Surveillance MRI is associated with improved survival in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

BACKGROUND

The benefits of regular surveillance imaging for cholangiocarcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are unclear. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the impact of regular magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) on outcomes of patients with PSC in Australia, where the practice of MRCP surveillance is variable.

METHODS

The relationship between MRCP surveillance and survival outcomes was assessed in a multicenter, retrospective cohort of patients with PSC from 9 tertiary liver centers in Australia. An inverse probability of treatment weighting approach was used to balance groups across potentially confounding covariates.

RESULTS

A total of 298 patients with PSC with 2117 person-years of follow-up were included. Two hundred and twenty patients (73.8%) had undergone MRCP surveillance. Regular surveillance was associated with a 71% reduced risk of death on multivariate weighted Cox analysis (HR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.14-0.59, p < 0.001) and increased likelihood of having earlier endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography from the date of PSC diagnosis in patients with a dominant stricture (p < 0.001). However, survival posthepatobiliary cancer diagnosis was not significantly different between both groups (p = 0.74). Patients who had surveillance of less than 1 scan a year (n = 41) had comparable survival (HR: 0.46, 95% CI 0.16-1.35, p = 0.16) compared to patients who had surveillance at least yearly (n = 172).

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter cohort study that employed inverse probability of treatment weighting to minimize selection bias, regular MRCP was associated with improved overall survival in patients with PSC; however, there was no difference in survival after hepatobiliary cancer diagnosis. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm the benefits of regular MRCP and optimal imaging interval in patients with PSC.

People in community corrections are a population with unmet need for viral hepatitis care

To reach World Health Organization elimination targets for hepatitis C, different strategies are needed to reach people who have not yet been diagnosed and treated. In the context of declining treatment initiation rates, innovation in service design and delivery is necessary: testing and treatment needs to be offered to people in non-traditional settings. The community corrections (probation and parole) population is larger than the prison population, which has high prevalence of hepatitis C and-in some countries-established diagnosis and treatment programs. In this Viewpoint we identify a gap in hepatitis C care for people under community correctional supervision, a group who have either never been imprisoned or need continuity of healthcare provided in prison. We propose that offering hepatitis C screening and treatment would benefit this population, and accelerate progress to hepatitis C elimination.

Risk factors for malignancy and serious infection in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of malignancy and infection compared to the general population.

AIMS

We aim to identify risk factors for malignancy or serious infection in our IBD cohort.

METHODS

Patients with IBD from a single tertiary referral centre were included. Demographic and clinical details, including immunosuppressant exposure, were collected and medical records retrospectively screened for adverse events, including malignancy or infection requiring hospitalisation. Logistic regression was used to evaluate risk factors for adverse events.

RESULTS

Five hundred and forty-nine patients with IBD (340 Crohn disease (CD) and 209 ulcerative colitis (UC)) were studied. Forty-eight malignancies, including 39 (81.3%) non-melanoma skin cancers, 3 (6.3%) haematologic malignancies and 6 (15.4%) solid-organ malignancies, were identified, and 92 cases of serious infection were detected. IBD duration (odds ratio (OR) = 1.08; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03-1.13) and ileocolonic CD (OR = 4.96; 95% CI = 1.13-21.71) were associated with increased odds of overall cancer. Compared with patients not previously exposed to the given class of immunosuppression assessed, the development of overall malignancy was not higher with thiopurine exposure (OR = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.50-2.24) or anti-tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) exposure (OR = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.37-1.64). Similarly, compared with patients not exposed, infection risk was not affected by thiopurine (OR = 0.74; 95% CI = 0.46-1.20) or anti-TNF exposure (OR = 0.60; 95% CI = 0.38-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Factors including ileocolonic CD and increasing IBD duration were associated with higher malignancy risk in this cohort. Compared with non-exposure, patients exposed to thiopurines were not at increased risk of malignancy or serious infection. Similarly, patients exposed to anti-TNF treatment did not experience increased rates of malignancy or serious infection compared to patients not exposed to this treatment.

Point-of-care HCV RNA testing improves hepatitis C testing rates and allows rapid treatment initiation among people who inject drugs attending a medically supervised injecting facility

BACKGROUND

To achieve hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination targets, simplified care engaging people who inject drugs is required. We evaluated whether fingerstick HCV RNA point-of-care testing (PoCT) increased the proportion of clients attending a supervised injecting facility who were tested for hepatitis C.

METHODS

Prospective single-arm study with recruitment between 9 November 2020 and 28 January 2021 and follow-up to 31 July 2021. Clients attending the supervised injecting facility were offered HCV RNA testing using the Xpert® HCV Viral Load Fingerstick (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA) PoCT. Participants with a positive HCV RNA test were prescribed direct acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. The primary endpoint was the proportion of clients who engaged in HCV RNA PoCT, compared to a historical comparator group when venepuncture-based hepatitis C testing was standard of care.

RESULTS

Among 1618 clients who attended the supervised injecting facility during the study period, 228 (14%) engaged in PoCT. This was significantly higher than that observed in the historical comparator group (61/1,775, 3%; p < 0.001). Sixty-five (28%) participants were HCV RNA positive, with 40/65 (62%) receiving their result on the same day as testing. Sixty-one (94%) HCV RNA positive participants were commenced on DAA therapy; 14/61 (23%) started treatment on the same day as diagnosis. There was no difference in the proportion of HCV RNA positive participants commenced on treatment with DAA therapy when compared to the historical comparator group (61/65, 94% vs 22/26, 85%; p = 0.153). However, the median time to treatment initiation was significantly shorter in the PoCT cohort (2 days (IQR 1-20) vs 41 days (IQR 22-76), p < 0.001). Among participants who commenced treatment and had complete follow-up data available, 27/36 (75%) achieved hepatitis C cure.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV RNA PoCT led to a significantly higher proportion of clients attending a supervised injecting facility engaging in hepatitis C testing, whilst also reducing the time to treatment initiation.

Injecting drug use and hepatitis C virus infection independently increase biomarkers of inflammatory disease risk which are incompletely restored by curative direct-acting antiviral therapy

Background

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are more prevalent in people who inject drugs (PWID) who often experience additional health risks. HCV induces inflammation and immune alterations that contribute to hepatic and non-hepatic morbidities. It remains unclear whether curative direct acting antiviral (DAA) therapy completely reverses immune alterations in PWID.

Methods

Plasma biomarkers of immune activation associated with chronic disease risk were measured in HCV-seronegative (n=24) and HCV RNA+ (n=32) PWID at baseline and longitudinally after DAA therapy. Adjusted generalised estimating equations were used to assess longitudinal changes in biomarker levels. Comparisons between community controls (n=29) and HCV-seronegative PWID were made using adjusted multiple regression modelling.

Results

HCV-seronegative PWID exhibited significantly increased levels of inflammatory biomarkers including soluble (s) TNF-RII, IL-6, sCD14 and sCD163 and the diabetes index HbA1c as compared to community controls. CXCL10, sTNF-RII, vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 and lipopolysaccharide binding protein (LBP) were additionally elevated in PWID with viremic HCV infection as compared to HCV- PWID. Whilst curative DAA therapy reversed some biomarkers, others including LBP and sTNF-RII remained elevated 48 weeks after HCV cure.

Conclusion

Elevated levels of inflammatory and chronic disease biomarkers in PWID suggest an increased risk of chronic morbidities such as diabetes and cardiovascular disease. HCV infection in PWID poses an additional disease burden, amplified by the incomplete reversal of immune dysfunction following DAA therapy. These findings highlight the need for heightened clinical surveillance of PWID for chronic inflammatory diseases, particularly those with a history of HCV infection.

International Systematic Review of Utility Values Associated with Cardiovascular Disease and Reflections on Selecting Evidence for a UK Decision-Analytic Model

PURPOSE

Evaluating interventions for cardiovascular disease (CVD) requires estimates of its effect on utility. We aimed to 1) systematically review utility estimates for CVDs published since 2013 and 2) critically appraise UK-relevant estimates and calculate corresponding baseline utility multipliers.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase (April 22, 2021) using CVD and utility terms. We screened results for primary studies reporting utility distributions for people with experience of heart failure, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, stable angina, stroke, transient ischemic attack, or unstable angina. We extracted characteristics from studies included. For UK estimates based on the EuroQoL 5-dimension (EQ-5D) measure, we assessed risk of bias and applicability to a decision-analytic model, pooled arms/time points as appropriate, and estimated baseline utility multipliers using predicted utility for age- and sex- matched populations without CVD. We sought utility sources from directly applicable studies with low risk of bias, prioritizing plausibility of severity ordering in our base-case model and highest population ascertainment in a sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Most of the 403 studies identified used EQ-5D (n = 217) and most assessed Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development populations (n = 262), although measures and countries varied widely. UK studies using EQ-5D (n = 29) produced very heterogeneous baseline utility multipliers for each type of CVD, precluding meta-analysis and implying different possible severity orderings. We could find sources that provided a plausible ordering of utilities while adequately representing health states.

CONCLUSIONS

We cataloged international CVD utility estimates and calculated UK-relevant baseline utility multipliers. Modelers should consider unreported sources of heterogeneity, such as population differences, when selecting utility evidence from reviews.

HIGHLIGHTS

Published systematic reviews have summarized estimates of utility associated with cardiovascular disease published up to 2013.We 1) reviewed utility estimates for 7 types of cardiovascular disease published since 2013, 2) critically appraised UK-relevant studies, and 3) estimated the effect of each cardiovascular disease on baseline utility.Our review 1) recommends a consistent and reliable set of baseline utility multipliers for 7 types of cardiovascular disease and 2) provides systematically identified reference information for researchers seeking utility evidence for their own context.

Improved Survival Outcomes with Surgical Resection Compared to Ablative Therapy in Early-Stage HCC: A Large, Real-World, Propensity-Matched, Multi-Centre, Australian Cohort Study

The optimal treatment approach in very-early and early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not precisely defined, and there is ambiguity in the literature around the comparative efficacy of surgical resection versus ablation as curative therapies for limited disease. We performed this real-world propensity-matched, multi-centre cohort study to assess for differences in survival outcomes between those undergoing resection and those receiving ablation. Patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) 0/A HCC first diagnosed between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020 who received ablation or resection as initial treatment were included in the study. A total of 450 patients were included in the study from 10 major liver centres including two transplant centres. Following propensity score matching using key covariates, 156 patients were available for analysis with 78 in each group. Patients who underwent resection had significantly improved overall survival (log-rank test p = 0.023) and local recurrence-free survival (log rank test p = 0.027) compared to those who received ablation. Based on real-world data, our study supports the use of surgical resection in preference to ablation as first-line curative therapy in appropriately selected BCLC 0/A HCC patients.

First-in-human randomized study of RNAi therapeutic RG6346 for chronic hepatitis B virus infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

RG6346 is an N-acetyl-D-galactosamine (GalNAc)-conjugated, double-stranded RNA interference agent targeting the HBV genome S-region. We investigated the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of RG6346 in healthy volunteers and patients with chronic HBV infection (CHB).

METHODS

This first-in-human, adaptive, randomized, double-blinded, phase I study recruited three groups of participants: Group A, 30 healthy volunteers received single-dose RG6346 at 0.1, 1.5, 3.0, 6.0, or 12.0 mg/kg, or placebo; Group B, nucleos(t)ide analogue-naïve participants with CHB received single-dose RG6346 at 3.0 mg/kg (n = 6) or placebo (n = 3); Group C, participants with nucleos(t)ide-suppressed CHB received four doses (every 28 days) of RG6346 at 1.5, 3.0, or 6.0 mg/kg (n = 4 in each cohort) or placebo (n = 6).

RESULTS

RG6346 treatment for up to 4 months was safe and well tolerated. The most common adverse event was a mild injection site reaction. Several nucleos(t)ide-naïve participants exhibited self-resolving transaminase elevations with preserved liver function. By the end of RG6346 treatment in Group C (Day 112), the mean reduction from baseline in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) was 1.39, 1.80, and 1.64 log10 IU/ml in the 1.5, 3.0, and 6.0 mg/kg cohorts, respectively. Of the 12 participants in Group C, 11 (91.7%) achieved a ≥1 log10 IU/ml reduction in HBsAg (3 of 11 [27.3%] had the response sustained at conditional follow-up Day 448). No dose-response relationship was apparent between RG6346 and serum HBsAg levels. The RG6346-induced HBsAg response was independent of hepatitis B e antigen status. Moderate-to-marked sustained reductions of hepatitis B core-related antigen, HBV RNA, HBV DNA (in nucleos[t]ide analogue-naïve participants), and hepatitis B e antigen levels were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

These favorable safety and pharmacodynamic data support the clinical development of RG6346 as the backbone of a finite antiviral treatment regimen, with the goal of sustained HBsAg loss (functional cure) in patients with CHB.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03772249.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Currently available therapies for chronic HBV infection are associated with low rates of functional cure and new, more efficacious treatments are needed. This first-in-human study of RG6346, an RNA interference therapy, showed a favorable safety profile as well as marked and durable reductions in hepatitis B surface antigen levels. These results support the continued development of RG6346 as the backbone of a finite treatment regimen targeting high functional cure rates and are important for HBV researchers and physicians.

Location and appearance of dysplastic Barrett's esophagus recurrence after endoscopic eradication therapy: no additional yield from random biopsy sampling neosquamous mucosa

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Surveillance after complete remission of intestinal metaplasia (CRIM) is essential. Current recommendations are to sample visible lesions first, followed by random 4-quadrant biopsy sampling of the original Barrett's esophagus (BE) length. To inform post-CRIM surveillance protocols, we aimed to identify the anatomic location, appearance, and histology of BE recurrences.

METHODS

We performed an analysis of 216 patients who achieved CRIM after endoscopic eradication therapy for dysplastic BE at a Barrett's Referral Unit between 2008 and 2021. The anatomic location, recurrence histology, and endoscopic appearance of dysplastic recurrences were evaluated.

RESULTS

After a median of 5.5 years (interquartile range, 2.9-7.2) of follow-up after CRIM, 57 patients (26.4%) developed nondysplastic BE (NDBE) recurrence and 18 patients (8.3%) developed dysplastic recurrence. From 8158 routine surveillance biopsy samplings of normal-appearing tubular esophageal neosquamous epithelium, the yield for recurrent NDBE or dysplasia was 0%. One hundred percent of dysplastic tubular esophageal recurrences were visible and in BE islands, whereas 77.8% of gastroesophageal junction dysplastic recurrences were nonvisible. Four distinct endoscopic features suspicious for recurrent advanced dysplasia or neoplasia were identified: buried or subsquamous BE, irregular mucosal pattern, loss of vascular pattern, and nodularity or depression.

CONCLUSIONS

The yield of routine surveillance biopsy sampling of normal-appearing tubular esophageal neosquamous epithelium was zero. BE islands with indistinct mucosal or loss of vascular pattern, nodularity or depression, and/or signs of buried BE should raise clinician suspicion for advanced dysplasia or neoplasia recurrence. We suggest a new surveillance biopsy sampling protocol with a focus on meticulous inspection, followed by targeted biopsy sampling of visible lesions and random 4-quadrant biopsy sampling of the gastroesophageal junction.

Baseline serum HBV RNA is associated with the risk of hepatitis flare after stopping nucleoside analog therapy in HBeAg-negative participants

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HBV RNA in peripheral blood reflects HBV cccDNA transcriptional activity and may predict clinical outcomes. The prospective Melbourne HBV-STOP trial studied nucleot(s)ide analog discontinuation in HBeAg-negative non-cirrhotic participants with long-term virological suppression. Ninety-six weeks after stopping treatment, the proportion of participants with virological relapse (HBV DNA > 2000 IU/mL), biochemical relapse (ALT > 2 × ULN and HBV DNA > 2000 IU/mL), or hepatitis flare (ALT > 5 × ULN and HBV DNA > 2000 IU/mL) was 89%, 58%, and 38%, respectively. We evaluated the ability of serum HBV RNA levels to predict these outcomes.

APPROACH RESULTS

HBV RNA levels were measured using the Roche cobas 6800/8800 HBV RNA Investigational Assay. Sixty-five participants had baseline and longitudinal off-treatment specimens available for RNA testing. HBV RNA was detectable at baseline in 25% of participants and was associated with a higher risk of biochemical relapse (81% vs. 51%, p value 0.04) and hepatitis flare (63% vs. 31%, p value 0.04). Participants who had undetectable serum HBV RNA as well as HBsAg ≤ 100 IU/mL at baseline were less likely to experience virological relapse (4 of 9, 44%) than participants with detectable HBV RNA and HBsAg level > 100 IU/mL (15/15, 100%; p value 0.0009). Off-treatment levels of HBV RNA were correlated with HBV DNA and were associated with the risk of hepatitis flare.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum HBV RNA may be a useful biomarker for guiding clinical decision-making before stopping nucleot(s)ide analog therapy. Baseline HBV RNA and HBsAg levels are associated with the risk of clinical relapse, hepatitis flare, and disease remission off-treatment.

Direct percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy for nutritional support in patients with aerodigestive tract cancers

BACKGROUND

Conventional pull-through percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) risks infection and tumour implantation in head and neck cancers. Endoscopically inserted direct gastrostomy has lower rates of complications but is underutilised.

AIMS

To describe the endoscopic steps for direct gastrostomy insertion and review our single-centre experience to assess the technical feasibility and safety.

METHODS

Patients who underwent endoscopic direct gastrostomy insertion between December 2016 and June 2021 were included. A 24Fr introducer kit for gastrostomy feeding tube (Avanos Healthcare, Australia) was used. Patient and tumour characteristics, procedural data and 30-day outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS

Thirty patients underwent direct PEG insertion (mean age 64 years and 24 male). All were planned for or currently undergoing radiotherapy. Twenty-six (87%) of 30 cases were performed under conscious sedation over a median procedure time of 21 min (interquartile range 11 min). No tumour seeding was seen, and one case of PEG-site infection was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Direct PEG is safe and effective and should be considered for patients with aerodigestive tract cancer in need of nutritional support.

Sensitivity and Specificity of Different Prognostic Systems in Guiding Surveillance for Metastases in Uveal Melanoma

Uveal melanoma (UM) metastasises in ~50% of patients, most frequently to the liver. Surveillance imaging can provide early detection of hepatic metastases; however, guidance regarding UM patient risk stratification for surveillance is unclear. This study compared sensitivity and specificity of four current prognostic systems, when used for risk stratification for surveillance, on patients treated at the Liverpool Ocular Oncology Centre (LOOC) between 2007-2016 (n = 1047). It found that the Liverpool Uveal Melanoma Prognosticator Online III (LUMPOIII) or Liverpool Parsimonious Model (LPM) offered greater specificity at equal levels of sensitivity than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) system or monosomy 3 alone, and suggests guidance to achieve 95% sensitivity and 51% specificity (i.e., how to detect the same number of patients with metastases, while reducing the number of negative scans). For example, 180 scans could be safely avoided over 5 years in 200 patients using the most specific approach. LUMPOIII also offered high sensitivity and improved specificity over the AJCC in the absence of genetic information, making the result relevant to centres that do not perform genetic testing, or where such testing is inappropriate or fails. This study provides valuable information for clinical guidelines for risk stratification for surveillance in UM.

Consensus recommendations on the management of hepatitis C in Australia's prisons

INTRODUCTION

Prison settings represent the highest concentration of prevalent hepatitis C cases in Australia due to the high rates of incarceration among people who inject drugs. Highly effective direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are available to people incarcerated in Australian prisons. However, multiple challenges to health care implementation in the prison sector present barriers to people in prison reliably accessing hepatitis C testing, treatment, and prevention measures.

MAIN RECOMMENDATIONS

This Consensus statement highlights important considerations for the management of hepatitis C in Australian prisons. High coverage testing, scale-up of streamlined DAA treatment pathways, improved coverage of opioid agonist therapy, and implementation and evaluation of regulated provision of prison needle and syringe programs to reduce HCV infection and reinfection are needed.

CHANGES IN MANAGEMENT AS A RESULT OF THIS STATEMENT

The recommendations set current best practice standards in hepatitis C diagnosis, treatment and prevention in the Australian prison sector based on available evidence. Prison-based health services should strive to simplify and improve efficiency in the provision of the hepatitis C care cascade, including strategies such as universal opt-out testing, point-of-care testing, simplified assessment protocols, and earlier confirmation of cure. Optimising hepatitis C management in prisons is essential to prevent long term adverse outcomes for a marginalised population living with HCV. Scale-up of testing and treatment in prisons will make a major contribution towards Australia's efforts to eliminate hepatitis C as a public health threat by 2030.

Eliminating hepatitis C in Australia: a novel model of hepatitis C testing and treatment for people who inject drugs at a medically supervised injecting facility

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the feasibility of testing and treating people who inject drugs at a supervised injecting facility for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

People who inject drugs who attended the Melbourne supervised injecting facility, 30 June 2018 - 30 June 2020.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportion of people tested for hepatitis C; proportions of people positive for anti-HCV antibody and HCV RNA, and of eligible people prescribed direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment; sustained virological response twelve weeks or more after treatment completion.

RESULTS

Of 4649 people who attended the supervised injecting facility during 2018-20, 321 were tested for hepatitis C (7%); 279 were anti-HCV antibody-positive (87%), of whom 143 (51%) were also HCV RNA-positive. Sixty-four of 321 had previously been treated for hepatitis C (20%), 21 had clinically identified cirrhosis (7%), eight had hepatitis B infections (2%), and four had human immunodeficiency virus infections (1%). In multivariate analyses, people tested for hepatitis C were more likely than untested clients to report psychiatric illness (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 9.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.26-12.8), not have a fixed address (aOR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.18-2.14), and to report significant alcohol use (aOR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.06-2.32). The median number of injecting facility visits was larger for those tested for hepatitis C (101; interquartile range [IQR], 31-236) than for those not tested (20; IQR, 3-90). DAA treatment was prescribed for 126 of 143 HCV RNA-positive clients (88%); 41 of 54 with complete follow-up data were cured (76%).

CONCLUSIONS

People who attend supervised injecting facilities can be tested and treated for hepatitis C on site. Models that provide streamlined, convenient hepatitis C care promote engagement with treatment in a group in which the prevalence of hepatitis C is high.

The cost-effectiveness of universal hepatitis B screening for reaching WHO diagnosis targets in Australia by 2030

OBJECTIVES

To assess the impact on diagnosis targets, cost, and cost-effectiveness of universal hepatitis B screening in Australia.

DESIGN

Markov model simulation of disease and care cascade progression for people with chronic hepatitis B in Australia.

SETTING

Three scenarios were compared: 1. no change to current hepatitis B virus (HBV) testing practice; 2. universal screening strategy, with the aim of achieving the WHO diagnosis target by 2030 (90% of people with chronic hepatitis B diagnosed), based on opportunistic (general practitioner-initiated) screening for HBsAg; 3. universal screening strategy, and also ensuring that 50% of people with chronic hepatitis B are receiving appropriate clinical management by 2030.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Projected care cascade for people with chronic hepatitis B, cumulative number of HBV-related deaths, intervention costs, and health utility (quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs] gained during 2020-2030). An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) threshold (v scenario 1) of $50 000 per QALY gained was applied.

RESULTS

Compared with scenario 1, 80 HBV-related deaths (interquartile range [IQR], 41-127 deaths) were averted during 2020-2030 in scenario 2, 315 HBV-related deaths (IQR, 211-454 deaths) in scenario 3. Scenario 2 cost $84 million (IQR, $41-106 million) more than scenario 1 during 2020-2030 (+8%), yielding an ICER of $104 921 (IQR, $49 587-107 952) per QALY gained. Scenario 3 cost $263 million (IQR, $214-316 million) more than scenario 1 during 2020-2030 (+24%), yielding an ICER of $47 341 (IQR, $32 643-58 200) per QALY gained. Scenario 3 remained cost-effective if the test positivity rate was higher than 0.35% or the additional costs per person tested did not exceed $4.02.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal screening for hepatitis B will be cost-effective only if the cost of testing is kept low and people receive appropriate clinical management.

Autologous fat graft injections for the treatment of perianal fistulas in Crohn's disease: a systematic review and single-arm meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Crohn's perianal fistulas are often refractory to standard management. Fat graft injections are hypothesised to improve fistula healing rates. We evaluated the treatment efficacy of fat graft injections for Crohn's perianal fistulas in a systematic review (PRISMA).

METHODS

We completed database searches of MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase, and PubMed. All studies published in English in full text or abstract, from January 2001 to August 2021, evaluating fat graft injections for Crohn's perianal fistulas were selected. Included randomized controlled trials, single-arm intervention trials, cohort studies, and case series; excluded single case reports. Primary outcome was pooled clinical healing, defined as non-draining treated fistulas, or closure, defined as closure of treated fistulas. Secondary outcomes were clinical healing, clinical closure, radiologic response, and adverse events.

RESULTS

Of 1258 publications identified, 891 articles were assessed for eligibility, and 107 relevant for manuscript review. Forty-nine patients received fat graft injections for Crohn's perianal fistulas across four single-arm intervention trials. Clinical healing or closure was achieved in 74% in a pooled single-arm meta-analysis (95% confidence interval: 57%, 85%), with moderate heterogeneity between studies. Clinical healing was achieved in 20% and 60% at 3 and 12 months, respectively. Clinical closure was achieved in 83% at 6 months. Variable parameters were used to define radiologic response, with success rates from 20% to 67%. Minimal adverse events were reported.

CONCLUSION

Fat graft injections show promise as a novel treatment for Crohn's perianal fistulas in this systematic review and meta-analysis. Assessment in controlled matched studies is warranted.

Liver Disease and Poor Adherence Limit Hepatitis C Cure: A Real-World Australian Treatment Cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In 2016, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment for hepatitis C (HCV) became available through Australia's universal health care system, with the aim of HCV elimination. We report real-world effectiveness of DAA HCV treatment in Australia from a clinically well-informed cohort, enriched for cirrhosis and prior HCV treatment.

METHODS

3413 patients were recruited from 26 hospital liver clinics across Australia from February 2016 to June 2020. Clinical history and sustained viral response (SVR) were obtained from medical records and data linkage to the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme. Factors associated with SVR were assessed by multivariable logistic regression (MVR).

RESULTS

At recruitment, 32.2% had cirrhosis (72.9% Child Pugh class B/C), and 19.9% were treatment experienced. Of the 2,939 with data, 93.3% confirmed SVR. 137 patients received second-line therapy. Patients with cirrhosis had lower SVR rate (88.4 vs. 95.8%; p < 0.001). On MVR, failure to achieve SVR was associated with Genotype 3 (adj-OR = 0.42, 95%CI 0.29-0.61), male gender (adj-OR = 0.49, 95%CI 0.31-0.77), fair/poor adherence (adj-OR = 0.52, 95%CI 0.28-0.94), cirrhosis (adj-OR = 0.57, 95%CI 0.36-0.88), FIB-4 > 3.25 (adj-OR = 0.52, 95%CI 0.33-0.83) and MELD score ≥ 20 (adj-OR = 0.25, 95%CI 0.08-0.80). Consistent results were seen in cirrhotic sub-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Excellent SVR rates were achieved with DAAs in this real-world cohort of patients with chronic HCV infection. More advanced liver disease and clinician impression of poor adherence were associated with HCV treatment failure. Supports to improve liver fibrosis assessment skills for non-specialist DAA prescribers in the community and to optimize patient adherence are likely to enable more effective pursuit of HCV elimination in Australia.

Cost-effectiveness model of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) surveillance in hereditary leiomyomatosis and renal cell carcinoma (HLRCC)

PURPOSE

To determine the cost-effectiveness of annual renal imaging surveillance (RIS) in hereditary leiomyomatosis and renal cell cancer (HLRCC). HLRCC is associated with a 21% risk to age 70 years of RCC. Presentations with advanced renal cell cancer (RCC) are associated with poor outcomes whereas RIS detects early-stage RCC; however, evidence for the cost-effectiveness of RIS is lacking.

METHODS

We developed a decision-analytic model to compare, at different age starting points (11 years, 18 years, 40 years, 60 years), the costs and benefits of lifetime contrast-enhanced renal MRI surveillance (CERMRIS) vs no surveillance in HLRCC. Benefits were measured in life-years gained (LYG), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs in British Pounds Sterling (GBP). Net monetary benefit (NMB) was calculated using a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20 000/QALY. One-way sensitivity and probabilistic analyses were also performed.

RESULTS

In the base-case 11-year age cohort, surveillance was cost-effective (Incremental_NMB=£3522 (95% CI -£2747 to £7652); Incremental_LYG=1.25 (95% CI 0.30 to 1.86); Incremental_QALYs=0.29 (95% CI 0.07 to 0.43)] at an additional mean discounted cost of £2185/patient (95% CI £430 to £4144). Surveillance was also cost-effective in other age cohorts and dominated a no surveillance strategy in the 40 year cohort [Incremental_NMB=£12 655 (95% CIs -£709 to £21 134); Incremental_LYG=1.52 (95% CI 0.30 to 2.26); Incremental_QALYs=0.58 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.87) with a cost saving of £965/patient (95% CI -£4202 to £2652).

CONCLUSION

Annual CERMRI in HLRCC is cost-effective across age groups modelled.

Hepatitis B Virus Flares After Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated With Activation of Toll-Like Receptor Signaling Pathways

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the patterns of peripheral Toll-like receptor (TLR) signaling activity and the expression of TLRs and natural killer (NK) cell activation in a cohort of patients experiencing severe hepatitis flares after stopping nucleot(s)ide analogues (NAs) therapy.

METHODS

Samples were collected longitudinally from patients with chronic hepatitis B who were enrolled in a prospective study of NA discontinuation. Patients experiencing hepatitis flares were compared with patients with normal alanine aminotransferase. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were stimulated with TLR ligands and cytokine secretion in the cell culture supernatant measured. Expression of TLR2/4, NKG2D, NKp46, and triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 (TREM-1) on monocytes, NK, and NK-T cells was measured.

RESULTS

Seventeen patients with severe reactivation hepatitis flares were compared to 12 nonflare patients. Hepatitis flares were associated with increased activity of TLR2-8 and TLR9 signaling in PBMCs at the time of peak flare compared to baseline. Hepatitis flares were also associated with (1) upregulation of TLR2 and (2) TREM-1 receptor expression on NK. There were no differences at baseline between flare patients and nonflare patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatitis flares off NA therapy have a significant innate inflammatory response with upregulation of TLR signaling on peripheral monocytes and TLR2 and TREM-1 expression on NK cells. This implicates the innate immune system in the immunopathogenesis of hepatitis B flares.

Systematic Review: The Impact and Importance of Body Composition in Inflammatory Bowel Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Alterations in body composition are common in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] and have been associated with differences in patient outcomes. We sought to consolidate knowledge on the impact and importance of body composition in IBD.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and conference proceedings by combining two key research themes: inflammatory bowel disease and body composition.

RESULTS

Fifty-five studies were included in this review. Thirty-one focused on the impact of IBD on body composition with a total of 2279 patients with a mean age 38.4 years. Of these, 1071 [47%] were male. In total, 1470 [64.5%] patients had Crohn's disease and 809 [35.5%] had ulcerative colitis. Notably, fat mass and fat-free mass were reduced, and higher rates of sarcopaenia were observed in those with active IBD compared with those in clinical remission and healthy controls. Twenty-four additional studies focused on the impact of derangements in body composition on IBD outcomes. Alterations in body composition in IBD are associated with poorer prognoses including higher rates of surgical intervention, post-operative complications and reduced muscle strength. In addition, higher rates of early treatment failure and primary non-response are seen in patients with myopaenia.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with IBD have alterations in body composition parameters in active disease and clinical remission. The impacts of body composition on disease outcome and therapy are broad and require further investigation. The augmentation of body composition parameters in the clinical setting has the potential to improve IBD outcomes in the future.

Quality of upper GI endoscopy: a prospective cohort study on impact of endoscopist education

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Guidelines on quality of upper GI (UGI) endoscopy have been proposed by the British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) and European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE). However, these guidelines have not been evaluated in clinical practice. We aimed to measure the impact of endoscopist education on the quality of gastroscopy based on these guidelines and the association between compliance with guidelines and the detection of clinically significant premalignant pathology such as Barrett's esophagus (BE), esophageal squamous dysplasia, gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM), and Helicobacter pylori.

METHODS

Endoscopists participated in a 1-hour education session on recommended performance measures and endoscopic detection of premalignant pathologies. A controlled before and after study was performed, measuring compliance with guidelines and rates of detection of pathology in control and intervention groups.

RESULTS

Over 2 years, 2719 procedures were performed: 1412 in the control group and 1307 in the intervention group. The proportion of procedures complying with guidelines was higher in the intervention group. The use of biopsy sampling protocols (eg, management of precancerous conditions of the stomach, 52% vs 91%; P = .007) and standardized terminology (eg, Forrest classification, 24% vs 68%; P < .001) was significantly higher. Detection of H pylori was higher in the intervention group (5.5% vs 9.8%, P = .003). Minimum inspection time of 7 minutes was associated with detection of BE (7.4% vs 2.0%, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

A simple endoscopist education session enhanced the quality of UGI endoscopy by improving compliance with BSG and ESGE recommendations and increasing the detection of clinically significant pathology. A minimum inspection time of 7 minutes was associated with increased diagnostic yield and may be a feasible quality indicator for clinical practice.

Long-Term Outcome of Multidisciplinary Versus Standard Gastroenterologist Care for Functional Gastrointestinal Disorders: A Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Functional gastrointestinal disorders are common and costly to the healthcare system. In the Multidisciplinary Treatment of Functional Gastrointestinal Disorders study, we demonstrated that multidisciplinary care resulted in superior clinical and cost outcomes, when compared with standard gastroenterologist-only care at end of treatment. In this study we evaluate the longer-term outcomes.

METHODS

In a single-center, pragmatic trial patients with Rome IV criteria-defined functional gastrointestinal disorders were randomized 1:2 to a gastroenterologist-only standard care vs a multidisciplinary clinic comprising gastroenterologists, dietitians, gut hypnotherapists, psychiatrists, and biofeedback physiotherapists. Outcomes in this study were assessed 12 months after the end of treatment. Global symptom improvement was assessed by using a 5-point Likert scale. Symptoms, specific disorder status, psychological state, quality of life, and cost were additional outcomes. A modified intention-to-treat analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Of 188 randomized patients, 143 (46 standard care, 97 multidisciplinary) formed the longer-term modified intention-to-treat analysis. Sixty-two percent of multidisciplinary clinic patients saw allied clinicians. Sixty-five percent (30/46) standard care versus 76% (74/97) multidisciplinary clinic patients achieved global symptom improvement 12 months after end of treatment (P = .17), whereas 20% (9/46) versus 37% (36/97) rated their symptoms as "5/5 much better" (P = .04). A ≥50-point reduction in Irritable Bowel Syndrome Severity Scoring System occurred in 38% versus 66% (P = .02), respectively, for irritable bowel syndrome patients. Anxiety and depression were greater in the standard care than multidisciplinary clinic (12 vs 10, P = .19), and quality of life was lower in standard care than the multidisciplinary clinic (0.75 vs 0.77, P =·.03). An incremental cost-effectivness ratio found that for every additional 3555AUD spent in the multidisciplinary clinic, a further quality-adjusted life year was gained.

CONCLUSIONS

Twelve months after the completion of treatment, integrated multidisciplinary clinical care achieved a greater proportion of patients with improvement of symptoms, psychological state, quality of life, and cost, compared with gastroenterologist-only care.

CLINICAL TRIALS

gov: number NCT03078634.

Clinical application and diagnostic accuracy of artificial intelligence in colonoscopy for inflammatory bowel disease: systematic review

Background and aims  Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is being evaluated for its potential to improve colonoscopic assessment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), particularly with computer-aided image classifiers. This review evaluates the clinical application and diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) of AI algorithms in colonoscopy for IBD. Methods  A systematic review was performed on studies evaluating AI in colonoscopy of adult patients with IBD. MEDLINE, Embase, Emcare, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Cochrane Library and Clinicaltrials.gov databases were searched on 28 ^th April 2021 for English language articles published between January 1, 2000 and April 28, 2021. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed with the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. Diagnostic accuracy was presented as median (interquartile range). Results  Of 1029 records screened, nine studies with 7813 patients were included for review. AI was used to predict endoscopic and histologic disease activity in ulcerative colitis, and differentiation of Crohn's disease from Behcet's disease and intestinal tuberculosis. DTA of AI algorithms ranged between 52-91 %. The sensitivity and specificity for AI algorithms predicting endoscopic severity of disease were 78 % (range 72-83, interquartile range 5.5) and 91 % (range 86-96, interquartile range 5), respectively. Conclusions  AI has been primarily used to assess disease activity in ulcerative colitis. The diagnostic performance is promising and suggests potential for other clinical application of AI in IBD colonoscopy such as dysplasia detection. However, current evidence is limited by retrospective data and models trained on still images only. Future prospective multicenter studies with full-motion videos are needed to replicate the real-world clinical setting.

Stopping nucleot(s)ide analogues in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients: HBsAg loss at 96 weeks is associated with low baseline HBsAg levels

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current guidelines recommend long-term nucleot(s)ide analogue (NA) therapy for patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, disease remission has been described after stopping NA therapy, as well as HBsAg loss.

METHODS

We performed a prospective multi-centre cohort study of stopping NA therapy. Inclusion criteria were HBeAg-negative CHB, the absence of cirrhosis and HBVDNA<lower limit of quantification for ≥18 months. We assessed virological and biochemical outcomes including HBsAg loss, as well as NA restart rates, over 96 weeks.

RESULTS

In total, 110 patients [62% entecavir (ETV); 28% tenofovir (TDF), 10% other] were enrolled. Median age was 56 years, 57% were male, 85% were Asian, median baseline HBsAg level was 705 (214-2325) IU/ml. Virological reactivation occurred in 109/110 patients, median time to detection was 8 (4-12) weeks, and occurred earlier after stopping TDF versus ETV (median 4 vs. 12 weeks p < 0.001). At week 96, 77 (70%) remained off-treatment, 65 (59%) had ALT <2× ULN, 31 (28%) patients were in disease remission with HBVDNA <2000 IU/ml plus ALT <2× ULN and 7 (6%) patients had lost HBsAg. Baseline HBsAg ≤10 IU/ml was associated with HBsAg loss (6/9 vs. 1/101 p < 0.001). ALT >5× ULN occurred in 35 (32%); ALT flares were not associated with HBsAg loss. There were no unexpected safety issues.

CONCLUSION

Virological reactivation was very common after stopping NA therapy and occurred earlier after stopping TDF versus ETV. The majority of patients had ALT <2× ULN at week 96, but only one-third achieved disease remission and HBsAg loss was rare. Very low HBsAg levels at baseline were uncommon but predicted for HBsAg loss and disease remission.

Higher Anti-tumor Necrosis Factor-α Levels Correlate With Improved Radiologic Outcomes in Crohn's Perianal Fistulas

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Higher anti-tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF) drug levels are associated with improved clinical healing of Crohn's perianal fistulas. It is unclear whether this leads to improved healing on radiologic assessment. We aimed to evaluate the association between anti-TNF drug levels and radiologic outcomes in perianal fistulising Crohn's disease.

METHODS

A cross-sectional retrospective multicenter study was undertaken. Patients with perianal fistulising Crohn's disease on maintenance infliximab or adalimumab, with drug levels within 6 months of perianal magnetic resonance imaging were included. Patients receiving dose changes or fistula surgery between drug level and imaging were excluded. Radiologic disease activity was scored using the Van Assche Index, with an inflammatory subscore calculated using indices: T2-weighted imaging hyperintensity, collections >3 mm diameter, rectal wall involvement. Primary endpoint was radiologic healing (inflammatory subscore ≤6). Secondary endpoint was radiologic remission (inflammatory subscore = 0).

RESULTS

Of 193 patients (infliximab, n = 117; adalimumab, n = 76), patients with radiologic healing had higher median drug levels compared with those with active disease (infliximab 6.0 vs 3.9 μg/mL; adalimumab 9.1 vs 6.2 μg/mL; both P < .05). Patients with radiologic remission also had higher median drug levels compared with those with active disease (infliximab 7.4 vs 3.9 μg/mL; P < .05; adalimumab 9.8 vs 6.2 μg/mL; P = .07). There was a significant incremental reduction in median inflammatory subscores with higher anti-TNF drug level tertiles.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher anti-TNF drug levels were associated with improved radiologic outcomes on magnetic resonance imaging in perianal fistulising Crohn's disease, with an incremental improvement at higher drug level tertiles for both infliximab and adalimumab.

The Global Impact of Hepatitis B Vaccination on Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Over 1.5 million preventable new hepatitis B infections continue to occur each year and there are an estimated 296 million people living with chronic hepatitis B infection worldwide, resulting in more than 820,000 deaths annually due to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Hepatitis B vaccination remains the cornerstone of public health policy to prevent HCC and a vital component of the global hepatitis B elimination response. The WHO has set a 90% vaccination target to achieve hepatitis B elimination by 2030; however, there is wide variability in reported birth dose coverage, with global coverage at only 42%. In this review, we outline the global trends in hepatitis B vaccination coverage and the impact of hepatitis B vaccination on HCC incidence and discuss the challenges and enabling factors for achieving WHO 2030 hepatitis B vaccination coverage targets.

Australian consensus recommendations for the management of hepatitis B

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Australia is nearly 1%. In certain well defined groups the prevalence is far greater, yet an estimated 27% of people living with HBV infection remain undiagnosed. Appropriate screening improves detection, increases opportunity for treatment, and ultimately reduces the significant morbidity and mortality associated with the development of liver fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MAIN RECOMMENDATIONS

This statement highlights important aspects of HBV infection management in Australia. There have been recent changes in nomenclature and understanding of natural history, as well as a newly defined upper limit of normal for liver tests that determine phase classification and threshold for antiviral treatment. As the main burden of hepatitis B in Australia is within migrant and Indigenous communities, early identification and management of people living with hepatitis B is essential to prevent adverse outcomes including liver cancer and cirrhosis.

CHANGE IN MANAGEMENT AS A RESULT OF THIS GUIDELINE

These recommendations aim to raise awareness of the current management of hepatitis B in Australia. Critically, the timely identification of individuals living with hepatitis B, and where appropriate, commencement of antiviral therapy, can prevent the development of cirrhosis, HCC and mother-to-child transmission as well as hepatitis B reactivation in immunocompromised individuals. Recognising patient and viral factors that predispose to the development of cirrhosis and HCC will enable clinicians to risk-stratify and appropriately implement surveillance strategies to prevent these complications of hepatitis B.

Evaluation of Endoscopic Practices and Outcomes in Follow-up of Gastric Ulcers

GOAL

The aim of this study was to evaluate current practice in gastric ulcer follow-up to establish diagnostic yield and predictors of malignancy.

BACKGROUND

Repeat gastroscopy is routinely performed to confirm gastric ulcer healing and exclude malignancy. However, the incidence of malignancy at follow-up endoscopy is low, without consensus regarding case selection and timing.

STUDY

New gastric ulcers diagnosed on gastroscopy at 2 institutions in Australia were identified through keyword search of endoscopy reports over a 5-year period (2013 to 2017). Data collected included patient demographics, clinical presentation, and endoscopic and histologic findings from initial and subsequent gastroscopies.

RESULTS

Of 795 patients, repeat gastroscopy was performed in 440 (55%). Malignancy was diagnosed in 52 (7%) with 83% identified at initial gastroscopy. Eight cancers were identified at repeat gastroscopy with malignancy yield of 2% (8/440). Three were diagnosed in patients with benign initial ulcer histology (3/286, 1%). One cancer was diagnosed during follow-up in a patient with benign histology but no repeat gastroscopy (1/286, 0.3%). Predictors of benign ulcers were absence of endoscopic suspicion [odds ratio (OR) 0.1 (0.03-0.13), P≤0.005], complete healing on repeat gastroscopy [OR 0.5 (0.34-0.70), P=0.036] and benign initial histology [OR 0.12 (0.43-0.90), P≤0.005].

CONCLUSIONS

Seven percent of new gastric ulcers were malignant with most identified with biopsy on initial gastroscopy. Malignancy yield from follow-up gastroscopy was 2%. Diagnostic yield of endoscopic follow-up may be low in ulcers with benign appearance and adequate histology. However, current practice of repeat gastroscopy is warranted in the absence of patient-based and lesion-based predictors of malignancy.

The impact of point-of-care hepatitis C testing in needle and syringe exchange programs on linkage to care and treatment uptake among people who inject drugs: An Australian pilot study

Point-of-care (POC) diagnostics overcome barriers to conventional hepatitis C (HCV) testing in people who inject drugs. This study assessed impact on hepatitis C treatment uptake of POC HCV testing in needle and syringe exchange programs (NSPs). Rapid EC was a single-arm interventional pilot study of HCV POC testing conducted in three inner-city community clinics with NSPs. Twelve months after the POC testing, a retrospective medical record and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme audit was performed to determine the number of HCV RNA-positive participants who were prescribed HCV treatment. 70 HCV RNA-positive Rapid EC study participants were included. 44 (63%) were prescribed DAAs; 26 (59%) completed treatment and 15 (34%) had SVR testing, all of whom were cured. Age ≥ 40 years (aOR 3.45, 95% CI 1.10-11.05, p = .03) and secondary school education (aOR 5.8, 95% CI 1.54-21.80, p = .009) had higher likelihood of being prescribed DAAs, whereas homelessness was inversely associated with prescription of DAAs (aOR 0.30, 95% CI 0.09-1.04, p = .057). Median time to receive a DAA script from date of diagnosis was seven days (IQR 0 to 14 days), and time to filling the DAA prescription was 2 days (IQR 0-12 days). In conclusion, provision of POC testing through NSPs was effective for linking new clients to HCV treatment and reduced the time to treatment. Further studies are needed to define the most cost-effective use of POC testing in models of care for people who inject drugs to increase HCV treatment uptake.

Northern Hemisphere vegetation change drives a Holocene thermal maximum

The Holocene thermal maximum, a period of global warmth evident in early to mid-Holocene proxy reconstructions, is controversial. Most model simulations of the Holocene have not reproduced this warming, leading to a disagreement known as the Holocene Temperature Conundrum. Pollen records document the expansion of vegetation in the early and mid-Holocene African Sahara and Northern Hemisphere mid- and high latitudes, which has been overlooked in previous modeling studies. Here, we use time slice simulations of the Community Earth System Model to assess the impact of Northern Hemisphere vegetation change on Holocene annual mean temperatures. Our simulations indicate that expansion of Northern Hemisphere vegetation 9000 and 6000 years ago warms Earth's surface by ~0.8° and 0.7°C, respectively, producing a better match with proxy-based reconstructions. Our results suggest that vegetation change is critical for modeling Holocene temperature evolution and highlight its role in driving a mid-Holocene temperature maximum.

A problem of proportions: estimates of metabolic associated fatty liver disease and liver fibrosis in Australian adults in the nationwide 2012 AusDiab Study

Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) is the most common cause of liver disease in Australia, but prevalence data are limited. We aimed to describe the frequency of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation, and MAFLD within a large prospective Australian cohort. Cross-sectional analysis of the 2012 survey of the Australian Diabetes, Obesity and Lifestyle (AusDiab) study which included 4747 Australian adults (aged 34–97 yrs) was performed. Frequency of ALT elevation (men ≥ 40 IU/L, women ≥ 30 IU/L) and MAFLD (Fatty Liver Index (FLI) > 60 alongside metabolic risk factors) was determined and risk of advanced fibrosis stratified using the BARD score. Elevated ALT was found in 13% of the cohort, including 22% of people with diabetes, 18% with obesity, and 17% with the metabolic syndrome. 37% of the cohort had MAFLD, and those with MAFLD were more likely to be older (OR 1.01 per 1 year (95% CI 1.00–1.02)), male (OR 1.37 (95% CI 1.17–1.59)), have ALT elevation (OR 3.21 (95% CI 2.59–3.99)), diabetes (OR 3.39 (95% CI 2.61–4.39)), lower HDL-C (OR 0.15 per 1 mmol/L (95% CI 0.12–0.19)), higher diastolic blood pressure (OR 1.05 per 10 mmHg (95% CI 1.05–1.06)), a sedentary lifestyle (OR 1.99 (95% CI 1.59–2.50)) and less likely to have tertiary education (OR 0.81 (95% CI 0.7–0.94) compared to those without MAFLD. Of those with MAFLD, 61% had a BARD score suggesting risk of advanced fibrosis and 22% had an elevated ALT. Over 10% of this Australian cohort had elevated ALT, and 37% had MAFLD, with many at risk for advanced fibrosis.

Role of anti-HBs in functional cure of HBeAg+ chronic hepatitis B patients infected with HBV genotype A

BACKGROUND & AIMS

HBsAg-specific antibody responses are difficult to detect during chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and are often overlooked. The aim of this study was to examine whether anti-HBs may be involved in functional cure (FC) by profiling anti-HBs responses in patients with CHB using a panel of specific assays.

METHODS

Longitudinal serum samples were obtained from 25 patients with CHB who were infected with HBV genotype A and were undergoing nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) treatment: 14 achieved FC while 11 remained infected (non-FC). Anti-HBs immune complexes (HBsAg-IC), FcγRIIIa dimer binding, epitope specificity and neutralisation efficacy were measured.

RESULTS

HBsAg-IC peaks were detected prior to HBsAg loss in 10/14 FC patients. These HBsAg-IC peaks overlapped with either an alanine aminotransferase (ALT) flare (8/10 patients), or a rise in ALT (2/10 patients). HBsAg-IC peaks were detected in 7/11 non-FC patients, but were not associated with an ALT flare. FCγRIIIa binding was detected in 9/14 FC patients, independent from detection of overlapping HBsAg-IC/ALT peaks. FC patients had stable HBsAg epitope occupancy across the study, whereas non-FC patients had a reduction in HBsAg epitope occupancy within the first 12-24 weeks of NA treatment. Convalescent sera from FC patients recognised more HBsAg epitopes and neutralised HBV infection more potently than anti-HBs derived from vaccinees. Neutralisation potency appeared to increase post-HBsAg loss in 4/5 FC patients examined.

CONCLUSIONS

Using these assays, we confirm that anti-HBs responses are present and fluctuate over time in this cohort of patients with HBeAg+ CHB, who were infected with HBV genotype A and treated with NAs. Key anti-HBs profiles associated with either FC or failure to achieve FC were also identified, suggesting a role for anti-HBs responses in FC.

LAY SUMMARY

Using a panel of assays to characterise hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs) responses in a group of patients with chronic hepatitis B, we identified anti-HBs profiles associated with either functional cure, or failure to achieve functional cure. Functional cure was associated with immune complex peaks which overlapped with alanine aminotransferase flares. Conversely, in those who did not achieve functional cure, immune complex peaks were present, but were not associated with alanine aminotransferase flares, and a decline in anti-HBs diversity was observed early during treatment.

A Single Educational Intervention Improves Pregnancy-Related Knowledge and Emotional Health Among Women With IBD Who Are Pregnant or Wish to Conceive

BACKGROUND

There is considerable interest in improving the education and care of women with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) to improve pregnancy outcomes. Despite increased awareness, not all women with IBD have access to pregnancy-related education and the quality of counseling is variable. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of a simple educational intervention for improving pregnancy-related knowledge and to evaluate the effect of education on patient outcomes including anxiety, depression, and quality of life in women with IBD.

METHODS

This prospective study of women with IBD who were pregnant or planning a pregnancy evaluated the effectiveness of a single gastroenterologist-led educational intervention in improving pregnancy-related knowledge, measured using the Crohn's and Colitis Pregnancy Knowledge score 1 month postintervention. Secondary outcomes included the effect on anxiety and depression, quality of life, medication adherence, and patient satisfaction.

RESULTS

One hundred women with IBD were recruited. Fifty percent were pregnant at the time of the intervention. Baseline knowledge scores were similar independent of the patients' pregnancy status or whether they had previously received counseling from their gastroenterologist. Median Crohn's and Colitis Pregnancy Knowledge scores postintervention (n = 82) were higher than preintervention scores (14/17 vs 10/17; P < 0.001). In addition, 32% of patients had poor knowledge at baseline (score ≤7/17), compared to only 5% after the intervention (P < 0.001). There was a significant improvement in total anxiety and depression and quality of life scores postintervention. Medication adherence and patient satisfaction were excellent.

CONCLUSIONS

Uptake of this gastroenterologist-led educational intervention has the potential to improve pregnancy knowledge, promote medication adherence, and enhance quality of life for women with IBD globally.

Assessing the feasibility, acceptability and impacts of an education program on hepatitis B testing uptake among ethnic Chinese in Australia: results of a randomised controlled pilot study

Background

In Australia, Chinese migrants are among the populations most affected by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection but often experience late diagnosis or access to clinical care. This study aims to explore approaches to increase HBV testing in Australia’s Chinese community and inform evaluation planning, specifically to i) assess the feasibility and acceptability of HBV educational programs, and ii) compare HBV testing uptake in people receiving a tailored education resource focussing on liver cancer prevention compared with a standard HBV education package.

Methods

This is a pre-post mixed-methods pilot and feasibility study. People of Chinese ethnicity and unsure of their HBV infection or immunity status were recruited from ten community sites in Melbourne, Australia in 2019–2020. Participants were randomised to receive an education package (comprised of a leaflet and in-person one-on-one educational session) with a focus on either 1) standard HBV-related information, or 2) liver cancer prevention. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire prior to receiving the intervention and were followed up at 6 months’ time for a questionnaire and an opt-in semi-structured interview. Primary study outcomes included feasibility of study procedures, measured by recruitment, participation, and retention rates; acceptability of the education program assessed by acceptability scores; and HBV testing uptake rate in each arm. Secondary outcomes include HBV-related knowledge change, assessed by pre-post comparison; and factors affecting participants’ testing behaviour analysed using qualitative data.

Results

Fifty-four participants received an education package; baseline and follow-up data from 33 (61%) were available. The study procedures of recruitment and retention were feasible; the acceptability of the education program was moderate with improved HBV-related knowledge observed. Four participants self-reported being tested: one (1/15, 7%) in the standard HBV information group and three (3/18, 17%) in the liver cancer prevention information group. Factors identified as affecting testing included perceived relevance and seriousness of HBV, healthcare access and costs of testing, and perceptions of the role of primary care providers in HBV-related care.

Conclusion

A tailored education program targeting ethnic Chinese in Australia was feasible with moderate acceptability. A larger study is required to determine if a liver cancer prevention message would improve HBV testing uptake in Chinese community than standard HBV education message. Supports from healthcare providers, community-based testing programs, and public health education programs are likely needed to motivate diagnostic testing among Chinese people at risk of HBV infection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-11916-0.

Effect of competing mortality risks on predictive performance of the QRISK3 cardiovascular risk prediction tool in older people and those with comorbidity: external validation population cohort study

BACKGROUND

Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is guided by risk-prediction tools, but these rarely account for the risk of dying from other conditions (ie, competing mortality risk). In England and Wales, the recommended risk-prediction tool is QRISK2, and a new version (QRISK3) has been derived and internally validated. We aimed to externally validate QRISK3 and to assess the effects of competing mortality risk on its predictive performance.

METHODS

For this retrospective population cohort study, we used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We included patients aged 25-84 years with no previous history of CVD or statin treatment who were permanently registered with a primary care practice, had up-to-standard data for at least 1 year, and had linkage to Hospital Episode Statistics discharge and Office of National Statistics mortality data. We compared the QRISK3-predicted 10-year CVD risk with the observed 10-year risk in the whole population and in important subgroups of age and multimorbidity. QRISK3 discrimination and calibration were examined with and without accounting for competing risks.

FINDINGS

Our study population included 1 484 597 women with 42 451 incident CVD events (4·9 cases per 1000 person-years of follow-up, 95% CI 4·89-4·99), and 1 420 176 men with 53 066 incident CVD events (6·7 cases per 1000 person-years, 6·66-6·78), with median follow-up of 5·0 years (IQR 1·9-9·2). Non-CVD death rose markedly with age (0·4% of women and 0·5% of men aged 25-44 years had a non-CVD death vs 20·1% of women and 19·6% of men aged 75-84 years). QRISK3 discrimination in the whole population was excellent (Harrell's C-statistic 0·865 in women and 0·834 in men) but was poor in older age groups (<0·65 in all subgroups aged 65 years or older). Ignoring competing risks, QRISK3 calibration in the whole population and in younger people was excellent, but there was significant over-prediction in older people. Accounting for competing risks, QRISK3 systematically over-predicted CVD risk, particularly in older people and in those with high multimorbidity.

INTERPRETATION

QRISK3 performed well at the whole population level when ignoring competing mortality risk. The tool performed considerably less well in important subgroups, including older people and people with multimorbidity, and less well again after accounting for competing mortality risk.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health Research.

Producing health information in consultation with health workers and the hepatitis B-affected communities is worthwhile

Globally, approximately 257 million people are living with chronic hepatitis B. Many people are undiagnosed, have low health literacy and experience barriers to engaging in care. In Australia, there is a lack of culturally and linguistically appropriate resources to support people living with the infection to increase their understanding and build their capacity. This innovative practice paper describes the process of developing a culturally and linguistically appropriate resource using the principles of participatory action research. The hepatitis B story was designed to facilitate discussion between healthcare workers and consumers, and to increase the knowledge and understanding of both. Consultation with consumers and a broad range of health services contributed to the quality of and demand for the resource. A case study tells the story of 'Thuy'. This case study demonstrates the practical application of the resource and describes the positive affect its use had on Thuy and her family. Increasing our understandings of how people experience chronic hepatitis B is crucial to improving health information, testing and engagement in care. Producing health information with consumers is a worthwhile process to increase consumers' health literacy and improve service delivery.

Addressing pregnancy-related concerns in women with inflammatory bowel disease: Insights from the patient's perspective

Background and Aim

Therapeutic options for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have expanded, as has the use of IBD medications in women during the reproductive period. However, no qualitative data exist that examine the pregnancy‐related concerns of women with IBD in the current era of widespread immunomodulator and biologic use. Hence, we aimed to explore in detail the impact of IBD on pregnancy from the patient's perspective.

Methods

This qualitative study used semistructured interviews to explore participants' experiences regarding IBD and pregnancy until no new themes emerged. Key themes were identified using thematic analysis.

Results

Fifteen women with IBD were interviewed. The majority of participants reported lingering concerns regarding their IBD medications, despite advice from their gastroenterologist that the drugs were considered safe in pregnancy. Participants more often reported medication‐related fears, such as potential negative effects on their child's immune system, than concerns regarding the effect of the disease itself on their pregnancy outcomes. A common theme was a perceived lack of knowledge among non‐IBD clinicians regarding IBD medications during pregnancy, which augmented pre‐existing anxiety.

Conclusions

This study is the first of its kind to provide an in‐depth assessment of female patients' perspectives of IBD in relation to conception, pregnancy, and caring for offspring. In particular, this research characterizes the unique fears and persisting anxieties regarding IBD medications in pregnancy. The study has unearthed important insights into the specific concerns and support needs of women with IBD in order to facilitate nonjudgmental counseling designed around patient concerns and beliefs.

Australian recommendations for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: a consensus statement

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer deaths both globally and in Australia. Surveillance for HCC in at-risk populations allows diagnosis at an early stage, when potentially curable. However, most Australians diagnosed with HCC die of the cancer or of liver disease. In the changing landscape of HCC management, unique challenges may lead to clinical practice variation. As a result, there is a need to identify best practice management of HCC in an Australian context. This consensus statement has been developed for health professionals involved in the care of adult patients with HCC in Australia. It is applicable to specialists, general medical practitioners, nurses, health coordinators and hospital administrators.

METHODS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

This statement has been developed by specialists in hepatology, radiology, surgery, oncology, palliative care, and primary care, including medical practitioners and nurses. The statement addresses four main areas relevant to HCC management: epidemiology and incidence, diagnosis, treatment, and patient management. A modified Delphi process was used to reach consensus on 31 recommendations. Principal recommendations include the adoption of surveillance strategies, use of multidisciplinary meetings, diagnosis, treatment options and patient management.

CHANGES IN MANAGEMENT AS A RESULT OF THIS STATEMENT

This consensus statement will simplify HCC patient management and reduce clinical variation. Ultimately, this should result in better outcomes for patients with HCC.

Non-invasive fibrosis algorithms are clinically useful for excluding cirrhosis in prisoners living with hepatitis C

Background and aims

Prison-based HCV treatment rates remain low due to multiple barriers, including accessing transient elastography for cirrhosis determination. The AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and FIB-4 scores have excellent negative predictive value (NPV) in hospital cohorts to exclude cirrhosis. We investigated their performance in a large cohort of prisoners with HCV infection.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study of participants assessed by a prison-based hepatitis program. The sensitivity, specificity, NPV and positive predictive value (PPV) of APRI and FIB-4 for cirrhosis were then analysed, with transient elastography as the reference standard. The utility of age thresholds as a trigger for transient elastography was also explored.

Results

Data from 1007 prisoners were included. The median age was 41, 89% were male, and 12% had cirrhosis. An APRI cut-off of 1.0 and FIB-4 cut-off of 1.45 had NPVs for cirrhosis of 96.1% and 96.6%, respectively, and if used to triage prisoners for transient elastography, could reduce the need for this investigation by 71%. The PPVs of APRI and FIB-4 for cirrhosis at these cut-offs were low. Age ≤35 years alone had a NPV for cirrhosis of 96.5%. In those >35 years, the APRI cut-off of 1.0 alone had a high NPV >95%.

Conclusion

APRI and FIB-4 scores can reliably exclude cirrhosis in prisoners and reduce requirement for transient elastography. This finding will simplify the cascade of care for prisoners living with hepatitis C.

Point-of-Care Tests for Hepatitis B: An Overview

Despite the heavy disease burden posed by hepatitis B, around 90% of people living with hepatitis B are not diagnosed globally. Many of the affected populations still have limited or no access to essential blood tests for hepatitis B. Compared to conventional blood tests which heavily rely on centralised laboratory facilities, point-of-care testing for hepatitis B has the potential to broaden testing access in low-resource settings and to engage hard-to-reach populations. Few hepatitis B point-of-care tests have been ratified for clinical use by international and regional regulatory bodies, and countries have been slow to adopt point-of-care testing into hepatitis B programs. This review presents currently available point-of-care tests for hepatitis B and their roles in the care cascade, reviewing evidence for testing performance, utility, acceptability, costs and cost-effectiveness when integrated into hepatitis B diagnosis and monitoring programs. We further discuss challenges and future directions in aspects of technology, implementation, and regulation when adopting point-of-care testing in hepatitis B programs.

Direct Measurement of Single-Molecule Ligand-Receptor Interactions

Measuring the kinetics that govern ligand-receptor interactions is fundamental to our understanding of pharmacology. For ligand-gated ion channels, binding of an agonist triggers allosteric motions that open an integral ion-permeable pore. By mathematically modeling stochastic electrophysiological responses with high temporal resolution (ms), previous single channel studies have been able to infer the rate constants of ligands binding to these receptors. However, there are no reports of the direct measurement of the single-molecule binding events that are vital to how agonists exert their functional effects. For the first time, we report these direct measurements, the rate constants, and corresponding free energy changes, which describe the transitions between the different binding states. To achieve this, we use the super resolution technique: points accumulation for imaging in nanoscale topography (PAINT) to observe binding of ATP to orthosteric binding sites on the P2X1 receptor. Furthermore, an analysis of time-resolved single-molecule interactions is used to measure elementary rate constants and thermodynamic forces that drive the allosteric motions. These single-molecule measurements unequivocally establish the location of each binding states of the P2X1 receptor and the stochastic nature of the interaction with its native ligand. The analysis leads to the measurement of the forward and reverse rates from a weak ligand-binding state to a strong ligand binding state that is linked to allosteric motion and ion pore formation. These rates (k_α = 1.41 sec^-1 and k_β = 0.32 sec^-1) were then used to determine the free energy associated with this critical mechanistic step (3.7 kJ/mol). Importantly, the described methods can be readily applied to all ligand-gated ion channels, and more broadly to the molecular interactions of other classes of membrane proteins.

Efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir for HCV NS5A-inhibitor experienced patients with difficult to cure characteristics

BACKGROUND

In clinical trials, HCV salvage treatment with Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir (SOF/VEL/VOX) achieved an SVR12 rate of >95% in NS5A-experienced participants. Lower SVR12 rates have been reported in real-world studies, particularly for genotype (GT)3 infection and cirrhosis. We determined the efficacy and safety of SOF/VEL/VOX in a large real-world cohort.

METHODS

We assessed the efficacy of salvage SOF/VEL/VOX for HCV infection in NS5A-inhibitor experienced participants with cirrhosis and portal hypertension, prior liver transplantation (LT) or severe extra-hepatic manifestations. SOF/VEL/VOX was available via an early access program. The primary outcome was SVR12. Secondary outcome was frequency of adverse events (AE).

FINDINGS

Ninety-seven participants were included. Median age was 58, 82% were male, 78% had cirrhosis, most with portal hypertension (61%, n=46/76), and 18% had prior-LT. Of the cirrhotic participants, 96% were Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A and 4% were class B. Of the 72% with GT3, 76% were also cirrhotic. By intention-to-treat analysis, SVR12 rate was 85% (n=82/97). Per protocol, the SVR12 rate was 90%, including 91% in GT1 (GT1a n=18/18, GT1b n=2/4), 89% in GT3 (n=59/66) and 100% in GT6 (n=3/3). SVR12 in participants with GT3 and cirrhosis was 90%. No predictors of non-SVR12 were identified. There were four serious AEs including one death and three hepatic decompensation events. NS5A resistance-associated substitutions detected at baseline did not affect SVR12.

CONCLUSION

This real-world study confirms high efficacy of SOF/VEL/VOX for the treatment of difficult-to-cure NS5A-inhibitor experienced patients, including those with GT3 and cirrhosis. Treatment was well tolerated in most however serious AEs can occur in those with advanced liver disease.

Accuracy of point-of-care intestinal ultrasound for Crohn's disease

Background

Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS), performed by a gastroenterologist, provides safe and convenient imaging allowing for immediate clinical decision in Crohn's disease. The minimum training required to gain competency, its accuracy and clinical utility requires evaluation.

Methods

In this pilot study, Crohn's disease activity and extent were assessed using POCUS (performed by a single gastroenterologist following the completion of 200 supervised scans), magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) and ileo-colonoscopy. The presence of complications was assessed by POCUS and MRE. Accuracy of POCUS was analysed with respect to MRE and ileo-colonoscopy. Agreement between modalities was assessed using kappa coefficient.

Results

Forty-two patients had a POCUS paired with MRE. Thirty-eight patients had a POCUS paired with ileo-colonoscopy. When compared to MRE, POCUS was accurate in the assessment of disease activity (sensitivity 87.5%, specificity 61.1%, ROC 0.74), extent (sensitivity 77.8%, specificity 83.3%, ROC 0.81) and complications (sensitivity 85.7%, specificity 94.3%, ROC 0.90). Agreement between POCUS and MRE was moderate (kappa estimates 0.50, P < 0.001, 0.61, P < 0.001 and 0.76, P < 0.001) for disease activity, extent and complications, respectively. When compared to ileo-colonoscopy, POCUS was accurate in the assessment of disease activity (sensitivity 72%, specificity 86%, ROC 0.79) and extent (sensitivity 85.7%, specificity 86%, ROC 0.86). For POCUS and ileo-colonoscopy, kappa estimates were 0.55, P < 0.001 for disease activity and 0.62, P < 0.001 for disease extent.

Conclusion

POCUS performed by a gastroenterologist after completion of limited training is accurate for assessing Crohn's disease activity, extent and the presence of complications.

The impact of universal access to direct-acting antiviral therapy on the hepatitis C cascade of care among individuals attending primary and community health services

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C elimination will require widespread access to treatment and responses at the health-service level to increase testing among populations at risk. We explored changes in hepatitis C testing and the cascade of care before and after the introduction of direct-acting antiviral treatments in Victoria, Australia.

METHODS

De-identified clinical data were retrospectively extracted from eighteen primary care clinics providing services targeted towards people who inject drugs. We explored hepatitis C testing within three-year periods immediately prior to (pre-DAA period) and following (post-DAA period) universal access to DAA treatments on 1st March 2016. Among ever RNA-positive individuals, we constructed two care cascades at the end of the pre-DAA and post-DAA periods.

RESULTS

The number of individuals HCV-tested was 13,784 (12.2% of those with a consultation) in the pre-DAA period and 14,507 (10.4% of those with a consultation) in the post-DAA period. The pre-DAA care cascade included 2,515 RNA-positive individuals; 1,977 (78.6%) were HCV viral load/genotype tested; 19 (0.8%) were prescribed treatment; and 12 had evidence of cure (0.5% of those RNA-positive and 63.6% of those eligible for cure). The post-DAA care cascade included 3,713 RNA-positive individuals; 3,276 (88.2%) were HCV viral load/genotype tested; 1,674 (45.1%) were prescribed treatment; and 863 had evidence of cure (23.2% of those RNA-positive and 94.9% of those eligible for cure).

CONCLUSION

Marked improvements in the cascade of hepatitis C care among patients attending primary care clinics were observed following the universal access of DAA treatments in Australia, although improvements in testing were less pronounced.