Long-term risk of death in patients with infection attended by prehospital emergency services

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality based on variables available from early prehospital emergency attendance of patients with infection.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Prospective, observational, noninterventional multicenter study in adults with suspected infection transferred to 4 Spanish hospitals by advanced life-support ambulances from June 1, 2020, through June 30, 2022. We collected demographic, physiological, clinical, and analytical data. Cox regression analysis was used to develop and validate a risk model for 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

Four hundred ten patients were enrolled (development cohort, 287; validation cohort, 123). Cumulative mortality was 49% overall. Sepsis (infection plus a Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score of 2 or higher) was diagnosed in 29.2% of survivors vs 56.7% of nonsurvivors. The risk model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89 for 1-year mortality. The following predictors were included in the model: age; institutionalization; age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index; PaCO2; potassium, lactate, urea nitrogen, and creatinine levels; fraction of inspired oxygen; and diagnosed sepsis.

CONCLUSION

The model showed excellent ability to predict 1-year mortality based on epidemiological, analytical, and clinical variables, identifying patients at high risk of death soon after their first contact with the health care system.

Esophageal biomechanics assessed by impedance planimetry (EndoFLIPTM) in healthy subjects and in patients with eosinophilic esophagitis. Normality values

BACKGROUND

active eosinophilic esophagitis is associated with esophageal caliber, distensibility and motility changes that may be reversed with treatment.

OBJECTIVES

to study esophageal diameter, distensibility and contractility in healthy subjects compared to patients with eosinophilic esophagitis, both before and after treatment.

METHODS

a quasi-experimental study, EndoFLIP™, was used to analyze the esophageal body and esophago-gastric junction (EGJ) in all three groups, and a program was designed to obtain esophageal diameter, distensibility and contractility values.

RESULTS

ten healthy volunteers (24-61 years, six men) and nine patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (21-52 years, seven men) were included. The esophagogastric junction distensibility index was 5.07 mm2/Hg in the control subjects, 2.40 mm2/Hg in the subjects with eosinophilic esophagitis before treatment and 2.46 mm2/Hg after treatment. The distensibility plateau was 20.02 mm, 15.43 mm and 17.41 mm, respectively, and the diameter was 21.90 mm, 17.73 mm and 18.30 mm, showing significant differences (p < 0.05), except between control subjects and patients after treatment (p = 0.079). Repetitive antegrade contractions developed in 90 % of control subjects, 66.7 % of eosinophilic esophagitis patients before treatment and 88.9 % of the latter after treatment (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

esophago-gastric junction distensibility index, distensibility plateau and diameter values were higher in controls than in patients, although six weeks of treatment seems a short period to observe significant changes in esophageal biomechanics. Repetitive antegrade contractions are the predominant pattern in healthy subjects and eosinophilic esophagitis. We provide normality values for esophageal biomechanics, measured by impedance planimetry in our setting.

Relevant SARS-CoV-2 viremia is associated with COVID-19 severity: Prospective cohort study and validation cohort

Early kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 viral load (VL) in plasma determined by quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) was evaluated as a predictor of poor clinical outcome in a prospective study and assessed in a retrospective validation cohort. Prospective observational single-center study including consecutive adult patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between November 2020 and January 2021. Serial plasma samples were obtained until discharge. Quantitative RT-PCR was performed to assess SARS-CoV-2 VL. The main outcomes were in-hospital mortality, admission to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and their combination (Poor Outcome). Relevant viremia (RV), established in the prospective study, was assessed in a retrospective cohort including hospitalized COVID-19 patients from April 2021 to May 2022, in which plasma samples were collected according to clinical criteria. Prospective cohort: 57 patients were included. RV was defined as at least a twofold increase in VL within ≤2 days or a VL > 300 copies/ml, in the first week. Patients with RV (N = 14; 24.6%) were more likely to die than those without RV (35.7% vs. 0%), needed ICU admission (57% vs. 0%) or had Poor Outcome (71.4% vs. 0%), (p < 0.001 for the three variables). Retrospective cohort: 326 patients were included, 18.7% presented RV. Patients with RV compared with patients without RV had higher rates of ICU-admission (odds ratio [OR]: 5.6 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-15.1); p = 0.001), mortality (OR: 13.5 [95% CI: 6.3-28.7]; p < 0.0001) and Poor Outcome (OR: 11.2 [95% CI: 5.8-22]; p < 0.0001). Relevant SARS-CoV-2 viremia in the first week of hospitalization was associated with higher in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and Poor Outcome. Findings observed in the prospective cohort were confirmed in a larger validation cohort.