An Updated Simplified Severity Scale for Age-Related Macular Degeneration, Incorporating Reticular Pseudodrusen: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report No. 42

PURPOSE

To update the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) Simplified Severity Scale for risk of late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including incorporation of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD), and to perform external validation on the AREDS2.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of two clinical trial cohorts: AREDS and AREDS2.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants with no late AMD in either eye at baseline in AREDS (n=2719) and AREDS2 (n=1472).

METHODS

Five-year rates of progression to late AMD were calculated according to levels 0-4 on the Simplified Severity Scale, following two updates: (i) non-central GA considered part of the outcome rather than a risk feature, and (ii) scale separation according to RPD status (determined by validated deep learning grading of color fundus photographs).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Five-year rate of progression to late AMD (defined as neovascular AMD or any GA).

RESULTS

In the AREDS, following the first scale update, the five-year rates of progression to late AMD for levels 0-4 were 0.3%, 4.5%, 12.9%, 32.2%, and 55.6%, respectively. Following both updates, the proportion progressing to late AMD by five years was 8.4% in participants without RPD and 40.6% in those with RPD. As the final Simplified Severity Scale, the five-year progression rates for levels 0-4, respectively, were 0.3%, 4.3%, 11.6%, 26.7%, and 50.0%, for participants without RPD at baseline, and 2.8%, 8.0%, 29.0%, 58.7%, and 72.2%, for participants with RPD at baseline. In external validation on the AREDS2, for levels 2-4, the progression rates were similar, at 15.0%, 27.7%, and 45.7% (RPD absent) and 26.2%, 46.0%, and 73.0% (RPD present), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The AREDS AMD Simplified Severity Scale has been modernized with two important updates. The new scale for individuals without RPD has five-year progression rates of ∼0.5%, 4%, 12%, ∼25%, and 50%, such that the rates on the original scale remain accurate. The new scale for individuals with RPD has five-year progression rates of 3%, 8%, ∼30%, ∼60%, and ∼70%, i.e., approximately double for most levels. This scale fits updated definitions of late AMD, has increased prognostic accuracy, appears generalizable to similar populations, but remains simple for broad risk categorization.

Critical Dependence on Area in Relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype and Faster Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 33

PURPOSE

To analyze ARMS2/HTRA1 as a risk factor for faster geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement according to (1) GA area and (2) contiguous enlargement versus progression to multifocality.

DESIGN

Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) cohort analysis.

PARTICIPANTS

Eyes with GA: 546 eyes of 406 participants.

METHODS

Geographic atrophy area was measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area and proportional hazards regression of progression to multifocality were analyzed by ARMS2 genotype.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Change in square root GA area and progression to multifocality.

RESULTS

Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.195-0.252 mm/year), 0.298 mm/year (95% CI, 0.271-0.324 mm/year), and 0.317 mm/year (95% CI, 0.279-0.355 mm/year), for 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. However, a significant interaction (P = 0.011) was observed between genotype and baseline area. In eyes with very small area (< 1.9 mm2), enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.193 mm/year (95% CI, 0.162-0.225 mm/year) versus 0.304 mm/year (95% CI, 0.280-0.329 mm/year) for 0 versus 1 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. With moderately small (1.9-3.8 mm2) or medium to large (≥ 3.8 mm2) area, enlargement was not significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.66 and P = 0.70, respectively). In nonmultifocal GA, enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.001) at 0.175 mm/year (95% CI, 0.142-0.209 mm/year), 0.226 mm/year (95% CI, 0.193-0.259 mm/year), and 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.237-0.337 mm/year) with 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. ARMS2 genotype was not associated significantly with progression to multifocal GA.

CONCLUSIONS

The relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster GA enlargement depends critically on GA area: risk alleles represent a strong risk factor for faster enlargement only in eyes with very small area. They increase the growth rate more through contiguous enlargement than progression to multifocality. ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype is more important in increasing risk of progression to GA and initial GA enlargement (contiguously) than in subsequent enlargement or progression to multifocality. These findings may explain some discrepancies between previous studies and have implications for both research and clinical practice.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Dietary nutrient intake and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2

INTRODUCTION

The objective was to analyze associations between dietary intake of multiple nutrients and altered cognitive function and/or decline.

METHODS

Observational analyses of participants (n = 6334) in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

RESULTS

In AREDS, for 4 of 38 nutrients examined, higher intake quintiles were significantly associated with decreased risk of cognitive impairment on the Modified Mini-Mental State test (<80): β-carotene, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, and insoluble fiber. In AREDS2, for 13 of 44 nutrients, higher intake quintiles were associated with decreased risk on the Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30). Rate of cognitive decline over up to 10 years was not significantly different with higher intake of any nutrient.

DISCUSSION

Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including specific vitamins, minerals, carotenoids, fatty acids, and fiber, was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function.

Reticular Pseudodrusen Status, ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype, and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 32

PURPOSE

To determine whether reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) status, ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype, or both are associated with altered geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement rate and to analyze potential mediation of genetic effects by RPD status.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of an Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 cohort.

PARTICIPANTS

Eyes with GA: n = 771 from 563 participants.

METHODS

Geographic atrophy area was measured from fundus photographs at annual visits. Reticular pseudodrusen presence was graded from fundus autofluorescence images. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area was performed by RPD status, ARMS2 genotype, or both.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Change in square root of GA area.

RESULTS

Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster in eyes with RPD (P < 0.0001): 0.379 mm/year (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.329-0.430 mm/year) versus 0.273 mm/year (95% CI, 0.256-0.289 mm/year). Enlargement was also significantly faster in individuals carrying ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001): 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.198-0.250 mm/year), 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.263-0.310 mm/year), and 0.307 mm/year (95% CI, 0.273-0.341 mm/year) for 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In mediation analysis, the direct effect of ARMS2 genotype was 0.074 mm/year (95% CI, 0.009-0.139 mm/year), whereas the indirect effect of ARMS2 genotype via RPD status was 0.002 mm/year (95% CI, -0.006 to 0.009 mm/year). In eyes with incident GA, RPD presence was not associated with an altered likelihood of central involvement (P = 0.29) or multifocality (P = 0.16) at incidence. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, RPD presence was associated with faster GA progression to the central macula (P = 0.009): 157 μm/year (95% CI, 126-188 μm/year) versus 111 μm/year (95% CI, 97-125 μm/year). Similar findings were observed in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study.

CONCLUSIONS

Geographic atrophy enlargement is faster in eyes with RPD and in individuals carrying ARMS2/HTRA1 risk alleles. However, RPD status does not mediate the association between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster enlargement. Reticular pseudodrusen presence and ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype are relatively independent risk factors, operating by distinct mechanisms. Reticular pseudodrusen presence does not predict central involvement or multifocality at GA incidence but is associated with faster progression toward the central macula. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be considered for improved predictions of enlargement rate.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Extramacular Drusen and Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30

PURPOSE

To identify the prevalence of extramacular drusen and their role in the progression of age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

The study was conducted in 4168 eyes (2998 participants) with intermediate AMD in one or both eyes enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), a 5-year multicenter study of nutritional supplements.

METHODS

Baseline 3-field 30-degree color photographs were evaluated for drusen characteristics outside the macular grid, including size, area, and location. The characteristics of extramacular drusen were compared with those of drusen within the macula.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression rates to late AMD.

RESULTS

Although extramacular drusen were observed in 3624 (86.9%) eyes, they represented a small area (< 0.5 mm2) in 50.3% of eyes, with only 17.5% exhibiting an area of > 1 disc area. Eyes with extramacular drusen exhibited larger macular drusen size and area than eyes without extramacular drusen (P < 0.001). Extramacular drusen were not associated with progression to late AMD. The hazard ratio adjusted for baseline age, sex, smoking, AMD severity level, and reticular pseudodrusen for 4043 eyes at risk of developing late AMD over 5 years was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.88-1.54; P = 0.27) for geographic atrophy and 0.96 (95% CI, 0.76-1.2; P = 0.7) for neovascular AMD.

CONCLUSIONS

Extramacular drusen are commonly observed in eyes with AMD and are more frequent with an increasing drusen burden within the macula. In eyes with intermediate AMD, extramacular drusen do not confer additional risk to previously identified risk factors in progression to late AMD.

Association of Dietary Nitrate and a Mediterranean Diet With Age-Related Macular Degeneration Among US Adults: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2

Importance

Low dietary nitrate intake has previously been suggested to be a risk factor for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) progression; however, this finding has not been replicated in other cohorts or adjusted for dietary patterns.

Objective

To determine whether there is an association between dietary nitrate intake and AMD progression.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed data from the prospective Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2 randomized clinical trial cohorts and their extended follow-up studies, which were conducted in multicenter outpatient retinal practices. Participants in both trials had non-late AMD in at least 1 eye. Data were analyzed from March 1, 2020, to September 30, 2022.

Exposure

Dietary nitrate intake.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Association between dietary nitrate intake and development of late AMD (neovascular AMD [nAMD] or geographic atrophy [GA]) or large drusen. The interactions of dietary patterns, with common at-risk single-nucleotide polymorphisms, were also assessed.

Results

In the combined AREDS/AREDS2 cohort of 7788 participants (4288 AREDS participants and 3610 AREDS2 participants [110 of whom participated in both studies]), there were 13 511 eligible eyes. The combined cohort comprised 4396 women (56%) and 3392 men (44%), and the combined mean (SD) age was 71.1 (6.6) years. Dietary nitrate intake was associated with a decreased risk of progression to late AMD in the combined AREDS/AREDS2 cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77 [95% CI, 0.69-0.86] for quartile 4 vs quartile 1 of intake) and a decreased risk of GA (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.61-0.83]) and nAMD (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.73-0.99]). In AREDS, increased nitrate intake (quartile 4 vs quartile 1) was associated with a decreased risk of late AMD (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65-0.91]) and GA (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.65-0.97]) but not nAMD; in AREDS2, there was no association between nitrate intake (quartile 4 vs quartile 1) and late AMD (HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.80-1.02]) or nAMD (HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.78-1.11]). There was a correlation between Mediterranean dietary patterns and dietary nitrate intake (r = 0.52, P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

The findings of this cohort study suggest that dietary nitrate intake was associated with lower AMD risk. However, this association disappeared after adjusting for Mediterranean dietary patterns. These results are subject to potential bias and are hypothesis-generating in nature; therefore, they are insufficient to support new clinical recommendations. Previously described associations between dietary nitrate intake and AMD may in fact represent overall dietary patterns. Further research is needed before dietary nitrate intake can be recommended as a therapy for AMD.

Investigations of Renal Function and Age-Related Macular Degeneration Phenotypes

PURPOSE

To investigate potential associations between renal function and age-related macular degeneration (AMD) features as assessed with multimodal retinal imaging.

METHODS

A subset of participants included in a dark adaptation study with varying AMD severities had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values (mL/min/1.73 m2) obtained from renal function laboratory testing of serum creatinine and cystatin C. Multimodal imaging from visit dates associated with serum samples was graded by the Wisconsin Reading Center for AMD features. Associations of eGFR with AMD features and severity grades, age, smoker status and rod-intercept time were investigated. Simple univariate analyses, age-corrected multivariate analyses, and a feature-selecting least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were performed for eGFR as a continuous dependent variable.

RESULTS

A total of 110 patients (mean age, 75.1 ± 9.4 years; mean eGFR, 70.7 ± 18.2 mL/min/1.73 m2) were included. In univariate analyses age (estimate, -1.16 units/year; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.46 to -0.87; P < 0.0001), rod-intercept time (estimate, -0.54 units/minute; 95% CI, -0.81 to -0.27; P < 0.001) and subretinal drusenoid deposits (-11.12 units for subretinal drusenoid deposit presence in either eye; 95% CI, -20.23 to -2.01; P = 0.017) were associated with decreased renal function. However, in age-corrected multivariate models, age was the only significant variable associated with renal function, confirmed by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression.

CONCLUSIONS

Accounting for age, renal function parameters did not show an association with AMD features.

TRANSLATIONAL RELEVANCE

Bruch's membrane of the eye and the glomerular basement membrane of the kidney share physiologic similarities such that decreased renal function may demonstrate associations with AMD phenotypes.

Reticular Pseudodrusen: The Third Macular Risk Feature for Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30

PURPOSE

To analyze reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) as an independent risk factor for progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), alongside traditional macular risk factors (soft drusen and pigmentary abnormalities) considered simultaneously.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

PARTICIPANTS

Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS (6959 eyes, 3780 participants) and AREDS2 (3355 eyes, 2056 participants).

METHODS

Color fundus photographs (CFPs) from annual visits were graded for soft drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and late AMD. Presence of RPD was from grading of fundus autofluorescence images (AREDS2) and deep learning grading of CFPs (AREDS). Proportional hazards regression analyses were performed, considering AREDS AMD severity scales (modified simplified severity scale [person] and 9-step scale [eye]) and RPD presence simultaneously.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD.

RESULTS

In AREDS, for late AMD analyses by person, in a model considering the simplified severity scale simultaneously, RPD presence was associated with a higher risk of progression: hazard ratio (HR), 2.15 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.64). However, the risk associated with RPD presence differed at different severity scale levels: HR, 3.23 (95% CI, 1.60-6.51), HR, 3.81 (95% CI, 2.38-6.10), HR, 2.28 (95% CI, 1.59-3.27), and HR, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.20-2.24), at levels 0-1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Considering the 9-step scale (by eye), RPD presence was associated with higher risk: HR, 2.54 (95% CI, 2.07-3.13). The HRs were 5.11 (95% CI, 3.93-6.66) at levels 1-6 and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.43-2.22) at levels 7 and 8. In AREDS2, by person, RPD presence was not associated with higher risk: HR, 1.18 (95% CI, 0.90-1.56); by eye, it was HR, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.31-1.89). In both cohorts, RPD presence carried a higher risk for GA than neovascular AMD.

CONCLUSIONS

Reticular pseudodrusen represent an important risk factor for progression to late AMD, particularly GA. However, the added risk varies markedly by severity level, with highly increased risk at lower/moderate levels and less increased risk at higher levels. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be included in updated AMD classification systems, risk calculators, and clinical trials.

Adherence to a Mediterranean Diet and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement Rate: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 29

PURPOSE

To determine whether closer adherence to a Mediterranean diet was associated with altered speed of geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of a cohort within the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2.

PARTICIPANTS

The study included 1155 eyes (850 participants; mean age, 74.9 years) with GA at 2 or more visits.

METHODS

Geographic atrophy area was measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits. An alternative Mediterranean Diet index (aMedi) was calculated for each participant by food frequency questionnaire. Mixed-model regression of square root GA area was performed by aMedi.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Change in square root of GA area over time.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 3.1 years, the mean GA enlargement rate was 0.282 mm/year (95% confidence interval, 0.270-0.293). Enlargement was significantly slower in those with higher aMedi at 0.256 mm/year (0.236-0.276), 0.290 (0.268-0.311), and 0.298 (0.280-0.317; P = 0.008) for aMedi tertiles 3, 2, and 1, respectively. Of the 9 aMedi components considered separately, significant differences in enlargement rate were observed for 4 (whole fruit [P = 0.0004], red meat [P = 0.0002], alcohol [P = 0.006], and monounsaturated fatty acid to saturated fatty acid ratio ([MUFA:SFA] [P = 0.040]) but not for fish (P = 0.14). Enlargement was slower in those with higher whole fruit, lower red meat, moderate alcohol, and higher MUFA:SFA intake. In the 768 eyes with noncentral GA, aMedi was not associated with slower progression to central involvement: hazard ratios were 1.11 (0.83-1.48) and 0.95 (0.71-1.26) for tertiles 2 and 3, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A Mediterranean-type diet was associated with slower GA enlargement. Diet patterns like this may therefore lead to clinically meaningful delays in vision loss. Several components seemed to contribute most to this association in a pattern that differed from those most associated with decreased progression to GA. Hence, the Mediterranean diet is associated with protection against both faster progression to GA and faster enlargement of GA but for partially distinct reasons. These findings may help inform evidence-based dietary recommendations. Understanding the mechanisms responsible may provide insights into the underlying biology and lead to the development of nutritional supplements.

Long-term Outcomes of Adding Lutein/Zeaxanthin and ω-3 Fatty Acids to the AREDS Supplements on Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression: AREDS2 Report 28

Importance

After the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) study, the beta carotene component was replaced by lutein/zeaxanthin for the development of the revised AREDS supplement. However, it is unknown if the increased risk of lung cancer observed in those assigned beta carotene persists beyond the conclusion of the AREDS2 trial and if there is a benefit of adding lutein/zeaxanthin to the original AREDS supplement that can be observed with long-term follow-up.

Objective

To assess 10-year risk of developing lung cancer and late age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a multicenter epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 clinical trial, conducted from December 1, 2012, to December 31, 2018. Included in the analysis were participants with bilateral or unilateral intermediate AMD for an additional 5 years after clinical trial. Eyes/participants were censored at the time of late AMD development, death, or loss to follow-up. Data were analyzed from November 2019 to March 2022.

Interventions

During the clinical trial, participants were randomly assigned primarily to lutein/zeaxanthin and/or ω-3 fatty acids or placebo and secondarily to no beta carotene vs beta carotene and low vs high doses of zinc. In the epidemiologic follow-up study, all participants received AREDS2 supplements with lutein/zeaxanthin, vitamins C and E, and zinc plus copper. Outcomes were assessed at 6-month telephone calls. Analyses of AMD progression and lung cancer development were conducted using proportional hazards regression and logistic regression, respectively.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Self-reported lung cancer and late AMD validated with medical records.

Results

This study included 3882 participants (mean [SD] baseline age, 72.0 [7.7] years; 2240 women [57.7%]) and 6351 eyes. At 10 years, the odds ratio (OR) of having lung cancer was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.06-3.12; P = .02) for those randomly assigned to beta carotene and 1.15 (95% CI, 0.79-1.66; P = .46) for lutein/zeaxanthin. The hazard ratio (HR) for progression to late AMD comparing lutein/zeaxanthin with no lutein/zeaxanthin was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.84-0.99; P = .02) and comparing ω-3 fatty acids with no ω-3 fatty acids was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.93-1.09; P = .91). When the lutein/zeaxanthin main effects analysis was restricted to those randomly assigned to beta carotene, the HR was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.68-0.92; P = .002). A direct analysis of lutein/zeaxanthin vs beta carotene showed the HR for late AMD was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.73-0.98; P = .02). The HR for low vs high zinc was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.14; P = .49), and the HR for no beta carotene vs beta carotene was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.15; P = .48).

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this long-term epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 cohort suggest that lutein/zeaxanthin was an appropriate replacement for beta carotene in AREDS2 supplements. Beta carotene usage nearly doubled the risk of lung cancer, whereas there was no statistically significant increased risk with lutein/zeaxanthin. When compared with beta carotene, lutein/zeaxanthin had a potential beneficial association with late AMD progression.

Quantitative analysis of optical coherence tomography imaging in patients with different severities of hydroxychloroquine toxicity

PURPOSE

To determine the diagnostic validity of quantitative measures derived from optical coherence tomography (OCT) images in their ability to discriminate between cohorts of eyes unaffected by hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) and those with a range of toxicity severities, including mild toxicity.

METHODS

Prospective, single-centre, case-control study conducted between August 2010 and May 2017. Participants were exposed to HCQ for at least 5 years (mean±SD =14±7.2 years) and classified into affected and unaffected cohorts based on the American Academy of Ophthalmology's 2016 recommendations. For affected eyes, severity (groups 1-4) was assigned based on the extent of ellipsoid zone loss. For all eyes, spectral domain-OCT scans were analysed quantitatively to compute inner retinal thickness (IRT), outer retinal thickness (ORT), and minimum signal intensity (MI) and compared across toxicity groups.

RESULTS

Of the 85 participants (mean age 59±12 years, 93% female), 30 had retinal toxicity. Significant differences in ORT and MI were observed between each affected severity group and unaffected eyes. Significant differences in IRT were observed for groups 3-4 but not groups 1-2. ORT and MI were each able to discriminate between unaffected and group 1 eyes with the highest discrimination at the inner subfields (areas under the curve, AUC=0.96 for ORT and AUC=0.93 for MI).

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative analysis of OCT scans revealed significant differences between eyes with and without toxicity in two different measures. Each individual metric could discriminate between the unaffected and the lowest severity category, suggesting their potential utility in screening for HCQ toxicity in patients at risk.

Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration Among Individuals Homozygous for Risk Alleles on Chromosome 1 (CFH-CFHR5) or Chromosome 10 (ARMS2/HTRA1) or Both

IMPORTANCE

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a common cause of irreversible vision loss among individuals older than 50 years. Although considerable advances have been made in our understanding of AMD genetics, the differential effects of major associated loci on disease manifestation and progression may not be well characterized.

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate the specific associations of the 2 most common genetic risk loci for AMD, the CFH-CFHR5 locus on chromosome 1q32 (Chr1) and the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus on chromosome 10q26 (Chr10)-independent of one another and in combination-with time to conversion to late-stage disease and to visual acuity loss.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This case series study included 502 individuals who were homozygous for risk variants at both Chr1 and Chr10 (termed Chr1&10-risk) or at either Chr1 (Chr1-risk) or Chr10 (Chr10-risk) and who had enrolled in Genetic and Molecular Studies of Eye Diseases at the Sharon Eccles Steele Center for Translational Medicine between September 2009 and March 2020. Multimodal imaging data were reviewed for AMD staging, including grading of incomplete and complete retinal pigment epithelium and outer retinal atrophy.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Hazard ratios and survival times for conversion to any late-stage AMD, atrophic or neovascular, and associated vision loss of 2 or more lines.

RESULTS

In total, 317 participants in the Chr1-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 75.6 [69.5-81.7] years; 193 women [60.9%]), 93 participants in the Chr10-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 77.5 [72.2-84.2] years; 62 women [66.7%]), and 92 participants in the Chr1&10-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 71.7 [68.0-76.3] years; 62 women [67.4%]) were included in the analyses. After adjusting for age and AMD grade at first visit, compared with 257 participants in the Chr1-risk group, 56 participants in the Chr1&10-risk group (factor of 3.3 [95% CI, 1.6-6.8]; P < .001) and 58 participants in the Chr10-risk group (factor of 2.6 [95% CI, 1.3-5.2]; P = .007) were more likely to convert to a late-stage phenotype during follow-up. This difference was mostly associated with conversion to macular neovascularization, which occurred earlier in participants with Chr1&10-risk and Chr10-risk. Eyes in the Chr1&10-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 5.7 [2.1-11.1] years) were 2.1 (95% CI, 1.1-3.9; P = .03) times as likely and eyes in the Chr10-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 6.3 [2.7-11.3] years) were 1.8 (95% CI, 1.0-3.1; P = .05) times as likely to experience a visual acuity loss of 2 or more lines compared with eyes of the Chr1-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 9.4 [4.1-* (asterisk indicates event rate did not reach 75%)] years).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest differential associations of the 2 major AMD-related risk loci with structural and functional disease progression and suggest distinct underlying biological mechanisms associated with these 2 loci. These genotype-phenotype associations may warrant consideration when designing and interpreting AMD research studies and clinical trials.

Associations between Age-Related Eye Diseases and Charles Bonnet Syndrome in Participants of the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Report Number 26

Eyecare professionals should be aware of Charles Bonnet Syndrome (CBS), a phenomenon involving visual hallucinations in people with visual impairments. We examined prevalence of CBS among AREDS2 participants and its associations with age-related eye diseases.

Deep Learning Automated Diagnosis and Quantitative Classification of Cataract Type and Severity

PURPOSE

To develop and evaluate deep learning models to perform automated diagnosis and quantitative classification of age-related cataract, including all three anatomical types, from anterior segment photographs.

DESIGN

Application of deep learning models to Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) dataset.

PARTICIPANTS

18,999 photographs (6,333 triplets) from longitudinal follow-up of 1,137 eyes (576 AREDS participants).

METHODS

Deep learning models were trained to detect and quantify nuclear cataract (NS; scale 0.9-7.1) from 45-degree slit-lamp photographs and cortical (CLO; scale 0-100%) and posterior subcapsular (PSC; scale 0-100%) cataract from retroillumination photographs. Model performance was compared with that of 14 ophthalmologists and 24 medical students. The ground truth labels were from reading center grading.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Mean squared error (MSE).

RESULTS

On the full test set, mean MSE values for the deep learning models were: 0.23 (SD 0.01) for NS, 13.1 (SD 1.6) for CLO, and 16.6 (SD 2.4) for PSC. On a subset of the test set (substantially enriched for positive cases of CLO and PSC), for NS, mean MSE for the models was 0.23 (SD 0.02), compared to 0.98 (SD 0.23; p=0.000001) for the ophthalmologists, and 1.24 (SD 0.33; p=0.000005) for the medical students. For CLO, mean MSE values were 53.5 (SD 14.8), compared to 134.9 (SD 89.9; p=0.003) and 422.0 (SD 944.4; p=0.0007), respectively. For PSC, mean MSE values were 171.9 (SD 38.9), compared to 176.8 (SD 98.0; p=0.67) and 395.2 (SD 632.5; p=0.18), respectively. In external validation on the Singapore Malay Eye Study (sampled to reflect the distribution of cataract severity in AREDS), MSE was 1.27 for NS and 25.5 for PSC.

CONCLUSIONS

A deep learning framework was able to perform automated and quantitative classification of cataract severity for all three types of age-related cataract. For the two most common types (NS and CLO), the accuracy was significantly superior to that of ophthalmologists; for the least common type (PSC), the accuracy was similar. The framework may have wide potential applications in both clinical and research domains. In the future, such approaches may increase the accessibility of cataract assessment globally. The code and models are publicly available at https://XXX.

Cataract Surgery and the Risk of Developing Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 27

PURPOSE

To evaluate the risk of developing late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) following incident cataract surgery.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study within a randomized controlled clinical trial of oral supplementation for the treatment of AMD - the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2).

PARTICIPANTS

AREDS2 participants aged 50 to 85 years with either bilateral large drusen or unilateral late AMD.

METHODS

In eyes that were free of cataract surgery and late AMD at baseline, two groups were compared for incident late AMD: 1) eyes that received cataract surgery after the baseline visit and before any evidence of late AMD and 2) eyes that remained phakic until the study completion. Eyes that had at least 2 years of follow-up after cataract surgery were included in the analysis. We used Cox regression models, matched-pairs analysis, and logistic regression models that were adjusted for baseline age, sex, smoking, education, study treatment group, and AMD severity.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Late AMD was defined as the presence of geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD detected on annual stereoscopic fundus photographs or as documented by medical records, including intravitreous injections of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor medication.

RESULTS

A total of 1767 eligible eyes (1195 participants) received cataract surgery and 1981 eyes (1524 participants) developed late AMD during a mean (range) follow-up of 9 (1 - 12) years. The Cox regression model showed no increased risk of developing late AMD after cataract surgery: hazard ratios (Confidence Interval [CI]): 0.96 (0.8,1.13; p = 0.60) for the right eye and 1.05 (0.89,1.25; p = 0.56) for the left eye. Of the matched pairs, late AMD was identified in 412 eyes that received cataract surgery and in 433 phakic controls, resulting in an odds ratio (95% CI) of 0.92 (0.77,1.10; p = 0.34). The risk of late AMD after cataract surgery from the logistic regression model was not statistically significant (risk ratio [95%CI]: 0.92 [0.56,1.49], p = 0.73).

CONCLUSIONS

Cataract surgery did not increase the risk of developing late AMD among the AREDS2 participants with up to 10 years of follow-up. This study provides data for counselling AMD patients who might benefit from cataract surgery.

Assessing bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment and late age-related macular degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to investigate bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment and late age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

METHODS

Participants in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) received annual eye examinations and cognitive function testing (e.g., Modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status [TICS-M]). We examined bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment (e.g., a TICS-M score < 30) and late AMD at 5 and 10 years.

RESULTS

Five thousand one hundred eighty-nine eyes (3157 participants; mean age 72.7 years) were analyzed and followed for a median of 10.4 years. Eyes of participants with cognitive impairment at baseline were more likely to progress to late AMD at 5 years (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.43) and 10 years (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05-1.37) than eyes of participants without cognitive impairment. Worse baseline AMD severity was not associated with developing cognitive impairment.

DISCUSSION

Cognitive impairment is associated with late AMD progression in AREDS2. Our finding highlights the importance of eyecare for people with cognitive impairment.

Cluster analysis and genotype-phenotype assessment of geographic atrophy in age-related macular degeneration: AREDS2 Report 25

PURPOSE

To explore whether phenotypes in geographic atrophy (GA) secondary to age-related macular degeneration (AMD) can be separable into two or more partially distinct subtypes and if these have different genetic associations. This is important since the discovery of distinct GA subtypes associated with different genetic factors might require customized therapeutic approaches.

DESIGN

Cluster analysis of participants within a controlled clinical trial, followed by assessment of phenotype-genotype associations.

PARTICIPANTS

AREDS2 participants with incident GA during study follow-up: 598 eyes of 598 participants (median age 75.7y).

METHODS

Phenotypic features from reading center grading of fundus photographs were subjected to cluster analysis, by both k-means and hierarchical methods, in cross-sectional analyses (using 15 phenotypic features assessed principally at GA emergence) and longitudinal analyses (using 14 phenotypic features). In pre-specified hypothesis tests, identified clusters were compared by four pathway-based genetic risk scores (complement, extracellular matrix, lipid, and ARMS2). The analyses were repeated in reverse, i.e., clustering by genotype and comparison by phenotype.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Characteristics and quality of cluster solutions, assessed by Calinski-Harabasz scores, unexplained variance, and consistency; genotype-phenotype associations, assessed by t test.

RESULTS

In cross-sectional phenotypic analyses, k-means identified two clusters (labeled A, B), while hierarchical clustering identified four (C-F); A-E membership differed principally by GA configuration but in relatively few other ways. In longitudinal phenotypic analyses, k-means identified two clusters (G, H), which differed principally by smoking status but in relatively few other ways. These three sets of cluster divisions were not similar to each other (r ≤ 0.20). Despite adequate power, pairwise cluster comparison by the four genetic risk scores demonstrated no significant differences (p>0.05 for all). In clustering by genotype, k-means identified two clusters (I/J). These differed principally at ARMS2, but no significant genotype-phenotype associations were observed (p>0.05 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

Phenotypic clustering resulted in GA subtypes defined principally by GA configuration in cross-sectional analyses, but these were not replicated in longitudinal analyses. These negative findings, together with the absence of significant phenotype-genotype associations, indicate that GA phenotypes may vary continuously across a spectrum, rather than consisting of distinct subtypes that arise from separate genetic etiologies.

Multimodal, multitask, multiattention (M3) deep learning detection of reticular pseudodrusen: Toward automated and accessible classification of age-related macular degeneration

OBJECTIVE

Reticular pseudodrusen (RPD), a key feature of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), are poorly detected by human experts on standard color fundus photography (CFP) and typically require advanced imaging modalities such as fundus autofluorescence (FAF). The objective was to develop and evaluate the performance of a novel multimodal, multitask, multiattention (M3) deep learning framework on RPD detection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A deep learning framework (M3) was developed to detect RPD presence accurately using CFP alone, FAF alone, or both, employing >8000 CFP-FAF image pairs obtained prospectively (Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2). The M3 framework includes multimodal (detection from single or multiple image modalities), multitask (training different tasks simultaneously to improve generalizability), and multiattention (improving ensembled feature representation) operation. Performance on RPD detection was compared with state-of-the-art deep learning models and 13 ophthalmologists; performance on detection of 2 other AMD features (geographic atrophy and pigmentary abnormalities) was also evaluated.

RESULTS

For RPD detection, M3 achieved an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.832, 0.931, and 0.933 for CFP alone, FAF alone, and both, respectively. M3 performance on CFP was very substantially superior to human retinal specialists (median F1 score = 0.644 vs 0.350). External validation (the Rotterdam Study) demonstrated high accuracy on CFP alone (AUROC, 0.965). The M3 framework also accurately detected geographic atrophy and pigmentary abnormalities (AUROC, 0.909 and 0.912, respectively), demonstrating its generalizability.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the successful development, robust evaluation, and external validation of a novel deep learning framework that enables accessible, accurate, and automated AMD diagnosis and prognosis.

Association of 2-Year Progression Along the AREDS AMD Scale and Development of Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration or Loss of Visual Acuity: AREDS Report 41

Importance

The Age-Related Eye Disease Study age-related macular degeneration (AREDS AMD) scale is designed to classify AMD severity. The present cohort study explored whether 2-year progression along this scale was useful for estimating the risk of future progression to late AMD or best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) loss.

Objective

To assess whether 2-year progression along the AREDS AMD scale can be used to estimate the probability of long-term clinically meaningful outcome measures for clinical trials or epidemiologic studies.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Age-Related Eye Disease Study participants enrolled in a clinical trial of oral micronutrient supplements had annual color fundus photographs graded centrally using the AREDS AMD scale. Two-year progression (≥2-step and ≥3-step increases in AMD score between baseline and the 2-year study visit) was evaluated as a method of estimating the risk of long-term progression to late AMD or BCVA loss. The AREDS (1992-2001) was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial based at 11 retinal specialty clinics in the United States. The dates of analysis in the present cohort study were November 1992 through November 2005.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Development of neovascular (NV) AMD, central geographic atrophy (CGA), any geographic atrophy (GA), or BCVA loss of at least 2 lines or at least 3 lines.

Results

Among 3868 participants in the AREDS free of late AMD at baseline, the mean (SD) age was 68.3 (5.0) years, and 2180 of 3868 (56.4%) were women. In the first 2 years after randomization to the AREDS, 669 of 7458 (9.0%) of eyes had at least 2-step 2-year progression, and 275 of 7458 (3.7%) of eyes had at least 3-step 2-year progression. In the 5-year follow-up period (years 2-7), 486 of 7223 (6.7%) of eyes developed NV AMD, 339 of 7253 (4.7%) developed CGA, 726 of 7246 (10.0%) developed any GA, 2622 of 7095 (37.0%) had at least 2-line BCVA loss, and 1494 of 7155 (20.9%) had at least 3-line BCVA loss. After adjusting for demographic and clinical confounders and stratifying by baseline AMD score, statistically significant associations were observed between at least 2-step and at least 3-step 2-year progression of AMD score and subsequent 5-year development of NV AMD: hazard ratios (HRs) ranged from 3.6 (99% CI, 2.4-5.2) to 19.4 (99% CI, 7.7-48.9). For CGA, HRs ranged from 2.6 (99% CI, 1.7-4.0) to 4.7 (99% CI, 2.5-8.9); the results were similar for any GA. For at least 2-line and at least 3-line BCVA loss, HRs ranged from 1.3 (99% CI, 1.0-1.7) to 2.8 (99% CI, 1.8-4.3). For all outcomes, at least 3-step 2-year progression had stronger associations than at least 2-step 2-year progression. These findings were also validated in the AREDS2 cohort.

Conclusions and Relevance

Two-year progression of AMD score was associated with progression to clinically meaningful anatomic (late AMD) and vision (≥2-line or ≥3-line loss) outcomes, suggesting that this scale may be useful for future clinical trials designed to slow the progression of AMD.

Macular Thickness in Intermediate Age-Related Macular Degeneration Is Influenced by Disease Severity and Subretinal Drusenoid Deposit Presence

Purpose

To investigate how macular thickness varies with intermediate age-related macular degeneration (iAMD) severity and the presence of subretinal drusenoid deposits (SDDs).

Methods

A longitudinal prospective study of 143 participants >50 years of age with no to intermediate AMD who were followed with multimodal imaging and functional testing. Participants were stratified by iAMD severity according to imaging features. Macular thicknesses measurements over the central circles with 1-mm, 3-mm, and 6-mm diameters obtained from ocular coherence tomography imaging were compared across severity categories using cross-sectional (143 eyes) and longitudinal (subset of 77 eyes followed for 4 years) multivariate analyses.

Results

Compared with control eyes without large drusen or SDDs (Group 0), central maculas of lower risk eyes with unilateral large drusen (Group 1) were thicker (P = 0.014), whereas higher risk eyes with SDDs (Group SDD) were thinner (P = 0.02) in cross-sectional multivariate analyses. In longitudinal analyses, maculas with SDDs thinned more rapidly over 4 years relative to control eyes (P = 0.0058), which did not show significant thinning. More rapid central macular thinning was associated with worse baseline best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) (P = 0.016) and more rapid BCVA decline (P = 0.0059).

Conclusions

Macular thickness in iAMD varies with disease severity, showing small increases in eyes with large drusen and decreases in eyes with SDDs. Active processes possibly related to neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration may be contributory. Longitudinal central macular thickness evaluation is an accessible outcome measure relevant to functional measures and is potentially useful for iAMD interventional studies.

Deep Learning Automated Detection of Reticular Pseudodrusen from Fundus Autofluorescence Images or Color Fundus Photographs in AREDS2

PURPOSE

To develop deep learning models for detecting reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) using fundus autofluorescence (FAF) images or, alternatively, color fundus photographs (CFP) in the context of age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

DESIGN

Application of deep learning models to the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) dataset.

PARTICIPANTS

FAF and CFP images (n = 11 535) from 2450 AREDS2 participants. Gold standard labels from reading center grading of the FAF images were transferred to the corresponding CFP images.

METHODS

A deep learning model was trained to detect RPD in eyes with intermediate to late AMD using FAF images (FAF model). Using label transfer from FAF to CFP images, a deep learning model was trained to detect RPD from CFP (CFP model). Performance was compared with 4 ophthalmologists using a random subset from the full test set.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), κ value, accuracy, and F1 score.

RESULTS

The FAF model had an AUC of 0.939 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.927-0.950), a κ value of 0.718 (95% CI, 0.685-0.751), and accuracy of 0.899 (95% CI, 0.887-0.911). The CFP model showed equivalent values of 0.832 (95% CI, 0.812-0.851), 0.470 (95% CI, 0.426-0.511), and 0.809 (95% CI, 0.793-0.825), respectively. The FAF model demonstrated superior performance to 4 ophthalmologists, showing a higher κ value of 0.789 (95% CI, 0.675-0.875) versus a range of 0.367 to 0.756 and higher accuracy of 0.937 (95% CI, 0.907-0.963) versus a range of 0.696 to 0.933. The CFP model demonstrated substantially superior performance to 4 ophthalmologists, showing a higher κ value of 0.471 (95% CI, 0.330-0.606) versus a range of 0.105 to 0.180 and higher accuracy of 0.844 (95% CI, 0.798-0.886) versus a range of 0.717 to 0.814.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning-enabled automated detection of RPD presence from FAF images achieved a high level of accuracy, equal or superior to that of ophthalmologists. Automated RPD detection using CFP achieved a lower accuracy that still surpassed that of ophthalmologists. Deep learning models can assist, and even augment, the detection of this clinically important AMD-associated lesion.

Progression of Geographic Atrophy with Subsequent Exudative Neovascular Disease in Age-Related Macular Degeneration: AREDS2 Report 24

PURPOSE

To examine whether the rate of geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement is influenced by subsequent exudative neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) and hence, to explore indirectly whether nonexudative nAMD may slow GA enlargement.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of a controlled clinical trial cohort.

PARTICIPANTS

Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 participants 50 to 85 years of age.

METHODS

Baseline and annual stereoscopic color fundus photographs were evaluated for (1) GA presence and area and (2) exudative nAMD presence. Two cohorts were constructed: eyes with GA at study baseline (prevalent cohort) and eyes in which GA developed during follow-up (incident cohort). Mixed-model regression of the square root of GA area was performed according to the presence or absence of subsequent exudative nAMD.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Change over time in square root of GA area.

RESULTS

Of the 757 eyes in the incident GA cohort, over a mean follow-up of 2.3 years (standard deviation [SD], 1.2 years), 73 eyes (9.6%) demonstrated subsequent exudative nAMD. Geographic atrophy enlargement in these eyes was significantly slower (0.20 mm/year; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.12-0.28 mm/year) compared with the other 684 eyes in which subsequent exudative nAMD did not develop (0.29 mm/year; 95% CI, 0.27-0.30 mm/year; P = 0.037). Of the 456 eyes in the prevalent GA cohort, over a mean follow-up of 4.1 years (SD, 1.4 years), 63 eyes (13.8%) demonstrated subsequent exudative nAMD. Geographic atrophy enlargement in these eyes was similar (0.31 mm/year; 95% CI, 0.24-0.37 mm/year) compared with the other 393 eyes in which subsequent exudative nAMD did not develop (0.28 mm/year; 95% CI, 0.26-0.29 mm/year; P = 0.37).

CONCLUSIONS

In eyes with recent GA, GA enlargement before the development of exudative nAMD seems slowed. This association was not observed in eyes with more long-standing GA, which have larger lesion sizes. Hence, perilesional nonexudative choroidal neovascular tissue (presumably present before the development of clinically apparent exudation) may slow enlargement of smaller GA lesions through improved perfusion. This hypothesis warrants further evaluation in prospective studies.

Predicting risk of late age-related macular degeneration using deep learning

By 2040, age-related macular degeneration (AMD) will affect ~288 million people worldwide. Identifying individuals at high risk of progression to late AMD, the sight-threatening stage, is critical for clinical actions, including medical interventions and timely monitoring. Although deep learning has shown promise in diagnosing/screening AMD using color fundus photographs, it remains difficult to predict individuals' risks of late AMD accurately. For both tasks, these initial deep learning attempts have remained largely unvalidated in independent cohorts. Here, we demonstrate how deep learning and survival analysis can predict the probability of progression to late AMD using 3298 participants (over 80,000 images) from the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies AREDS and AREDS2, the largest longitudinal clinical trials in AMD. When validated against an independent test data set of 601 participants, our model achieved high prognostic accuracy (5-year C-statistic 86.4 (95% confidence interval 86.2-86.6)) that substantially exceeded that of retinal specialists using two existing clinical standards (81.3 (81.1-81.5) and 82.0 (81.8-82.3), respectively). Interestingly, our approach offers additional strengths over the existing clinical standards in AMD prognosis (e.g., risk ascertainment above 50%) and is likely to be highly generalizable, given the breadth of training data from 82 US retinal specialty clinics. Indeed, during external validation through training on AREDS and testing on AREDS2 as an independent cohort, our model retained substantially higher prognostic accuracy than existing clinical standards. These results highlight the potential of deep learning systems to enhance clinical decision-making in AMD patients.

Dietary Nutrient Intake and Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2

PURPOSE

To analyze associations between the dietary intake of multiple nutrients and risk of progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), its subtypes, and large drusen.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of 2 controlled clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

PARTICIPANTS

Eyes with no late AMD at baseline among AREDS participants (n = 4504) and AREDS2 participants (n = 3738) totaled 14 135 eyes. Mean age was 71.0 years (standard deviation, 6.7 years), and 56.5% of patients were women.

METHODS

Fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late AMD. Dietary intake of multiple nutrients was calculated from food frequency questionnaires.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), neovascular AMD, and (separate analyses) large drusen.

RESULTS

Over median follow-up of 10.2 years, of the 14 135 eyes, 32.7% progressed to late AMD. For 9 nutrients, intake quintiles 4 or 5 (vs. 1) were associated significantly (P ≤ 0.0005) with decreased risk of late AMD: vitamin A, vitamin B6, vitamin C, folate, β-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, and alcohol. For 3 nutrients, quintiles 4 or 5 were associated significantly with increased risk: saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. Similar results were observed for GA. Regarding neovascular AMD, 9 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk-vitamin A, vitamin B6, β-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, omega-3 fatty acid, and alcohol-and 3 nutrients were associated with increased risk-saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. In separate analyses (n = 5399 eyes of 3164 AREDS participants), 12 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk of large drusen.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including minerals, vitamins, and carotenoids, is associated with decreased risk of progression to late AMD. These associations are stronger for GA than for neovascular AMD. The same nutrients also tend to show protective associations against large drusen development. Strong genetic interactions exist for some nutrient-genotype combinations, particularly omega-3 fatty acids and CFH. These data may justify further research into underlying mechanisms and randomized trials of supplementation.

Retinal Specialist versus Artificial Intelligence Detection of Retinal Fluid from OCT: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: 10-Year Follow-On Study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the performance of retinal specialists in detecting retinal fluid presence in spectral domain OCT (SD-OCT) scans from eyes with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and compare performance with an artificial intelligence algorithm.

DESIGN

Prospective comparison of retinal fluid grades from human retinal specialists and the Notal OCT Analyzer (NOA) on SD-OCT scans from 2 common devices.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1127 eyes of 651 Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 10-year Follow-On Study (AREDS2-10Y) participants with SD-OCT scans graded by reading center graders (as the ground truth).

METHODS

The AREDS2-10Y investigators graded each SD-OCT scan for the presence/absence of intraretinal and subretinal fluid. Separately, the same scans were graded by the NOA.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Accuracy (primary), sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1-score.

RESULTS

Of the 1127 eyes, retinal fluid was present in 32.8%. For detecting retinal fluid, the investigators had an accuracy of 0.805 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.780-0.828), a sensitivity of 0.468 (95% CI, 0.416-0.520), a specificity of 0.970 (95% CI, 0.955-0.981). The NOA metrics were 0.851 (95% CI, 0.829-0.871), 0.822 (95% CI, 0.779-0.859), 0.865 (95% CI, 0.839-0.889), respectively. For detecting intraretinal fluid, the investigator metrics were 0.815 (95% CI, 0.792-0.837), 0.403 (95% CI, 0.349-0.459), and 0.978 (95% CI, 0.966-0.987); the NOA metrics were 0.877 (95% CI, 0.857-0.896), 0.763 (95% CI, 0.713-0.808), and 0.922 (95% CI, 0.902-0.940), respectively. For detecting subretinal fluid, the investigator metrics were 0.946 (95% CI, 0.931-0.958), 0.583 (95% CI, 0.471-0.690), and 0.973 (95% CI, 0.962-0.982); the NOA metrics were 0.863 (95% CI, 0.842-0.882), 0.940 (95% CI, 0.867-0.980), and 0.857 (95% CI, 0.835-0.877), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large and challenging sample of SD-OCT scans obtained with 2 common devices, retinal specialists had imperfect accuracy and low sensitivity in detecting retinal fluid. This was particularly true for intraretinal fluid and difficult cases (with lower fluid volumes appearing on fewer B-scans). Artificial intelligence-based detection achieved a higher level of accuracy. This software tool could assist physicians in detecting retinal fluid, which is important for diagnostic, re-treatment, and prognostic tasks.

Adherence to the Mediterranean Diet and Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2

PURPOSE

To determine whether closer adherence to a Mediterranean diet (and its individual components) was associated with altered risk of progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and large drusen. Additional objectives were to assess interactions with AMD genotype.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of 2 controlled clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

PARTICIPANTS

Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS participants (n = 4255) and AREDS2 participants (n = 3611): total of 13 204 eyes (7756 participants). Mean age was 71 years (standard deviation, 6.6); 56.5% were female.

METHODS

Color fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late AMD. The modified Alternative Mediterranean Diet Index (aMedi) score was calculated for each participant from food frequency questionnaires.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD; progression to large drusen.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 10.2 years, of the 13 204 eyes, 34.0% progressed to late AMD. Hazard ratios (HRs) for progression in aMedi tertile 3 versus 1 were 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.85, P < 0.0001) for late AMD, 0.71 (0.63-0.80, P < 0.0001) for GA, and 0.84 (0.75-0.95, P = 0.005) for neovascular AMD. For fish consumption, HRs for late AMD in quartile 4 versus 1 were 0.69 (0.58-0.82, P < 0.0001; AREDS) and 0.92 (0.78-1.07, P = 0.28; AREDS2). In AREDS, both aMedi and its fish component interacted with CFH rs10922109 for late AMD (P = 0.01 and P = 0.0005, respectively); higher aMedi and fish intake were each associated with decreased risk only in participants with protective alleles. In separate analyses (n = 5029 eyes of 3026 AREDS participants), the HR for progression to large drusen in aMedi tertile 3 versus 1 was 0.79 (0.68-0.93, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Closer adherence to a Mediterranean-type diet was associated with lower risk of progression to late AMD and to large drusen. The signal was greater for GA than neovascular AMD. Fish intake contributed to this protective association. CFH genotype strongly influenced these relationships. These findings may help inform evidence-based dietary recommendations.

Adherence to a Mediterranean diet and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 & 2

INTRODUCTION

The objective was to determine whether closer adherence to the alternative Mediterranean Diet (aMED) was associated with altered cognitive function.

METHODS

Observational analyses of participants (n = 7,756) enrolled in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

RESULTS

Odds ratios for cognitive impairment, in aMED tertile 3 (vs 1), were 0.36 (P = .0001) for Modified Mini-Mental State (<80) and 0.56 (P = .001) for composite score in AREDS, and 0.56 for Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30) and 0.48 for composite score (each P < .0001) in AREDS2. Fish intake was associated with higher cognitive function. In AREDS2, rate of cognitive decline over 5 to 10 years was not significantly different by aMED but was significantly slower (P = .019) with higher fish intake.

DISCUSSION

Closer Mediterranean diet adherence was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function. Apolipoprotein E (APOE) haplotype did not influence these relationships.

Association of Dietary and Supplementary Calcium Intake With Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report 39

Importance

Previous studies of the role of dietary and supplementary calcium in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) have produced mixed results, suggesting that supplementation and decreased dietary intake are both harmful.

Objective

To evaluate the association of baseline dietary and supplementary calcium intake with progression of AMD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This study involved secondary analyses of participants enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS). The AREDS study (1992-2001) enrolled patients from academic and community-based retinal practices in the United States. Men and women with varying severity of AMD were included. Data analysis for this article occurred from September 2015 to December 2018.

Exposures

Baseline self-reported dietary or supplementary calcium intake.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Development of late AMD, geographic atrophy (central or noncentral), or neovascular AMD detected on centrally graded baseline and annual fundus photographs.

Results

A total of 4751 participants were included (mean [SD] age, 69.4 [5.1] years); 4543 (95.6%) were white, and 2655 (55.9%) were female. Compared with those who were in the lowest quintile, the participants in the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing late AMD (hazard ratio [HR], 0.73 [95% CI, 0.59-0.90]), central geographic atrophy (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.48-0.86]), and any geographic atrophy (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.64-1.00]). The participants in the highest tertile of supplementary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing neovascular AMD (HR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.50-0.97]) compared with those who did not take calcium supplements. When stratified by sex, women in the highest quintile of dietary calcium intake had a lower risk of developing late AMD (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.56-0.97]) compared with those in the lowest quintile. Women in the highest tertile of calcium supplementation had a lower risk of progression to neovascular AMD (HR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.48-0.94]) compared with those who did not take calcium supplements. Similar findings were found in men for dietary calcium. Too few men took calcium supplements to allow for analyses.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this secondary analysis, higher levels of dietary and supplementary calcium intake were associated with lower incidence of progression to late AMD in AREDS participants. The results may be owing to uncontrolled confounding or chance and should be considered hypothesis development requiring additional study.

Incidence of Macular Atrophy after Untreated Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report 40

PURPOSE

To report the natural history of untreated neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) regarding subsequent macular atrophy.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort within a randomized, controlled trial of oral micronutrient supplements.

PARTICIPANTS

Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants (55-80 years) who demonstrated nAMD during follow-up (1992-2005), prior to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy.

METHODS

Color fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Incident macular atrophy after nAMD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and proportional hazards regression.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incident macular atrophy after nAMD.

RESULTS

Of the 4757 AREDS participants, 708 eyes (627 participants) demonstrated nAMD during follow-up and were eligible. The cumulative risks of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD were 9.6% (standard error, 1.2%), 31.4% (standard error, 2.2%), 43.1% (standard error, 2.6%), and 61.5% (standard error, 4.3%) at 2, 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively. This corresponded to a linear risk of 6.5% per year. The cumulative risk of central involvement was 30.4% (standard error, 3.2%), 43.4% (standard error, 3.8%), and 57.0% (standard error, 4.8%) at first appearance of atrophy, 2 years, and 5 years, respectively. Geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye was associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-2.49; P = 0.006). However, higher 52-single nucleotide polymorphism AMD genetic risk score was not associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17; P = 0.67). Similarly, no significant differences were observed according to SNPs at CFH, ARMS2, or C3.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD is relatively high, increasing linearly over time and affecting half of eyes by 8 years. Hence, factors other than anti-VEGF therapy are involved in atrophy development, including natural progression to GA. Comparison with studies of treated nAMD suggests it may not be necessary to invoke a large effect of anti-VEGF therapy on inciting macular atrophy, although a contribution remains possible. Central involvement is present in one third of eyes at the outset (similar to pure GA) and increases linearly to half at 3 years.

Prevalence, Risk, and Genetic Association of Reticular Pseudodrusen in Age-related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 21

PURPOSE

To determine the prevalence of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) in eyes with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), assess the role of RPD as an independent risk factor for late AMD development, and evaluate genetic association with RPD.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants with intermediate AMD in 1 or both eyes enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), a 5-year multicenter study of nutritional supplement.

METHODS

Fundus autofluorescence (FAF) images from a subset of AREDS2 participants were evaluated at annual visits for presence of RPD. Six single nucleotide polymorphisms-rs10490924 (ARMS2), rs1061170 (CFH), rs2230199 (C3), rs116503776 and rs114254831 (C2/CFB), and rs943080 (VEGF-A)-and the genetic risk score (GRS) were assessed for association with RPD. Development of late AMD, defined as geographic atrophy (GA) or neovascular AMD (NVAMD), was identified.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of RPD, odds ratio (OR) of late AMD development, and genetic associations of RPD.

RESULTS

The FAF images were evaluated for 5021 eyes (2516 participants). Reticular pseudodrusen were seen in 1186 eyes (24% of eyes, 29% of participants). Prevalence of RPD varied with baseline AREDS AMD severity level: 6% in early AMD (n = 458), 26% in intermediate AMD (n = 2606), 36% in GA (n = 682), and 19% in NVAMD (n = 1246). Mean age of participants with RPD was 79 years (standard deviation [SD], 7) and 75 years (SD, 8) in those without RPD (P < 0.0001). Reticular pseudodrusen were more frequent in female participants (65% RPD vs. 53% no RPD). Odds ratio adjusted for baseline age, gender, race, educational status, smoking, and AMD severity level for 1710 eyes at risk of developing late AMD at the next annual visit was 2.42 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.80-3.24; P < 0.001) for GA and 1.21 (95% CI, 0.87-1.7; P = 0.26) for NVAMD. Presence of RPD was significantly associated with higher GRS (P < 0.0001) and ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) and, at a nominal level, with C3 risk alleles (P = 0.04) and CFH risk alleles (P = 0.048 for homozygotes).

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with RPD have an increased risk of progression to GA but not NVAMD. ARMS2 risk alleles and higher GRS were associated with the presence of RPD. This study suggests that RPD are an important risk marker and should be included in classification systems used for patient prognosis.

The Association of Aspirin Use with Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 20

PURPOSE

To analyze the potential association between aspirin use and progression of age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

DESIGN

Two prospective cohort studies within 2 controlled clinical trials of oral supplementation for age-related eye disease.

PARTICIPANTS

Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants 55 to 80 years of age and AREDS2 participants 50 to 85 years of age.

METHODS

Propensity scores for aspirin use were calculated for AREDS and AREDS2 participants separately by logistic regression. Of the participants without late AMD (geographic atrophy [GA] or neovascular AMD) in either eye at study baseline, aspirin users were matched 1:1 with nonusers by propensity score (separately for AREDS and AREDS2). Proportional hazards regression was performed, adjusting for age, on the matched participants to evaluate associations between aspirin propensity score and progression to late AMD (and its subtypes).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to late AMD on color fundus photographs, graded centrally.

RESULTS

Of the 3734 eligible AREDS participants, 1049 (28.1%) were taking aspirin, and of the 2403 eligible AREDS2 participants, 1198 (49.9%) were taking aspirin. After matching by propensity score, the characteristics of the users and nonusers were similar in both studies. Of the 1950 matched AREDS participants and 1694 matched AREDS2 participants, over a median follow-up of 10.1 years and 5.0 years, respectively, the numbers who progressed to late AMD, GA, or neovascular AMD were 454 (23.3%), 345 (17.7%), and 278 (14.3%), respectively, in AREDS and 643 (38.0%), 402 (24.6%), and 341 (20.1%) in AREDS2. The hazard ratios of progression in quintile 5 (highest propensity for aspirin use) versus 1 (reference) were 1.17 (P = 0.35), 1.24 (0.25), and 0.95 (0.81), respectively, in AREDS and 1.26 (0.09), 1.46 (0.03), and 1.12 (0.58) in AREDS2. No significant association with progression to late AMD was observed for quintiles 2 through 5 for any of the 3 outcomes in either study.

CONCLUSIONS

Aspirin use was not associated significantly with progression to late AMD or its subtypes in either the AREDS or AREDS2. Patients with AMD need not avoid aspirin for this reason when its use is medically indicated.

A Deep Learning Approach for Automated Detection of Geographic Atrophy from Color Fundus Photographs

PURPOSE

To assess the utility of deep learning in the detection of geographic atrophy (GA) from color fundus photographs and to explore potential utility in detecting central GA (CGA).

DESIGN

A deep learning model was developed to detect the presence of GA in color fundus photographs, and 2 additional models were developed to detect CGA in different scenarios.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 59 812 color fundus photographs from longitudinal follow-up of 4582 participants in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) dataset. Gold standard labels were from human expert reading center graders using a standardized protocol.

METHODS

A deep learning model was trained to use color fundus photographs to predict GA presence from a population of eyes with no AMD to advanced AMD. A second model was trained to predict CGA presence from the same population. A third model was trained to predict CGA presence from the subset of eyes with GA. For training and testing, 5-fold cross-validation was used. For comparison with human clinician performance, model performance was compared with that of 88 retinal specialists.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision.

RESULTS

The deep learning models (GA detection, CGA detection from all eyes, and centrality detection from GA eyes) had AUCs of 0.933-0.976, 0.939-0.976, and 0.827-0.888, respectively. The GA detection model had accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precision of 0.965 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.959-0.971), 0.692 (0.560-0.825), 0.978 (0.970-0.985), and 0.584 (0.491-0.676), respectively, compared with 0.975 (0.971-0.980), 0.588 (0.468-0.707), 0.982 (0.978-0.985), and 0.368 (0.230-0.505) for the retinal specialists. The CGA detection model had values of 0.966 (0.957-0.975), 0.763 (0.641-0.885), 0.971 (0.960-0.982), and 0.394 (0.341-0.448). The centrality detection model had values of 0.762 (0.725-0.799), 0.782 (0.618-0.945), 0.729 (0.543-0.916), and 0.799 (0.710-0.888).

CONCLUSIONS

A deep learning model demonstrated high accuracy for the automated detection of GA. The AUC was noninferior to that of human retinal specialists. Deep learning approaches may also be applied to the identification of CGA. The code and pretrained models are publicly available at https://github.com/ncbi-nlp/DeepSeeNet.

DeepSeeNet: A Deep Learning Model for Automated Classification of Patient-based Age-related Macular Degeneration Severity from Color Fundus Photographs

PURPOSE

In assessing the severity of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) Simplified Severity Scale predicts the risk of progression to late AMD. However, its manual use requires the time-consuming participation of expert practitioners. Although several automated deep learning systems have been developed for classifying color fundus photographs (CFP) of individual eyes by AREDS severity score, none to date has used a patient-based scoring system that uses images from both eyes to assign a severity score.

DESIGN

DeepSeeNet, a deep learning model, was developed to classify patients automatically by the AREDS Simplified Severity Scale (score 0-5) using bilateral CFP.

PARTICIPANTS

DeepSeeNet was trained on 58 402 and tested on 900 images from the longitudinal follow-up of 4549 participants from AREDS. Gold standard labels were obtained using reading center grades.

METHODS

DeepSeeNet simulates the human grading process by first detecting individual AMD risk factors (drusen size, pigmentary abnormalities) for each eye and then calculating a patient-based AMD severity score using the AREDS Simplified Severity Scale.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Overall accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, Cohen's kappa, and area under the curve (AUC). The performance of DeepSeeNet was compared with that of retinal specialists.

RESULTS

DeepSeeNet performed better on patient-based classification (accuracy = 0.671; kappa = 0.558) than retinal specialists (accuracy = 0.599; kappa = 0.467) with high AUC in the detection of large drusen (0.94), pigmentary abnormalities (0.93), and late AMD (0.97). DeepSeeNet also outperformed retinal specialists in the detection of large drusen (accuracy 0.742 vs. 0.696; kappa 0.601 vs. 0.517) and pigmentary abnormalities (accuracy 0.890 vs. 0.813; kappa 0.723 vs. 0.535) but showed lower performance in the detection of late AMD (accuracy 0.967 vs. 0.973; kappa 0.663 vs. 0.754).

CONCLUSIONS

By simulating the human grading process, DeepSeeNet demonstrated high accuracy with increased transparency in the automated assignment of individual patients to AMD risk categories based on the AREDS Simplified Severity Scale. These results highlight the potential of deep learning to assist and enhance clinical decision-making in patients with AMD, such as early AMD detection and risk prediction for developing late AMD. DeepSeeNet is publicly available on https://github.com/ncbi-nlp/DeepSeeNet.

Progression of Geographic Atrophy in Age-related Macular Degeneration: AREDS2 Report Number 16

PURPOSE

To analyze the prevalence, incidence, and clinical characteristics of eyes with geographic atrophy (GA) in age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including clinical and genetic factors affecting enlargement.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study within a controlled clinical trial.

PARTICIPANTS

Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) participants, aged 50-85 years.

METHODS

Baseline and annual stereoscopic color fundus photographs were evaluated for GA presence and area. Analyses included GA prevalence and incidence rates, Kaplan-Meier rates, mixed-model regression, and multivariable analysis of the square root of GA, area adjusted for covariates, including clinical/imaging characteristics and genotype.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

(1) Presence or development of GA; (2) change in the square root of GA area over time.

RESULTS

At baseline, 517 eyes (6.2%) of 411 participants (9.8%) had pre-existing GA (without neovascular AMD), with the following characteristics: 33% central, 67% noncentral; and the following configurations: 36% small, 26% solid/unifocal, 24% multifocal, 9% horseshoe/ring, and 6% indeterminate. Of the remaining 6530 eyes at risk, 1099 eyes (17.3%) of 883 participants developed incident GA without prior neovascular disease during mean follow-up of 4.4 years. The Kaplan-Meier rate of incident GA was 19% of eyes at 5 years. In eyes with incident GA, 4-year risk of subsequent neovascular AMD was 29%. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, 4-year risk of central involvement was 57%. GA enlargement rate (following square root transformation) was similar in eyes with pre-existing GA (0.29 mm/year; 95% confidence interval 0.27-0.30) and incident GA (0.28 mm/year; 0.27-0.30). In the combined group, GA enlargement was significantly faster with noncentrality, multifocality, intermediate baseline size, and bilateral GA (P < 0.0001 for interaction in each case) but not with AREDS2 treatment assignment (P = 0.33) or smoking status (P = 0.05). Enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk (P < 0.0001), C3 non-risk (P = 0.0002), and APOE non-risk (P = 0.001) genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Analyses of AREDS2 data on natural history of GA provide representative data on GA evolution and enlargement. GA enlargement, which was influenced by lesion features, was relentless, resulting in rapid central vision loss. The genetic variants associated with faster enlargement were partially distinct from those associated with risk of incident GA. These findings are relevant to further investigations of GA pathogenesis and clinical trial planning.

A Deep Phenotype Association Study Reveals Specific Phenotype Associations with Genetic Variants in Age-related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) Report No. 14

PURPOSE

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a multifactorial disease with variable phenotypic presentation, was associated with 52 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 34 loci in a genome-wide association study (GWAS). These genetic variants could modulate different biological pathways involved in AMD, contributing to phenotypic variability. To better understand the effects of these SNPs, we performed a deep phenotype association study (DeePAS) in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), followed by replication using AREDS participants, to identify genotype associations with AMD and non-AMD ocular and systemic phenotypes.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

AREDS and AREDS2 participants.

METHODS

AREDS2 participants (discovery cohort) had detailed phenotyping for AMD; other eye conditions; cardiovascular, neurologic, gastrointestinal, and endocrine disease; cognitive function; serum nutrient levels; and others (total of 139 AMD and non-AMD phenotypes). Genotypes of the 52 GWAS SNPs were obtained. The DeePAS was performed by correlating the 52 SNPs to all phenotypes using logistic and linear regression models. Associations that reached Bonferroni-corrected statistical significance were replicated in AREDS.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Genotype-phenotype associations.

RESULTS

A total of 1776 AREDS2 participants had 5 years follow-up; 1435 AREDS participants had 10 years. The DeePAS revealed a significant association of the rs3750846 SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) hemorrhage related to neovascular AMD (odds ratio 1.55 [95% confidence interval 1.31-1.84], P = 2.67 × 10-7). This novel association remained significant after conditioning on participants with neovascular AMD (P = 2.42 × 10-4). Carriers of rs3750846 had poorer visual acuity during follow-up (P = 6.82 × 10-7) and were more likely to have a first-degree relative with AMD (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Two SNPs at the CFH locus, rs10922109 and rs570618, were associated with the drusen area in the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study Report (ETDRS) grid (P = 2.29 × 10-11 and P = 3.20 × 10-9, respectively) and the center subfield (P = 1.24 × 10-9 and P = 6.68 × 10-8, respectively). SNP rs570618 was additionally associated with the presence of calcified drusen (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Except for positive family history of AMD with rs3750846, all genotype-phenotype associations were significantly replicated in AREDS. No pleiotropic associations were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

The association of the SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-RPE hemorrhage and poorer visual acuity and of SNPs at the CFH locus with drusen area may provide new insights in pathophysiological pathways underlying different stages of AMD.

Association of Mortality with Ocular Diseases and Visual Impairment in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 13

PURPOSE

To evaluate the association of mortality with visual acuity (VA) impairment, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and cataract surgery.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants with at least intermediate AMD enrolled in a randomized controlled clinical trial of lutein/zeaxanthin and/or omega-3 fatty acids, the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), for treatment of AMD and cataract.

METHODS

Baseline and annual eye examinations included best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) assessments, slit-lamp examinations, and stereoscopic fundus photographs that were centrally graded for development of late AMD (central geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD) or pseudophakia. Cause-specific mortality was determined on the basis of the International Classification of Diseases 9th or 10th Revision codes. Risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality was assessed with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, AMD severity, VA, history of cataract surgery, and assigned AREDS2 study treatment. Analyses included baseline covariates: race, education, smoking status, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median 5 years), 368 (9%) of the 4203 AREDS2 participants died. Participants with neovascular AMD in 1 eye at baseline had a statistically significant increased risk for mortality compared with participants with no or few drusen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-2.01; P < 0.001). Poorer survival was associated with bilateral cataract surgery before enrollment compared with baseline bilateral phakia (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.29-2.07; P < 0.001) and with BCVA of less than 20/40 compared with participants with 20/40 or better (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.06-2.30; P = 0.024), adjusted for age, sex, and statistically significant covariates. Participants who received antivascular endothelial growth factor therapies for neovascular AMD had decreased mortality compared with those who did not (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88; P = 0.002). The association between all-cause mortality and AREDS2 treatment whether assessing the main or individual treatment effect was not significantly different (omega-3 fatty acids main effect HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.96-1.45; P = 0.12; lutein/zeaxanthin main effect HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.85-1.28; P = 0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

In AREDS2, the presence of late AMD, bilateral cataract surgery, and VA less than 20/40 was associated with decreased survival. However, oral supplementation with omega-3 fatty acids, lutein plus zeaxanthin, zinc, or beta-carotene had no statistically significant impact on mortality.

Evaluating the Validity of the Age-Related Eye Disease Study Grading Scale for Age-Related Macular Degeneration: AREDS2 Report 10

IMPORTANCE

To test potential treatments for age-related macular degeneration (AMD), clinical trials need standardized outcome measures that are valid for predicting AMD progression in different study populations.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the validity of the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) detailed and simple AMD severity scales by comparing rates of development of late AMD (neovascular AMD and/or central geographic atrophy) between AREDS and AREDS2 participants.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Both AREDS (1992-2001) and AREDS2 (2006-2012) enrolled patients from academic and community-based retinal practices across the United States. In AREDS (n = 4519), participants with varying severity of AMD-from no AMD to late AMD in 1 eye-were enrolled. In AREDS2 (n = 4203), participants with bilateral large drusen or large drusen in the study eye and late AMD in the fellow eye were enrolled.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Five-year incidence of late AMD, assessed by annual masked centralized fundus photograph grading.

RESULTS

In AREDS, the mean (SD) age of the patients was 69.3 (5.7) years, and 2519 (55.7%) were female. In AREDS2, the mean (SD) age of the patients was 73.1 (7.7) years, and 2388 (56.8%) were female. The 5-year rates of late AMD did not differ between AREDS2 and AREDS participants within nearly all baseline AMD detailed severity scale levels: levels 1 to 3: 2.4% vs 0.5% (difference, 1.9%; 95% CI, -0.2% to 4.0%; P < .001); level 4: 6.5% vs 4.9% (difference, 1.6%; 95% CI, -1.7% to 4.8%; P = .34); level 5: 8.0% vs 5.6% (difference, 2.4%; 95% CI, -1.2% to 5.9%; P = .22); level 6: 12.8% vs 13.7% (difference, -0.9%; 95% CI, -4.8% to 3.1%; P = .66); level 7: 26.2% vs 27.8% (difference, -1.5%; 95% CI, -6.6% to 3.5%; P = .54); and level 8: 46.4% vs 44.7% (difference, 1.7%; 95% CI, -7.5% to 10.9%; P = .72). Within simple scale levels, AREDS2 and AREDS 5-year rates did not differ significantly except for level 1 (9.4% vs 3.1%, P = .02; level 2: 12.8% vs 11.8%, P = .65; level 3: 26.3% vs 25.9%, P = .90; and level 4: 45.6% vs 47.3%, P = .57).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The AREDS detailed and simple AMD severity scales were useful measures for assessing the risk of developing late AMD in the AREDS2 population; these data suggest that they should be useful tools for clinical trials of AMD treatments.

Evolution of Geographic Atrophy in Participants Treated with Ranibizumab for Neovascular Age-related Macular Degeneration

PURPOSE

To evaluate the risk factors, incidence, and rate of progression of geographic atrophy (GA) in eyes with neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) treated with ranibizumab.

DESIGN

Post-hoc analysis of a prospective clinical study.

PARTICIPANTS

69 participants with nAMD in at least one eye.

METHODS

Participants were prospectively treated in the study eye with 0.5 mg intravitreal ranibizumab. Study eyes received 4 monthly injections followed by pro re nata injections until a fluid-free macula was achieved on optical coherence tomography. Risk factors assessed included baseline demographics, treatment, and ocular characteristics on imaging. Eyes were evaluated on fundus autofluorescence (FAF) for GA. The rate of GA area growth in study and fellow eyes was analyzed by linear regression of square-root transformed areas.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Development of new-onset GA and rate of GA area growth measured on ocular imaging, including FAF images of the study eyes.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine participants (mean age 78.8±7.8 years) with an average of 40.0±13.6 months of follow-up were analyzed. Twenty-two of 69 study eyes (32%) were treatment naïve. During their first year of the study, participants received an average of 9.2±3.3 injections in the study eye. Of 63 study eyes with quality baseline images, 22 (35%) had pre-existing GA. Of the remaining 41 eyes, 7 (17%) developed new-onset GA during study follow-up. Those who developed new GA were older (all ≥79 years old) and had received fewer study injections on average (6.9 vs. 10.4 injections at 1 year) compared to those who did not develop new GA. Of the 12 treatment naïve study eyes without GA at baseline, 1 (8.3%) developed new GA during the study. In 21 study eyes with quantifiable GA area, eyes with GA present at baseline (16/21) enlarged by 0.34±0.26 mm/year, compared to 0.19±0.12 mm/year in eyes developing new-onset GA (5/21).

CONCLUSIONS

While 17% of study eyes without GA present at baseline receiving ranibizumab developed new GA, the role of ranibizumab in the development of GA is unclear. Further prospective longitudinal studies are required to determine the eyes most at risk of developing GA in the setting of anti-VEGF treatment.

Elevated CD1c+ Myeloid Dendritic Cell Proportions Associate With Clinical Activity and Predict Disease Reactivation in Noninfectious Uveitis

PURPOSE

To test the association between elevated proportions of CD1c+ myeloid dendritic cells (mDCs) and disease activation/reactivation in noninfectious uveitis.

METHODS

Noninfectious uveitis patients (n = 89) and healthy controls (n = 111) were recruited. The proportion of CD1c+ mDCs in the total dendritic cell (DC) population of peripheral blood was measured by flow cytometry (CD1c+ mDCs gated on Lineage 1+HLADR+ DCs). Disease activity was assessed per Standardization of Uveitis Nomenclature criteria. Uveitis reactivation was ascribed to clinically quiescent patients who developed reactivation of intraocular inflammation within 6 months.

RESULTS

The proportions of CD1c+ mDCs were increased in noninfectious uveitis patients, especially in active disease, compared to healthy controls. This CD1c+ mDC elevation was not associated with underlying systemic diseases, anatomic locations of uveitis, medications, or demographic factors. Longitudinal data showed that the dynamics of CD1c+ mDC levels were correlated with disease activity. The average proportion of CD1c+ mDCs in active uveitis patients was 60% so we set this as the cutoff between high and low CD1c+ mDC levels. Although 74% of quiescent patients had low proportions of CD1c+ mDCs, 26% still had high proportions. Quiescent patients with high CD1c+ mDC proportions showed increased risk of disease reactivation, compared to quiescent patients with low CD1c+ mDC proportions.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased proportions of CD1c+ mDCs were associated with clinical activity, and quiescent patients with elevated CD1c+ mDCs were more likely to undergo reactivation. This suggests that CD1c+ mDC proportion may be a potential biomarker for assessing clinical activation and reactivation in noninfectious uveitis.

Evaluation of Geographic Atrophy from Color Photographs and Fundus Autofluorescence Images: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 11

PURPOSE

To compare measurements of area of geographic atrophy (GA) and change in GA area from color photographs and fundus autofluorescence (FAF) images.

DESIGN

The Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) was a prospective multicenter randomized clinical trial evaluating progression of dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD) using color photographs at annual visits over a 5-year study period. The FAF images were acquired in a subset of participants who joined the FAF ancillary study at any of the annual visits over the study period.

PARTICIPANTS

The AREDS2 FAF ancillary study included 8070 corresponding color and FAF visits of 2202 participants with variable follow-up.

METHODS

Corresponding color and FAF images were independently evaluated at a central reading center for GA area measurement, lesion growth, and involvement of the macula center.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Presence, area, growth rate of GA, and involvement of center of macula from color and FAF images.

RESULTS

Hypoautofluorescence was visible in 2048 visits (25.4%). Agreement for the presence of GA between the 2 modalities had a kappa of 0.79, with 23% of visits with hypoautofluorescence not presenting with GA on color photographs. Percentage agreement for GA presence ranged from 43% at baseline to 81% at year 5 with improving agreement over time. The mean difference in GA area between the 2 modalities was 0.5 mm², with larger areas on FAF. Growth rate of GA was 1.45 mm² from color photographs and 1.43 mm² from FAF images. The center of the macula was involved in 51% of color photographs and 56% with FAF images.

CONCLUSIONS

Geographic atrophy may be detected earlier by the use of FAF images, but over the course of the study, the 2 modalities become comparable. Progression of GA area is comparable between color photographs and FAF images, but evaluating involvement of the center of the macula may differ, probably because of macular pigmentation blocking autofluorescence.

No Sex Differences in the Frequencies of Common Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms Associated with Age-Related Macular Degeneration

PURPOSE

Since some studies have reported differences in the association of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with biological sex, we set out to determine whether the difference in the disease susceptibility is afforded by common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AMD.

METHODS

We genotyped 2067 Caucasian subjects from the Age-Related Eye Disease Study cohort for commonly associated AMD SNPs, including those in CFH (rs1061170, rs1410996, and rs3766404), ARMS2 (rs10490924), and C3 (rs2230199) using either a Sequenom MassARRAY MALDI-TOF mass spectrometer or using Taqman genotyping reagents. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the effect of genotype, age, sex, and smoking status on the development of AMD.

RESULTS

All tested SNPs genotyped are associated strongly with AMD (p < 0.0001), in concordance with previous studies. However, we found no observable differences in any of the SNPs studied when categorized by sex. Interactions between SNPs and sex were found to be not statistically significant (p = 0.38-0.79).

CONCLUSIONS

The difference between male and female incidence of AMD is not explained by the most commonly AMD-associated SNPs, though it does not exclude the possibility that other, less common SNPs contribute to this difference.

Effect of Omega-3 Fatty Acids, Lutein/Zeaxanthin, or Other Nutrient Supplementation on Cognitive Function: The AREDS2 Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Observational data have suggested that high dietary intake of saturated fat and low intake of vegetables may be associated with increased risk of Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE

To test the effects of oral supplementation with nutrients on cognitive function.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In a double-masked randomized clinical trial (the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 [AREDS2]), retinal specialists in 82 US academic and community medical centers enrolled and observed participants who were at risk for developing late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) from October 2006 to December 2012. In addition to annual eye examinations, several validated cognitive function tests were administered via telephone by trained personnel at baseline and every 2 years during the 5-year study.

INTERVENTIONS

Long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LCPUFAs) (1 g) and/or lutein (10 mg)/zeaxanthin (2 mg) vs placebo were tested in a factorial design. All participants were also given varying combinations of vitamins C, E, beta carotene, and zinc.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome was the yearly change in composite scores determined from a battery of cognitive function tests from baseline. The analyses, which were adjusted for baseline age, sex, race, history of hypertension, education, cognitive score, and depression score, evaluated the differences in the composite score between the treated vs untreated groups. The composite score provided an overall score for the battery, ranging from -22 to 17, with higher scores representing better function.

RESULTS

A total of 89% (3741/4203) of AREDS2 participants consented to the ancillary cognitive function study and 93.6% (3501/3741) underwent cognitive function testing. The mean (SD) age of the participants was 72.7 (7.7) years and 57.5% were women. There were no statistically significant differences in change of scores for participants randomized to receive supplements vs those who were not. The yearly change in the composite cognitive function score was -0.19 (99% CI, -0.25 to -0.13) for participants randomized to receive LCPUFAs vs -0.18 (99% CI, -0.24 to -0.12) for those randomized to no LCPUFAs (difference in yearly change, -0.03 [99% CI, -0.20 to 0.13]; P = .63). Similarly, the yearly change in the composite cognitive function score was -0.18 (99% CI, -0.24 to -0.11) for participants randomized to receive lutein/zeaxanthin vs -0.19 (99% CI, -0.25 to -0.13) for those randomized to not receive lutein/zeaxanthin (difference in yearly change, 0.03 [99% CI, -0.14 to 0.19]; P = .66). Analyses were also conducted to assess for potential interactions between LCPUFAs and lutein/zeaxanthin and none were found to be significant.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among older persons with AMD, oral supplementation with LCPUFAs or lutein/zeaxanthin had no statistically significant effect on cognitive function.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00345176.