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Chong B, Kong G, Shankar K, Chew HSJ, Lin C, Goh R, Chin YH, Tan DJH, Chan KE, Lim WH, Syn N, Chan SP, Wang JW, Khoo CM, Dimitriadis GK, Wijarnpreecha K, Sanyal A, Noureddin M, Siddiqui MS, Foo R, Mehta A, Figtree GA, Hausenloy DJ, Chan MY, Ng CH, Muthiah M, Mamas MA, Chew NWS. The global syndemic of metabolic diseases in the young adult population: A consortium of trends and projections from the Global Burden of Disease 2000-2019. Metabolism 2023; 141:155402. [PMID: 36717058 DOI: 10.1016/j.metabol.2023.155402] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 34.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2022] [Revised: 01/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/17/2023] [Indexed: 01/30/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A significant proportion of premature deaths globally are related to metabolic diseases in young adults. We examined the global trends and mortality of metabolic diseases in individuals aged below 40 years using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. METHODS From 2000 to 2019, global estimates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were described for metabolic diseases (type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM], hyperlipidemia, hypertension, obesity, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD]). Subgroup analyses were performed based on sex, geographical regions and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Age-standardised death and DALYs were presented per 100,000 population with 95 % uncertainty intervals (UI). Projections of mortality and DALYs were estimated using regression models based on the GBD 2019 data and combining them with Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projection counts for years up to 2050. RESULTS In 2019, the highest age-standardised death rates were observed in hypertension (133·88 [121·25-155·73]), followed by obesity (62·59 [39·92-89·13]), hyperlipidemia (56·51 [41·83-73·62]), T2DM (18·49 [17·18-19·66]) and NAFLD (2·09 [1·61-2·60]). Similarly, obesity (1932·54 [1276·61-2639·74]) had the highest age-standardised DALYs, followed by hypertension (2885·57 [2580·75-3201·05]), hyperlipidemia (1207·15 [975·07-1461·11]), T2DM (801·55 [670·58-954·43]) and NAFLD (53·33 [40·73-68·29]). Mortality rates decreased over time in hyperlipidemia (-0·6 %), hypertension (-0·47 %), NAFLD (-0·31 %) and T2DM (-0·20 %), but not in obesity (1·07 % increase). The highest metabolic-related mortality was observed in Eastern Mediterranean and low SDI countries. By 2050, obesity is projected to contribute to the largest number of deaths (102·8 % increase from 2019), followed by hypertension (61·4 % increase), hyperlipidemia (60·8 % increase), T2DM (158·6 % increase) and NAFLD (158·4 % increase), with males continuing to bear the greatest burden across all metabolic diseases. CONCLUSION The growing burden of metabolic diseases, increasing obesity-related mortality trends, and the sex-regional-socioeconomic disparities evident in young adulthood, underlie the concerning growing global burden of metabolic diseases now and in future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bryan Chong
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Gwyneth Kong
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kannan Shankar
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - H S Jocelyn Chew
- Alice Lee Centre for Nursing Studies, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Chaoxing Lin
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Rachel Goh
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Yip Han Chin
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Darren Jun Hao Tan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kai En Chan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Wen Hui Lim
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Nicholas Syn
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of General Surgery, University Surgical Cluster, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Siew Pang Chan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Biostatistics, Cardiovascular Research Institute, National University Heart Centre, NUHS, Singapore; Department of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Jiong-Wei Wang
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Surgery, Cardiovascular Research Institute (CVRI), National University Heart Centre, Singapore; Nanomedicine Translational Research Programme, Centre for NanoMedicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Chin Meng Khoo
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | - Georgios K Dimitriadis
- Department of Endocrinology ASO/EASO COM, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Denmark Hill, London, United Kingdom; Obesity, Type 2 Diabetes and Immunometabolism Research Group, Department of Diabetes, Faculty of Cardiovascular Medicine & Sciences, School of Life Course Sciences, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Karn Wijarnpreecha
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Arizona College of Medicine Phoenix, USA
| | - Arun Sanyal
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA
| | | | - Mohammad Shadab Siddiqui
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA
| | - Roger Foo
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Anurag Mehta
- Division of Cardiology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA
| | - Gemma A Figtree
- Northern Clinical School, Kolling Institute of Medical Research, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Department of Cardiology, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Derek J Hausenloy
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Cardiovascular & Metabolic Disorders Program, Duke-National University of Singapore Medical School, Singapore; National Heart Research Institute Singapore, National Heart Centre, Singapore; The Hatter Cardiovascular Institute, University College London, London, UK; Cardiovascular Research Center, College of Medical and Health Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan
| | - Mark Y Chan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Cheng Han Ng
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Mark Muthiah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Mamas A Mamas
- Institute of Population Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Keele Cardiac Research Group, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Stoke-on-Trent, UK
| | - Nicholas W S Chew
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, Singapore.
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