratio = 1.52; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38,1.67). The observed risk of type 2 diabetes in women with both gallbladder disease and central obesity was 37% higher than expected (relative excess risk due to interaction = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.11,0.63) on the additive scale. The hazard ratios for type 2 diabetes associated with gallbladder disease were 1.25 (95% CI: 1.19,1.32) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.34,1.63) in women with and without central obesity, respectively, on the multiplicative scale. Results of this study support further studies to determine whether interventions in older women with gallbladder disease would reduce type 2 diabetes risk, especially among those with central obesity. Future research should examine the pathophysiological basis of the association between gallbladder disease and type 2 diabetes.