[Design of an improved percutaneous transhepatic cholangio drainage tube based on MRCP imaging data]

Objective: Quantified MRCP imaging data was used as a reference for design and preparation of a modified percutaneous transhepatic cholangio drainage (PTCD) tube. Methods: 3.0 T upper abdominal MR and MRCP imaging data of 2 300 patients treated from July 2015 to July 2020 at the Department of Radiology of the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University were screened and a total of 381 patients diagnosed with biliary duct structures were identified. Causative etiologies among these patients included pancreatic adenocarcinoma (pancreatic head), cholangiocarcinoma, ampullary carcinoma, as well as intrahepatic and/or extrahepatic bile duct dilation. An improved PTCD tube was designed based on MRCP quantification of left and right hepatic and common hepatic duct length. Results: In the setting of biliary obstruction caused by malignancy, the distance of the left hepatic duct from its origin to the point of left and right hepatic duct confluence was 15.9±3.8 mm, while the distance of the right hepatic duct from its origin to the point of left and right hepatic duct confluence was 12.4±3.2 mm; the length of the bile duct from its origin to the point of left and right hepatic duct confluence was 34.0±8.1 mm. The improved PTCD tube design incorporated an altered length of the drainage orifice. Conclusion: MRCP imaging of the biliary tract is effective for measuring biliary tract length in the setting of pathological dilation. Based on our biliary tract measurements, a modified PTCD tube was designed to more effectively meet drainage requirements and manage biliary obstruction caused by Bismuth-Corlette type Ⅱ and Ⅲ malignancies.

[Statistical analysis of disability-adjusted life years for stomach and colorectal cancers in Changning District of Shanghai]

Objectives: To analyze the status and temporal changes of disability-adjusted life year (DALY) for stomach and colorectal cancers among registered permanent residents in Changning District of Shanghai Municipality, and provide scientific basis for the prevention and treatment of stomach and colorectal cancers in this district. Methods: Using the cancer registration data of stomach and colorectal cancers from 2002 to 2019, we estimated the indices such as the DALYs, the DALY crude rates, the age-standardized DALY rates, etc. Then we used the Joinpoint regression model to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percent change (APC) to explore the temporal variations in different periods. Results: The DALYs of stomach and colorectal cancers in Changning District from 2002 to 2019 were 55 931 person years and 65 252 person years, respectively. The crude rates of DALY were 512.16/105 and 597.51/105, respectively. We observed a higher disease burden in men than in women, and the peak rate of DALY in stomach cancer was in the 75-79 years age group, while in colorectal cancer the rate was in the 85-years-or-older age group. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that from 2002 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate of stomach cancer showed a downward trend (AAPC=-3.86%, P＜0.05), while the trend of colorectal cancer was not statistically significant(AAPC=-0.08%, P＞0.05). However, the trends in the age-standardized DALY rates of colorectal cancer were different between males and females, with males showing an upward trend (AAPC=1.24%, P＜0.05) and females showing a downward trend (AAPC=-1.67%, P＜0.05). Conclusions: The DALY of stomach and colorectal cancers in Changning District of Shanghai showed a decreasing trend. Males and the middle-aged and elderly populations are still the key targets for disease prevention and control in this district.

[Studies on clinicopathological features of duodenal-type follicular lymphoma of 18 patients]

To investigate the clinical and pathological characteristics of duodenal-type follicular lymphoma (D-FL), and to deepen the understanding of Duodenal-type follicular lymphoma. The clinical symptoms, endoscopic features, pathologic features, immunophenotype, molecular pathological features and treatment follow-up of 18 D-FL patients diagnosed in Department of Pathology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University between January 2020 and July 2023 were summarized. A total of 18 patients with D-FL were included, including 10 males and 8 females. The median age was 49 (32-69) years respectively. Most of the patients were found during gastroenteroscopy or presented with the common gastrointestinal symptoms of stomach pain, acid reflux, vomiting and diarrhea. Most endoscopic findings were multiple small gray and white polyposis. In the pathological morphology, the mucous layer and submucous layer showed lymphoid follicular structures with full and strained follicles. The immunophenotype showed that the tumor cells strongly expressed CD20 and BCL2 and had low proliferation activity. Immunoglobulin clonal analysis of 1 case showed IgK monoclonal rearrangement (1/1). FISH showed 1 case of BCL2 gene rearrangement (1/3). All patients did not receive targeted chemotherapy and adopted a wait-and-see strategy. Median follow-up was 12 (2-34) months. This study shows that D-FL is an indolent lymphoma, which tends to occur in the duodenum and has a good prognosis.

[Clinicopathological study of epithelioid and spindle cell rhabdomysarcoma with EWSR1/FUS-TFCP2 fusion]

Objective: To investigate the clinicopathological and genetic features of epithelioid and spindle cell rhabdomysarcoma with EWSR1-TFCP2 or FUS-TFCP2 fusion. Methods: The clinical, morphological and immunohistochemical features of 14 cases of epithelioid and spindle cell rhabdomysarcoma with EWSR1-TFCP2 or FUS-TFCP2 fusion diagnosed from January 2019 to December 2022 in the Department of Pathology, Foshan Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Foshan, China were retrospectively analyzed. The cases were all subject to FISH or next generation sequencing for analysis of molecular genetic features. The literature was reviewed. Results: There were 5 males and 9 females, with the age at presentation ranging from 6 to 36 years (mean, 22 years). Tumors occurred in the head and neck (9 cases), pelvic region (2 cases), bladder (one case), right humerus (one case), and the abdominal wall, humerus and pubic at the same time (one case). Presenting symptoms varied by location but often included pain or discomfort. Most of the patients showed aggressive radiographic features with soft tissue extension. The tumors had a median size of 6.6 cm (range, 2-23 cm). The tumors were poorly defined and irregularly shaped. Microscopic examination showed diffuse proliferation of spindle or epithelioid cells. While morphologically high-grade tumors displayed obvious cytological atypia, a high mitotic count and tumor necrosis, low-grade tumors grew in sheets and fascicles composed of spindle, epithelioid cells with moderate or abundant amounts of eosinophilic cytoplasm, without pronounced cytological atypia. The tumor cells expressed Desmin, MyoD1, and Myogenin, as well as ALK, EMA, and CKpan. EWSR1/FUS-TFCP2 gene fusion was detected in 14 cases with next generation sequencing and confirmed by FISH. Six cases had EWSR1-TFCP2 fusions and 8 cases showed FUS-TFCP2 fusions. Follow-up information was available in 13 patients, ranged from 5 to 37 months. At the end of follow-up period, 7 patients died of the disease. Six patients were alive:two cases had local recurrences and metastases, two cases of recurrences, one case of metastasis and one case without recurrences and metastasis. Conclusions: Epithelioid and spindle cell rhabdomysarcomas with EWSR1-TFCP2 or FUS-TFCP2 fusion show a very aggressive clinical course, and more commonly occur in the head and neck. Their genetic hallmark is the presence of EWSR1/FUS-TFCP2 fusions. Familiarity with its clinicopathological characteristics is helpful in avoiding misdiagnoses.

[The efficacy of chemotherapy re-challenge in third-line setting for metastatic colorectal cancer patients: a real-world study]

Objective: To explore the efficacy of chemotherapy re-challenge in the third-line setting for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) in the real world. Methods: The clinicopathological data, treatment information, recent treatment efficacy, adverse events and survival data of mCRC patients who had disease progression after treatment with oxaliplatin-based and/or irinotecan-based chemotherapy and received third-line chemotherapy re-challenge from January 2013 to December 2020 at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital were retrospectively collected. Survival curves were plotted with the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the prognostic factors. Results: A total of 95 mCRC patients were included. Among them, 32 patients (33.7%) received chemotherapy alone and 63 patients (66.3%) received chemotherapy combined with targeted drugs. Eighty-three patients were treated with dual-drug chemotherapy (87.4%), including oxaliplatin re-challenge in 35 patients and irinotecan re-challenge in 48 patients. The remaining 12 patients were treated with triplet chemotherapy regimens (12.6%). Among them, as 5 patients had sequential application of oxaliplatin and irinotecan in front-line treatments, their third-line therapy re-challenged both oxaliplatin and irinotecan; 7 patients only had oxaliplatin prescription before, and these patients re-challenged oxaliplatin in the third-line treatment. The overall response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) reached 8.6% (8/93) and 61.3% (57/93), respectively. The median progression free survival (mPFS) and median overall survival (mOS) were 4.9 months and 13.0 months, respectively. The most common adverse events were leukopenia (34.7%) and neutropenia (34.7%), followed by gastrointestinal adverse reactions such as nausea (32.6%) and vomiting (31.6%). Grade 3-4 adverse events were mostly hematological toxicity. Cox multivariate analysis showed that gender (HR=1.609, 95% CI: 1.016-2.548) and the PFS of front-line treatments (HR=0.598, 95% CI: 0.378-0.947) were independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: The results suggested that it is safe and effective for mCRC patients to choose third-line chemotherapy re-challenge, especially for patients with a PFS of more than one year in front-line treatments.

Temporal Structures in Positron Spectra and Charge-Sign Effects in Galactic Cosmic Rays

We present the precision measurements of 11 years of daily cosmic positron fluxes in the rigidity range from 1.00 to 41.9 GV based on 3.4×10^{6} positrons collected with the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS) aboard the International Space Station. The positron fluxes show distinctly different time variations from the electron fluxes at short and long timescales. A hysteresis between the electron fluxes and the positron fluxes is observed with a significance greater than 5σ at rigidities below 8.5 GV. On the contrary, the positron fluxes and the proton fluxes show similar time variation. Remarkably, we found that positron fluxes are modulated more than proton fluxes with a significance greater than 5σ for rigidities below 7 GV. These continuous daily positron fluxes, together with AMS daily electron, proton, and helium fluxes over an 11-year solar cycle, provide unique input to the understanding of both the charge-sign and mass dependencies of cosmic rays in the heliosphere.

[Efficacy and safety analysis of an improved overlength biliary stent in the treatment of biliary stricture]

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of an improved overlength biliary stent in the treatment of bile duct stricture. Methods: Prospective randomized controlled study. Patients with bile duct stricture in Peking University International Hospital from February 2016 to June 2021 were randomly divided into the conventional plastic biliary stents (CPBS) group and the improved overlength biliary stents (IOBS) group by envelope random method. CPBS or IOBS were placed after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) breast catheterization was successfully conducted and the stenosis length was determined by angiography. The incidence of postoperative complications, median patency time of postoperative stent and reoperation rate within 6 months were compared between the two groups, Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve, and log-rank test was conducted to evaluate the safety and efficacy of IOBS in the treatment of bile duct stricture. Results: A total of 90 patients were included. There were 45 patients in IOBS group, including 28 males and 17 females, aged (67.2±11.7) years. There were 45 patients in CPBS group, including 26 males and 19 females, aged (64.6±14.4) years. The patients in the both groups were balanced and comparable. There were no significant differences in success rate of operation, operation time, hospitalization time, operation cost and prospective complication rate between the two groups (all P>0.05). There were no significant differences in the changes of liver function index before and 72 hours after operation between the two groups (both P>0.05). The median patency time of stents in IOBS group was longer than that in CPBS group [M(Q1, Q3), 201(155,246) vs 109(55,167) d, P=0.002].The IOBS group had lower reoperation rate than the CPBS group within 6 months [46.2% (18/39) vs 78.9%(30/38), P=0.003]. Conclusion: IOBS has good safety in the treatment of bile duct stricture and the clinical efficacy is superior to CPBS.

[Development and validation of a prognostic prediction model for patients with stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer incorporating high-risk pathological features]

Objective: To examine a predictive model that incorporating high risk pathological factors for the prognosis of stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer. Methods: This study retrospectively collected clinicopathological information and survival outcomes of stage Ⅰ~Ⅲ colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery in 7 tertiary hospitals in China from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2017. A total of 1 650 patients were enrolled, aged (M(IQR)) 62 (18) years (range: 14 to 100). There were 963 males and 687 females. The median follow-up period was 51 months. The Cox proportional hazardous regression model was utilized to select high-risk pathological factors, establish the nomogram and scoring system. The Bootstrap resampling method was utilized for internal validation of the model, the concordance index (C-index) was used to assess discrimination and calibration curves were presented to assess model calibration. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves after risk grouping, and Cox regression was used to compare disease-free survival between subgroups. Results: Age (HR=1.020, 95%CI: 1.008 to 1.033, P=0.001), T stage (T3:HR=1.995,95%CI:1.062 to 3.750,P=0.032;T4:HR=4.196, 95%CI: 2.188 to 8.045, P<0.01), N stage (N1: HR=1.834, 95%CI: 1.307 to 2.574, P<0.01; N2: HR=3.970, 95%CI: 2.724 to 5.787, P<0.01) and number of lymph nodes examined (≥36: HR=0.438, 95%CI: 0.242 to 0.790, P=0.006) were independently associated with disease-free survival. The C-index of the scoring model (model 1) based on age, T stage, N stage, and dichotomous variables of the lymph nodes examined (<12 and ≥12) was 0.723, and the C-index of the scoring model (model 2) based on age, T stage, N stage, and multi-categorical variables of the lymph nodes examined (<12, 12 to <24, 24 to <36, and ≥36) was 0.726. A scoring system was established based on age, T stage, N stage, and multi-categorical variables of lymph nodes examined, the 3-year DFS of the low-risk (≤1), middle-risk (2 to 4) and high-risk (≥5) group were 96.3% (n=711), 89.0% (n=626) and 71.4% (n=313), respectively. Statistically significant difference was observed among groups (P<0.01). Conclusions: The number of lymph nodes examined was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival after curative surgery in patients with stage Ⅰ to Ⅲ colon cancer. Incorporating the number of lymph nodes examined as a multi-categorical variable into the T and N staging system could improve prognostic predictive validity.

[CT texture analysis for predicting pseudoprogression in metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma during PD-1 inhibitor therapy]

Objective: To evaluate the effectiveness of enhanced CT texture feature analysis in predicting pseudoprogression in patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (mccRCC) undergoing programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitor therapy. Methods: A cross-sectional study. Data from 32 patients with mccRCC were retrospectively collected who received monotherapy with PD-1 inhibitors after standard treatment failure at Henan Cancer Hospital, from June 2015 to January 2021. Clinical information and enhanced CT images were analyzed to assess target lesion response. The lesions were divided into pseudoprogression and non-pseudoprogression groups. Manual segmentation of target lesions was performed using ITK-Snap software on baseline enhanced CT, and texture analysis was conducted using A.K. software to extract feature parameters. Differences in texture features between the pseudoprogression and non-pseudoprogression groups were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. A predictive model for pseudoprogression was constructed, and its performance was evaluated using ROC curve analysis. Results: A total of 32 patients with 89 lesions were included in the study. Statistical analysis revealed significant differences in seven texture features between the pseudoprogression and non-pseudoprogression groups. These features included"original_ngtdm_Strength"(0.49 vs. -0.61,P=0.006), "wavelet-HLH_glszm_ZonePercentage"(0.67 vs. -0.22,P=0.024),"wavelet-LHL_ngtdm_Strength"(1.20 vs. -0.51,P=0.002), "wavelet-HLL_gldm_LargeDependenceEmphasis"(-0.84 vs. 0.19,P=0.002), "wavelet-HLH_glcm_Id" (-0.30 vs. 0.43,P=0.037),"wavelet- HLH_glrlm_RunPercentage"(0.45 vs. -0.01,P=0.032),"wavelet-LHH_firstorder_Skewness"(0.25 vs. -0.27, P=0.011). Based on these features, a pseudoprogression prediction model was developed with a P-value of 0.000 2 and an odds ratio of 0.045 (95%CI 0.009-0.227). The model exhibited a high predictive performance with an AUC of 0.907 (95%CI 0.817-0.997) according to ROC curve analysis. Conclusions: Enhanced CT texture feature analysis shows promise in predicting lesion pseudoprogression in patients with metastatic ccRCC undergoing PD-1 inhibitor therapy. The developed predictive model based on texture features demonstrates good performance and may assist in evaluating treatment response in these patients.

[Pre- and post-diagnosis body mass index in association with colorectal cancer death in a prospective cohort study]

Objective: To evaluate the association between pre-and post-diagnosis body mass index (BMI) and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) death. Methods: The cohort consisted of 3, 057 CRC patients from Shanghai who were diagnosed from Jan. 1, 2009 to Dec. 31, 2011 and aged from 20 to 74 years. The pre- and post-diagnosis BMI and clinical and lifestyle factors were collected at baseline. Death information was collected using record linkage with the Shanghai Cancer Registry and telephone confirmation during follow-up by the end of 2019. The Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate HR with 95% CI. Results: Analysis by multivariable Cox model showed no association between pre-diagnosis BMI and death risk in both male and female patients. Male patients with a post-diagnosis underweight BMI had an elevated risk of death compared to those in normal weight (HR=1.69, 95% CI: 1.21-2.37), especially in early stage cases. Overweight patients (HR=0.74, 95% CI: 0.61-0.89) and patients with obesity class Ⅰ (HR=0.63, 95% CI: 0.45-0.89)had better survival with decreased risks of death, especially in advanced stage cases. The decreased death risk in patients with obesity class Ⅱ was not significant (HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.24-1.39). The P(trend) value for decreased risk of death with increased BMI in female patients was statistically significant (P<0.001), and the overweight and obesity class Ⅰ categories had better survival in advanced stage(HR(overweight)=0.62, 95% CI: 0.42-0.93; HR(obesity class Ⅰ)=0.39, 95% CI: 0.16-0.98). Both male and female patients with post-diagnosis BMI loss >2.0 kg/m(2) had an increased death risk when compared with those with stable BMI (change≤1.0 kg/m(2)) between pre- and post-diagnosis. BMI gain after diagnosis did not change death risk. Conclusions: Post-diagnosis BMI in the overweight or obesity class Ⅰ groups might be conducive to prolonging male CRC patients' survival, while underweight might result in poor prognosis. Keeping weight and avoiding excessive weight loss should be suggested for all CRC patients after diagnosis.

[Fibrocartilaginous lipoma: a clinicopathological analysis of six cases]

Objective: To investigate the clinicopathological characteristics, immunophenotype, molecular genetics and differential diagnoses of fibrocartilaginous lipomas which consist of adipose tissue, fibrocartilage and fibrous elements. Methods: The clinicopathological features, immunohistochemical profiles and molecular profiles in six cases of fibrocartilaginous lipomas diagnosed at Foshan Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, the Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University and the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2017 to February 2022 were included. The follow-up information, diagnosis and differential diagnoses were evaluated. Results: There were three males and three females with a median age of 53 years (range 36-69 years) at presentation. Tumors were located in the extremities, the head and neck region and trunk; and presented as painless masses that were located in the subcutaneous tissue or deep soft tissue. Grossly, three cases were well defined with thin capsule, one case was well circumscribed without capsule, two cases were surrounded by some skeletal muscle. The tumors were composed of fatty tissue with intermingled gray-white area. The tumors ranged from 1.50-5.50 cm (mean 2.92 cm). Microscopically, the hallmark of these lesions was the complex admixture of mature adipocytes, fibrocartilage and fibrous element in varying proportions; the fibrocartilage arranged in a nodular, sheet pattern with some adipocytes inside. Tumor cells had a bland appearance without mitotic activity. Immunohistochemical analysis using antibodies to SMA, desmin, S-100, SOX9, HMGA2, RB1, CD34, adipopholin was performed in six cases; the fibrocartilage was positive for S-100 and SOX9, adipocytes were positive for S-100, adipopholin and HMGA2; CD34 was expressed in the fibroblastic cells, while desmin and SMA were negative. Loss of nuclear RB1 expression was not observed. Other genetic abnormalities had not been found yet in four cases. Follow-up information was available in six cases; there was no recurrence in five, and one patient only underwent biopsy of the mass. Conclusions: Fibrocartilaginous lipoma is a benign lipomatous tumor with mature adipocytes, fibrocartilage and fibrous elements. By immunohistochemistry, they show the expression of fat and cartilage markers. No specific molecular genetics changes have been identified so far. Familiarity with its clinicopathological features helps the distinction from its morphologic mimics.

[Progress on development and application of the diet-related inflammatory index in cancer epidemiological studies]

Cancer is a major public health problem worldwide, causing an more serious burden of disease. Inflammation is considered a predisposing factor for cancer with close relationship with its incidence. In recent years, the public and epidemiologists has paid more attention to the association between nutrition and cancer and other chronic diseases in the perspective of inflammation. This paper summarizes the development and application of the diet-related inflammatory index in cancer epidemiological studies based on the literature retrieval of common diet-related inflammatory index. Firstly, we highlight the common diet-related inflammatory indices and their construction methods, such as the Dietary Inflammatory Index, a literature-derived diet-related inflammatory index, and the Empirical Dietary Inflammatory Index, an empirically derived diet-related inflammatory index, and so on. Secondly, the epidemiological research progress on the commonly used diet-related inflammatory indices is briefly introduced. Finally, the advantages and disadvantages of the two types of this inflammatory indices are also briefly described for the purpose of providing reference for nutrition epidemiological studies of cancer and other chronic diseases in China.

Improved Measurement of the Evolution of the Reactor Antineutrino Flux and Spectrum at Daya Bay

Reactor neutrino experiments play a crucial role in advancing our knowledge of neutrinos. In this Letter, the evolution of the flux and spectrum as a function of the reactor isotopic content is reported in terms of the inverse-beta-decay yield at Daya Bay with 1958 days of data and improved systematic uncertainties. These measurements are compared with two signature model predictions: the Huber-Mueller model based on the conversion method and the SM2018 model based on the summation method. The measured average flux and spectrum, as well as the flux evolution with the ^{239}Pu isotopic fraction, are inconsistent with the predictions of the Huber-Mueller model. In contrast, the SM2018 model is shown to agree with the average flux and its evolution but fails to describe the energy spectrum. Altering the predicted inverse-beta-decay spectrum from ^{239}Pu fission does not improve the agreement with the measurement for either model. The models can be brought into better agreement with the measurements if either the predicted spectrum due to ^{235}U fission is changed or the predicted ^{235}U, ^{238}U, ^{239}Pu, and ^{241}Pu spectra are changed in equal measure.

Properties of Cosmic-Ray Sulfur and Determination of the Composition of Primary Cosmic-Ray Carbon, Neon, Magnesium, and Sulfur: Ten-Year Results from the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer

We report the properties of primary cosmic-ray sulfur (S) in the rigidity range 2.15 GV to 3.0 TV based on 0.38×10^{6} sulfur nuclei collected by the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer experiment (AMS). We observed that above 90 GV the rigidity dependence of the S flux is identical to the rigidity dependence of Ne-Mg-Si fluxes, which is different from the rigidity dependence of the He-C-O-Fe fluxes. We found that, similar to N, Na, and Al cosmic rays, over the entire rigidity range, the traditional primary cosmic rays S, Ne, Mg, and C all have sizeable secondary components, and the S, Ne, and Mg fluxes are well described by the weighted sum of the primary silicon flux and the secondary fluorine flux, and the C flux is well described by the weighted sum of the primary oxygen flux and the secondary boron flux. The primary and secondary contributions of the traditional primary cosmic-ray fluxes of C, Ne, Mg, and S (even Z elements) are distinctly different from the primary and secondary contributions of the N, Na, and Al (odd Z elements) fluxes. The abundance ratio at the source for S/Si is 0.167±0.006, for Ne/Si is 0.833±0.025, for Mg/Si is 0.994±0.029, and for C/O is 0.836±0.025. These values are determined independent of cosmic-ray propagation.

[Rapid determination of acetaminophen in plasma by LC-MS/MS]

Objective: To establish a method for the rapid determination of acetaminophen (APAP) in human plasma by LC-MS/MS. Methods: The plasma samples were extracted by methanol and acetonitrile (1: 1) and purified directly. C(18) column was used for sample separation. The mobile phase were methanol (5 mmol/L ammonium acetate) and water (5 mmol/L ammonium acetate). Samples were analyzed by LC MS/MS with the electrospray ionization multi reaction monitoring (MRM) mode. Results: The calibration curves of APAP was linear in the concentration range of 0~10 mg/L, the correlation coefficient (r) was greater than 0.999 0. The relative standard deviation within and between batches was less than 10%. The recovery rate were 96.81%~101.7%. The detection limit of the method was 0.1 μg/L and the lower limit of quantification was 0.3 μg/L. Conclusion: This method has strong specificity, high sensitivity and reliable determination results. It is suitable for the rapid analysis of clinical plasma samples.

Precision Measurement of Reactor Antineutrino Oscillation at Kilometer-Scale Baselines by Daya Bay

We present a new determination of the smallest neutrino mixing angle θ_{13} and the mass-squared difference Δm_{32}^{2} using a final sample of 5.55×10^{6} inverse beta-decay (IBD) candidates with the final-state neutron captured on gadolinium. This sample is selected from the complete dataset obtained by the Daya Bay reactor neutrino experiment in 3158 days of operation. Compared to the previous Daya Bay results, selection of IBD candidates has been optimized, energy calibration refined, and treatment of backgrounds further improved. The resulting oscillation parameters are sin^{2}2θ_{13}=0.0851±0.0024, Δm_{32}^{2}=(2.466±0.060)×10^{-3}  eV^{2} for the normal mass ordering or Δm_{32}^{2}=-(2.571±0.060)×10^{-3}  eV^{2} for the inverted mass ordering.

Temporal Structures in Electron Spectra and Charge Sign Effects in Galactic Cosmic Rays

We present the precision measurements of 11 years of daily cosmic electron fluxes in the rigidity interval from 1.00 to 41.9 GV based on 2.0×10^{8} electrons collected with the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS) aboard the International Space Station. The electron fluxes exhibit variations on multiple timescales. Recurrent electron flux variations with periods of 27 days, 13.5 days, and 9 days are observed. We find that the electron fluxes show distinctly different time variations from the proton fluxes. Remarkably, a hysteresis between the electron flux and the proton flux is observed with a significance of greater than 6σ at rigidities below 8.5 GV. Furthermore, significant structures in the electron-proton hysteresis are observed corresponding to sharp structures in both fluxes. This continuous daily electron data provide unique input to the understanding of the charge sign dependence of cosmic rays over an 11-year solar cycle.

[Analysis of the causes of long-standing pelvic anterior sacral space infection and discussion of management techniques]

Objective: To investigate the causes and management of long-term persistent pelvic presacral space infection. Methods: Clinical data of 10 patients with persistent presacral infection admitted to the Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University from October 2015 to October 2020 were collected. Different surgical approaches were used to treat the presacral infection according to the patients' initial surgical procedures. Results: Among the 10 patients, there were 2 cases of presacral recurrent infection due to rectal leak after radiotherapy for cervical cancer, 3 cases of presacral recurrent infection due to rectal leak after radiotherapy for rectal cancer Dixons, and 5 cases of presacral recurrent infection of sinus tract after adjuvant radiotherapy for rectal cancer Miles. Of the 5 patients with leaky bowel, 4 had complete resection of the ruptured nonfunctional bowel and complete debridement of the presacral infection using an anterior transverse sacral incision with a large tipped omentum filling the presacral space; 1 had continuous drainage of the anal canal and complete debridement of the presacral infection using an anterior transverse sacral incision. 5 post-Miles patients all had debridement of the presacral infection using an anterior transverse sacral incision combined with an abdominal incision. The nine patients with healed presacral infection recovered from surgery in 26 to 210 days, with a median time of 55 days. Conclusions: Anterior sacral infections in patients with leaky gut are caused by residual bowel secretion of intestinal fluid into the anterior sacral space, and in post-Miles patients by residual anterior sacral foreign bodies. An anterior sacral caudal transverse arc incision combined with an abdominal incision is an effective surgical approach for complete debridement of anterior sacral recalcitrant infections.

Statin use after valvular heart surgery is associated with a decreased risk of prosthetic valve endocarditis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen, China;

HKU-SZH Fund for Shenzhen Key Medical Discipline

Background

Prosthetic valve endocarditis (PVE) is a rare but serious complication following valvular heart surgery for which preventive strategies remain unknown. Recent epidemiological evidence suggests that statins may reduce the risk of infections and infection-related complications.

Purpose

We aim to assess the association between statin use and the risk of prosthetic valve endocarditis in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery.

Methods

In all patients undergoing valvular heart surgery in Hong Kong between 2010 and 2021, statin use was ascertained by ≥14-day consecutive filled prescriptions after surgery. Stepwise Poisson regression was applied to identify predictors of PVE. Baseline characteristics between statin nonusers (N = 1400) with statin users (N = 976) were balanced using the inverse probability of treatment weighting. Cox proportional-hazard models with competing risk regression were further performed to estimate the risk of PVE and cardiovascular mortality associated with statin use.

Results

Our study included 2376 patients; the mean age was 57.8±14.2 years, and 54.4% were males. Over a median follow-up of 5.5 years (interquartile range 2.8-8.6), PVE occurred in 93 patients (6.75 [95% CI 5.51-8.26] PVE events per 1000 person-years). PVE was associated with New York Heart Association Class (Relative Risk [RR] 1.22, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.01-1.45; P = 0.035), prior infective endocarditis (RR 8.64, 95% CI 5.58-13.19; P &lt; 0.001), and aortic valve replacement (RR 1.67, 95% CI 1.11-2.53; P = 0.014).

Compared with non-use, statin use was associated with a 47% lower risk of PVE incidence (multivariable-adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 0.53, 95% CI 0.33-0.83; P = 0.006) (Figure 1). This inverse association with the risk of PVE was duration dependent, with an adjusted SHR of 0.60 (95% CI 0.47-0.73; P &lt; 0.001) per year of statin use. Results were consistent across subgroups of sex (male vs female), the number of valvular procedures (single vs multiple), and prosthesis type (mechanical vs biological), but not in groups aged ≤60 years or with prior infective endocarditis (Figure 2). Statin use was associated with a 45% decreased risk of cardiovascular death (SHR 0.55, 95% CI 0.36-0.84; P = 0.006).

Conclusions

In patients undergoing valvular surgery, post-operative statin use is associated with a lower risk of PVE. These results provide new avenues for preventing PVE and hence valve failure.

Comparison of risk of hyperkalemia between SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP4-inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Hyperkalemia is a common complication and increases the risk of cardiac arrhythmias and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), especially in those with diabetic nephropathy. We investigated the risk of hyperkalemia in patients initiated on SGLT2 inhibitors versus DPP-4 inhibitors among patients with T2DM.

Methods

This study included patients with T2DM who initiated on SGLT2 inhibitors or DPP-4 inhibitors between January 01, 2015 and December 31, 2019 from a territory-wide clinical registry in Hong Kong (Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System [CDARS]). A multivariable cox proportional hazards analysis, adjusting for key confounders, was used to compare the risk of central laboratory-determined hyperkalemia (serum potassium ≥6.0mmol/L) and hypokalemia (serum potassium &lt;3.5mmol/L), respectively, between SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors.

Results

10193 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors were matched to 17305 new users of DPP-4 inhibitors. During the 2-year follow-up, there were 104 hyperkalemia events (incident rate [IR] = 5.17 per 1000 person-years) among SGLT2 inhibitors and 306 events (IR = 9.09 per 1000 person-years) among DPP-4 inhibitors, of which SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a lower risk of incident hyperkalemia (Adjusted HR: 0.66 [95%CI 0.53-0.83], p&lt;0.001), compared to DPP-4 inhibitors. The incident hypokalemia was similar between SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors (Adjusted HR: 0.91 [95%CI 0.81-1.03], P=0.13).

Conclusion

SGLT2 inhibitors reduced incident hyperkalemia, but without increasing incident hypokalemia compared to DPP-4 inhibitors.

[Clinical pathologic analysis and review of literature on 11 cases of calcifying epithelial odontogenic tumor]

Objective: To improve the understanding of histological variants of calcifying epithelial odontogenic tumor (CEOT). Methods: In this retrospective study, 11 cases of CEOT diagnosed from January 2008 to March 2022 were enrolled in the Department of Oral Pathology of Nanjing Stomatological Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University. Among them, 10 were male and 1 was female. The patients were 19 to 58 years old [(43.0±11.9) years] and the course of disease was 2 weeks to 5 years. The clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed and the follow-up of patients ranged from 1 to 8 years, including 8 cases with follow-up data and 3 cases lost to follow-up. Furthermore, the related domestic and international literature was reviewed. Results: Eleven cases of CEOT included 6 cases of classic CEOT, 2 cases of clear cell CEOT, 2 cases of Langerhans cell-rich variant of CEOT and 1 case of non-calcified CEOT. In 6 cases of classic CEOT, the ratio of occurrence in mandible to maxilla was 2∶1, the ratio in central parts to peripheral parts was 5∶1, 2 cases were associated with unerupted teeth and 3 cases showed local aggressiveness. Histopathologically, classic CEOT showed eosinophilic epithelial cells, amyloid and calcification with Ki-67 value<5%. Among 4 cases with follow-up information, 1 case recurred after 1 year and 3 cases did not recur for 3 to 8 years. In 2 cases of clear cell CEOT, they both occurred in the periphery of mandible, pathologically showing a mix of lamellar balloon-like clear cells and typical CEOT, positive for CK5/6 and p63 in the area where the epithelial cells and clear cells were located, scattered positive for periodic acid-Schiff (PAS) in clear cells, which indicated the presence of glycogen. The maximum Ki-67 value was 5% in this type. One case lost to follow-up and the other case did not recur for 1 year follow-up after surgery. In 2 cases of Langerhans cell-rich variant of CEOT, they were cystic solid lesions and both occurred in the anterior maxilla. Langerhans cells were scattered in the epithelium and non-calcified amyloid glomeruli were present. Two cases were followed up for 1 year and 2 years without recurrence after surgery. One case of non-calcified CEOT that occurs within the jan showed invasion of surrounding soft tissues and the highest of Ki-67 value at 8% in all 11 cases without recurrence at 1 year follow-up. Conclusions: The histological pattern of classic CEOT is unique, and it is necessary to prompt the understanding of several histological variants derived from it.

Peak atrial longitudinal strain as an independent predictor of composite endpoint in patients received aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosis: a prospective cohort study

Objective

Severe aortic stenosis (AS) is the primary valvular heart disease, treatable only by aortic valve replacement (AVR). The prognostic value of pre-operative left atrial (LA) function on post-AVR clinical outcomes is uncertain. The study aims to evaluate the prognostic value of pre-operative peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) as a surrogate of LA function on post AVR all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation.

Methods

Patients aged 18 years old or above with severe AS were recruited and assessed using speckle-tracking echocardiography pre-operatively. Severe AS was defined according to 2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients with Valvular Heart Disease. PALS was measured. Based on the median value of PALS, patients were stratified into PALS &lt;15.94% and PALS &gt;15.94%. Patients with underlying pre-operative atrial fibrillation, other moderate to severe valvular heart diseases and cancers were excluded. Patients were followed up until death, heart failure hospitalisation or end of the study. The primary outcome is a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalisation. The association of PALS with the composite endpoint was evaluated by Cox Proportional Hazards analysis.

Results

A total of 128 patients (mean age 65.32±9.42 years, 56.3% male) were prospectively analyzed. Patients were followed up for a mean period of 3.9±2.4 years. A total of 65 of 128 patients (50.8%) belonged to PALS&lt;15.94%. During the study period, 23 patients developed the adverse events. A lower pre-operative PALS, both as a continuous or a categorical variable, were associated with a higher unadjusted risk of adverse events (Continuous; HR, 0.93; 95% CI 0.88–0.98; p=0.011; PALS &lt;15.94%; HR, 4.94; 95% CI, 1.67–14.58; p=0.004).

Conclusion

The study demonstrated a lower pre-operative PALS is associated with all-cause mortality and heart failure admission in patients with severe AS undergoing AVR. Evaluation of LA function by assessing speckle tracking derived PALS may aid in prognostication for patients undergoing AVR.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

[Long-term outcomes of 328 patients with of autism spectrum disorder after fecal microbiota transplantation]

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) in the treatment of autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Methods: A longitudinal study was conducted. Clinical data from ASD patients with gastrointestinal symptoms and who underwent FMT in the Tenth People's Hospital affiliated to Tongji University or Jinling Hospital between May 2012 to May 2021 were retrospectively collected. Scores derived from the autism behavior checklist (ABC), the childhood autism rating scale (CARS), the Bristol stool form scale (BSFS), and the gastrointestinal symptom rating scale (GSRS) were analyzed at baseline and at the 1st, 3rd, 6th, 12th, 24th, 36th, 48th and 60th month after FMT. Records of any adverse reactions were collected. Generalized estimating equations were used for analysis of data on time points before and after FMT. Results: A total of 328 patients met the inclusion criteria for this study. Their mean age was 6.1±3.4 years old. The cohort included 271 boys and 57 girls. The percentage of patients remaining in the study for post-treatment follow-up at the 1st, 3rd, 12th, 24th, 36th, 48th and 60th month were as follows: 303 (92.4%), 284 (86.7%), 213 (64.9%), 190 (57.9%), 143 (43.6%), 79 (24.1%), 46 (14.0%), 31 (9.5%). After FMT, the average ABC score was significantly improved in the first 36 months and remained improved at the 48th month. However, the average score was not significantly different from baseline by the 60th month (1st-36th month, P<0.001; 48th month, P=0.008; 60th month, P=0.108). The average CARS score improved significantly during the first 48 months and remained improved at the 60th month (1st-48th month, P<0.001; 60th month, P=0.010). The average BSFS score was also significantly improved in the first 36 months (with an accompanying stool morphology that resembled type 4). This improvement was maintained at the 48th month. However, the average score was similar to baseline at the 60th month (1st-36th month, P<0.001; 48th month, P=0.008; 60th month, P=0.109). The average GSRS score was significantly improved during the first 24 months, but not afterwards (1st-24th month, P<0.001; 36th month, P=0.209; 48th month, P=0.996; 60th month, P=0.668). The adverse events recorded during treatment included abdominal distension in 21 cases (6.4%), nausea in 14 cases (4.3%), vomiting in 9 cases (2.7%), abdominal pain in 15 cases (4.6%), diarrhea in 18 cases (5.5%), fever in 13 cases (4.0%), and excitement in 24 cases (7.3%). All adverse reactions were mild to moderate and improved immediately after suspension of FMT or on treatment of symptoms. No serious adverse reactions occurred. Conclusion: FMT has satisfactory long-term efficacy and safety for the treatment of ASD with gastrointestinal symptoms.

[Effects of caloric restriction and rope-skipping exercise on cardiometabolic risk factors in overweight or obese college students]

Objective: To explore the effect of three interventions including caloric restriction, rope-skipping exercise and caloric restriction combined with rope-skipping exercise on cardiometabolic risk factors in overweight or obese college students. Methods: This study was a pilot randomized controlled trial. Overweight or obese students who met the inclusion criteria were recruited at Sun Yat-sen University in September 2019 and were randomly divided into four groups: caloric restriction group (CR), rope-skipping group (RS), combined group (CR-RS) and control group (CT). The intervention in each group lasted 8 weeks, specifically: the daily energy intake of CR was 100% to 110% of the basal metabolic energy; RS was instructed to rope three times a week, and CR-RS combined caloric restriction with rope-skipping. At the baseline and end of 8-week intervention, basic information, anthropometric indicators and fasting vein blood of students were collected. Paired t test and Wilcoxon paired-samples signed rank test were used for comparison before and after intervention, and analysis of covariance was used for comparison between groups after intervention. Results: A total of 29 students completed the trial and were included in the final analysis (7, 9, 7 and 6 students in CR, RS, CR-RS and CT, respectively). The mean age of students were (19.00±1.00) years, including 11 males and 18 females. The baseline characteristics of four groups were comparable. After 8 weeks of intervention, compared with CT, there was an increase in the body fat percentage and fat mass index in CR and CR-RS (P<0.05). Insulin level decreased in CR-RS (P<0.05). Systolic blood pressure in CR and diastolic blood pressure in CR-RS were higher (P<0.05). Compared with baseline, fat mass index decreased in CR (P<0.05), while body weight, BMI, and fat mass index decreased in CR-RS (P<0.05). Conclusion: It is suggested that the caloric restriction alone and calorie restriction combined with rope-skipping exercise can benefit overweight or obese college students with cardiometabolic risk factors.

[Chinese foreign medical aid work should pay attention to heat stroke as a preventable disease under global warming context]

Within the global warming context, heat stroke heavily threatens human health as the most severe type of heat-related illnesses. Despite the urgent onset, severe condition and poor prognosis, heat stroke is entirely preventable and treatable. Most of the recipient countries of Chinese foreign medical aid work are concentrated in the tropical and subtropical regions. It is necessary to popularize the knowledge of heat stroke and improve the ability of diagnose and treatment among foreign medical aid members, which is critical to enhance the quality of medical service and provide better medical care for recipient countries and workers in Chinese-funded institutions. This article reviews the latest research progress in the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of heat stroke to provide scientific reference for actively implementing interventions and reducing morbidity and mortality.

[New challenges for Chinese foreign medical aid in the context of global warming: heat-related illnesses]

Global warming poses an ever-increasing threat to human health, with heat-related illnesses affecting economically underdeveloped tropical regions, posing new challenges to Chinese foreign medical aid work in Africa. By improving the professional ability of foreign aid medical team members and paying attention to the prevention and treatment of heat-related illnesses, they can provide better medical services for recipient countries and Chinese migrant workers in Africa while ensuring their safety.

First Measurement of High-Energy Reactor Antineutrinos at Daya Bay

This Letter reports the first measurement of high-energy reactor antineutrinos at Daya Bay, with nearly 9000 inverse beta decay candidates in the prompt energy region of 8-12 MeV observed over 1958 days of data collection. A multivariate analysis is used to separate 2500 signal events from background statistically. The hypothesis of no reactor antineutrinos with neutrino energy above 10 MeV is rejected with a significance of 6.2 standard deviations. A 29% antineutrino flux deficit in the prompt energy region of 8-11 MeV is observed compared to a recent model prediction. We provide the unfolded antineutrino spectrum above 7 MeV as a data-based reference for other experiments. This result provides the first direct observation of the production of antineutrinos from several high-Q_{β} isotopes in commercial reactors.

Properties of Daily Helium Fluxes

We present the precision measurement of 2824 daily helium fluxes in cosmic rays from May 20, 2011 to October 29, 2019 in the rigidity interval from 1.71 to 100 GV based on 7.6×10^{8} helium nuclei collected with the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS) aboard the International Space Station. The helium flux and the helium to proton flux ratio exhibit variations on multiple timescales. In nearly all the time intervals from 2014 to 2018, we observed recurrent helium flux variations with a period of 27 days. Shorter periods of 9 days and 13.5 days are observed in 2016. The strength of all three periodicities changes with time and rigidity. In the entire time period, we found that below ∼7  GV the helium flux exhibits larger time variations than the proton flux, and above ∼7  GV the helium to proton flux ratio is time independent. Remarkably, below 2.4 GV a hysteresis between the helium to proton flux ratio and the helium flux was observed at greater than the 7σ level. This shows that at low rigidity the modulation of the helium to proton flux ratio is different before and after the solar maximum in 2014.

[Study on the difference of curative effect of conventional mercury displacement treatment on mercury in brain and kidney]

Objective: To explore the expulsion effect of sodium dimercaptopropanesulfonate (DMPS) on mercury in different organs of mercury poisoning and the therapeutic effect of glutathione (GSH) combined with antioxidant therapy on mercury poisoning. Methods: In February 2019, 50 SPF male SD rats were randomly divided into 5 groups, 10 rats in each group: A (saline negative control group) , B (HgCL2 positive control group) , treatment group (C: intramuscular injection of DMPS 15 mg/kg treatment, D: intramuscular injection of DMPS30 mg/kg treatment, E: intramuscular injection of DMPS 15 mg/kg and intraperitoneal injection of GSH200 mg/kg treatment) . Rats in group B, C, D and E were subcutaneously injected with mercury chloride solution (1 mg/kg) to establish a rat model of subacute mercury poisoning kidney injury. Rats in group A were subcutaneously injected with normal saline. After the establishment of the model, rats in the treatment group were injected with DMPS and GSH. Rats in group A and group B were injected with normal saline. At 21 d (treatment 7 d) and 28 d (treatment 14 d) after exposure, urine and blood samples of 5 rats in each group were collected. Blood biochemistry, urine mercury, urine microalbumin and mercury content in renal cortex, cerebral cortex and cerebellum were detected. Results: After exposure to mercury, the contents of mercury in renal cortex, cerebrum and cerebellum of rats in group B, C, D and E increased, and urine microalbumin increased. Pathology showed renal tubular injury and renal interstitial inflammation. Compared with group B, urinary mercury and renal cortex mercury in group C, D and E decreased rapidly after DMPS treatment, and there was no significant decrease in mercury levels in cerebellum and cerebral cortex of rats, accompanied by transient increase in urinary albumin after DMPS treatment (P<0.05) ; the renal interstitial inflammation in group E was improved after GSH treatment. There was a positive correlation between urinary mercury and the contents of mercury in renal cortex, cerebral cortex and cerebellum (r=0.61, 0.47, 0.48, P<0.05) . Conclusion: DMPS mercury expulsion treatment can significantly reduce the level of metal mercury in the kidney, and there is no significant change in the level of metal mercury in the cortex and cerebellum.

[Fast determination of bongkrekic acid in plasma by high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry]

Objective: To establish a method for rapid determination of bongkrekic acid (BA) in plasma by high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (HPLC-MS/MS). Methods: In November 2020, plasma samples were extracted by methanol and acetonitrile (1∶1) and purified directly. The samples were separated by C18 column. Gradient elution was carried out with 5 mmol/L ammonium acetate water acetonitrile solution as mobile phase. Under the optimized instrument conditions, the electrospray ionization multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) mode was used, and the external standard method was used for quantitative analysis. Results: The linear relationship of BA in plasma was good in the concentration range of 2-100 μg/L, the correlation coefficient was 0.9998, the average recovery was 83.7%-112.0%, the relative standard deviation within and between batches was less than 10%, the detection limit of the method was 0.7 μg/L and the lower limit of quantification was 2.0 μg/L. Conclusion: The method is simple, rapid, accurate and sensitive, and can meet the requirements for the determination of BA in blood samples of poisoning patients.

[Statistical methods for relative risk estimation and applications in case-cohort study]

Objective: To systematically introduce the design of case-cohort study and the statistical methods of relative risk estimation and their application in the design. Methods: First, we introduced the basic principles of case-cohort study design. Secondly, Prentice's method, Self-Prentice method and Barlow method were described in the weighted Cox proportional hazard regression models in detail, finally, the data from the Shanghai Women's Health Study were used as an example to analyze the association between obesity and liver cancer incidence in the full cohort and case-cohort sample, and the results of parameters from each method were compared. Results: Significant association was observed between obesity and risk for liver cancer incidence in women in both the full cohort and the case-cohort sample. In the Cox proportional hazard regression model, the partial regression coefficients of the full cohort and the case-cohort sample fluctuated with the adjustment of confounding factors, but the hazard ratio estimates of them were close. There was a difference in the standard error of the partial regression coefficient between the full cohort and the case-cohort sample. The standard error of the partial regression coefficient of the case-cohort sample was larger than that of the full cohort, resulting in a wider 95% confidence interval of the relative risk. In the weighted Cox proportional hazard regression model, the standard error of the partial regression coefficient of Prentice's method was closer to the parameter estimates from full cohort than Self-Prentice method and Barlow method, and the 95% confidence interval of hazard ratio was closer to that of the full cohort. Conclusions: Case-cohort design could yield parameter results closer to the full cohort by collecting and analyzing data from sub-cohort members and patients with the disease, and reduce sample size and improve research efficiency. The results suggested that Prentice's method would be preferred in case-cohort design.

Joint Determination of Reactor Antineutrino Spectra from ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu Fission by Daya Bay and PROSPECT

A joint determination of the reactor antineutrino spectra resulting from the fission of ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu has been carried out by the Daya Bay and PROSPECT Collaborations. This Letter reports the level of consistency of ^{235}U spectrum measurements from the two experiments and presents new results from a joint analysis of both data sets. The measurements are found to be consistent. The combined analysis reduces the degeneracy between the dominant ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu isotopes and improves the uncertainty of the ^{235}U spectral shape to about 3%. The ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu antineutrino energy spectra are unfolded from the jointly deconvolved reactor spectra using the Wiener-SVD unfolding method, providing a data-based reference for other reactor antineutrino experiments and other applications. This is the first measurement of the ^{235}U and ^{239}Pu spectra based on the combination of experiments at low- and highly enriched uranium reactors.

[Clinical features of 19 cases of lower respiratory papillomatosis]

Objective: To explore the clinical characteristics and prognosis of lower respiratory papilloma(LRP)and therefore to improve clinical diagnosis and treatment. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients who were diagnosed with LRP in our department from October 2008 to October 2020. Results: Nineteen patients were enrolled and 12 were male and 7 were female. The average age of the 7 adult patients was (41.3±17.5)years and that of the 12 pediatric patients was (5.5±3.5)years. Ten (83.3%)of the pediatric patients showed disease onset at an age of less than 5 years. The main symptoms were cough and sputum production (13/19), dyspnea (15/19), hoarseness (10/19) and signs of stridor or wheezing (7/19). Chest CT examination was performed in 9 patients, which showed nodules or masses (9/9), cystic thin-walled cavity (4/9), obstructive pneumonia (2/9), atelectasis (2/9), and spicule sign (1/9). The upper respiratory tract was affected in all the pediatric patients (12/12) and 3/7 of the adult patients. Eighteen cases (18/19) were diagnosed by bronchoscopy, 1 (1/9) by thoracoscopy. Eighteen cases (18/19) showed mulberry-like and papillary lesions under bronchoscopy. All the cases were histologically confirmed as squamous cell papilloma, with 17 cases(17/19)showing tissue HPV6/11(+), 2 negative (2/19). The positive rate of HPV6 was 36.8%, ant that of HPV11 was 21.1%, while the double positive rate of HPV6/11 was 31.6%, and HPV16/18 were negative in all the 19 cases. Isolated respiratory papillomatosis was found in 4 cases (4/19), and multiple papillomatosis in 15 cases (15/19). Seventeen cases (17/19) underwent endoscopic interventional therapy, and the result showed that 15 cases relapsed, and 2 cases had no recurrence. One patient was treated with thoracoscopic lobectomy, and died 4 months after surgery. One patient gave up treatment. Conclusions: LRP is a rare clinical disease with a chronic course, and isolated LRP is even rarer. Young patients often suffer from upper respiratory tract involvement, and the main symptoms are cough, sputum production, dyspnea and hoarseness. CT scanning showed nodules and masses, cystic thin-walled cavities or signs of airway obstruction. Bronchoscopy often demonstrates papillary lesions. The diagnosis depends on pathology, with squamous cell papilloma being the most common, and most tests are positive for HPV6/11. It is suggested that the incidence is associated with low-risk HPV infection. Endoscopic resection is the main treatment, which is prone to relapse. The treatment should take into account the pathological changes of upper respiratory tract, and the etiological treatment of HPV should be stressed.

Impact of proportionality of tricuspid regurgitation on outcome after tricuspid annuloplasty

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen, China [No. SZSM201911020]; HKU-SZH Fund for Shenzhen Key Medical Discipline [No. SZXK2020081]

Background

 Patients with secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) benefit differentially from tricuspid annuloplasty. We hypothesized that TR severity may be proportional or disproportional to right ventricular (RV) remodeling and investigated the prognostic implication of this novel framework.

Methods

 The ratios of pre-procedural effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) with right ventricular end-diastolic area (RVDA) and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) were retrospectively assessed in 307 patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty. Based on optimal thresholds derived from cubic splines and maximally selected rank statistics, patients were stratified into 3 groups: proportionate TR (Group 1: EROA/RVDA ≤1.70 and EROA/TAPSE ≤3.42), disproportionate TR to RV size (Group 2: EROA/RVDA &gt;1.70 and EROA/TAPSE ≤3.42), and disproportionate TR to RV size and function (Group 3: EROA/RVDA &gt;1.70 and EROA/TAPSE &gt;3.42). 

Results

 Overall, 77 (25%), 126 (41%), and 104 (34%) patients were classified into Group 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Compared with those with proportionate TR (Group 1), patients with disproportionate TR (Group 2 and 3) had a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation and smaller left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 4.1 (2.5-6.2) years, 81 adverse events (49 HF hospitalizations and 32 deaths) occurred. Patients with disproportionate TR (Group 2 and 3) had higher rates of adverse events than those with proportionate TR (22% and 44% versus 9%; P = 0.018 and P &lt; 0.001, respectively) and were independently associated with poor outcomes on multivariate analysis. TR proportionality outperformed guideline-based prediction algorithm comprising EROA and RV assessment in outcome prediction (C-statistic 0.70 versus 0.62, p = 0.015; likelihood ratio test &lt;0.001).

Conclusion

 Disproportionate TR is independently associated with poor prognosis in patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty. Characterization of TR severity to RV size and function may aid patient selection and risk stratification for tricuspid annuloplasty. Abstract Figure.

Prognostic implications of the proportionality of tricuspid regurgitation in tricuspid annuloplasty

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

 Patients with secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) represent a heterogeneous group that benefits differentially from tricuspid annuloplasty. We hypothesized that TR severity may be proportional or disproportional to right ventricular (RV) remodeling and investigated the prognostic implications of this novel paradigm.

Methods

 The ratios of pre-procedural effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) with right ventricular end-diastolic area (RVDA) and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) were retrospectively assessed in 307 patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty. Based on optimal thresholds derived from cubic splines and maximally selected rank statistics, patients were stratified into 3 groups: proportionate TR (Group 1: EROA/RVDA ≤1.68 and EROA/TAPSE ≤3.42), disproportionate TR to RV size (Group 2: EROA/RVDA &gt;1.68 and EROA/TAPSE ≤3.42), and disproportionate TR to RV size and function (Group 3: EROA/RVDA &gt;1.68 and EROA/TAPSE &gt;3.42). 

Results

 Overall, 72 (23%), 127 (41%), and 108 (35%) patients were classified into Group 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Compared with those with proportionate TR (Group 1), patients with disproportionate TR (Group 2 and 3) had a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation, moderate to severe aortic stenosis, and smaller left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 4.3 (2.6-6.3) years, 74 adverse events (42 HF hospitalizations and 32 deaths) occurred. Patients with disproportionate TR (Group 2 and 3) had higher rates of adverse events than those with proportionate TR (21% and 38% versus 8%; P = 0.010 and P &lt; 0.001, respectively; Figure) and were independently associated with poor outcomes on multivariate analysis. Importantly, this novel framework outperformed the TR grading system recommended by current guidelines, which was unable to effectively stratify prognosis in this population (Hazard Ratio for severe versus moderate TR 1.42; 95% CI 0.84-2.38; P = 0.194).

Conclusion

 Disproportionate TR is independently associated with poor prognosis in patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty. Characterization of TR severity to RV size and function may aid patient selection and risk stratification for tricuspid annuloplasty. Abstract Figure.

Role of prenatal cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging in determining pregnancy risk in repaired Tetralogy of Fallot patients

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Addressing pregnancy risks poses as a new challenge among women with repaired tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). The high-output state of pregnancy may predispose women to late complications of repaired TOF. However, guidelines regarding antenatal and or perinatal cardiovascular assessment has not been outlined. Noninvasive modalities such as cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) that do not require the utilization of ionizing radiation are feasible methods of assessment. Risk stratification of baseline CMR parameters has been sparsely investigated among repaired TOF cohorts. This study aims to identify baseline CMR parameters that may predict adverse outcomes of pregnancy among women with repaired TOF.

Sixty-five successful pregnancies were recorded from a cohort of 105 pregnant episodes. Patients with CMR studies performed within 5 years prior to delivery events were included. Adverse clinical outcomes of interest included arrhythmia, heart failure admissions, gestational hypertension, pre-eclampsia toxemia and all-cause mortality. Baseline CMR parameters regarding ventricular mechanics such as left and right ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, left and right ventricular ejection fractions and pulmonary regurgitant fraction were measured, and their association with adverse clinical outcomes were evaluated using an independent-samples t-test.

Within all 65 successful pregnancies, 26 baseline CMR images were obtained and included in this study. The mean maternal age was 29.7 ± 6.7 years old with a mean birth weight of 2.91 ± 0.49 kg at a mean gestational age of 38.4 ± 2.0 weeks. There was a total of 12 patients with adverse clinical outcome: 5 patients with heart failure hospitalizations, 4 patients with gestational hypertension, 4 patients with arrhythmia and 2 patients with pre-eclampsia toxemia.

Assessment of baseline CMR parameters of ventricular mechanics revealed that increased left ventricular end-diastolic volumes (LVEDV) (144.7mL/m2 ± 4.9; P = 0.011), left ventricular end-systolic volumes (LVESV) (65.1mL/m2 ± 9.4; P = 0.004), right ventricular end-diastolic volumes (RVEDV) (235.2 ± 29.0; P = 0.021) and right ventricular end-systolic volumes (RVESV) (122.2mL/m2 ± 38.1; P = 0.033) were associated with an increased incidence of arrhythmia during pregnancy. Nonetheless, there was no significant association between baseline ventricular mechanics with heart failure, gestational hypertension, and pre-eclampsia toxemia. 

Baseline assessment of cardiac magnetic resonance imaging among pregnant TOF women revealed that larger left and right ventricular volumes were associated with arrythmia development during pregnancy. Further studies with larger cohort sizes evaluating the role of antenatal and perinatal cardiovascular imaging assessment using CMR in predicting the risks of cardiovascular complications during pregnancy are warranted.

Incidence, clinical correlates and associated outcomes of dementia in heart failure: a population-based cohort study

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Dementia, in the setting of heart failure (HF), portends poorer outcomes and poses great challenges in its clinical management.

Purpose

We investigated the incidence, types, clinical correlates, and the prognostic impact of dementia in a population-based cohort of patients with HF. Further, we examined the interactions of age and sex, and education status with dementia incidence.

Methods

The previously validated Hong Kong Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System (CDARS), a territory-wide database was interrogated to identify patients with HF (N= 202,121) from 1995 to 2018. Associations of clinical correlates with incident dementia and its risk with all-cause mortality were assessed using competing risk/multivariable Cox regression models where appropriate.

Results

Among a total cohort aged ≥18 years with HF (mean age: 75.3 ± 13.0 years, 51.3% women), new-onset dementia occurred in 22,145 (11.0%) over a median follow-up of 5.5 years. Alzheimer’s disease occurred in 27.0%; vascular dementia (18.1%) and unspecified dementia (in 55.1%). Age-standardized rate of dementia incidence in women was 1297 (95%CI, 1276-1318) (vs. 744, 95%CI, 723-765) per 10000 population in men. Other independent predictors of dementia include: Increasing age (HR 1.08), Female sex (HR 1.19), Nil/&lt; primary (vs tertiary) education (HR 1.29), Parkinson’s disease (HR 1.73), head injury (HR 1.37), peripheral vascular disease (HR 1.31), stroke (HR 1.29), depression (HR 1.18), alcohol intake (HR1.17), anaemia (HR 1.14), hypertension (HR 1.08), among other common comorbidities in HF (Figure 1A).

Notably, a significant interaction (p &lt; 0.001) between age and sex on dementia incidence was observed, such that women in all age groups were observed to have higher sHR compared to men (Figure 1B). After accounting for competing risk, dementia was not associated with adjusted hazard of all-cause mortality.

Conclusions

Female sex, lower socioeconomic status, increasing age and common comorbidities were associated with higher hazards of incident dementia. Abstract Figure 1A and Figure 1B

Prognostic value of pre-operative left atrial strain on composite endpoint in patients received aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosis: a retrospective cohort study

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Objective

Severe aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common primary valvular heart disease, treatable only by aortic valve replacement (AVR).  Current literatures have shown that severe AS may precede atrial dysfunction which predicts adverse outcomes.  However, predictive value of pre-operative left atrial (LA) function on post-AVR clinical outcomes is uncertain.  The study aims to evaluate the prognostic value of pre-operative LA strain on post AVR all-cause mortality and heart failure.

Methods

Patients aged 18 years old or above with severe AS were recruited and assessed using speckle-tracking echocardiography pre-operatively.  Severe AS was defined according to 2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease.  Peak Atrial Longitudinal Strain (PALS) was measured as a surrogate of LA function.  Patients with underlying pre-operative atrial fibrillation and other severe valvular heart diseases were excluded.  High PALS was defined as PALS higher than 15.94%. Patients were followed up until death or end of the study. The primary endpoint is a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure during hospitalisation. The association of LA function with composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure was evaluated by Cox Proportional Hazards analysis.

Results

A total of 128 patients (mean age 65.3.9 ± 9.4 years, 56.3% male) were analysed. Patients were followed up for a mean period of 3.9 ± 2.4years.  A total of 65 of 128 patients (50.8%) belonged to low PALS group.  During the study period, 23 patients developed events on the composite endpoint.  Among those with composite endpoint, low PALS group accounted for 18 (78.3%) patients and high PALS group accounted for 5 (21.7%) patients.  Higher PALS was independently associated with lower risk of composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure (HR, 0.33; 95% CI 0.117-0.916, p = 0.03) after adjustment for EuroSCORE II.

Conclusion

Higher PALS, a surrogate of LA function, is associated with a lower risk of composite endpoints of mortality and heart failure in patients with severe AS undergoing AVR, independent of EuroSCORE II. Evaluation of LA function by assessing speckle tracking derived PALS may aid in prognostication for patients undergoing AVR.

Serial echocardiography assessment and clinical outcomes among pregnant women with Tetralogy of Fallot

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Following advancements in intracardiac repair of Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), a greater proportion of patients survive well beyond child-bearing age. Pulmonary regurgitation (PR) and subsequent progressive right ventricular dilatation occur frequently as an intrinsic complication of surgical repair of TOF. High-output states such as pregnancy may exacerbate these late complications. The advocation of pre-pregnancy pulmonary valve replacement to mitigate pregnancy-related cardiac burden has remained controversial. This study aims to delineate the outcomes of pregnancy among women with repaired TOF.

105 pregnant episodes among were identified from a cohort of 240 adult female patients with TOF between 1990 to 2021. Patients with echocardiographic studies performed within 1 year prior to and following delivery were included for cardiac functional analysis. A paired sample t-test was performed to compare echocardiographic parameters between pre-delivery and post-delivery periods. Linear regression was used to identify changes to identify significant changes in echocardiographic parameters among patients with a baseline of severe PR.

Within all pregnant episodes (n = 105), 65 successful pregnancies, 16 spontaneous miscarriages, 21 termination of pregnancies and 3 ectopic pregnancies were recorded. The mean maternal age was 28.9 (±6.7) years with deliveries at 37.86 (30-41) gestational weeks. Cardiovascular events occurred in 19 pregnancies with 4 patients having gestational hypertension, 4 patients with pre-eclampsia toxemia, 7 patients with heart failure symptoms and 4 patients with arrhythmias. Other complications included 4 patients with gestational diabetes mellitus, 3 patients with impaired glucose tolerance, 2 patients with anemia, 3 patients with maternal thyroid disease and 1 patients with proteinuria.

Echocardiographic studies demonstrated significant changes in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (Pre-delivery = 60.69 ±8.73; post-delivery = 59.39 ±9.36) (P = 0.007), left ventricular end diastolic volume (LVEDV) (Pre-delivery: 89.71mL ±18.22mL; Post-delivery: 80.96mL ±12.32mL; P = 0.007), left end systolic volume (LVESV) (Pre-delivery: 35.43 ±12.36; Post-delivery: 32.70 ± 8.83; P = 3.7x10-5) and right ventricular index of myocardial performance score (Pre-delivery: 0.34 ±0.12; Post-delivery: 0.33 ±0.12; P = 0.007). Patients with severe PR was found to have significantly worse right ventricular global longitudinal strain (RV GLS) (P = 0.029). 2 patients progressed to severe PR following delivery.

Adult female patients with TOF can have viable pregnancies with acceptable mortality and morbidity. Deterioration in echocardiographic parameters were identified when comparing between pre-delivery and post-delivery studies. TOF patients should be closely monitored throughout and post-delivery for detection of deterioration of cardiac function and clinical symptoms.

Prognostic role of right ventricular geometry and function in patients undergoing double valve surgery

Introduction

Multiple valvular heart disease, a combination of stenotic and regurgitant lesions occurring on two or more valves, is a highly prevalent condition. For these patients, surgical correction is the only definitive treatment to improve prognosis, yet concomitant aortic and mitral (double) valve surgery is associated with poor post-operative outcomes. While current guidelines outline left ventricular dimensions and function as surgical triggers, little is known regarding the importance of right ventricular (RV) remodelling in these patients.

Purpose

We sought to evaluate the prognostic value of RV remodelling in patients undergoing double valve surgery.

Methods

RV remodelling was characterised by transthoracic echocardiography in 152 patients undergoing concomitant aortic and mitral valve replacement (n=118) or aortic valve replacement and mitral valve repair (n=34). Four patterns of RV remodelling were defined according to the presence of RV dilation (tricuspid annulus diameter&gt;35mm) and RV systolic dysfunction (percentage RV fractional area change &lt;35%): normal RV size and systolic function (pattern 1); dilated RV with normal systolic function (pattern 2); RV systolic dysfunction with normal RV size (pattern 3); and dilated RV with systolic dysfunction (pattern 4). Adverse events were defined as the composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalisation for heart failure.

Results

Overall, 62 (41%), 31 (20%), 35 (23%), and 24 (16%) patients were classified as RV remodelling patterns 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Patients with advanced RV remodelling patterns were more frequently male, had worse renal function, and a higher EuroSCORE II. During a median follow-up of 43 months, 41 adverse events (22 heart failure hospitalisation and 19 deaths) occurred. Patients with patterns 3 and 4 RV remodelling had an increased risk of adverse events compared to pattern 1 (log-rank χ2 27.42; p&lt;0.001; Figure 1). After adjustments for EuroSCORE II and significant tricuspid regurgitation, RV remodelling patterns 3 (Hazard Ratio [HR] 3.24, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.27–8.24, p=0.014) and 4 (HR 6.18, 95% CI 2.49–15.32, p&lt;0.001) were independently associated with poor post-operative outcomes. Importantly, RV remodelling patterns provided incremental prognostic value to EuroSCORE II (χ2 increased from 18 to 38, p&lt;0.001).

Conclusion

In patients with concomitant aortic and mitral valve disease, RV remodelling is frequent and associated with poorer outcomes. Our study highlights the involvement of the RV in left-sided valvular heart disease and underlines the importance of preoperative assessment of RV geometry and function in patients undergoing double valve surgery.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1

The evolving characteristics and outcomes of acute myocardial infarction in Hong Kong, 1999–2018

Background

The burden of myocardial infarction (MI) with its assorted comorbid complications is increasing parallel to rising life expectancy. Careful characterisation of patient characteristics and identification of short- and long-term complications is critical to their management. Nonetheless, data on the evolving profiles of patient features and outcomes, particularly in an Asian population, remain sparse.

Purpose

We aim to describe the evolving characteristics and outcomes of MI patients in Hong Kong in the past 2 decades.

Methods

From a well-validated territory-wide database in Hong Kong, we included patients with incident acute MI from 1999/01/01 to 2018/12/31. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause death, while secondary outcomes include haemorrhagic stroke, and pneumonia, at both 30 days and 5 years. Temporal trends in baseline characteristics were evaluated using Poisson regression, while trends in outcomes were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted with demographics, comorbidities, and baseline medications.

Results

A total of 130,218 patients (age 73.6±13.9 years, 40.0% female) were included. Over time, while there was no change in the proportion of females (P=0.196), the increase in mean age (APC 0.23% [0.21 to 0.24], P&lt;0.001) was concordant with the increase in mean CCI (APC 5.1%, [4.8 to 5.3], P&lt;0.001), with more patients suffering from baseline comorbidities (Figure 1; range of APC 1.7% to 4.3%; all P&lt;0.001). The proportion of ST elevation increased significantly (APC 2.5% [2.4 to 2.5], P&lt;0.001).

The adjusted all-cause 30-day mortality rate decreased increased significantly (APC 0.3% [0.1 to 0.5], P=0.005). The increasing trend was significant in older patients (≥70 years), non-ST elevation, and female, while there was a decreasing trend mortality rate in ST elevation and young patients; no significant trend was observed in male. Strikingly, there is an alarming increase in the rate of haemorrhagic stroke (APC 3.4% [2.3 to 4.4], P&lt;0.001) and pneumonia (APC 1.5% [1.3 to 1.7], P&lt;0.001) at 30 days (Figure 2). Although the rate of 5-year all-cause death declined slightly (APC −0.8% [−0.9 to −0.6], P&lt;0.001), there were increasing rates of haemorrhagic stroke (APC 1.0% [0.3 to 1.7], P=0.004) and pneumonia (APC 3.8% [3.6 to 4.1], P&lt;0.001). Patients who were older, had ST elevation, and more comorbid were more likely to develop pneumonia.

Conclusions

Patients with MI have evolved to be older and more comorbid. Alarmingly, despite reduction in long-term all-cause death over time, the reduction was small; risk of death in short-term significantly increased and patients suffer from more complications including haemorrhagic stroke and pneumonia. These results highlight the emergence of extra-cardiac outcomes that drive poor prognosis and accentuate the need to develop tailored strategies to tackle these potentially lethal complications.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Shenzhen Key Medical Discipline; The Sanming Project of HKU-SZH Cardiology

Prognostic value of a novel index: computational pressure-flow dynamics derived fractional flow reserve in patients with stable coronary artery disease treated with optimal medical therapy alone

Background

The use of fractional flow reserve (FFR) is limited due to the need of invasive pressure wire and hyperaemic stimulus. Computational pressure-flow dynamics derived fractional flow reserve (caFFR) is a novel non-invasive index to determine the FFR in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD).

Purpose

The clinical value of caFFR remains uncertain. The aim of the study is to evaluate the prognostic role of caFFR in patients with stable CAD who were treated by optimal medical therapy alone.

Methods

A total of 558 stable CAD patients (mean age=64.5±11.2, 59.0% male) with ≥1 coronary lesion detected during conventional coronary angiogram were included. All of them did not undergo percutaneous coronary intervention and were treated with optimal medical therapy alone. Patients were then classified into 4 groups according to their caFFR value; caFFR ≤0.70 (n=40), caFFR = 0.71–0.80 (n=28), caFFR = 0.81–0.90 (n=292), caFFR = 0.91–1.00 (n=198), with a lower caFFR indicating a greater magnitude of myocardial ischemia. The primary endpoint was 3-year major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction or any unplanned revascularization.

Results

During a median follow-up of 36 months, a total of 49 composite events occurred, including 27 all-cause mortality, 4 myocardial infarction and 18 unplanned revascularization.

After multivariate adjustment, caFFR was an independent predictor of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97 per 0.01 increase in caFFR; 95% confidence interval [Cl], 0.95–0.99; P&lt;0.01), all-cause mortality (adjusted HR = 0.96 per 0.01 increase in caFFR; 95% Cl, 0.94–0.99; P&lt;0.01), and stroke (adjusted HR = 0.95 per 0.01 increase in caFFR; 95% Cl, 0.90–0.99; P=0.03).

The area under the curve (AUC) by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC) is 0.70 (95% Cl, 0.62–0.78; P&lt;0.01). The optimal cut-off of caFFR defined by ROC analysis for predicting MACE is 0.80, concluding that patients with caFFR ≤0.80 have significantly higher adverse event rate, which is consistent with the cut-off from wire-based FFR.

Using caFFR = 0.91–1.00 as reference, the risk of MACE was highest in patients with caFFR ≤0.70 (adjusted HR = 4.65; 95% Cl, 1.81–11.94; P&lt;0.01), followed by caFFR = 0.71–0.80 (adjusted HR = 3.67; 95% Cl, 1.12–11.33; P=0.02). The risk of MACE was nonetheless similar among patients with caFFR &gt;0.8 (adjusted HR = 1.39; 95% Cl, 0.61–3.19, P=0.44).

Conclusion

In patients with stable CAD who were treated with optimal medical therapy alone, those with more significant myocardial ischemia, indicated by lower caFFR, had higher risks of adverse outcomes. The finding thus supports the use of this non invasive index to quantify the severity of myocardial ischemia, improve risk-stratification, and predict adverse outcomes in patients with stable CAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): The University of Hong Kong, Queen Mary Hospital

Microbiology of infective endocarditis in Hong Kong from 2000 to 2019: a 20-year analysis

Background

Infective endocarditis (IE) is associated with high mortality and complex microbiological profile. The antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines underwent a major revision in 2009 to reduce unnecessary antibiotic exposure. Substantial geographic variations in microbiological profiles exist, of which the understanding in an Asian population is lacking.

Purpose

We aim to describe the trends in the microbiology of IE in Hong Kong in the past 2 decades.

Methods

All patients aged 20 or above diagnosed with incident IE with blood culture results from 2000–2019 were included from a well-validated territory-wide database in Hong Kong, and were classified as 7 groups of causative organisms as shown in Figure 1. To evaluate the association between microbiology and 1-year all-cause death, a multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model was used, adjusted with demographics and comorbidities. Temporal trends in the proportion of each organism were characterised using Poisson regression. Interrupted time series analysis was used to evaluate the change in the organism-specific incidence after the revision of guidelines.

Results

In a total of 5,657 patients (age 59.9±18.3 years, 37.2% females), there were 2,185 (38.6%) patients with culture-negative endocarditis. Staphylococcus aureus (22.4%) and Streptococci (20.5%) were the most common organisms identified.

Over time, there was a significant reduction in the proportion of culture-negative endocarditis (annual percentage change [APC] −2.3% [−2.8 to −1.7], P&lt;0.001), and a significant increase in the proportion of endocarditis due to Staphylococcus aureus (APC 1.6% [0.7 to 2.4], P&lt;0.001) and Streptococci (APC 2.3% [1.4 to 3.3], P&lt;0.001) (Figure 1). After guidelines revision in 2009, there was no significant change in organism-specific incidence (all P-values for relative change&gt;0.05).

Compared to patients with culture-negative endocarditis, those infected with Staphylococcus aureus (hazard ratio [HR] 2.19 [1.94–2.47], P&lt;0.001), other Staphylococci (HR 1.56 [1.20–2.01], P&lt;0.001), Enterococci (HR 1.60 [1.25–2.05], P&lt;0.001), other microorganisms (HR 1.30 [1.05–1.60], P=0.015), and mixed microorganisms (HR 2.40 [2.02–2.84], P&lt;0.001) had a higher risk of 1-year all-cause death (Figure 2).

There was a significant increase in the proportion of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) endocarditis (APC 4.1% [1.9 to 6.3], P&lt;0.001), with no significant interval change after 2009. Patients infected with MRSA had a higher all-cause death (HR 2.00 [1.70–2.36], P&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Different causative organisms carry variable mortality signals in infective endocarditis. Over time, there were fewer cases of culture-negative endocarditis, and the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines did not result in a significant change in the microbiological profile. There was an increasing trend for MRSA endocarditis, which was associated with a higher risk of death.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Shenzhen Key Medical DisciplineThe Sanming Project of HKU-SZH Cardiology

Epidemiology of infective endocarditis in Hong Kong, 2000–2019

Background/Introduction

Despite improvements in diagnostic and therapeutic strategies, the mortality and morbidity of infective endocarditis (IE) remain high. The incidence, outcomes, and surgical intervention of IE, particularly in an Asian population, are poorly understood and characterised, and the effect of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines revision on the incidence of IE remains unexplored.

Purpose

We aim to describe temporal changes in the epidemiology and surgical intervention for IE in Hong Kong in the past 2 decades.

Methods

From a well-validated territory-wide database in Hong Kong, all patients aged 20 or above diagnosed with incident IE from 2000–2019 were included. The temporal trends in the incidence of IE, rate of surgical intervention, and mean Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were characterised using Poisson regression analysis and expressed in annual percentage change (APC [95% CI]). Interrupted time series analysis was used to evaluate the change in incidence after the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines. The association between surgical intervention and mortality was evaluated using propensity score analytics. Temporal trends in 1-year all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression.

Results

A total of 5,657 patients (59.9±18.3 years, 37.2% females) were included. The crude incidence remained was stable from 2000 to 2019 (APC 0.1% [−0.5 to 0.7], P=0.675), and remained unchanged following the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines in 2008 (relative risk of change 0.90 [0.64 to 1.00], P=0.065) (Figure 1). Concordant with an increase in the mean age of IE patients (APC 0.9% [0.8 to 1.1], P&lt;0.001), the comorbidity burden grew substantially from 2000 (CCI 0.55±1.27) to 2019 (CCI 1.09±1.66).

The rate of surgical intervention significantly increased from 5.3% in 2000 to 17.8% in 2019 (APC 2.7% [1.1 to 4.3], P=0.004), and surgical intervention at 1 year was associated with a 45% risk reduction in 1-year all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio 0.55 [0.46 to 0.65], P&lt;0.001). Nevertheless, the crude all-cause mortality rate at 1 year increased from 27.4% in 2000 to 31.5% in 2019, with no significant trend after adjustment for demographics and comorbidities (APC −0.7% [−1.6 to 0.1], P=0.087).

Conclusions

In this large cohort of Asian patients, the incidence of IE remained static and did not change following the revision of antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines. Over time, patients with IE have evolved to be older and more comorbid. Despite an increasing rate of surgical intervention that conferred improved survival, the mortality of IE remained irresistibly high.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Shenzhen Key Medical DisciplineThe Sanming Project of HKU-SZH Cardiology

Prognostic value of longitudinal assessment of hepatorenal function and nutritional status in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery

Background

Hepatorenal dysfunction and malnutrition are frequent extracardiac consequences of valvular heart disease (VHD) and have emerged as prominent drivers of adverse prognosis in selected valvular interventions. Nonetheless, data in a general VHD population is sparse, and their interaction and changes following valvular surgery remain unexplored.

Purpose

We aim to characterise the temporal changes, interaction, and prognostic implications of hepatorenal dysfunction and malnutrition before and after valvular surgery.

Methods

Baseline and temporal changes in hepatorenal dysfunction (assessed by the modified model for end-stage liver disease [MELD-XI] score) and nutritional status (assessed by Controlling Nutritional Status [CONUT] score) were correlated with adverse events (composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalisation for heart failure) using Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted with clinical and echocardiographic covariates, medications, type of valvular procedure, and cardiac surgery risk-stratification models (EuroSCORE II and STS score).

Results

Our study included 909 patients who underwent valvular surgery. At baseline, 216 (24%) and 554 (61%) had hepatorenal dysfunction (MELD-XI &gt;12.43) and malnutrition (CONUT ≥2), respectively. MELD-XI scores were modestly correlated with CONUT scores (R=0.36, p&lt;0.001), with concomitant hepatorenal dysfunction and malnutrition present in 177 (19%) patients.

Over a median follow-up of 4.1 years, 101 (11%) patients died and 119 (13%) were hospitalised for heart failure. There was a stepwise increase in mortality (χ2 89.1, p&lt;0.001) and adverse events (χ2 92.9, p&lt;0.001) from patients with normal hepatorenal function and nutrition to concomitant hepatorenal dysfunction and malnutrition (Figure 1). This association remained consistent in fully adjusted models. MELD-XI and CONUT scores significantly improved the discriminatory accuracy of EuroSCORE II (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.80 vs 0.73, p&lt;0.001) and STS score (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.72, p=0.004) for all-cause mortality.

In patients with MELD-XI and CONUT scores 1 year after surgery (n=707), ΔMELD-XI (follow-up MELD-XI minus baseline MELD-XI score) and ΔCONUT scores were significantly associated with adverse events (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03–1.14, p=0.001 for ΔMELD-XI; HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02–1.35, p=0.02 for ΔCONUT). Patients remaining with hepatorenal dysfunction and malnutrition experienced worse survival (log-rank χ2 65.2, p&lt;0.001) and adverse events (log-rank χ2 90.4, p&lt;0.001) (Figure 2).

Conclusions

In patients undergoing valvular surgery, hepatorenal function and nutritional status at baseline, and their temporal changes, are strongly linked to clinical outcomes. These results highlight the role of hepatorenal and nutritional assessment for risk-stratification in valvular surgery.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1Figure 2