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Naghavi M, Mestrovic T, Gray A, Gershberg Hayoon A, Swetschinski LR, Robles Aguilar G, Davis Weaver N, Ikuta KS, Chung E, Wool EE, Han C, Araki DT, Albertson SB, Bender R, Bertolacci G, Browne AJ, Cooper BS, Cunningham MW, Dolecek C, Doxey M, Dunachie SJ, Ghoba S, Haines-Woodhouse G, Hay SI, Hsu RL, Iregbu KC, Kyu HH, Ledesma JR, Ma J, Moore CE, Mosser JF, Mougin V, Naghavi P, Novotney A, Rosenthal VD, Sartorius B, Stergachis A, Troeger C, Vongpradith A, Walters MK, Wunrow HY, Murray CJL. Global burden associated with 85 pathogens in 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet Infect Dis 2024:S1473-3099(24)00158-0. [PMID: 38640940 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(24)00158-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2023] [Revised: 03/01/2024] [Accepted: 03/04/2024] [Indexed: 04/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite a global epidemiological transition towards increased burden of non-communicable diseases, communicable diseases continue to cause substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Understanding the burden of a wide range of infectious diseases, and its variation by geography and age, is pivotal to research priority setting and resource mobilisation globally. METHODS We estimated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with 85 pathogens in 2019, globally, regionally, and for 204 countries and territories. The term pathogen included causative agents, pathogen groups, infectious conditions, and aggregate categories. We applied a novel methodological approach to account for underlying, immediate, and intermediate causes of death, which counted every death for which a pathogen had a role in the pathway to death. We refer to this measure as the burden associated with infection, which was estimated by combining different sources of information. To compare the burden among all pathogens, we used pathogen-specific ratios to incorporate the burden of immediate and intermediate causes of death for pathogens modelled previously by the GBD. We created the ratios by using multiple cause of death data, hospital discharge data, linkage data, and minimally invasive tissue sampling data to estimate the fraction of deaths coming from the pathway to death chain. We multiplied the pathogen-specific ratios by age-specific years of life lost (YLLs), calculated with GBD 2019 methods, and then added the adjusted YLLs to age-specific years lived with disability (YLDs) from GBD 2019 to produce adjusted DALYs to account for deaths in the chain. We used standard GBD methods to calculate 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates of DALYs by taking the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles across 1000 posterior draws for each quantity of interest. We provided burden estimates pertaining to all ages and specifically to the under 5 years age group. FINDINGS Globally in 2019, an estimated 704 million (95% UI 610-820) DALYs were associated with 85 different pathogens, including 309 million (250-377; 43·9% of the burden) in children younger than 5 years. This burden accounted for 27·7% (and 65·5% in those younger than 5 years) of the previously reported total DALYs from all causes in 2019. Comparing super-regions, considerable differences were observed in the estimated pathogen-associated burdens in relation to DALYs from all causes, with the highest burden observed in sub-Saharan Africa (314 million [270-368] DALYs; 61·5% of total regional burden) and the lowest in the high-income super-region (31·8 million [25·4-40·1] DALYs; 9·8%). Three leading pathogens were responsible for more than 50 million DALYs each in 2019: tuberculosis (65·1 million [59·0-71·2]), malaria (53·6 million [27·0-91·3]), and HIV or AIDS (52·1 million [46·6-60·9]). Malaria was the leading pathogen for DALYs in children younger than 5 years (37·2 million [17·8-64·2]). We also observed substantial burden associated with previously less recognised pathogens, including Staphylococcus aureus and specific Gram-negative bacterial species (ie, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Acinetobacter baumannii, and Helicobacter pylori). Conversely, some pathogens had a burden that was smaller than anticipated. INTERPRETATION Our detailed breakdown of DALYs associated with a comprehensive list of pathogens on a global, regional, and country level has revealed the magnitude of the problem and helps to indicate where research funding mismatch might exist. Given the disproportionate impact of infection on low-income and middle-income countries, an essential next step is for countries and relevant stakeholders to address these gaps by making targeted investments. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
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Browne AJ, Chipeta MG, Fell FJ, Haines-Woodhouse G, Kashef Hamadani BH, Kumaran EAP, Robles Aguilar G, McManigal B, Andrews JR, Ashley EA, Audi A, Baker S, Banda HC, Basnyat B, Bigogo G, Ngoun C, Chansamouth V, Chunga A, Clemens JD, Davong V, Dougan G, Dunachie SJ, Feasey NA, Garrett DO, Gordon MA, Hasan R, Haselbeck AH, Henry NJ, Heyderman RS, Holm M, Jeon HJ, Karkey A, Khanam F, Luby SP, Malik FR, Marks F, Mayxay M, Meiring JE, Moore CE, Munywoki PK, Musicha P, Newton PN, Pak G, Phommasone K, Pokharel S, Pollard AJ, Qadri F, Qamar FN, Rattanavong S, Reiner B, Roberts T, Saha S, Saha S, Shakoor S, Shakya M, Simpson AJ, Stanaway J, Turner C, Turner P, Verani JR, Vongsouvath M, Day NPJ, Naghavi M, Hay SI, Sartorius B, Dolecek C. Estimating the subnational prevalence of antimicrobial resistant Salmonella enterica serovars Typhi and Paratyphi A infections in 75 endemic countries, 1990-2019: a modelling study. Lancet Glob Health 2024; 12:e406-e418. [PMID: 38365414 PMCID: PMC10882211 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(23)00585-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2022] [Revised: 11/19/2023] [Accepted: 12/04/2023] [Indexed: 02/18/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Enteric fever, a systemic infection caused by Salmonella enterica serovars Typhi and Paratyphi A, remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in low-income and middle-income countries. Enteric fever is preventable through the provision of clean water and adequate sanitation and can be successfully treated with antibiotics. However, high levels of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) compromise the effectiveness of treatment. We provide estimates of the prevalence of AMR S Typhi and S Paratyphi A in 75 endemic countries, including 30 locations without data. METHODS We used a Bayesian spatiotemporal modelling framework to estimate the percentage of multidrug resistance (MDR), fluoroquinolone non-susceptibility (FQNS), and third-generation cephalosporin resistance in S Typhi and S Paratyphi A infections for 1403 administrative level one districts in 75 endemic countries from 1990 to 2019. We incorporated data from a comprehensive systematic review, public health surveillance networks, and large multicountry studies on enteric fever. Estimates of the prevalence of AMR and the number of AMR infections (based on enteric fever incidence estimates by the Global Burden of Diseases study) were produced at the country, super-region, and total endemic area level for each year of the study. FINDINGS We collated data from 601 sources, comprising 184 225 isolates of S Typhi and S Paratyphi A, covering 45 countries over 30 years. We identified a decline of MDR S Typhi in south Asia and southeast Asia, whereas in sub-Saharan Africa, the overall prevalence increased from 6·0% (95% uncertainty interval 4·3-8·0) in 1990 to 72·7% (67·7-77·3) in 2019. Starting from low levels in 1990, the prevalence of FQNS S Typhi increased rapidly, reaching 95·2% (91·4-97·7) in south Asia in 2019. This corresponded to 2·5 million (1·5-3·8) MDR S Typhi infections and 7·4 million (4·7-11·3) FQNS S Typhi infections in endemic countries in 2019. The prevalence of third-generation cephalosporin-resistant S Typhi remained low across the whole endemic area over the study period, except for Pakistan where prevalence of third-generation cephalosporin resistance in S Typhi reached 61·0% (58·0-63·8) in 2019. For S Paratyphi A, we estimated low prevalence of MDR and third-generation cephalosporin resistance in all endemic countries, but a drastic increase of FQNS, which reached 95·0% (93·7-96·1; 3·5 million [2·2-5·6] infections) in 2019. INTERPRETATION This study provides a comprehensive and detailed analysis of the prevalence of MDR, FQNS, and third-generation cephalosporin resistance in S Typhi and S Paratyphi A infections in endemic countries, spanning the last 30 years. Our analysis highlights the increasing levels of AMR in this preventable infection and serves as a resource to guide urgently needed public health interventions, such as improvements in water, sanitation, and hygiene and typhoid fever vaccination campaigns. FUNDING Fleming Fund, UK Department of Health and Social Care; Wellcome Trust; and Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Sartorius B, Gray AP, Davis Weaver N, Robles Aguilar G, Swetschinski LR, Ikuta KS, Mestrovic T, Chung E, Wool EE, Han C, Gershberg Hayoon A, Araki DT, Abd-Elsalam S, Aboagye RG, Adamu LH, Adepoju AV, Ahmed A, Akalu GT, Akande-Sholabi W, Amuasi JH, Amusa GA, Argaw AM, Aruleba RT, Awoke T, Ayalew MK, Azzam AY, Babin FX, Banerjee I, Basiru A, Bayileyegn NS, Belete MA, Berkley JA, Bielicki JA, Dekker D, Demeke D, Demsie DG, Dessie AM, Dunachie SJ, Ed-Dra A, Ekholuenetale M, Ekundayo TC, El Sayed I, Elhadi M, Elsohaby I, Eyre D, Fagbamigbe AF, Feasey NA, Fekadu G, Fell F, Forrest KM, Gebrehiwot M, Gezae KE, Ghazy RM, Hailegiyorgis TT, Haines-Woodhouse G, Hasaballah AI, Haselbeck AH, Hsia Y, Iradukunda A, Iregbu KC, Iwu CCD, Iwu-Jaja CJ, Iyasu AN, Jaiteh F, Jeon H, Joshua CE, Kassa GG, Katoto PDMC, Krumkamp R, Kumaran EAP, Kyu HH, Manilal A, Marks F, May J, McLaughlin SA, McManigal B, Melese A, Misgina KH, Mohamed NS, Mohammed M, Mohammed S, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Moore CE, Mougin V, Mturi N, Mulugeta T, Musaigwa F, Musicha P, Musila LA, Muthupandian S, Naghavi P, Negash H, Nuckchady DC, Obiero CW, Odetokun IA, Ogundijo OA, Okidi L, Okonji OC, Olagunju AT, Olufadewa II, Pak GD, Perovic O, Pollard A, Raad M, Rafaï C, Ramadan H, Redwan EMM, Roca A, Rosenthal VD, Saleh MA, Samy AM, Sharland M, Shittu A, Siddig EE, Sisay EA, Stergachis A, Tesfamariam WB, Tigoi C, Tincho MB, Tiruye TY, Umeokonkwo CD, Walsh T, Walson JL, Yusuf H, Zeru NG, Hay SI, Dolecek C, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. The burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in the WHO African region in 2019: a cross-country systematic analysis. Lancet Glob Health 2024; 12:e201-e216. [PMID: 38134946 PMCID: PMC10805005 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(23)00539-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2023] [Revised: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 11/07/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A critical and persistent challenge to global health and modern health care is the threat of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Previous studies have reported a disproportionate burden of AMR in low-income and middle-income countries, but there remains an urgent need for more in-depth analyses across Africa. This study presents one of the most comprehensive sets of regional and country-level estimates of bacterial AMR burden in the WHO African region to date. METHODS We estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to and associated with AMR for 23 bacterial pathogens and 88 pathogen-drug combinations for countries in the WHO African region in 2019. Our methodological approach consisted of five broad components: the number of deaths in which infection had a role, the proportion of infectious deaths attributable to a given infectious syndrome, the proportion of infectious syndrome deaths attributable to a given pathogen, the percentage of a given pathogen resistant to an antimicrobial drug of interest, and the excess risk of mortality (or duration of an infection) associated with this resistance. These components were then used to estimate the disease burden by using two counterfactual scenarios: deaths attributable to AMR (considering an alternative scenario where infections with resistant pathogens are replaced with susceptible ones) and deaths associated with AMR (considering an alternative scenario where drug-resistant infections would not occur at all). We obtained data from research hospitals, surveillance networks, and infection databases maintained by private laboratories and medical technology companies. We generated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates as the 25th and 975th ordered values across 1000 posterior draws, and models were cross-validated for out-of-sample predictive validity. FINDINGS In the WHO African region in 2019, there were an estimated 1·05 million deaths (95% UI 829 000-1 316 000) associated with bacterial AMR and 250 000 deaths (192 000-325 000) attributable to bacterial AMR. The largest fatal AMR burden was attributed to lower respiratory and thorax infections (119 000 deaths [92 000-151 000], or 48% of all estimated bacterial pathogen AMR deaths), bloodstream infections (56 000 deaths [37 000-82 000], or 22%), intra-abdominal infections (26 000 deaths [17 000-39 000], or 10%), and tuberculosis (18 000 deaths [3850-39 000], or 7%). Seven leading pathogens were collectively responsible for 821 000 deaths (636 000-1 051 000) associated with resistance in this region, with four pathogens exceeding 100 000 deaths each: Streptococcus pneumoniae, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, and Staphylococcus aureus. Third-generation cephalosporin-resistant K pneumoniae and meticillin-resistant S aureus were shown to be the leading pathogen-drug combinations in 25 and 16 countries, respectively (53% and 34% of the whole region, comprising 47 countries) for deaths attributable to AMR. INTERPRETATION This study reveals a high level of AMR burden for several bacterial pathogens and pathogen-drug combinations in the WHO African region. The high mortality rates associated with these pathogens demonstrate an urgent need to address the burden of AMR in Africa. These estimates also show that quality and access to health care and safe water and sanitation are correlated with AMR mortality, with a higher fatal burden found in lower resource settings. Our cross-country analyses within this region can help local governments to leverage domestic and global funding to create stewardship policies that target the leading pathogen-drug combinations. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
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Aguilar GR, Swetschinski LR, Weaver ND, Ikuta KS, Mestrovic T, Gray AP, Chung E, Wool EE, Han C, Hayoon AG, Araki DT, Abdollahi A, Abu-Zaid A, Adnan M, Agarwal R, Dehkordi JA, Aravkin AY, Areda D, Azzam AY, Berezin EN, Bhagavathula AS, Bhutta ZA, Bhuyan SS, Browne AJ, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Chandrasekar EK, Ching PR, Dai X, Darmstadt GL, De la Hoz FP, Diao N, Diaz D, Mombaque dos Santos W, Eyre D, Garcia C, Haines-Woodhouse G, Hassen MB, Henry NJ, Hopkins S, Hossain MM, Iregbu KC, Iwu CC, Jacobs JA, Janko MM, Jones R, Karaye IM, Khalil IA, Khan IA, Khan T, Khubchandani J, Khusuwan S, Kisa A, Koyaweda GW, Krapp F, Kumaran EA, Kyu HH, Lim SS, Liu X, Luby S, Maharaj SB, Maronga C, Martorell M, May J, McManigal B, Mokdad AH, Moore CE, Mostafavi E, Murillo-Zamora E, Mussi-Pinhata MM, Nanavati R, Nassereldine H, Natto ZS, Qamar FN, Nuñez-Samudio V, Ochoa TJ, Ojo-Akosile TR, Olagunju AT, Olivas-Martinez A, Ortiz-Brizuela E, Ounchanum P, Paredes JL, Patthipati VS, Pawar S, Pereira M, Pollard A, Ponce-De-Leon A, Sady Prates EJ, Qattea I, Reyes LF, Roilides E, Rosenthal VD, Rudd KE, Sangchan W, Seekaew S, Seylani A, Shababi N, Sham S, Sifuentes-Osornio J, Singh H, Stergachis A, Tasak N, Tat NY, Thaiprakong A, Valdez PR, Yada DY, Yunusa I, Zastrozhin MS, Hay SI, Dolecek C, Sartorius B, Murray CJ, Naghavi M. The burden of antimicrobial resistance in the Americas in 2019: a cross-country systematic analysis. Lancet Reg Health Am 2023; 25:100561. [PMID: 37727594 PMCID: PMC10505822 DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100561] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2023] [Revised: 06/22/2023] [Accepted: 07/10/2023] [Indexed: 09/21/2023]
Abstract
Background Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is an urgent global health challenge and a critical threat to modern health care. Quantifying its burden in the WHO Region of the Americas has been elusive-despite the region's long history of resistance surveillance. This study provides comprehensive estimates of AMR burden in the Americas to assess this growing health threat. Methods We estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to and associated with AMR for 23 bacterial pathogens and 88 pathogen-drug combinations for countries in the WHO Region of the Americas in 2019. We obtained data from mortality registries, surveillance systems, hospital systems, systematic literature reviews, and other sources, and applied predictive statistical modelling to produce estimates of AMR burden for all countries in the Americas. Five broad components were the backbone of our approach: the number of deaths where infection had a role, the proportion of infectious deaths attributable to a given infectious syndrome, the proportion of infectious syndrome deaths attributable to a given pathogen, the percentage of pathogens resistant to an antibiotic class, and the excess risk of mortality (or duration of an infection) associated with this resistance. We then used these components to estimate the disease burden by applying two counterfactual scenarios: deaths attributable to AMR (compared to an alternative scenario where resistant infections are replaced with susceptible ones), and deaths associated with AMR (compared to an alternative scenario where resistant infections would not occur at all). We generated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates as the 25th and 975th ordered values across 1000 posterior draws, and models were cross-validated for out-of-sample predictive validity. Findings We estimated 569,000 deaths (95% UI 406,000-771,000) associated with bacterial AMR and 141,000 deaths (99,900-196,000) attributable to bacterial AMR among the 35 countries in the WHO Region of the Americas in 2019. Lower respiratory and thorax infections, as a syndrome, were responsible for the largest fatal burden of AMR in the region, with 189,000 deaths (149,000-241,000) associated with resistance, followed by bloodstream infections (169,000 deaths [94,200-278,000]) and peritoneal/intra-abdominal infections (118,000 deaths [78,600-168,000]). The six leading pathogens (by order of number of deaths associated with resistance) were Staphylococcus aureus, Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Acinetobacter baumannii. Together, these pathogens were responsible for 452,000 deaths (326,000-608,000) associated with AMR. Methicillin-resistant S. aureus predominated as the leading pathogen-drug combination in 34 countries for deaths attributable to AMR, while aminopenicillin-resistant E. coli was the leading pathogen-drug combination in 15 countries for deaths associated with AMR. Interpretation Given the burden across different countries, infectious syndromes, and pathogen-drug combinations, AMR represents a substantial health threat in the Americas. Countries with low access to antibiotics and basic health-care services often face the largest age-standardised mortality rates associated with and attributable to AMR in the region, implicating specific policy interventions. Evidence from this study can guide mitigation efforts that are tailored to the needs of each country in the region while informing decisions regarding funding and resource allocation. Multisectoral and joint cooperative efforts among countries will be a key to success in tackling AMR in the Americas. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
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Meštrović T, Ikuta KS, Swetschinski L, Gray A, Robles Aguilar G, Han C, Wool E, Gershberg Hayoon A, Murray CJ, Naghavi M. The burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in Croatia in 2019: a country-level systematic analysis. Croat Med J 2023; 64:272-283. [PMID: 37654039 PMCID: PMC10509683] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2022] [Accepted: 07/27/2023] [Indexed: 09/02/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM To deliver the most wide-ranging set of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) burden estimates for Croatia to date. METHODS A complex modeling approach with five broad modeling components was used to estimate the disease burden for 12 main infectious syndromes and one residual group, 23 pathogenic bacteria, and 88 bug-drug combinations. This was represented by two relevant counterfactual scenarios: deaths/disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) that are attributable to AMR considering a situation where drug-resistant infections are substituted with sensitive ones, and deaths/DALYs associated with AMR considering a scenario where people with drug-resistant infections would instead present without any infection. The 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) were based on 1000 posterior draws in each modeling step, reported at the 2.5% and 97.5% of the draws' distribution, while out-of-sample predictive validation was pursued for all the models. RESULTS The total burden associated with AMR in Croatia was 2546 (95% UI 1558-3803) deaths and 46958 (28,033-71,628) DALYs, while the attributable burden was 614 (365-943) deaths and 11321 (6,544-17,809) DALYs. The highest number of deaths was established for bloodstream infections, followed by peritoneal and intra-abdominal infections and infections of the urinary tract. Five leading pathogenic bacterial agents were responsible for 1808 deaths associated with resistance: Escherichia coli, Staphylococcus aureus, Acinetobacter baumannii, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (ordered by the number of deaths). Trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole-resistant E coli and methicillin-resistant S. aureus were dominant pathogen-drug combinations in regard to mortality associated with and attributable to AMR, respectively. CONCLUSION We showed that AMR represented a substantial public health concern in Croatia, which reflects global trends; hence, our detailed country-level findings may fast-track the implementation of multipronged strategies tailored in accordance with leading pathogens and pathogen-drug combinations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tomislav Meštrović
- Tomislav Meštrović, Department of Nursing, University Centre Varaždin, University North, Ul. 104. brigade 3, 42 000 Varaždin, Croatia,
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Wunrow HY, Bender RG, Vongpradith A, Sirota SB, Swetschinski LR, Novotney A, Gray AP, Ikuta KS, Sharara F, Wool EE, Aali A, Abd-Elsalam S, Abdollahi A, Abdul Aziz JM, Abidi H, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abu-Gharbieh E, Adamu LH, Adane TD, Addo IY, Adegboye OA, Adekiya TA, Adnan M, Adnani QES, Afzal S, Aghamiri S, Aghdam ZB, Agodi A, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad A, Ahmad S, Ahmadzade M, Ahmed A, Ahmed A, Ahmed JQ, Ahmed MS, Akinosoglou K, Aklilu A, Akonde M, Alahdab F, AL-Ahdal TMA, Alanezi FM, Albelbeisi AH, Alemayehu TBB, Alene KA, Al-Eyadhy A, Al-Gheethi AAS, Ali A, Ali BA, Ali L, Ali SS, Alimohamadi Y, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Almustanyir S, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Al-Worafi YM, Aly H, Ameyaw EK, Ancuceanu R, Ansar A, Ansari G, Anyasodor AE, Arabloo J, Aravkin AY, Areda D, Artamonov AA, Arulappan J, Aruleba RT, Asaduzzaman M, Atalell KA, Athari SS, Atlaw D, Atout MMW, Attia S, Awoke T, Ayalew MK, Ayana TM, Ayele AD, Azadnajafabad S, Azizian K, Badar M, Badiye AD, Baghcheghi N, Bagheri M, Bagherieh S, Bahadory S, Baig AA, Barac A, Barati S, Bardhan M, Basharat Z, Bashiri A, Basnyat B, Bassat Q, Basu S, Bayileyegn NS, Bedi N, Behnoush AH, Bekel AA, Belete MA, Bello OO, Bhagavathula AS, Bhandari D, Bhardwaj P, Bhaskar S, Bhat AN, Bijani A, Bineshfar N, Boloor A, Bouaoud S, Buonsenso D, Burkart K, Cámera LA, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Cernigliaro A, Charan J, Chattu VK, Ching PR, Chopra H, Choudhari SG, Christopher DJ, Chu DT, Couto RAS, Cruz-Martins N, Dadras O, Dai X, Dandona L, Dandona R, Das S, Dash NR, Dashti M, De la Hoz FP, Debela SA, Dejen D, Dejene H, Demeke D, Demeke FM, Demessa BH, Demetriades AK, Demissie S, Dereje D, Dervišević E, Desai HD, Dessie AM, Desta F, Dhama K, Djalalinia S, Do TC, Dodangeh M, Dodangeh M, Dominguez RMV, Dongarwar D, Dsouza HL, Durojaiye OC, Dziedzic AM, Ekat MH, Ekholuenetale M, Ekundayo TC, El Sayed Zaki M, El-Abid H, Elhadi M, El-Hajj VG, El-Huneidi W, El-Sakka AA, Esayas HL, Fagbamigbe AF, Falahi S, Fares J, Fatehizadeh A, Fatima SAF, Feasey NA, Fekadu G, Fetensa G, Feyissa D, Fischer F, Foroutan B, Gaal PA, Gadanya MA, Gaipov A, Ganesan B, Gebrehiwot M, Gebrekidan KG, Gebremeskel TG, Gedef GM, Gela YY, Gerema U, Gessner BD, Getachew ME, Ghadiri K, Ghaffari K, Ghamari SH, Ghanbari R, Ghazy RMM, Ghozali G, Gizaw ABAB, Glushkova EV, Goldust M, Golechha M, Guadie HA, Guled RA, Gupta M, Gupta S, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gupta VK, Hadi NR, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haller S, Hamidi S, Haque S, Harapan H, Hasaballah AI, Hasan I, Hasani H, Hasanian M, Hassankhani H, Hassen MB, Hayat K, Heidari M, Heidari-Foroozan M, Heidari-Soureshjani R, Hezam K, Holla R, Horita N, Hossain MM, Hosseini MS, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hussain S, Hussein NR, Ibitoye SE, Ilesanmi OS, Ilic IM, Ilic MD, Imam MT, Iregbu KC, Ismail NE, Iwu CCD, Jaja C, Jakovljevic M, Jamshidi E, Javadi Mamaghani A, Javidnia J, Jokar M, Jomehzadeh N, Joseph N, Joshua CE, Jozwiak JJ, Kabir Z, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamal VK, Kandel H, Karaye IM, Karch A, Karimi H, Kaur H, Kaur N, Keykhaei M, Khajuria H, Khalaji A, Khan A, Khan IA, Khan M, Khan T, Khatab K, Khatatbeh MM, Khayat Kashani HR, Khubchandani J, Kim MS, Kisa A, Kisa S, Kompani F, Koohestani HR, Kothari N, Krishan K, Krishnamoorthy Y, Kulimbet M, Kumar M, Kumaran SD, Kuttikkattu A, Kwarteng A, Laksono T, Landires I, Laryea DO, Lawal BK, Le TTT, Ledda C, Lee SW, Lee S, Lema GK, Levi M, Lim SS, Liu X, Lopes G, Lutzky Saute R, Machado Teixeira PH, Mahmoodpoor A, Mahmoud MA, Malakan Rad E, Malhotra K, Malik AA, Martinez-Guerra BA, Martorell M, Mathur V, Mayeli M, Medina JRC, Melese A, Memish ZA, Mentis AFA, Merza MA, Mestrovic T, Michalek IM, Minh LHN, Mirahmadi A, Mirmosayyeb O, Misganaw A, Misra AK, Moghadasi J, Mohamed NS, Mohammad Y, Mohammadi E, Mohammed S, Mojarrad Sani M, Mojiri-forushani H, Mokdad AH, Momtazmanesh S, Monasta L, Moni MA, Mossialos E, Mostafavi E, Motaghinejad M, Mousavi Khaneghah A, Mubarik S, Muccioli L, Muhammad JS, Mulita F, Mulugeta T, Murillo-Zamora E, Mustafa G, Muthupandian S, Nagarajan AJ, Nainu F, Nair TS, Nargus S, Nassereldine H, Natto ZS, Nayak BP, Negoi I, Negoi RI, Nejadghaderi SA, Nguyen HQ, Nguyen PT, Nguyen VT, Niazi RK, Noroozi N, Nouraei H, Nuñez-Samudio V, Nuruzzaman KM, Nwatah VE, Nzoputam CI, Nzoputam OJ, Oancea B, Obaidur RM, Odetokun IA, Ogunsakin RE, Okonji OC, Olagunju AT, Olana LT, Olufadewa II, Oluwafemi YD, Oumer KS, Ouyahia A, P A M, Pakshir K, Palange PN, Pardhan S, Parikh RR, Patel J, Patel UK, Patil S, Paudel U, Pawar S, Pensato U, Perdigão J, Pereira M, Peres MFP, Petcu IR, Pinheiro M, Piracha ZZ, Pokhrel N, Postma MJ, Prates EJS, Qattea I, Raghav PR, Rahbarnia L, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Rahmanian V, Rahnavard N, Ramadan H, Ramasubramani P, Rani U, Rao IR, Rapaka D, Ratan ZA, Rawaf S, Redwan EMM, Reiner Jr RC, Rezaei N, Riad A, Ribeiro da Silva TM, Roberts T, Robles Aguilar G, Rodriguez JAB, Rosenthal VD, Saddik B, Sadeghian S, Saeed U, Safary A, Saheb Sharif-Askari F, Saheb Sharif-Askari N, Sahebkar A, Sahu M, Sajedi SA, Saki M, Salahi S, Salahi S, Saleh MA, Sallam M, Samadzadeh S, Samy AM, Sanjeev RK, Satpathy M, Seylani A, Sha'aban A, Shafie M, Shah PA, Shahrokhi S, Shahzamani K, Shaikh MA, Sham S, Shannawaz M, Sheikh A, Shenoy SM, Shetty PH, Shin JI, Shokri F, Shorofi SA, Shrestha S, Sibhat MM, Siddig EE, Silva LMLR, Singh H, Singh JA, Singh P, Singh S, Sinto R, Skryabina AA, Socea B, Sokhan A, Solanki R, Solomon Y, Sood P, Soshnikov S, Stergachis A, Sufiyan MB, Suliankatchi Abdulkader R, Sultana A, T Y SS, Taheri E, Taki E, Tamuzi JJLL, Tan KK, Tat NY, Temsah MH, Terefa DR, Thangaraju P, Tibebu NS, Ticoalu JHV, Tillawi T, Tincho MB, Tleyjeh II, Toghroli R, Tovani-Palone MR, Tufa DG, Turner P, Ullah I, Umeokonkwo CD, Unnikrishnan B, Vahabi SM, Vaithinathan AG, Valizadeh R, Varthya SB, Vos T, Waheed Y, Walde MT, Wang C, Weerakoon KG, Wickramasinghe ND, Winkler AS, Woldemariam M, Worku NA, Wright C, Yada DY, Yaghoubi S, Yahya GATY, Yenew CYY, Yesiltepe M, Yi S, Yiğit V, You Y, Yusuf H, Zakham F, Zaman M, Zaman SB, Zare I, Zareshahrabadi Z, Zarrintan A, Zastrozhin MS, Zhang H, Zhang J, Zhang ZJ, Zheng P, Zoladl M, Zumla A, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Naghavi M, Kyu HH. Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis and its aetiologies, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet Neurol 2023; 22:685-711. [PMID: 37479374 PMCID: PMC10356620 DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(23)00195-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2023] [Revised: 04/28/2023] [Accepted: 05/05/2023] [Indexed: 07/23/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although meningitis is largely preventable, it still causes hundreds of thousands of deaths globally each year. WHO set ambitious goals to reduce meningitis cases by 2030, and assessing trends in the global meningitis burden can help track progress and identify gaps in achieving these goals. Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we aimed to assess incident cases and deaths due to acute infectious meningitis by aetiology and age from 1990 to 2019, for 204 countries and territories. METHODS We modelled meningitis mortality using vital registration, verbal autopsy, sample-based vital registration, and mortality surveillance data. Meningitis morbidity was modelled with a Bayesian compartmental model, using data from the published literature identified by a systematic review, as well as surveillance data, inpatient hospital admissions, health insurance claims, and cause-specific meningitis mortality estimates. For aetiology estimation, data from multiple causes of death, vital registration, hospital discharge, microbial laboratory, and literature studies were analysed by use of a network analysis model to estimate the proportion of meningitis deaths and cases attributable to the following aetiologies: Neisseria meningitidis, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, group B Streptococcus, Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Listeria monocytogenes, Staphylococcus aureus, viruses, and a residual other pathogen category. FINDINGS In 2019, there were an estimated 236 000 deaths (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 204 000-277 000) and 2·51 million (2·11-2·99) incident cases due to meningitis globally. The burden was greatest in children younger than 5 years, with 112 000 deaths (87 400-145 000) and 1·28 million incident cases (0·947-1·71) in 2019. Age-standardised mortality rates decreased from 7·5 (6·6-8·4) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 3·3 (2·8-3·9) per 100 000 population in 2019. The highest proportion of total all-age meningitis deaths in 2019 was attributable to S pneumoniae (18·1% [17·1-19·2]), followed by N meningitidis (13·6% [12·7-14·4]) and K pneumoniae (12·2% [10·2-14·3]). Between 1990 and 2019, H influenzae showed the largest reduction in the number of deaths among children younger than 5 years (76·5% [69·5-81·8]), followed by N meningitidis (72·3% [64·4-78·5]) and viruses (58·2% [47·1-67·3]). INTERPRETATION Substantial progress has been made in reducing meningitis mortality over the past three decades. However, more meningitis-related deaths might be prevented by quickly scaling up immunisation and expanding access to health services. Further reduction in the global meningitis burden should be possible through low-cost multivalent vaccines, increased access to accurate and rapid diagnostic assays, enhanced surveillance, and early treatment. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Mestrovic T, Robles Aguilar G, Swetschinski LR, Ikuta KS, Gray AP, Davis Weaver N, Han C, Wool EE, Gershberg Hayoon A, Hay SI, Dolecek C, Sartorius B, Murray CJL, Addo IY, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmed A, Aldeyab MA, Allel K, Ancuceanu R, Anyasodor AE, Ausloos M, Barra F, Bhagavathula AS, Bhandari D, Bhaskar S, Cruz-Martins N, Dastiridou A, Dokova K, Dubljanin E, Durojaiye OC, Fagbamigbe AF, Ferrero S, Gaal PA, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gupta VK, Herteliu C, Hussain S, Ilic IM, Ilic MD, Jamshidi E, Joo T, Karch A, Kisa A, Kisa S, Kostyanev T, Kyu HH, Lám J, Lopes G, Mathioudakis AG, Mentis AFA, Michalek IM, Moni MA, Moore CE, Mulita F, Negoi I, Negoi RI, Palicz T, Pana A, Perdigão J, Petcu IR, Rabiee N, Rawaf DL, Rawaf S, Shakhmardanov MZ, Sheikh A, Silva LMLR, Skryabin VY, Skryabina AA, Socea B, Stergachis A, Stoeva TZ, Sumi CD, Thiyagarajan A, Tovani-Palone MR, Yesiltepe M, Zaman SB, Naghavi M. The burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in the WHO European region in 2019: a cross-country systematic analysis. Lancet Public Health 2022; 7:e897-e913. [PMID: 36244350 PMCID: PMC9630253 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(22)00225-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 72] [Impact Index Per Article: 36.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2022] [Revised: 08/23/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) represents one of the most crucial threats to public health and modern health care. Previous studies have identified challenges with estimating the magnitude of the problem and its downstream effect on human health and mortality. To our knowledge, this study presents the most comprehensive set of regional and country-level estimates of AMR burden in the WHO European region to date. METHODS We estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years attributable to and associated with AMR for 23 bacterial pathogens and 88 pathogen-drug combinations for the WHO European region and its countries in 2019. Our methodological approach consisted of five broad components: the number of deaths in which infection had a role, the proportion of infectious deaths attributable to a given infectious syndrome, the proportion of infectious syndrome deaths attributable to a given pathogen, the percentage of a given pathogen resistant to an antimicrobial drug of interest, and the excess risk of mortality (or duration of an infection) associated with this resistance. These components were then used to estimate the disease burden by using two counterfactual scenarios: deaths attributable to AMR (considering an alternative scenario where infections with resistant pathogens are replaced with susceptible ones) and deaths associated with AMR (considering an alternative scenario where drug-resistant infections would not occur at all). Data were solicited from a wide array of international stakeholders; these included research hospitals, surveillance networks, and infection databases maintained by private laboratories and medical technology companies. We generated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates as the 25th and 975th ordered values across 1000 posterior draws, and models were cross-validated for out-of-sample predictive validity. FINDINGS We estimated 541 000 deaths (95% UI 370 000-763 000) associated with bacterial AMR and 133 000 deaths (90 100-188 000) attributable to bacterial AMR in the whole WHO European region in 2019. The largest fatal burden of AMR in the region came from bloodstream infections, with 195 000 deaths (104 000-333 000) associated with resistance, followed by intra-abdominal infections (127 000 deaths [81 900-185 000]) and respiratory infections (120 000 deaths [94 500-154 000]). Seven leading pathogens were responsible for about 457 000 deaths associated with resistance in 53 countries of this region; these pathogens were, in descending order of mortality, Escherichia coli, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Enterococcus faecium, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Acinetobacter baumannii. Methicillin-resistant S aureus was shown to be the leading pathogen-drug combination in 27 countries for deaths attributable to AMR, while aminopenicillin-resistant E coli predominated in 47 countries for deaths associated with AMR. INTERPRETATION The high levels of resistance for several important bacterial pathogens and pathogen-drug combinations, together with the high mortality rates associated with these pathogens, show that AMR is a serious threat to public health in the WHO European region. Our regional and cross-country analyses open the door for strategies that can be tailored to leading pathogen-drug combinations and the available resources in a specific location. These results underscore that the most effective way to tackle AMR in this region will require targeted efforts and investments in conjunction with continuous outcome-based research endeavours. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
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Murray CJL, Ikuta KS, Sharara F, Swetschinski L, Robles Aguilar G, Gray A, Han C, Bisignano C, Rao P, Wool E, Johnson SC, Browne AJ, Chipeta MG, Fell F, Hackett S, Haines-Woodhouse G, Kashef Hamadani BH, Kumaran EAP, McManigal B, Achalapong S, Agarwal R, Akech S, Albertson S, Amuasi J, Andrews J, Aravkin A, Ashley E, Babin FX, Bailey F, Baker S, Basnyat B, Bekker A, Bender R, Berkley JA, Bethou A, Bielicki J, Boonkasidecha S, Bukosia J, Carvalheiro C, Castañeda-Orjuela C, Chansamouth V, Chaurasia S, Chiurchiù S, Chowdhury F, Clotaire Donatien R, Cook AJ, Cooper B, Cressey TR, Criollo-Mora E, Cunningham M, Darboe S, Day NPJ, De Luca M, Dokova K, Dramowski A, Dunachie SJ, Duong Bich T, Eckmanns T, Eibach D, Emami A, Feasey N, Fisher-Pearson N, Forrest K, Garcia C, Garrett D, Gastmeier P, Giref AZ, Greer RC, Gupta V, Haller S, Haselbeck A, Hay SI, Holm M, Hopkins S, Hsia Y, Iregbu KC, Jacobs J, Jarovsky D, Javanmardi F, Jenney AWJ, Khorana M, Khusuwan S, Kissoon N, Kobeissi E, Kostyanev T, Krapp F, Krumkamp R, Kumar A, Kyu HH, Lim C, Lim K, Limmathurotsakul D, Loftus MJ, Lunn M, Ma J, Manoharan A, Marks F, May J, Mayxay M, Mturi N, Munera-Huertas T, Musicha P, Musila LA, Mussi-Pinhata MM, Naidu RN, Nakamura T, Nanavati R, Nangia S, Newton P, Ngoun C, Novotney A, Nwakanma D, Obiero CW, Ochoa TJ, Olivas-Martinez A, Olliaro P, Ooko E, Ortiz-Brizuela E, Ounchanum P, Pak GD, Paredes JL, Peleg AY, Perrone C, Phe T, Phommasone K, Plakkal N, Ponce-de-Leon A, Raad M, Ramdin T, Rattanavong S, Riddell A, Roberts T, Robotham JV, Roca A, Rosenthal VD, Rudd KE, Russell N, Sader HS, Saengchan W, Schnall J, Scott JAG, Seekaew S, Sharland M, Shivamallappa M, Sifuentes-Osornio J, Simpson AJ, Steenkeste N, Stewardson AJ, Stoeva T, Tasak N, Thaiprakong A, Thwaites G, Tigoi C, Turner C, Turner P, van Doorn HR, Velaphi S, Vongpradith A, Vongsouvath M, Vu H, Walsh T, Walson JL, Waner S, Wangrangsimakul T, Wannapinij P, Wozniak T, Young Sharma TEMW, Yu KC, Zheng P, Sartorius B, Lopez AD, Stergachis A, Moore C, Dolecek C, Naghavi M. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet 2022; 399:629-655. [PMID: 35065702 PMCID: PMC8841637 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)02724-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3886] [Impact Index Per Article: 1943.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2021] [Revised: 11/18/2021] [Accepted: 11/24/2021] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses a major threat to human health around the world. Previous publications have estimated the effect of AMR on incidence, deaths, hospital length of stay, and health-care costs for specific pathogen-drug combinations in select locations. To our knowledge, this study presents the most comprehensive estimates of AMR burden to date. METHODS We estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to and associated with bacterial AMR for 23 pathogens and 88 pathogen-drug combinations in 204 countries and territories in 2019. We obtained data from systematic literature reviews, hospital systems, surveillance systems, and other sources, covering 471 million individual records or isolates and 7585 study-location-years. We used predictive statistical modelling to produce estimates of AMR burden for all locations, including for locations with no data. Our approach can be divided into five broad components: number of deaths where infection played a role, proportion of infectious deaths attributable to a given infectious syndrome, proportion of infectious syndrome deaths attributable to a given pathogen, the percentage of a given pathogen resistant to an antibiotic of interest, and the excess risk of death or duration of an infection associated with this resistance. Using these components, we estimated disease burden based on two counterfactuals: deaths attributable to AMR (based on an alternative scenario in which all drug-resistant infections were replaced by drug-susceptible infections), and deaths associated with AMR (based on an alternative scenario in which all drug-resistant infections were replaced by no infection). We generated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates as the 25th and 975th ordered values across 1000 posterior draws, and models were cross-validated for out-of-sample predictive validity. We present final estimates aggregated to the global and regional level. FINDINGS On the basis of our predictive statistical models, there were an estimated 4·95 million (3·62-6·57) deaths associated with bacterial AMR in 2019, including 1·27 million (95% UI 0·911-1·71) deaths attributable to bacterial AMR. At the regional level, we estimated the all-age death rate attributable to resistance to be highest in western sub-Saharan Africa, at 27·3 deaths per 100 000 (20·9-35·3), and lowest in Australasia, at 6·5 deaths (4·3-9·4) per 100 000. Lower respiratory infections accounted for more than 1·5 million deaths associated with resistance in 2019, making it the most burdensome infectious syndrome. The six leading pathogens for deaths associated with resistance (Escherichia coli, followed by Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa) were responsible for 929 000 (660 000-1 270 000) deaths attributable to AMR and 3·57 million (2·62-4·78) deaths associated with AMR in 2019. One pathogen-drug combination, meticillin-resistant S aureus, caused more than 100 000 deaths attributable to AMR in 2019, while six more each caused 50 000-100 000 deaths: multidrug-resistant excluding extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis, third-generation cephalosporin-resistant E coli, carbapenem-resistant A baumannii, fluoroquinolone-resistant E coli, carbapenem-resistant K pneumoniae, and third-generation cephalosporin-resistant K pneumoniae. INTERPRETATION To our knowledge, this study provides the first comprehensive assessment of the global burden of AMR, as well as an evaluation of the availability of data. AMR is a leading cause of death around the world, with the highest burdens in low-resource settings. Understanding the burden of AMR and the leading pathogen-drug combinations contributing to it is crucial to making informed and location-specific policy decisions, particularly about infection prevention and control programmes, access to essential antibiotics, and research and development of new vaccines and antibiotics. There are serious data gaps in many low-income settings, emphasising the need to expand microbiology laboratory capacity and data collection systems to improve our understanding of this important human health threat. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care using UK aid funding managed by the Fleming Fund.
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Coates MM, Ezzati M, Robles Aguilar G, Kwan GF, Vigo D, Mocumbi AO, Becker AE, Makani J, Hyder AA, Jain Y, Stefan DC, Gupta N, Marx A, Bukhman G. Burden of disease among the world's poorest billion people: An expert-informed secondary analysis of Global Burden of Disease estimates. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0253073. [PMID: 34398896 PMCID: PMC8366975 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2020] [Accepted: 05/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The health of populations living in extreme poverty has been a long-standing focus of global development efforts, and continues to be a priority during the Sustainable Development Goal era. However, there has not been a systematic attempt to quantify the magnitude and causes of the burden in this specific population for almost two decades. We estimated disease rates by cause for the world’s poorest billion and compared these rates to those in high-income populations. Methods We defined the population in extreme poverty using a multidimensional poverty index. We used national-level disease burden estimates from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease Study and adjusted these to account for within-country variation in rates. To adjust for within-country variation, we looked to the relationship between rates of extreme poverty and disease rates across countries. In our main modeling approach, we used these relationships when there was consistency with expert opinion from a survey we conducted of disease experts regarding the associations between household poverty and the incidence and fatality of conditions. Otherwise, no within-country variation was assumed. We compared results across multiple approaches for estimating the burden in the poorest billion, including aggregating national-level burden from the countries with the highest poverty rates. We examined the composition of the estimated disease burden among the poorest billion and made comparisons with estimates for high-income countries. Results The composition of disease burden among the poorest billion, as measured by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), was 65% communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases, 29% non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and 6% injuries. Age-standardized DALY rates from NCDs were 44% higher in the poorest billion (23,583 DALYs per 100,000) compared to high-income regions (16,344 DALYs per 100,000). Age-standardized DALY rates were 2,147% higher for CMNN conditions (32,334 DALYs per 100,000) and 86% higher for injuries (4,182 DALYs per 100,000) in the poorest billion, compared to high-income regions. Conclusion The disease burden among the poorest people globally compared to that in high income countries is highly influenced by demographics as well as large disparities in burden from many conditions. The comparisons show that the largest disparities remain in communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases, though NCDs and injuries are an important part of the “unfinished agenda” of poor health among those living in extreme poverty.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthew M. Coates
- Program in Global Noncommunicable Diseases and Social Change, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Majid Ezzati
- MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
- WHO Collaborating Centre on NCD Surveillance and Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Gene F. Kwan
- Program in Global Noncommunicable Diseases and Social Change, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Daniel Vigo
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Department of Psychiatry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Ana O. Mocumbi
- Instituto Nacional de Saúde, Ministério da Saúde, Maputo, Mozambique
- Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Eduardo Mondlane, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Anne E. Becker
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Julie Makani
- Sickle Cell Programme, Muhimbili University of Health & Allied Sciences, Dar-es-Salaam, Tanzania
- Department of Haematology & Blood Transfusion, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar-es-Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Adnan A. Hyder
- George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health, Washington, DC, United States of America
| | - Yogesh Jain
- Jan Swasthya Sahyog, Bilaspur, Chhattisgarh, India
| | - D. Cristina Stefan
- African Medical Research and Innovation Institute, Cape Town, South Africa
- SingHealth Duke-NUS Global Health Institute (SDGHI), Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Neil Gupta
- Program in Global Noncommunicable Diseases and Social Change, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Andrew Marx
- Program in Global Noncommunicable Diseases and Social Change, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
| | - Gene Bukhman
- Program in Global Noncommunicable Diseases and Social Change, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Partners In Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
- * E-mail:
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Abstract
Helicobacter pylori has acquired great importance during the last two decades, after being recognized as an important pathogen that infects a great portion of the human population. This microorganism is recognized as the main causal agent of chronic gastritis and duodenal ulcers, and it is associated with the subsequent development of gastric carcinoma. The pathogenic mechanisms of H. pylori and their relation to gastric ailments have not been clearly defined. However, at present it is well established that urease, vacuolating cytotoxin VacA, and the pathogenicity island (cag PAI) gene products, are the main factors of virulence of this organism. Thus, individuals infected with strains that express these virulence factors probably develop a severe local inflammation that may induce the development of peptic ulcer and gastric cancer. The way the infection spreads throughout the world suggests the possibility that there are multiple pathways of transmission. Due to the importance that H. pylori has acquired as a human pathogen, laboratories worldwide are attempting to develop a vaccine that confers long-term immunological protection against infection by this microorganism. Hence, the objective of this review is to present the most relevant findings of the biology of H. Pylori and its interaction with the human host.
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Affiliation(s)
- G R Aguilar
- Centro de Investigación sobre Enfermedades Infecciosas, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, México.
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Flores-Encarnación M, Contreras-Zentella M, Soto-Urzua L, Aguilar GR, Baca BE, Escamilla JE. The respiratory system and diazotrophic activity of Acetobacter diazotrophicus PAL5. J Bacteriol 1999; 181:6987-95. [PMID: 10559164 PMCID: PMC94173 DOI: 10.1128/jb.181.22.6987-6995.1999] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
The characteristics of the respiratory system of Acetobacter diazotrophicus PAL5 were investigated. Increasing aeration (from 0.5 to 4.0 liters of air min(-1) liter of medium(-1)) had a strong positive effect on growth and on the diazotrophic activity of cultures. Cells obtained from well-aerated and diazotrophically active cultures possessed a highly active, membrane-bound electron transport system with dehydrogenases for NADH, glucose, and acetaldehyde as the main electron donors. Ethanol, succinate, and gluconate were also oxidized but to only a minor extent. Terminal cytochrome c oxidase-type activity was poor as measured by reduced N, N,N,N'-tetramethyl-p-phenylenediamine, but quinol oxidase-type activity, as measured by 2,3,5,6-tetrachloro-1,4-benzenediol, was high. Spectral and high-pressure liquid chromatography analysis of membranes revealed the presence of cytochrome ba as a putative oxidase in cells obtained from diazotrophically active cultures. Cells were also rich in c-type cytochromes; four bands of high molecular mass (i.e., 67, 56, 52, and 45 kDa) were revealed by a peroxidase activity stain in sodium dodecyl sulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis. KCN inhibition curves of respiratory oxidase activities were biphasic, with a highly resistant component. Treatment of membranes with 0.2% Triton X-100 solubilized c-type cytochromes and resulted in a preparation that was significantly more sensitive to cyanide. Repression of diazotrophic activity in well-aerated cultures by 40 mM (NH(4))(2)SO(4) caused a significant decrease of the respiratory activities. It is noteworthy that the levels of glucose dehydrogenase and putative oxidase ba decreased 6. 8- and 10-fold, respectively. In these cells, a bd-type cytochrome seems to be the major terminal oxidase. Thus, it would seem that glucose dehydrogenase and cytochrome ba are key components of the respiratory system of A. diazotrophicus during aerobic diazotrophy.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Flores-Encarnación
- Instituto de Fisiología Celular, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, C.P. 04510, México D.F
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Abstract
In this paper we describe the sequence analysis of two Rhizobium etli genes (ccmA and ccmB) which are believed to participate in the transport of the haem moiety to the periplasm in other bacterial species. The characterized DNA region was isolated by complementation of a R. etli Tn5mob induced mutant (CFN4201) which was affected in the production of c-type cytochromes. Sequence analysis of this region identified three open reading frames, two were identified as the ccmA and ccmB genes. The predicted protein sequence of ccmA showed significant homology with ATP binding proteins of the ABC-type transporter systems, while ccmB encodes for a hydrophobic protein probably associated with the ccmA gene product. The Tn5mob insertion in CFN4201 strain was located in the carboxy terminus of CcmB. Restriction mapping of the EcoRI fragment containing the Tn5mob insertion showed that it involved a deletion of approximately 1.5 kb. Mutagenesis of the wild-type region with a miniMu transposon and complementation analysis showed that the mutation in ccmB, and not the deletion, was responsible for the phenotype of CFN4201 strain and that ccmA and ccmB are independent transcription units. We found that a region located downstream of ccmB is reiterated twice, one near the chromosomal ccmA-ccmB locus while the second in plasmid e. Finally, CFN4201 membranes had detectable levels of C1 apoprotein which did not contain bound haem. This data could suggest that haem binding to the apoprotein occurs after the translocation of the apo form of c1 to the membrane.
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Affiliation(s)
- G R Aguilar
- Departmento de Biologia Molecular de Plantas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de México, Cuernavaca, Morelos, México
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Abstract
A Rhizobium phaseoli cytochrome mutant, unable to oxidize N,N,N',N'-tetramethyl-p-phenylenediamine (TMPD), was isolated after Mu-dl (Kan lac) mutagenesis of the wild-type strain CE-3. Mutant strain CFN4202 had sixfold less haem-c but similar levels of b type, o and aa3 cytochromes than the wild-type strain. CFN4202 strain also showed reduced NADH- and TMPD-oxidase activity than the wild-type strain. Succinate-oxidase activities were very similar. Western blot experiments, using antiserum against bovine c1 and c cytochromes, revealed that both proteins were present in CFN4202 membranes, suggesting a defect of haem binding to cytochrome c. Nodules formed by this strain in Phaseolus vulgaris did not contain bacteroids. These data suggest that the cytochrome c-aa3 chain or some other respiratory chain, containing c-type cytochromes in R. phaseoli, is essential for bacterial division during the early steps of the symbiotic interaction with the legume-host.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Soberón
- Departamento de Biología Molecular de Plantas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de México, Cuernavaca, Morelos
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Soberón M, Membrillo-Hernández J, Aguilar GR, Sánchez F. Isolation of Rhizobium phaseoli Tn5-induced mutants with altered expression of cytochrome terminal oxidases o and aa3. J Bacteriol 1990; 172:1676-80. [PMID: 2155209 PMCID: PMC208651 DOI: 10.1128/jb.172.3.1676-1680.1990] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Two Rhizobium phaseoli mutants affected in cytochrome expression were obtained by Tn5-mob mutagenesis of the wild-type strain (CE3). Mutant strain CFN031 expressed sevenfold less cytochrome o in culture, expressed cytochrome aa3 under microaerophilic culture conditions, in contrast to strain CE3, and was affected in its vegetative growth properties and proliferation inside plant host cells. Mutant CFN037 expressed cytochrome aa3 under microaerophilic culture conditions, while bacteroid development and nitrogen fixation occurred earlier than in strain CE3.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Soberón
- Centro de Investigación sobre Fijación de Nitrógeno, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cuernavaca, Morelos
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